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Month: December 2008

Get It Done

by digby

I love it when new Nixon tapes are released. So far, the excerpts I’ve seen have lived up to the usual expectations:

On July 1, 1971, Nixon instructs Chief of Staff H.R. Haldeman to have someone break into the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C.: “I can’t have a high-minded lawyer … I want a son-of-a-b—-. I want someone just as tough as I am. … We’re up against an enemy, a conspiracy that will use any means. We are going to use any means… . Get it done. I want it done. I want the Brookings Institution cleaned out and have it cleaned out in a way that has somebody else take the blame.” — On April 4, 1972, Nixon discusses the press with Haldeman: NIXON: “Return the calls to those poor dumb bastards … who I know are our friends. Now do it … We made the same mistake [Dwight] Eisenhower made, but not as bad as Eisenhower made, because he sucked the Times too much … G-d damn it, don’t talk to them for a while. Will you enforce that now?’
HALDEMAN: “I’ll try.” — On May 18, 1972, Nixon talks to Henry Kissinger about the National Security Adviser’s meeting with Ivy League college presidents regarding the war in Vietnam: NIXON: “The Ivy League presidents? Why, I’ll never let those sons-of-b—— in the White House again. Never, never, never. They’re finished. The Ivy League schools are finished … Henry, I would never have had them in. Don’t do that again … They came out against us when it was tough … Don’t ever go to an Ivy League school again, ever. Never, never, never.” — On Nov. 14, 1972, Nixon talks with his aide Charles Colson about his landslide re-election victory over Democrat George McGovern: NIXON: “What in the hell did you think of McGovern’s statement on the election? Wasn’t that the sour grapes crap again?”
COLSON: “Well, it’s unbelievable, the arrogance of the guy … God, what a bad man. Just awfully glad we got him buried and put away for good. I think he is.”
NIXON: “Oh, he’s buried. He’s buried.”

It’s a good thing we decided for the good of the country not to play the blame game and to let bygones be bygones because it resulted in the Republicans completely changing their ways.

Dick Cheney, for instance, learned from Nixon’s mistakes and completely repudiated Richard Nixon’s imperial presidency and profane disrespect and operated with bipartisan good faith and total transparency as a result of the generosity with which Richard Nixon (and later Ronald Reagan) were dealt. It’s a heartwarming story of the power of positive reinforcement, forgiveness and redemption.

I’m sure the next generation, tempered by their experiences during the Bush years, will respond to any current decision to let bygones be bygones on unfortunate little transgressions like torture and constitution shredding with similar grace and humility.

Update: The tape with Kissinger is amazing. Recall, that he’s the King of the Realist school,the alleged practice of which the village is celebrating the return of. Let’s hope they don’t know what they are talking about, as usual.

Efficiency Experts

by dday

The science is in, to borrow a phrase, on the US healthcare system. It costs more and treats less than comparable systems worldwide, and as a result America is less competitive and far less healthy.

“Our health-care system is fraught with waste,” says Gary Kaplan, chairman of Seattle’s cutting-edge Virginia Mason Medical Center. As much as half of the $2.3 trillion spent today does nothing to improve health, he says.

Not only is American health care inefficient and wasteful, says Kaiser Permanente chief executive George Halvorson, much of it is dangerous.

Those harsh assessments illustrate the enormousness of the challenge that awaits President-elect Barack Obama, who campaigned on the promise to trim the average American family’s health-care bill by $2,500 a year. Delivering on that pledge will not be easy, particularly at a time when the economic picture continues to worsen.

That’s a paradoxical final statement. Delivering on the pledge should be as simple as removing the inefficiencies in the system, which can be viewed in working models in every other industrialized nation in the world. But that’s not how the political ball bounces here in the greatest country since the dawn of man. While it pains me to say that Newt Gingrich is making a bit of sense on this question, he’s ignoring the realities of where all the useless spending flows. In fact, everyone is by just calling the problem “inefficiency”.

A high-performance 21st-century health system, they say, must revolve around the central goal of paying for results. That will entail managing chronic illnesses better, adopting electronic medical records, coordinating care, researching what treatments work best, realigning financial incentives to reward success, encouraging prevention strategies and, most daunting but perhaps most important, saying no to expensive, unproven therapies.

“There is more than enough money in the system,” said former House speaker Newt Gingrich, who runs the District-based Center for Health Transformation. “We just are not spending it well.” […]

With those sorts of variations, the Dartmouth team concluded that as much as 30 percent of medical spending — or $700 billion — does nothing to improve care.

Even if only a third of that could be invested in critical programs, “imagine the possibilities,” said Peter Orszag, head of the Congressional Budget Office, who was nominated last week to be director of the Office of Management and Budget in the Obama administration. “Given the scale of it, I am puzzled as to why we are not doing more to improve the efficiency of the health system.”

Of course, when Gingrich talks about “not spending money well,” he’s talking about keeping treatment away from those who need it. But what that inefficiency means in practice is reflected in this horror story, which shows you where that staggering amount of money goes that doesn’t improve care – into drug and insurance company coffers:

The study cost $130,000,000 and included 42,000 patients. It compared the effectiveness of four types of blood pressure drugs: a calcium channel blocker, an alpha blocker, an ACE inhibitor, and a simple diuretic. The diuretic performed best. It was the sort of finding worthy of celebration. Health costs are too high, and rising too quick. Our flabby society gets bad readings when it straps on the blood pressure cuff, and soon enough we’ll all be on these drugs. And here were study results saying that the diuretic, a generic drug which sells for pennies, outperformed its pricey, patented competitors. So what happened? Not a whole lot […]

Diuretics sales jumped, but only by a few percentage points. “[They] should have more than doubled,” says Curt Furberg, who chaired the study. And in a world where doctors prescribe medications based on a simple reading of the latest evidence, maybe they would have doubled. But we don’t live in that world. We live in a world where pharmaceutical companies have big budgets and sophisticated public relations teams. Pfizer, for instance, put up $40 million to ensure that their Cardura, their alpha blocker, was included in the study. That proved a mistake. Patients on Cardura were more than twice as likely to require hospitalization for heart failure […]

The basic reality was this: The pharmaceutical companies had a skilled team and a lot of money promoting their drugs. No one was promoting the generic diuretics. Folks looking to things like comparative effectiveness review to save the health care system should take the story seriously. Evidence is only effective if physicians use it. And right now, they have no real reason to use it. Even in a system this expensive, there’s no internal incentives to aggressively cut costs. Maybe it’s time there were. If doctors were paid by capitation — if they got a fixed amount of money per patient, and they kept whatever they didn’t use, as happens in England — it’s hard to imagine they wouldn’t have been more interested in these study results.

I believe Peter Orszag, a very sharp economist, and the Obama team are listening to these complaints about “efficiency.” They’ve set up discussion forums on the issue and allowed high-level policymakers like Tom Daschle to respond personally. So, let’s be clear – the best cure-all for the American health care system would be to remove the rapacious greed at the heart of all this waste. Drug companies and insurers spend less on care and more on administrative and PR costs because that’s where the profit maximizers are. They have no incentive to deliver better care, and are in fact harmed by doing so. Until profit can either be driven through providing care (which is kind of a Rube Goldberg formulation, but possible), or profit is completely removed from the system, there will not be meaningful progress on health care. Us DFHs are always told that single payer just isn’t politically viable, so what’s left is to talk about “efficiency” and “waste” and dance around the meaning of the words, which is “middlemen making profit off of treating human beings’ medical problems.”

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Soljah Politics

by digby

I was catching up on some gasbaggery last night and came across this lovely little gem. I see that Jane Hamsher got there first:

MATTHEWS: OK. Who’s going to break it to the blogosphere? They don’t like anything that looks like a give to the right. Where are they going to be on this thing? Are they going to give him a break if he doesn’t go hard left, if he doesn’t do what they want? Mr. WHITAKER: I think that Obama has to worry as much about the far left as he does about the far right. But, look, you know, I think that it could be a plus for him in some ways because I think they are going to give him what you might call Sister Souljah moments, when he can stand up to them. MATTHEWS: Right. Mr. WHITAKER: I’ve been talking to some veterans of those early Clinton wars who think that particularly this issue–the card check push by the labor unions to change the rules on organizing could be a moment for him, either by delaying that, standing up to the unions, of positioning himself more in the middle and making it harder for the far right to position him the way they tried to during the campaign.

Jane and Pach both speak to this possible cave on the EFCA and what it means both politically and substantively. It seems like a poor way to repay the unions for their hard work during the campaign, but hey, the establishment has made it clear that the new administration must Sistah Soljah the left some way or risk being seen as being under their thumb. And there’s nothing like sticking it to the unions to make the political establishment happy. (It’s how you get airports named after you.)

I know you’ll all recall the pressure from the political establishment for George W. Bush to Sistah Soljah the right. Remember how they blew up at him when he said this:

THE PRESIDENT: … Something refreshing about coming off an election, even more refreshing since we all got some sleep last night, but there’s — you go out and you make your case, and you tell the people this is what I intend to do. And after hundreds of speeches and three debates and interviews and the whole process, where you keep basically saying the same thing over and over again, that when you win, there is a feeling that the people have spoken and embraced your point of view, and that’s what I intend to tell the Congress, that I made it clear what I intend to do as the President, now let’s work to — and the people made it clear what they wanted, now let’s work together. And it’s one of the wonderful — it’s like earning capital. You asked, do I feel free. Let me put it to you this way: I earned capital in the campaign, political capital, and now I intend to spend it. It is my style. That’s what happened in the — after the 2000 election, I earned some capital. I’ve earned capital in this election — and I’m going to spend it for what I told the people I’d spend it on…


What, you don’t recall the press insisting after both Bush elections that he needed to repudiate his most enthusiastic followers as often as possible to maintain his credibility?

Oh wait. Sorry. I’m mistaken. They didn’t. They just celebrated the fact that Real Americans had insisted that there would be no oral sex in the white house and that the president would throw strikes at Yankee stadium. Even after the Terry Schiavo circus, they didn’t say anything about Sistah Soljahing the Republican base. (I suppose they couldn’t — after all, the Republican base are Real Americans unlike the crazy hippies on the left.)

And then there’s Matthews, the man who is sending serious signals that he wants to run for the Senate. As a Democrat. And I’ve heard some rather unfortunate rumblings that it’s not a bad idea since he’s really a liberal, he just couldn’t show it during the decade he spent sucking up to Republicans on a daily basis for ratings. Underneath it all, he’s “one of us.”

Perhaps the” real “Chris Matthews has emerged now that MSNBC has been made safe for progressives. Or, conversely, maybe the real Chris Matthews is actually an opportunistic, hypocritical jackass who should be shunned from any kind of Democratic politics for as long as he lives. Your mileage may vary depending upon whether you think enthusiastically sucking up to the GOP on television for the past decade is something that should be forgotten.

I won’t bother to write the book on Matthews again, but as one who has been chronicling his televised rhetorical atrocities for years, let’s just say his record speaks for itself. The amount of damage he did, going all the way back to the Clinton years and up until just about five minutes ago is considerable. He is as unacceptable as a Democratic high official as Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity, perhaps less so because of the fact that he is, by all accounts, a whore who has made millions of dollars a year destroying Democrats, while privately assuring his friends and associates that he doesn’t really mean it. At least Rush plays for his own team with everything he’s got.

Seriously, this guy is a clown who will make the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania into a laughing stock. Darrell Hammond alone will kill him if Youtube doesn’t. It’s an insane idea. If you like liberals like Joe Lieberman, you’ll love Chris Matthews.

The fact that this is being discussed seriously makes me wonder if there’s anybody who has repeatedly and enthusiastically fucked the Democratic party over the past 20 years or so to whom the party leadership aren’t giving political amnesty? It would be nice to know so that I don’t waste my breath defending them anymore only to be made a fool of when their tormentors are welcomed into the party as if it never happened. (I’m not a willing Omega.)

Punishing your allies while rewarding your enemies is a very unusual strategy, but it seems to be the one the village has set forth as being Obama’s best chance of success. It’s risky. I could be wrong, but I’m not entirely convinced that the Republicans and the media always act in good faith.

Trust ’em?

They’ve Got Nuthin’

by digby

I am no economist and rarely write about the technical aspects of the economic crisis, particularly when there are such good bloggers around who actually are economists. So, I tend to concentrate on the politics of the economic crisis instead. And it’s quite clear to me that the conservatives are pulling their old John Birch Society tracts off the shelf, dusting them off and regurgitating every anti-FDR, anti-New Deal trope they can find, like they are newly minted slogans. And for most people, they are. Unless you are a scholar of the period, you have to be pretty long in tooth to have ever heard some of the stuff we are hearing these days about Keynes and The New Deal.

Paul Krugman is losing patience with this crap and I don’t blame him. Having to relive the Great Depression because wingnut ideologues refuse to acknowledge they were and are wrong is frustrating. Having to waste your breath fighting ghosts is almost as bad:

The greatness of Keynes …

… is illustrated by the trouble people who consider themselves well informed have, to this day, in understanding the basic principles of how a depressed economy works. The key to Keynes’s contribution was his realization that liquidity preference — the desire of individuals to hold liquid monetary assets — can lead to situations in which effective demand isn’t enough to employ all the economy’s resources. When you don’t understand that principle, you end up writing stuff like this:

Obama’s “rescue plan for the middle class” includes a tax credit for businesses “for each new employee they hire” in America over the next two years. The assumption is that businesses will create jobs that would not have been created without the subsidy. If so, the subsidy will suffuse the economy with inefficiencies — labor costs not justified by value added.

That is, if the private sector wouldn’t have created a job on its own, that job shouldn’t have been created — whereas the real choice is between having workers doing something and being uselessly, destructively unemployed. From the same article, we have this:

In a forthcoming paper, Ohanian argues that “much of the depth of the Depression” is explained by Hoover’s policy — a precursor of the New Deal mentality — of pressuring businesses to keep nominal wages fixed.

I’ve already pointed out how Keynes disposed of the money-wage argument, way back in 1936. Why do people still fail to get Keynes, after all these years? Keynes might have said that it’s the inherent difficulty of the concepts:

For—though no one will believe it—economics is a technical and difficult subject.

But there’s also the Upton Sinclair theorem: It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.

I suspect it’s both.

We’ve just been through something like this with the post 9/11 lunacy that threw out everything the civilized world had agreed upon in terms of wars of aggression and preventive/pre-emptive wars since World War II. They told us that all the rules had changed, there was nothing to learn from the past that they were now “history’s actors” and the rest of us were along for the ride. We know how well that turned out.

So, get ready for some really stupid commentary from the right on the economy now that they’ve left the country in this terrible mess. Their ideology is so bankrupt that they have nothing left to offer but nonsense from people like the Laurie Mylroie of economics, Amity Schlaes, and revisionist pop economics from George Will. The only thing we have to be thankful for is that they don’t have the government entirely at their disposal to experiment with at the moment.

Update: Krugman’s going to be over at FDL at 2EST to discuss his book The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008.

Setting Back Feminism Since 1983

by dday

I think there’s a good article in this profile of Tina Fey by Maureen Dowd, but it’s nowhere to be found on the page. Instead, I would rather read Fey’s reaction to this mental patient with a notepad bursting into her house, demanding a cocktail (there are references to the alcohol they’re drinking throughout) and asking questions almost entirely confined to her looks, her weight, her mostly unnoticeable scar, her love life, who she flirts with, and whether she was cool in high school. The questions reveal a series of insecurities so transparently that it reads like a psychiatric evaluation. I agree with Amanda that Fey comes off well regardless, but what I’d really like to hear from her is “Yeah, what the hell was that, a celebrity profile by Freud?”

While reading it, I thought back to the fact that there was a time when Dowd did sports reporting at the late Washington Star, worked the metro desk at the New York Times, and then served as a Washington correspondent. Was she probing key Congressmen about their sex lives as a corollary to the debate over the Clean Air Act?

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Good Faith

by digby

From Think Progress:

In an interview with the conservative online publication Newsmax, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said the GOP must broaden its appeal to avoid becoming “the old white-guy party,” and recommended that Republicans create a “shadow government” to work on its own agenda. Claiming this is still a “center-right country,” Bush urged Republicans not to move towards a “Democratic-lite” agenda.

This isn’t surprising. The Republicans obviously see American politics as more of a parliamentary system than the bipartisan, consensus system of the Democrats. They are preparing for taking over as soon as they get the chance. In Britain, that’s exactly what the “shadow government” is designed to do:

The UK shadow cabinet is the front bench of the official parliamentary opposition party. It seeks to present itself as an alternative government for the next general election. It grew out of the practice that developed in the late nineteenth century of the ex-cabinet continuing to meet after election defeat in order to lead the opposition against the new cabinet. Since the 1950s it has become a key dimension of the formalized process of parliamentary adversarial politics. A Labour shadow cabinet would be based on members elected by the parliamentary Labour Party, whilst a Conservative shadow cabinet is appointed by the party leader.

There’s nothing inherently wrong with such a practice. It can work out very well, giving people a clear idea of the differences between the two parties. But if only one side sees the system as being fundamentally a partisan activity and the other side doesn’t they end up working at cross purposes.

Gates Keeper

by digby

David Corn brings up the curious case of Robert Gates, who readers here know I’m not a fan of. He points out that Obama may believe that having a Republican in charge may insulate him from criticism from the right as he prepares to leave Iraq, and then lays out some of the current objections:

I’ve consulted two former Pentagon officials–who are critics of standard operating procedure at the Pentagon–who decry this move. (Neither wanted to be quoted, for they might now or later be in contention for a job in the Obama administration.) “It’s probably the dumbest thing Obama’s done,” one said.

They identified three possible pitfalls. First, Gates is a lame duck. There has been no indication how long he will stay in the Pentagon’s top post, but it seems Gates will remain there on a quasi-temporary basis. Consequently, Pentagon bureaucrats who don’t want to see their prerogatives challenged–if Gates wanted to do such a thing–could try to wait him out. Second, Gates is no agent of change when it comes to the Pentagon budget. In the Bush years, the regular military budget has increased by 40 percent in real terms (not counting so-called “emergency” supplemental spending bills for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan)–partly because of hundreds of billions of dollars in cost overruns. During the campaign, Obama talked about the need to cut “billions of dollars in wasteful spending” from the military budget. But Gates has yet to demonstrate he is truly interested in reworking the Pentagon’s out-of-control budget. Keeping Gates in place sends the signal that Obama, who faces a host of hard jobs, is not eager to take on the Pentagon at the start of his presidency. “There are so many problems at home,” says one of the critics, “Obama may not want to do anything fundamental about the Pentagon.”

Finally, what about Gates’ team? Many of the senior jobs at the Pentagon are still held by Bush/Rumsfeld appointees. If Gates stays in his job, do they stay in theirs? Or will Obama move to replace these assistant secretaries and other officials, thus creating something of a fractured band at the Pentagon of Gates/Rumsfeld people and fresh Obama people? Even if Gates is willing to salute the new president and head in a new policy direction, other holdovers at the Pentagon might not be as eager to follow a new set of orders.

I’m not surprised that Obama doesn’t want to take on the pentagon budget. It’s difficult to imagine him cutting back on government spending at this point, even if he wanted to. And more importantly, perhaps, is the fact that the military industrial complex is one of those third rails of American politics that nobody dares to attempt even in flush and easy times. It’s going to kill us one of these days.

But the other two issues are worth contemplating, as well as another one that Corn doesn’t mention. The first, that G,ates is a lame duck is something worth worrying a bit about. These bureaucracies can freeze up anything for a period of time and if people want to wait Gates out, I’m pretty sure they can do it.

The final question is even more important. Gates is, by all accounts, surrounded by a bunch of neocons and Bush loyalists, holdovers from the earlier regime. Now I know that Obama will be the decider and all, but it’s still not a good idea to have a bunch of Republicans with a stake in the current Iraq strategy of “winning” all over the place.

In addition, although I’m sure they were pleased to hear him echo Bush today with his statement that he would “listen to the commanders on the ground,” the military is unlikely to trust this young Democrat and will want to test him. But there is also the question of whether or not they trust Gates either. One wonders if this is a situation where keeping a Republican at the Pentagon might actually be seen by the military as a sign of fecklessness rather than a gesture of bipartisanship and respect. It’s not like the Bush administration has been all that good to the military.

I have no respect for Gates going back many years, and his support for the surge, after being part of the Iraq Study Group Report doesn’t make him any more of a hero in my eyes. He’s got a long history of GOP loyalty and I see no reason to think that the habit of mind of decades has suddenly changed. But, it’s done and it’s made the political establishment very happy to have an important Bush administration official kept on, validating their own good judgment in supporting Bush all those years. (Being one of those guys implicated in Iran Contra and Iraqgate makes it all the sweeter.)

He may just be a place holder for a reasonable period of time, giving Obama some space to work without (hopefully) having to face down the brass and the pentagon bureaucracy right out of the box, and that may be smart. But the sooner he’s replaced with someone who can start to reassure the military and the political establishment that Republicans aren’t the only ones capable of running the pentagon and protecting the country, the better. That’s some change we need too. Flagwaving, gun toting Republicans haven’t exactly covered themselves with glory recently.

Hippie Obstructionists

by dday

I want to agree with and expand upon Digby’s post about the strain of victimization culture amongst conservatives, the need to rebel against an oppressive eastern elite to make cause with the “common man”. This was the thesis of Neal Gabler’s op-ed yesterday about the GOP’s “McCarthy gene,” which argued that the defining characteristic of the modern Republican Party is not ideological Goldwaterism but the Nixonian stoking of resentments that divide the nation and inspire a certain segment of the population who are in a state of perpetual grievance. But I want to focus on this last part:

The good news is that from wherever their sense of grievance originates, conservatives are out of power for the moment. The bad news is that when conservatives are out of power, their sense of grievance gives them the emotional and intellectual basis for destructive obstructionism, even in a time of crisis. In fact, they perceive a crisis as being the perfect time to hold their breath until they turn blue.

The past is never dead with these people. And for liberals, there is no past at all. It’s a difficult arrangement.

What makes this particularly toxic is the prevailing opinion in the traditional media that the Obama Administration will not have to worry about Republicans obstructing their agenda at all, but instead have much to fear from “the angry left.” Thus, when every single Republican senator lines up to obstruct some policy of Obama’s, that will be seen inside the Village as a failure to kick the left in the teeth strongly enough and produce the necessary moderate concessions demanded by this center-right nation. And so the Republicans will pay no price for the obstructionism – it will be the fault of the DFHs.

I’m excerpting most of this exchange. It’s truly remarkable.

MATTHEWS: If we try to put up the trade walls, are we going to have a fight on labor issues like this card check thing, about being able to organize individual decision making rather than a big voting election kind of thing. Those kind of issues can really, as you say, could divide the Democrats, right?

CONNOLLY: Absolutely but here’s the key to this: Rahm Emanuel, Chief of Staff. What did he do when he was in the House Democratic Caucus? He often was the person who had to break it to the liberals in that caucuses that things were not going to go their way.

MATTHEWS: Who’s going to break it to the blogosphere? They don’t like anything that looks like a give to the right. Where are they doing to be on this thing? Are they going to give him a break if he doesn’t go hard left and doesn’t do what they want?

WHITAKER: I think that Obama has to worry as much about the far left as he does about the far right. But look, you know I think that it could be a plus for him in some ways because I think they are going to give him what you might call a “Sista Soulja moment” when he can stand up to them.

MATTHEWS: Right.

WHITAKER: And talking to some veterans in those early Clinton wars who think that particularly this issue of the card check push by the labor unions to change the rules on organizing could be a moment for him either by delaying that, standing up to the unions, of positioning himself more in the middle and making it harder for the far right to position him the way they tried to during the campaign.

MATTHEWS: You see that, David?

IGNATIUS: This is where the economic crisis, you know, ends up being crucial because people are angry. The country’s furious and a lot of these really divisive issues I think will come from the left, not from the right and they’ll come from unions, from working people who are enraged at bailouts for big banks and wealthy executives and the pressure on Obama to check some what he’d like to do on the economy I think is going to be very strong from angry people.

MATTHEWS: And you say the left is going to fight anything that looks too conciliatory?

IGNATIUS: You can, it’s been obvious now for the past few weeks that the anger in the country is working its way through Congress and it’s, the bailouts might make sense in a macro-economic sense but they’re increasingly tough politics.

MATTHEWS: Bottom line, we asked the Matthews Meter, twelve of our regulars given the mountain of problems he faces will the right give Obama a longer than usual honeymoon. Our panel is always filled with cockeyed optimists. Eight say yes he gets a longer honeymoon from the right. Four say no, Katy you’re with the optimists.

KAY: I am. I’m not sure I’m cockeyed but I am probably an optimist. I think for all the reasons that we’ve been saying about the mood in the country and the desire to get things done I just don’t think that the right at this particular juncture can be seen to stymie an economic agenda in particular. I think that they have to give him the benefit of the doubt for a period of time.

MATTHEWS: Okay big time. Will the Republicans get out of his way and not use any obstructions to stop from getting through a big economic package once he gets in office.

KAY: I think they’ll give him…

MATTHEWS: No procedural tricks.

KAY: I think they’ll give him three months.

MATTHEWS: Three months.

WHITAKER: Six months.

CONNOLLY : I don’t think they’ve figured out that kind of procedural trick.

MATTHEWS: [laughs] You know what I mean. Filibuster, all kinds of ways to slow the…will they use those tools to slow him down?

CONNOLLY: Doubt it.

IGNATIUS: No ,the Republicans will help him out on the package. His problem is going to be with the left, not the Republicans.

I know that, in official Washington, the road to salvation for any fresh-faced Democrat looking to succeed is to punch a hippie. What is absolutely astounding is that Senate Democrats have lost all recent memory and sense of history about the Republicans the sit next to and work with every day and have decided to publicly state their belief that the Republicans won’t obstruct their agenda.

Though they are two votes short of their quest for 60 votes — with two races still undecided — Democrats say that regular support from a few Republican moderates will allow them to pass bills that were halted in the current Congress by GOP parliamentary roadblocks. These include health-care programs, immigration revisions and presidential nominations.

“The truth is . . . we will be fine on most major issues. We will almost always have some moderate Republican support,” said Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.).

From a pure standpoint of vote-counting, some of this is true, but only on the most moderate measures left over from the last legislative session – things like SCHIP, federal funding for stem cell research, etc. We’re not at that point in history. This is a crisis moment, and half-measures or tinkering around the edges won’t fix it. It seems to me that the exact wrong thing to do is to tell the world that Democrats will be able to get everything they seek, whether Republicans like it or not. That does nothing but stoke the very grievances that causes the obstructionism – historic in the 110th Congress, when Democrats made basically the same public comments – in the first place. And from a strategic standpoint, it makes moderate Republicans the fulcrum point for every piece of legislation coming out of the Senate – meaning they will all be tailored to win those votes – instead of making those “moderates,” whoever they are, absolutely petrified to obstruct or else face the same fate as 7 of their colleagues, and counting.

The combination of “center-right nation”-worshipping media egging the Democrats on to kick the left, and Democrats themselves internalizing this message – not the one from the voters – and working the vote-counting strategy completely backwards, unconcerned with how the right will use crisis points to obstruct – is really worrying. At the very least, Democrats ought to know what their opponents are capable of. I am reminded of that somewhat oblivious line uttered by Lyndon Johnson when lighting the White House Christmas tree in 1964, as recounted in Rick Perlstein’s Nixonland: “These are the most hopeful times since Christ was born in Bethlehem.” Um, hope is not a plan.

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Warblogger Reunion

by digby

I heard what I thought was a sonic boom from the space shuttle over the week-end, but it turns out it was the simultaneous orgasm from the right wing blogosphere over the Mumbai attack. The 101st keyboarders have been redeployed in the GWOT and they are fit and rested and to lock and load their Aeron chairs and ruthlessly tap out furious blog posts until the terrorists scream for mercy.

Here’s Four Star Armchair General, Pamela Atlas:

I am angry. I am sick in my soul. The West refuses to engage this enemy that has declared all out war on our civilization. The media, the UN, the political elites bow to Islam. They refuse to speak its name. They refuse to stop immigration. They are afraid.

I am not afraid. I AM CALLING FOR NEW LEGISLATION -“Mumbai legislation”. Rollback all pending legislation on gun control. Rollback all gun control, effective immediately. If the Indians had been armed the Muslims would have been stopped dead in their tracks. If this photographer had been armed, he would have shot jihadis and not the pictures of he blood lust in their eyes. Would pious NY cops react the same way?

New York has severe gun control laws. Who needs the second amendment more than New Yorkers? They are targeting railways? Imagine Grand Central or Penn Station at rush hour …. or Times Square anytime. No guns for criminals, no guns for felons … but upstanding American citizens are entitled to arm themselves – a right guaranteed by the constitution, for a reason.

WE, THE PEOPLE, MUST FIGHT THIS WAR. Our elected officials are on the Saudi payroll, emasculated by petrodollars. Obama declared on page 261 of his book, should the political winds shift ……he would side with the Muslims.

The left will not fight this war. Historically, leftists have always slept with totalitarian regimes. We are witnessing it here in the US yet again. What is discouraging are those on the right that have turned tail on the war and moved left.

They have become part of the problem.

We must stop the State department from importing whole Muslim communities – they come and seek to impose sharia and Islamic supremacism. We must pass Tancredo’s jihad legislation. We must get on a war footing.

The world has 1.2 billions Muslims. They must take sides. They must take to the streets shouting not in our name. They must take action to fight this pox on humanity.

These attacks on the West will not only continue, they will get worse. The enemy is empowered and they are winning. I have been documenting this holy war for years, what they are planning for the US is difficult to imagine.

Well, hell, everybody knows they are going to take over the government and let their liberal allies force Republicans to have gay sex with each other. I thought everybody knew that.

Southern Exposure

by digby

Over the long weekend I dashed off a quick post about southern honor being at the root of the victimization culture of American conservatives. Ed Kilgore responded with a very interesting observation and rebuttal, saying that this doesn’t come from southern culture so much as the more recent midwestern and western demonization of the “eastern elite” that dominated Republican politics in the 20th century.

He claims that the southern secession was motivated more by prosaic politics than cultural attitudes:

[T]he Lost Cause of the Confederacy certainly owed a lot to a willful exaggeration of the South’s plight in the wake of Abraham Lincoln’s election as president in 1860. Some southerners did indeed turn reality inside out by viewing potential restrictions on extension of slavery into the territories as both a provocation to southern sensibilities, and as a direct threat to the Peculiar Institution itself. But much of the secession agitation was focused more generally on the fateful emergence of a northern regional political party that had quickly destroyed the power associated with the South’s implicit veto over the policies of both the Democrats and the Whigs during the Second American Party system. And that was a real, not imaginary threat, even though it wasn’t really imminent.

That’s fascinating stuff, but I can’t say I can entirely believe that southerners in general, if not politicians, were motived by the arcane political idea that the south was in the process of losing its veto power in the congress. Indeed, I think that was probably seen as just one more insult, the grandest of which was the idea that the North looked down its nose at southern slavery and its culture. But that’s just intuition and observation of human nature, not something based in scholarship, so I’ll let Kilgore have the last word on that.

But as for the idea that the sense of grievance stems from midwestern and western demonization of the eastern elite,I think he’s probably correct to some degree. Richard Nixon would be a perfect example of just such a person. So would members of my own family, all west coast conservatives of 20th century vintage, many of whom have pretty big chips on their shoulders.

I still maintain, however, that southern influence contributed to that attitude, at least in part. In his book American Theocracy: The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21stCentury, Kevin Phillips made a convincing case that the migration and expansion of southern fundamentalism and the Southern Baptist Church in the 20th century was very culturally and politically important.

Here are the numbers:

Between 1916 and 1926, according to Stark and Finke, the Presbyterians (USA), Congregationalists, and Methodists retired or closed down a significant percentage of their denominations’ individual churches. Yet during that same period unfashionable sects were recording huge expansions of churches: a 656 percent rise for the holiness Churches of Christ, 577 percent for the Church of the Nazarene, 553 percent for the Assemblies of God, and 442 percent for the Tennessee-based Church of God.46

Noll, too, concluded that “during the first half of the twentieth century, the fragmentation of Protestantism meant that the nation’s historically most potent religious force became a declining influence in the nation as a whole.”47 He argued that “the 1930s marked the beginning of the relative decline of the older, mainline Protestant churches.” Meanwhile, despite any lingering negative imagery, “for fundamentalist, holiness, Pentecostal, African American, and the new-evangelical churches and organizations, it was a time of expansion. The Southern Baptist Convention, the holiness Church of the Nazarene, the Pentecostal Assemblies of God, and the main black Baptist denominations all grew rapidly during this period.”48

[…]

Wheaton’s Noll dates the gathering mainline slump from the thirties but acknowledges that “the public turmoil of the 1960s accelerated that decline.”62 For the nearly four-decade period between 1960 and 1997 — and taking denominational mergers into account — the Presbyterian Church, the Episcopal Church, the United Church of Christ (including the Congregationalists), and the Methodists lost between 500,000 and 2 million members each, the last being the Methodist slippage.63 In the meantime, the Southern Baptist Convention added 6 million, the Mormons 3.3 million, the Pentecostal Assemblies of God 2 million, and the Church of God (Tennessee) some 600,000.64 The direction in these several tabulations is clear: the sectarian gains race across the decades like an express train, another hint of the changes to come.

Now that doesn’t mean to say that the whole conservative evangelical movement is southern in nature. There have been some doozies from elsewhere, most especially here in California, which likes the kind of showbiz, con artist religion of the Aimee Semple McPherson types. But the influence of southern culture in many of these churches is undeniable and I think the concurrent spread of them throughout the country contributed to the spread of southern sensibility as well. The same overly prickly sense of victimization that exists among conservative southerners exists among the conservative Christians as a whole, even to the extent that they believe they are being personally insulted when someone says Happy Holidays instead of Merry Christmas. I submit that they are not unrelated.

Certainly, southern notions of honor are not bound up in southern based religion through scripture. But southern culture (including black culture, which is also southern based, but has good reason to feel victimized) is very, very strong and works itself into institutions in interesting ways, some fantastic, some not so good. And that brings up the other “southernizing” cultural influence of the second half of the 20th century (aside from African American migration to the northern and western cities) — the military. It has always been a strongly southern institution and the post WWII buildup of the permanent armed forces resulted in many southerners transplanting themselves elsewhere and building new culture around the traditional southern conservative beliefs, similar to the expansion of the southern churches. The idea of “honor,” both personal and national, are caught up in that institution in ways that are particular to both southern and military life. Southern honor is part of military culture and military culture is politically conservative.

Finally, Phillips again, speaks of American “exceptionalism” in terms of religious identification and the Lost Cause mythology. He draws unexpected parallels between Israel, Ireland, South Africa and the American south and ends his introductory chapter with this paragraph:

The outlook that Israel, Ulster, and South Africa supposedly had in common — the sense of a biblical nationhood bathed in blood and tribulation — closely resembles the scriptural fidelity and religious nationalism forged by the South but too little understood beyond its bounds. This mentality now has an unprecedented influence in the United States as a whole. Well may Americans — and the rest of the world — ponder what William Faulkner said about the land of his birth: “The past is never dead. It’s not even past.”

I obviously don’t know for sure that notions of southern honor are the basis of modern conservatism’s sense of victimhood, but I’m willing to bet that it’s a least partially responsible due to the strong presence of deep rooted southern culture in the institutions that undergird the conservative movement and the amazing persistence of the ideas of both American and southern exceptionalism. Like everything else in this odd country of ours, it’s complicated and interesting.

The good news is that from wherever their sense of grievance originates, conservatives are out of power for the moment. The bad news is that when conservatives are out of power, their sense of grievance gives them the emotional and intellectual basis for destructive obstructionism, even in a time of crisis. In fact, they perceive a crisis as being the perfect time to hold their breath until they turn blue.

The past is never dead with these people. And for liberals, there is no past at all. It’s a difficult arrangement.