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Month: June 2009

Big Thanks

by digby

I just wanted to thank my pal Batocchio for stepping in to help out while I was otherwise engaged at the AFN conference. If you didn’t get a chance to see his Torture Apologia Chart, you should give it a look. It’s a masterful compendium of torture excuses that should be printed out and give to every “strategist” who goes on television to debate these apologists. I’m grateful that he was willing to share some of his great stuff with Hullabaloo readers over the past few days. And be sure to read his work regularly over on Vagabond Scholar.

And speaking of which, I should remind you all again that my most excellent co-blogger dday writes many more great posts daily on his own blog D-Day and at Calitics which is the premier California blog and one of the only sources of liberal analysis of our state’s politics. The man’s a writing machine and it’s all good.

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Wholly Owned Subsidiary

by digby

I just got this email from my friend Adam:

Hi — this is Adam Green with Change Congress. Some crazy developments…wanted to make sure you saw.

1) Ben Nelson kinda freaked out yesterday and personally called a “blogger” (actually Huffington Post and former Politico reporter Ryan Grim) after Grim’s morning article, which included Change Congress’s latest ad highlighting Nelson’s opposition to giving Nebraskans a public option while taking $2 million in campaign cash from the health and insurance industry.

“I was reading your blog again,” Nelson begins, and then goes on a weird rant.

Our two ads currently in rotation in Nebraska are attached. Both link to this petition to Nelson. First Huff Post article yesterday is here — the one with Nelson then calling Ryan Grim is here. Really a must-read. Wow.

2) Change Congress’s online ads about Nelson and special interests are now up to 4.6 million impressions, and growing.

3) Ben Nelson’s statements on the public option are crazily contradictory — all over the place. Check it out:

May 2: Nelson tells Congressional Quarterly a public option is a “deal breaker” and says if the public gets a choice between private insurers and a new public option “At the end of the day, the public plan wins the game” — a stunning admission.

May 28: Nelson’s spokesperson Jake Thompson issues a 9 paragraph rant after Change Congress begins an ad and direct mail campaign highlighting Nelson’s $2 million in campaign cash from health and insurance interests. Nelson’s spokesperson denies Nelson ever opposed the public option! “These people are…criticizing Senator Nelson for something he hasn’t done.” (See May 2.)

May 28 (the same day): Local Nebraska activists tell Huffington Post that Nelson is “open” to the public option — but Nelson’s staff only publicly confirms a meeting happened, they don’t confirm openness.

May 31: Ben Nelson tells the Lincoln Journal Star, “I have not closed my mind to any option.” Oh, except, “he’s opposed to opening the door to choice between a government and a private plan.” In other words, he’s open to everything except the public option!

June 3 (yesterday): Ben Nelson says “I’ve been accused of being against the president’s plan, but the president doesn’t have a plan” even though that very day Obama re-iterated in a letter to Congress, ‘I strongly believe that Americans should have the choice of a public health insurance option operating alongside private plans.” (Aka, the health care competition and “choice” Nelson opposes.)

January 3 (yesterday): Ben Nelson draws a new line in the sand: He won’t support a public option if it will “erode” private insurance. Nelson doesn’t say whether he would be ok with private insurers losing market share if the public used their “choice” in a competitive marketplace to get better coverage under the public option — a huge open question Nelson needs to answer. (If Nelson prioritizes private insurers’ market share over the health of Nebraskans that again raises the question of his $2 million in campaign contributions from health and insurance interests, 83% out of state.)

January 3 (yesterday): Ben Nelson calls Huffington Post’s Ryan Grim to say, “I’ve always been open to any idea that floated out there, all except one.” Which one? Single-payer…which nobody in this debate has been proposing!

Nelson then goes on and on about how he’s being attacked by groups advocating single-payer. A weird and easily-disproved lie. From the Change Congress petition page: “President Obama’s health care ‘public option’ would force private health insurers to compete — driving health care costs down for families across Nebraska.”

Nelson isn’t all that bright, so part of this is just simple confusion about what his owners want him to say. But he’s also being disingenuous: he’s purposefully conflating the public option with single payer.

Now, I would prefer single payer and I would bet that most of you would too. But every single power center in the political system came out against it (and, truthfully, some of the successful European systems are hybrids) so it’s never been on the table. But the health industry and the aristocrats want everyone to think that’s what a public plan option really is. So, Nelson may be confused, but that confusion is also part of the plan.

Update: Links fixed. sorry about that.
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New Leader Of The Fiscal Scold Gang

by dday

Well, if you hadn’t heard, the crisis in the financial markets ended, and everything’s fine now. The banks were able to raise more capital than needed to comply with the stress tests, as investors swallowed all their stock offerings. And why not? The federal government put a virtual guarantee that the top banks would not be allowed to fail, and the stocks are already low, low, low, so there’s almost no risk to the purchase. CEOs aren’t buying the stock, so maybe they know this to be a bear-market rally, but they also know they have what amounts to a federal backstop. Sure, the next wave of foreclosures will degrade the quality of loans and mortgage-backed securities even further, but then the government will just buy the bad ones out. In fact, the banksters don’t like the price right now, so they’ve put a plug in the legacy loan program:

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation indefinitely postponed a central element of the Obama administration’s bank rescue plan on Wednesday, acknowledging that it could not persuade enough banks to sell off their bad assets. . . .

Many banks have refused to sell their loans, in part because doing so would force them to mark down the value of those loans and book big losses. Even though the government was prepared to prop up prices by offering cheap financing to investors, the prices that banks were demanding have remained far higher than the prices that investors were willing to pay.

Just last week at least some banks wanted to participate in the program – to buy assets from themselves. Once Sheila Bair rejected that idea, I guess they lost interest. Essentially the stress tests placed a big government stamp of approval on their balance sheets, so their current strategy is to wait out the recession and hope the prices of their legacy loans recover. There’s no downside risk, because if the economy gets worse and they ever need to unload those loans, they can count on the plan being resurrected.

The Federal Reserve asked the banks to raise additional capital to comply with repaying their TARP money, but if they found it this easy to sell stock already, they should have no problem reaching that hurdle. Basically the industry made it through the worst, and now they exist on this fantasy plane where they remain too big to fail, socializing the risk while privatizing the profit.

So it should come as no surprise that, now that the crisis has lifted, I guess, the successor to the Maestro is immediately calling for fiscal discipline.

The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, said on Wednesday that the United States needed to develop a plan to restore fiscal balance, even as the government builds huge budget deficits as it tries to spend its way out of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.

In remarks to the House Budget Committee, Mr. Bernanke said that the government must address the immediate problems of a crippling recession that has erased trillions of dollars in household wealth, hobbled investment portfolios and raised unemployment to its highest levels in a generation. Still, he said, the government needs to think about putting its fiscal house back in order.

“Unless we demonstrate a strong commitment to fiscal sustainability in the longer term, we will have neither financial stability nor healthy economic growth,” he said […]

“Even as we take steps to address the recession and threats to financial stability, maintaining the confidence of the financial markets requires that we, as a nation, begin planning now for the restoration of fiscal balance,” Mr. Bernanke said.

I thought the Fed dealt with monetary policy and the Treasury Department fiscal policy, but what do I know.

Let me pinpoint the years where the words “deficit” or “fiscal sustainability” never crossed the lips of someone of Bernanke’s stature: Jan. 1981-Jan. 1993 and Jan. 2001-Jan. 2009. At that time deficits didn’t matter. Now all of a sudden, in the midst of cleaning up the wreckage of the Bush regime, no discussion of economic policy can go by without the important mention of getting our fiscal house in order.

I believe deficits do matter, eventually. But it only makes sense to work on “fiscal responsibility” if you believe the crisis is over. And if that’s what Bernanke thinks, we have serious problems. Because the housing market remains in free-fall. And unemployment is still going over the edge. What’s happening here is that Bernanke is fronting for the fiscal scolds (so is Peterson Institute fellow Simon Johnson, who dresses up this talk in prettier language sometimes) who seek to eliminate the social safety net through “entitlement reform.” Going back to the same old arguments as if the Great Recession has transformed into some boom time seems really premature.

…from the comments, Robert Reich is more optimistic about Bernanke’s message.

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Huckleberry Taking Point

by digby

They got the racists’ attention. Now they’re playing the bitch chip in earnest. (With some hot salsa on top):

In his post-meeting news conference Graham also raised questions about Sotomayor’s temperament. He said that while she was friendly in the meeting, he could not simply ignore reports from other lawyers she’s dealt with that she has a fiery temper.

“I think she does have the intellectual capacity to do the job,” Graham said. “But there’s a character problem. There’s a temperament problem that they — during the time they’ve had to be a judge, that they were more of an advocate than an impartial decider of the law. And I’ve got to find out, in my own mind” about her temperament.

Yeah. You certainly can’t have anyone like that on the Supreme Court.

Smith was working as a freelance photographer for the Boston archdiocese’s weekly newspaper at a special Mass for lawyers Sunday when a Herald reporter asked the justice how he responds to critics who might question his impartiality as a judge given his public worship.
“The judge paused for a second, then looked directly into my lens and said, `To my critics, I say, `Vaffanculo,’ ” punctuating the comment by flicking his right hand out from under his chin, Smith said.
The Italian phrase means “(expletive) you.”

Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia’s famous temper is often discussed in legal circles as an indelible part of his forceful personality, as if it were a mole on his cheek or the accent that rolls off his tongue. Whenever he acts like a jerk, and that is a relatively common occurrence for a man who works within the semi-secret world of the High Court, we are told by his sycophants that he doesn’t suffer fools gladly and that he has earned the right to be rude.

…Tuesday afternoon, Scalia showed again just how easy it is to set him off when a college student asked him a reasonable, even poignant question about accessibility to the workings of the Supreme Court. Here is how the Fort Lauderdale Sun Sentinel chronicled the incident:

Student Sarah Jeck stood in front of 750 people and asked Scalia why cameras are not allowed in the U.S. Supreme Court even though the court hearings are open, transcripts are available and the court’s justices are open enough to go ‘out on book tours.’ ‘Read the next question,’ Scalia replied. ‘That’s a nasty, impolite question.’

Justice Scalia, in the Opinion of the Court, called Justice Stevens’ interpretation of the phrase “to keep and bear arms” incoherent and grotesque.[114]
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The Way Health Care Can Die

by dday

The news that the White House will push for a public insurance option for health care is welcome, and I believe a direct result of the line in the sand from the Progressive Caucus, conditioning their vote on a robust public plan. That completely changed the debate and allowed activists to engage. All well and good.

But there was quite a bit more in that Obama letter to Senate Democratic leaders on his vision for health care. Here’s the key bit, for me.

At this historic juncture, we share the goal of quality, affordable health care for all Americans. But I want to stress that reform cannot mean focusing on expanded coverage alone. Indeed, without a serious, sustained effort to reduce the growth rate of health care costs, affordable health care coverage will remain out of reach. So we must attack the root causes of the inflation in health care. That means promoting the best practices, not simply the most expensive. We should ask why places like the Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, the Cleveland Clinic in Ohio, and other institutions can offer the highest quality care at costs well below the national norm. We need to learn from their successes and replicate those best practices across our country. That’s how we can achieve reform that preserves and strengthens what’s best about our health care system, while fixing what is broken […]

I understand the Committees are moving towards a principle of shared responsibility — making every American responsible for having health insurance coverage, and asking that employers share in the cost. I share the goal of ending lapses and gaps in coverage that make us less healthy and drive up everyone’s costs, and I am open to your ideas on shared responsibility. But I believe if we are going to make people responsible for owning health insurance, we must make health care affordable. If we do end up with a system where people are responsible for their own insurance, we need to provide a hardship waiver to exempt Americans who cannot afford it. In addition, while I believe that employers have a responsibility to support health insurance for their employees, small businesses face a number of special challenges in affording health benefits and should be exempted.

Health care reform must not add to our deficits over the next 10 years — it must be at least deficit neutral and put America on a path to reducing its deficit over time. To fulfill this promise, I have set aside $635 billion in a health reserve fund as a down payment on reform. This reserve fund includes a number of proposals to cut spending by $309 billion over 10 years –reducing overpayments to Medicare Advantage private insurers; strengthening Medicare and Medicaid payment accuracy by cutting waste, fraud and abuse; improving care for Medicare patients after hospitalizations; and encouraging physicians to form “accountable care organizations” to improve the quality of care for Medicare patients. The reserve fund also includes a proposal to limit the tax rate at which high-income taxpayers can take itemized deductions to 28 percent, which, together with other steps to close loopholes, would raise $326 billion over 10 years.

I am committed to working with the Congress to fully offset the cost of health care reform by reducing Medicare and Medicaid spending by another $200 to $300 billion over the next 10 years, and by enacting appropriate proposals to generate additional revenues. These savings will come not only by adopting new technologies and addressing the vastly different costs of care, but from going after the key drivers of skyrocketing health care costs, including unmanaged chronic diseases, duplicated tests, and unnecessary hospital readmissions.

To identify and achieve additional savings, I am also open to your ideas about giving special consideration to the recommendations of the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), a commission created by a Republican Congress. Under this approach, MedPAC’s recommendations on cost reductions would be adopted unless opposed by a joint resolution of the Congress. This is similar to a process that has been used effectively by a commission charged with closing military bases, and could be a valuable tool to help achieve health care reform in a fiscally responsible way.

Let’s take a look at all of this. First of all, on the individual mandate, I’m glad he said that makes no sense if individuals cannot afford the coverage, and that he’d provide a hardship exemption. Hopefully this will spur Congress to devise the most affordable plans possible.

Obama and his team have foregrounded the importance of cost control, arguing that the long-term health care budget projections are unsustainable without reform, and that we must bend the cost curve while providing greater access (the whole “entitlement reform is health reform” thing). I’m all for efficiency and putting our dollars to the best use and comparing medical effectiveness so that we don’t pay more money for a less effective treatment and all of that. But Obama also seeks fiscal austerity in this package in the short-term in addition to reining in costs over the long-term. He wants the package to be deficit neutral, in other words paid for, over the next ten years. That means the money has to come from somewhere. It didn’t for two wars, TARP, and a whole host of other things, but for health care, you have to pay up front.

The $635 billion he’s talking about includes the capping of charitable deductions that was DOA as soon as it reached Congress. And $635 billion is not all of what’s needed. Senate leaders have talked about limiting the employer deduction on health benefits, and while Peter Orszag took it off the table, Obama seemed to be open to it, even though he campaigned hard against John McCain when he proposed eliminating the employer deduction. Obviously, there’s a difference between McCain’s plan, eliminating the deduction while offering a meager tax credit to individuals to fend for themselves, and this plan, limiting the deduction to raise money for providing subsidies and building a public option, etc. So there is a difference. But it may not be enough to convince Congress, and you can see the “he’s taxing your health benefits” commercials now.

Let’s replay that other piece of the letter:

I am committed to working with the Congress to fully offset the cost of health care reform by reducing Medicare and Medicaid spending by another $200 to $300 billion over the next 10 years, and by enacting appropriate proposals to generate additional revenues. These savings will come not only by adopting new technologies and addressing the vastly different costs of care, but from going after the key drivers of skyrocketing health care costs, including unmanaged chronic diseases, duplicated tests, and unnecessary hospital readmissions.

To identify and achieve additional savings, I am also open to your ideas about giving special consideration to the recommendations of the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), a commission created by a Republican Congress. Under this approach, MedPAC’s recommendations on cost reductions would be adopted unless opposed by a joint resolution of the Congress. This is similar to a process that has been used effectively by a commission charged with closing military bases, and could be a valuable tool to help achieve health care reform in a fiscally responsible way.

You can pretty reasonably read that and come up with the idea that Obama wants to pay for health care by cutting back on the enormously popular Medicare program. The truth is a little murkier, but only a little.

For example, Medicare Advantage truly sucks – the government overpays private insurers for the same treatment received inside Medicare. But what’s all this about “reducing Medicare spending”? And what’s MedPAC? Ezra Klein explains.

You probably haven’t heard of MedPAC. Most people haven’t. It stands for The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission and it’s an independent congressional agency formed in 1997 to advise the Congress on matters relating to Medicare. The commission is staffed by experts who are appointed for three-year terms, and its existence is due to a simple insight: Medicare payment policy is too technical for the Congress. There aren’t five senators with an informed opinion on the “equipment use standard” for imaging machines, much less 50, and much less 100.

Every year, MedPAC releases a “report to the Congress on Medicare payment policy.” The report contains acres of analysis (this year’s “assessing payment adequacy and updating payments in fee-for-service Medicare” was particularly thrilling) and a final chapter on recommendations. The recommendations tend to be smart, aggressive, reforms. The sort of reforms experts agree are needed, but interest groups effortlessly stymie. The recommendations don’t, in other words, matter. None of it does, really. The report sits on a shelf.

But what if it didn’t? What if MedPAC had power? […]

The theory is that it would act as a Federal Reserve for Medicare. “Congress has proven itself to be inefficient and inconsistent in making decisions about provider reimbursement under Medicare,” said Rockefeller. “Congress should leave the reimbursement rules to the independent health care experts.”

That’s the plan Obama spoke of favorably in yesterday’s meeting. But what hasn’t been reported is that senior administration officials are also considering another variant: This plan would package MedPAC’s yearly recommendation and fast track them through Congress for a simple, up-or-down vote. No filibuster. No changes to the package of recommendations. Health reform, under this scenario, would become a yearly legislative project.

The idea is that reforms to Medicare would spread across the industry and cut costs. The idea is that the people who understand health care can provide some order on the current chaos, and with added power can force changes in the system that will reverberate and cannot be subject to interest-group vetoes. Health care policy experts like it, lobbyists and conservatives don’t. They will call it the dreaded rationing. They will say that Congress is coming to take your Medicare away.

But what has MedPAC hisotrically proposed? I’ve got past recommendations here and here. They’re written in bureaucrat-ese, but they include raises in reimbursement rates along with reductions, and the vague “updates” in payment rates for certain services. Seeing that these are experts, and that trusted sources are calling their recommendations smart and sound, I’m willing to believe that for now.

Still, the politics of this stink on ice. Given the reality that health care must be paid for in the short term, I see lots of reasons for lawmakers of both parties to have problems with just about every kind of revenue-raiser imaginable. They’d knock down sin taxes. They’d knock down caps on charitable deductions. They’d knock down limiting the employer deduction. In the end, the pool of money needed becomes unattainable. And then we have this proposal to allow unspecified reductions to Medicare and Medicaid spending, with a board of experts empowered to do so, and I’m wondering if anyone passed that by anyone with political insight. Because it will get trounced in the court of public opinion.

In many respects, I’m more hopeful about the prospects for health care reform than ever. In other respects, I’m completely in despair. As we get further in this debate, we will find that nobody in Congress wants to pull the trigger on paying for this, and the Medicare cuts are so ripe for demagoguery that Harry and Louise will look like a Care Bears commercial by comparison. And I feel that progressives aren’t even paying attention to the most important contours of this debate.

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Sweet Beat

by digby

This story about Richard Wolffe’s coverage of the Obama campaign is more than a little bit snotty and frankly not surprising. I knew he was writing a campaign book about Obama and his coverage of the candidate reflected his need for access — and his access. He was clearly not objective, but then neither was Fox News. It all came out fairnbalanced, village style.

But this is just sickening:

When the election ended, the Newsweek brass offered him a new job. Not the White House beat – a natural extension of his campaign coverage – but, he said, “a blog, no less.” He describes the genre in his book as the equivalent of “fried and fast” food, as compared to his own more nutritious “slow food.”

Wolffe took a Newsweek buyout instead. He said he “never talked to [the White House] about a job.” He wrote through the winter and early spring, and on April 1, he announced that he’d taken a position under former Bush communications director Dan Bartlett at Public Strategies. Wolffe said in an interview that he wouldn’t trade on his relationships with Obama and his aides in his new post.

“I do not lobby – I offer strategic advice to clients on how to interact with the public, whether it’s their stakeholders or public opinion,” he said.

Wolffe also continues to write and report for Tina Brown’s Daily Beast, and to offer his opinions on MSNBC, which identifies him as a political analyst, though he said he won’t talk about issues related to the firm’s clients.

And he suggested he’s not that different from other reporters in an era in which the business and the profession of journalism have gotten closer and closer.

“The idea that journalists are somehow not engaged in corporate activities is not really in touch with what’s going on. Every conversation with journalists is about business models and advertisers,” he said, recalling that, on the day after the 2008 election, Newsweek sent him to Detroit to deliver a speech to advertisers.

“You tell me where the line is between business and journalism,” he said.

There’s nothing more to say.

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The Persistence of Ideology

by batocchio

If conservatism at its best involves sticking with policies that have proved effective, at its worst it entails sticking with policies that have proved unsuccessful or even disastrous. It’s not as if some pure, beneficent strain of conservatism is common, though, to the degree it exists at all. Movement conservatism has long consisted of policies that benefit a select few at the expense of the nation as a whole. In many cases, conservatives are still obstinately pushing ideologies and policies that have yielded horrible results – sometimes even for themselves. Admitting error is rare among this ideological crowd, taking blame is rarer still, and actually changing approaches is seen as anathema. Here’s a look at this dynamic in three areas. (Be warned this is a long post; please feel free to skim it or skip around.)

Economics


Most of the teabaggers weren’t quite sure exactly what they were for, but they were sure they were against Obama. Some unwittingly or willingly were demonstrating to lower poor Steve Forbes’ taxes. As many liberal bloggers observed, merely raising the top marginal tax rate to Clinton levels was somehow labeled socialism, while many of the protesters seemed unaware that the middle class was getting a tax cut under Obama. The disconnects were many, but the most glaring was probably that many were effectively protesting for the same ideology and policies that had proven so catastrophic during the Bush administration.

Some of this is the old conservative shell game of moneyed elites and their shills, selling resentment to the base against the “cultural” elites and minorities who are supposedly oppressing them – all the better for those moneyed elites to increase wealth inequity in America to ever more harmful levels. Yet at times, it seems some conservative shills have convinced even themselves of an alternative reality where the New Deal was a colossal failure and Reaganomics (and its many variations and attendant policies) were somehow successful for the country as a whole.

Back in October 2008, Naomi Klein (The Shock Doctrine) spoke at the University of Chicago about Milton Friedman’s economic philosophy. I’d strongly recommend reading (or watching) the whole thing, but here’s one key section:

When Milton Friedman turned ninety, the Bush White House held a birthday party for him to honor him, to honor his legacy, in 2002, and everyone made speeches, including George Bush, but there was a really good speech that was given by Donald Rumsfeld. I have it on my website. My favorite quote in that speech from Rumsfeld is this: he said, “Milton is the embodiment of the truth that ideas have consequences.”

So, what I want to argue here is that, among other things, the economic chaos that we’re seeing right now on Wall Street and on Main Street and in Washington stems from many factors, of course, but among them are the ideas of Milton Friedman and many of his colleagues and students from this school. Ideas have consequences.

More than that, what we are seeing with the crash on Wall Street, I believe, should be for Friedmanism what the fall of the Berlin Wall was for authoritarian communism: an indictment of ideology. It cannot simply be written off as corruption or greed, because what we have been living, since Reagan, is a policy of liberating the forces of greed to discard the idea of the government as regulator, of protecting citizens and consumers from the detrimental impact of greed, ideas that, of course, gained great currency after the market crash of 1929, but that really what we have been living is a liberation movement, indeed the most successful liberation movement of our time, which is the movement by capital to liberate itself from all constraints on its accumulation.

So, as we say that this ideology is failing, I beg to differ. I actually believe it has been enormously successful, enormously successful, just not on the terms that we learn about in University of Chicago textbooks, that I don’t think the project actually has been the development of the world and the elimination of poverty. I think this has been a class war waged by the rich against the poor, and I think that they won. And I think the poor are fighting back. This should be an indictment of an ideology. Ideas have consequences.

Now, people are enormously loyal to Milton Friedman, for a variety of reasons and from a variety of sectors. You know, in my cynical moments, I say Milton Friedman had a knack for thinking profitable thoughts. He did. His thoughts were enormously profitable. And he was rewarded. His work was rewarded. I don’t mean personally greedy. I mean that his work was supported at the university, at think tanks, in the production of a ten-part documentary series called Freedom to Choose, sponsored by FedEx and Pepsi; that the corporate world has been good to Milton Friedman, because his ideas were good for them…

Now, the Friedmanites in this room will object to my methodology, I assure you, and I look forward to that. They will tell you, when I speak of Chile under Pinochet, Russia under Yeltsin and the Chicago Boys, China under Deng Xiaoping, or America under George W. Bush, or Iraq under Paul Bremer, that these were all distortions of Milton Friedman’s theories, that none of these actually count, when you talk about the repression and the surveillance and the expanding size of government and the intervention in the system, which is really much more like crony capitalism or corporatism than the elegant, perfectly balanced free market that came to life in those basement workshops. We’ll hear that Milton Friedman hated government interventions, that he stood up for human rights, that he was against all wars. And some of these claims, though not all of them, will be true.

But here’s the thing. Ideas have consequences. And when you leave the safety of academia and start actually issuing policy prescriptions, which was Milton Friedman’s other life—he wasn’t just an academic. He was a popular writer. He met with world leaders around the world—China, Chile, everywhere, the United States. His memoirs are a “who’s who.” So, when you leave that safety and you start issuing policy prescriptions, when you start advising heads of state, you no longer have the luxury of only being judged on how you think your ideas will affect the world. You begin having to contend with how they actually affect the world, even when that reality contradicts all of your utopian theories. So, to quote Friedman’s great intellectual nemesis, John Kenneth Galbraith, “Milton Friedman’s misfortune is that his policies have been tried.”

Throw in the Laffer curve, the Two Santa Claus Theory, E. Coli Conservatism, dishonest attacks on Social Security and the tax code, “deficits don’t matter,” Phil Gramm, strangling government in a bathtub, and vowing never to raise taxes, not even in the face of Armageddon – and it all adds up to a disaster, except for a select few.

For any economic philosophy, it’s important to ask, what are its goals? Who benefits? What are the actual consequences of implementing policies based on this philosophy? In the case of conservative economic approaches, are wealth inequity and poverty even seen as problems? How is “the public good” defined and addressed, if it is at all?

Defenders of these conservative approaches still abound, especially among devotees of Reagan or George W. Bush. The ever-popular conservative mantra, “no one could have predicted,” was especially fashionable for them after the financial crisis hit and before the looming presidential election. On NPR show Left, Right and Center back in early October 2008, conservative columnist Tony Blankley, both a free marketeer and pro-bailout, claimed there was no contradiction in his positions. He went on to offer one of my favorite attempts at white-washing conservative ideology (about 13:10 in):

Let me suggest – and we can have this discussion, and we will – that the causes of the Great Depression, the causes of the French Revolution, continue to be seriously debated, decades or centuries after the event, and we’re going to be debating what caused this crisis for a very long time. I would argue that it was not free markets, and you’ll argue that it was, and this is a debate we can have, nobody at this point knows, because we’re in the middle of it. We haven’t had a chance to step back and start looking at the data. That’s something that will be done over the next number of years.

It’s a wonder anyone studies history or the market at all, given this fog. Details may not be known, but the broad strokes and key culprits are. In Blankley’s defense, he’s acknowledged elsewhere that some deregulation was harmful (Robert Scheer and Matt Miller both challenged him in the same segment). But conservatives’ perfect free market – a sort of capitalist Garden of Eden of purity and innocent, victimless greed – simply doesn’t exist. It’s dangerous to insist that it does or that it should. It’s not as if conservative solutions to grave problems in the actual market responsibly address reality, either. The only “consistency” between widespread deregulation and a bailout is always giving the rich what they want – allowing them high profits for themselves in good times and protecting them from risk at public expense in the bad. Like many conservatives, Blankley also acted as if the crisis was some mysterious natural occurrence outside of human agency, and no one could possibly say why it happened.

If it’s a mystery that passeth all understanding to these people, it raises the question as to why they should be running things at all, or consulted – but economic theories of movement conservatism often seem more grounded in theology and fantasy versus empirical data. It’s not just economics that seems to mystify them, though, but basic human nature. DDay’s recent post on Brooksley Born featured this tidbit:

Greenspan had an unusual take on market fraud, Born recounted: “He explained there wasn’t a need for a law against fraud because if a floor broker was committing fraud, the customer would figure it out and stop doing business with him.”

The mind reels. Although Greenspan’s tried to revise his own culpability in creating the financial mess, he did admit to Congress last year that:

I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.

As Digby quipped at the time, “Apparently, it never occurred to the great guru that wealthy people would be greedy enough to destroy the system. It didn’t show up in his “models.””

Unfortunately, Tim Geithner and the Obama gang seem to be too willing to continue the dodgy moves of Paulson and the Bush administration. Maybe it’s class solidarity, similar ideologies, or the difficulty of fighting the bankers who own Congress. Maybe they simply aren’t working hard enough to protect the country’s economy against astonishingly arrogant, reckless and selfish corporate narcissists. Maybe they simply fail to realize the true nature of these oligarchs, and how dangerous they are. Maybe they’re just too corrupt themselves. What Jonathan Schwarz wrote back in October about a flabbergasted establishment is as relevant as ever:

Who wouldn’t be stunned when the most greedy, venal, vicious, cruel, arrogant, ignorant human beings on earth aren’t eager to work in the public interest? Especially when people like them have never been willing to do so in the entire history of mankind, except on the rare occasions when they’ve been directly threatened with execution? It’s stunning!

Somehow, it never occurred to them that human beings would be greedy and selfish.

Foreign Policy


In The Prince, Machiavelli advised it’s better for a political leader to be feared than loved, but neoconservatives and followers of the Bush Doctrine clearly believe that’s just too tame. Why bother with the good will of most of the world and cooperative approaches when instead, you can charge ahead, foster hatred in a greater number of people and nations, and cultivate distrust and disapproval even among allies? Yet strangely, this pugnacious approach has not helped national security.

If the neocons have been right about anything of consequence, it’s a well-kept secret. For years now, they’ve blamed the mess in Iraq on the Bush administration’s poor execution of their lovely plan, and ignored that America has been bogged down already in two wars in all their reckless saber-rattling against Iran. Just as conservative economic theory presumes that a perfect free market exists, neocons hold that America is simultaneously infallible and omnipotent. Let the reality-based community worry about such paltry things as the actual consequences of policies; great thinkers and armchair warriors cannot be trifled with such matters.

Back in 2006, neocon Francis Fukuyama wrote a book about his disenchantment with the movement, and Louis Menard made a number of sharp observations:

Although “America at the Crossroads” is intended, in part, for policy intellectuals—the journal-of-opinion writers and editors, political advisers, and think-tankers who deal with questions of governance from a philosophical point of view—Fukuyama is not, fundamentally, a policy intellectual himself. He is an original and independent mind, and his writings have never seemed to be constructed on a doctrinal foundation. He takes ideas seriously and he tries to see the big picture, and even if you think that he takes ideas too seriously, and that his pictures tend to be too big to help with the practical challenges of political decision-making in the here and now, his views on American policies and their implications deserve thoughtful attention. Such attention might begin, in the case of the present book, with the observation: No duh. It took Fukuyama until February, 2004, to realize that Charles Krauthammer, who has been saying basically the same thing since the end of the Cold War, is the intellectual cheerleader of a politics of American supremacy that appears to recognize no limit to its exercise of power? And that the Bush Administration, to the extent that it has any philosophical self-conception at all, operates on the basis of the crudest form of American exceptionalism? And that neoconservatism, whatever merits it once had as a corrective to liberal wishfulness and the amorality of realpolitik, long ago stiffened into a posture of reflexive moral belligerence about everything from foreign policy to literary criticism?

The present condition of the neoconservative movement is the outcome of a classic case of the gradual sclerosis of political attitudes. All the stages of the movement’s development were based on the primitive psychology of the “break”—the felt need, as one ages, to demonize the exact position one formerly occupied. The enemy is always the person still clinging to the delusions you just outgrew. So—going all the way back to the omphalos, Alcove 1 in the City College cafeteria, where Kristol and his friends fought with the Stalinists in Alcove 2—the Trotskyists hated the fellow-travellers they once had been; the Cold War liberals hated the Trotskyists they once had been; and the neoconservatives hated the liberals they once had been. Now the hardening is complete. Neoconservatism has merged with the politics that its founders, in their youth, held in greatest contempt: the jingoist and capitalist American right. We look from man to pig, and from pig to man again; but it is impossible to say which is which.

(Gotta love a really apt Orwell reference.)

To his credit, Fukuyama has criticized his past positions, and some conservative economic dogma as well. That’s in sharp contrast to the deep intellectual dishonesty endemic to a neocon movement that views war as glorious and war spending as good business. As Steve Clemons noted back around the 2006 midterm elections, neocon Richard Perle’s ‘truthfulness depended on whether it was before or after the election.’ And in February 2009, in “How to Disappear Completely,” Eric Martin noted how several neocons (including Perle) have gone to darkly comical lengths to erase their own histories, down to denying that the neoconservative foreign policy they themselves crafted and named has ever existed. I find the dynamic fascinating and damning – most of the neocons still won’t admit that they’re wrong, but they’re aware enough of the damage to their reputations to lie about their central role in one of the greatest foreign policy disasters in U.S. history.

Neocons and most movement conservatives seem to take a dismissal of consequences as proof of seriousness and a disconnect from reality as a point of pride. As Fred Kaplan observed back in 2006, “The Republican administration has violated so many precepts of International Relations 101 that clichés take on the air of wisdom.” Back in 2002, as the administration was trying to sell the Iraq War, Bush officials spoke with several conservative think tanks. The American Enterprise Institute supported regime change in Iraq – yet opposed reconstruction, because that was “nation-building.” The Bush administration, in turn, didn’t want to talk about reconstruction or overall costs, either, because it might hurt selling the war. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld threatened to fire anyone who talked about Phase IV (reconstruction), although he also insisted that Defense and not State be in charge of all operations. It’s a convenient ideology, that allows for bombing the hell out of a country and its population without any responsibility for picking up the pieces. It’s an arrogant and cruel approach, especially when one also actively interferes with others’ attempts to fix any of the mess.

Damning the consequences (or the torpedoes) seems to be one hallmark of cowboy diplomacy. But these cowboys and wannabe warriors are a strange breed, viewing cooperation as wimpy, and preoccupied with asserting their dominance and tough guy bonafides. For people obsessed with their own images, they’re shockingly unaware of how others see them. John Bolton’s approach to diplomacy amounted to walking into a bar and punching some poor schlep in the face, thinking everyone else in the bar would be impressed (or intimidated) and want to buy him a drink. When informed in 2007 that 80% of Iraqis wanted American troops out of their country, neocon father and imperialist Norman Podhoretz said, “I don’t much care.” Meanwhile, Bush was positively fixated on the Iraqis showing gratitude; back in 2006:

President Bush made clear in a private meeting this week that he was concerned about the lack of progress in Iraq and frustrated that the new Iraqi government — and the Iraqi people — had not shown greater public support for the American mission, participants in the meeting said Tuesday. . . .

[T]he president expressed frustration that Iraqis had not come to appreciate the sacrifices the United States had made in Iraq, and was puzzled as to how a recent anti-American rally in support of Hezbollah in Baghdad could draw such a large crowd.

Nor is cluelessness and belligerence limited to one party. In October 2008, Glenn Greenwald scrutinized an op-ed on Iran by “Two former Senators — conservative Democrat Chuck Robb and conservative Republican Dan Coats (that’s what “bipartisan” means).” Predictably, it contained more sabre-rattling and tough, serious talk. As Greenwald observed (emphasis his):

It’s just objectively true that there is no country in the world — anywhere — that threatens to attack and bomb other countries as routinely and blithely as the U.S. does. What rational leader wouldn’t want to obtain nuclear weapons in a world where the “superpower” is run by people like Dan Coats and Chuck Robb who threaten to attack and bomb whatever countries they want? Even the Coats/Robb Op-Ed argues that Iranian proliferation would be so threatening to the U.S. because “the ability to quickly assemble a nuclear weapon would effectively give Iran a nuclear deterrent” — in other words, they’d have the ability to deter a U.S. attack on their country, and we can’t have that.

So: It’s not that we necessarily want to attack Iran, but we can’t allow them any safeguards should we choose to attack them in the future. Their potential self-defense is a grave threat to our potential invasion. It’s comparable to Bush administration claims about torture back when they were still officially pretending we didn’t torture – another law outlawing torture would be harmful, because even though we didn’t torture, we might choose to do so in the future.

This mad approach to foreign policy and human rights is strikingly similar to an old Monty Python book gag, Llap-Goch (caps in the original):

“LLAP-Goch is the Secret Welsh ART of SELF DEFENCE that requires NO INTELLIGENCE, STRENGTH or PHYSICAL courage… It is an ANCIENT Welsh ART based on a BRILLIANTLY simple I-D-E-A, which is a SECRET. The best form of DEFENCE is ATTACK (Clausewitz) and the most VITAL element of ATTACK is SURPRISE (Oscar HAMMERstein). Therefore, the BEST way to protect yourself AGAINST any ASSAILANT is to ATTACK him before he attacks YOU… Or BETTER… BEFORE the THOUGHT of doing so has EVEN OCCURRED TO HIM!!! SO YOU MAY BE ABLE TO RENDER YOUR ASSAILANT UNCONSCIOUS BEFORE he is EVEN aware of your very existence!

(It’s a bit frightening that the Pythons basically predicted almost the entirety of the conservative blogosphere.)

Jonathan Schwarz captured a similar level of insanity and befuddlement about human nature in a post that quotes from an old news article (his emphasis):

Intelligence officials believe [Hezbollah leader Imad Moughniyah] is seeking personal vengeance on the United States and Israel for the deaths of his brothers, which explains in part his willingness to lend his expertise to operations organized by other groups. Mugniyeh’s brothers were killed in retaliatory attacks in Lebanon believed to have been carried out by Israeli and U.S. operatives.

“Bin Laden is a schoolboy in comparison with Mugniyeh,” an Israeli-intelligence officer told Jane’s Foreign Report recently. “The guy is a genius, someone who refined the art of terrorism to its utmost level. We studied him and reached the conclusion that he is a clinical psychopath motivated by uncontrollable psychological reasons, which we have given up trying to understand. The killing of his two brothers by the Americans only inflamed his strong motivation.”

Wait…you’re telling me that a young man, when his country was invaded by foreigners, got angry? And then when they killed his brothers, he became even madder? And he wanted revenge on the people who’d done it?

Somehow, it never occurred to them that people won’t appreciate having their loved ones killed.

Torture and Human Rights


(Read the full cartoon here.)

I’m not going to spend much time on this one (since I’ve tried to do so in greater depth before), except to note a handful of points. The Bush administration was warned about abusing and torturing prisoners many times by some of their own people – but did it anyway. The JPRA report even told them that any information obtained through torture was unreliable –something that’s been known since at least Roman times. Perhaps they knew that torture “worked” well enough for their purposes – false confessions to justify a war of choice – or they just didn’t care. Regardless, it was impossible for them to arrive at that dark place without monumental arrogance, dehumanization of all potential victims, and a deep and utter contempt for democracy. Conservatives Glenn Reynolds and Jonah Goldberg, among others, condemned the abuses at Abu Ghraib – until it became apparent how high up the blame probably went. Then they started making excuses. Is it possible to be more authoritarian, partisan and dishonorable than that? Most of the movement conservative base has done the same, supporting torture – torture – and done so rabidly, all because their leaders told them it was necessary and done to mysterious, dangerous men who don’t look or speak like the “real” Amuricans who love their country. It’s hard to imagine a more clear moral line than torture, but for authoritarians, it’s all about tribal loyalty – torture is wrong when done to them, right when done to an Evil Other (even if he or she happens to be innocent). For the far right, torture is like everything else – the right thing to do when so ordered by Republicans, and absolutely imperative to do if it upsets a Democrat or liberal. Spite and tribal identity are about their only “moral” standards. A significant number of rule-of-law conservatives, including members of the JAG corps, oppose torture and support due process for the innocent and guilty alike, but the conservative base and most of the conservative punditry ferociously oppose them on both counts.

Somehow, it never occurred to them that people will say anything if tortured.

More likely – and more frightening – they simply don’t give a damn.

It’d be nice, and good for the country, if any remaining sane, fiscally responsible and rule-of-law conservatives could take over the Republican party. As it stands, it’ll be a wonder if they can even get back to the good ol’ days, when the Republican party stood merely for screwing over the poor and hating minorities, and not torturing people to start unnecessary wars.

As for the Democrats – my concern for the Obama administration is that in too many areas, they’re adhering far too closely to the Bush playbook. The tasks they face are monumental, and often with powerful, entrenched interests opposing them. But while competent management helps a great deal, it can only do so much if the plans themselves are fundamentally flawed. Their stances on military tribunals, possible indefinite detention and state secrets range from troubling to horrible. On the economic front, I have to wonder if Tim Geithner, Larry Summers and Robert Rubin are similar to liberal war hawk Michael O’Hanlon. For O’Hanlon, still resistant to admitting error on Iraq, it’s not enough that he be right in the future – he needs also to have been right. His reputation and pride hinges on his past, dreadful policies somehow being vindicated (even though attempting that is a quagmire on its own). I wonder if Obama’s economic team is comparably set on vindicating their past, harmful policies. They certainly seem committed to rescuing the established, corrupt order versus the economy itself. (Then there’s the possibility of good ol’ corruption itself.) Human folly isn’t limited to one political party, even if one has a strong natural advantage.

Conservative stances on economics, foreign policy and human rights provide a pretty bleak snapshot of the Republican party. The poor remain faceless to them, as do foreigners blithely bombed and the victims of torture and abuse. Torture, with its dynamics of power and false confessions, actually makes a frighteningly apt metaphor for movement conservatives and obstinate ideologues everywhere. Why do these people ignore data and counsel, inflict suffering on populations foreign and domestic, and fiercely dismiss overwhelming evidence against their favored approach? Just as with torture itself, it’s simple – they like the answers it gives them.

(That’s it for me for now. Thanks very much to Digby and the rest of Hullabaloo crew for letting me sit in with the band. See ya in the comment threads.)

The Very Liberal MSNBC

by dday

It’s interesting that Newt Gingrich dialed down his description of Sonia Sotomayor as a racist, even if, in context, he didn’t. Surely we know how this works – we saw it last week with the President. Obama took one step back on Sotomayor’s “wise Latina” comment, conceding the point but also setting it in context, but it set off a flurry from the commentariat, claiming that Obama “caved,” etc. Now Gingrich does essentially the same thing, conceding the point but adding a whole bunch of (false) context actually keeping his claim alive that Sotomayor is a racist. And while this gives Republicans space to welcome the return of civility to the debate, it keeps them on the defensive and in a reactive position as well. Clearly calling Sotomayor a racist wasn’t exactly working out for them, so they had to defuse that. But the backpedaling is historically the kind of thing Republicans NEVER do, especially in a fight that isn’t a fight at all, but a shadow play for the benefit of the base.

Of course, Gingrich isn’t the only Republican making such claims, and most of them, like the Dear Leader of the Republican Party Rush Limbaugh, won’t beckpedal. So will Republicans be made to explain, for example, Pat Buchanan’s comparison of Sotomayor to white supremacists?

In the distant past, Buchanan was a symbol for a particular strain of xenophobic ugliness. He was blamed for turning the 1992 Republican convention in Houston into a cauldron of hate. Now he’s a respected member of the media community and that “liberal” network MSNBC. Witness:

Given Pat Buchanan’s history of clear bigotry – most recently demonstrated in his reminder last night that he supported and continues to defend a white supremacist – there really isn’t any good reason for MSNBC to continue putting him on the air. The man is a bigot, plain and simple. In light of the hot water MSNBC has gotten into in the past for bigoted comments by its employees, you would think they would want to distance themselves from the likes Buchanan.

But what’s really extraordinary is that MSNBC brings Buchanan on air to talk about race issues. It gives Pat Buchanan a platform from which to call other people racists. Granted, if there’s someone who knows racists better than Pat Buchanan does, I can’t think of who it would be. But his is not the kind of expertise MSNBC should be inflicting upon its viewers.

This brings up a larger question about that liberal network MSNBC. Giving space to an out-and-out bigot like Pat Buchanan, who’s on that channel more often than the peacock, reflects really poorly on them. Not to mention the three hours of unadulterated horseshit in the morning.

The Morning Joe crew was on an anti-union tear this morning, claiming the union label on a company means “sell.” Mika Brzezinski went so far as to say of unions: “They cripple the system that makes a company work.” Collectively, the journalists on Morning Joe couldn’t name a single “successful” unionized company.

This says more about their qualifications to discuss public policy and labor relations than it says about unions. To pick just one obvious example, UPS is unionized — and the company made more than $3 billion last year. That’s “billion” with a “b,” and those are profits, not revenues.

Oh, what the heck, let’s take one more example. GE is one of the world’s largest companies; in 2006, its revenues were greater than the gross domestic products of 80 percent of UN nations. The company made more than $18 billion in 2008 — again, billion with a b, and again, those are profits, not revenue. All that despite (or, perhaps, because of) the fact that 13 different unions represent GE workers.

Oh, and GE owns NBC-Universal, which owns MSNBC, which pays Joe Scarborough a handsome salary (and the unionized workers who help get his show on the air considerably less.)

Scarborough, you recall, is the former GOP Congressman who represented Michael Griffin pro bono, the man who killed abortion provider Dr. David Gunn.

It’s great to have a liberal mecca on the teevee!

…here’s a growing list of successful unionized companies, which will only live on the Internets and not MSNBC.

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Bold

by dday

It’s clear that, while the President has been less willing to stake out a bold and uncompromising position on many issues, with respect to settlement growth in the West Bank, he has definitely done so. This has played out very publicly, surprisingly so, with Obama and his Administration calling for a freeze, while the Netanyahu government in Israel seeks expansion, which they call “natural growth,” an insidious euphemism. President Obama has signaled more bluntness on the issue in the weeks to come.

The United States will be more blunt in raising objections to Israel’s settlement policies in the Palestinian territories than previous administrations, President Barack Obama told a U.S. radio network in an interview on Monday.

“Part of being a good friend is being honest,” Obama told National Public Radio. “And I think there have been times where we are not as honest as we should be about the fact that the current direction, the current trajectory, in the region is profoundly negative, not only for Israeli interests but also U.S. interests.

“We do have to retain a constant belief in the possibilities of negotiations that will lead to peace,” he added. “I’ve said that a freeze on settlements is part of that.”

When asked about Israel’s refusal to commit to a complete settlement freeze, the president told NPR it was still too early to determine what measures the administration could take to pressure Jerusalem.

“It’s still early in the process,” Obama said. “They’ve [Israel] formed a government, what, a month ago?”

“We’re going to have a series of conversations,” the president told NPR. “I believe that strategically, the status quo is unsustainable when it comes to Israel’s security,” Obama said. “Over time, in the absence of peace with Palestinians, Israel will continue to be threatened militarily and will have enormous problems on its borders.”

Ehud Barak, the Israeli Defense Minister, met with US officials yesterday and received the same message – that settlement expansion is intolerable, and a freeze represents the first step on the path to peace. Barak’s compromise proposals were not accepted, and Obama himself popped in at one point to discuss the situation. While aides downplayed the tensions, clearly the US and Israel differ on this crucial issue.

Clearly the settlements issue will not be settled overnight, but just as clearly, the forces supporting the status quo and an expansion of the settlements in the West Bank are marshaling their forces, trying to whip up Congressional opinion against Obama’s stance. This was a matter of time – the Israel lobby has many friends on Capitol Hill, and seeing their hardline position threatened, they at some point were going to use those allies to try and head it off.

“My concern is that we are applying pressure to the wrong party in this dispute,” said Rep. Shelley Berkley (D-Nev.). “I think it would serve America’s interest better if we were pressuring the Iranians to eliminate the potential of a nuclear threat from Iran, and less time pressuring our allies and the only democracy in the Middle East to stop the natural growth of their settlements.”

“When Congress gets back into session the administration is going to hear from many more members than just me,” she said.

Presidents from Jimmy Carter to George H.W. Bush saw attempts to pressure Israel draw furious objections from Congress, but members of Congress and observers say Obama will most likely prevail as long as he shows that he’s putting effective pressure on Israel’s Arab foes as well.

But even a key defender of Obama’s Mideast policy, Rep. Robert Wexler (D-Fla.), is seeking to narrow the administration’s definition of “settlement” to take pressure off Obama. And the unusual criticism by congressional Democrats of the popular president is a sign that it may take more than a transformative presidential election to change the domestic politics of Israel […]

“There’s a line between articulating U.S. policy and seeming to be pressuring a democracy on what are their domestic policies, and the president is tiptoeing right up to that line,” said Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.), who said he’d heard complaints from constituents during the congressional recess. “I would have liked to hear the president talk more about the Palestinian obligation to cut down on terrorism.”

“I don’t think anybody wants to dictate to an ally what they have to do in their own national security interests,” said Rep. Gary Ackerman (D-N.Y.), who said he thinks there’s “room for compromise.”

Lining up one by one.

The ruling Likudniks in Israel have matched this rhetoric, accusing Obama of interfering in their domestic politics. This is ridiculous. The greatest interference by the United States in Israeli domestic politics concerns the billions in foreign aid we lavish on them every year. It is perfectly reasonable to expect that, as a condition of that support, Israel does not pursue policies that inflame hatred in the Muslim world, particularly hatred toward the United States. Settlement growth is a national security issue for this country.

And Obama has proceeded with determination not to allow such destructive policies to rebound on the United States. As Juan Cole says, Israel’s settlement policy is the “Amy Winehouse of foreign affairs,” hurting both itself and others. Cole has some ideas about where Obama can go next, but I think he’s on the right track. And the Middle East issue sits at the forefront of all of our problems with the Muslim world, so he certainly has the pressure and mindset to move forward in a forthright manner.

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Bipartisan Fear

by dday

So when Republicans make the stupidest argument in the world and Democrats decide to go along with it rather than refute it, we get this unsurprising piece of public opinion:

Americans are overwhelmingly opposed to closing the detention center for suspected terrorists at Guantanamo Bay and moving some of the detainees to prisons on U.S. soil, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds.

By more than 2-1, those surveyed say Guantanamo shouldn’t be closed. By more than 3-1, they oppose moving some of the accused terrorists housed there to prisons in their own states.

The findings underscore the difficult task President Obama faces in convincing those at home that he should follow through on his campaign promise to close the prison in Cuba, especially in the absence of a plan of where the prisoners would go.

In many parts of the world, however, Gitmo has become a symbol of U.S. arrogance and abuse, and Obama has cited its closure as a way to lay the foundation for better relations. He is scheduled to deliver a major address aimed at the Muslim world on Thursday from Cairo.

It is one of the few subjects on which most Americans side with the views of the Bush administration over its successor.

Obama has actually tried to turn this one around, but with no allies, he cannot do it all.

Meanwhile, another prisoner committed suicide yesterday at Guantanamo.

Putting people in cages for life with no charges — thousands of miles from their homes — is inherently torturous. While Salih acknowledged fighting for the Taliban against the Northern Alliance, there is no evidence that he ever engaged in or planned to engage in terrorist acts or acts of violence of any kind against the U.S. Apparently, though, he’s one of the Worst of the Worst we keep hearing about — Too Dangerous To Release even if we can’t charge him with any crime […]

As today’s NYT article put it: “detainees lawyers, including those representing other Yemeni detainees, have been saying that many prisoners are desperate and that many are suicidal because they see no end to their detention.” It’s the system of indefinite detention with no trials, not the locale of the cage, that is so oppressive and destructive.

Those Gitmo detainees are such the worst of the worst that some are engaging in nonviolent civil disobedience, always the first resort of a hardened terrorist.

A group of Muslims from China awaiting a court-ordered release staged a self-styled protest inside their prison camp Monday, waving signs demanding their freedom written in crayon on their Pentagon-issued art supplies.

”We are the Uighurs,” said one sign. “We are being oppressed in prison though we had been announced innocent.”

Another: “We need to freedom.”

In the article, one Navy chief says the protest proves how free the Uighurs are. This chief was reportedly a real human being and not a George Orwell character.

Some of our better members of Congress, like Russ Feingold and Jerrold Nadler are stepping up and holding hearings on the proposed system of indefinite detention and the official secrecy surrounding it. But until the Democratic leadership backs up these efforts with advocacy and reassurance to their constituents, nothing will change. Given those fresh poll numbers for them to cower in fear at, my expectations are low.

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