Skip to content

Month: May 2016

Friday Night Soother

Friday Night Soother

by digby

Some very brave goats.

On the face of the 160-foot-tall, near-vertical Cingino Dam in northern Italy, mountain goats cling skillfully to the stones that jut out from the wall. In this video, the Alpine ibex (Capra ibex) slowly navigates the sheer dam, a feat that makes tightrope walking look easy.

They slide, tiptoe, and gallop up and down the wall—and they are clever about their climbing. At the 1:17-mark, you can see one goat survey the dam before strategically inching down.

Why do the Alpine ibex perform this crazy climb? It’s all for a lick of salt.

Ignoring the steep angle, the goats walk across the dam to continue to lap up the minerals, which they need for nutrients in their vegetarian diet. Scientists also believe that some animals lick dirt and minerals because it neutralizes toxins they may ingest.

The Alpine ibex became an internet sensation when an Italian hiker, Adriano Migliorati, posted pictures of the goats dotting the dam. Many people were convinced the photos had to be fake, but this gravity-defying behavior has been seen by other mountain goats in the United States, according to National Geographic.

The Cingino Dam is actually a bit easier for the Alpine ibex to climb than other constructed dams because the rough surface gives more spots for footing, Jeff Opperman, senior advisor at the Nature Conservancy, told National Geographic.

“These animals can overcome what looks like impossible topography to get what they want,” he said. And he’s right: it’s pretty incredible to see what these Alpine ibex will do to forage for food.

I’m going to toast these amazing creatures with a Margarita with lots of salt.

Consider the source, people

Consider the source, people

by digby

This piece by Olivia Nuzzi at The Daily Beast about the coming Trump slime fest is worth reading just to get a little background on the tabloid scandal industry that’s very close to him and is clearly already feeding him his “oppo.” The mainstream press has never been diligent in calling this out so it’s important that people read this an understand where it’s coming from.  This is just an excerpt so you need to click over for the rest:

[T]he most colorful subgenre of Clinton literature is the conspiracy scrapbook. These books tend to differ from books that merely tear them down (think Christopher Hitchens’s No One Left To Lie To, 1999). The reporting is questionable, the writing is bad, and the contempt the author(s) has for the subject overshadows the story they’re trying to tell.

Since 2005, four prominent texts that fall into this category have been published by Stone, Morrow, and Klein: The Truth About Hillary (Klein, 2005); Blood Feud: The Clintons v The Obamas (Klein, 2014); Unlikeable: The Problem With Hillary (Klein, 2015); and The Clintons’ War On Women (Stone and Morrow, 2015).

And what an eclectic crew the three authors are.

Stone, 64, is the white-haired, body-building, fashion-obsessed, sex-club-visiting former aide to Richard Nixon with a portrait of Nixon’s face tattooed between his shoulderblades. Stone was introduced to Trump in the 1970s by Roy Cohn, Sen. Joe McCarthy’s legal counsel, who mentored Trump politically. Stone remained in Trump’s orbit over the decades, advising him informally, before joining his presidential campaign in 2015. He left in August amid staff infighting (he butted heads, in particular, with campaign manager Corey Lewandowski), but he returned to the inner circle when Trump hired Paul Manafort, who’d been his partner at Black, Manafort, Stone and Kelly, a lobbying firm in D.C. that they started in the early 1980s. 

For his first (and so far only) book about the Clintons, Stone enlisted Morrow—whose résumé has far fewer traditional bulletpoints than his own—for help.

Morrow, 51, is a towering and disheveled presence who dresses like a math teacher who’s fallen on hard times.

He lives in Austin, Texas, and serves, much to the ire of the Travis County GOP, as the chairman of the Travis County GOP. He survives on an inheritance, and when he’s not rating anime porn on a scale of 1 to 10 on Twitter, he devotes his every waking moment to uncovering and perpetuating information—most of it highly questionable, to put it politely—about public officials.

He spent much of 2011 campaigning against Rick Perry, who he called “a rampaging bisexual adulterer.” He even ran an ad against him that asked, “HAVE YOU HAD SEX WITH RICK PERRY? ARE YOU A STRIPPER, AN ESCORT, OR JUST A ‘YOUNG HOTTIE’ IMPRESSED BY AN ARROGANT, ENTITLED GOVERNOR OF TEXAS?” He provided a phone number and email address where such people could reach him to get their stories out.

Morrow, interestingly, hates Trump. He’s a Ron Paul devotee who campaigned—and volunteered in Iowa—for Rand Paul before switching over to support Ted Cruz. Now he likes Gary Johnson, the libertarian. But he’s happy to see his work being put to use to destroy Clinton, regardless of how he feels about Trump.

“Here’s the key point,” he said, “Donald Trump didn’t murder 76 innocents at Waco in 1993, and Hillary did.”

He thinks Trump is awful—“a narcissistic, pathological, lying psychopath who says that he wants to torture the enemy and commit war crimes against their families”—but, he reasons, “the future we do not know but the past we know for certain.” And the past, as Morrow understands it, is full of Clinton’s sins.

The parts of The Clintons’ War On Women that are written coherently are hard to put down. Imagine a special edition of the National Enquirer that ran several hundred pages long and focused solely on the Clintons—that’s sort of what it’s like.

Stone and Morrow harp on what they say is Bill’s relentless coke habit, dazzling with tales of him snorting lines as the Arkansas attorney general and then in the governor’s mansion. They wink-wink for a never-ending chapter on his association with Jeffrey Epstein, the billionaire pedophile, but they never outright allege Bill engaged in pedophilia himself on any of his “eighteen” trips on Epstein’s private plane, which is “known as the ‘Lolita Express.’” (Trump, too, knows Epstein—he even dined at his house).

Unlike Stone and Morrow, Klein’s… eccentricities… aren’t apparent on the surface. He doesn’t have a Twitter account where he ranks anime “boobies” like Morrow and he’s never posed for a photoshoot dressed up as the Joker from Batman like Stone. Without reading any of his work, you might think Klein is your average veteran reporter. Just a nice 79-year-old guy with a friendly demeanor on the phone, probably somebody’s grandpa.

In conversation, he’s quick to note his long history in the news business writing for and editing reputable publications—not to boast, he says, but just for context. He started out at the New York Daily News, moved onto Newsweek, then The New York Times, and finally The New York Times Magazine, which he edited and, his biography brags, received a Pulitzer during his reign. He’s maintained what he says is not a friendship, but a reporter-source relationship, with Trump for decades. Earlier this month, they had lunch together.

Klein started writing books in the mid-’90s and, he told me, began researching Clinton around 2003. Over the last 13 years (and three Clinton books), he said, he’s developed countless sources—some of whom he’s interviewed more than 70 times.

This all sounds great and credible until you read what they allegedly told him.

The beginning of Unlikeable, his most recent book, for instance, is an elaborate scene that Klein says happened “one evening” while she and Bill “were having drinks with friends” and Bill suggested she contact Steven Spielberg for advice about how to be more likable.

Klein reproduces an entire conversation’s worth of dialogue between the Clintons, in which Hillary is quoted as saying, “I get $250,000 for a speech, and these Hollywood jackasses are going to tell me how to do it!”

Later in the book, Klein writes that “in the presence of several friends” Hillary told Bill, “I don’t want to be a pantsuit-wearing globetrotter.”

In Blood Feud, Klein wrote that Hillary said, verbatim, in a private conversation, “Now we are going to be together on the campaign trail, and it’s going to be complicated. Plus, there is the dynamic that when I run for president I’m going to be the boss, and I’m not sure Bill will be able to handle that. He says he’ll be my adviser and loving husband, but I’m afraid that if I’m elected, he’ll think he’s president again and I’m first lady. If he starts that shit, I’ll have his ass thrown out of the White House.”

Unless Klein wired his sources and his sources were Bill and Hillary Clinton, none of this is likely to be even kind of true. It’s possible Klein is a fabulist, or it’s possible he has terrible sources. It’s also possible that he’s a looney toon and the multiple sources he’s interviewed upwards of 70 times each are all in his head.

Who’s to say? If I were Ed Klein I might say I know that last thing for a fact.
[…]
Clinton conspiracies are, of course, as old as the Clintons’ political careers themselves.
In 1995, the White House counsel’s office produced a 332-page internal memo (PDF) called “The Communication Stream of Conspiracy Commerce.” Revealed by The Wall Street Journal in 1997 and made public by the Clinton Library in 2014 (though now inexplicably removed from the website), it detailed how Clinton conspiracies made their way from “well funded right wing think tanks” and conservative “newsletters and newspapers” to the Internet, then to the British tabloids, who’ll print just about anything, then to the New York tabloids, and ultimately to the “the mainstream media.”

“After the mainstream right-of-center American media covers the story,” the memo read, “Congressional committees will look into the story. After Congress looks into the story, the story now has the legitimacy to be covered by the remainder of the American mainstream press as a ‘real’ story.”

Nowadays, the process is simpler: Trump says something and it’s immediately a legitimate story, because the de facto Republican nominee and leader of one of the country’s two major political parties saying something crazy is news.

Please read the whole thing. You’ll need to understand where all this comes from when the mainstream press starts treating it as real because “it’s out there.”

It’s already starting and the media is already lapping it up:

DONALD TRUMP: Well, I know it’s a rough story, and a lot of people know about it. People have been talking about it for a couple of years. And, you know, that’s right next to my golf club, I have a great club up there, Trump national golf club, right literally a few minutes away. And people have been talking about that for years. I have no idea what went on. I certainly don’t. [Fox News, Fox & Friends, 5/13/16]

That’s about a story in the New York Post about some womanizing thing with Bill Clinton that came through the National Enquirer. The smear can be traced to one anonymous source named in a hit job book by a man named Glenn Kessler, a World Net Daily wingnut conspiracy writer. Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose …

Remember Trump has the National Enquirer in his back pocket. Oy.

.

Larry Craig approves of Trump’s wide stance on everything

Larry Craig approves of Trump’s wide stance on everything

by digby

Former congressman Larry Craig hasn’t been heard from in a while. But he’s back and he’s a major Trump groupie:

 “I feel compelled to vote for Donald Trump.  Everybody had his list of important issues by which he judges a candidate.  For me there are five issues that are the iceberg sinking the ship.  And if the ship sinks, nothing else is going to matter.  In each case, Donald Trump is either the only one who understands the problem, has the right solution to fix the problem, or is the only one I believe will actually do what is needed to Donald Trumpfix the problem.”

Mr. Craig summarizes the argument in favor of Donald Trump this way:

The first issue is jobs.  I believe the loss of jobs is probably the biggest reason for our country’s staggering debt.  It combines the loss of tax revenue with an increase in government spending for assistance programs.

The second issue is immigration, and Trump is the only person who you can believe will secure the border.  Congress has promised this since Reagan in 1986 with nothing getting done.  Trump is the only person who challenges birthright citizenship, and until we end birthright citizenship it will be almost impossible to deport families of people who have children born here.

The third issue is Muslims.  The world is experiencing incredible violence and instability, whether in Africa, Europe, the Middle East, or Asia.  And, frankly, it is entirely due to Muslims.  Will America be any different?  You only need to watch the hundreds of videos coming out of Europe to know that it is only matter of time.  They just need to become a higher percentage of the population.  Trump is the only person who actually sees a problem here.

The fourth issue is the court called supreme.  This court has assumed a role in forming policies far beyond the role given to it by the Constitution.  In this case just about any of the Republican candidates would do, but those who are concerned about future court appointments need to be concerned about which political party makes the nomination.  So if Trump is the candidate, you can’t stay home and not vote if you don’t like him.  That just gives the job to the other party.

The last issue is the business as usual in Washington.  The entire political system in Washington is broken.  We need a lot of non-politicians running things there, who might, for example, replace a thousand-page bill with maybe a dozen three-page bills, which they can actually read and debate.

Trump’s now been endorsed by Larry Craig and Free Republic.  Who says he can’t unify the party?

.

Where in the world did that butler get those crazy ideas?

Where in the world did that butler get those crazy ideas?

by digby

My first thought when I read about this fellow was that he’s such an elderly person that going after him is probably unfair. Some people in their 90s aren’t always completely together. I was going to leave it alone. However, after hearing what he said to MSNBC, I’ve changed my mind and not because he seems to be pretty lucid, although he does, but because his attitude actually tracks in many ways with his former boss’s.

First, he’s a birther and we know how Trump feels about that. He’s the guy who mainstreamed that inane controversy from the wingnut fever swamps.

The threats against Obama and Clinton are what’s grabbed everyone’s attention and for good reason. They’re violent and horrible. I was struck by the language he used, however:

There’s more than some issues with [President Obama] — he’s a goddamn traitor, T-R-A-I-T-O-R. I think he should be hung. I think he should be hung next to Hillary Clinton, and I think it should be public, I think it should be televised.”

Here’s Trump on the stump:

“We’re tired of Sgt. Bergdahl, who’s a traitor, a no-good traitor, who should have been executed. Thirty years ago he would have been shot… You know, in the old days ……bing – bong. When we were strong, when we were strong.””

Granted, he wasn’t talking about the president, but his support for summary execution for people he considers “traitors” gets big cheers. I would not be surprised if he got big cheers if he said what his butler said either.

The butler said this about Muslims:

“I do not like them, any of them … I don’t trust them.” He added that the few American Muslims he knows are “nice people,” though he had harsh words for Muslim immigrants.
“But the boatloads they’re bringing in here, I have no use for,” he said. “I think they ought to be shot at the shore.”

Now why would he think such a thing?

Trump:

“I think Islam hates us.  There’s a tremendous hatred there, we have to get to the bottom of it. There’s an unbelievable hatred of us. We have to be very vigilant, we have to be very careful and we can’t allow people coming into this country who have hatred of the United States.” 

“As far as other people like in the migration, where they’re going, tens of thousands of people having cell phones with ISIS flags on them? I don’t think so, Wolf. They’re not coming to this country. And if I’m president and if Obama has brought some to this country, they are leaving. They’re going. They’re gone.” 

“You have the radical Islamic extremists, their pouring in, they’re coming in, we have a lot of them here, we have to be careful.”  

 “I have been called by more Muslims saying what you are doing is a great thing, not a bad thing… 

The butler on bombing Muslims:

Muslims have “just totally disgraced” some cities in the U.S., naming Detroit and Milwaukee as examples, and suggested the U.S. “designate those as nuclear bomb sites.” 

“We need to bomb em out,” he said. “I could care less if they’re in the U.S. — I don’t want em in the U.S., they don’t belong here. They belong in the sand dunes where they came from.”

Trump:

“With the terrorists, you have to take out their families. They, they care about their lives. Don’t kid yourself. But they say they don’t care about their lives. You have to take out their families.”

“You look at the attack in California the other day — numerous people, including the mother that knew what was going on. They saw a pipe bomb sitting all over the floor. They saw ammunition all over the place. They knew exactly what was going on.”

“It’s very interesting what happens with the Geneva Conventions. Everybody believes in the Geneva Conventions until they start losing and then, okay, let’s take out the bomb when they start losing.”

Trump has not ruled out using tactical nuclear weapons in Europe. Just saying …

These are all obscene comments. And it’s true that the butler believes that Trump’s more violent terrorist strategy should be used in America, which Trump has not suggested. He merely wants to round up Muslims and Latinos and deport them rather than shooting them on sight or unleashing nuclear weapons on US cities.

But the underlying premise isn’t all that different and you can certainly see the line from Trump’s rhetoric to the butler’s hyperbole.

The butler isn’t the only one. Bobby Knight, the infamous basketball coach said this the other day:

“Harry Truman, with what he did in dropping and having the guts to drop the bomb in 1944, saved, saved millions of American lives. And that’s what Harry Truman did and he became one of the three great presidents of the United States. And here’s a man who would do the same thing because he’s going to become one of the four great presidents of the United States.”

Now that Trump is mainstream, this is the standard right wing blowhard line.

The Freepers are all in

The Freepers are all in

by digby

Our overriding conservative mission on Free Republic is to defend God, family, country! 

Posted on 5/11/2016, 1:10:59 PM by Jim Robinson

Our overriding mission on Free Republic is to preserve, protect and defend (conserve) God, family, country–and all that that entails (refer to the Declaration, Constitution, and our Judeo-Christian American heritage for details). 

Our most immediate task we must undertake at this time is keep corrupt, godless, treasonous, America-hating communists like Hillary Clinton out of power. 

Our very survival as a free nation depends upon it. 

That means FR is going all in to defeat Hillary/Bernie, et al, by supporting our America-first nominee Donald Trump to the hilt. 

Very sorry if your favorite candidate did not win the nomination and sorry if you cannot understand or agree with our mission, but those who can’t live with our immediate goal need to either keep it to themselves or sit it out (from FR) for the duration. Anti-Trump activities and NeverTrump trolling and recruiting efforts are not appreciated and are unwelcome on FR. 

The time for fighting about who may be best on our side for the job is over. It’s now time to consolidate and concentrate our firepower against our common enemy. 

Our intent is to do whatever it takes to defeat the commies in November and if you do not wish to be part of this effort, please sign off now. You can always let me know by email if you wish to rejoin us. 

Thank you very much.

As if there was ever any doubt …

They still don’t understand him

They still don’t understand him

by digby

Trump, of course. I wrote about his big summit meeting yesterday and the political establishment’s desperate attempt to normalize him for Salon today:

Everyone knows Donald Trump is obsessed with polls. It is his favorite topic on the stump and he recites them as if they are political poetry. But media reports suggest on Thursday that he only looks at his own poll numbers or he would have known that he was backtracking on his most popular proposal when he said that his much ballyhooed ban on Muslims was “just a suggestion.” The scuttlebutt is that he heard from some of his new best friends on Capitol Hill that the ban was a bad, bad thing and he immediately reconsidered once these much smarter people enlightened him. This was just part of a day long campaign to show that Trump has now become a fine upstanding mainstream politician Republicans everywhere can support with pride.

Paul Ryan characterized their highly anticipated meeting as being a “very positive step toward unification” and left it at that. But Luke Russert on MSNBC reported that the National Republican Congressional Committee and the National Republican Senate Committee endorsed Trump with enthusiasm.  He also reported that many Republican leaders believe the whole ugly “Mexicans are rapists” and “Muslim ban” stuff was in the past  but they do wonder if he might say something untoward going forward.

Of course he will. How do we know this? Well, we can look at everything he’s said for the past six months, but let’s take a look at this alleged “backtrack on the Muslim ban” as an example. Recall that his very first ad was this one:

TRUMP: I’m Donald Trump and I approve this message.

ANNOUNCER: The politicians can pretend it’s something else, but Donald Trump calls it radical Islamic terrorism. That’s why he’s calling for a temporary shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until we can figure out what’s going on. He’ll quickly cut the head off ISIS and take their oil. And he’ll stop illegal immigration by building a wall on our Southern border that Mexico will pay for.

TRUMP at rally: We will make America great again.

Trump’s alleged walk back came on Brian Kilmeande’s show on Fox Radio On Wednesday. He was asked to respond to London’s newly elected mayor Sadiq Khan, the first Muslim to hold the job, who was quoted saying Donald Trump has ignorant views about Islam. Trump replied:

“Well, I assume he denies that there’s Islamic terrorism. There’s Islamic radical terrorism all over the world right now. It is a disaster what’s going on. I assume that he is denying that. I assume he is like our president that’s denying that its taking place. We have a serious problem — it’s a temporary ban, it hasn’t been called for yet, nobody’s done it, this is just a suggestion until we find out what’s going on. But we have radical Islamic terrorism all over the world — I mean, you can start at the World Trade Center, frankly, you can go to Paris, you can go to San Bernardino, all over the world. If they want to deny it, they can deny it, I don’t choose to deny it.”

It’s “just a suggestion” just like his promise to torture terrorist suspects and kill their families is “just a suggestion. ” In politics they call that a “policy proposal” and people take them seriously. And so does Trump. Indeed, when Fox News’ Greta Van Susteran asked him about “backing off” his plan he explained that he always said the ban was to be temporary and “ultimately, it’s my aim to have it lifted.” That is no different than what he’s been saying from the beginning. His fans also go to great lengths to explain that the ban is “temporary” whenever someone brings it up. But that doesn’t change the fact that, temporary or not, it is a bigoted, unnecessary unAmerican proposal and the mere idea of it is immoral and counterproductive.

Unfortunately it appears that the beltway is desperate to find a way to humanize Trump so they’re reading decency into his usual cretinous commentary. In fact, Trump managed to single handedly bring a majority of the country around on this policy over the course of just a few short months. In December 2015, 45% of all voters, 42% of Independents and 69% of Republicans thought this daft plan was a good idea. By the end of March, 51% of Americans were on board and 61% of Independents. Exit polls in GOP primaries consistently showed two thirds of voters approved. It’s hugely popular with everyone but Democrats.

So Trump’s not going to back off this “suggestion” and he doesn’t need polling to tell him that. It gets big cheers at this rallies which is all he needs. It’s wishful thinking by the media which breathlessly reported Trump’s so-called change of heart as a signal that he is a man of solid character after all and will be someone we can all trust to run the most powerful nation on earth. For the first time in history, flip-flopping is being celebrated as a sign of a mature, balanced temperament.

At the same time, the GOP political establishment, led by Paul Ryan, has been concerned with one thing only. They say it doesn’t matter to them what cockamamie policies Trump proposes just as long as he can show them that he has “conservative principles.” They particularly hope that he will tone down all that crazy talk about protecting “entitlements” which grates on them like fingernails on a chalkboard. They can probably relax just a little bit since his “plan”, such as it is, is to get such a tremendous amount of growth from his masterful stewardship of the economy that money is no object. But one of his closest advisers indicated they have a back-up plan:

“After the administration has been in place, then we will start to take a look at all of the programs, including entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare,” said chief Trump policy adviser Sam Clovis, during an event in Washington. “We’ll start taking a hard look at those to start seeing what we can do in a bipartisan way.” 

Mr. Clovis said Mr. Trump’s policies—particularly growth caused by his tax cuts—would result in budget surpluses of up to $7 trillion after 10 years. Under current policies, the Congressional Budget Office projects cumulative deficits of $9.4 trillion over a decade…

Mr. Clovis didn’t detail policies that would close that apparent gap of $25 trillion or more and suggested entitlement-program changes could occur if growth doesn’t materialize.

“Right now, we’re not going to touch anything because we can’t predict the growth,” Mr. Clovis said. “We have to start taking a look not just at Medicare and Social Security but every program we have out there, because the budgetary discipline that we’ve shown over the last 84 years has been horrible.”

The Trump campaign spokeswoman said she didn’t think Clovis was talking about cuts but you can be sure that plenty of GOP office holders were very relieved to hear him use those beautiful words “budget discipline” since that’s an essential dogwhistle for cutting programs for people they don’t like. If Clovis can get Trump to sign on to that, they’ll have achieved a very great victory.

But that’s a long shot. Trump’s never been for cutting those entitlements. And “budget discipline” is a useless abstraction to him because he truly believes he will be able to create so much prosperity we will have money to burn. He’s not into conservative social engineering or traditional values either. But that doesn’t mean he’s a liberal or that he has no principles. He certainly does and they are not very hard to figure out. He’s been saying the same things about certain issues for many years.

Donald Trump is an authoritarian nationalist who believes in unfettered domestic police power and an extremely strong global military both of which are tasked with ensuring that citizens, enemies and allies treat American authority with “respect” — or else.  He does not believe in international agreements or treaties unless he has been the one to negotiate them and even then they are subject only to his judgement as to whether they benefit his side of the deal at any given time. He believes a president has the power to manipulate the private sector to his will, unilaterally inflicting tariffs and regulations to force businesses to do his bidding. He thinks trade wars, backed up by America’s military might are a useful and necessary tool. His mantra for years has been “we gotta be tough.” This is all on the record going back decades.

Those may not be conservative principles as the movement has defined them but they are certainly conservative beliefs as the party establishment is finding out in this election. Trump has hit a very live nerve in the body politic. But just because he is consistent in his authoritarian belief system doesn’t mean that he isn’t completely in over his head, totally unfit and unprepared for the job of president. He’s somehow convinced himself that he can “negotiate” prosperity, command respect through authoritarian dominance and just wing the rest of it.

Trump is foreign to our normal political system but the media can’t quit him and the GOP can’t run away from him so they’re going to work very hard to normalize him in order to be able to fit this campaign into the well-worn grooves that make them feel comfortable. But Trump isn’t normal.  And that’s what his voters like best about him. They don’t care about policy minutia or “conservative principles.” They just want Trump to be Trump and that means he can do and say whatever he wants.

Friday the 13th projections by @BloggersRUs

Friday the 13th projections
by Tom Sullivan



Partisan Composition During the 2016 Legislative Session via National Conference of State Legislatures

Redistricting occurs again in 2021, so keep an eye on opportunities this fall to whittle away at the effects of the GOP’s REDMAP effort from 2010. The T-party takeover of state legislatures needs to be reversed. I mean, North Carolina? Wisconsin? Beuhler?

Over at Daily Kos, teacherken points to Benchmark’s weekly electoral map:

We are still pretty far out, of course. But if you are interested in knowing where (or even being where) the fights will be this fall, swing states bear watching. As much as congressional and senate races will draw attention, much of the real action these days is in the state legislatures. Presidential campaign heat in the swing states — coattails — can be a factor in how those state races play out. How the balance shifts in the states has much more of an immediate effect on the national trajectory than what happens in a gridlocked Washington, D.C.

As for the Electoral College, Harry Enten cautions at FiveThirtyEight, “Winning the national popular vote typically means winning the presidency; the Electoral College matters only in very close elections, and most of the time not even then.” National polling averages, he says, are what to watch for now.

Trump has a new piece of arm candy #sorryduncanhunter

Trump has a new piece of arm candy #sorryduncanhunter

by digby

The should have played hard to get:

Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.) told POLITICO that Trump refused multiple requests to meet with members of Congress working to round up support for him in Washington.

“I think it would have been good of him” to meet with “the first endorsers,” Hunter said, as well as those who’ve gotten on board more recently, Hunter said. “There is no reason not to have as many people on your side as you can … and he missed a real opportunity here.”

Trump met with House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and several others in leadership during a series of meetings on Thursday morning.

His most ardent congressional backers, however, asked his campaign several times for a few minutes with the candidate, too. They thought it would energize the team running traps to whip support for him in Washington. They also wanted Trump to meet with a core group of committee chairs they thought would make for powerful future allies.

Poor Duncan. The first endorser always does the heavy lifting in the beginning and then gets dumped for a sexier leader once his candidate makes it to the top. It’s the way of the world.

But come on, Dunc had to know Trump was that kind of guy. Just ask Ivana.

.