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Month: March 2015

From the always been wrong about everything files: Netanyahu edition

From the always been wrong about everything files: Netanyahu edition

by digby

At what point does this become dangerous for his country? After all the moral of the “boy who cried wolf” fable is that the result of his hysterical fear-mongering was that people didn’t believe him when it happened for real.

Almost two decades ago, in 1996, Netanyahu addressed a joint session of Congress where he darkly warned, “If Iran were to acquire nuclear weapons, this could presage catastrophic consequences, not only for my country, and not only for the Middle East, but for all mankind,” adding that, “the deadline for attaining this goal is getting extremely close.”

Almost 20 years later that deadline has apparently still not passed, but Netanyahu is still making dire predictions about an imminent Iranian nuclear weapon. Four years before that Congressional speech, in 1992, then-parliamentarian Netanyahu advised the Israeli Knesset that Iran was “three to five years” away from reaching nuclear weapons capability, and that this threat had to be “uprooted by an international front headed by the U.S.”

In his 1995 book, “Fighting Terrorism,” Netanyahu once again asserted that Iran would have a nuclear weapon in “three to five years,” apparently forgetting about the expiration of his old deadline.

For a considerable time thereafter, Netanyahu switched his focus to hyping the purported nuclear threat posed by another country, Iraq, about which he claimed there was “no question” that it was “advancing towards to the development of nuclear weapons.” Testifying again in front of Congress again in 2002, Netanyahu claimed that Iraq’s nonexistent nuclear program was in fact so advanced that the country was now operating “centrifuges the size of washing machines.”

Needless to say, these claims turned out to be disastrously false.

There’s an election in a couple of weeks. Maybe the Israeli people will take care of this problem.

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Cokie’s Law renewed by acclamation

Cokie’s Law renewed by acclamation

by digby

As we rush headlong into the first  of what are sure to be many “Clinton Records Scandals” (it’s a perennial) I just thought I’d remind everyone of one thing: Cokie’s Law, in which she proved that truth and facts are rarely the issue when it comes to arcane Clinton scandals:

“At this point,it doesn’t much matter whether she said it or not because it’s become part of the culture. I was at the beauty parlor yesterday and this was all anyone was talking about.”

Once people are talking about it, it’s a legitimate news story. So they publish stories that imply something or other “doesn’t pass the smell test”, the news media get weirdly excited about it, convey that to the people and then we’re off to the races.

Liberals are all aflutter this morning over this e-mail scandal. They have no idea if it’s true or what specifically is wrong with it other than it allegedly “shows bad judgment” but they are very upset. Moreover, I have no idea why I’m supposed to be so shocked, appalled that it’s time to run for the hills and beg Jim Webb to come to the rescue. But that’s what I’m hearing. And it’s as predictable as the sun. Maybe there’s something truly nefarious going on. I’m open to believing it. But at this point what I see is that Villager hysterical impulse asserting itself once again.

There are excellent reasons to oppose Hillary Clinton. She has a long history of DLC centrism, mixed with a record of hawkishness both as a Senator and as Secretary of State. If people oppose her on the merits I cannot argue with them. But this scandal mongering has always been a facile and tawdry way for Villagers to express their belief in their own sense of moral superiority by complaining about the Clintons’ characters. (In his case being “undisciplined” and in her case being a soulless “control freak.”) It’s always about some Shakespearean flaw rather than the policies, mostly because this is what the Village press corps really wants to talk about. Politics are boring. And I might actually believe some of it except for the fact that aside from a few furtive blowjobs in a hallway, none of the so-called evidence they presented to prove it ever panned out.

I don’t think the country is in good enough shape right now to afford that shallow, faux muckraking. Perhaps Clinton really did sell America’s national security to foreign leaders to feather her own nest. I hope the proof emerges quickly, if that’s the case. But Villager handwringing over how it doesn’t really matter if it’s true or not because “it’s out there” and it “exposes her character”, is cheap and shallow journalistic masturbation. What these scandals inevitably reveal is the character of the American press corps more than anything else.

Update: Andrea Mitchell said this morning that  it turns out that Colin Powell did the same thing but it was different because this all feeds into a “narrative” that the Clintons are secretive.

Chris Cillizza agreed that it plays into the notion that the Clintons “operate under their own set of rules” and are “very political” and are surrounded by “enablers.” Also too it was different for Powell because he wasn’t a “defacto nominee”.

Ruth Marcus agreed that this all feeds into the pre-existing narrative.

Update II: The new MSNBC straight news show with Thomas Roberts teases the story and announces that they are featuring the Artist who painted the “shadow of Monica Lewinsky’s blue dress” in the official Bill Clinton portrait.

Shoot me now.

Update III: Michael Tomasky did some actual journalism:

It looks bad for Hillary Clinton—again. This New York Times story alleging that she might have violated federal rules by using a personal email account instead of an official government one for her communications seems to raise all the old questions about Clintonian corner-cutting and is sure to make Democrats flail their arms and cry, “Oh God, this again?”

But let’s hold on a second. A close reading of the Times piece reveals one potential big hole in the case. I’m not saying the Times is wrong here. It’s still a foggy situation. I am, however, saying this: You have to know how to read these things, and if you do know how to read them, there’s a big question here that could—potentially—exonerate Clinton to some or maybe even a considerable extent.

The article says that there were “new” regulations that Clinton was supposed to abide by. It notes that one past secretary of state, Colin Powell, who served from 2001 to 2005, sometimes used his personal email account “before the new regulations went into effect.”

So, a key question would seem to be this: When did the new regulations go into effect? If 2007 or 2008, then Clinton would appear to be in direct violation of them, depending on what precisely they said. If later, it gets a little murkier.

Oddly, the Times article doesn’t say. It doesn’t pin the new regs down to a specific date or even year.

Now, I know enough about reporting to know how this works. If you’ve got an airtight case, then you lay it all out there. You include the date. Indeed you emphasize the date, you put it high up in your story. The fact that it’s not in there is a little fishy.

Well, this might be the explanation: The new regs apparently weren’t fully implemented by State until a year and half after Clinton left State.

Here’s the timeline: Clinton left the State Department on February 1, 2013. Back in 2011, President Obama had signed a memorandum directing the update of federal records management. But the National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) didn’t issue the relevant guidance, declaring that email records of senior government officials are permanent federal records, until August 2013. Then, in September 2013, NARA issued guidance on personal email use.

Not that it matters. “It’s out there.” And besides, it’s “feeding the narrative”. Waddaya gonna do?

As Tomasky adds:

[T]his seems like a good time to remember another pattern of behavior: namely, that of the Times. I remember clear as a bell reading that initial Jeff Gerth story on Whitewater back in March 1992. It seemed devastating. It took many millions of dollars and many years and many phony allegations before important parts of Gerth’s reporting were debunked. But they were. The Clintons did nothing wrong on Whitewater except to be naïve enough to let themselves by chiseled by Jim McDougal.

If they had done something wrong, with all the prosecutorial firepower thrown at them by a prosecutor (Ken Starr) who clearly hated them, don’t you think they’d have been indicted? Of course they would have been. But Starr couldn’t turn anything up on Whitewater and was about to close down his investigation empty-handed until he got wind of a gal named Monica.

So that’s a pattern too. The Times, for those with short memories, has never loved the Clintons. Remember Howell Raines and his ceaseless, thundering editorials against them. And today, it smells like the Times may have been rolled by the Republican staff of the Benghazi panel. And hey, great work by them and Chairman Trey Gowdy to use the nation’s leading liberal newspaper in this way.

Marty Kaplan: A Leonard Nimoy Story, by @Gaius_Publius

Marty Kaplan: A Leonard Nimoy Story

by Gaius Publius

As loved as Leonard Nimoy and his signature character Mr. Spock are, I thought this would be appreciated. It’s from Marty Kaplan, a longtime Hollywood and political insider, and also a writer (see his bio at the end of this piece).

This is from Nimoy’s time directing the 1988 film A Good Mother, which starred Diane Keaton, ten years from Annie Hall, Jason Robards, and a young Liam Neeson. Kaplan and Nimoy developed a 30-year-long relationship, which apparently started with this shoot and this exchange.

In Kaplan’s telling, it’s vintage Nimoy and vintage Spock. Kaplan is the Disney studio executive on the set of the picture. His job is to relay instruction from the “suits” back home to the director, in this case, Nimoy. In this scene, Nimoy plays Nimoy.

Kaplan writes:

Spock’s ‘Good Mother’

“Oh, by the way, Leonard,” I say into the phone, as breezily as I can feign, “what did you think about Diane’s belt?”

Leonard Nimoy is on location in Cambridge, Massachusetts, preparing to direct The Good Mother
for Disney, starring Diane Keaton. I’m the executive on the movie, on
the lot, where a studio chieftain and I have just watched the makeup,
hair and wardrobe tests Leonard had shot. (I won’t identify the mogul,
but it’s unlikely you’d know his name.)

“What about Diane’s belt?” Leonard replies, not remotely breezy, more like, do not go there.

“Didn’t you think it was kind of wide? So wide it pulls your eyes
from her face?” I am trying my best to translate the order the studio
honcho had barked in the screening room — “Tell him to lose that goddam belt!” — into a casual afterthought.

Silence. Then: “Where did you say you went to college?”

He knows where, it’s located in the city where he’s shooting, but I answer.

“And after that? Your next degree — where did you get that?”

I tell him. This call is not going to a good place.

“And then a Ph.D., if I’m not mistaken. Where’s that from?”

I have now named three of the world’s most storied universities.

After another excruciating silence: “Tell me. Is this what you thought you’d be doing with that education?”

“Excuse me?”

“Yes,” he muses, “I can see how having to tell me what some imbecile
suit doesn’t have the balls to tell me himself — that must be fairly
difficult for someone as bright as yourself.” The words are brutal, but
the tone is Vulcan.

“I’ll give him your regards,” I lie.

It’s a miracle that a near 30-year friendship could rise from ashes
like that, but it did. I loved hanging out with him. At birthdays and
seders, in the classroom and on the radio, talking politics or
parenting, Leonard and his wife Susan generously opened their hearts and
home to me. And after all those years, having been reamed by Leonard
Nimoy remains pretty much the coolest thing about me.

There’s a second Nimoy-cum-Spock story in Kaplan’s piece. I encourage you to read it. Apparently Nimoy was born to play Spock, or rather, Spock was born to play Nimoy.

Here’s Kaplan’s academic history, by the way, from his Wikipedia page. Not shabby; and interesting that Nimoy knew this going into the conversation:

Marty Kaplan graduated from Harvard College summa cum laude in molecular biology and won the Le Baron Russell Briggs prize for delivering the English Oration at commencement. He was president of the Harvard Lampoon and of the Signet Society;
at both, his tenure included a change in by-laws leading to the first
admission of women members after 95 years (the Lampoon) and 100 years
(the Signet). … The recipient of a Marshall Scholarship from the
British government, he received a Master’s degree in English with First
Class Honours from Cambridge University in England. As a Danforth Foundation Fellow, he received a Ph.D. in Modern Thought and Literature from Stanford University.

So, Harvard (cum laude), Cambridge, Stanford. Not shabby. Kaplan was also a speechwriter in the Carter administration and is currently a professor at the USC Annenberg School for Communication, as well as the Norman Lear Chair in Entertainment, Media and Society.

Still, as he says, “Having been reamed by Leonard
Nimoy remains pretty much the coolest thing about me.” I would be pleased to have been so honored. LLAP, Spock.

GP

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The Cent-ire Strikes Back? by @BloggersRUs

The Cent-ire Strikes Back?
by Tom Sullivan

This appeared yesterday in The Hill:

Centrist Democrats are gathering their forces to fight back against the “Elizabeth Warren wing” of their party, fearing a sharp turn to the left could prove disastrous in the 2016 elections.

[snip]

The New Democrat Coalition (NDC), a caucus of moderate Democrats in the House, plans to unveil an economic policy platform as soon as this week in an attempt to chart a different course.

“I have great respect for Sen. Warren — she’s a tremendous leader,” said Rep. Scott Peters (D-Calif.), one of the members working on the policy proposal. “My own preference is to create a message without bashing businesses or workers, [the latter of which] happens on the other side.”

Peters said that, if Democrats are going to win back the House and Senate, “it’s going to be through the work of the New Democrat Coalition.”

I had to pause reading to laugh out loud.

Gabe Horwitz of centrist Third Way told The Hill, “In the last election, Democrats, as a party, offered a message of fairness. Voters responded, and they responded really negatively … Democrats offered fairness, and voters wanted prosperity and growth.”

The Hill notes that the NDC’s policy proposal is aimed at pushing back against a progressive agenda announced last week by Warren and Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.). The Facebook video of Warren discussing the plan and hammering the unfairness of the current economy for hard-working Americans has received just short of 2 million views.

Warren speaks to kitchen-table issues in plain English working people understand.

My wife spoke last month with a Fox News-watching brother of a friend. He’s white, registered unaffiliated, disenchanted with both parties, and didn’t bother to vote in the 2014 mid-terms. Neither party has done anything for the working man for 40 years, he told her. Yet he liked “that woman” who’s taking on the big banks. He couldn’t name her, but thought it a miracle that she’s still alive.

He’s a conservative from North Carolina, where Third Way’s Kay Hagan — running an Obama-style field campaign, but selling herself as the “most moderate” senator — narrowly lost her U.S. Senate seat to “Typhoid Thom” Tillis.

Centrist Democrats, don’t be too proud of that political battle station you’re constructing.

The worst veto in US history

The worst veto in US history

by digby

This should go on his gravestone:

Bush Announces Veto of Waterboarding Ban

By Dan Eggen

Washington Post Staff Writer

Saturday, March 8, 2008; 1:47 PM

President Bush vetoed Saturday legislation meant to ban the CIA from using waterboarding and other harsh interrogation tactics, saying it “would take away one of the most valuable tools on the war on terror.”

“This is no time for Congress to abandon practices that have a proven track record of keeping America safe,” Bush said in his weekly radio address.

Congress approved an intelligence authorization bill that contains the waterboarding provision on slim majorities, far short of the two-thirds needed to override a presidential veto.
Bush’s long-expected veto reignites the Washington debate over the proper limits of U.S. interrogation policies and whether the CIA has engaged in torture by subjecting prisoners to severe tactics, including waterboarding, a type of simulated drowning…

The practice as used by the CIA bears similarities to the methods of the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia, and by the current dicatorship in Burma, according to congressional testimony and torture experts.

But as Bush emphasized in his remarks, the program also included other coercive tactics that are forbidden in the U.S. military and widely considered unlawful among human rights advocates.

The CIA has not specified all the tactics it wants to keep using but says it no longer uses waterboarding. Bush administration officials have not ruled out using waterboarding again.

There’s no doubt it will be used again. But only because we’re good and they’re evil.

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Dispatch from the campaign of the most overrated politician in America #Greatwhitebreadhope

Dispatch from the campaign of the most overrated politician in America

by digby

I have been saying for months that Scott Walker is just another manifestation of the political class’bizarre obsession with finding a great Republican leader from the upper Mid-West and have characterized him as the most overrated politician in America.

Byron York seems to have noticed the problem:

[A] huge part of Walker’s appeal right now: He seems to be the Republican candidate who has the best chance of connecting with the millions of middle-class voters who have drifted away from the GOP in recent elections. And for that reason, Walker looks like the man who can attract almost everyone in the Republican camp — social, economic, and national security conservatives — in addition to those disaffected voters. That’s a huge plus for Walker and, along with his impressive record in Wisconsin, is the reason he has shot to the first tier of the Republican race in recent weeks.

At the same time, Walker could be headed for trouble with the establishment, Washington-based wing of his party. Look for GOP insiders to begin whispering, and then saying out loud, that Walker needs to raise his game if he is going to play on the national stage. On the one hand, they’ll have a point — Walker needs to come up with clear, crisply-expressed positions on a variety of national and international issues. On the other hand, Walker’s way-outside-the-Beltway method of expressing himself might resonate with voters in primary and caucus states more than Washington thinks.

For example, in our conversation Saturday, I asked Walker what Republicans in Washington should do in the standoff over funding the Department of Homeland Security. “Not just Republicans, I think the Congress as a whole needs to find a way to fund homeland security going forward,” Walker answered. He explained that he recognized the concerns lawmakers have about giving up their ability “to push back on the president’s questionable, if not illegal, actions.” Walker noted that he was part of the states’ lawsuit against Obama’s action. “I think they’re right that the president is wrong,” Walker told me, “but I also think we’ve got to make sure that homeland security isn’t compromised.”

After a little more along those lines, I said I was still a little unclear on where Walker stood. Should Republicans stand firm on not funding Obama’s unilateral action on immigration, or should they go ahead and fund the Department of Homeland Security without regard to what Obama has done? Here is what Walker said:

I think they have to figure out some way to have the bridge to continue to fund homeland security but in a way that doesn’t remove their ability to come back sometime in the not too distant future if the court rules or if the administration changes how they do this action in a way that could be upheld in court. They need to have the power of the purse string to offer a counter to that.

What does that mean, exactly? It’s not entirely clear. On one hand, it appeared Walker was adopting the time-honored stance of the governor who stands outside the squabbling of both parties in Washington — a tactic that last worked quite well for George W. Bush in 2000. He’ll appeal to more voters by not getting stuck in the Washington mud.

On the other hand, maybe Walker just hadn’t thought it through very carefully. Certainly some parts of his performance before the Club for Growth led observers to suspect that he has not really dived into a number of big issues — not just foreign policy, but domestic as well — that will serve as tests for presidential candidates in coming months.

He doesn’t know what he’s talking about that much is clear. He has a flair for the wingnut radio dogwhistle because that’s what he knows. But at this point the Big Money Boyz have to be wondering whether or not it makes sense to put their money on this guy. This isn’t 2000 — they have a very uphill climb even with a very good candidate. This guy isn’t it.

No one expects a governor to have dived deeply into international affairs this early in the race, but Walker is definitely a work in progress. In recent weeks, for example, he has cited his command of the Wisconsin National Guard as evidence of national security experience, and in Palm Beach on Saturday, he pointed to Ronald Reagan’s 1981 firing of the air traffic controllers as “the most significant foreign policy decision of my lifetime” — a decision made, in case anyone missed the point, by “a president who was previously a governor.”

Walker’s comparison set off a lot of debate over whether the air traffic control firings, as consequential as they were, really supported the point Walker was trying to make. Whatever the case, Walker insisted that “Foreign policy is something that’s not just about having a Ph.D or talking to Ph.Ds. It’s about leadership.” In our conversation, he said he has gathered together advisers — some of whom do have Ph.Ds — and is working on foreign policy questions.

Still, all that has led to some feelings of unease among policy experts and Republican insiders that Walker, for all his outward popularity, might be headed for difficulties over the substance of policy.

Yah think?

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Seven out of ten of the world’s richest people are American

Seven out of ten of the world’s richest people are American

by digby

1. Bill Gates

Net worth: $79.2 billion

Source of wealth: Technology company Microsoft Corp.

Nationality: American

2. Carlos Slim Helu

Net worth: $77.1 billion

Source of wealth: Telecommunications

Nationality: Mexican

3. Warren Buffett

Net worth: $72.7 billion

Source of wealth: Investment holding company Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Nationality: American

4. Amancio Ortega

Net worth: $64.5 billion

Source of wealth: Retail chain Zara

Nationality: Spanish

5. Larry Ellison

Net worth: $54.3 billion

Source of wealth: Technology company Oracle Corp.

Nationality: American

6. Charles Koch (tie)

Net worth: $42.9 billion

Source of wealth: Conglomerate Koch Industries.

Nationality: American

6. David Koch (tie)

Net worth: $42.9 billion

Source of wealth: Conglomerate Koch Industries.

Nationality: American

8. Christy Walton

Net worth: $41.7 billion

Source of wealth: Retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc.

Nationality: American

9. Jim Walton

Net worth: $40.6 billion

Source of wealth: Retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc.

Nationality: American

10. Liliane Bettencourt

Net worth: $40.1 billion

Source of wealth: Cosmetics company L’Oreal

Nationality: French

I’m pretty sure they all need a cut in their capital gains tax rate.

The incoherent moderates

The incoherent moderates

by digby

I wrote a piece for Salon today that features a report about how political scientists have been misidentifying incoherent voters as moderates:

If there’s one article of faith in the political establishment it’s that being a political “moderate” is the only appropriate philosophy for people of good sense and mature disposition. No one possessed of even a modicum of rationality and logic could possibly hold a set of values or political positions that fall entirely on one side of the political divide or the other because that would mark him as a fanatic of some sort. And that would be very bad indeed. It might even be considered (shudder) partisan.

And if one is wise enough to be such a moderate, one naturally believes that negotiation and bipartisan agreement are achievable by people of good faith by simply sitting down and hammering out a reasonable compromise. After all, moderates have the kind of even temperament that naturally seeks comity and common ground. The problems in our politics are due entirely to the hot-headed partisans at both ends of the political spectrum who refuse to behave like adults.

Imagine how surprised the establishment wags must have been to see this Vox story by Ezra Klein reporting that political scientists have determined the vaunted moderate voter is actually an incoherent extremist who cannot possibly be appeased because her views are irrational. Seriously.

This is actually a huge problem that needs to be rectified by pollsters. First the idea of a moderate being a person of sober temperament and believes that governance works best by compromise and horse trading is correct. That would indeed be a real one. I know some of them and consider them good friends. I don’t happen to think it’s realistic to think that most people would be moderates or that the political system is better run by them. The system requires people of all political stripes, including the party hacks and the the activists and the fanatics. It’s democracy. And I continue to resent the idea that anyone who isn’t a moderate is somehow immature or unserious. It isn’t true.

But this study reveals that the country has far, far fewer of these “shades of gray” folks (not that kind … necessarily) that we have been led to believe because the pollsters are coding them as moderate when what they are is incoherent. An that is very interesting. What in the hell are the “Fix the Debt” people going to do?

Read the whole thing for a deeper exploration and then click the links to see the original report. It’s interesting. Ezra had an interesting response to the news:

“When we say moderate what we really mean is what corporations want,” Broockman says. “Within both parties there is this tension between what the politicians who get more corporate money and tend to be part of the establishment want — that’s what we tend to call moderate — versus what the Tea Party and more liberal members want.”

That’s the problem with using a term that doesn’t describe either an identifiable group of voters or a clearly defined ideology to describe policies. “Moderate” is simultaneously one of the most powerful and least meaningful descriptions in politics — and it’s become little more than a tool the establishment uses to set limits on the range of acceptable debate. It’s time to get rid of it.

Hiyo!

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Pearl clutch ‘o the week

Pearl clutch ‘o the week

by digby

So, the Fox people are very upset about this SNL parody commercial:

The problem is that I’m not entirely sure whether they’re upset by the fact that it’s making a mockery of the ISIS threat or because it’s making a mockery of a commercial they love:

“Wow,” Fox co-host Elizabeth Hasselbeck said after playing a clip. “‘Saturday Night Live’ attempted to be funny mocking one of the best Super Bowl commercials, that I think many people felt warmed everyone’s heart, with an attempt of comedy.”

The chat-show trio read tweets from Fox viewers who considered the parody offensive and disrespectful.

“Unfortunately, there’s been too many Americans, fathers and mothers who dropped off children at the airport only to have them return in a casket,” guest host Peter Johnson added.

By the end of the segment, Hasselbeck’s voice was trembling.

“We’ve seen too many people headed over to join forces whose intent is to kill those leaving to fight for freedom in the entire world,” she said.

“Is this funny?” Johnson eventually asked.

“I don’t think there’s anything funny about ISIS,” Hasselbeck answered.

“How insensitive can you get?” she added. “Right now? Mmm.”

It’s a toss-up I think. That commercial really moved them and they are really upset to see anyone make fun of it. Also too ISIS.

And by the way, we’ve seen a tiny handful of people “head over to join forces with ISIS”. And a lot of people see this notion that we’re “fighting for freedom in the entire world” a little bit differently than that. These people live in a comic book.

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This time I’ll take historical revisionism for a thousand, Alex

This time I’ll take historical revisionism for a thousand, Alex

by digby

Here’s another of those reminders that the conventional wisdom which says America has always held Israel to be beyond reproach until the Kenyan usurper came along and ruined everything isn’t exactly correct. Here’s a line from the memoir of a former president:

“I told him I was calling P.M. Begin immediately. And I did — I was angry — I told him it had to stop or our entire future relationship was endangered. I used the word holocaust deliberately & said the symbol of war was becoming a picture of a 7-month-old baby with its arms blown off.”

That was Saint Ronald Reagan in 1982.

Just pointing it out so that people realize that this idea US presidents and Israeli Prime Ministers have always been the bestest of friends is bunk. This is not an emergency.

h/t to RP