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Month: August 2016

The latest insult

The latest insult

by digby

Apparently, unless a country is capable of launching a full military attack against us or is willing to pay the protection demands of the US with no questions asked, Trump considers them an enemy. Or something. His incessant hammering of American allies and threats to walk away from treaties is already causing damage. It doesn’t take much to imagine that foreign leaders, some of whom have to deal with militaristic elements in their own countries, have sharpened their views of the US based on the fact that this loon is the Republican nominee for president:

He expressed his frustration that the US is bound by treaty to defend the Asian nation but that if the United States is attacked, the Japanese cannot help because of Article 9, which constitutionally forbids it to send armed forces overseas.

He said that it “could be necessary” for the US to walk away from the treaty, or at least threaten to do so.

At a campaign event in Iowa, Mr Trump also repeated his criticism of countries that do not pull their weight in terms of financial contributions to Nato.

“You know we have a treaty with Japan, where if Japan is attacked, we have to use the full force and might of the United States,” he said.

“If we’re attacked, Japan doesn’t have to do anything. They can sit home and watch Sony television, OK?”

Mr Trump added that the US protects Japan, South Korea, Germany, Saudi Arabia and other nations, and “they don’t pay anything near what it costs”.

“They have to pay. Because this isn’t 40 years ago,” he added.

“It’s got to be a two-way street.”

He loves General Douglas MacArthur but apparently is completely clueless about MacArthur’s actual history. Or any history for that matter. The last thing he read was a Prince Valiant classic comic.

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Ostrich wingnuts

Ostrich wingnuts

by digby

Because of course:

Conservative backlash spread on social media after the 2016 Rio Summer Olympics’ opening ceremony featured a warning about climate change.

The primetime spectacle started with a young boy with a Pau-Brasil tree in the center of the stadium, a rare tree on on the list of Brazil’s endangered plants.
A video then showed a dramatic depiction of Earth and several major cities affected by rising water levels as Antarctic ice sheets rapidly melt.

While some were happy the Olympics used its global stage to focus on climate change, many social media users were quick to point to Brazil’s own environmental issues and blast the Olympics for pushing the message.

That’s because the liberal position is the mainstream and not just in the US. Sorry, fringey.

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A worldview in their pocket by @BloggersRUs

A worldview in their pocket
by Tom Sullivan

Khizr Khan’s speech at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia has created ripples that continue to disturb an already disturbed political pond.

When Khan held up his pocket U.S. Constitution at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, he cannot have known it would unleash a days-long tantrum from Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who attacked Khan and his wife. But it was all-too-predictable when at a Trump rally in Maine this week, anti-Trump activists stood up in silent protest with their own pocket constitutions and drew boos:

Josh Voorhees at Slate wrote:

To be fair, the pro-Trump crowd is clearly booing the protesters themselves, and not, you know, the actual United States Constitution. Still, in terms of is-this-really-happening symbolism, the reaction may even surpass the scene just days ago at a Nevada rally where the crowd shouted down the mother of an Air Force service member who dared question Mike Pence about Trump’s respect, or lack thereof, for those serving in the U.S. military.

The Constitution-themed stunt—and, yes, that’s what it was—was so clever because its success relied simply on the Trump-loving crowd reacting exactly how everyone expected they would. In that way, the angry Trump fans aren’t really any different than the man they were shouting to defend: easy to provoke.

Now the pocket constitution story continues. The ACLU version used in the Maine protest is sold out; existing orders are delayed three weeks. Amazon has seen a run on pocket constitutions since the Khan speech. The Los Angeles Times, however, reports a less-predictable twist to the story:

Published by the National Center for Constitutional Studies (NCCS) in Idaho, the little Constitution book became Amazon’s biggest seller in recent days, outdistancing even the new Harry Potter release. (The pocket book slipped to second place Friday when Amazon temporarily sold out of all its copies).

Some constitutional scholars say that a number of quotations in the NCCS version are either deliberate alterations or taken out of context. The underlying message is that the U.S. is a Christian nation not intended to be ruled by a single government.

This is the version carried by Cliven Bundy’s merry band of misfits earlier this year in their occupation of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge in Oregon.

“Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people,” it quotes John Adams in an addendum. “It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other.”

While it’s not the version Khan held, it is the one waved by Cliven Bundy during a standoff with U.S. agents over federal rangeland in Nevada two years ago and by his son Ammon Bundy during the armed takeover of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge in Oregon early this year. “That’s where I get most of my information from,” Bundy said in an interview.

Cliven Bundy said the NCCS booklet was “something I’ve always shared with everybody and I carry it with me all the time. That’s where I get most of my information from.”

The Times continues:

“It’s a perverse twist that Khan’s powerful speech inspired so many people to buy a version of the Constitution that’s a recruitment tool for a movement full of so much hate, misinformation and ignorance,” Taylor McKinnon of the Center for Biological Diversity said in a statement. The Arizona center is dedicated to preserving endangered wildlife and habitats.

According to the Southern Poverty Law Center, which tracks hate groups, the NCCS is “a conspiracy-prone think tank” founded by a leader known for his racist views.

The group which the Southern Poverty Law Center describes as a “a conspiracy-prone think tank” has distributed millions of copies of its “Pocket Constitution” since 2004, the Times reports.

Friday night soother

Friday night soother

by digby

Gorilla Kira holds her baby at Moscow’s zoo. The baby was born on July 22, 2016. #APPhoto Alexander Zemlianichenko

Is it a Trump chicken or a Trump egg?

Is it a Trump chicken or a Trump egg?

by digby

I’ve been meaning to write this, but Brian Beutler at the New Republic conveniently did it for me:

A fairly evident tension between different arms of the Democratic Party has bubbled to the surface, thanks to hacked DNC emails. The disagreement stems from a Clinton campaign decision, affirmed by President Obama, to distinguish between Trump and Republicanism as an electoral strategy.

This stands in contrast to efforts by the DNC, as well as congressional leaders and state parties, to tie Trump like an anvil around the necks of other Republican candidates. Their concern is Clinton will let incumbent senators and other vulnerable Republicans off too easy, and harm the party’s down-ballot efforts.

If you squint you can see their concerns validated in swing state polls, which show Republican candidates like Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire polling ahead of Trump by five points. But looking at it that way loses sight of the bigger picture: Ayotte is still down by 10 points against her Democratic opponent. If “disaggregating” Trump from down-ballot Republicans has the effect of isolating Trump and drawing his numbers into the 30s, the party will descend into infighting (actually, this is already happening) and the down-ballot issue will take care of itself.

But even this is too binary a view. Nothing Clinton or Obama has done or will do prohibits individual candidates from linking their opponents to Trump. And for that matter, Clinton and Obama aren’t preemptively absolving Republicans so much as offering Republicans an opportunity to absolve themselves. Republicans aren’t really biting yet, and probably never will, at least not in a way that helps down-ballot Republicans. Ryan still supports Trump. Swing-state Republican senators are still blocking Merrick Garland’s Supreme Court nomination, holding a vacancy open for Donald Trump to fill. These are the telling facts. Obama and Clinton have given them an opening, and they’re turning it down.

Now imagine dissent overwhelms GOP leadership and the Senate confirms Garland. Yes, Republicans like Ayotte will have demonstrated a degree of independence from Trump, but they’ll have made themselves pariahs to conservative voters. Endorsing Trump is bad for them. Repudiating Trump is bad for them. The binary view of this is a bit like asking whether two angels can dance on the head of one pin, when that pin is melting in a pit of lava. The best, classiest lava.

Yup.

Furthermore, there is an upside to allowing Republicans to seize a little bit of Trump populism without being held entirely responsible for Trump himself. It means they will have to pay attention to some of their white working class voters’ economic concerns. Who knows, maybe it will force them to compromise on some issues of importance to working people for a change?

Wouldn’t it be useful to have the GOP work in a bipartisan manner on behalf of working people for a change? (Not that I’m holding my breath. But it’s at least possible …)

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This may have something to do with Clinton’s numbers too

This may have something to do with Clinton’s numbers too

by digby

It’s not all Trump. And it’s just possible it’s not all doom and gloom out there no matter how much the media pimps that narrative. There is surely some painful hangover going on in many areas and in many pockets of the population. But slowly but surely things are getting better and I’d guess that people may finally be starting to feel it a little bit.

The American economy roared ahead last month, as employers added 255,000 jobs, a bigger-than-expected gain that suggests the country’s growth rate may be more robust than thought just two months ago.

The Labor Department report for July had been eagerly anticipated on Wall Street, in Washington and on the campaign trail after conflicting signals in recent months about the economy’s trajectory.

Hiring in May was much weaker than what economists had expected, while a big rebound in June similarly caught the experts off-guard. July’s data suggests an economy that is gaining momentum after a spring slowdown.

“This will be a validator,” said Michael Gapen, chief United States economist at Barclays, in an interview before the release of the data. “Another solid gain in July would suggest that May’s numbers were an aberration.”

The unemployment rate was flat at 4.9 percent. Economists had been expecting a gain of about 180,000 jobs, with a fall in the unemployment rate to 4.8 percent.

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The company he keeps

The company he keeps

by digby

I’ve been surprised that there has been so little attention paid to Trump’s ties to organized crime. He was in the casino business in New Jersey fergawdsakes. There was one big story in the National Memo, but little follow up. But here’s one in Bloomberg today by Timothy O’Brien:

“Donald Trump and the Trump Organization are masters of opportunity recognition,” noted “Entrepreneurship 101,” a slender volume published almost a decade ago under the Trump University imprint. One path to success, the book advised aspiring tycoons, is to cultivate “relationships with the best business partners.”

In his own career, alas, Trump hasn’t often followed this strategy. Instead, he has routinely relied on his own instincts and operated impulsively both at home and abroad, sometimes corralling business partners who haven’t been A-listers.

Consider the Trump SoHo, a swanky hotel in lower Manhattan that offers, the Trump Organization says, “world-class hospitality,” “sophistication and style,” and “true decadence.”

One of Trump’s partners on the project was the Sapir Organization. That company’s founder, the late Tamir Sapir, arrived in New York from the Soviet Union as a cab driver before striking it rich trading Russian oil and local real estate. Six years ago, Forbes described him as a “tough, unloved landlord, a pariah to many brokers.”

Trump’s other partner on the project was the Bayrock Group, based in Trump Tower, which was controlled by a former Soviet official and Kazakh named Tevfik Arif.

(Trump also asked Arif to testify as a trusted business partner and character witness when he sued me for libel 10 years ago, claiming that my biography, “TrumpNation,” had damaged his business prospects in Russia and elsewhere. He lost the case.)

The man who played a pivotal role connecting Trump and Arif, bringing Trump into the mix on the SoHo hotel and other projects, was a Bayrock employee of Russian descent named Felix Sater. Over the years, Sater had repeatedly drawn the attention of law enforcement officials for, among other things, money laundering, helping organized crime families defraud stock investors, and stabbing a man in the face with the stem of a broken margarita glass.

Trump has repeatedly denied knowing that anything was amiss with Sater during the years they worked together, though he maintained a relationship with Sater even after news accounts about his sordid background surfaced.

During a deposition of Trump in late 2007, my lawyers asked him whether he planned to sever his relationship with Sater because of his organized crime ties. Trump said he hadn’t made up his mind.

“Have you previously associated with people you knew were members of organized crime?” one of my lawyers asked.

“No, I haven’t,” Trump responded. “And it’s hard to overly blame Bayrock. Things like that can happen. But I want to see what action Bayrock takes before I make a decision.”

In fact, Trump had knowingly associated with mob figures before.

Indeed he did. Read on.

The Republicans could have put all this together during the primaries. It’s all on the public record. But they didn’t because Trump is a symptom of their dysfunction not a cause.

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Going nuclear

Going nuclear

by digby

Clearly this election is going to be decided on whether people believe an intelligent, mature, stable person or a petulant, volatile, uniformed cretin should be in charge of the most powerful nation on earth. This brings that choice into sharp focus: