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Month: July 2015

Illegitimate rape

Illegitimate rape

by digby

Ian Millhiser at Think Progress fills us in on the particulars of the laws against marital rape in case you weren’t aware:

The Donald’s special counsel appears to have a very dated understanding of what constitutes rape. “You cannot rape your spouse,” Trump lieutenant Michael Cohen told the Daily Beast for an article published Monday, “and there’s very clear case law.”

The Daily Beast article centered around an explosive, if somewhat dated, allegation against the Republican presidential frontrunner: Trump allegedly raped his former wife, Ivana. Cohen, who is an attorney, reacted to the allegation with Trump-like bombast. “You write a story that has Mr. Trump’s name in it, with the word ‘rape,’ and I’m going to mess your life up… for as long as you’re on this frickin’ planet,” Cohen told the Daily Beast. He also advised them to “tread very fucking lightly, because what I’m going to do to you is going to be fucking disgusting.”

These were bold words from a man who appears to know fairly little about the laws governing the crime of rape. Cohen also claimed that “by the very definition, you can’t rape your spouse.” He’s wrong. Marital rape has been a crime in all 50 states since July 5, 1993. The highest court in New York, where Donald and Ivana lived, held that a marital exemption to the crime of rape is unconstitutional in 1984, five years before Donald allegedly raped Ivana.

The Daily Beast does not identify the state where this alleged rape occurred (although it implies that it occurred in New York), so it is possible that the alleged assault occurred while the couple was visiting one of the handful of states that still did not criminalize marital rape in 1989. Nevertheless, Cohen’s categorical statement that “you can’t rape your spouse” does not accurately describe current law in any of the 50 states.

He’s allegedly a lawyer so he should have known better.But he’s not alone in thinking that there is no such thing as marital rape. All of humankind believed it until very, very recently. And some still do. Irin Carmon writes:

while Cohen may have been simply misinformed, there is a long history of conservative opposition to the very concept of marital rape, which is a fairly recent concept in law. Recognizing that rape occurs within marriage requires believing that husbands don’t have automatic sexual rights over their wives’ bodies.

Conservative activist Phyllis Schlafly has been a Republican delegate to eight national conventions, including in 2012. She ran for Congress on the Republican ticket, twice. She also has repeatedly said she doesn’t believe that marital rape exists.

“I think that when you get married you have consented to sex,” she said in a 2008 interview. “That’s what marriage is all about, I don’t know if maybe these girls missed sex ed.”

She added, “When it gets down to calling it rape though, it isn’t rape, it’s a he said-she said where it’s just too easy to lie about it … Feminists, if they get tired of a husband or if they want to fight over child custody, they can make an accusation of marital rape and they want that to be there, available to them.”

I suspect there are legions of people who agree with that. Mostly they’re the same people who like Donald Trump.

*It’s important to note that the Trump’s divorce was notoriously contentious and while her description of the event in her deposition was very detailed Ivana Trump gave a statement after the fact and just today that she doesn’t believe she was raped. And:

Both Donald Trump and Cohen have now repudiated Cohen’s previous statement that spousal rape is not rape. Cohen told CNN that “[i]n my moment of shock and anger, I made an inarticulate comment – which I do not believe — and which I apologize for entirely.” A different spokesperson for Trump, meanwhile, says that “Mr. Trump didn’t know of [Cohen’s] comments but disagrees with them.”

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Obama’s Donors Flocking To Sanders, Romney’s Going To Rubio, by @Gaius_Publius

Obama’s Donors Flocking To Sanders, Romney’s Going To Rubio

by Gaius Publius

This is an interesting find. The underlying article is from U.S. News, as is the graphic above, and underlying that is analysis by Crowdpac, a “San Francisco-based political data-mining firm which analyzed the July presidential campaign finance reports.” There’s a nice interactive graphic on their site if you’re inclined to play with the data.

First, from the article; then a few notes (h/t dKos diarist LieparDestin; my emphasis):

Obama’s Donors Flocking To Sanders, Romney’s Going To Rubio

Bernie Sanders is drawing more of Barack Obama’s 2012 campaign donors than Hillary Clinton.

And Marco Rubio is scoring the biggest share of Mitt Romney’s contributors thus far.

These are the findings of Crowdpac, a San Francisco-based political data-mining firm which analyzed the July presidential campaign finance reports.

The Vermont senator has already received contributions from 24,582 of Obama’s donors; whereas Clinton has only tapped just over 9,000 of them. Martin O’Malley, the former Maryland governor, has grabbed 383 Obama donors.

That means Sanders has nabbed 72 percent of the 34,340 Obama donors who have given to a candidate in 2016, according to Crowdpac.

There’s interesting analysis of donor moves on the Republican side as well, but I’ll let you click to read it.

I found this both fascinating and confirming:

And then there’s the surprising.

There’s 276 Romney donors who have given to Sanders, and 280 who have given to Clinton.

And just to show the dizzying breadth of some people’s choices, Crowdpac discovered that five contributors to Michele Bachmann – one of the most conservative candidates in the 2012 GOP field – sent money to Sanders, the self-avowed socialist.

Which leads to this set of thoughts…

Is Sanders a Stronger Candidate in the General Election than Clinton?

It’s always been my sense that while Clinton would likely inspire Republicans to vote against her (not her fault, it’s just that ’90s history and the right-wing’s ready hatred of what they presume is the Clintons’ hippie past) — Sanders would inspire Republicans to voter for him. After all, he’s really talking the talk I personally hear from “tea party” voters all the time. Literally, all the time. (Ask any one of your right-wing relatives what she thinks of the bank bailout of 2008.)

Put another way, if you’re just into electoral strategizing, it’s been my sense that to some degree, Clinton will depress the Democratic turnout relative to Sanders (because of all those Warren wing types who have had it with “TPP presidencies,” to apply just one label); at the same time she will perhaps increase turnout against her (again, not her fault).

I suspect Sanders, on the other hand, would keep all of Clinton’s voters in the general election (because, “Republicans!” dontcha know) and pick up some Republicans that can’t stomach the Trump or the Bush or the Bailout.

Which leads to two thoughts. One, let the Democratic candidates duke it out; that’s why we have primaries. But make it a fair fight. After all, if Chuck Schumer–Democrats (the Wall Street–wing players who have power) do to Sanders what they do to almost all progressives — and Clinton loses in the general election — that lose is on them.

And two, if I’m right, Sanders’ more difficult battle is the Democratic primary, not the general election. Partly because Hillary Clinton is indeed a “formidable opponent” (in Stephen Colbert’s formulation), and because of the above — because the Chuck Schumers of the world may very well prefer to lose to an insider Republican (with whom they can deal on all issues related to money) than win with an anti-money Democrat.

Watch out for that. The bipartisan Wall Street wing is not to be trusted.

About That Data Above

As data goes, I found that pretty interesting. One thing to keep in mind, though. They can only analyze the data they have. Data from the 2012 race, they may have a fair amount of. Data from this race? There’s probably more there than will ever meet the eye.

And one more thing — we don’t know whether large donors are overrepresented in either the Sanders or the Clinton group, something that may be fascinating to know. Still, there’s plenty of time, and apparently of money.

(A version of this piece appeared at Down With Tyranny. GP article archive here.)

GP

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Clown car or musical chairs? by @BloggersRUs

Clown car or musical chairs?
by Tom Sullivan

There are only 10 chairs onstage for the first GOP presidential debate on August 6 in Cleveland. The clowns are circling, circling, circling, tripping over their big shoes and eyeing each other, listening for Katie Perry to stop singing “Roar.” Several are going to be left without a chair.

Politico calls the GOP race for 10th place a “Darwinian struggle for survival.” Couldn’t happen to a better bunch of social Darwinists:

Debate host Fox News has decided that only the top 10 contenders, determined by an average of national polls out by Aug. 4, will merit a spot onstage — setting off a Darwinian struggle that has some candidates taking desperate measures to try to move their numbers, and others spinning away their near-certain failure to qualify. Several campaigns also are already spending hundreds of thousands of dollars on TV ads to boost their profiles, even though the Iowa caucuses are six months away.

So who will be left when the music stops?

According to POLITICO’s latest average of national polls, eight candidates are looking like a lock for the debate: Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Ben Carson. Perry and Chris Christie are in for now, but only barely. Those still with a chance to make the stage are John Kasich, Rick Santorum and Bobby Jindal. For the other candidates — Carly Fiorina, George Pataki, Lindsey Graham and Jim Gilmore — it will be very difficult to get to Cleveland.

It’s not looking good for Graham:

“I think it sucks,” the South Carolina senator said Thursday on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”

Gentlemen, start your blenders.

OH who cares what the people actually think #Irandeal

OH who cares what the people actually think #Irandeal

by digby

Look who backs the Iran deal:

Most American Jews want Congress to approve the deal reached between world powers and Iran over its nuclear program, a poll released on Thursday showed.

According to the poll, sponsored by the L.A. Jewish Journal, 53 percent of those surveyed said Congress should approve the deal, while 35 percent said Congress should oppose it, compared to 41 percent and 38 percent, respectively, in the general population.

In answer to the direct question “Do you support or oppose the Iran deal,” however, 49 percent answered in the affirmative to 31 percent against.

According to the L.A. Journal, the survey’s results reflect a significant divide between the positions of most of the main Jewish groups, such as AIPAC and many Jewish Federations, and the majority of U.S. Jews.

According to officials in the pro-Israel camp, AIPAC will deploy about 300 lobbyists on Capitol Hill next week to try to convince lawmakers, especially undecided Democrats, to vote against the deal.

In other words, right wing Jewish groups are working against the wishes of a majority of American Jews. Of course, that tracks with the right wing’s influence on pretty much everything so no surprise there.

Throw down the crutch of Medicare! by @BloggersRUs

Throw down the crutch of Medicare!
by Tom Sullivan

Reports of Medicare’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. Jeb! Bush doesn’t seem to have gotten the memo, however. His people quickly backtracked after he suggested, “We need to figure out a way to phase out the program for others.” (Those not already receiving benefits, of course.)

Paul Krugman was looking at the trend lines at his blog over the weekend. He provides some nifty charts to illustrate just how the health care cost curve has indeed been bent. Projections for runaway growth have all but vanished since passage of the Affordable Care Act:

The truth is that there never was an entitlements crisis. But now there isn’t even an excuse for pretending that such a crisis exists.

But then, who said the right needed an excuse, good or otherwise? Krugman finishes the thought in his Monday column:

The real reason conservatives want to do away with Medicare has always been political: It’s the very idea of the government providing a universal safety net that they hate, and they hate it even more when such programs are successful. But when they make their case to the public they usually shy away from making their real case, and have even, incredibly, sometimes posed as the program’s defenders against liberals and their death panels.

What Medicare’s would-be killers usually argue, instead, is that the program as we know it is unaffordable — that we must destroy the system in order to save it, that, as Mr. Bush put it, we must “move to a new system that allows [seniors] to have something — because they’re not going to have anything.” And the new system they usually advocate is, as I said, vouchers that can be applied to the purchase of private insurance.

Vouchers, yes. With tax cuts, vouchers are the miracle elixir of conservative economics. Throw down those crutches of Medicare and public schooling, my boy! Nothing better than vouchers and tax cuts for curing what ails ya, save a clean bowel, an economic Road to Wellville, where…

the spirits soar, the mind is educated, and the bowels – – the bowels are born again!

The company he keeps

The company he keeps

by digby

Among the Donald’s many fans:

On July 13, neo-Nazi Andrew Anglin wrote an arti­cle on The Daily Stormer, the vir­u­lently racist and anti-Semitic site he runs, which praised Trump for his com­ments on Mex­i­cans. Anglin asserted, “The Trump Train has left the sta­tion and is run­ning non-stop to total vic­tory over the bar­bar­ian hordes of Mex­ico. Because there is one issue which mat­ters beyond all other issues and that is the inva­sion of White coun­tries by non-whites.”Anglin adds that “the amount of good” that Trump has done “is immeasurable.”

Writ­ing also on July 13, Peter Brimelow, who runs the racist, anti-immigrant site VDare, attacked “cul­tural Marx­ists,” often a code word for Jews, for rebuk­ing Trump’s remarks and “shut­ting down” the immi­gra­tion debate. Brimelow com­pares the reac­tion to Trump to the neg­a­tive reac­tion to the Con­fed­er­ate flag. Brimelow then implies that the main­stream media “elite” that has rejected Trump’s views is mostly made up of Jews in New York.

Richard Spencer, the head of the National Pol­icy Insti­tute, a white suprema­cist think tank, posted pic­tures of Trump’s cam­paign stop in Ari­zona on July 12, in the online racist jour­nal Radix under the title, “Trump Against the World.” Spencer claimed that Radix peo­ple were at the event. In the arti­cle, he also made an appar­ently sar­cas­tic com­ment about the “diver­sity” of the largely white crowd.

On July 10, non The Alter­na­tive Right, a white suprema­cist web­site, an uniden­ti­fied writer com­pared Trump to a “honey bad­ger” that has ram­paged through the Repub­li­can pri­mary field. The per­son writes, “Even if they could find some way of stop­ping Trump, the man has already left his mark on the 2016 Pres­i­den­tial Race by tap­ping into the ris­ing eth­no­cen­tric tide of Amer­i­can pol­i­tics, some­thing that is hardly likely to dis­si­pate when the lib­eral left is engaged in a mas­sive cul­ture war against White identity.”

Kevin Mac­Don­ald, a white suprema­cist and anti-Semite, wrote an arti­cle about Trump’s can­di­dacy in his online pub­li­ca­tion Occi­den­tal Observer on July 10. Mac­Don­ald claims that “Trump’s state­ments on the crim­i­nal ten­den­cies and gen­er­ally low func­tion­ing of Mex­i­can and Cen­tral Amer­i­can immi­grants have struck a chord with White America.”

He’s making America great again by bringing us back to our white supremacist roots.

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Jeb! shoots and scores with the far right

Jeb! shoots and scores with the far right

by digby

You just can’t go wrong with this:

“I know in the political context it’s a slogan, I guess,” Bush said Thursday. “And should [O’Malley] apologize? No. If he believes that white lives matter, which I hope he does, then he shouldn’t apologize to a group that seemed to disagree with it.”

He’s turned “Black Lives Matter” into an attack on white people. That’s very clever. Maybe he’s starting to hit his wingnut stride.

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Rick Perry wants to reduce the collateral damage in our movie theatres

Rick Perry wants to reduce the collateral damage in our movie theatres

by digby

Since gun violence is inevitable — like earthquakes and hurricanes — Perry thinks that if we just have more bullets flying in movie theatres there might, maybe, be fewer casualties among average citizens.

Rick Perry said in an interview Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union” that the shooting in Lafayette, Louisiana, earlier this week shows why gun-free zones are “a bad idea” and said he believes people should be able to take their firearms to the movies.

“I think that it makes a lot of sense to send a message across this country,” Perry said when asked by host Jake Tapper if the former governor believed a way to prevent such violence would be to allow moviegoers to take guns inside. “If we believe in the Second Amendment, and we believe in people’s right to protect themselves and defend themselves, and their families.”

John Russell “Rusty” Houser on Thursday shot 11 people, killing two, in a theater using a handgun he legally purchased from a pawn shop, authorities have said. Houser, who authorities say had a history of legal and mental problems, then turned the gun on himself.

“I believe that, with all my heart, that if you have the citizens who are well trained, and particularly in these places that are considered to be gun-free zones, that we can stop that type of activity, or stop it before there’s as many people that are impacted as what we saw in Lafayette,” Perry said.

Right. All citizens must be trained as sharpshooters and carry loaded weapons at all times. for the sake of public safety.

Honestly, of all the daft wingnut ideas out there (and they are legion) this one never fails to amaze me. If you are ever tempted to think the Republicans are interested in practical solutions to problems this should cure of that misconception.

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“You cannot defeat evil until you admit it exists”

“You cannot defeat evil until you admit it exists”

by digby

Bobby Jindal immediately after Chattanooga:

“It’s time for the White House to wake up and tell the truth…and the truth is that Radical Islam is at war with us, and we must start by being honest about that. There have been many bad things that have happened under President Obama. One that stands out to me was the horrible shooting at Ft. Hood…which was clearly an act of terrorism by a Radical Islamist. Yet the White House labeled that horrible act as ‘workplace violence.’ This is grotesque. You cannot defeat evil until you admit that it exists.”

Bobby Jindal immediately after Lafayette:

Gov. Bobby Jindal said “now is not the time” to discuss gun control, despite repeated questions Friday outside the movie theater where a right-wing extremist killed two people and wounded nine others before killing himself.

Pressed to declare his position as a Republican presidential candidate, Jindal upbraided the reporters and said, “I’m sure people will want to score political points,” but “now it’s time to shower the victims with love and prayer.”

“My answer is not changing,” he continued. “Now is not the right time. Let us mourn. You can ask me all you want in a couple of days.”

Lone wolves are only evil when they’re mentally ill Muslims who come under the influence of Islamic extremist politics on the internet and shoot some people. Let’s not talk about the mentally ill white men who come under the influence of Rightwing extremist politics on the internet and shoot some people. The first is a mortal danger to our nation and we must do everything in our power, including going to war, to stop them. The latter are just some unfortunate, misunderstood people about whom there’s nothing we can do without sacrificing important principles we hold dear.

And yet the victims are just as dead, by exactly the same means, regardless of the motivation of the people who killed them.

Oh, and by the way, the Lafayette shooter had something in common with Jeb! Bush: they both admire the same authors.

Asked to elaborate on his concerns about family formation, [former Gov. Jeb Bush] twice praised author Charles Murray, best known for his highly controversial 1994 book which touches on racial differences in I.Q., for his later research into the rise of single motherhood. 

“My views on this were shaped a lot by Charles Murray’s book,” Bush said.
The Republican presidential hopeful added, “I like Charles Murray books to be honest with you, which means I’m a total nerd I guess.”

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Why Sanders Got Twice as Much Applause as Clinton When He Spoke to La Raza, by @Gaius_Publius

Why Sanders Got Twice as Much Applause as Clinton When He Spoke to La Raza

by Gaius Publius

It’s conventional wisdom at this point that Sanders has the “white liberal” vote in his pocket, or at least the subset of “liberals” who are in the so-called Warren wing of the party. That, according to Nate Silver, could even get him wins in Iowa and New Hampshire.

But what about the rest of the races? Silver (and almost everyone else) says he’ll need the black and Latino communities to win.

So let’s start here, with Sanders speaking to La Raza (my emphasis throughout):

Why Bernie Sanders Got Twice as Much Applause as Hillary Clinton When He Spoke to La Raza

Sanders connects at the Latino civil rights group’s big convention.

On Monday [July 13], three Democratic presidential candidates—Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton and Martin O’Malley—gave half-hour speeches at the National Council of La Raza’s annual convention in Kansas City.

While Clinton spoke with familiarity to an audience she’s long known, it was Sanders whose speech was the most riveting, drawing twice as many applause interruptions as Clinton’s.

Sanders’ speech to the nation’s largest Latino civil rights organization was notable because he confronted the “stain of racism,” his father’s immigrant experience and his impoverished upbringing, and he went into greater detail than Clinton about what federal government could and should do to create more dignity and economic security for individuals and families.

Many pundits have written that Sanders has a problem addressing audiences of color, because he comes from nearly all-white Vermont. But Sanders’ La Raza speech shows that he can deeply connect with Latino audiences. What follows is a transcript of excerpts from his remarks that prompted 45 applauses and a concluding standing ovation.

A few of those excerpts (read the rest at the link):

These are tough times for our country. And it is absolutely essential that we involve more people in the political process, that we provide a voice for those people who have no voice, for those people who are in the shadows, and that we engage in serious debate on serious issues—and that is exactly what La Raza has been doing and will do. (applause)

And:

I want to focus on three issues. I want to talk about the stain of racism in this country. I want to talk about the need for real immigration reform. (applause) And I want to talk about economic policies that address the grotesque levels of income and wealth inequality in America (applause) and the need to create an economy that works for all of us and not just a handful of billionaires. (applause)

And:

America becomes a greater nation, a stronger nation, when we stand together as one people and in a very loud and clear voice, we say no to all forms of racism and bigotry. (applause)

And about his own immigrant past:

I know something about immigration, because my dad came to this country from Poland at the age of 17 without a nickel in his pocket, without much of an education, and without knowing the English language. Like immigrants before and since, he worked hard to give his family a better life in the United States. He never made much money. We lived in a three-and-a-half-room rent-controlled apartment in Brooklyn, New York. But he worked hard. My mom worked hard. And they were able to create a situation where their two kids went to college. (applause)

When we talk about the Latino community, and in fact, when we talk about America, one critical piece that must be talked about is the need for comprehensive immigration reform (applause)

Let us be
frank. Today’s undocumented workers play an extraordinarily important role in our economy. Without these folks, it is likely that our agricultural system would collapse. (applause

To watch the full speech, click here.

Sanders is not talking like a man who’s “stuck on economics,” and I think you’ll find he’ll find his voice on justice issues as well. And yes, it’s true that without undocumented workers, “it is likely that our
agricultural system would collapse.” And the big (Republican) growers know it.

If Sanders Is So Good with these Crowds,  Why Is Clinton Ahead?

It’s true that Sanders is “winning the crowds,” both in size (the “packing the house” factor) and in their enthusiasm. And it’s also true that Clinton has had a huge lead for a while and much greater name recognition. We could point to other factors as well.

But one writer at Vox has an interesting addition. Bernie’s a better campaigner, but Clinton is a better “insider.” Jonathan Allen, who addresses the Netroots Nation event as well to make his main point:

The 2015 Netroots Nation conference was a disaster for Bernie Sanders and Martin O’Malley. But it was a win for Hillary Clinton.

Interrupted by #BlackLivesMatter activists, Sanders began talking
about his record on civil rights issues over the last 50 years. It was
awkward enough that he was later mocked mercilessly on Twitter with the
hashtag #BernieSoBlack. O’Malley got in hot water, too, when he responded to the #BlackLivesMatter folks by saying “all lives matter.” He apologized for it Sunday.

That’s because Sanders and O’Malley are rookies.

Neither candidate has run a presidential campaign before. This is
Clinton’s fourth, counting the two she was engaged in when her husband
sought and won the presidency. One of the ways she’s shown her savvy as
an inside player is to avoid the common pitfalls that take out lesser
candidates
. Trying to win an argument at Netroots Nation is one of them.
Clinton remembers her appearance in 2007, when she was booed by the
liberal, Obama-leaning crowd for saying that not all lobbyists are the
scum of the earth.

So she skipped Netroots Nation and watched the ensuing controversy.
Two days later, in a Facebook Q&A session, Clinton gave a carefully constructed response to a query about #BlackLivesMatter.

“Black lives matter. Everyone in this country should stand firmly
behind that,” Clinton said. “We need to acknowledge some hard truths
about race and justice in this country, and one of those hard truths is
that racial inequality is not merely a symptom of economic inequality.
Black people across America still experience racism every day.”

Those were the words activists were looking for.

The reason Clinton didn’t fall prey to the Netroots Nation trap is
the same reason that she has lined up a majority of Democratic voters,
nearly half of the Democratic members of Congress, economists and
education experts who can hardly stand each other, and major identity
constituencies
within the party: She knows how to play the inside game.

This is something people often forget after watching Hillary
Clinton’s uninspiring appearances on the stump: She’s not a great
campaigner, but she’s a damn good candidate
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That’s not a denigration of Clinton. Playing to win means playing the inside game as well as the outside game. In the outside game, Sanders has the decided edge. Can he use that edge to force changes to the inside game?

I’ve often said that “Warren wing” progressives needed a place to “park a vote” in 2016 — not just an opportunity to answer opinion polls — if neo-liberal-enabling Democrats were to be forced to take notice and bend to the “Piketty” forces within their own party. Otherwise, frankly, they’ll risk defeat, since those forces are growing. You can buy all the electoral media love you want, but you have to still get the votes to get into office. For me, that’s the lesson of 1968 as it applies to today. With the vote comes power, if votes can be leveraged.

Can Sanders harness actual votes to topple the reigning favorite? We’ll see. To do that, though, he’ll need more than just a couple of wins in Iowa and New Hampshire. After those contests (early February) come South Carolina, Nevada and the March 1 Super Tuesday vote (calendar here).

Stay tuned.

(A version of this piece appeared at Down With Tyranny. GP article archive here.) 

GP

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