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Month: May 2016

Speculating for dummies. (And I’m not talking about Trump’s snakeoil)

Speculating for dummies

by digby

Good lord:

SiriusXM radio suspended conservative talk radio host Glenn Beck this week after a recent guest on his show warned Donald Trump poses an “extinction-level” threat to the country and suggested a “patriot” might need to remove him from office by any means necessary, Politicoreported.

During Wednesday’s “Glenn Beck Radio Program,” fiction writer Brad Thor said he “guarantees” Trump would temporarily suspend the Constitution during his possible presidency and is a “danger to America.” 

“With the feckless, spineless Congress we have, who will stand in the way of Donald Trump overstepping his constitutional authority as President?” Thor said. “If Congress won’t remove him from office, what patriot will step up and do that if he oversteps his mandate as President, his constitutional-granted authority, I should say, as President.”
Beck replied that these were conversations that they had had off-air before. 

The remarks were broadly read as Beck and Thor wondering out loud if Trump would be assassinated.

Yikes. It’s not that average folks aren’t privately speculating about the possibility of something like this happening, but it’s not something you’d expect any person with a following to air in public. We seem to be losing our moorings in more ways than one.

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It isn’t just Trump U and Trump Mortgage folks #whywouldsomeoneworth10billiondothis?

It isn’t just Trump U and Trump Mortgage, folks

by digby


Does it make sense to anyone that a man worth 10 billion dollars would be a cheap huckster like this? Something just doesn’t add up:

[A]mong the most baffling elements of the media’s obsession with Clinton’s speaking fees: Why are her lecture circuit earnings the only ones that matter? When so many prominent Republican candidates previously cashed big checks making paid speeches (and some of them cashed the checks while running for president), why are only the Democratic front-runner’s speeches considered to be newsworthy and borderline controversial?

Those recent Republican candidates include Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, Mitt Romney, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, and Rudy Giuliani, who pocketed more than $11 million in the thirteen months prior to announcing his candidacy in 2007.

And yes, Donald Trump.

It turns out that a big chunk of Trump’s speaking fees revolve around ACN, a controversial multilevel marketing company that’s been accused of bilking people out of millions of dollars.

If presented in proper context by the press, Trump’s long-running and lucrative relationship with ACN would essentially eliminate questions about Clinton’s speeches. And if queries persisted, the press would have to demand Trump also release nearly a decade worth of transcripts.

In truth, there has been some good reporting on Trump’s questionable relationship with ACN. (Interestingly, some of it has been done by the conservative press.) But apart from the initial flurry of reports last summer, Trump’s ACN association — like so many scandals involving the presumptive Republican nominee — has largely faded from view. And virtually none of the coverage has focused on the issue of paid speeches, or suggested Trump release transcripts to his six-figure ACN pep rallies, the way the press has hounded Clinton over that issue.

Here’s the key point: Clinton’s paid speeches, whether to financial institutions, universities or trade associations, have never represented endorsements. On the other hand, Trump has spent years giving paid speeches and appearances specifically to ACN and quite clearly endorsing the company: “ACN has a reputation for success, success that’s really synonymous with the Trump name.”

In 2009 and 2011, ACN executives appeared on Trump’s NBC reality show, Celebrity Apprentice. And during one episode, Trump touted a “revolutionary” videophone that ACN was rolling out: “I simply can’t imagine anybody using this phone and not loving it.” (The product quickly flopped.)

ACN’s website once bragged how, “Trump is a fixture at ACN International Training Events, setting the record for the most appearances from the ACN stage by any ACN special guest speaker.” (The boasts have since been deleted.)

In fact, it seemed the whole point of his speeches and personal appearances were for Trump to boost ACN’s brand and convince more people to buy into its sales system. “To prop up its business, ACN relies heavily on Trump to recruit news salespeople into the fold,” The Daily Caller noted.

Being a multilayered marketing company means ACN relentlessly recruits people to sell its products.

As Slate explained:


Products sold through the multilevel marketing model aren’t sold in stores. Instead individuals purchase a startup kit (always encouraged, but not always required) and then contract with the company for the right to sell the merchandise to other individuals. They receive a commission on each sale but are not actually employed by the company. So far, so familiar. That’s the classic Avon Lady model. 

But selling goods one by one to your neighbors and friends isn’t the way to riches, no matter how much you hound them or otherwise guilt-trip them into making purchases. So multilevel marketing companies incentivize their salespeople to recruit other salespeople, promising them a cut of all that person’s sales, as long as both the original seller and the new recruit remain active.

Becoming an ACN salesperson costs money. The company charges a $499 initiation fee, and then “ACN representatives are charged a $149 annual renewal fee, and they often pay $39.99 a month for a package of technology and marketing materials, plus extra fees to attend company meetings and conferences.”

Trump now seems to realize the political downside to his ACN cheerleading. When asked about his cozy, decade-long relationship with ACN, Trump last year told The Wall Street Journal he didn’t really know much about the company. (“I know nothing about the company other than the people who run the company.”) This is a company, as the Journal reported, that has paid Trump “millions of dollars” “over the past decade.”

Indeed, Trump once bragged that in 2006 the company paid him $2.5 million for a single speech. And last year when Trump filed a financial disclosure with the Federal Election Commission, three ACN speeches/appearances from 2014 and 2015 were listed among his income. Trump pocketed $450,000 for each one.

Why are Trump’s ACN six-figure paychecks a big deal? And why, if Hillary Clinton had spent years hyping a company as suspicious as ACN, would there probably already have been Republican-led congressional hearings into that relationship?

There’s much more at the link about this particular con. The company is under investigation for fraud all over the country.

Here’s Trump being sold as ACN’s partner:

Here’s the phone endorsement:

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A major endorsement from a big fan

A major endorsement from a big fan

by digby

Trump is becoming beloved throughout the world — by insane dictators and cunning tyrants.  Trump commonly tells everyone that Vladimir Putin has  called him a genius. (That’s actually a lie — of course.) Trump has expressed his admiration right back, saying he’s a strong leader which is just wht this country needs as well. And Trump had also said he admired Kin Jong Un as well. Now the official North Korean newspaper has endorsed Trump:

An editorial published Tuesday heaps praise on Trump as a “wise politician” and a “far-sighted presidential candidate,” according to a report by NKNews.org, which noted that the article referred to many of the presumptive Republican nominee’s statements on foreign policy with respect to North Korea in particular.

“Trump said ‘he will not get involved in the war between the South and the North,’ isn’t this fortunate from North Koreans’ perspective?” the writer of the piece, identified as Chinese North Korean scholar Han Yong Mook, who also referenced Trump’s comments in March saying that he would consider withdrawing United States troops from the Korean peninsula if South Korea does not pay more for its defense.

“Yes do it, now … Who knew that the slogan ‘Yankee Go Home’ would come true like this?” Han wrote, according to the report. “The day when the ‘Yankee Go Home’ slogan becomes real would be the day of Korean Unification.”

Trump was extremely disdainful of the press today, calling on reporter a sleaze to his face. He prefers the North Korean press. They know how to pay respect.

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QOTD: Rebecca Traister

QOTD: Rebecca Traister

by digby

There is an Indiana Jones–style, “It had to be snakes” inevitability about the fact that Donald Trump is Clinton’s Republican rival. Of course Hillary Clinton is going to have to run against a man who seems both to embody and have attracted the support of everything male, white, and angry about the ascension of women and black people in America. Trump is the antithesis of Clinton’s pragmatism, her careful nature, her capacious understanding of American civic and government institutions and how to maneuver within them. Of course a woman who wants to land in the Oval Office is going to have to get past an aggressive reality-TV star who has literally talked about his penis in a debate.

I’ve said this before myself, in much less eloquent and insightful terms.  My crude analogy was that it’s as if the GOP had nominated David Duke to run against Barack Obama.

Please read Traister’s profile even if you loathe Clinton. It’s a remarkable piece of journalism and eye opening in a number ways.

*If you read the article you’ll know why I used that pic.

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The most fearsome hawk of all

The most fearsome hawk of all

by digby

I wrote about Trump’s foreign policy worldview for Salon this morning:

Over the Memorial Day week-end Salon published an important piece by David Niose about Donald Trump’s incipient fascism and what that reveals about American militarism. Let’s just say that his success is not likely a sign that we are headed toward a new kinder, gentler foreign policy. Trump’s use of the term “America First” doesn’t harken back to pre-WWII isolationism as many people want to believe. He himself undoubtedly had no idea that it had that meaning when he said it, he just knew he’d heard it before. What he meant is “America will be Number One” which isn’t the same thing at all.

Let’s take this idea that he’s something of a peacenik. Sure, he claims he won’t get involved in foreign entanglements the way the ultra-hawks of the Democratic Party, particularly warmongering Hillary Clinton allegedly wants to do, because he’s going to be “smart” and “vigilant” and build up the military to such greatness that “nobody will ever mess with us” because they’ll be afraid of their shadows. Apparently, he labors under the illusion that the only reason wars break out is because the rest of the world is insufficiently impressed with America’s military might — which is odd since everyone knows the US is the world’s only superpower with all that implies. It’s unknown how he proposes to show the world the US Military is even more powerful than it already is but the traditional way to do it is to start a war. Perhaps he has a better idea. (A big rally showing off all the weaponry perhaps?)

Needless to say that entire line is fatuous nonsense based upon his playground worldview in which America must strut around beating its chest and demanding “respect” from the rest of the world, which in his estimation (and that of his followers) has been sorely lacking for many decades.  Other countries are taking advantage of us economically because we don’t have “strong” leaders who are willing to keep them in their places. And our allies are taking advantage of us militarily because they rely on our security umbrella and they are either going to have to pony up for the full cost or build up their own military, including building nuclear weapons.

He claims that he has been against all the wars that haven’t led to unambiguous American victories and was for those that were which makes him a genius military strategist. The record, however, does not bear out his claims. For instance, the one that gives even liberals a little thrill up the leg,  is his insistence that he was against the Iraq invasion. He used it to good effect to troll Jeb Bush in the South Carolina primary and has made it the centerpiece of his case that he can foresee a good war from a bad war. It is not true. And while it is always nice to have a presidential candidate criticizing insane warmongering, Trump simply wants to have it both ways. If the war had gone well he would have been one of its biggest cheerleaders.

He likes to hit the current administration and Hillary Clinton over the head with the intervention in Libya, declaring that he was against it from the start. Again, he lies. Buzzfeed located one of his videos from 2011 in which he said this:

“Qaddafi in Libya is killing thousands of people, nobody knows how bad it is, and we’re sitting around. We should go in, we should stop this guy, which would be very easy and very quick. We could do it surgically, stop him from doing it, and save these lives.” 

That was precisely the rationale given by the government at the time. He was critical of the administration in real time however.  He felt they weren’t being aggressive enough in raining ultra-violence down upon the Libyan people.  And his penchant for torture and other war crimes is well documented.  He is anything but a pacifist and his “isolationism” is a sham. But that doesn’t mean he’s George W. Bush or Dick Cheney either.

After 9/11, conservative firebrand Ann Coulter said a lot of crazy things including the infamous quote “we should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity.” But one of her other memorable lines was “why not go to war just for oil? We need oil.”  She repeated it as recently as this March when she wrote this column devoted to calling Jeb Bush “retarded.”

Saddam was a dangerous and disruptive force in a crucial oil-producing region of the world. We need oil. Why not go to war for oil?

Trump is a big fan of Coulter’s and it’s commonly assumed that he got much of his misinformation about Mexico sending all its “rapists and murderers” across the border from her most recent polemic called “Adios America: The Left’s Plan to Turn Our Country Into a Third World Hellhole”. Their views on immigration track closely, including Trump’s Muslim ban, although even he hasn’t (yet) suggested that all immigration be halted as she has.

But they have something other than tremendous hostility to immigrants in common. Trump also believes America should “take” oil wherever it is around the world. Indeed, according to this article by Zack Beauchamp at Vox, this idea is at the very center of Trump’s worldview. He finds numerous examples of Trump being very upfront about it, starting with this astonishing comment from 2011:

In the old days when you won a war, you won a war. You kept the country. [my emphasis]We go fight a war for 10 years, 12 years, lose thousands of people, spend $1.5 trillion, and then we hand the keys over to people that hate us on some council. 

In 2013, he tweeted this:
And he believes that the US should go back into Iraq and “take” the oil now.  His very first campaign ad contained the promise:  “He’ll quickly cut the head off of ISIS and take their oil.”   He continues to say it on the stump all the time using some iteration of this line from last December when he said, “You take the oil. You know, to the victor belongs the spoils. You take the oil. You don’t just leave it.”   Lately he’s taken to complaining about the fact that the administration isn’t killing the oil truck drivers.
Beauchamp makes an interesting observation about where this confusion is coming from. Trump is an aggressive, militaristic, imperialist but it’s not the kind we’ve seen in America in a very long time:

Trump’s plan is to use American ground troops to forcibly seize the most valuable resource in two different sovereign countries. The word for that is colonialism.

Trump wants to wage war in the name of explicitly ransacking poorer countries for their natural resources — something that’s far more militarily aggressive than anything Clinton has suggested. 

This doesn’t really track as “hawkishness” for most people, mostly because it’s so outlandish. A policy of naked colonialism has been completely unacceptable in American public discourse for decades, so it seems hard to take Trump’s proposals as seriously as, say, Clinton’s support for intervening more forcefully in Syria. 

Yet this is what Trump has been consistently advocating for for years. His position hasn’t budged an inch, and he in fact appears to have doubled down on it during this campaign.

Beauchamp quotes  Walter Russell Mead who places Trump in the Jacksonian Tradition. He defines it as being:

[B]asically focused on the interests and reputation of the United States. They are skeptical of humanitarian interventions and wars to topple dictators, because those are idealistic quests removed from the interests of everyday Americans. But when American interests are in question, or failing to fight will make America look weak, Jacksonians are more aggressive than anyone…With them it is an instinct rather than an ideology — a culturally shaped set of beliefs and emotions rather than a set of ideas.”

Mead points out that the Jacksonian tradition is notoriously associated with atrocities and overkill, due to the fact that they tend to act out of anger and believe in all out war to achieve their goals. This form of war fighting has been an integral part of American military policy as recently as Vietnam war which featured such figures as General Curtis LeMay who declared that we should “bomb them back into the stone age.” But it’s been a while since the bipartisan foreign policy consensus featured anyone with this particular philosophy. 
When Trump evoked the names of Patton and MacArthur, as he does frequently on the campaign trail, this is what he’s talking about. So is this horrifying apocryphal story about General “Blackjack” Pershing in the Philippines in the early years of the 20th century, which he commonly tells on the campaign trail, where it is met with huge cheers from his followers:

They were having terrorism problems, just like we do,” Trump said, according to an account in the Washington Post. “And he caught 50 terrorists who did tremendous damage and killed many people. And he took the 50 terrorists, and he took 50 men and he dipped 50 bullets in pigs’ blood — you heard that, right? He took 50 bullets, and he dipped them in pigs’ blood. And he had his men load his rifles, and he lined up the 50 people, and they shot 49 of those people. And the 50th person, he said: You go back to your people, and you tell them what happened. And for 25 years, there wasn’t a problem. Okay? Twenty-five years, there wasn’t a problem.”

That is a presidential candidate running for office endorsing gruesome war crimes. One can argue that all US presidents commit them, whether it’s the “liberal interventionists” or the “neoconservative hawks” all of whom believe, at least in some respects, that they are either preventing something worse or subduing tyrants to promote democracy. Their record is mixed at best. But the sheer, brutality of what Donald Trump is proposing — the colonialism, the use of overwhelming force, the insistence that America is perceived as weak and disrespected and must show the world that it is number one — is more dangerous than those more familiar hawks. 
Under Trump the world’s most powerful nation (and yes it is, regardless of what Trump says) becomes a rogue superpower to be universally mistrusted and feared. Trump thinks that’s a good thing. Sane people understand that makes the world much less safe. And that includes America. 
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“Abortion can no more be legislated than Niagara Falls can be dammed with a spoon” by @Gaius_Publius

“Abortion can no more be legislated than Niagara Falls can be dammed with a spoon”

by Gaius Publius

Former right-wing evangelical Frank Schaeffer confesses his sins (seriously)

Another in our series, “They knew and they didn’t care.” The video above shows ex-evangelical minister Frank Schaeffer talking about the birth of the anti-choice movement and how it’s responsible, among other things, for the presidency of George W. Bush.

Schaeffer on that:

“We [the anti-choice part of the right-wing movement] created that audience — alienated, angry people convinced of their own victimhood. So, they became a majority while the mainstream media slept, and when everybody suddenly woke up to the fact was when George W. Bush was sitting in the White House as a totally unqualified crazy person who launched two wars we didn’t need to be in. So the fallout had a direct ramification on American history.”

The title quote —  “Abortion can no more be legislated than Niagara Falls can be dammed with a spoon” — comes after the four-minute mark, as Schaeffer says he’s come to think of abortion as simply a fact of life, “like broken relationships, and abortion is no different … part of the warp and woof of life, part of our mortality as a human being.”

It’s really a striking clip, both for the admission and for the language it’s couched in. And yes, he admits he was in it for the money.

Schaeffer Knows What He Did

Schaeffer and his family are directly and personally responsible for the anti-choice movement in this country, and in this five-minute clip he sees unblinkingly — and profanely (this is not-safe audio if your boss is nearby) — what he, to his deep and passionate regret, helped do to the entire country.

It’s not a surprise, this confession, because he’s said many of these things before. But it’s on the level of Lee Atwater’s deathbed regret for his Willie Horton-ization of Republican politics. Schaeffer and his family had that great an impact on the landscape of, let’s face it, almost the length of our politicall ives.

The interviewer is Samantha Bee, though she makes no appearance. Also, it really is a profane clip. Schaeffer is both colorful, a delightful speaker, and effective. Headset warning.

(A version of this piece appeared at Down With Tyranny. GP article archive here.)

GP
 

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Leaked to you as a public service by @BloggersRUs

Leaked to you as a public service
by Tom Sullivan

Just a week ago, we covered the Guardian’s report on the failure of the Pentagon’s whistleblower office to protect the identity of Pentagon whistleblower, Thomas Drake – and Drake’s subsequent prosecution. Edward Snowden told an interviewer in 2015, “It’s fair to say that if there hadn’t been a Thomas Drake, there wouldn’t have been an Edward Snowden.” Thus, Snowden undertook what the Government Accountability Project (GAP) dubbed “civil disobedience” whistleblowing.

That was last week. Now:

The former US attorney general Eric Holder has said the National Security Agency whistleblower Edward Snowden performed a “public service” by starting a debate over government surveillance techniques.

Speaking on a podcast hosted by David Axelrod, a former campaign strategist for Barack Obama, Holder emphasized, however, that Snowden must still be punished.

“We can certainly argue about the way in which Snowden did what he did, but I think that he actually performed a public service by raising the debate that we engaged in and by the changes that we made,” Holder said, in an hourlong discussion on The Axe Files.

“Now, I would say that doing what he did – and the way he did it – was inappropriate and illegal.”

Snowden obviously saw the irony:

So refreshing to see a politician who doesn’t pander

So refreshing to see a politician who doesn’t pander

by digby

Telling it like it is, as always: 


“Politicians have used you and stolen your votes. They have given you nothing. I will give you everything. I will give you what you’ve been looking for to 50 years. I’m the only one.” — Donald Trump

As Molly Ivins would have said, I think it sounded better in the original German.

Update:  Important to note how paternalistic he is. He will “give” everyone what they’ve been looking for. He will “take care” of women and Hispanics. That’s very unAmerican. It’s not his to give.

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Memorial Day 2016 by @Batocchio9

Memorial Day 2016


by Batocchio

Memorial Day is meant for remembering those who died in military service (a worthy commemoration). It’s also a holiday that naturally spurs thoughts of civilians killed in war, of living veterans and how they’re treated, and how war is discussed in our country. It’s only right to pause and remember the dead. And perhaps the best way to honor them the other days of the year is by challenging the belligerati who believe that casually and aggressively endorsing war or torture somehow makes them tough or makes the nation safer. Requiring a high threshold for war shouldn’t be a political calculation; it’s the position of basic sanity. Unfortunately, saber-rattling insanity is both fashionable and profitable in some circles, and rarely seems to draw the same condemnations that wiser, less bellicose positions do.

This weekend, PBS broadcast a short documentary about The Telling Project, which uses theater to help military veterans talk through their experiences, from losing a limb, to being raped, to PTSD, to contemplating suicide. One of the veterans remarked that ‘there’s no bigger pacifist than a deployed serviceman.’ Rather than letting our national discussions of war be hijacked by the braggadocio of the insecure, the cruel, the calculating and the delusional, we’d benefit from considering the harsh realities of war instead. Rather than letting tough guy (and tough gal) fantasies reign, we should seek out true stories. Rather than letting another bombastic speech from an irresponsible ignoramus dictate the terms of discourse, we should give time to veterans and civilians affected by war, and quietly listen.

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He likes the limo better

He likes the limo better

by digby

You just have to laugh:

Donald J. Trump, the Manhattan real estate mogul who boasts about his wealth, maintains a fleet of aircraft and sells his own brand of neckties, paid respects on Sunday to an incongruous constituency.

“Look at all these bikers,” Mr. Trump, standing before a crowd in front of the Lincoln Memorial, said with admiration. “Do we love the bikers? Yes. We love the bikers.”

Mr. Trump was addressing a gathering at the 29th annual Rolling Thunder motorcycle run, a vast event over Memorial Day weekend that is dedicated to accounting for military members taken as prisoners of war or listed as missing in action.

Bikers assembled at the Pentagon before riding en masse into the nation’s capital, with many dressed in leather vests covered in patches, their bikes rumbling throughout the afternoon.

For the blunt-spoken Mr. Trump, who likes to stress his desire to strengthen the military and improve how veterans are treated, the gathering provided a receptive audience, if one where he might otherwise seem out of place.

“He speaks what’s on his mind and means what he says,” said Tom Christian, 43, a heating and air-conditioning contractor from Tennessee. “And that’s what a biker does. That’s the way we are: We say what we think. If you like it, you like it. If you don’t, go the other way.”

He didn’t always like the Harley boys so much:

Campaigning in Wisconsin in March, Mr. Trump observed that Mr. Walker was “always on a Harley.I’m not a huge biker, I have to be honest with you, O.K.?” Mr. Trump added. “I always liked the limo better.”

I guess that whole Fortunate Son thing is no longer operative. Trump forgot to go to Vietnam. In fact he forgot which foot he injured that prevented him from going to Vietnam. But it’s all good. He hates Mexicans and he hates Muslims and he probably hates a whole bunch of other people who deserve to hated so he’s all good. Plus he’s really, really rich.

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