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Month: December 2007

A Tale of Two Candidates

by dday

Four years apart, two Presidential candidates have gone hunting days before a major election. One looked obviously inauthentic as he pandered for votes in a crude stereotype of the heartland voters he secretly hates. The other was a proud symbol of our shared American heritage, boldly shrugging off the criticism of Eastern elites to just be himself.

Can you guess who is who?

(Reuters)

Still can’t figure it out?

I’ll give you a hint. The authentic one is the one with the tiny “R” under the earflap.

I eagerly await the mocking Sportsmen for Huckabee website, but I probably won’t see it. After all, what could possibly be deserving of mockery? It’s not like he made a big show out of hunting just for the benefit of the cameras.

(Reuters)

UPDATE: By the way, Huckabee is hilarious:

Of four birds flushed by the party, three were felled. Huckabee claimed the third with his .12-gauge shotgun. He proudly displayed the birds and said jokingly, “See that’s what happens if you get in my way.” […]

“It’s an opportunity to experience Iowa at its best,” he said. “Hopefully we’ll just shoot pheasants and not each other. We’ll name the pheasant for the other candidates. It gives us a real incentive.”

This I guess is a step up from typical Republican jokes, which are typically about hunting and killing liberals instead of Republican primary opponents.

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How Fourthbranch Works

by dday

Newsweek’s Michael Isikoff has posted a fascinating interview with J.William Leonard, the head of the National Archives’ Information Security Oversight Office (ISOO), which deals with classified documents from the executive branch. He was the major figure in the fight by Dick Cheney to define his office as a fourth branch of government existing outside executive branch accountability. I’ve been calling him “Fourthbranch” ever since (like the Taco Bell ad: “think outside the Constitution”). In the interview, Leonard details just how uniquely Cheney and his minions see their responsibilities to other government agencies.

NEWSWEEK: Explain how all this happened.

Leonard: Up until 2002, OVP was just like any other agency. Subsequent to that, they stopped reporting to us…At first, I took that to be, ‘we’re too busy.’ Then we routinely attempted to do a review of the OVP and it was at that point in time it was articulated back to me that: ‘well they weren’t really subject to our reviews.’ I didn’t agree with it. But you know, there is a big fence around the White House. I didn’t know how I could get in there if somebody didn’t want me to.

So how did matters escalate?

The challenge arose last year when the Chicago Tribune was looking at [ISOO’s annual report] and saw the asterisk [reporting that it contained no information from OVP] and decided to follow up. And that’s when the spokesperson from the OVP made public this idea that because they have both legislative and executive functions, that requirement doesn’t apply to them.…They were saying the basic rules didn’t apply to them. I thought that was a rather remarkable position. So I wrote my letter to the Attorney General [asking for a ruling that Cheney’s office had to comply.] Then it was shortly after that there were [email] recommendations [from OVP to a National Security Council task force] to change the executive order that would effectively abolish [my] office.

Who wrote the emails?

It was David Addington.

No explanation was offered?

No. It was strike this, strike that. Anyplace you saw the words, “the director of ISOO” or “ISOO” it was struck.

Here we have the Fourthbranch way. Assume the laws don’t apply to you; when pressed, threaten to abolish the law or the agency that attempts to execute it. And since Cheney is not a lawyer, his appointed henchman in these matters is now David Addington. There’s always one degree of separation for Fourthbranch, be it Libby or Addington or whoever. And the new firewall may get torched by the ongoing torture tape investigation.

The House Intelligence Committee has scheduled a hearing on January 16 (pdf) regarding the destruction of CIA interrogation videotapes of two al Qaeda suspects held in secret overseas prisons, Abu Zubaydah and Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri.

The order to destroy the tapes allegedly was given by Jose Rodriguez who at that time was head of the CIA’s clandestine service. Rodriguez, who has hired lawyer Robert Bennett to represent him, has no intention of being the scapegoat.

The TimesonLine reports Rodriguez is seeking immunity for his testimony. Who might he give up?

Four names in the White House have surfaced so far. My money is on Cheney lawyer (now his Chief of Staff) David Addington.

Reports have cited four White House and OVP staffers as having discussed the tapes with the CIA, and have gone out of their way to assure that three of them advised against destruction. Only Addington is left hanging out to dry. And of course, the CIA ignored the advice of everyone but Addington.

It’s hard to understate overstate the level to which Fourthbranch runs this government without being subject to regular government scrutiny. Just this week he’s been implicated in denying a waiver to California to set their own greenhouse gas emissions targets. You can add that to the secret energy meetings, enabling the Enron energy blackouts in California in 2001, the Plame leak, official secrecy including making up a classification for his own documents, the tax cuts (“This is our due!”), war in Iraq, the looming threat of war in Iran, environmental policy, and well, everything in the Angler series.

The Office of the Vice President is a relic of the compromise that forged the Constitution, almost wholly unnecessary in the function of a 21st-century state. While it seemed a useless honorific only given meaning when a President died in office (and there are plenty of other ways to create a line of succession), it lingered because nobody could fathom anything bad arising from it.

They never met Fourthbranch.

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Why Not “In Defense of Murder”?

by dday

I wonder what other violations of international law that have been prosecuted by American lawyers against the Japanese after WWII that Mark Bowden will decide to justify. Should he offer a stirring defense of the Rape of Nanking? Using humans for experiments? Cannibalism against Allied POWs? Comfort women?

Of course, in Bowden’s Hammurabic code-eye’s-view of the world, Abu Zubaydah was a very bad terrorist (or a mentally ill fringe player, your mileage may vary), thus allowing American interrogators to sink to his level and engage in their own terrorism.

At the time of his capture in 2002, just six months after the Sept. 11 attacks, there was strong reason to believe Zubaydah knew virtually the entire organizational structure and agenda of al-Qaeda around the world. He was supervising ongoing plots to kill hundreds if not thousands of people. He was, for obvious reasons, disinclined to share this knowledge. Subjected briefly to waterboarding – less than a minute, according to published reports – he became cooperative and provided information that, according to the government, resulted in preventing planned attacks and capturing other key al-Qaeda leaders.

In the six years that have passed since the Manhattan towers collapsed, we have gained (partly through the interrogation of men like Zubaydah) a much clearer understanding of al-Qaeda and the threat it poses.

Of course, Bowden doesn’t explain exactly what we have learned; nobody who wishes to justify torture ever does. But rest assured, we’re all safer thanks to the supervised drowning of Abu Zubaydah, and you’ll just have to trust your leaders.

Bowden’s core argument is that, even if Zubaydah gave bad information, it was reasonable to expect that he wouldn’t, and anyway, sometimes tortured suspects tell the truth, so it was well worth it. Which is of course the whole point. SOMETIMES tortured suspects tell the truth, sometimes they lie. And there’s no way to know the difference, especially when the overriding concern is just to get SOME information to justify the torturing. The reason we can assert that these CIA interrogations were immoral and illegal is by the fact that they stopped videotaping them, against all accepted and standardized methods of intelligence gathering.

By their own accounting, the CIA and other U.S. intelligence agencies have not videotaped the interrogations of potentially hundreds of other terrorism suspects. That indicates an outmoded level of secrecy and unprofessionalism, the interrogation experts contend.

They say that the U.S. is behind the curve of current best practices, and that videotaping is an essential tool in improving the methods — and results — of terrorism interrogations. And the accountability provided by recording is needed to address international concerns about the United States’ use of harsh, potentially illegal techniques, these experts add.

They say that the United States could learn a lot from methods used by Israel, Britain and other countries with decades of experience in interrogating terrorists but that so far, it has not.

“We are operating in a vacuum,” said Col. Steven M. Kleinman, a reserve senior intelligence officer for the Air Force’s Special Operations Command who was a military interrogator in Panama, during the 1991 Persian Gulf War, and in Iraq in 2003. “We are not giving our interrogators the skill set or the tool chest to get the information that we need in the war on terrorism.”

It’s because those in charge were more concerned with getting information fast than getting it right. And now, their only concern is avoiding prosecution. So their enablers will use any argument to avoid the inevitable conclusion, that torturing human beings is inescapably wrong. Here’s someone in a position to know, someone who tried waterboarding on himself.

The water fills the hole in the saran wrap so that there is either water or vaccum in your mouth. The water pours into your sinuses and throat. You struggle to expel water periodically by building enough pressure in your lungs. With the saran wrap though each time I expelled water, I was able to draw in less air. Finally the lungs can no longer expel water and you begin to draw it up into your respiratory tract.

It seems that there is a point that is hardwired in us. When we draw water into our respiratory tract to this point we are no longer in control. All hell breaks loose. Instinct tells us we are dying.

I have never been more panicked in my whole life. Once your lungs are empty and collapsed and they start to draw fluid it is simply all over. You know you are dead and it’s too late. Involuntary and total panic.

There is absolutely nothing you can do about it. It would be like telling you not to blink while I stuck a hot needle in your eye.

At the time my lungs emptied and I began to draw water, I would have sold my children to escape. There was no choice, or chance, and willpower was not involved.

I never felt anything like it, and this was self-inflicted with a watering can, where I was in total control and never in any danger […]

I’ll put it this way. If I had the choice of being waterboarded by a third party or having my fingers smashed one at a time by a sledgehammer, I’d take the fingers, no question.

It’s horrible, terrible, inhuman torture. I can hardly imagine worse. I’d prefer permanent damage and disability to experiencing it again. I’d give up anything, say anything, do anything.

The Spanish Inquisition knew this. It was one of their favorite methods.

It’s torture. No question. Terrible terrible torture. To experience it and understand it and then do it to another human being is to leave the realm of sanity and humanity forever. No question in my mind.

Sounds like something to advocate for.

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Good News For People Who Like Bad News

by dday

There’s a new front in Iraq:

Turkish airstrikes on Kurdish rebels in northern Iraq have killed more than 150 rebels and hit more than 200 targets in recent days, the Turkish military said Tuesday, countering Kurdish claims that only a handful of people were killed in the attacks.

The air raids, on Dec. 16 and 22, were the first large-scale assaults on Iraqi territory since the Turkish Parliament approved cross-border operations in mid-October against hide-outs of the separatist Kurdistan Workers Party, known by its Kurdish initials P.K.K.

According to a statement by the Turkish Army, Turkish fighter planes hit 22 targets in the Metina, Zap, Avashin and Hakurk regions in Iraq on Dec. 16, after intelligence confirmed a rebel presence at the sites […]

Turkey’s assertions came as Kurdish and American officials said that Turkish jets crossed into Iraqi airspace again on Tuesday, in what American officials said was the fourth such flight over the border in two weeks.

And we all know how precise those bombings are when the US military does them, I’m sure the Turks employ even more laser-like proficiency.

Talk about playing both sides of the fence. We are providing intelligence to the Turks about rebel hideouts. This enables them to pummel their neighbor, which is our strongest ally in Iraq. Spencer Ackerman lays this out well.

…the Kurds of northern Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish Regional Government fear and distrust Turkey as well. They’re the closest allies the U.S. has in Iraq, and the U.S. occasionally relies on them to broker political truces between the Arab Sunnis and Shiites. They don’t like being bombed and invaded, and, not unreasonably, blame the U.S. for the Turkish incursion.

Add to that the Shiite-dominated government, which has its own uneasy relationship to its American patron, looks weak in the eyes of both its own people and regional governments because a neighboring country is bombing and invading what’s technically its territory with no reprisal. It comes at an inopportune time: that Shiite government is already pretty angry at the U.S. for funding and arming anti-government Sunni ex-insurgents who swear they would never dream of using their weapons against the government. And it’s in the eyes of precisely those roughly 70,000 mostly-Sunni militiamen — to say nothing of Moqtada al-Sadr and al-Qaeda in Iraq — that the government doesn’t think it can afford to look weak.

I know the Iraq war is over and everything and I should just be happy with the decrease to 700 or so civilians being killed a month (don’t you like freedom?), but it seems to me that aiding and abetting airstrikes on a nation we’re supposed to be protecting and defending is something only the galactically stupid would do. It also seems vaguely illegal, although we’ve already broken Iraqi law to renew the UN mandate providing the legal means for foreign troops to stay in the country, so just throw that violation on the pile.

Earlier in the week, a group representing a majority of lawmakers in Iraq’s parliament — a group made up of Sunni, Shiite and secular leaders — sent a letter to the Security Council, a rough translation of which reads: “We reject in the strongest possible terms the unconditional renewal of the mandate and ask for clear mechanisms to obligate all foreign troops to completely withdrawal from Iraq according to an announced timetable.”

Why do the Iraqis hate Iraqis? Don’t they WANT to live in peace?

UPDATE: Shorter Matt Yglesias: The surge has become a Baghdad surge. No areas of the country unaffected by the surge have experienced any kind of security change, as evidenced by yesterday’s bombings. And when the surge ends, so will the security gains in those parts which have been affected.

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“I’m the player to be named later.”*

by dday

I really want to thank Digby for letting me play in the big sandbox for a few days. With a week out before Iowa, we’re in this somewhat-unprecedented situation of it being an incredibly important news week even though nobody is paying attention. But that’s OK, because Iowa apparently doesn’t matter on the Republican side, or so our media overlords have been slowly and subtly telling us.

I’ve seen Big Media theories that a Huckabee win in Iowa helps Giuliani, that it helps McCain, even the bizarre notion that it helps Romney. Here’s a standard example of the genre from that fount of conventional wisdom, Hardball.

Let‘s take a look; here‘s the CNN poll right now in New Hampshire, on the Republican side. Romney leads with 34 percent. McCain is second, but pretty far back at 22. Rudy‘s down there at 16, Huckabee at 10. James, it seems to me that for McCain to do what he said he wants to do and told us he would do on the program tonight, he needs a break. It‘s like one of those NFL playoffs. He needs Huckabee to knock off Romney in Iowa so he can knock off Romney up here.

JAMES PINDELL, “BOSTON GLOBE”: I think that‘s right. I think for all of the Republican candidate scenarios, besides Romney, they need Huckabee to do well in Iowa so Romney can‘t run the table. New Hampshire has been his fire wall. He‘s consistently had this double digit lead for months.

MATTHEWS: You‘re talking Romney?

PINDELL: Yes.

MATTHEWS: That explains why John McCain, who was on the show on the Straight Talk Express about a half hour ago, was talking up what a nice guy Huckabee is.

So, the set-up here is that a Huckabee win in Iowa helps every Republican but Mike Huckabee, because the self-elected elites of the conservative movement have decided they can’t have a genuine theocon leading the party (somebody tell the voters). And so the wishes of this mythical Heartland that the traditional media has built up over the past several years are dismissed. That’s where the real America is, but they can’t actually have their choice mean anything, that would upset the balance of nature.

And this has manifested itself in a wave of double standards, particularly with respect to the infamous “floating cross” ad. Glenn Greenwald had an excellent post yesterday contrasting Huckabee’s subliminal ad with John McCain’s entirely liminal ad featuring the cross.

…here is the Christmas ad from John McCain, which features not a subliminal cross arguably lurking in the background, but instead, an explicit one drawn in the sand, serving as the centerpiece of the ad, and expressly referenced — twice — by the political candidate, whose face lingers wistfully next to the cross for 10 of the ad’s 30 seconds…

Yet the reverent reaction to McCain’s ad could not have been more different than the one provoked by Huckabee’s. Chris Wallace said: “That McCain ad is so powerful. You find yourself tearing up when you see that, obviously.” Obviously. A clearly moved Fred Barnes concurred with the only word that was needed: “Indeed.” Mort Kondracke gushed: “I think it was a great ad, and it had a religious overtone to it. . . . it should remind religious [voters] that there is another candidate in the options besides Huckabee.”

In what conceivable way could Huckabee’s ad, containing (arguably) a “subliminal” floating cross, constitute some grave breach of theological propriety, while McCain’s overt appeal to the cross in his political ad is some sort of inspiring, perfectly appropriate message?

Because McCain is a mavericky maverick who can do no wrong, and Huckabee is a kooky preacher who wants to raise our taxes and force us all into Bible study.

So watch for this over the next several days, the de-emphasizing of Iowa and the desperate desire for a comeback McCain narrative to emerge. This could well be the way it plays out, but the Beltway establishment is certainly giving it more than a nudge.

* Bull Durham is a better movie to quote than to watch. Discuss if you wish.

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Say Hi

by digby

I’m going to be off line more often than not over the next few days so I’ve asked my pal D-Day to help me out here at Hullabaloo. You may have read his work at his own blog D-Day, or on Daily Kos or at Calitics. Now you can read him here too. Enjoy.

cheers — digby

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Tucker And Air Force Amy

by digby

Most of you know that I loathe Tucker Faye Carlson (as the good Roger Ailes calls him) and I’m also not a particular fan of Ron Paul, who mostly seems to be a Rorschach test for the politically disaffected. But put the two of them together and you get an entertaining and thought provoking little piece about one of the many political phenomenons of the 2008 campaign.

Carlson’s best moment in journalism was his interview with George W. Bush in 2000 where, unlike the vast amount of psycho-babble you see in modern campaign reporting, we saw an actual window into the man’s character with that chilling anecdote about how Junior responded to a convicted killer begging to be spared the executioner. So maybe Carlson is just a bitchy little twit in person but has some redeeming qualities as a political feature reporter (with an editor.) He does have an eye for details.

The piece on Paul doesn’t truly answer the questions about what makes his quixotic campaign tick, but it offers some very interesting little observations like the fact that his biggest applause line on the stump is about the unconstitutionality of the Federal Reserve. It’s not your average hot button issue, that’s for sure.

But it does have an interesting pedigree, which Carlson fails to probe in his piece. That’s not surprising. He was obviously distracted by certain denizens of Pahrump Nevada (the locale of one of the speeches he attends) who are employees of his “friend” Dennis Hof, the owner of the moonlight Bunny Ranch (and star of HBO’s “Cathouse.”) What Carlson missed was the fact that Pahrump is a rural town in the middle of the Western desert where there are a fair number of people with affiliations with the right wing Posse Comitatus groups who have railed about the Federal Reserve for years. I’m not saying his followers actually know much about the details, although some probably do. But it’s worth noting that this stuff sounds like a dogwhistle to a Western militia style “libertarianism” that isn’t in the least bit benign.

Dave Neiwert has written a lot about this, as you all know. But it should be of more than a passing interest to mainstream journalists who are writing about Ron Paul that his biggest applause lines are echoes of an underground right wing radicalism that’s coming up to the surface. I don’t know what it means, but it’s usually not a good sign.

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A Sec-Prog Christmas Redux

by digby

I explained last year that I’m a major fan of the Christmas music. (Yes I am — so shoot me, why don’t you?)

Anyway, here’s my random ten on this Christmas morning:

The Christmas Song — Nat King Cole
Blue Christmas – Elvis Presley
Wonderful Christmastime – Paul McCartney
Oh Holy Night — The Morman Tabernacle Choir
Sleigh Ride – Carpenters
Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) – U2
Do They Know It’s Christmas Time – Band Aid
Feliz Navidad – Jose Feliciano
J-i-n-g-l-e Bells — Frank Sinatra
Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas – Judy Garland

And, sadly, here’s hoping once again that we’ll all be singing this one, for real, next Christmas:

Happy Christmas (War Is Over) — John Lennon:

May we have peace on earth and good will to men.

Merry Christmas, everybody.

*If anybody knows of a particularly good Christmas song, I’d love to know it. Drop me a line in the comments.

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On Christmas

by digby

Meteor Blades can’t forget. And neither should we.

It should be easier to forget Iraq right now, some pundits argue, because the violence has dwindled in the past few months. Indeed, only 16 Americans in uniform and one Briton have been killed so far this month. Violence against Iraqis is definitely down, too, although the specific numbers aren’t trustworthy. At the current rate, December 2007 could turn out to be the most peaceful month in Iraq since the invasion.

The Foxagandists and neo-imps argue that this is due to the surge and new counterinsurgency techniques, which is no doubt true as far as it goes. But the drop also comes from the Sunni alliance against al Qaeda in Iraq, from sectarian cleansing and from the effects of the walls of Baghdad.

Whether the reduced violence is a permanent state of affairs or just the relative calm before the next storm is anybody’s guess. “Iraq is moving in the direction of a failed state, with competing centers of power run by warlords and militias. The central government has no political control whatsoever beyond Baghdad, maybe not even beyond the Green Zone,” according to Joost Hiltermann of the International Crisis Group.

Will the Sunni turn their attention back to the Americans and Iraqi security forces once they have stomped al Qaeda in Iraq? Will Moqtada al-Sadr’s truce continue to hold after he finishes his final exam to become an ayatollah? Will the Iraqi “national” government finally get it together?

Even if the occupation runs more or less along the same course as it is now, by next summer there will still be 130,000 Americans in uniform there, with who can be sure how many others working for firms like Blackwater Worldwide. The same number that were there in December 2006. At best, by this time next Christmas Eve, there will still be at least 100,000 American soldiers, marines, sailors and airmen in Iraq. Plus contractors and mercenaries. Still killing and dying and being maimed in a war of occupation that should never have begun in the first place. read on.

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The Gift That Keeps On Giving

by digby

And just won’t stop:

The US vice-president, Dick Cheney, was behind a controversial decision to block California’s attempt to impose tough emission limits on car manufacturers, according to insiders at the government Environmental Protection Agency.

Staff at the agency, which announced last week that California’s proposed limits were redundant, said the agency’s chief went against their expert advice after car executives met Cheney, and a Chrysler executive delivered a letter to the EPA saying why the state should not be allowed to regulate greenhouse gases.

Merry Christmas, California. Love Dick.

Here’s more on Dick’s Christmas cheer from David Roberts at Grist:

The Bush administration’s hypocrisy on federalism

Johnson’s nuts

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