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Month: July 2018

“It is as if the mafia were being approached as a quaint bunch of oddballs.”

“It is as if the mafia were being approached as a quaint bunch of oddballs.”

by digby

Todd Gitlin makes a series of great observations about our current predicament in this piece for CJR. This excerpt is particularly insightful:

After months of White House propaganda against the intelligence services’ “rigged witch hunt”—presumably Trump would not prefer a fair witch hunt?—will the press understand that Trump and his base is doing what he has done for decades, back to the salad days when he dropped drooling tidbits into the tabloids? Could it be any clearer that he is stoking public opinion to reject the Mueller investigation prima facie? Can it be doubted that preventing his getting away with it requires a massive rethink of the essential news narrative about Trump going back years?

After months of recalculation, of reappraisals agonizing and not, of euphemisms and of mea culpas loud and soft, the Times does not know with whom it is dealing. It is as if the mafia were being approached as a quaint bunch of oddballs. It’s as if oversight were the most plausible reason why the famous Rob Goldstone email addressed to Donald J. Trump, Jr., subject-lined “Russia – Clinton – private and confidential,” failed to “set off alarm bells” among the likes of Paul Manafort, Jared Kushner, and Trump Jr. in Trump Tower—and not the far more plausible explanation that Russian cronies were nothing new at making approaches to Trumpworld. Trump’s buildings were homes away from home for all manner of criminals and Russian investors, as were his foreign ventures.

This is what journalists called “context.” Call it background, call it whatever you want. But if you ignore it, you are reporting a baseball game as if people in uniforms are running around a diamond and chasing a ball for no apparent reason at all.

Trump is not just eccentric, ignorant, vicious, self-dealing, and preeningly deceptive. He doesn’t just lie—not randomly. He may or may not be delusional. He has long surrounded himself with criminals. His history of racketeering connections and his lies about them was reported decades ago by Wayne Barrett and other reporters, though subsequently discarded presumably because it was “old news.”

But the core of the matter now is what leads a former director of the CIA not only to call the president of the United States “treasonous” and ‘imbecilic” but to say he “rises to and exceeds the threshold of ‘high crimes & misdemeanors.’” Whenever asked a straight question about his relationship to Putin and Putin’s cronies, Trump has ducked, scammed, and systematically obscured the findings of God knows how many professional investigators and investigative reporters. Is it not time that when faced with these facts, journalists stop asking fatuous questions? Should they not adopt, as a working hypothesis going in, the assumption that his lies and evasions are clear hints of what drives him?

The answer is … yes.

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Gee, I wonder where he heard this

Gee, I wonder where he heard this

by digby

In the 12 short years since Montenegro regained its independence, the European country has joined NATO, boosted its defense spending, and according to official figures contributes more troops per capita to the war in Afghanistan than the United States.

Yet this U.S. ally — smaller than Connecticut and about as populous as Baltimore — found itself in President Donald Trump’s cross hairs late Tuesday as he once again criticized NATO.

Why NATO is criticized by Trump and opposed by Russia
The president suggested he would be unhappy defending “tiny” Montenegro if it were attacked, calling into question NATO’s central principle of mutual defense.

He also questioned whether the country’s “very aggressive people” could draw NATO into a war with Russia.

Like other presidents before him, Trump wants smaller NATO members to pull their weight by spending more on their militaries. But he’s the first to directly challenge the alliance’s mutual defense clause. Critics say that destabilizes one of the foundations of the post-World War II Western world.

Trump did not bring up Montenegro himself. It was used as an example by Tucker Carlson during an interview on Fox News.

“Membership in NATO obligates the members to defend any other member that’s attacked,” Carlson said. “So let’s say Montenegro, which joined last year, is attacked. Why should my son go to Montenegro to defend it from attack?”

Trump answered: “I understand what you’re saying. I’ve asked the same question. Montenegro is a tiny country with very strong people … They’re very aggressive people. They may get aggressive, and congratulations you’re in World War III.”

Fourteen people are currently on trial in Montenegro accused of plotting to kill the prime minister and stage a coup to bring a pro-Russian party to power. The government says one of the aims of the plan was to stop the country joining NATO. The Kremlin has denied any link to the alleged plot.

By saying that he had “asked the same question” why Americans troops should be asked to defend their allies, Trump was challenging the entire point of NATO.

Carlson just nodded like a good little vassal. And he knows very well what a shocking thing that is for an American president to say.

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The 2018 GOP strategy

The 2018 GOP strategy

by digby

It’s brilliant: Let Donald Trump sell-out the country to mobilize their “patriotic” base:

“Everybody thinks that President Trump is some kind of drag on the Republican Party, [when] in this case, he’s just the essential ingredient,” said Holmes, who’s helped engineer his party’s Senate strategy for the past 16 years as a chief aide to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky.

“What the president is doing by continuing to discuss the investigation [into allegations of collusion between his campaign and Russia] and the quote-unquote ‘witch hunt,’ particularly on prime time Fox [News], is doing more to mobilize base voters than any legislative issue we’ve seen,” added Holmes.

If Trump decided to open death camps (and he could) they’d all say, “my voters all like death camps so why should I commit political suicide?” Better to commit actual suicide.

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Cowards, all of them

Cowards, all of them

by digby

Axios reports:

Yes, almost every elected Republican we talk to privately thinks President Trump’s warm embrace of Vladimir Putin was unexplainable, unacceptable and un-American. Yes, they wish they could say this publicly. No, they won’t — not now, and probably never.

They see no upside in speaking out — and fear political suicide if they do, numerous Republican officials tell us.

This is the mind-control power Trump has, thanks to 90 percent of Republicans approving of his tactics and performance.

These 90 percent empower and are empowered by Fox News and a pro-Trump social media ecosystem that always comes to the president’s defense, even if they flinch for a moment or two.

You had a rare moment where virtually every Republican was aghast at Trump’s words.

But almost every Republican — except those leaving the stage — softened their direct criticism of Trump and ran from TV or reporters like the plague.

GOP lawmakers’ immediate complaints about the press conference were quickly tempered. Trump’s cleanup and turnaround yesterday (“I said the word ‘would’ instead of ‘wouldn’t'”) had one audience: Capitol Hill.

Senior staff saw a real risk of backlash — worse than after Charlottesville — if the brewing rebellion wasn’t nipped in the bud quickly, per sources close to White House.
Most Republican members of Congress don’t need to do anything so radical as actually believe Trump is sincere about correcting himself.
They need a fig leaf so they can justify quickly returning to support their president, who is vastly more popular with Republican voters than any of them are.

P.S. Two tweets illuminate this phenomenon:
Mike Murphy, GOP strategist: “I’m furious R’s are cowardly about Trump. But here is what they say in private: 1.) Trump is a disgrace. 2.) I give fiery press conf tmmrw saying that. 3.) Nothing changes, Trump remains nuts and remains POTUS. 4.) A nut beats me in next primary. So how does my pol suicide help?”

Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report: “Most Republican members are willing to admit POTUS doesn’t operate in reality, but know they’re doomed in their next primary if they say so publicly. As long as that’s true, we’re headed for a world w/ zero accountability.”

Trump chimed in with a tweet at 5:53 Wednesday morning:
“So many people at the higher ends of intelligence loved my press conference performance in Helsinki. Putin and I discussed many important subjects at our earlier meeting. We got along well which truly bothered many haters who wanted to see a boxing match. Big results will come!”

Go deeper: Axios’ Alexi McCammond found most GOP Senate candidates are sticking with Trump.

Obviously they have no confidence that they could possibly influence public opinion by being patriots and doing something about a delusional, dangerous president. I guess the concept of “leadership” is foreign to these people.

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Why don’t you pass the time by playing a little solitaire? by @BloggersRUs

Why don’t you pass the time by playing a little solitaire?
by Tom Sullivan

More remarkable than his election is the fact that Donald Trump is still in office and that Republican leaders are pressing on as though he is not some sort of low-rent sleeper agent.

Attempting a recovery from Monday’s disastrous press conference in Helsinki beside Russian president Vladimir Putin, the sitting U.S. president attempted — under pressure — to roll back his remarks dismissing the conclusions of the American intelligence community he (ostensibly) leads. He misspoke in denying Russia meddled extensively in the 2016 elections, he now says:

“I accept our intelligence community’s conclusion that meddling took place,” Trump told reporters in brief remarks before a meeting with members of Congress. Yet he immediately contradicted both his own statement and that community’s findings, saying, “Could have been other people also. There’s a lot of people out there.”

He. Just. Can’t. Betray. Vladimir Putin.

Not only did Donald Trump undo his own “clarifying” statement, he wrote “THERE WAS NO COLUSION” in the margins to remind himself, and misspelled collusion.

Republicans on Capitol Hill are already backing off their criticism, willing to go back to pretending the Trump presidency is somehow normal:

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla) said he was “just glad he clarified” what he meant. “I take him at his word if he says he misspoke, absolutely,” Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) told Fox News.

They want to get back to the important business of governmenting.

A “the sun came up this morning” poll from POLITICO/Morning Consult finds voters divided along partisan lines over the sitting president’s nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Nearly three-quarters of Republicans want him confirmed, but only 17 percent of Democrats. Another poll from Gallop shows Kavanaugh has “the slimmest margin of support since 1987.” A lower net approval rating than Robert Bork (+6) or Harriet Miers (+8), tweets Matthew Chapman of Shareblue media.

Senate Republicans want to solidify Trump’s legacy on the Supreme Court while they still can.

Meanwhile, more Russian operatives attempting to steer U.S. policy keep turning up in the news. One closely associated with the National Rifle Association was arrested Sunday and denied bond on Monday. The Trump administration announced a change in policy that evening to allow the NRA not to disclose its donors to the IRS.

More Russian operatives than previously reported met in the Seychelles with Blackwater security founder and Trump surrogate Erik Prince days before Trump’s inauguration according to a report based on flight records.

But that does not give anyone in the majority pause ask to what the hell is going on or to postpone important decisions until they know for sure. In March 2016, they insisted on waiting for the American people to decide in November who would picked the next SCOTUS justice. Now, with the Mueller investigation incomplete, they won’t wait to find out if judicial nominees before them came via a traitor.

Maybe they should pass the time by playing a little solitaire?

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

A Real American speaks her mind

A Real American speaks her mind

by digby

I think this woman speaks for a lot of Trump voters:

Trump tapped into a powerful hate.

Here’s a similar example:

He didn’t create it. It was already there, waiting for him.

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QOTD: A security professional

QOTD: A spook

by digby

I wonder if this is a common feeling among members of the intelligence community right now?

In his stops in Brussels, London and Helsinki, President Donald Trump demonstrated that he is as much an advocate for Russia’s interests than if he were indeed recruited by Russian intelligence and formally responding to Russian tasking. In fact, his handlers would probably exercise a greater degree of subtlety and discretion to ensure he did not go too far in revealing himself as an agent for Russian policies and interests. If there is a silver lining in this disastrous trip, surely NATO, as well as leaders in Germany and the United Kingdom, must now realize that they cannot trust what the US President says, appears to do, or promises. This lesson will be useful for our allies in forging a more independent pathway moving forward, until this American nightmare is over.

But Trump did go too far in revealing his true colors. The US intelligence community can no longer trust the President’s judgment after he clearly sided with Russia in the Mueller investigation and the underlying intelligence information that formed the basis of the indictments of twelve Russian military intelligence officers. If I were still an active CIA officer at the senior leadership level, I would seriously have to consider resigning on principle, rather than serve positions that our president has espoused at the side of the Russian president. For the already diminishing number of die-hard advocates of efforts to improve the US-Russia relationship, the summit was a death blow. History has proven that US-Russian relations must be based on a position of mutual strength, not weakness. Courageous advocates of giving Putin and Russia a chance in spite of all the incidents of naked aggression have been exposed as naive, if not downright irresponsible. The purpose of pursuing channels of communications and high level contacts will be seriously questioned by this summit, and justifiably so. For what purpose would Americans reach out to Russia in a bid to increase trust, as President Putin underscored in his summit statement, when our own president is either delusional or willing to accept attacks on the United States and on the very institutions of western democracy, even when practiced in an acute form?

Which raises the final, most worrisome observation. Donald Trump said what he said in Helsinki because he believes it. Our own president believes in the zeitgeist of the 21st century autocrat, the leader who controls events and is able to crush all barriers to absolute rule. Trump respects the strong, the unbridled leader who through the force of personality and a position of strength are able to bully and silence their critic. Free press. “Fake news.” Rule of law. What’s the law? Pardon militiamen and rule-of-law-crushing sheriffs instead. Civil rights and civil liberties? Gone too far and needs a correction. For Donald Trump, the core values of American democracy are to overcome, not to respect and defend.

This is a time for choosing. Government officials, senior and junior alike, take an oath to uphold the Constitution and the laws of the United States, not to obey any single President. The calculus of whether to resign or stay must be based on whether one is able to uphold the Constitution and the laws of the United States from within or from without. Serving the interests of this president is not serving the country

It was a yuge success of course

It was a yuge success of course

by digby

Dotard had thought he had it covered:

Immediately after his news conference, Trump’s mood was buoyant, people familiar with the matter said. He walked off stage in Helsinki with little inkling his remarks would cause the firestorm they did, and was instead enthusiastic about what he felt was a successful summit.

By the time he’d returned to the White House just before 10 p.m. ET on Monday, however, his mood had soured. Predictably, the President was upset when he saw negative coverage of the summit airing on television aboard Air Force One. It was clear he was getting little support, even from the usual places.

He vented to aides traveling with him, including new communications chief Bill Shine and policy aide Stephen Miller. First lady Melania Trump was also aboard and was involved in some of the discussions, but not all of them, the people familiar with the matter said.

Trump, the first lady, Shine and Miller were seen in animated conversation aboard Marine One when they arrived to the White House South Lawn on Monday evening.
A day later, aides are still wondering what the ultimate fallout will be, including whether any senior officials will resign. Those who were not on the trip are waiting to debrief their colleagues later in the day about what transpired behind the scenes. All are nervously watching Twitter to see if the President attempts further cleanup beyond his tweet after the event Monday when he said he has “GREAT confidence in MY intelligence people.”

 Well, so far:

By the way:

Administration officials had hoped that maybe, just maybe, Monday’s summit between President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin would end differently — without a freewheeling 46-minute news conference in which Trump attacked his own FBI on foreign soil and warmly praised archrival Russia.

Ahead of the meeting, staffers provided Trump with some 100 pages of briefing materials aimed at laying out a tough posture toward Putin, but the president ignored most of it, according to one person familiar with the discussions, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to disclose internal deliberations. Trump’s remarks were “very much counter to the plan,” the person said.

“Everyone around Trump” was urging him to take a firm stance with Putin, according to a second person familiar with the preparations. Before Monday’s meeting, the second person said, advisers covered matters from Russia’s annexation of Crimea to its interference in the U.S. elections, but Trump “made a game-time decision” to handle the summit his way.

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That NRA gal?

That NRA gal?

by digby

Josh Marshall looked at the complaint against Butina and notes that it’s clear she was involved in a Russian government operation to infiltrate the NRA with the purpose of influencing American politics. I think his conclusion may be correct:

But reading the complaint gave me a different sense. Here’s Butina, in active conversation with the man who is in effect her handler, Torshin, working with two Americans to find points of entry into U.S. political networks during the 2016 campaign and before, “building a team of advisors on Russia for a new President.” These are almost exactly the kinds of semi-furtive relationships we seem to see all around the Trump world and the Trump campaign – unexplained meetings that are all of course happenstance and by chance. But here it is spelled out in some detail, with key telling emails and more. If you’ve watched this story in detail, there are lots of players like this in the mix. It’s hard to imagine there aren’t lots of Russians like Butina working with Americans like U.S. Person 1 and 2. In most cases, we know or can pretty well predict who they are. I could not read this complaint without thinking it was a template for more we are likely to see soon, and probably ones Mueller is unlikely to hand off to outside prosecutors.

This is from a subscription only article. I urge you to subscribe if you can. Josh’s insights on this story are valuable.

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About that Magnitsky thing

About that Magnitsky thing

by digby

Be sure to read Emptywheel’s fascinating take on the Helsinki Summit. This in particular is extremely intriguing:

I know there are a lot of people who aren’t as convinced as I am that a clear agreement was reached between Trump’s top aides and Putin’s emissaries at the June 9, 2016 Trump Tower meeting. For doubters, however, Vladimir Putin just re-enacted the meeting on the world stage at the Helsinki summit

On top of the denials, from both sides, of Russian tampering in the election (and both sides’ embrace of a joint cybersecurity working group), that re-enactment came in three ways. 

First, when asked whether Russia tampered in our election, Putin issued a line that was sort of a non-sequitur, asserting that, “I was an intelligence officer myself. And I do know how dossiers are made of.” The line — a reference both to the Steele dossier and Putin’s more damaging kompromat on Trump — is pregnant with meaning (and probably was planned). When asked, later, whether he had any compromising information on Trump or his family, Putin said, “Now to kompromat. I did hear these allegations that we collected kompromat when he was in Moscow. I didn’t even know he was in Moscow.” 

This is a reference to the pee tape, allegedly taped when he put on Miss Universe in Russia in 2013. But it’s premised on a claim about which there is sworn counter-evidence in the US. Rob Goldstone — the guy who set up the June 9 meeting — described how Putin not only knew Trump was in Moscow, but was still trying to fit in a meeting with him.
So not only did Putin lie about whether there could be a pee tape (I don’t think there is one, but I think the 2013 involves compromise in another way), but did so in a way that invoked the Agalrovs as Trump’s handlers going back years. 

And did you notice that he never denied having kompromat? 

Then, in a response to one of the questions about Putin’s tampering in the election, after he suggested that he’d be willing to have Mueller come to Russia to question the GRU officers who hacked Hillary, he demanded similar cooperation on his legal issues. He then raised Bill Browder (who is no longer a US citizen), complaining that
Aside from being muddled, both in Putin’s delivery and the translation, this is precisely the dangle that Natalia Veselnitskaya used to get into Trump’s campaign back in 2016 to ask to have the Magnitsky sanctions overturned.
This was simply Putin laying out his receipts of Trump’s compromise on the world stage.

And it went down to the wire. It was on the day of the contest itself that maybe around 4:00 in the afternoon Emin called a few of us into a conference room at Crocus, and his Dad, Aras, was there. And we were told that a call was coming in through from a Mr. Peskov, who I know to be Dmitry Peskov, who I believe is a spokesman for Mr . Putin, and there’d be an answer. And the answer I think, as I may have stated the last time I saw you, was that due to the lateness o f the newly crowned King of Holland who’d been delayed in traffic, whether air or road traffic, Mr. Putin would not be able to meet with Mr. Trump. However, he invited him to Sochi, to the Olympics, and said he’d be happy to meet him here or at any future time. And that’s how it was left, so there would be not meeting taking place.

So not only did Putin lie about whether there could be a pee tape (I don’t think there is one, but I think the 2013 involves compromise in another way), but did so in a way that invoked the Agalrovs as Trump’s handlers going back years.

And did you notice that he never denied having kompromat?

Then, in a response to one of the questions about Putin’s tampering in the election, after he suggested that he’d be willing to have Mueller come to Russia to question the GRU officers who hacked Hillary, he demanded similar cooperation on his legal issues. He then raised Bill Browder (who is no longer a US citizen), complaining that

For instance, we can bring up Mr. Browder in this particular case. Business associates of Mr. Browder have earned over $1.5 million [sic] in Russia. They never paid any taxes, neither in Russia nor in the United States. And yet the money escaped the country, they [sic] were transferred to the United States. They sent huge amount of money, $400 million, as a contribution to the campaign of Hillary Clinton.

There’s more … great stuff.

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