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Month: January 2013

QOTD: Henry Blodget

QOTD: Henry Blodget

by digby

A rich man goes slumming in coach:

I Was Quite Surprised By Some Things On My American Airlines International ‘Economy Class’ Flight

Totally hilarious:

I got a free pillow. And a free blanket. I didn’t necessarily expect either of those. The blanket came in a plastic pouch, and it didn’t obviously have hair or any other foreign matter on it.

On a 9 hour flight, you’re going to want to sleep. But when you tilt your chair back the 3 inches your chair tilts back, there’s no room for your legs. You can shift your knees left and invade your neighbor’s space. Or you can shift them right and try to squeeze them between the next seat up and the fuselage. Or you can try the “knee up” technique.But nothing is going to be comfortable. The traveler in the next row up appears to have developed a technique that involves jamming one’s head between the window and seat ahead. Maybe I’ll try that one next time.

Click over for more. It has pictures. Like this:

In the end he feels it was just great. He even got a free cookie!

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Poor Rush carries a very heavy burden

Poor Rush carries a very heavy burden

by digby

He’s frightened and alone:

Anyway, one of Marco Rubio’s points, folks, essentially is that Obama’s already given us de facto amnesty anyway. He did it with the children of illegal immigrants via the executive order back last year. It was prior to the election. I mean, thanks to Obama you have amnesty unless you get convicted of a major felony. So I don’t know that there’s any stopping this. It’s up to me and Fox News, and I don’t think Fox News is that invested in this. I don’t think there’s any Republican opposition to this of any majority consequence or size. We’ll have to wait and see and find out. But this is one of those, just keep plugging away, plugging away, plugging away until you finally beat down the opposition.

After Obama’s first election you’ll recall that Rush was out there all by himself as well, saying that he wanted Obama to fail. The Villagers gasped, the conservative politicians got nervous.

And then came CPAC:

RUSH AT CPAC: This notion that I want the president to fail, folks, this shows you a sign of the problem we’ve got. That’s nothing more than common sense, and to not be able to say it? Why in the world do I want what we’ve just described, rampant government growth, indebtedness that has — wealth that’s not even been created yet is being spent. What is in this? What possibly is in this that any of us want to succeed? Did the Democrats want the war in Iraq to fail? Well, they certainly did. And they not only wanted the war in Iraq to fail, they proclaimed it a failure. There’s Dingy Harry Reid waving the white flag, “This war is lost.”

CROWD: (cheers and applause)

RUSH AT CPAC: They called General Petraeus a liar before he even testified.

CROWD: (booing)

RUSH AT CPAC: Mrs. Clinton —

CROWD: (crowd booing)

RUSH AT CPAC: — said she had to suspend, willingly suspend disbelief or whatever to listen to Petraeus. We’re in the process of winning the war. The last thing they wanted was to win. They hoped George Bush failed. So where is it, what is so strange about being honest and saying I want Barack Obama to fail if his mission is to restructure and reform this country so that capitalism and individual liberty are not its foundation? Why would I want that to succeed?

CROWD: (Cheers and applause.)

There are a lot of things that fueled the Tea Party, from Ron Paul to Rick Santelli to Fox News. But this CPAC cris de coeur from Limbaugh had a galvanizing effect on the hardcore right. They stopped being defensive that very day.

This little whine from this morning is a pathetic sequel to that performance, I’m afraid. If you read the whole transcript you’ll see that he thinks everybody in the party is being stupid because nobody ever said anything about deportation and that it’s all a big poopyhead Democratic plot. Also too, poor Sarah Palin.

I suppose it’s possible that he’ll make a big comeback or the legislation will fail and he’ll take credit for doing it. But at this moment he just sounds like a big old bawling baby.

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Do exactly the opposite of what your gut tells you, by @DavidOAtkins

Do exactly the opposite of what your gut tells you

by David Atkins

Can we all just admit that austerity doesn’t work?

The U.K. economy shrank more than expected at the end of last year, leaving Britain at risk of its third recession in four years and putting more pressure on the government to ease austerity measures as it tries to turn around the country’s economy.

Official figures published Friday showed gross domestic product fell 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with the third, due largely to a drop in mining, quarrying and manufacturing output. The consensus among many economists was that the economy would shrink by 0.1% on a quarterly basis. Annual economic growth was flat, even as nations such as the U.S. and Germany show signs of growth.

Obviously, government spending cannot increase ad infinitum and deficits can have dramatic negative consequences if allowed to spin violently out of control. But the very last time to curb either is in a recession. This is a point Paul Krugman has made again and again, but it doesn’t seem to resonate.

Human beings are simple-minded creatures. Even–and especially–those at the elite levels of finance and government. Moving beyond simple venal and greedy efforts by a great many elites to use deficits as an excuse to bolster their own obscene wealth, there are a significant number of Very Serious People who do truly believe in the austerity nonsense as beneficial for an economy to avert long-term collapse.

The rapacious greedheads cannot be reached, of course. But to those ill-informed but well-intentioned people whose concern about deficits comes from heartfelt good will, here’s the deal: when it comes to deficits and government spending, the key is to do the opposite of what your gut tells you.

When there’s a recession, contraction in GDP will cause deficits to soar. Your gut will tell you to panic and contract spending. This is in fact the opposite of what you should do. It is in recession that spending must increase and some demand-focused taxes be cut, even if it seems wildly irresponsible in the face of growing deficits.

When there’s an expansion, by contrast, your gut will tell you to let it all hang out, give people their money back in the form of tax cuts, and ride that rocket to maximum prosperity. Again, this is the opposite of what you should do. It is precisely in boom times that excess spending should be trimmed and taxes be raised, in order to curb deficits that will otherwise be potentially problematic during the next recession.

This is called countercyclical fiscal policy. You should have learned this in Economics 101, but forgotten it when your Chicago School professor declared it hogwash in the era of Milton Friedman and permanent growth. Countercyclical fiscal policy is correct. Austerity during recession doesn’t work. Feeding the bubble monster during periods of growth is disastrous.

Basically, you should do pretty much the opposite of what your gut and everyone from the University of Chicago economics department tells you to. Unlearn what you have learned. And until you do, please stop jabbering on the teevee. It’s unbecoming, and makes you just a tool of the rapacious greedheads who do know better and are using deceptively intuitive procyclical arguments to line their own pockets.

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Barack and Hillary sittin’ in a tree

Barack and Hillary sittin’ in a tree

by digby

I’m watching people on MSNBC deconstruct the Obama Hillary interview on 60 Minutes last night and marveling that they are pretending to be so much alike and share so many viewpoints. There are also many snarky exchanges about the 08 primary election saying that it can’t possibly be true because they were so horribly nasty to one another, replete with tired references to “you’re likeable enough” and implying that Barack had to do this to keep the crazy “ruthless” bitch close so she doesn’t ruin his legacy. Oy vey.

As someone who believed in ’08 that there wasn’t a dime’s worth of difference between them, (and still have the scars to prove that it was a very unpopular position) the interview was totally unsurprising. This is absolutely correct:

Secretary Clinton: … after I ended my campaign, I immediately did everything I could to help the president get elected, because despite our hard-fought primary, we had such agreement on what needed to be done for our country.

President Obama: Made for tough debates, by the way, ’cause we–

Secretary Clinton: It did. We could never figure out what we were different on. Yeah, we worked at that pretty hard.

’08 was nasty not because they were so different but because they were so much alike. Their most ardent followers had to find reasons to justify their passion. But the fact is that they have always been intellectually sympatico, pragmatic technocrat types and both ran as moderate Democrats. On policy, I totally believe Hillary when she says they could often communicate wordlessly. If there was any difference, I believe that Clinton might have been less naive about the possibility of bipartisan comity — but then Obama had much less baggage, which is very meaningful in that town full of vipers.

I don’t know who’s going to run in 2016 and at this moment I could not care less. I would love to back a hardcore progressive woman in the primaries at least, but who knows if that chance will come? I do know that if the B list Village prattlers haven’t come any farther than this in the last four years, I really hope Clinton doesn’t run at all. It’s clear that whatever it is that makes people turn into slobbering sexists when it comes to her is still just lurking under the surface. Maybe someone else wouldn’t flip that switch.

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Thanking Jeff Merkley

Thanking Jeff Merkley

by digby

I wish more activist groups did this sort of thing. You simply have to reward effort in politics and let politicians know that they have support for their progressive initiatives even if they ultimately fail. Just beating up everyone all the time has limited efficacy after a while, especially in the liberal realm.

Last week’s filibuster reform deal fell far short of Sen. Jeff Merkley’s expectations, but the Oregon Democrat’s efforts to end the silent filibuster have not been left without reward.

The Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC) on Monday said it has raised over $30,000 for Merkley’s 2014 reelection campaign. The fundraising was based on an email touting the senator’s refusal to back down from demands for more far-reaching reforms to the Senate rules, even when faced with opposition within his own caucus.

Merkley is one of the serious, strategic liberals in the congress who isn’t afraid to step up. It’s important to back him and I congratulate the PCCC for doing it. 30k is a big chunk of change even in this big money environment and it means something that it came from small donors. Good for them.

Update: And if you would like to give him a little boost through our Blue America page, please feel free to do so. We’ve been big fans and backers since his first run and we’re looking forward to doing so again in 2014.

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Ten years ago today

Ten years ago today

by digby

Jonathan over at Michael Moore’s place commemorates an anniversary that nobody else will:

Bush’s Greatest Lie Ten Years Ago Today:

Sending Americans into battle is the most profound decision a President can make. The technologies of war have changed; the risks and suffering of war have not. For the brave Americans who bear the risk, no victory is free from sorrow. This nation fights reluctantly, because we know the cost and we dread the days of mourning that always come.

Nice words. Americans love to believe they’ve been forced into doing things they wanted to do all along. But Bush and his cronies had been itching to invade Iraq for a very long time:

Two years before the September 11 attacks, presidential candidate George W. Bush was already talking privately about the political benefits of attacking Iraq, according to his former ghost writer, who held many conversations with then-Texas Governor Bush in preparation for a planned autobiography.

“He was thinking about invading Iraq in 1999,” said author and journalist Mickey Herskowitz. “It was on his mind. He said to me: ‘One of the keys to being seen as a great leader is to be seen as a commander-in-chief.’ And he said, ‘My father had all this political capital built up when he drove the Iraqis out of Kuwait and he wasted it.’ He said, ‘If I have a chance to invade, if I had that much capital, I’m not going to waste it. I’m going to get everything passed that I want to get passed and I’m going to have a successful presidency.” Herskowitz said that Bush expressed frustration at a lifetime as an underachiever in the shadow of an accomplished father. In aggressive military action, he saw the opportunity to emerge from his father’s shadow.

And we all know about the dreams of Iraqi demaaahcracy from the neo-cons at the PNAC, most of whom were in the Bush administration. It was baked in the yellow cake from the beginning. 9/11 just gave them the pretext.

As I read this I was reminded of David’s piece below and my own oft-stated contention that President Obama and his team believe their own hype. Perhaps it’s a function of necessary ego for anyone who wants to wield this massive power to have such delusions of grandeur.

And honestly, it’s not just the presidents themselves. Bush’s followers were thrilled at “the opportunity to invade” and I don’t think they would have resisted him whether 9/11 had happened or not. Vietnam Syndrome haunted the American right and they were eager to vanquish it once and for all — under a Republican president, of course. And I recall a friend of mine saying before the 2008 election that Obama had to be elected because he was the only man in the country who could change Washington and bring the country together. Political delusions come in all shapes and sizes.

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Courting Latinos isn’t going to be as easy as the GOP thinks it is

Courting Latinos isn’t going to be as easy as the GOP thinks it is

by digby

So, apparently the GOP is moving on immigration reform on the basis of this AEI study which allegedly showed that the Latinos would vote for them if they do it. I don’t see that in the charts they provide (only a possibility that some of them might vote for them) but if they are willing to take the chance — and their base lets them get away with it — immigration reform is necessary on the merits so I don’t really care if it benefits them or not.

But the truth is that it probably won’t. Jamelle Bouie points out the obvious reason:

Latinos have been a reliable Democratic constituency for more than thirty years — Walter Mondale won 66 percent of Latinos, Michael Dukakis won 70 percent, and on average, Democratic presidential candidates finish with 63.5 percent support from Hispanic voters.

The reason is straightforward: Latinos are more liberal than the median voter. According to the most recent Pew poll on these questions (released last year), 75 percent of Hispanics say they support bigger government with more services, compared to 41 percent of the general population. Fifty-one percent say abortion should be legal, and 59 percent say “homosexuality should be accepted by society.” There just isn’t much appetite among Latinos for the traditional small government approach of the GOP. Comprehensive immigration reform may reduce hostility towards the Republican Party, but it won’t increase vote share.

In the past the Republicans have relied on certain stereotypical patriarchal notions on social issues to appeal to Latinos. And there was some small success for a while. But the times they are a changin’ on that set of issues across all of American culture and as Bouie points out Latinos are among them. With the exception of abortion rights (which is only opposed by a majority of first generation immigrants) Latinos are quite liberal. There isn’t much room to move on that either.

I don’t know what the Republicans plan to do to appeal to this community beyond immigration reform, which presumably is simply a case of no harm no foul for Latinos since the Democrats favor it too, but I’m not sure what the GOP can do to appeal to them. Needless to say, they are going to have to deal with their own angry base on this, an angry base which was just two years ago passing laws to make it permissible to ask anyone who “looks like an illegal” for their papers. I’m going to guess those folks aren’t going to be particularly happy about any of this. So, they’re in a pickle.

They simply have to start appealing to some members of the Democratic base. And they seem to think they have a chance with this growing bloc. But that’s not going to be as easy as they think it is. I don’t know where they’re going to turn, frankly.

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The President’s Tragic Flaw, by @DavidOAtkins

The President’s Tragic Flaw

by David Atkins

The New Republic has an interesting interview with President Obama out. There’s not much earth-shattering in it, but this bit in particular is both maddening and instructive. For context, the conversation is about Republican obstructionism:

CH: You spoke last summer about your election potentially breaking the fever of the Republicans. The hope being that, once you were reelected, they would seek to do more than just block your presidency. Do you feel that you’ve made headway on that?

President Obama: Not yet, obviously.

CH: How do you imagine it happening?

President Obama: I never expected that it would happen overnight. I think it will be a process. And the Republican Party is undergoing a still-early effort at reexamining what their agenda is and what they care about. I think there is still shock on the part of some in the party that I won reelection. There’s been a little bit of self-examination among some in the party, but that hasn’t gone to the party as a whole yet.

And I think part of the reason that it’s going to take a little bit of time is that, almost immediately after the election, we went straight to core issues around taxes and spending and size of government, which are central to how today’s Republicans think about their party. Those issues are harder to find common ground on.

But if we can get through this first period and arrive at a sensible package that reduces our deficits, stabilizes our debts, and involves smart reforms to Medicare and judicious spending cuts with some increased revenues and maybe tax reform, and you can get a package together that doesn’t satisfy either Democrats or Republicans entirely, but puts us on a growth trajectory because it leaves enough spending on education, research and development, and infrastructure to boost growth now, but also deals with our long-term challenges on health care costs, then you can imagine the Republicans saying to themselves, “OK, we need to get on the side of the American majority on issues like immigration. We need to make progress on rebuilding our roads and bridges.”

President Obama is a man of many admirable qualities and strengths. But he has a character flaw worthy of Shakespearean tragedy that is perfectly illustrated in this little snippet. That flaw is the desire common to many tragic anti-heroes imbued with a certain narcissism, to believe that he can do what no others can–in this case, to transcend seemingly impossible political divides by bringing the two parties together to achieve bipartisan policy goals.

There are those who claim that the President is fundamentally centrist and believes in a Rockefeller Republican vision on economics. And yet there is much evidence against this notion: the Affordable Care Act, the fiscal cliff deal and the President’s successful negotiation on the debt ceiling all had fairly progressive outcomes given the standards of the era and the capacities of Congress to achieve them. The President’s Supreme Court choices have been excellent. True, there has been little prosecution of Wall Street villains or abnegation of certain kinds of militaristic foreign policy. Those are problematic to be sure, but not necessarily determinative of the President’s vision. There are other explanations for these problems, mostly having to do with a desire not to upset too many apple carts at once during a time of turbulence and overwhelming political hostility.

Rather than second guess the President’s motives, Occam’s Razor suggests that we take his words at face value. His words are remarkably consistent and have been for years: he wants to bridge the partisan divide and make Washington functional again. The fact that Republicans seem absolutely committed to breaking American governance and destroying the President at all costs doesn’t seem to faze him much, nor does it cause him to question their essential goodwill and allegiance to nation’s fundamental well-being.

The President seems to genuinely believe that if a Grand Bargain on taxes, spending and deficits can be reached, then Republicans will be placated enough to be reasonable on other pieces of the Administration’s social and economic agenda.

This vision presumes an enormous amount of good faith on the part of the Republican Party that is not in evidence. It first presumes that Republicans actually care about cutting deficits instead of simply slashing the safety net and redistributing wealth upward to the obscenely rich. The deficit-ballooning presidencies of Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush alone are evidence enough to prove otherwise. The President’s assumptions secondarily presume that if Republicans were to see their deficit objectives fulfilled, they would be placated enough to be reasonable when considering the President’s other policy goals. That, too, requires a suspension of disbelief. The history of the Republican Party over the last few decades has shown that any giving of ground is considered not a good faith effort at quid pro quo negotiation, but rather weakness to be exploited by further demands.

Significantly, it also presumes that making concessions to Republicans on taxes, deficits and spending is worth their cooperation on other issues such as immigration. Unless Republicans were to play against type by cooperating on significant action against climate change (a highly unlikely scenario), such trades would almost certainly be counterproductive to the overall interests of the American people even if they were possible.

But it appears that despite all evidence, the President believes that political reconciliation is somehow possible, and that a chastened Republican Party will come to the table as a legitimate negotiating partner once the deficit is taken off the table as an issue. He needs, for some deep-seated reason, to believe it. Perhaps he believes that American governance is reaching a point of no return and that if he can’t save it, no one can. It would be an odd belief for an African-American President dealing with an entrenched opposition based mostly in the old Confederacy. Perhaps he believes that no policy legacy would be more celebrated than the cultural legacy of having “solved” the hostility-generating issues for all time and having brought back an era of good feelings to Capitol Hill based purely on his own charisma and determination to accomplish the goal.

Who knows? But it’s increasingly clear (and has been since he began running for President back in 2007) that the President is pushing for a Grand Bargain less out of a conviction that benefits must be taken from the middle class for the benefit of the wealthy, and more from a belief that only from such pain can a broken legislative system be fixed. He is bound and determined to be the man to fix it, and no amount of direct Republican hostility to him and every fiber of his being will dissuade him.

The President’s tragic flaw is ultimately a function of misplaced idealism. The problem with Washington isn’t that Republicans and Democrats can’t get along. The problem is that the entire Republican Party and far too large a section of the Democratic Party has been utterly captured by corporate and plutocratic interests. Worse still, a majority of the Republican Party has been taken over not just by run-of-the-mill plutocrats, but by rabid Objectivists not just corrupted by wealth, but enraptured by an intense, pseudo-religious allergy to empathy and the common good. Cooperation between the parties in this climate isn’t something to be wished for. It’s devoutly to be avoided.

The President is right about one thing: legislative accomplishments worthy of a legacy etched into Mount Rushmore are utterly impossible in the current political climate. But changing that equation depends not on bringing the two sides together, but rather on serious reform of the legislative system that helps cleanse both parties of what ails them. If President Obama wanted a legacy worthy of his considerable ambition, he would spend more time pushing for filibuster reform than for Grand Bargains, and more time weeding money out of politics than defusing partisanship.

But it will be difficult to convince him otherwise. Like many a Shakesperean tragic hero, his own misplaced idealism and overweening confidence in his own personal charisma will likely deny him the legacy of success he so deeply craves. Fortunately, it is only the beginning of his second term, and the curtain has barely risen on Act III. There is still time to adjust course and change the fate of this Presidency before the tragedy is etched irrevocably into the history books.

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“I think it is a landmark decision along the road we *must* take toward the emancipation of women and I make no apology for that whatsoever.”

“I think it is a landmark decision along the road we must take toward the emancipation of women and I make no apology for that whatsoever.”

by digby

Here’s some more wonderful news from the laboratories of democracy, via Bill Moyers:

As we note the 40th anniversary of Roe v. Wade, Bill [Moyers] discusses the fierce challenges facing the reproductive rights movement with Jessica González-Rojas, Executive Director of the National Latina Institute for Reproductive Health, and Lynn Paltrow, founder and Executive Director of National Advocates for Pregnant Women. Though a majority of Americans now believe abortion should be legal in most cases, anti-abortion forces showing no sign of relenting. A study by the Guttmacher Institute reported that state legislatures passed 92 provisions restricting a woman’s access to reproductive health care in 2011 — a number four times higher than the previous year.

“What’s happened is that women are beginning to recognize that what’s at stake is more than abortion,” Paltrow tells Bill. “It is their personhood — their ability to be full, equal, constitutional persons in the United States of America.”

Watch the whole discussion if you have the time. It’s enlightening and intelligent. This is about far more than compulsory childbirth:

And this piece from 1987 with Moyers and Justice Harry Blackmun, who wrote the decision, is kind of astonishing. You forget these days what liberals used to sound like.

“I think it is a landmark decision along the road we must take toward the emancipation of women and I make no apology for that whatsoever.”

And he was entirely right — when it comes to human freedom, faster is better.

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Just don’t call them terrorists

Just don’t call them terrorists

by digby

A lawsuit against a Kansas woman who publicly proclaimed her admiration for the man who gunned down one of the country’s few late-term abortion providers is revealing the unwavering support a small group of radical anti-abortion activists has for the imprisoned killer despite an ongoing federal investigation into the 2009 slaying.

Though no federal indictments have been handed down by a grand jury investigating whether Dr. George Tiller’s death was connected to a broader case involving extreme anti-abortion activists, the lawsuit against Angel Dillard is one indication the Justice Department is taking a more heavy handed approach to perceived threats to abortion providers. In addition to alleging Dillard, of Valley Center, sent a threatening letter in 2011 to another Wichita doctor who was training to offer abortions, the lawsuit also highlights Dillard’s relationship with Scott Roeder, the man convicted of fatally shooting Tiller at the physician’s church…

Hailed by militant anti-abortion forces as a “prisoner of Christ,” Roeder has been spreading his radical views from a Kansas prison. Other extremists have gravitated to Roeder, visiting him in prison, sending him money and offering legal advice, court documents show.[…]

A federal grand jury began investigating in 2010 whether Tiller’s murder was connected to a larger case involving radical anti-abortion activists. Though no public charges have been filed, a spokeswoman for the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division, Dena Iverson, said the investigation is still open.

The lawsuit against Dillard was filed in April 2011 under a federal law aimed at protecting access to reproductive services. It seeks a court order keeping her from coming within 250 feet of the doctor, along with damages of $5,000 and a civil penalty of $15,000. The case is scheduled for trial in October.

It’s damned lucky she and her friends didn’t download any publicly available documents. She’d be charged with felonies and facing 35 years in prison.

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