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Month: March 2018

“That’s his problem, not mine”

“That’s his problem, not mine”

by digby

This piece in the New Republic called “The Madman Summit” just about sums it up:

Donald Trump made his first appearance last Saturday night at the annual Gridiron Dinner, where the president customarily delivers a humorous speech to assorted journalists and Washington luminaries. Trump’s speech was characteristically logorrheic, a discursive string of bullying insults against Joe Biden (“I would kick his ass”) and Elizabeth Warren (“I didn’t like that Pocahantas”) that, in retrospect, contained gleaming diamonds of meaning. At one point, he broke the atmosphere of strained bonhomie with what appeared to be a serious discussion of the North Korea question. “I won’t rule out direct talks with Kim Jong-un,” he said. “I just won’t.” He then delivered his only genuinely funny joke of the evening: “As far as the risk of dealing with a madman is concerned, that’s his problem, not mine.”

It is funny, yes, but in a way that makes one queasy. On Thursday, the White House shocked the world with the announcement, made with zero fanfare by a South Korean official, that Trump would be holding direct talks with Kim within two months. Trump accepted Kim’s offer of talks seemingly on a whim; it had been conveyed to him earlier that day by the South Korean official, Chung Eui-yong, who had met with Kim in Pyongyang on Monday as part of an ongoing thaw between the two Koreas that began with the North’s participation in the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics. In an instant, the escalating tensions between Trump and Kim over the past year had evaporated, insults (“little rocket man”) and counter-insults (“mentally deranged dotard”) were forgotten, and the United States and North Korea were on a pell-mell track to diplomacy.

This should be a cause for relief. Instead it has led to confusion, bitter recriminations, and the unpleasant lurching sensation that has become so familiar in the turbulent flight of this presidency. Diplomats are appalled that Trump has done the whole thing backwards: Leaders usually meet at the end of a painstaking diplomatic process, coming together at the top of the mountain of spadework done by armies of anonymous bureaucrats. The United States has conducted virtually no preparatory work for this effort; in fact, the administration’s top North Korean expert resigned in February, “reportedly in frustration at being kept out of key policy meetings,” according to NBC News. It was only a few weeks ago, after all, that Vice President Mike Pence refused to stand to honor the North-South joint delegation at Pyeongchang, suggesting that the chill between the U.S. and the North was as frosty as ever.

Furthermore, it appears Trump has left some significant players out of the loop. The New York Times report on the talks contains this disturbing sentence: “Mr. Trump also plans to call President Xi Jinping of China.” China’s response to all this might be important, yes. It is only North Korea’s closest ally, one keen on keeping a buffer between itself and the U.S.-aligned South.

In contrast, Kim appears to be acting with great deliberation. He has initiated every step of this process, from the initial overture to South Korean President Moon Jae-in that resulted in the Olympics breakthrough, to the latest olive branch to Trump. Analysts have swooped down in droves to remind the public that North Korea has long desired a face-to-face meeting between its leader and a sitting American president, since it would be a mark of legitimacy and respect, a propaganda coup that would shrink the world’s colossus down to the size of its feistiest rogue state. When you account for the fact that North Korea is unlikely to wind down its nuclear program—the ultimate goal, for the U.S., of the talks—then it becomes clear that Trump may have fallen into a trap that Kim has laid, like a cackling Bond villain, with utter transparency. “Kim played Moon and is now playing Trump,” an Obama-era national security aide told the Times.

There seems to be little doubt that, in a battle of wits, the president would lose.

No doubt at all.

But maybe something positive will happen by sheer accident. You never know.

Catching up with Trump’s fixer

Catching up with Trump’s fixer

by digby
I wrote about Michael Cohen for Salon this morning:

If there is one person lurking around the shadows of every Trump scandal, it would be his personal lawyer Michael Cohen, known as the Tom Hagen of the Trump family, only with much less class and dignity than the original consigliere of “Godfather” fame. Back in 2011 ABC News described him as “the man behind Donald Trump’s possible 2012 presidential campaign,” and asked him about the Hagen reference. He replied:

[I]f somebody does something Mr. Trump doesn’t like, I do everything in my power to resolve it to Mr. Trump’s benefit. If you do something wrong, I’m going to come at you, grab you by the neck and I’m not going to let you go until I’m finished.

Presumably that does not include putting horse’s heads in people’s beds, but you never know. He certainly likes to make people believe he would stop at nothing to protect “Mr. Trump.”

At the beginning of the campaign CNN’s Don Lemon questioned Trump about his declaration that undocumented immigrants were criminals and rapists and Trump responded, “Well, somebody’s doing the raping.” This prompted Brandy Zadrozny and Tim Mak of the Daily Beast to inquire into claims by Trump’s first wife, Ivana, during their divorce that Trump had blamed her for his botched scalp reduction surgery and violently raped her in retaliation. Cohen responded to the reporters by saying that a spouse cannot legally be held liable for rape (which is not true) and threatened them in true “Godfather” style:

I’m warning you, tread very fucking lightly, because what I’m going to do to you is going to be fucking disgusting. You understand me? You write a story that has Mr. Trump’s name in it, with the word ‘rape,’ and I’m going to mess your life up … for as long as you’re on this frickin’ planet … you’re going to have judgments against you, so much money, you’ll never know how to get out from underneath it.

He seems like a lovely fellow. They wrote the story, obviously. But it is true Trump has lawyers on retainer, led by Cohen, who pretty much run a cover-up machine for him. Much of this operation has to do with women and former employees who might spill the beans on Trump’s unsavory peccadilloes, both personal and financial. Trump demands that everyone who works for him sign non-disclosure agreements and we now know, through the Stormy Daniels scandal. that he has his (alleged) mistresses sign them as well. (In Michael Wolff’s book “Fire and Fury,” Steve Bannon is quoted as saying that Trump’s lawyers paid off hundreds of women.) If any of these people get uppity, it’s Cohen who brings out the thumbscrews.


Last month the New York Times reported on Cohen’s relationship with Trump pal David Pecker, publisher of the National Enquirer. Pecker has allegedly observed a “catch and kill” arrangement under which the tabloid buys up scandalous Trump stories and pictures and never publishes them. The evidence suggests there has been quite a bit of this activity over the last few years.

Cohen appears to have made a mistake with the Stormy Daniels scandal, which is surprising since he’s had so much practice with this stuff. A little birdie (who wears two shirts, perchance?) tipped off the press that Cohen had created an LLC for the purpose of paying Daniels off less than two weeks before the election. That turned the spotlight back on Trump’s “issues” with women and raised the specter of campaign finance violations. Daniels has taken advantage of the attention and is now suing Trump and accusing Cohen of trying to intimidate her into silence, keeping the story in the headlines at least a bit longer.

It’s hard to understand why this particular affair would lead Cohen and Trump to pay off Daniels so close to the election. Trump had already been accused of harassment or assault by more than a dozen women — and was caught on tape bragging about it. Daniels has never claimed she was raped or assaulted. Would an allegation of a consensual affair years earlier, even with a porn star, have made any difference at that point? He denied all those other women’s charges during the campaign, of course, calling the accusers liars, just as he has denied the Daniels affair or any knowledge of the payoff. Unfortunately for the president, White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders got confused this week and confirmed that he is a party to the non-disclosure agreement with Daniels, so that denial is no longer operative.

There is some speculation that this had less to do with the campaign and more to do with Trump’s marriage. Maybe there is a provision in Melania Trump’s pre-nuptial agreement about extramarital affairs, for instance, that could cost Trump a bundle if Melania decides she’s had enough. Whatever was going on here, it was deemed sufficiently important for Trump’s top fixer to intervene.

But Cohen is not just the guy who takes care of Trump’s women problems. Remember that earlier this week when Trump’s former campaign aide Sam Nunberg had his meltdown on national television while waving around his grand jury subpoena, Cohen’s name was on it. He’s up to his neck in various strands of the Russia scandal.

Among other things, Cohen has appeared before the House Intelligence Committee, and just this week it was revealed that Republicans on the committee (quite likely Rep. Devin Nunes, its chairman) had contacted Cohen’s lawyer with a tip about some confidential testimony that could be helpful to him. Cohen is also mentioned in the Steele dossier as a go-between who secretly met with Russians in Prague during the campaign (which he has denied) and he’s an old friend of an FBI informant and convicted felon named Felix Sater, a Russian-born investor who has been involved with Trump and various Russian interests for years. Sater is the one who was working with the Trump Organization on a real estate deal in Moscow during the primaries and reportedly told Cohen, “Our boy can become president of the USA and we can engineer it.” Shortly after Trump’s inauguration, Sater reportedly helped concoct a bizarre secret peace plan for the Ukraine crisis that would allow the new administration to lift sanctions against Russia — and had Cohen deliver it to then-national security adviser Michael Flynn.


I wouldn’t be surprised to find out that Robert Mueller has assigned an entire team just to sort out Cohen’s byzantine Russian connections.

I hesitate to even guess what kinds of tasks Cohen has performed for Trump in the business realm over the years. He no longer works directly for the Trump Organization and has never worked for the White House. He is Donald Trump’s personal lawyer, and he’s working hard at it. Just last week, he secretly filed a restraining order against Stormy Daniels in a last-ditch effort to keep her mouth shut. No horses have gone missing, as far as we know. But the message is clear.

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Department of Peace by @BloggersRUs

Department of Peace
by Tom Sullivan

The next president of the United States should reserve space on the mantle for a Nobel Peace Prize. The last president got his in the wake of George W. Bush. The next follows Donald J. Trump.

The world this morning tries to wrap its head around the prospect of the “mentally deranged U.S. dotard” bringing his bigger button to a summit meeting with “Little Rocket Man.” Trump has accepted an invitation to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to discuss, among other things, “permanent denuclearization” of the Korean peninsula.

South Korean national security adviser Chung Eui-yong made the announcement to reporters last night outside the White House:

“I told President Trump that in our meeting, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un said he’s committed to denuclearization. Kim pledged that North Korea will refrain from any further nuclear or missile tests. He understands that the routine joint military exercises between the Republic of Korea and the United States must continue. And he expressed his eagerness to meet President Trump as soon as possible. President Trump appreciated the greeting, and said he would meet Kim Jong-un by May to achieve permanent denuclearization.”

Reports say the North Korean offer came not in a letter, but by telephone. A case of diplomatic telephone, Axios notes, with all the potential to lose meaning in the handoffs.

For some reason, there is much skepticism about the meeting actually taking place or that anything good will come of it.

Foreign Policy columnist Jeffrey Lewis observed in a tweet such a meeting is a longstanding goal of of Pyongyang: “This is literally how the North Korean film ‘The Country I Saw’ ends. An American President visits Pyongyang, compelled by North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs to treat a Kim as an equal.”

The reality show U.S. president may have accepted a role on Kim’s reality show.

Commenting on Trump’s “head-snapping display of incoherence,” former Weekly Standard contributor Max Boot writes in the Washington Post that talks are better than an exchange of missiles, but:

Moon and Kim have, for their own reasons, snookered the credulous American president into a high-profile summit that is likely to end in disaster one way or another. Kim is evidently willing to suspend his nuclear and missile tests while the talks are under way, but this is a minimal concession that can easily be reversed. He is most likely willing to do even that much only to buy time for his engineers to finish developing a nuclear warhead that can fit on an ICBM capable of reaching the U.S.

The Post’s David Ignatius runs through a list of Trump’s foreign policy messes created just one year into his term. Ignatius agrees talks beat “duck and cover,” but likens Trump to Wile E. Coyote, “Trump doesn’t seem to understand why the dynamite stick keeps blowing up in his hand.”

Adding to the prospects for failure, is anyone left in the State Department to waste their time trying to prepare Trump for summit where he’ll do whatever his gut tells him anyway?

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Request a copy of For The Win, my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

Mainstreaming the alt-right, Part 765

Mainstreaming the alt-right, Part 765

by digby

Come on …

The term “globalist” has been used at the White House at least three times this week in reference to an outgoing Jewish Trump administration official, raising some eyebrows because the word is increasingly used in xenophobic and anti-Semitic contexts.

The word came up on Wednesday when a reporter asked White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders whether a similar candidate will take the place of Gary Cohn, the outgoing director of President Donald Trump’s National Economic Council.

“He was a noted free trader, a globalist. Will the president seek another globalist, another free trader?” Fox News reporter John Roberts asked.

This followed Mick Mulvaney, director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, using the word “globalist,” in quotation marks, to describe Cohn in a statement that was tweeted by his department on Tuesday.

Mulvaney’s statement also noted that he was surprised to get along with Cohn, who he said ended up being “one of the smartest people I’ve ever worked with.”

The third instance came during a Cabinet meeting on Thursday, when Trump lauded Cohn as “a globalist,” while adding, “but I still like him.”

“He’s been terrific,” Trump said. “He may be a globalist, but I still like him. He’s seriously globalist, there’s no question, but you know what, in his own way he’s also a nationalist because he loves our country.”

The term can be used to describe someone who has universal or open-world beliefs, particularly in regard to trade or public policies, but it can carry a more sinister meaning for members of the far right.

Sure, but the man who popularized the term in Trump’s White House was Steve Bannon and I think we all know what he meant:

For the anti-Semitic and neo-Nazi members of the so-called “alt-right” white supremacist movement, “globalist” is a euphemism for “Jew.” It refers to the longstanding conspiracy theory about an international Jewish cabal working to undermine the traditional white family and Western culture by pushing for immigration and diversity.

A glossary of extremist language published by The New York Times places “globalism” among terms like “alt-right,” “antifa” and “cuck.”

“For the far right, globalism has long had distinct xenophobic, anti-immigrant, and anti-Semitic overtones,” the article states. “It refers to a conspiratorial worldview: a cabal that likes open borders, diversity and weak nation states, and that dislikes white people, Christianity and the traditional culture of their own country.”

I don’t think Trump knows this. But neither do I think he would care if he did.

I’m sure Stormfront enjoyed the jabs at Cohn, though. Trump is their guy for a reason.

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Surprise! He vetoed Miss Universe contestants from what he calls shithole countries

Surprise! He vetoed Miss Universe contestants from what he calls shithole countries

by digby

It’s been reported before that Trump had veto power over the finalists and winners in the Miss Universe pageant and he used it, often to help him nudge the government of the winner to help him with a business deal. He always uses whatever levers he has at his disposal to enhance his personal profit and Miss Universe is no exception. Neither is the US presidency.

However, he is also a stone cold racist with a strong white nationalist aesthetic. This is yet another excerpt from the Isikoff-Corn book, Russian Roulette: The Inside Story of Putin’s War on America and the Election of Donald Trump:

Specifically, one former Miss Universe staffer tells them that Trump would personally “make changes” to the list of finalists “if there were too many women of color” on it.

Another former Miss Universe staffer similarly tells them that Trump would weed out candidates who were too “dark-skinned.”

“He often thought a woman was too ethnic or too dark-skinned,” the staffer explains. “He had a particular type of woman he thought was a winner. Others were too ethnic. He liked a type. There was Olivia Culpo, Dayanara Torres [the 1993 winner], and, no surprise, East European women.”

One former staffer does say, however, that Trump could be persuaded to change his mind about a woman of color being worthy of his pageant “by telling him she was a princess and married to a football player.”

Recall the New Yorker piece about the Playboy model Karen McDougal:

On the night of the Miss Universe pageant McDougal attended, McDougal and a friend rode with Trump in his limousine and the friend mentioned a relationship she had had with an African-American man. According to multiple sources, Trump remarked that the friend liked “the big black dick” and began commenting on her attractiveness and breast size.

His imagination runs in one direction.

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The right is now openly promoting Russian oligarchs

The right is now openly promoting Russian oligarchs

by digby

The Daily Caller is publishing op-eds by Russian oligarch and Putin crony Oleg Deripaska. An excerpt:

The ever-changing “Russia narrative” in American politics is today’s “Wag the Dog” scenario. Technology and the disintegration of evidence-based journalism permit a surprisingly small number of individuals to destroy bilateral or multilateral relations. Their motivation in shifting from an inconvenient reality into their desired reality is power and military-industrial commercial interests.

When I attended the Munich Security Conference in February, the extraordinary, coordinated message of a panel of U.S. senators was summarized by moderator Victoria Nuland, former assistant secretary of state under President Barack Obama, as: “Deep State-proud loyalists giv[ing] broad reassurance about continuity.” One of the panelists, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), said: “What the Breitbart crowd would call the ‘Deep State’ is what many of us would call ‘knowledgeable professionals.’” The panel’s uniform message was essentially: Ignore Donald Trump and increase your defense budget to 2 percent, because the generals who are ‘operationalizing policy’ remain in charge.

When you owe the world $18 trillion, the only way to get them to “pay 2 percent for defense” is to manufacture a boogeyman. Russian novelist and pacifist Leo Tolstoy observed: “There is no war which was not hatched by the governments, the governments alone, independent of the interests of the people.”

What has been inelegantly termed the “Deep State” is really this: shadow power exercised by a small number of individuals from media, business, government and the intelligence community, foisting provocative and cynically false manipulations on the public. Out of these manipulations, an agenda of these architects’ own design is born.

Unfortunately, I am personally familiar with this group. Before they moved to their current, bigger ambitions of reversing the U.S. presidential election results, they scurrilously attacked me and others from the shadows for two decades. The various story lines and roles they have created for me don’t survive close scrutiny and are internally inconsistent, yet they simply follow the “Wag the Dog” playbook: We don’t need it to prove to be true. We need it to distract them.

There’s more but it made my head hurt.

It’s out in the open which is refreshing. The American right wing is blatantly promoting Russian autocratic kleptocracy. They are innocent of all wrongdoing. It’s the US that is the evil empire now. That’squite a turnaround for the American right, I must say…

Trump did excuse Putin’s killing of journalists and political rivals by saying that “we kill people too” so this is all in keeping with that worldview. It’s all good, I guess.

Just … wow.

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Trump and the “hot for teacher” act

Trump and the “hot for teacher” act

by digby

This excerpt from Michael Isikoff and David Corn’s new book called Russian Roulette: The Inside Story of Putin’s War on America and the Election of Donald Trump is intriguing:

In June 2013, Trump arrived in Las Vegas to preside over the Miss USA contest, which was owned by the Miss Universe com­pany. Goldstone, Aras Agalarov and Emin were in town for the event. Emin posted a photo of himself outside Trump’s hotel off the Vegas strip wearing a Trump T-shirt and boasting a hat exclaim­ing “You’re Fired!” — the tagline from Trump’s hit television show, “The Apprentice.” Trump had yet to meet the Agalarovs. But when they finally got together in the lobby of his hotel, he pointed at Aras Agalarov and exclaimed, “Look who came to me! This is the richest man in Russia!” (Agalarov was not the richest man in Russia.)

On the evening of June 15, the two Russians and their British publicist were planning a big dinner at CUT, a restaurant located at the Palazzo hotel and casino. Much to their surprise, they received a call from Keith Schiller, Trump’s longtime security chief and confidant, informing them that his boss wanted to join their party. Sure, they said, please come.

At the dinner for about 20 people in a private room, Emin sat between Trump and Goldstone. Aras Agalarov was across from Trump. Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal attorney who acted as the businessman’s consigliere, was on the other side of Goldstone. Also at the table was an unusual associate for Trump: Ike Kaveladze, the U.S.-based vice president of Crocus International, an Agalarov company. In 2000, a Government Accountability Office report identified a business run by Kaveladze as responsible for opening more than 2,000 bank accounts at two U.S. banks on behalf of Russian-based brokers. The accounts were used to move more than $1.4 billion from individuals in Russia and Eastern Europe around the globe in an operation the report suggested was “for the purpose of laundering money.” His main client at the time was Crocus International. (Kaveladze claimed the GAO probe was “another Russian witch-hunt in the United States.”)

Trump was charming and solicitous of his new partners. He asked Aras what kind of jet he owned. A Gulfstream 550, Aras answered. But the Russian billionaire quickly noted that he had a Gulfstream 650 on order. “If that was me,” Trump replied, “I would have said I was one of only one hundred people in the world who have a Gulfstream 650 on order.” It was a small Trumpian lesson in self-promotion. And Trump, proud of himself, turned to Goldstone to emphasize his point: “There is nobody in the world who is a better self-promoter than Donald Trump.”

After the dinner, part of the group headed to an after-party at a raunchy nightclub in the Palazzo mall called the Act. Shortly after midnight, the entourage arrived at the club. The group included Trump, Emin, Goldstone, Culpo, and Nana Meriwether, the outgoing Miss USA. Trump and Culpo were photographed in the lobby by a local paparazzi. The club’s management had heard that Trump might be there that night and had arranged to have plenty of Diet Coke on hand for the teetotaling Trump. (The owners had also discussed whether they should prepare a special performance for the developer, perhaps a dominatrix who would tie him up on stage or a little-person transvestite Trump impersonator. They nixed that idea.)

The group was ushered to the owner’s box, where Emin had an unusual encounter. Alex Soros, the son of George Soros, the bil­lionaire philanthropist who funded opposition to Putin, was there as Meriwether’s date. Emin started chatting with Soros and invited him to visit him in Moscow. “You should know,” Soros replied, “I’m no fan of Mr. Putin.” And, he added, he was a big admirer of Mikhail Khodorkovsky — the oligarch turned Putin critic then serving time in a Siberian prison. Emin laughed it off.

The Act was no ordinary nightclub. Since March, it had been the target of undercover surveillance by the Nevada Gaming Con­trol Board and investigators for the club’s landlord — the Palazzo, which was owned by GOP megadonor Sheldon Adelson — after complaints about its performances. The club featured seminude women performing simulated sex acts of bestiality and grotesque sadomasochism — skits that a few months later would prompt a Nevada state judge to issue an injunction barring any more of its “lewd” and “offensive” performances. Among the club’s regular acts cited by the judge was one called “Hot for Teacher,” in which naked college girls simulate urinating on a professor. In another act, two women disrobe and then “one female stands over the other female and simulates urinating while the other female catches the urine in two wine glasses.” (The Act shut down after the judge’s ruling. There is no public record of which skits were performed the night Trump was present.)

Obviously, it doesn’t mean that the Moscow incident mentioned in the Steele dossier happened. But I could easily see Trump sitting with Agalarov around the table watching the tableau and telling him that he’d love to see someone do that to Obama, hahaha… Maybe it clearly turned him on, who knows? But it’s certainly something that someone like Agalarov would make note of if they were looking for ways to compromise a thoroughly corrupt rich American with obvious political ambitions.

Update: An Instagram of Trump at the club that night

International Women’s Day at the White House

International Women’s Day at the White House

by digby

The president did that more women are working and are making more money by way of acknowledging the day.

Stormy Daniels has more work than she can handle. And she’s probably about to come into some serious money. So yeah, at least one women is benefiting from Trump’s presidency.

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When bragging about the presidents big hands get you into trouble

When bragging about the presidents big hands get you into trouble

by digby

Ooops:

President Donald Trump is upset with White House press secretary Sarah Sanders over her responses Wednesday regarding his alleged affair with porn star Stormy Daniels, a source close to the White House tells CNN.

Daniels, whose legal name is Stephanie Clifford, filed suit against
On Wednesday, Sanders told reporters that the arbitration was won “in the President’s favor.” The statement is an admission that the nondisclosure agreement exists, and that it directly involves the President. It is the first time the White House has admitted the President was involved in any way with Daniels.

“POTUS is very unhappy,” the source said. “Sarah gave the Stormy Daniels storyline steroids yesterday.”

It’s very unfair for the president to blame her for saying what was obvious. But I can’t feel sorry for her. She is a truly awful press secretary who lies as easily as she breathes. That she mistakenly told the truth yesterday doesn’t absolve her even if Trump is even worse.

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Trump has realized that he can “make it so”

Trump has realized that he can “make it so”
by digby
I wrote about Trump’s newfound knowledge of his own power for Salon this morning:

One of the more revealing dramas of the past year has been the spectacle of the Republican Party weakly wrestling with the Donald Trump phenomenon and then deciding to accommodate this erratic incompetent in the hopes that they could steer him toward pillaging the nation’s shared wealth, their raison d’être. Republicans have so far been unable to repeal the Affordable Care Act, but they have successfully sabotaged it in numerous ways. Most important of all, they got their big beautiful tax cuts and have set federal agencies to stripping the nation of rules and regulations that serve the common good, so they have been more than satisfied with their decision.

Nonetheless, Trump is very high-maintenance, with all the craziness and misbehavior and legal problems. A handful of Republicans may even feel a bit restless at night, knowing they’ve enabled an immoral and unstable leader who is making America into a pariah nation, but for the most part they’ve made their peace with him for the sake of reckless economic plunder. There was no raging against the dying light of conservative movement ideology for them. And never say Republicans don’t know how to compromise. They’ve compromised their entire so-called belief system.

Over the past couple of weeks, something has changed, however. The endless news stories and White House pandemonium has ended the tax cut euphoria. Trump has been even more erratic than usual, sending out disturbing tweets that simply say “WITCH HUNT!” and the constant drama and staff turnover has reached a crescendo. Still, GOP leaders were obviously prepared to deal with all that for the sake of shredding the safety net — at least until Trump finally went too far. He abruptly announced that he would follow through on his campaign promise to raise tariffs on imported steel and aluminum and make the rest of the world “stop laughing at us.”

Both Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell actually spoke up to object, however mildly, and Trump’s top economic adviser, Gary Cohn — a former Goldman Sachs banker and a Democrat — resigned in protest. John King of CNN said on his show Wednesday morning that a top Republican source told him:

He is making losing the majority more likely by risking economic growth through higher prices and higher interest rates. He is creating the reality for his impeachment in the House.

We cannot know how tariffs will affect average voters, but that comment shows Republicans are hoping that Trump’s disapproval rating will be overshadowed by the strong economy, at least enough to save their majority in November. That’s understandable. It’s all they’ve got.

But they had better get used to Trump throwing out even wilder policies. These tariffs didn’t come about because of some deliberative process. By all accounts, the loss of staff he trusted, in this case Rob Porter, has left him with less and less restraint and he’s just going with his gut.

That situation is unlikely to improve if Trump promotes someone like Peter Navarro, the eccentric economist who was hired onto the campaign after Trump asked Jared Kushner to find him a China expert. (According to Vanity Fair’s Sarah Ellison, “Kushner simply went on Amazon, where he was struck by the title of one book, ‘Death by China,’ co-authored by Peter Navarro.”) There’s talk of bringing in hard-line foreign policy extremist John Bolton to replace National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster when he leaves, as expected, in the next few weeks. Even Anthony Scaramucci is back on the scene, reportedly being encouraged by the president to trash-talk White House Chief of Staff John Kelly. These are not people one can expect to guide Trump in a sensible direction.


Cable news talkers keep noting that the White House is still as undisciplined and chaotic as it was in the early days and that Trump has not grown into the job. He won’t listen to his own lawyers — on Wednesday, The New York Times reported that Trump has been asking witnesses what they’ve told Special Counsel Robert Mueller, something he’s surely been admonished not to do, to avoid any appearance of witness tampering or manipulation. As the stress builds up over everything from the Mueller investigation to the Stormy Daniels sex scandal, and his closest aides and trusted confidantes are sidelined or dismissed, Trump is becoming more undisciplined.

Unfortunately, Trump may actually have learned something over this past year that makes him even more dangerous. He may have figured out that the president of the United States has a tremendous amount of inherent power that does not require the approval of either party in Congress or the government bureaucracy. This tariff decision shows him how easy it is for him to just pop off to some reporters in a press appearance that he’s made an important decision and spark a political crisis.

Trump now knows that the Republicans in Congress are all wimps who will eventually capitulate. For the time being, the Democrats have no institutional power and cannot stop him, and it’s hard to imagine that he could possibly face any legal jeopardy that’s worse than what he’s already facing. The courts have slowed him down on a number of issues, but he’s gotten most of what he wanted in his Muslim ban and there is little reason to believe he’s going to lose much in the Supreme Court. Even the banning of transgender recruits in the military — which, like many of Trump’s decisions, was an impulsive act based on something he saw on TV — hasn’t been completely withdrawn. A federal judge has ruled that the military must accept recruits regardless of gender status, but Defense Secretary Jim Mattis has just given Trump his latest proposal, so it’s still a live issue.


Just this week Trump threatened to pull all federal immigration enforcement from California, which he theoretically could do if he wanted to. But where a president has the most unilateral power is in the area of national security. Until now, Trump has been ranting and raving but hasn’t actually done much besides order an airstrike in Syria and drop a big bomb in Afghanistan.

His rhetoric on tariffs, however, has been instructive. He keeps saying that trade wars are good and that they are easy to win. He clearly hungers to mix it up and teach somebody who’s boss, and has now realized that he can take that action all on his own. It’s only a matter of time before he recognizes that he can start a real war exactly the same way. The more desperate he gets, the more likely he is to do it. There may be no one left in the White House who would even try to talk him out of it.

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