Skip to content

Month: October 2008

Getting Serious

by digby

In case you haven’t heard the good news….

Barack Obama has opened up significant leads in virtually every key battleground state, according to multiple polls released Wednesday. The size of the shift towards the Democratic nominee may indeed be historic.

“It is difficult to find a modern competitive presidential race that has swung so dramatically, so quickly and so sharply this late in the campaign,” says Peter Brown of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “In the last 20 days, Sen. Barack Obama has gone from seven points down to eight points up in Florida, while widening his leads to eight points in Ohio and 15 points in Pennsylvania.”

The latest Quinnipiac polls show Obama crossing the 50 percent threshold in all three of those states:

Florida: 51 – 43

Ohio: 50 – 42

Pennsylvania: 54 – 39

Economic meltdown tend to focus the mind like nothing else.

One more month…

.

Pretender Live

by digby

It seems somehow fitting that the writer of the song “Running On Empty” would be a big endorser of a progressive congressional candidate who also happens to be a serious expert on energy issues. That would be Jackson Browne, of course, who endorsed Debbie Cook, the Blue America candidate who is running against that bizarro creep Dana Rohrabacher.

Debbie Cook is a truly impressive candidate who has shown she has an ability to win in traditionally conservative Orange County without selling out her principles, not as easy task. She’s worth supporting.(Here’s Howie’s endorsement from Blue America.)

And Jackson Brownee made that easier by donating two unbelievable tickets (4th row, center) for his concert this Sunday, October 5, at L.A.’s historic and intimate Orpheum Theater. The Cook campaign has decided to give the tickets away to a Blue America donor. Isn’t that nice? Donate todayany amount— and your name gets put in a hat and, if luck is with you, you’ll win the pair of tickets. As Howie pointed out, Republicans would just say the pair goes to the highest bidder– or maybe scalp ’em on eBay themselves– but we like this idea more because even people who can only afford to donate $1 get a chance to win.

The contest ends tomorrow at 2pm, PT. One rule: one chance to get into the drawing per screen name.

Debbie Cook’s voice is vitally needed in the congress on energy issues (and many others.) Whether you win the tickets or not, donating to her is a donation toward energy independence, saving the planet and building a better country.

.

Now That’s Not Really What I’m Talking About

by dday

Way to step up, Bernie Sanders, but unfortunately the impact has been stripped away.

WASHINGTON, October 1 – The Senate today will debate an amendment by Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) to impose a surtax on the wealthiest Americans to pay for a $700 billion emergency bailout of Wall Street.

“Having mismanaged the economy for eight years while continually insisting that the ‘fundamentals of our economy are strong,’ the Bush administration now wants the middle class of this country to bail out Wall Street,” Sanders said. “Meanwhile the wealthiest people, those who have benefited most from Bush’s policies and are in the best position to pay, are being asked for no sacrifice at all. This is absurd.”

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) set aside one hour to consider the Sanders Amendment to raise $300 billion from a five-year, 10 percent surtax on couples with incomes of more than $1 million and individuals earning $500,000. It is the only amendment being offered to the bill.

As Bernie himself would say, “This is ‘uge.” It’s the only amendment, which means it’s offers a stark choice and a real contrast. Either Republicans are willing to let the wealthiest among us shoulder the burden for a financial crisis many of them aided and abetted, or they are willing to be reckless with the people’s money. Even if this doesn’t pass, it allows Democratic challengers something to run against the incumbents who refused to pay for this massive bailout.

But, and there’s always a but, this amendment is being voted on by voice vote. In other words, the ayes and nays will be unclear and hidden. So the cowards who will vote to not finance the plan will pay no political price. That’s absolutely disgusting. And through the unanimous consent rule, Bernie Sanders agreed with it. There’s no reason to vote on this amendment if it doesn’t ferret out the economic royalists and elicit an issue for November.

I didn’t agree with Sirota on the efficacy of the DeFazio alternative, but on this one he’s absolutely right – this is insulting. The Senate thinks you’re stupid.

Update: from digby

This is good politics. Let people have to vote against a millionaire surcharge. And if it passes, so much the better.

A millionaire can easily afford to help pay a little bit more for this economic debacle. I’m sorry if their portfolios are going down and their home values aren’t what they’d expected. That’s the way it goes. They’re still doing just fine. I see no reason at this point to pretend that the Randian myth that they must be coddled so the rest of us can benefit from the crumbs that fall off their tables, is anything more than the silly plot of a bad Romance novel. There are no crumbs — given the chance they eat it all and tell everyone else to go eat a Ding Dong.

It’s really shameful political malpractice if they don’t get this vote on the record. The only reason I can think of that they choose not to, is because the whole damned Senate is nothing but millionaires themselves.

Also: Please. Don’t even… hauling out a bunch of business interests to sniff around the trough just doesn’t seem like the brightest idea if they want to keep public support. I’m sure they’re very sincere and all about the economy, but when money in this gargantuan amount is being handed out, they should stay very, very quiet. It just doesn’t look kosher.

.

Exactly

by digby

From reader MK:

A friend, currently involved with theater sent me a couple of quotes
attributed to a British theater critic; Kenneth Tynan. Reportedly,
the quote is from The Diaries of Kenneth Tynan, and the criticism is
of a play written by John Osbourne. My friend thought this one
captured Palin’s interviews with Katie Couric.

” … most of the conversation is like a child with a good ear reproducing the noise made by intelligent and/or sophisticated people, but getting the words subtly wrong.”

Update: Bérubé’s back with an incredible post on Palin:

…Pollitt quotes Charles Murray’s New York Times Magazine interview with Deborah Solomon. On Palin, he says, “I’m in love. Truly and deeply in love,” Murray said. “The last thing we need are more pointy-headed intellectuals running the government.” Now, I know that Murray has been railing against the evil cognitive elite for much of his career, but the “pointy-headed intellectual” trope is a bit much, since Murray is, after all, an intellectual, and his head is by all accounts very, very pointy. Which is why it fits so well inside that Death Eater hood.)

“Michael, please,” says my imaginary interlocutor. “You know perfectly well that even the ‘high-end conservative pundits’ will slurp down any old slop they’re fed by the party. That’s their job. It’s degrading and dehumanizing, sure, and a lot of them can’t face themselves in the morning anymore, but you have to remember that the pay is awfully good.”

“What about Bill Kristol?” I asked my imaginary interlocutor. “I mean, he’s the very most hackiest of the hacks, but he’s also the child of two serious conservative intellectuals. Do you think he has any morning sickness about Palin-shilling?”

“The thing about Kristol,” I.I. replied, “is that after he’s dead, we’re going to find out not only that he has no vital oils but that he has no internal organs whatsoever. No higher-order consciousness, no pineal gland housing the soul. What’s in there instead? Just balsam wood from tip to toe.” read on…

Welcome back, Michael. You have been sorely missed.

.

The Katherine Harris Legacy

by digby

The Brennan Center is following the vote suppression efforts around the country and released a new study yesterday that sends chills down my spine:

Today the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law released one of the first systematic examinations of voter purging, a practice—often controversial—of removing voters from registration lists in order to update state registration rolls—click here for report. After a detailed study of the purge practices of 12 states, Voter Purges reveals that election officials across the country are routinely striking millions of voters from the rolls through a process that is shrouded in secrecy, prone to error, and vulnerable to manipulation. Upon the release of Voter Purges, today the Brennan Center and the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law began filing public records requests with election officials in 12 states in order to expose the purges that happened this year.

“Purges can be an important way to ensure that voter rolls are dependable, accurate and up-to-date,” said Myrna Pérez, counsel at the Brennan Center and the author of the report. “Far too frequently, however, eligible, registered citizens show up to vote and discover their names have been removed from the voter lists because election officials are maintaining their voter rolls with little accountability and wildly varying standards,” Myrna Pérez stated.

pull quoteAccording to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission, between 2004 and 2006, thirty-nine states and the District of Columbia reported purging more than 13 million voters from registration rolls. While the secret and inconsistent manner in which purges are conducted make it difficult to know exactly how many voters have been stricken from voting lists erroneously, Voter Purges finds four problematic practices with voter purges that continue to threaten voters in 2008: purges rely on error-ridden lists; voters are purged secretly and without notice; bad “matching” criteria mean that thousands of eligible voters will be caught up in purges; and insufficient oversight leaves voters vulnerable to erroneous or manipulated purges. The report reveals that purge practices vary dramatically from jurisdiction to jurisdiction, that there is a lack of consistent protections for voters, and that there are often opportunities for mischief and mistakes in the purge process.

“The voter rolls are the gateway to voting, and a citizen typically cannot cast a vote that will count unless his or her name appears on the rolls. Purges remove names from the voter rolls, typically preventing wrongfully purged voters from having their votes counted. Given the close margins by which elections are won, the number of people wrongfully purged can make a difference. We should not tolerate purges that are conducted behind closed doors, without public scrutiny, and without adequate recourse for affected voters,” said Wendy Weiser, Deputy Director of the Democracy Program at the Brennan Center

CBS news did a story on it last night. You can see the segment here.

Much of this “purging” is undoubtedly innocent. But when you have national vote suppression projects like those initiated by the Republican National Lawyers Association, scandals like the US Attorney firings around the same issues, and a decades long campaign to create a sense of crisis around something that doesn’t exist in any meaningful way — voter fraud — this kind of thing becomes a lot more suspicious.

We have special challenges with this election that make this election potentially open for all kinds of shennanigans — the Democrats have registered millions of first time voters, who, by definition, have no experience with the system and can often be manipulated in the face of difficulty at the polls. And, as ever, creating difficulties and delays alone tends to keep some people from voting because they just don’t have the time to spend in long lines.

I would suspect, just as an observer of human beings over the years, that even honest Republican election officials have been persuaded by their party’s own propaganda that their primary responsibility is keeping people from voting illegally. I’m sure they think they are doing their patriotic duty by ensuring that felons and illegal immigrants and unregistered young voters can’t vote. And if some legitimate Democratic voters are kept from casting a vote, well — it’s the price we pay for vigilance.

.

Tales Of Bailouts

by dday

So the Senate will vote on the bailout today. And they’ll probably pass it with big margins.

Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., and GOP Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky unveiled the plan Tuesday. The Senate plan would also raise federal deposit insurance limits to $250,000 from $100,000, as called for by the two presidential nominees only hours earlier.

The move to add a tax legislation — including a set of popular business tax breaks — risked a backlash from House Democrats insisting they be paid for with tax increases elsewhere.

But by also adding legislation to prevent more than 20 million middle-class taxpayers from feeling the bite of the alternative minimum tax, the step could build momentum for the Wall Street bailout from House Republicans. The presidential candidates Sens. John McCain, R-Ariz., and Barack Obama, D-Ill., intend to fly to Washington for the votes, as does Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, the Democratic vice presidential candidate.

This tax plan was stalled out in the House last week. Helping relieve the middle class from getting hit with the AMT is fine, and much of the generically stated “business tax breaks” would include the renewable energy tax credits, which are absolutely vital to the wind and solar industry, and are the closest thing to an infrastructure package that’s been offered:

The tax plan passed the Senate last week, on a 93-2 vote. It included AMT relief, $8 billion in tax relief for those hit by natural disasters in the Midwest, Texas and Louisiana, and some $78 billion in renewable energy incentives and extensions of expiring tax breaks. In a compromise worked out with Republicans, the bill does not pay for the AMT and disaster provisions but does have revenue offsets for part of the energy and extension measures.

This has now become an inter-chamber slap fight. And really, where else could this have gone? Those renewable credits are crucial, but if they concurrently shrunk the plan to only get us through January, and then ran on the contrast, I would be fine with it. But that’s not happening.

As for the “progressive alternative” from Rep. DeFazio, it doesn’t read to me as much of an alternative at all. The good part of it, raising the FDIC insurance limit, is in the Senate plan now, and the rest of it seems to just be a new way to give away money. The change away from mark-to-market accounting, which has the potential to be hideous as companies make up numbers and the entire financial services industry becomes Enronized, is a fait accompli thanks to the SEC. David Sirota seems to like it, but I fail to see how it would do anything to stop foreclosures or alleviate the housing crisis. It may, I repeat may, save money on the initial layout, as there’s no price tag attached. If it’s administered the way that they fixed the S&L’s, it could be cheap. But it doesn’t even begin to try and solve the problem.

The problem, folks, is that the largest sector of the private economy is financial services, in other words people pushing paper to other people, while manufacturing is at its lowest level in decades. That is historically unsustainable and impossible, and invites crises like this, and no amount of figuring out a creative accounting fix and some kind of bailout on the cheap is going to change that. Only by creating a new energy economy, allowing for 5 million new green-collar jobs, and building a manufacturing base again to match the knowledge economy will we ever have an economic system in any kind of balance. Yet only the Senate bribery bill even brooches that subject.

Meanwhile, it’s clear to me why the Senate is going ahead; there are incentives on all sides. For the Democrats, Obama comes off looking like someone who made this happen once he engaged. What’s more, this crisis is playing well for Dems politically, not just for Obama but throughout US Senate races, and forcing Saxby Chambliss or Mitch McConnell, who are suddenly in close re-election races, into tough votes, is advisable. That filibuster-proof majority is within sight (John Kerry threw down a million bucks for the DSCC today) and they obviously feel that “looking strong” in a crisis will help. For the Republicans, they are really in a spot, having to run against Bush but also being held responsible for the Wall Street meltdown, so they might want to show leadership and relieve themselves of some of the blame. But ultimately, this is about the Senate sticking it to the House and getting out of town. That’s what they really want to do.

Plus, in the end, politicians like throwing ridiculous sums of money around. Everyone furrowing their brows over $700 billion dollars to the rich and greedy should be advised that the Congress did that last week.

WASHINGTON – Automakers gained $25 billion in taxpayer-subsidized loans and oil companies won elimination of a long-standing ban on drilling off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as the Senate passed a sprawling spending bill Saturday.

The 78-12 vote sent the $634 billion measure to President Bush, who was expected to sign it even though it spends more money and contains more pet projects than he would have liked […]

The Pentagon is in line for a record budget. In addition to $70 billion approved this summer for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Defense Department would receive $488 billion, a 6 percent increase. The spending bill also offers aid to victims of flooding in the Midwest and recent hurricanes across the Gulf Coast.

Such a huge bill usually would dominate the end-of-session agenda on Capitol Hill. But it went below the radar screen because attention focused on the congressional bailout of Wall Street.

$700 billion on the investor class and to keep banks lending, non! $560 dollars on the most wasteful and bloated weapons systems in the world and the continued slaughter in Iraq and Afghanistan, si! And actually, it’s more than that, as Robert Borosage notes.

Most Americans have no sense of the cost and scope of America’s role as globocop. We sustain what Chalmers Johnson calls an “empire of bases” across the globe – over 700 active bases in more than 30 countries. Our navy polices the world’s oceans. We task our military to maintain “dominance” not only in our own hemisphere, but in Europe, the Persian Gulf and Asia. Our intelligence “plumbing in place” engages in covert activities throughout the globe. We are the only nation with the capacity to airlift expeditionary forces rapidly and in large numbers across the globe. We are now devoting some $12 billion a month to wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. President Bush has declared a “Global War on Terror,” a so-called “long war,” without limits or exits. Our Defense Secretary complains that the military is displacing the desiccated State Department as America’s representatives across the world.

The cost of sustaining this commitment is staggering. The Pentagon’s budget itself represents more than half of all discretionary spending—everything the government does, outside of entitlements like Social Security and Medicare, and interest on the national debt. At $700 billion, it is about equal to that spent by the rest of the world combined on the military. But the actual cost of our military is strewn throughout the budget. Add in the cost of our veterans, the arms aid in the State Department budget, Homeland Security, and more—and actual spending climbs over $1 trillion a year.

Puts that bailout in a little perspective, eh? Especially when 21st-century challenges in protecting America from extremism has no military solution whatsoever.

I’ve always been in favor of a patch to get us to January, and then an election to provide a mandate for a real solution. But at least there’s a glimmer of recognition of the value of the green economy in there now. There are smarter ways to intervene, like a Swedish-style nationalization, but it doesn’t seem like Democrats or even the Progressive Caucus is interested in it – I almost can’t believe how weak their bill is. This is our new New Deal?

Looks like a big rondelet of failure from where I’m standing.

.

The Hissy Fit That Failed

by digby

The dog ate their homework and then threw it back up:

During the press conference that followed the Monday afternoon vote, Deputy Whip Eric Cantor (R-Va.) held up a copy of Pelosi’s speech, saying, “Right here is the reason, I believe, why this vote failed, and this is Speaker Pelosi’s speech that, frankly, struck the tone of partisanship that, frankly, was inappropriate in this discussion.”
Rob Collins, Cantor’s chief of staff, said on Tuesday that the speech itself didn’t switch votes, but the message that it sent poisoned the bipartisan tone that Boehner and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) set.
“Her unscripted attacks ran counter to our message of bipartisan unity … I am not going to say her speech on the floor mattered, but it is a symptom of a larger illness with the Speaker,” Collins said.
During a Tuesday interview on Fox News, House Republican Conference Chairman Adam Putnam (Fla.) did not mention Pelosi’s floor speech.
Minority Whip Roy Blunt (R-Mo.) said on Monday evening the speech wasn’t the sole cause for members voting no, but tipped the scales for some who were on the fence.
“On those kinds of decisions [members] are often looking for that final reason to not do what they intended to do,” he told reporters after the vote.
Shadegg, who mounted failed leadership bids for majority leader, and later, minority whip, said he believes that “hurt feelings” following the lost votes caused Boehner and other GOP leaders to lash out at Pelosi in the moments after the 205-228 tally.
“It was embarrassing for leadership of both parties to lose the bill,” Shadegg said. “So they went out and made a stupid claim.”
During the MSNBC interview, Shadegg didn’t mention McCain, who echoed GOP leaders’ comments about Pelosi on Monday.
Freshman Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.), who was among the 133 Republican “no” votes, ridiculed leadership’s statements on Pelosi, saying on Monday, “We’re not babies who suck our thumbs.”

Some conservatives also ripped leadership’s claims. Richard Viguerie, a conservative activist, said Tuesday that Republican leaders reacted to the bailout vote “by giving Nancy Pelosi credit for killing the Bush-Paulson scheme, and by falsely accusing their own members of throwing a temper tantrum.”
Peter Wehner, a former speechwriter for President Bush, called the insinuation that the vote failed because of Pelosi’s speech “lame and adolescent” on National Review Online’s The Corner.
“Can they be serious? Do they realize how foolish and irresponsible they sound? On one of the most important votes they will ever cast, insisting ‘the speech made me do it’ is lame and adolescent,” he wrote. “Watching Boehner, Blunt, and Cantor blame the outcome on the Pelosi speech was an embarrassment.”

You can only shriek that the other side is being partisan and “politicizing” politics so many times before people notice that you are behaving like an hysterical maiden aunt at a Chippendales concert every time someone legitimately criticizes you. Eventually somebody is going to tell you to stifle it and go wait in the car.

They attempted to deflect all blame to Pelosi and it didn’t work. I’m beginning to wonder if we aren’t seeing change we can believe in after all.

.

Saradice Lost

by digby

One the most surprising things to me about Sarah Palin is that I had her pegged as someone who was a working cog in the right wing machine — she’s a professional politician, Governor of a rural Red State who comes from the evangelical wing of the party, (Mike Huckabee in pumps although the literal visual there is oddly believable … ) But the Couric interview shows that she really isn’t an engaged member of the Wingnut Right at all. Indeed, she seems more like a casual voter than someone who is professionally involved in partisan politics. It’s not that she is a stupid person. Maybe she is, but you can’t tell that on the basis of a couple of interviews. But she is dramatically uninformed about current events, history, and even Republican politics.

And what’s more interesting is that she doesn’t even have the usual Limbaugh-esque, boilerplate talking points at ready disposal or the ability to stay within the parameters of wingnut political gibberish as Bush does. (He was no better informed in 1999 than she is now, but he had the benefit of growing up in a political family and hearing political talk all his life, so he was able to fake the cadences and attitude well enough.)

In fact, it occurred to me today that Palin’s “maverickness” may not be maverick at all. It may just be that she didn’t know she wasn’t supposed to do what she did. It seems entirely possible to me that she thought that going against the oil companies or selling the Governor’s jet was a normal thing for a Republican in Alaska to do, not realizing that she was actually doing something that was wholly outside the normal political culture. She just stumbled into doing what she did and everyone thought she was boldly taking on the GOP establishment.

I don’t know this, of course. But everything about her screams apathetic, non political person who doesn’t even read the newspaper or books — or even listen to talk radio. That doesn’t make her dumb — a large number of Americans are just like that. But it does make her a very, very unusual politician.

The strange thing is that I honestly think people wouldn’t care about that if she were not the first female, from whom more is expected, and if we weren’t in such a turbulent time. To me, the fact that McCain is still even within shouting distance of winning with a running mate so dramatically uninformed is some kind of cosmic joke. But I’m not sure that a majority would agree if not for those other circumstances.

Jon Stewart said the other night after one of her bizarre non answers: “Did she win a contest?” I think she did. She won the Hockey Mom contest and got the right to run on the national ticket with John McCain. She was the prototype Republican for the next generation — someone who knows absolutely nothing about politics at all. I guess they must have figured that Bush’s failure was due to the fact that he knew too much.

For some witty and penetrating Palin musing, be sure to check out Kathy Gs posts, here and here.

.

Last Chance

by digby

After the debacle of the last few days and the threat of ongoing economic and foreign policy turmoil, it has never been more clear that we need to elect more and better Democrats.

Today is the last day of the quarter and all the candidates are strapped to their phones trying desperately to raise that last bit of coin to take them over the top. If you haven’t donated yet, or are thinking about your 401k or your mortgage and know that congress is going to have a hand in keeping the wolves from the door, it might be time to invest in some good politicians who will be forming a real progressive caucus with your values and your interests in mind in the next congress. Think of them as the Anti-Blue Dogs.

You can donate to any of our Blue America candidates at this link. I’m sure they would appreciate it. Your kids and grandkids would probably appreciate it too…

.