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Month: March 2014

Jerry Brown wants you to get off his lawn… er … grass. Or something.

Jerry Brown wants you to get off his lawn… er … grass. Or something.

by digby

I’m pretty sure he really believes this:

California Gov. Jerry Brown (D) said Sunday that he is not convinced legalizing marijuana is a good idea because the population needs to “stay alert.”

“The problem with anything, a certain amount is okay,” Brown said on NBC’s Meet the Press. “But there is a tendency to go to extremes. And all of a sudden, if there’s advertising and legitimacy, how many people can get stoned and still have a great state or a great nation? The world’s pretty dangerous, very competitive. I think we need to stay alert, if not 24 hours a day, more than some of the potheads might be able to put together.”

Yeah, ok Jer. Thanks. We’ll all be sure to “stay alert” at all times.

Does everyone remember when Governor Moonbeam was the hippie governor dating Linda Ronstadt and widely considered to be some sort of acid head freak? Yeah, it was a long time ago.

Everybody gets old. You will too. If you’re lucky.

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Headline ‘O the Day

Headline ‘O the Day

by digby

Big-Money Donors Demand Larger Say in Party Strategy

What could go wrong?

Donors like Paul Singer, the billionaire Republican investor, have expanded their in-house political shops, building teams of loyal advisers and researchers to guide and coordinate their giving. And some of the biggest contributors to Republican outside groups in 2012 are now gravitating toward the more donor-centric political and philanthropic network overseen by Charles and David Koch, who have wooed them in part by promising more accountability over how money is spent.

“People are really drawn to the Koch model,” said Anthony Scaramucci, a New York hedge fund investor and Republican fund-raiser, who attended the Kochs’ annual donor conference near Palm Springs, Calif., in January. “It’s adaptive, data-driven, and they are the most propitious capital allocators in political activism.”

“Propitious capital allocators in political activism?” Oy. Well, we can always hope they crash the political donor networks as efficiently as they crashed the financial system I guess …

But that’s not all:

The phenomenon is not limited to the right. Super PACs blessed by Democratic congressional leaders have posted strong fund-raising over the last year, bolstered by victories in 2012. But those organizations are now being overshadowed by donors like Tom Steyer, the billionaire who is raising a $100 million political fund with other wealthy environmentalists to battle politicians deemed hostile to climate regulation.

Now, I don’t have a problem with battling politicians hostile to climate regulation. But somehow I doubt that’s going to work in favor of people who care about other things — like income inequality, for instance, or women’s rights, the kinds of issues that wealthy billionaires like to use as chips to get get people on board their personal cause.

What this story is basically saying is that both political parties are moribund and taking their place are networks sponsored by billionaires. And from what I hear among the cognoscenti, this is actually considered to be a good thing as the Very Serious Elites take back the system from the right wing crazies. (The left wing is considered laughably irrelevant under all circumstances so that’s not even part of the equation.) The villagers have concluded that the current system has been irreparably harmed by the Tea Party’s obstruction and the only hope is for the owners to put their feet down and take their country back.

“The Karl Rove thing is out,” said one donor, who asked for anonymity because he did not want to offend Mr. Rove. “The Koch thing is in.”

That’s going to work out just great.

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The battle of the century

The battle of the century

by digby

Now this should be fun:

Howard Kurtz has decided it’s about time somebody took on Stephen Colbert – and Kurtz has volunteered for the job. The only problem? In his heavy-handed attack on Colbert, Kurtz has only served to set himself up as the brunt of more jokes.

In what seems to be a preview of today’s Media Buzz, Kurtz wrote a post for Fox News Insider on Friday:

It’s about time someone took on Stephen Colbert.

This guy—a fake anchor if ever there was one—has been maligning hard-working journalists for too long.

Journalists like me…

Now Colbert was perfectly nice to me when I was once on his show, but it’s now clear he was just trying to disarm me for future attacks. Well, two can play this game, buddy.

Oh my dear God. I think he might be serious.

Or just whoring for traffic and eyeballs … you be the judge.

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The fallout from flouting international law

The fallout from flouting international law

by digby

As I watch all the usual suspects fulminate about the Russians invading a sovereign nation without provocation I can’t help but think of this article about the end of America’s foreign policy hypocrisy by Henry Farrell a few weeks back. He was writing about the Snowden revelations and how they have laid bare the hollowness of America’s claims to noble behavior in foreign policy. He felt that this brave new world without secrets would inevitably lead to a necessity for this powerful nation to be more transparent — and less hypocritical. I agreed with that at the time he wrote it and I still tend to think that the ramifications of the threat to secrecy is going to force a fundamental change in the way powerful nations operate. However, watching the debate unfold over Ukraine the last couple of days, one can see how hypocrisy is a pretty weak impediment to actions nations wish to take.

It’s very hard as an American to righteously defend the precepts on International Law with respect to national sovereignty after what we did  just 11 years ago in Iraq. I feel like an idiot saying it out loud to anyone and am embarrassed to see John Kerry shaking his fist and proclaiming the illegality and illegitimacy of Russia’s actions when he personally voted for that illegitimate and illegal invasion. From what I gather, this is not a problem for most people so perhaps I’m in a minority, but to me, that misbegotten war has completely shattered any claims we have as a nation to lecture others in this way. It sounds hollow and phony and completely without what the neocons used to call “moral authority.”

I think this matters, particularly for a democratic military super-power that has pretensions to benevolent hegemony. You do something like Iraq and you invite others to do the same. Indeed, one could make a better case for the Russians doing what they’re doing today than what we did just a few short years ago — there is a long, long history among these people and common borders that have been drawn recently (by historical standards) are always in flux. Compared to our patently phony rationale for invading Iraq, the violation of international law here is far less egregious.

The US can say that what we did has no bearing on what is happening today in Russia today so let’s not bring up that old news. But we made a gigantic moral and strategic error and there is a price to pay for that. It looks preposterous when we wave around international norms and international laws that we violated with impunity in very recent memory. A little humility here would probably be more effective than the holier-than-thou lecturing we see coming from the usual suspects today.

I have no hope for the bellicose wingnuts who are doing the usual flag-waving and warmongering. If they had their way we’d be “liberating” Ukraine this week — and onward to Moscow. And I certainly agree with the liberals and realists who want to prevent Russia from pushing further into Ukraine and provoking a bloody war. Nobody wins when that happens. (Hearing Brezinski, Albright and Zakaria evoke Munich is over the top and ridiculous and advice to deploy NATO at this stage is provocative and absurd, however.) Mostly I’d just like to see a little less sanctimony from our leadership as they try to work their way through this. It’s not helping anyone.

To be honest, this is a moment I’m glad we have President Obama in office right now. He’s shown admirable restraint in these matters in recent months and I’m hopeful he will prove to be a cooler head than most of Washington seems to be this week-end. At least he doesn’t sound like an amnesiac when he wrings his hands over national sovereignty being violated. His hands are clean on that one.

Update: sigh

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Bigots aren’t too bright

Bigots aren’t too bright

by digby

I just heard some fine Republican named Adam Kinzinger explain on This Week that the Arizona “religious liberty” law was nothing like Jim Crow because there would only be a few businesses who would discriminate against gay people so they can always find another business to cater to their needs whereas Jim Crow mandated that whites not serve blacks.

I guess he didn’t know that back in the day there were black owned businesses that catered to African Americans and that this was known as the “separate but equal” doctrine. It was decided a long time ago that the “separate” thing wasn’t acceptable. Bigots aren’t too bright.

Here’s a little help for them:

The Left doesn’t just need better tactics. It needs a return to better ideas. by @DavidOAtkins

The Left doesn’t just need better tactics. It needs a return to better ideas.

by David Atkins

Adolph Reed has made a recent splash with his essay in Harper’s Magazine and subsequent interview with Bill Moyers. His thesis essentially states that the Left spends too much of its time attempting to elect politicians that we believe will solve our problems, when in fact those politicians often betray us–in part because we have no solid liberal movement to hold them accountable.

That’s not a new message, of course, but its blunt restatement is causing some consternation among a certain set of comfortable center-left types who either don’t believe that a return to a pre-1980s liberal ethic would be a good thing, or that the intransigence of Republicans and the rightward shift of the country over the last few decades renders anyone to the left of President Obama an irrelevant afterthought in American politics.

It’s hard not to sympathize with those working in the trenches against hardline conservative opposition every day, growing frustrated with what they consider to be progressive magical thinking. Those of us working in the everyday knife battle for the next electoral and news cycle know that it’s sometimes frustrating to hear people argue for a more robust liberalism when the fight just for a $15 minimum wage looks like a monumental, 10-year struggle.

But that view loses sight of how we got here in the first place. There’s a reason the country is in place where a $15 minimum wage seems like a nearly impossible fight, and the Left broadly speaking shares in the blame for our predicament. If we ever want a country that operates on different ideological footing, we won’t just need to defeat the conservative opposition. We need to change our own tactics–and our own ideas.

To do that and assess where we need to go, we need a clear understanding of how we got here. After the Great Depression and during the rise of worldwide socialist ideas, it was clear that free market capitalism needed at least a major softening of its social effects. While Communism took hold in the East, a more moderate set of social programs were instituted broadly in the West. This created a widely shared middle-class prosperity in the West for about 30 years from around 1945 to the late 1970s. But that comfortable prosperity was not shared equally: minorities and women were shut out of the trend in upward mobility, particularly in the United States whose history on issues of race was especially troubled. Movements toward broader civil rights and access to the middle-class economy for all groups was made a priority, and the moral arc of the universe seemed secure in its advancement.

But a number of things happened to derail progress. First, a racist and sexist backlash against the civil rights movement created a voting coalition useful to wealthy interests in slashing social economic programs generally (this strain of revanchism was particularly virulent in America, but was present elsewhere as well.) Second, globalization, mechanization, flattening and workforce deskilling put downward pressure on wages and employment–a situation business interests were happy to exploit at the expense of workers. Third, the gigantic failures of state Communism in the East eventually led to its well-deserved downfall–but rather than be replaced with a softer mix of capitalism and socialism, western and plutocratic interests conspired to turn former Communist states into radical free-market and crony capitalist kleptocracies. Fourth, big business realized the threat to its power and decided to become much more aggressive in buying political influence wherever it could, specifically in the hope of destroying the power of labor unions and trade barriers.

The result of all this was a hard turn to the Right on all but social issues that, historically, seems to have been almost inevitable. Free market capitalism had no ideological counterbalance on the world stage, capital was free to hire labor anywhere in the world on the cheap or use machines to replace it entirely, moneyed interests gained greater influence over politicians, unions were crushed underfoot, and a coalition of voters motivated by racial and sexist resentments was newly empowered. To soften the blow of the downward slide of the middle class, policymakers shifted their focus from wage protections to asset inflation, with disastrous economic consequences for all but the wealthiest.

Not surprisingly, the Left responded to this by cozying up to moneyed power and by shifting its focus away from questioning the assumptions of the flawed capitalist pseudo-meritocracy, and toward attempting to expand access to that meritocracy to everyone. That shift allowed the Left to hold together its social coalitions while maintaining access and influence to big money donors. The “era of big government was over.” Trade protections for workers, regulations on the financial industry, and taxes on the wealthy were all eliminated by bipartisan consent. The left, meanwhile, became singularly focused on social issues and on making sure that the poorest Americans didn’t suffer too badly in the brave new plutocracy.

And thus was born the “New Left” whose organizing principle is that society will be perfected when even a transgendered racial and religious minority can also become a plutocrat or head of state, so long as not too many people are dying on the street without access to food or healthcare. Toward that end, the New Left focused on electing politicians who would in turn appoint judges to help that withered vision become a reality.

As an organizing principle in a world of Rightist economic dominance, it’s not completely terrible. But it’s a guaranteed loser in the present as well as the near and long-term future.

The middle classes in industrialized countries are collapsing worldwide as the plutonomy grows ever more unequal. Households that already pushed women into the workforce to make up for wage deflation and inflation in housing costs no longer have anywhere to turn, except toward the sorts of multi-generational arrangements usually seen in less developed economies. The cost of both housing and education has skyrocketed to the point that younger generations have been basically squeezed out of the economy entirely even as older generations desperately cling to the remaining assets and social insurance they have. Technological change is causing entire industries to disappear almost overnight, with very few jobs to replace them–a trend that is rapidly accelerating.

The result of all of this negative change is a population that is appropriately scared, desperate, and angry. Both the poor and the middle class feel threatened and increasingly pessimistic. Opinions of elite institutions across the board are at an all time low. Whether on the right or left, few believe anymore that anyone in government, business, or politics is actually looking out for their interests. In a world like this, the move to ensure that every single individual in society has an equal, infinitesimal chance to become obscenely rich loses its moral force. The rhetoric around “making sure that no one is left behind” in starvation and penury is far less compelling when the entire middle class feels like it’s being left behind.

By damaging the middle class with economic policies favoring the rich, elite policymakers have created both the angry populist coalition and the credible policy rationale for a different, more muscular Left that makes its goal not simply expansion of the plutocratic meritocracy to all groups and the protection of society’s most vulnerable, but that challenges the foundations of the plutonomy entirely. Not in the last forty years has the public been so primed for an optimistic populist uprising. During and after the financial meltdown but also even before it, President Obama tapped into that national feeling to win the White House. But he has seemed unable and even often unwilling to use it to create a different conversation about how our economy should be structured, and on whose behalf it should work. The Tea Party, meanwhile, insofar as it ever did reflect genuine populist sentiment, was quickly overrun by conservative politics-as-usual. But the anger on all sides remains, and for good reason.

Tapping into the backlash will require more than just a focus on winning elections, as voters no longer believe politicians can or even want to solve their problems. It will also require much more than the weak vision of progress that the New Left has been peddling for decades.

It will require an acknowledgement of the trends that continue to destroy the middle class and send the working class into abject poverty, and a commitment to not only protect those falling furthest behind but to reverse the broader trend.

It will require a willingness to propose and try ambitious and novel policy ideas, both at the federal level and through the laboratories of the states. Policies like a Wall Street transaction tax, or state-run banks, or incentives designed to decrease rather than increase the cost of housing, or even a universal basic income. Capital mobility can be a problem, but even that is soluble through international trade treaties that serve to protect the interests of workers rather than plutocrats. These sorts of ideas can and should serve as the template for a re-energized left that promises not just vague and increasingly unrealized “opportunity” to people, but that actually delivers tangible results.

Without such a newly energized, more determined commitment toward broad prosperity, the desiccated vision and goals of the New Left will be rightly abandoned by voters. The Right will eventually pick itself up off the political mat and, as it has done so effectively in the past, use middle-class fears and frustrations to ignite a conservative populist prairie fire that will leave only pain and destruction in its wake.

Those of us in the trenches would do well to abandon our fear and cynicism about big ideas, just because they seem impossible today in the face of elected conservative opposition. Political change, like biological evolution, often happens in punctuated spurts whose opportunities are often as forceful as they are unpredictable.

We have to at some point start the conversation about rebuilding an effective middle class in the 21st century. Politicians like Elizabeth Warren are proving that it can be both popular and effective. The longer we wait, the harder it will be.

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Saturday Night at the Movies by Dennis Hartley — WW2: The B-sides “The Wind Rises” and “Generation War”

Saturday Night at the Movies

WW2: The B-sides

by Dennis Hartley

Jiro dreams of Zeroes: The Wind Rises













If I understand Hayao Miyazaki’s take on the life of Jiro Horikoshi correctly, he was sort of the Temple Grandin of Japanese aviation; a photo-realistic visual thinker who lived, breathed, and even dreamt elegant aircraft designs from childhood onward. The fact that his most famous creation, the Zero, became one of the most indelible icons of Japanese aggression during WW2 is, erm, incidental. As I was hitherto blissfully unaware of Horikoshi prior to viewing the venerable director’s new (and purportedly, final) anime, The Wind Rises, I’m giving Miyazaki-san benefit of the doubt; though I also must assume that Miyazaki’s beautifully woven cinematic tapestry involved…a bit of creative license?

Those who have followed Miyazaki’s work over the past several decades may be surprised (perhaps even mildly disappointed) to learn that the director’s swan song is a relatively straightforward biopic, containing virtually none of the fantasy elements that have become the director’s stock-in-trade. Still, he makes his fans feel at home right out of the starting gate with a dream sequence…about flying (a signature theme that recurs throughout Miyazaki’s oeuvre). The young Jiro has nightly dreams about meeting his hero, the Italian aircraft designer Caproni, who gives him tours of fantastical flying machines that spark his imagination and creativity. Too nearsighted to become a pilot himself, Jiro finds solace in his natural gifts for engineering and design. As he follows Jiro into adulthood, Miyazaki gives us a crash course in Japanese history between the wars. Also along the way, Jiro meets the love of his life, a young woman named Nahoko.

Miyazaki largely maintains an apolitical tone (and leapfrogs over the war years to go straight to the denouement), although there is some implied conflict of conscience in a scene where Jiro laments how the military just wants to subvert the aesthetics of his elegant designs into weapons of destruction (I suppose you could argue that one can’t fault Einstein for coming up with an elegant equation that was subverted into a mushroom cloud of death). At the end of the day, The Wind Rises is, at its heart an old-fashioned love story and an elegiac look at prewar Japan. And there is no denying the sheer artistry on display (a recreation of the Great Kanto Earthquake of 1923 is the most epic and technically brilliant sequence I have ever seen in the realm of cel animation). Incidentally, Miyazaki has “retired” at least once before. I hope he doesn’t mean it…again.

Dedicated followers of fascists: Generation War












Contemporary German filmmakers potentially step into a PC minefield whenever they decide to tackle a WW2 narrative from the perspective of German characters; it’s a classic “damned if you do, damned if you don’t” stalemate. If you present your protagonists in too much of a sympathetic light, you’re a revisionist, or (at worst) an apologist. If you go too much in the opposite direction, you’re feeding the stereotype that every German who was alive during Hitler’s regime was an evil Nazi. Okay, so a lot of Germans were party members, and the Nazis were evil, but that’s beside the point. The politics of war are seldom in black and white; there’s plenty of gray area for an astute dramatist to navigate.

The most well-known example of successfully navigating that gray area is Lewis Milestone’s 1930 WW1 drama, All Quiet on the Western Front, which follows a group of young Germans as they transform from fresh-faced, idealistic recruits into shell-shocked combat veterans with 1000-yard stares (well, those who survive). The humanistic approach to the narrative gives the story a universal appeal; it’s a moot point that the protagonists happen to be “the enemy” (war is the great equalizer). While arguably less-celebrated, I would rank Masaki Kobayashi’s 1959 epic The Human Condition as the greatest achievement in this arena (9 hours…but I’d still recommend it).

Falling somewhere in the middle (epic in length but somewhat tepid in narrative) is Generation War, a 5-hour German mini-series hit now repackaged as a 2-part theatrical presentation. Directed by Philipp Kadelback and written by Stefan Kolditz, the film is sort of a German version of The Big Red One, with echoes of the Paul Verhoeven films Soldier of Orange and Black Book. It opens with five close friends enjoying a going-away party on the eve of Operation Barbarossa (which will change all their lives…forevah). Actually, only three of them are “going away”. Wilhelm (Volker Bruch), an officer in the Wehrmacht, and his younger brother Friedhelm (Tom Schilling) will be off to the Eastern Front, and Charlotte (Miriam Stein) hopes to lend her nursing skills to the Red Cross. Greta (Katherina Schuttler), an aspiring chanteuse and her verboten Jewish lover Viktor (Ludwig Trepte) will stay to hold down the home front. After much drinking and dancing, there’s consensus that the war should be wrapped up by Christmas.

Of course, the war doesn’t wrap up by Christmas (besides, as the audience, we’ve still got 4 ½ hours left on the meter at this point). Unfortunately, what ensues is more cliché than bullet-ridden, and the film itself becomes as much of an arduous slog as Wilhelm and Friedhelm’s 3-year trudge toward Moscow (with Wilhelm’s interstitial voiceovers excerpting Deep Thoughts from his war journals serving as the Greek Chorus). The five leads give it their best with commendable performances all round, but (with the exception of one or two scenes) are handed barely-above-soap opera level material to work with. Also, there is simply one too many “Of all the gin joints of all the towns in all the world, she walks into mine” moments (the preponderance of happy coincidences began to remind me of an episode of Red Dwarf where Lister injects himself with the Luck Virus).

To give credit where credit is due, there is one eminently quotable epiphany, via one of Wilhelm’s aforementioned journal entries. It arrives too late in the film to fully redeem the numerous lulls in the preceding several hours, but I think it bears repeating: “To start with, on the battlefield, you fight for your country. Later, when doubt sets in, you fight for your comrades…whom you can’t leave in the lurch. But when nobody else is left, when you’re alone, and the only one you can deceive is yourself? What do you fight for then?” Granted, that may just be a long-winded variation on the old chestnut “War isn’t about who is right, but who is left”…but as far as rhetorical questions go? It’s a doozey.

Previous posts with related themes:

The dumbest thing you will read all week

The dumbest thing you will read all week

by digby

From Ron Fournier, who obviously scribbled this on a cocktail napkin while under the influence of tee many martoonis at Chuck Todd’s house:

The following is a faux memo, although its contents are based upon my interviews with people close to Hillary Clinton. They spoke on condition of anonymity because: a) Clinton has not decided whether to run for president; b) she has not authorized anybody to talk about 2016 deliberations; c) her friends, family, and advisers are still in the early stages of debating strategies. This represents one point of view.

To: Hillary

From: A Few of Us

Subject: Anti-Hillary

The last we spoke as a group, you made it clear your mind wasn’t made up about 2016. We get it: You’re tired, and it’s too soon. And you’re right: By this time next year, you’ll know for certain whether you’ve got the fire in your belly, and we’ll be better able to judge voters’ attitudes toward a “third Clinton term.” (Sorry, we know you hate that phrase, but it makes a point.) Everybody on the team agrees you deserve some space.

But a few of us felt compelled to jot down some “unofficial” thoughts for you to digest during the holidays. We’re a bit worried about the nature of the team’s discussions so far. What bothers us is this: The talks are almost exclusively tactical, traditional, and safe—based on a consensus that your brand is smartly positioned for 2016 and that you would be the prohibitive favorite. A few of us think differently.

We think:

… you and everyone who reads this are total morons. Do not listen to “us” if you want to be the first woman president because you will undoubtedly throw the race to whichever sub-standard loser the Republicans manage to cough up and set back the cause of women’s rights by a century. Our “advice”,  hilarious pitched as “outside-the box” is a compilation of the most stale, tired cliches on the planet, which you can easily discern by the geriatric tropes about the necessity of changing the alleged perception of you as a calculating bitch. “We” are idiots.

Thank you.
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The biggest crisis

The biggest crisis

by digby

Sam Stein runs down the various proclamations over the years:

I think the biggest test of his presidency was facing down the threat of Donald Trump, but that’s just me.

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About that “Soviet” threat

About that “Soviet” threat

by digby

This Q and A with Mark Galeotti, Russian military expert is informative:

Q. How strong is Russia’s Black Sea Fleet? 

A. As a war-fighting force, it’s not particularly impressive. Its main vessel was basically built to fight other ships and so is only useful in fighting a naval war. It’s got the Moskva, an aging guided missile cruiser; a large anti-submarine warfare cruiser — very dated; a destroyer and two frigates, which are more versatile; landing ships; and a diesel attack submarine. It’s not a particularly powerful force. The Italian navy alone could easily destroy it. 

Q. How capable is Russia’s military overall? 

A. It’s moderately competent. It’s not at the level of the American, or British, or German military, but it’s better than in the 1990s. The [Russian] military is good at bullying small neighbors, but it would not be effective against NATO. It would not be able to defeat China. 

Q. Why was it effective against Georgia? 

A. The Black Sea Fleet had some value against Georgia because it was fighting a small navy. 

The Russian military could roll into Ukraine, but it would be up for a fight. The Ukrainians are rather more ready than the Georgians. 

Q. What does Russia want in Crimea? 

A. If Russia wanted to conquer the place, they could conquer the place. But what would it gain by claiming formal control over this region? It doesn’t add up to me as being a takeover. It’s a martial and heavy-handed political maneuver to make sure Kiev considers Russia’s interests. 

Q. Where are the Russian bases? 

A. The main one is the fleet headquarters and naval infantry brigade headquarters at Sevastopol. There are four coastal missile regiments, four different bases. There are at least a dozen active bases on the Crimea. Some are just communication towers. Others are real bases. For example, there are several air bases. 

Q. How is the Russian deployment regulated? 

A. The treaty between Ukraine and Russia limits the total size. Russia can’t just add another ship to the fleet. They can’t arbitrarily attach more units. 

Q. Can you describe the troops? 

A. The 810 Naval Infantry Brigade has 2,500 marines. They’re not elite, but they are better than average. They acquitted themselves well in Georgia and fighting pirates off Somalia. There are also some naval special forces. It’s hard to be sure, but maybe 200 to 300. They may not be Green Berets, but they’re pretty good. There’s a large Black Sea Naval Air Force and ancillary groups — technical, security, administrative — you can put a gun in many of their hands, if need be. If you need people to block a road, they can do it. 

Q. Are troops often seen on the highways in Crimea? 

A. There’s nothing to stop them from moving troops around. You have slosh back and forth twice a year because of conscription. The sight of military personnel on the road is not unusual as they move between bases. And obviously they move back and forth to Russia. 

Q. How many bases does Russia have outside its borders? 

A. They have a presence in Cuba. It’s not really a base. It’s a way station. And Tartus, in Syria. They have no bases outside the former Soviet Union.

I’m going to guess that the new Cold War the neocons are yearning for is going to be lukewarm, at best.

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