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Month: April 2011

Now that’s what I call thinking ahead

Now that’s what I call thinking ahead

by digby

I am sitting in a waiting room watching CNN and I just heard Donald Trump say that he thinks Obama was born in Kenya and his grandparents brought him to the US a week or a month later so that he could have all the advantages of US citizenship. I guess he is such a flaming moron that he doesn’t know that children of US citizens are automatically US citizens too.

What he and the rest of these braindead fools are saying is that they faked all this up back in 1962 when he was born because they knew he was going to run for president some day and wouldn’t be able to if he wasn’t born on American soil. That’s the only way this ridiculous conspiracy theory works. Sadly, the CNN anchor Malveaux didn’t challenge that ridiculous assumption, although she tried valiantly to bring the facts to light.

I will say this. Everyone waiting here with me started laughing the minute he started talking. I guess we LA Westsiders aren’t his base. But if we don’t love a fatuous, self-absorbed phony TV celebrity, who will?

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Blue America chat at 2 PST: Tony Mendoza

Blue America welcomes Tony Mendoza

by digby

Howie sez:

Tuesday night Wisconsin’s extreme right Governor, hard core ideologue Scott Walker, suffered a major rebuke when one of his most craven minions, Jeff Stone, was soundly defeated in the race for his old job, Milwaukee County Executive, by a little-known Democrat, Chris Abele. It was a stunning 60-40% loss for the Republicans. Meanwhile, after a running at 25% in the February nonpartisan open primary for a Supreme Court seat, Democrat JoAnn Kloppenburg has fought rabid right sociopath David Prosser, another Walkerite, to a dead 50/50 tie. (He had scored 55% in February and was considered completely safe.) And all this even before Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan announced his plan to end Medicare and John Boehner signaled he didn’t have the strength to hold back the teabagger mob inside his own cause that so badly wants a government shutdown!

Sometimes it seems that warm, sunny, prosperous, blue California is in a world apart from this insanity. But not to those who watch Sacramento politics closely. True enough, California has a Democratic governor, state Senate and state Assembly. But that’s hardly the end of the story. All of the Republicans and nearly all of the Democrats are in the pockets of the big money lobbyists, who practically run the state legislature. You can count the number of dyed-in-the-wool progressives in the legislature on the fingers of one hand. Last month Digby, John and I spent some time with one of the most outstanding and courageous of them, Assemblyman Tony Mendoza, who has had a spectacular career in the Assembly and is campaigning for the state Senate seat opening up in his East L.A. area– Bellflower, Artesia, Paramount, South Gate, Long Beach, Lynwood, Cerritos, Hawaiian Gardens. Today Tony will be joining us in the comments section below for a live chat at 2pm (PT).

Tony, the son of immigrant parents, farm workers, is a former school teacher and the first in his family to go to college. Public education is close to his heart and he has been one of California’s most outspoken champions for teachers and students. “I have benefited,” he told us, “from a system that is free, open and non-discriminatory. The greatest strength of the U.S. educational system is universal access to public education. This belief is what keeps our country competitive. It is what fuels the American dream. More than 90 percent of students in the United States attend public schools. And if they try hard, almost all of them have the opportunity to go to college– the opportunity to make whatever they wish of their lives. I fight for public education not only because I am a former public school teacher of 10 years, but because I am one of those kids you read about who has defied the odds and graduated from college. I know I couldn’t have done it without a strong public education system and I am committed to preserving, protecting and strengthening it for the benefit of future generations.”

When Tony got to the Assembly, instead of resigning himself to settling into the widely accepted go-along-to-get-along mode, he moved right into action, never fearing controversy. His very first bill, A.B. 97 in 2007 was all about ending the use of trans-fats in California restaurants. With the special interests– particularly the California Restaurant Association and the Chamber of Commerce– lined up solidly against him, it literally looked impossible. It took two years and he didn’t get a single Republican vote, but he managed to get it passed and signed into law. “We’re the first state to require restaurants to cook without artery-clogging trans-fats, which have been linked to heart disease, stroke and diabetes. Banning their use helped to reduce the number of cases of cardiovascular disease– the No. 1 killer in the nation– by an estimated 6 to 19 percent, reducing health care costs and most importantly, saving lives.”

That’s why Tony is in government service– to make a real difference in people’s lives. It’s why Digby, John and I have decided to try to help keep him in government service and why we’re recommending him today. Right now we’re working with him on a bill he’s shepherding through the legislative process again, A.B. 22, a model for what progressives in Washington would like to do. Tony’s bill would prevent employers from using credit reports to discriminate against workers. It’s already passed both houses twice… and was vetoed twice by Schwarzenegger. “A credit report,” Tony told us, “is not a good indicator of a person’s trustworthiness or work ethic. Many Californians are still experiencing financial hardships from the economic downturn including layoffs, high unemployment rates, and the ongoing foreclosure crisis. All of these things make it harder for people to pay their bills. Consider the condition of the economy and the negative effect these circumstances can have on a person’s credit– a credit report is an unfair lens through which to view job applicants. Using credit checks in the hiring process decreases employment opportunities. Many people have blemishes on their credit reports, especially at this time in our economy. Preventing someone from becoming employed due to a poor credit history is shameful. This bill will simply remove an unnecessary barrier to employment for those seeking jobs.”

It’s essential to keep the few men and women with Tony’s perspective and instincts in government and not just leave it to the special interests and their shills, whether in Washington or in Sacramento. If you can, please join us in contributing to Tony’s senate election campaign.

Come over and chat with Tony live at 2pm PDT at C&L. This is the future folks.

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Tristero: The world’s best publicists

The World’s Best Publicists

By tristero

Gotta hand it to BP, Transocean and their partners. They have the best publicists in the world. By last August, for instance, we learned that most of the oil that leaked into the Gulf had magically disappeared. Sure, it must have cost an oil fortune in bribes to get a government report to say that (not to mention expensive mainstream media outlets like the Times to report the “finding” with a straight face), but hey, when you flack for a bunch of oil guys, you do in fact have a fortune in You Know What with which to bribe.

And today, as criticism of bonuses to Transocean execs increases. we encounter a headline about another study that reassures us that if, if, by any slight random chance, there actually did happen to be a lot of oil spilled – or leaked, what’s the diff? – the problems it caused are, for the most part, merely in people’s heads.

Oh sure, in the interest of pro forma objectivity, the actual article hedges and hems and haws and all but admits that the study is total bullshit and in fact, no one has any idea how bad the physical effects of a major oil catastrophe could be. Ah, but that headline! Oil Spills May Leave More Emotional Than Physical Scars, Study Finds That’s the ticket, that’s what we’re lookin’ for! Because after all, who is going to bother to read all about something that is long over and done with and was magically cleaned up last summer?

So everybody, chill about those bonuses. One or two small accidents last year, sure, but what can you expect in such a messy business? Besides, it’s all behind us now – except for a few head cases worried about (snicker) getting exposed to too much stool softener!

Look for the applause sign

Look For The Applause Sign

by digby

Sam Stein tweeted this:

In the budget debate, one Dem source predicts, will come down to how much $ Boehner gets for the removal of any given rider (prediction: $1b)

Well, hell:

Saturday, March 05, 2011

The Sound Of No Hands Clapping

by digby

I’m seeing a lot of chatter recently about how we all need to chill out because there’s no way that the draconian budget cuts, defunding of Planned Parenthood or cutting of Social Security is going to happen because all the Republicans really want to do is to slash the budget by a hundred million. And since the administration has already anted up half of that they’ll end up compromising somewhere in between 50 and 100. And then, presumably, Barack Obama will be again hailed as a hero for avoiding a government shutdown and we’ll all be required to clap harder and revere his masterful negotiating skills.

But that’s ridiculous. First, considering the Democrats’ recent record of crack negotiating of there’s no guarantee that some of the culture war issues or social security cuts won’t be in a final deal. But even if they aren’t, what this adds up to is that last December, with a Democratic House and Senate our president agreed to extend massive tax cuts for the richest Americans and then in March, with only a Democratic Senate he agreed to massive spending cuts. I’m not really sure why I should applaud such a thing, particularly in light of the fact that every economist I respect says that this is the opposite of what any pragmatic technocratic, common sense leader would do in our current economic situation, much less a transformational progressive Democrat. I’m sorry, no clapping from me. The idea that we are supposed to accept the nonsensical idea that massive tax cuts for the rich combined with massive spending cuts to essential programs for ordinary Americans is a “victory” under those circumstances just doesn’t make sense.

I understand the politics, but it’s simply not correct to say that the only possible way to govern is to slash spending, cut taxes and gush a lot of happy talk about “investments” and “winning the future” while hoping against hope that the economy improves enough (and the opposition is lame enough) to get reelected. Not when you have the presidency, the US Senate and a fractious, divided, opposition that should be easily leveraged against itself.

It’s always possible that the Republicans will fold without any more cuts. But they are delirious kamikazees at this point — they’ve gotten everything they wanted so far and figure they might as well go the distance. But I would still put my money on a deal that spares the worst culture war stuff in exchange for some truly horrifying cuts. Sticking it to the poor is one thing the mainstream and the Tea Party can certainly agree on.

Last December, the Democrats gave us DADT repeal in exchange for the Bush tax cut and now they’re angling to give us Planned Parenthood in exchange for massive, immediate cuts in discretionary spending. At some point you have to wonder if everyone isn’t getting exactly what they want out of this deal — except, of course, those who are already clinging to the lowest rungs of society and working people.

Update: Sorry, I’m blogging on the run (on my phone!) and I think I was’t clear. I am not in favor of defunding Planned Parenthood or the EPA. I would expect any Democratic president and Senate to hold fast on those things. But allowing them to be held hostage for huge spending cuts in the middle of an epic recession isn’t a win. My suspicions stem from the fact that I’m not at all sure that our entire governing class of both parties doesn’t believe it is.

And I resent being bullied into being happy about this. It isn’t a “compromise, it’s a capitulation. Democrats aren’t supposed to be the party of tax cuts for the rich and spending cuts for the poor and middle class, certainly not when there is almost 9% official unepmpolyment. I honestly don’t think there’s any reason we had to come to this — the Republicans don’t have a God-given right to set the agenda.

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Even in this day and age

Even in this day and age …

by digby

PPP polled Republicans in Mississippi and found that Haley Barbour remains a favorite, followed by Huckabee, Gingrich, Palin, Romney, Bachman, Pawlenty and Paul. They also found this:

We asked voters on this poll whether they think interracial marriage should be legal or illegal- 46% of Mississippi Republicans said it should be illegal to just 40% who think it should be legal. For the most part there aren’t any huge divides in how voters view the candidates or who they support for the nomination based on their attitudes about interracial marriage but there are a few exceptions.

The exceptions are Palin, who is particularly popular with the racists and Romney, who is not. I’ll leave it to you to figure out why that might be. But let’s just say it doesn’t surprise me that the Queen of Tea would attract a certain subset of Republicans.

Update: I’m sure they would be impressed with George Allen as well:

NBC 4’s reporter-anchor Craig Melvin is a tall African-American. Which apparently led to this exchange with former Sen. George Allen, according to Melvin’s Twitter account Tuesday night:

“For the 2nd time in 5 months, fmr. gov. and sen candidate George Allen asks me,”what position did you play?” I did not a play a sport.”

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A Shameful Chapter

“The show really did represent a shameful chapter in American television”

by digby

I was going to write about the demise of Glenn Beck but this says everything that needs to be said:

Beck was the king of the Tea Party and the Powers That Be no longer find him useful. They need to tame their nutballs before 2012. Luckily for them, their nutballs are easily led, so it’s probably not as much of a challenge as one might think.

Adieu,Beck: Your influence was great even if short lived. You brainwashed millions and made a fortune doing it. You are an All American success story.

Glenn Beck’s brain courtesy of Mother Jones

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Asymmetrical warfare

Asymmetrical warfare

by digby

The new NBC/WSJ poll says the same depressing thing it said a couple of months ago:

According to the poll, 68 percent of self-identified Democrats, as well as 76 percent of political independents, say they want Democratic leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus in the current spending debate.

By comparison, 56 percent of self-identified Republicans — and 68 percent of Tea Party supporters — want GOP leaders to stick to their position, even if it means the inability to achieve consensus.

Who do you suppose gets more of what they want in that situation?

Sadly for the Democrats, whose voters apparently don’t follow politics, they will probably compromise and then get blamed for the terrible policies that result. And it’s their own fault. They are clearly failing to articulate exactly what it is that these Republicans are trying to do and giving the impression that you can just split the difference and everyone will be happy. That’s not true. The politicians might be happy — after all, none of these policies affect them. They’re rich, powerful people who will be fine no matter what happens. but it’s going to be hell on the rest of us.

It’s obvious that temperamentally, most Democrats just want everyone to get along and they believe that people of good will should come together and govern in good faith for the general welfare. They need to wake up. They are giving their leadership permission to take the path of least resistance and sell them down the river.

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Tears for fears

Tears for Fears

by digby

Oh dear

He did it again.

John Boehner was driven to tears again today. This time it happened at a closed-door meeting of House Republicans.

According to sources inside the meeting, Boehner it happened while Boehner was speaking to the group about the latest on his negotiations with Democrats over government funding. Boehner talked about his meeting yesterday with President Obama and then, in a rousing conclusion, he thanked the House Republicans for standing by him and supporting him through these tense negotiations.

The Republican conference responded with a standing ovation for their speaker.

As you could imagine, that prompted the Speaker to cry.

“Yes,” said one person at the meeting, “He cried, but only briefly.”

Clearly the guy has some serious problems controlling his emotions. Even male “weepers” (and I’ve known few) cry over sentimental, personal stuff, not this sort of thing. This seems like stress to me. maybe the job is too much for him.

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Making the tough decisions

Making the tough decisions

by digby

Sometimes I think that the best thing that the only way our country is going to survive is if all of our political elites are forced to live like an average American for the next two years. And by average, I don’t mean the delusional upper middle class, highly educated, well-connected professional kind of average. I mean the world of the sandwich shop owner, the garage mechanic, the office supply salesman and the corporate clerical pink collar ghetto office assistant. People who make between 30 and 60k a year and don’t have a lot of expectations that they will make much more. The middle class workers who don’t get to go on TV or have anyone but their closest families and friends ever tell them how great they are and encourage them to believe they will accomplish great things. The people who are just living their normal lives in their normal communities, doing normal, everyday, unremarkable things. In other words, most people:

If they did they would find that observations like this are totally absurd:

Seniors would enter the health care world the rest of us live in, with co-payments, deductibles and managed care. Eventually, cost control would require some tough decisions about end-of-life care and the rationing of high-tech treatments that have limited efficacy. But starting with a value of $15,000 per year, per senior—the amount government now spends on Medicare—Ryan’s vouchers should provide excellent coverage. His change would amount to a minor amendment to the social contract, not a fundamental revision of it.

That’s written by an alleged liberal, by the way, not some tea partying moron.

Most old people would be lost in “the health care world the rest of us live in” because if you are self-employed or unemployed, as retirees are, you’d have to “shop” for insurance, go through huge hoops to get insured, manage a complicated health care bureaucracy that you don’t understand, even when you are sick.(Anyone heard of elder scams? Yeah, I though so. And just because they are illegal doesn’t mean they don’t exist.) Doing all that is difficult even for people who aren’t aged, infirm and often very ill with debilitating diseases. Acting as though throwing those people into the pool is going to somehow be beneficial to the individual, much less the system as a whole, is nonsensical in the extreme.

But you wouldn’t know that if you get health insurance from your employer as most Americans do. That’s a fairly simple process. You get a job, you work a short period of time and then you are on their plan. They are not allowed to exclude you or even ask you any questions. It may require you to pay a co-pay or a piece of the premium, but the mechanics are pretty easy. You don’t have to worry about being cancelled if your payment is late because you aren’t making the payments, the employer is. You usually have no idea even how much your policy costs unless you try to go on COBRA and are then astonished as how much of your paycheck it eats up every month. (And don’t think it isn’t part of your paycheck, it certainly is.)Very often it’s unaffordable if you are unemployed and that sends you into the hell of the private insurance market, where this person wants to send frail elderly people to navigate alone. (I suppose we’ll set up some internet sites for the elderly to go to ask questions so that’s good. They’ll end up being smarter shoppers for it.)

This is why all those average Americans are terrified of losing their jobs, millions of whom have recently done so, have been exposed to the vagaries of this individual market and will endure the tortures of the damned to avoid doing again. (Good news for employers, though …)

For those of us who live the the world outside that employer covered system as this person suggests seniors should do, the idea that a sick old person of 70 could be covered for 15k a year is laughable. A good policy for a 50 year old with a health problem can cost that right now (and the health care reform isn’t going to change it.) It’s absurd on its face that sick senior citizens are going to be able to be “cost conscious.” The assumption is that they are overusing the system, when the truth is thatthey are all in the rather immediate process of dying. So let’s not kid ourselves that they are living in the same world we are as healthy adults. They aren’t. And even those with good pensions won’t be able to shoulder the high cost of senior medical care on their own. The only people who will have no worries at all under this are the upper 5%.

Cost of medical care is a problem across the board for all ages. Solving it by telling the sick elderly that they are just going to have to suck it up “and join the world the rest of us live in” isn’t going to solve it. There are ways to control costs without putting the burden on sick people. If that’s the best solution “liberals” can come up with in a rich country in which the top 1% of its citizens owns nearly half the country’s wealth, then I’m afraid our little experiment in enlightenment has been a failure and it’s back to the drawing board.

*And by the way, cavalierly throwing out obscene abstractions like the need to make “tough decisions” regarding “end of life care” is enough to make you gasp. Does this person have the vaguest idea that he’s talking about human beings here? That they may very well think they have a right to every last moment of their lives? Or at least that they should have the choice? Even Jack Kevorkian doesn’t presume to make such “tough decisions” for others.

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Reactions to Ryan

Reactions To Ryan

by digby

Here’s a little round-up of reactions to Ryan’s plan courtesy of the DCCC:

Prosperity for Whom? [New York Times Editorial]
“If the House Republican budget blueprint released on Tuesday is the “path to prosperity” that its title claims, it is hard to imagine what ruin would look like. The plan would condemn millions to the ranks of the uninsured, raise health costs for seniors and renege on the obligation to keep poor children fed. It envisions lower taxes for the wealthy than even George W. Bush imagined: A permanent extension for his tax cuts, plus large permanent estate-tax cuts, a new business tax cut and a lower top income tax rate for the richest taxpayers. […] The deficit is a serious problem, but the Ryan plan is not a serious answer.” [New York Times, 4/6/11] CBO: GOP Budget Raises Health Costs For Retirees [Associated Press]
“Most future retirees would pay more for health care under a new House Republican budget proposal, according to an analysis by nonpartisan experts for Congress that could be an obstacle to GOP ambitions to tame federal deficits. […] “A typical beneficiary would spend more for health care under the proposal,” the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated in an analysis released late Tuesday.” [AP, 4/6/11] Rivlin: I don’t back ‘Ryan-Rivlin’ plan [POLITICO]
“Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) touted the help of former Clinton advisor Alice Rivlin — “a great, proud Democrat” — in promoting a key Medicare provision in his budget proposal Tuesday. The only problem? Rivlin said she told the Republican she doesn’t support the final version of the measure he wrote into his budget — a provision Ryan referred to generally as the “Ryan-Rivlin” plan when rolling out his sweeping economic blueprint.” [POLITICO, 4/6/11] Medicare Cost Would Rise for Many Under Ryan Plan [Wall Street Journal]
“The House Republican plan for overhauling Medicare would fundamentally change how the federal government pays for health care, starting a decade from now, likely resulting in higher out-of-pocket costs and greater limits to coverage for many Americans.” [WSJ, 4/6/11] GOP seeking dramatic changes in Medicare and Medicaid [USA Today]
“Republicans unveiled a budget-cutting plan Tuesday that would dramatically revamp the twin health care pillars of the Great Society, taking a huge political risk that could reverberate all the way to November 2012 and beyond. Medicare, the government-run health insurance program covering about 47 million seniors and people with disabilities, would be run by private insurers and would cost beneficiaries more, or offer them less. Medicaid, the federal-state program covering more than 50 million low-income Americans, would be turned over to the states and cut by $750 billion over 10 years, forcing lesser benefits or higher copayments. Social Security eventually would be cut, too.” [USA Today, 4/6/11] Paul Ryan’s proposal poses a predicament for GOP [POLITICO]
“The dramatic 2012 spending plan unveiled Tuesday by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan amounts to a test of political will for the GOP’s most vulnerable lawmakers, some of them only a few months into their maiden terms. The decision before them boils down to this: Will they stake their seats on a risky vote to overhaul the federal budget, including the popular Medicare entitlement program? So far, the most popular answer is: maybe. […] Either a sudden surge of studiousness is sweeping through battleground districts, or these Republicans can smell the danger. There’s plenty of reason to be cautious: An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll last month showed fewer than a quarter of Americans supported cutting funds for Medicare and fewer than a third wanted to cut Medicaid — numbers that Republican pollster Bill McInturff called a “huge flashing yellow sign to Republicans.” [POLITICO, 4/6/11] The Budget Battles: The Threat to Medicaid and Medicare [New York Times]
“Representative Paul Ryan’s proposals to reform Medicare and Medicaid are mostly an effort to shift the burden to beneficiaries and the states. They have very little reform in them. […] For decades the Republicans have made clear their antipathy toward Medicare and Medicaid. Now they are trying to use the public’s legitimate concerns about the deficit to seriously cripple both programs. This isn’t real reform. If it moves forward, Americans will pay a high price.” [New York Times, 4/6/11] GOP bets voters will choose fiscal well-being over healthcare safety net [Los Angles Times]
“House Republicans’ ambitious plan to cut $5.8 trillion in federal spending over the next decade is built on a politically risky revival of the longtime GOP quest to scale back the healthcare safety net and hand consumers primary responsibility for controlling costs.” [LA Times, 4/6/11] Ryan’s Prosperity Plan Still Sees Big Deficits [Roll Call]
“Still, while the plan envisions paying off the national debt sometime after 2050 principally by squeezing spending on health care and other programs, it would still add more than $8 trillion to the national debt over the next decade — reaching $23 trillion in 2021. Indeed, the plan does not come close to balancing the budget in any year over that span. That violates proposed balanced budget amendments to the Constitution backed by every Senate Republican and a majority of the House.” [Roll Call, 4/6/11] Ryan Plan Pushes Optimism to the Outer Limits [National Journal]
“The tax and spending roadmap put forth Tuesday morning by Ryan, the Wisconsin Republican who heads the House Budget Committee, is backed by a set of extremely optimistic assumptions about how the budget would stimulate private investment, hiring, and broad economic growth. […] But the forecasted growth is so high that it falls on the outer edge of what most economists say is plausible—or even desirable—for the next decade.” [National Journal, 4/5/11]

I don’t really understand exactly what the Republicans are up to because this seems politically lethal in the long run and in the short term would seem to weaken them in the budget shutdown. (Do average people know that they are separate issues?)The only logical reason for doing it now is that they think they can push the debate hard enough to re-introduce Simpson-Bowles as the reasonable alternative and get it done. But that’s assuming they can do such a thing quickly and I see no evidence they can. This deficit debate is going to make health care look as easy as passing the Patriot Act. Can they possibly be under the illusion that holding out the Ryan boogeyman plan is enough to cause total panic among the Democrats? In a presidential election cycle?

I don’t think so. I think the GOP just doesn’t know which end is up. If the Dems would wake up to that fact they could take control of this right now and doom them for 2012. Unfortunately, I’m guessing that the president likes having Ryan out there as someone he can “work with” on a Grand Bargain with everyone’s “skin in the game” (especially the tissue thin skin of millions of sick and impoverished elderly people who can’t work, apparently.) If it works out as well as the current budget negotiations have up to now, Ryan will only get 65% of what he wants and liberals will be required to call that a big victory because, golly gosh, we fought back the Ryan juggernaut. I really hope I’m wrong. But this feels like an unstable situation that could go in any number of directions due to the competing interests of Democrats and the huge money that’s required to get them elected. The logical political interest is not readily apparent in those circumstances.

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