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Month: September 2012

We have to take it over, by @DavidOAtkins

We have to take it over

by David Atkins

Digby linked yesterday to Dan Froomkin’s article on Jeff Faux’s incredibly important book about the new servant economy. The key bit is here:

Jeff Faux, a progressive economist who founded the Economic Policy Institute in 1986, is the author of the new book, The Servant Economy: Where America’s Elite Is Sending the Middle Class. “The mantra, as you know, in today’s political debate is jobs, jobs, jobs,” he told an audience at EPI recently. “Listen carefully because the subtext is low wages, low wages, low wages.”

Faux argues that by the mid-2020s, even with the most optimistic assumptions about economic growth, current trends indicate that the average American’s wages will drop about 20 percent. One big factor is that more and more good jobs will go overseas, leaving even America’s best and brightest no alternative but to enter the service industry.

“You go into an Apple store and you see the future,” Faux said. “The future’s not in the technology — the future of the labor force is all in those smart college-educated people with the T-shirts whose job is to be a retail clerk for Chinese goods.”

One impetus for job growth, Faux writes in his book, is that as the super-rich get even richer, they’ll need more and more servants.

Welcome to your new economy. And neither Party is doing anything about it:

But no matter who wins the election, Faux said, the governing elite has pretty much already ruled out that agenda, in favor of light regulation and governmental austerity.

That’s because both Parties have been utterly captured by the ideology of Assets and Wages:

American public policy on both sides of the aisle reoriented itself away from a focus on wages and toward a focus on assets. Specifically, the idea was that wage growth was dangerous because it led to core inflation in a way that asset growth did not. American foreign policy became obsessed even more than it had been with maintaining access to oil, both to prevent future oil shocks and to prevent inflationary oil spirals. Wage growth was also dangerous because it would drive increasing numbers of American corporations to employ cheaper overseas labor.

But that left the question of how to sustain a middle class and functional economy while slashing wages. The answer was to make more Americans “true Capitalists” in Reagan’s terms. Pensions were converted to 401K plans, thus investing about half of Americans into the stock market and creating a national obsession with the health of market indices. Regular Americans were given credit cards, allowing them to take on the sorts of debt that had previously only been available to businesses. Most crucially, American policymakers did everything possible to incentivize homeownership, from programs designed to help people afford homes to major tax breaks for homeownership and much besides.

Low prices on foreign-made goods were also a policy priority. This had a dual benefit for policymakers: lower prices offset stagnant wages, while keeping core inflation low. Free trade deals were also a major centerpiece of public policy in this context. Few politicians actually believed that these deals would help increase wages and jobs in America. But what they were designed to do is keep low-cost goods coming into America, while increasing the stock value of American companies exporting goods overseas, thus raising asset values.

Low interest rates were also important. Renters and savers suffer in a low-interest rate environment, but borrowers and asset owners do very well. Tax cuts, of course, are also helpful in offsetting the impact of wage stagnation.

This is not a uniquely American or even Anglosphere problem. This ideological uniformity is occurring to a greater or lesser degree across the entire developed world. The Left is in a universal quandary over what to do about it, insofar as the established Left recognizes it at all.

In America, the Democratic Party is a force for good in many ways, especially in ensuring equal access to our very imperfect meritocracy regardless of race, gender, sexual orientation, etc. But by and large, the Democratic Party is quite blind to this problem. It’s difficult for people trapped in a system whose problems they don’t fully understand to even begin to offer solutions to those problems. It is human nature to cling to a broken system for fear of alternatives until it’s far too late, unable to even visualize alternatives or realize what is even wrong with the current system. So everyone rows right over the waterfall together, taking even the visionaries along with them like so many doomed Cassandras.

Among those who see the problems and see the end coming, there are many who look forward to the collapse, envisioning utopias that will never come to fruition and severely underestimating the darkness, prejudice, ignorance and injustice that inevitably arrive when large social systems fall into disrepair. Anarchists always believe that collapse must be superior to the current social order–until the social order disappears. When societies collapse, the creative destruction is far more destructive than it is creative.

If we wisely choose not to embrace the collapse, we have to look at how to change the system as is. As long as America has a winner-take-all voting system, there will be two dominant political parties. As long as there are two dominant political parties, the only real path to change is to exert influence on one of those two parties.

Those of us with the vision to see the problem have to act to exert our influence against the mindset that got us here. It’s the only way out for those of us who refuse to embrace the darkness of reactionary plutocracy and pseudo-progressive nihilism.

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Low wages and low expectations

Low wages and low expectations

by digby

Dan Froomkin wrote an interesting article last week about our new low wage economy that I’ve been meaning to link to. He points out that both parties are running on a pretty tepid jobs agenda, with Obama being hamstrung by the GOP from doing anything that might work and the GOP just not offering anything that might work.

But the problem runs deeper than that:

Jeff Faux, a progressive economist who founded the Economic Policy Institute in 1986, is the author of the new book, The Servant Economy: Where America’s Elite Is Sending the Middle Class. “The mantra, as you know, in today’s political debate is jobs, jobs, jobs,” he told an audience at EPI recently. “Listen carefully because the subtext is low wages, low wages, low wages.”

Faux argues that by the mid-2020s, even with the most optimistic assumptions about economic growth, current trends indicate that the average American’s wages will drop about 20 percent. One big factor is that more and more good jobs will go overseas, leaving even America’s best and brightest no alternative but to enter the service industry.

“You go into an Apple store and you see the future,” Faux said. “The future’s not in the technology — the future of the labor force is all in those smart college-educated people with the T-shirts whose job is to be a retail clerk for Chinese goods.”

One impetus for job growth, Faux writes in his book, is that as the super-rich get even richer, they’ll need more and more servants:

They will hire people to take care of their large homes and to tutor their children in Chinese, tennis, and sophisticated strategies for getting into the best private schools and universities. They will hire personal assistants to shop, pay their bills, and run their errands. Coaches will come to their homes to instruct them in physical fitness, mental relaxation, and spiritual transcendence. They will need maids, cooks, and gardeners.

What was that I was saying about the new aristocracy? Right.

Anyway:

Neither party, Faux argues, is addressing the economic realities that make this the most likely future for our country — because changing course would require massive government intervention. There’s a pretty strong consensus among all but the most ideologically conservative economists that the solution would involve considerable public investment in education, infrastructure, and green energy, new policies to promote domestic manufacturing, more activist regulation of the financial industry in particular, and a more progressive tax structure.

But no matter who wins the election, Faux said, the governing elite has pretty much already ruled out that agenda, in favor of light regulation and governmental austerity.

“I think Romney and Ryan are reactionary disasters. But the last four years should have told us something, and that is the power of big money to intimidate the Democrats,” he said. “The deal has already been made … Government over the next 10 to 15 years will be starved for revenue.”

I don’t know that the Democrats have been intimidated. It looks to me as if they’ve bought into the program. But it doesn’t really matter, does it?

Interestingly, this turned up in the New York Times, just this past week:

While a majority of jobs lost during the downturn were in the middle range of wages, a majority of those added during the recovery have been low paying, according to a new report from the National Employment Law Project.

The disappearance of midwage, midskill jobs is part of a longer-term trend that some refer to as a hollowing out of the work force, though it has probably been accelerated by government layoffs.

“The overarching message here is we don’t just have a jobs deficit; we have a ‘good jobs’ deficit,” said Annette Bernhardt, the report’s author and a policy co-director at the National Employment Law Project, a liberal research and advocacy group.

The report looked at 366 occupations tracked by the Labor Department and clumped them into three equal groups by wage, with each representing a third of American employment in 2008. The middle third — occupations in fields like construction, manufacturing and information, with median hourly wages of $13.84 to $21.13 — accounted for 60 percent of job losses from the beginning of 2008 to early 2010.

It would appear that everything’s going according to plan. If they can agree to slash government severely over the same 15-20 year period, I’m guessing the 1% will be set up for a very long time.

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The Romneys’ Halloween costumes: dressing up like normal people

The Romneys’ Halloween costumes

by digby

A friend of mine from Michigan sent this in the other night and I think it captures one of the odd effects the Romneys have on many average voters:

The reason I’m writing, besides to say hello, is to ask if you saw the Romneys on TV the other night saying they were just “regular people” – Anne stated that Mitt was even wearing a shirt from Costco – he loves them – he has a whole package of them.

I find that very offensive. It’s like they are making fun of us “regular people” – like dressing up for Halloween – in shirts they would never wear unless they were running for office. Wearing clothes of normal people must make you normal. Whoever is prompting them on their “normal” comments, must be really out of touch, too

I’ve had that feeling about all these millionaire political celebrities, from Tim Russert and Chris Matthews continuously pretending they are ordinary working class guys to Andrea Mitchell going on about how “we all need to sacrifice.” It is offensive. Clinton (and now Obama) do this better, in my opinion. They explicitly refer to themselves in speeches as “wealthy people like me,” (although both of them certainly do the usual “Whiz wit” pandering.)

I suppose conservatives don’t mind this phony baloney millionaires-shopping-at-Walmart bullshit because they are sure they’re all going to win the lottery and then they too will be just like all these “regular folks” who happen to be multi-millionaires. Liberals are handicapped by that “reality based” thing again.
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QOTD: Gloria Borger

QOTD: Gloria Borger

by digby

“In 1968, France was a dangerous place to be for a 21-year-old American, but Mitt Romney was right in the middle of it.”

Yes, she actually said that. That quote comes from a CNN documentary on Romney, which Tommy Christopher at Mediaite rips to shreds in this highly entertaining column. Borger seems to be wholly unaware of the irony of her statement. But then so does Mitt:

The portion of the documentary in question covers Mitt Romney’s stint as a door-to-door Mormon recruiter in 1968 France, a duty which helped him to avoid military service in Vietnam. Earlier in the doc, narrator and interviewer Gloria Borger glossed over the fact that Romney sought, and received, four deferments during the Vietnam War (and later lied about it), instead saying simply that he was “exempt as a student, and with a high draft number.”

The doc also notes, as an example of Romney “becoming his own man,” that he protested in favor of the draft that he so skillfully avoided, before moving on to the time he spent in France, a time that Romney once described as “tough” because the French were “not happy to see Americans, because we were in Vietnam at the time.”

Yes, you heard that right. Not only did Mitt Romney protest in favor of sending other people’s children to die in Vietnam, even as he avoided service himself, he then complained about how those dying Americans made it “tough” for him while he was in France avoiding service.

Is there anything more revealing about the right wing than their double standard over Vietnam? For years and years, they harrangued the Democrats into a pile of quivering jello over their alleged lack of patriotic cojones for failing to serve in Vietnam. And yet once all their fortunate sons started running for office it stopped being relevant.


This is what makes it so hard to respect so many of the most hardcore American conservatives — their endless self-serving hypocrisy.
Update: And this

Mitt Romney did not mention the war in Afghanistan, where 79,000 US troops are fighting, in his speech accepting the Republican presidential nomination on Thursday. The last time a Republican presidential nominee did not address war was 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower spoke generally about American power and spreading freedom around the world but did not explicitly mention armed conflict.

I hate the “imagine if the Democrats did that” trope, but seriously … imagine if the Democrats did that.

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If you haven’t done anything wrong you have nothing to worry about

If you haven’t done anything wrong you have nothing to worry about

by digby

The 4th Amendment is obsolete:

A camera mounted to a lamppost on the Sea Isle Boulevard Bridge has taken a picture of every license plate leaving the island for the past two years.

The information is transmitted to a computer at the nearby Police Department, where officers use it to monitor for stolen vehicles and suspected criminals, or keep it to be used in a potential future case.

The automated license plate reader, or ALPR, is a technology that is growing in use locally and throughout the world as a way to dramatically expand the reach of police investigations. Cameras essentially take photographs of passing vehicles and use software to extract the license plate numbers — data that can then be used to automatically search police databases for any issues with that vehicle or its registered owner.

“It’s a very, very good tool when you deploy it right,” said Sea Isle City police Lt. Kirk Rohrer, who has used the system for several successful investigations.

Using the technology correctly has been a concern among privacy advocates, though, who worry what would happen if the immense amount of data being collected is misused.

Indeed. But again, if you do what you’re told and don’t ever make a mistake or break a rule — and have complete trust in the integrity and competence of the authorities — then this shouldn’t be a problem for you. If every human being is perfect at all times, we don’t need to worry our pretty little heads about any of this.

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Charlotte Bound, by @DavidOAtkins

Charlotte Bound

by David Atkins

By the time you read this, I will be on my way to Charlotte, NC, for the big brouhaha. It’s an important opportunity for local and online activists to share ideas and tactics for winning elections and advancing progressive values. But as a media spectacle, the power of the conventions may be declining substantially. As Booman theorizes:

If video killed the radio star, it appears that the internet killed the political convention bounce. Between 1968 and 1992, the only challenger not to get a double digit bounce out of his convention was George McGovern, and he still got a bounce bigger than Bush in 2000, Kerry in 2004, or Obama in 2008. McGovern’s convention was, of course, a tremendous disaster because his running mate turned out to have received electric shock therapy.

Before the inception of the internet, most Americans were much more influenced by the political coverage of the conventions on television. People learned a lot about Richard Nixon, Jimmy Carter, Walter Mondale, Mike Dukakis, and Bill Clinton by watching their conventions. They learned almost nothing about George W. Bush, John Kerry, or Barack Obama by watching theirs. I think Mitt Romney will discover that the trend remains true.

Today’s conventions are basically like big ad buys. You get a small and unsustainable bounce out of them, but they matter very little.

In 2008, the Democratic convention didn’t move the polls much but the flawless execution solidified the impression that Obama knew how to do big things. In 2012, the Republican convention had a lot of hiccups, which bolstered the idea that Romney can’t execute under pressure.

What the convention will do, however, is highlight some fundamental contrasts between the two parties. Despite the shrieks from bipartisan fetishists, the parties aren’t actually as far apart as they ought to be. The parties need to be at least far apart enough to destroy any chance of a “Grand Bargain” that will allow billionaires to give away tip money in exchange for putting seniors on cat food and taking medicine out of the hands of children.

At any rate, I’ll be posting thoughts, ideas, and things overheard at the convention as the week progresses.

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