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Month: October 2016

Trump’s “practice session” in New Hampshire gets a D-

Trump’s “practice session” in New Hampshire gets a D-

by digby
I wrote about Trump’s Town Hall talents for Salon this morning:


From the very beginning of the campaign, Donald Trump’s election strategy has been very simple: Get as much free airtime as possible and hold big raucous rallies full of enthusiastic supporters. It was very different from any other campaign in that it required almost none of the one-on-one outreach that usually goes on for months in the small early states of Iowa and New Hampshire with town halls and visits to diners and living rooms. Trump believed he was above that sort of thing:

Don’t forget that when I ran in the primaries, when I was in the primaries, everyone said you can’t do that in New Hampshire, you can’t do that. You have to go and meet little groups, you have to see – cause I did big rallies, 3-4-5K people would come . . . and they said, “Wait a minute, Trump can never make it, because that’s not the way you deal with New Hampshire, you have to go to people’s living rooms, have dinner, have tea, have a good time.”

I think if they ever saw me sitting in their living room they’d lose total respect for me. They’d say, I’ve got Trump in my living room, this is weird.

In his view, people don’t respect real leaders if they “have tea” with them. They need to see them speaking behind a podium or perhaps from above on a royal balcony. It’s uncomfortable for the plebes to be on his level, you see.

Likewise, he held very few town halls during the primaries and those he did were generally moderated by friendly supporters and he was only asked questions by fans. Those few that weren’t were rather disastrous. For instance, in a CNN town hall forum with Anderson Cooper last March, Trump made a statement that sent chills down the spines of millions of people all over the world. Cooper asked him about nuclear proliferation and after vamping in his usual disjointed fashion, he came out with this startling comment:

COOPER: So if you said, Japan, yes, it’s fine, you get nuclear weapons, South Korea, you as well, and Saudi Arabia says we want them, too? 

TRUMP: Can I be honest with you? It’s going to happen, anyway. It’s going to happen anyway. It’s only a question of time. They’re going to start having them or we have to get rid of them entirely. But you have so many countries already, China, Pakistan, you have so many countries, Russia, you have so many countries right now that have them. Now, wouldn’t you rather in a certain sense have Japan have nuclear weapons when North Korea has nuclear weapons?

And when Cooper pressed him further by asking if he didn’t think there was a benefit to the US guaranteeing a secure world with as few nuclear weapons as possible he replied: “There’s a benefit, but not big enough to bankrupt and destroy the United States, because that’s what’s happening. We can’t afford it. It’s very simple.”

Trump had made many shocking remarks before about committing war crimes and torturing and killing families of terrorist suspects among other things. But this exchange may have been the moment when it finally sank in just how dangerous his ideas really are. It’s nearly impossible to believe that anyone, much less an American presidential candidate, would think that there is any higher priority than preventing nuclear war, but there you have it. He says it’s simple — “we can’t afford” it.

At another Town hall forum with MSNBC’s Chris Matthews a few days later, Trump once again revealed the disturbing way his mind works. Matthews pushed him on abortion rights, which Trump had clearly not fully considered until that moment:

Chris Matthews: “Do you believe in punishment for abortion, yes or no as a principle?” 

Donald Trump: “The answer is that there has to be some form of punishment.” 

Chris Matthews: “For the woman?” 

Donald Trump: “Yes, there has to be some form.”

Trump had not been schooled in anti-abortion obfuscation on that topic so he blurted out the logical conclusion of the argument. In his debate this week, his zealous anti-choice running mate Mike Pence denied that he or Trump would ever punish a woman for making the “heartbreaking choice to end a pregnancy” even though Pence’s Indiana is a state that famously jailed a woman for a self-induced abortion. (Just last month the Indiana Court of Appeals overturned her 20-year prison sentence for “feticide” ruling that state law doesn’t actually allow a woman to be convicted for her own abortion.) Any woman who trusts either one of these men on this issue is being willfully naive.

On Thursday night, Trump held a short town hall in New Hampshire, which had been billed as a trial run for Sunday’s meeting in St Louis. He adamantly denied that he was practicing, claiming that Clinton isn’t preparing either and is actually resting up so she’ll have enough energy for the debate on Sunday. In fact, he indicated that he thinks preparing for the debate is demeaning in some way:

“It’s so disconcerting when you hear — even tonight they said “Donald Trump is going to New Hampshire to practice for Sunday. This has nothing to do with Sunday. It’s like they make you into, like a child . . . Forget debate prep.”

Mr. Trump doesn’t like to take direction, apparently. After the disaster of his last debate that’s a foolish decision. He’s going to be sadly disappointed if he expects the questions from the audience to be the kind of softballs he got from his ecstatic followers last night such as, “What is one of your earliest memories as a child and why do you think it stands out?” and, “What would you say to convince Hispanics who were deceived by Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and the biased media, to vote for you?” (Answering that second one, he informed the crowd that in Nevada the Hispanics prefer to be called Latinos. Seriously.)

These general election town halls are a whole other level of performance, requiring the candidates to listen and show empathy to the average people in the audience, respond to the moderators and volley back and forth with their opponent. Even a self-described genius and practiced TV celebrity like Trump may not have a natural talent for it. If his performance in previous similar formats is any indication, the only thing he has a natural talent for in these situations is putting his foot in his mouth.

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Watchers watching watchers watching …. by @BloggersRUs

Watchers watching watchers watching ….
by Tom Sullivan


Man in Civil War greatcoat outside entrance to polling station in African-American neighborhood. Asheville, NC, 2012.

As if there weren’t enough wild cards in this election, Hurricane Matthew has Rick Hasen worried what it might mean for Florida:

Voter registration in Florida closes in just five days. According to Professor Dan Smith of the University of Florida, in the last five days of registration in 2012, 50,000 Florida voters signed up to vote. Many who might normally sign up to vote at the last minute are now following Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s order to flee the affected areas of the state, and they are not likely to register to vote on their way out or drop ballots in closed post offices or soon-to-be-flooded post office boxes. Hillary Clinton’s campaign has already called for voter registration deadlines to be extended, but the Republican governor has already turned down that request.

Some Floridians who have already registered and wish to cast an early ballot may find that they cannot get home to vote or get an absentee ballot, or perhaps that their ballot has washed away in the storm. Requests to deal with these problems could put a great burden on Florida election administrators, particularly if the storm displaces people for a period that lasts through Election Day. The good news here is that we are still four weeks out from Election Day and that Florida is a state with early voting, and so there is a chance to get some post-storm plans in place to help people as much as possible.

Well worth a read is Jamelle Bouie’s brief history of election violence against people of color:

Now that he’s behind, Trump has returned to questioning the legitimacy of the election. More critically, the idea that he would respect the results of the election, full stop, ignores the hatred that’s come to characterize Trump’s campaign, the violence he’s condoned against protesters and other vocal opponents, the virulent prejudice he’s brought to mainstream politics, and the apocalypticism of his message, where he stands as the final hope for an embattled minority of resentful whites. These rhetorical time bombs, in other words, could be the catalyst for actual intimidation and violence, before and after Election Day. And if that violence and intimidation strikes, it will be against the chief targets of Trump’s campaign: people of color.

To that point, Trump has gone beyond his attacks on the integrity of the ballot. Now, he wants his supporters to monitor the polls in places where, he says, “fraud” is likely. “You’ve gotta go out, and you’ve gotta get your friends, and you’ve gotta get everyone you know and you’ve gotta watch your polling booths, because I hear too many stories about Pennsylvania, certain areas,” said Trump at a recent rally. “I hear too many bad stories and we can’t lose an election because of you know what I’m talking about. So go and vote and go check out areas, because a lot of bad things happen and we don’t wanna lose for that reason.”

Yes, they know what he’s talking about and what “areas” he means. The rumor is there will be lots of those “watchers” where I live on Election Day.

Just when we might need extra watchers for the watchers, comes this unhappy news:

The Justice Department is significantly reducing the number of federal observers stationed inside polling places in next month’s election at the same time that voters will face strict new election laws in more than a dozen states.

[…]

For the past five decades, the Justice Department has sent hundreds of observers and poll monitors across the country to ensure that voters are not intimidated or discriminated against when they cast their ballots. But U.S. officials say that a 2013 Supreme Court decision now limits the federal government’s role inside polling places on Election Day.

“In the past, we have . . . relied heavily on election observers, specially trained individuals who are authorized to enter polling locations and monitor the process to ensure that it lives up to its legal obligations,” Attorney General Loretta E. Lynch told a Latino civil rights group over the summer. “Our ability to deploy them has been severely curtailed.”

Owing to the July ruling by the 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals that struck down major provisions of North Carolina’s omnibus Voter Information Verification Act, we have an extra week of early voting in North Carolina. Meaning, two-thirds or more of votes could be cast by Election Day. States without early voting periods are not so fortunate, making Election Day more of a focal point than it is here. At my polling place on Election Day 2008, perhaps six people voted between 3 p.m. and the close of polls. The Obama turnout machine was so massive that by Election Day there was nobody except Republicans left to vote. With any luck, Hillary Clinton’s closing blitz will accomplish the same.

They just can’t quit the Klansmen

They just can’t quit the Klansmen

by digby

Son Eric is all over the place these days, trying to get out the base to vote for his dad:

Earlier this year, Donald Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. appeared on a radio program called “Liberty Roundtable,” where he was interviewed by James Edwards, a white nationalist who had been called in as a fellow guest.

The younger Trump later claimed that he had no idea that Edwards would be interviewing him, saying that the booking agency that set up the interview had told him it would be with “Liberty Roundtable” host Sam Bushman. Bushman, who syndicates Edwards’ white nationalist program “The Political Cesspool” and often has Edwards on his own show, disputed that account, saying the booking agency had actually reached out directly to Edwards.

The campaign, apparently, did not learn its lesson from the whole debacle, because last week a Trump economic adviser, Stephen Moore, appeared on “Liberty Roundtable” and yesterday another Trump son, Eric Trump, also did.

Eric Trump spoke with Bushman about the vice presidential debate and his father’s plans to save the “inner cities”; Edwards did not appear in the interview with either him or Moore. Still, if the Trump campaign continues sending top surrogates to a show where Donald Trump Jr. was surprise-interviewed by a white nationalist, it seems like they aren’t trying too hard to avoid a repeat.

A little uplift in a tough campaign

A little uplift in a tough campaign

by digby

Clinton’s new positive spot:

I think this is a nice contrast with Trump’s chauvinistic, strongman view of what it takes to “make America great again.”

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That time Trump rescinded medical coverage for his sick baby nephew

That time Trump rescinded medical coverage for his sick baby nephew

by digby

Vote for me then go ahead and die, suckers.

That reminds me of this heartwarming story about Trump from December 2000:

Even when it comes to a sick baby in his family, Donald Trump is all business. The megabuilder and his siblings Robert and Maryanne terminated their nephew’s family medical coverage a week after he challenged the will of their father, Fred Trump. “This was so shocking, so disappointing and so vindictive,” said niece Lisa Trump, whose son, William, was born 18 months ago at Mount Sinai Medical Center with a rare neurological disorder that produces violent seizures, brain damage and medical bills topping $300,000. The Trump family feud has come to light in recent days as the dispute over Fred Trump’s estate is being played out in Queens Surrogate Court. The patriarch left between $100 million and $300 million, according to different family estimates. A separate case over the denial of medical coverage that Fred Trump freely provided to his family for decades was filed in Nassau Supreme Court. Both lawsuits were filed by Fred Trump 3rd and Mary Trump, the children of Donald’s late brother, Fred Jr. They offer a rare window into one of New York’s most prominent families, a world where alliances and rivalries are magnified by power, money and the tough-nosed tactics of Donald Trump.

“When [Fred 3rd] sued us, we said, ‘Why should we give him medical coverage?” Donald said in an interview with the Daily News last week. Asked whether he thought cutting their coverage could appear cold-hearted, given the baby’s medical condition, Donald made no apologies. “I can’t help that,” he said. “It’s cold when someone sues my father. Had he come to see me, things could very possibly have been much different for them.

He can’t wait to do the same to you.

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Let’s all take a breath, shall we?

Let’s all take a breath, shall we?

by digby

On this day, in previous previous presidential elections this is where we stood:

If you go back to 2000, you’ll see one even closer. This is a polarized country. The two parties have sorted themselves out ideologically and this is the state of our national elections. The can almost always go either way and with disastrous consequences if the Republican radicals, a party that has become very extreme in recent years, seizes power. Look what they’ve nominated this time.

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Can you hear the excitement in his voice?

Can you hear the excitement in his voice?

by digby

Poor Ted. I’ve always given him more credit than he deserves. I thought he was smart enough to set himself up as the anti-Trump, true beiever, man of integrity.

Nope.

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Donald Trump: Beck 2.0?

Donald Trump: Beck 2.0?

by digby

I wrote about Glenn Beck’s cratering media company and the possibility of Trump following in his footsteps for Salon this morning:

Washington Post columnist and former New York Times ombudsman Margaret Sullivan wrote a scathing piece last week indicting CNN president Jeff Zucker, Donald Trump’s previous television mentor at NBC, for Trump’s rise as a politician. She acknowledged that all the networks obsessively covered him and gleefully celebrated the ratings bonanza his candidacy created, but without all the free airtime and the imprimatur of CNN, the “non-partisan” news network, it’s unlikely we’d be looking at polls showing Donald Trump within the margin of error today.

The man may be a fake in virtually every other way but it’s undeniable that Trump has a talent for getting attention. The fact that he is such a ratings grabber has naturally led to plenty of speculation that should he lose the election, his next step could very well be a new “Trump Media Empire.” Back in August there was a flurry of speculation due to Trump pal Roger Ailes’ forced resignation from Fox News. The media genius being at liberty to start something from the ground up with a ratings magnet like Trump sounded like a no-brainer. The question is what form his “empire” would take.

If he went into television along the lines of other moguls like Oprah Winfrey, the investment would have to be in the half a billion dollar range and the time horizon for profit is quite long. That doesn’t sound like Trump. So the most likely scenario, according to Bloomberg News, is that Trump would follow the path set by Glenn Beck and start off with an internet based media company that could leverage his large email list for subscribers.

Recall that back in 2010, Glenn Beck was on top of the world, one of Fox News channel’s biggest starts, the king of the Tea Party, with a following of millions. A Gallup poll found him to be the fourth most admired man in the world, just barely edged out by Mandela and the Pope. But his show steadily descended into a bizarre spectacle featuring elaborate conspiracy theories and on-air emotional breakdowns. He and Fox parted ways in 2011, with Beck starting his own media company and announcing on his last Fox broadcast, “this show has become a movement. It’s not a TV show, and that’s why it doesn’t belong on television anymore. It belongs in your homes. It belongs in your neighborhoods.”

Beck has continued to churn our books and his TV “network” Blaze TV is available online by subscription and is carried onDISH network. His main project, a news site he started in 2010 called The Blaze, by all accounts did very well in the beginning, generating big traffic and attracting top right-wing talent. But according to Michelle Fields at the Huffington Post, the once-influential news site is crashing and burning:

The site, which Beck launched in 2010 to serve as the conservative counterpart to The Huffington Post, has dropped from 25 employees on its editorial side to just six. A source inside The Blaze, who requested anonymity for fear of retribution, told HuffPost that the mood among the rapidly diminishing news team is somber.

“The few people who are still left are looking for an exit because they know The Blaze is over,” the source said. “They haven’t told us straight up that they’re done with us, but all the signs point to it, and they’re not replacing people who are laid off or get out.”

They’ve closed their offices and the six remaining employees are working from their homes.

Beck isn’t the only one who tried this scheme, of course. Recall that former Alaska Governor and VP candidate Sarah Palin also started a subscription channel that was shuttered within a year. What these two cases have in common is the fact that the main attractions were hugely popular among Republicans for a time and then they abandoned them for the next big thing. It turns out that right wingers have a lot in common with tween-age boy band fans. They love their idols with a passionate intensity and then just lose interest overnight. Let’s just say that it wouldn’t be surprising if Donald Trump has an even shorter shelf life.

But what about Fox News? Trump wouldn’t be the first failed presidential candidate to wind up with a show on the network. He’s practically been living on Sean Hannity’s show the last couple of months maybe they could revive the old duo format and call it “Hannity and Trump” (or, let’s face it, it would have to be Trump and Hannity.) It’s not quite a good as having his own media empire but it wouldn’t personally cost him a dime and that’s one of his favorite things.

Unfortunately, Fox doesn’t seem to be holding together all that well in the wake of Ailes’ departure. It’s lost the confidence of Trump adviser Roger Stone who has declared that without the big man “it’s no longer a conservative outlet.” There’s a lot of skirmishing among the troops, particularly between Megyn Kelly and Hannity over the latter’s gentle treatment of Donald Trump. (Last night it broke out into a full-fledged cat fightwith Kelly accusing Trump of only wanting to be in “safe spaces” and Hannity calling Kelly a Clinton supporter on Twitter.)

Right-wing media has been very successful over the past 25 years, from talk radio to Fox News to internet sites like Drudge and more recently Breitbart. But it’s possible that the form is getting tired. There have been a lot of failures lately and even talk radio has suffered from the loss of advertising support as it came under pressure from consumers.

Donald Trump may be coming into it at the end of its run. Maybe he could reinvent the form in some way but it’s not likely. With the exception of grandiose chest-thumping and tax avoidance scams Trump hasn’t shown the slightest creativity in his long career. But you can be sure that if he does decide to take the plunge into political media he’ll get his money up front and everyone else, including the taxpayers, will be left holding the bag when it fizzles. That’s his business model.

Wacked enough for the Stern pack by @BloggersRUs

Wacked enough for the Stern pack
by Tom Sullivan


Howard Stern. Photo by Bill Norton. CC 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Living out here in the provinces and not a voracious consumer of popular media, I only know about “The Howard Stern Show” from stumbled-upon web clips and news references. So the Politico story about Donald Trump’s appearances on the show in the 1990s and early aughts provide a glimpse both into how the show worked and how Stern made Trump the publicity hound work for the show—becoming, at least implicitly, another in Stern’s cast of carnies. “Call him ‘Donald the Douchebag,’” suggests Virginia Heffernan, echoing the disparaging nicknames Stern gave to members of his oddball “Wack Pack”:

Today, as the Republican nominee, he may fashion himself as a boss and a master of the universe. But what comes across in old tapes of the show, resurfaced recently by BuzzFeed and other outlets, is that Trump, like many of Stern’s guests, was often the one being played. By nailing him as a buffoon and then—unkindest cut—forcing him to kiss the Howard Stern ring, Stern and his co-anchor, Robin Quivers, created a series of broadcasts that today showcase not just Trump’s misogyny but his ready submission to sharper minds.

Plus Trump’s ill-fated quest to be a legend in his own. That need is still on display in every rally Trump holds in his run for president.

The members of the Wack Pack, however, were at least groomed to believe they were in on Stern’s joke. The shrewder among them (“Hank the Angry Drunken Dwarf,” say) even were in on the joke, and managed to parlay Stern’s brutal hazing into some legit show biz moments.

Trump, however, was not in the on the joke.

One wonders if Trump’s bumbling need for fame and domination is all about daddy issues.

Kurt Eichenwald has another piece at Newsweek detailing from available records the series of calamitous business decisions that only failed to destroy Trump the self-styled, “self-made” business genius because his daddy bailed him out. Unable to control his spending in the late 70s and early 80s (how could he control the country’s?), Trump was in trouble long before his nearly one billion-dollar 1995 loss. Eichenwald writes:

No one could withstand these types of losses given the comparatively paltry amount of money available to offset them. So Trump took the same route he did for the rest of that decade and in decades to come: He borrowed more to keep himself afloat. Apparently, no bank would lend him additional amounts, so he turned to his father to rescue him. On September 24, 1980, Fred Trump arranged for a series of loans totaling $7.5 million to his son, which Donald Trump used to pay down some of the debt on his personal credit line. That same day, one of the Trump family’s companies, Trump Village Construction Corporation, lent Donald Trump an additional $976,238. All of the loans could be paid back at any time, and Donald Trump was not liable for any of the interest payments on them. Again, the rich are different.

Kevin Drum wonders the same thing:

It’s kind of sad, really: Donald Trump has lived his entire life in the shadow of his father’s success. Everything he’s done has been one long, desperate attempt to prove to himself and the world that he’s as successful as Fred Trump—who really was a self-made man. He never found that success, though, and running for president is his final, most audacious attempt to win his father’s respect. Unfortunately, like all the others, it’s doomed to failure—and not just because he’s likely to lose in November. His problem runs much deeper than that. He’s never looked in the right place.

As you may have read, Trump’s dressing down by Barack Obama at the 2011 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner may have driven Trump to run for president this year:

That evening of public abasement, rather than sending Mr. Trump away, accelerated his ferocious efforts to gain stature within the political world. And it captured the degree to which Mr. Trump’s campaign is driven by a deep yearning sometimes obscured by his bluster and bragging: a desire to be taken seriously.

At the dinner, he couldn’t take a joke. On the Stern show, he wasn’t in on it that he was the joke,
“a kind of humorless George Hamilton figure—a lecherous has-been measuring his march to the grave in New York Post mentions.” On Saturday Night Live, Trump couldn’t tell one.

Get out there and vote, people. Take your friends. Don’t let the last laugh be on you.