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Month: July 2019

“Deport Hate”

“Deport Hate”

by digby



Via Crooks and Liars:

As Trump leaned on an elbow and droned on, attempting to read about names and places he’d never even heard of before off the teleprompter, a hero stood up.

Virginia state delegate Ibraheem Samirah rose from his seat towards the front and shouted at Trump,

“Mr. President, you can’t send us back! Virginia is our home! Mr. President, you can’t send us back! Virginia is our home!”

He held a cascade of three signs taped together that read “Go Back To Your Corrupted Home,” “DEPORT HATE,” “Reunite My Family, And “ALL Families Shattered By Systemic Discrimination.”

WELL, THEN.

Capitol Police approached him, and the crowd tried to drown him out by chanting the Racist-In-Chief’s name, but the damage was done. He was escorted out without incident, and continued to hold his sign high as he left.

Here’s an example of “racism and bigotry being excused for the sake of being polite”:

Right. Let’s just ignore the divisive demagoguery of Donald Trump and pretend he really cares, ok?

Nikki Haley, a woman of color, daughter of immigrants, unable to criticize the president who is telling people like her to go back where they came from if they refuse to lick his boots. It’s just sad to see women like her debase themselves.

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Oh, and it’s not just the white working-class women

Oh, and it’s not just the white working-class women

by digby

Along with virtually every last woman of color in this country whether working class, college-educated, rural or urban, the suburban white women are appalled, too:

Carol Evans approves of Donald Trump’s immigration policy. She gives him credit for the strong economy. But the Republican from the affluent Milwaukee suburbs of Waukesha County, a GOP bedrock in the state, just can’t commit to voting for the president next year like she did in 2016.

“I just don’t like the way he talks about other people,” Evans, a 79-year-old retired data entry supervisor, said recently as she walked through a shopping mall in Brookfield, Wisconsin, days after Trump fired off a racist tweet at Democratic congresswomen.

The president’s recent return to racial politics may be aimed at rallying his base of white working-class voters across rural America. But the risks of the strategy are glaring in conversations with women like Evans.

Many professional, suburban women — a critical voting bloc in the 2020 election — recoil at the abrasive, divisive rhetoric, exposing the president to a potential wave of opposition in key battlegrounds across the country.
Full Coverage: Election 2020

In more than three dozen interviews by The Associated Press with women in critical suburbs, nearly all expressed dismay — or worse — at Trump’s racially polarizing insults and what was often described as unpresidential treatment of people. Even some who gave Trump credit for the economy or backed his crackdown on immigration acknowledged they were troubled or uncomfortable lining up behind the president.

The interviews in suburbs outside Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit and Denver are a warning light for the Republican president’s reelection campaign. Trump did not win a majority of female voters in 2016, but he won enough — notably winning white women by a roughly 10 percentage-point margin, according to the American National Election Studies survey — to help him eke out victories across the Rust Belt and take the White House.

Since then, there are few signs Trump has expanded his support among women. The 2018 midterms amounted to a strong showing of opposition among women in the suburbs, registering in unprecedented turnout overall, a Democratic House and a record number of women elected in statehouses across the country.

A continuing trend of women voting against Republicans could prove exceedingly difficult for Trump to overcome in his 2020 reelection bid.

“It’s one of the more serious problems that the Republicans face,” said G. Terry Madonna, a pollster and director of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Franklin and Marshall College in Pennsylvania.

The affluent, largely white and politically divided suburbs across the Rust Belt are widely viewed as a top battleground, the places where Trump needs to hold his voters and Democrats are hoping to improve their showing over 2016.

In the Detroit suburb of Novi, where Democrat Hillary Clinton narrowly beat Trump in 2016, pet store worker Emily West says she probably would have cast her ballot for Trump if she had voted in 2016. Now, she’s primed to vote against him.

“It was mainly when he got into office when my opinion started changing,” said West, 26. “Just the way he treats people.”

West spoke days after Trump fired off a tweet calling on four Democratic congresswomen of color to “go back” to their home countries, even though three of the four were born in the United States. Trump’s supporters later turned “send her back” into a rally cry aimed at the one foreign-born member of the group, Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, who arrived in the U.S. as a child refugee from Somalia.

Over the weekend, Trump picked up another racial trope, using his Twitter feed to attack Democratic Rep. Elijah Cummings and his majority-black Baltimore district by calling it a “disgusting, rat and rodent infested mess” where “no human being would want to live.”

Pollsters say it is difficult to measure whether female voters will count Trump’s behavior against him more than their male counterparts will in 2020. But interviews with women reveal a clear discomfort with Trump’s character: It emerged again and again in the AP’s interviews and was a consistent objection cited by women across the political spectrum.

“I did not think it was going to be as bad as it is — definitely narcissism and sexism, but I did not think it was going to be as bad as it is,” said Kathy Barnes while shopping in the Denver suburb of conservative-leaning Lone Tree. “I am just ashamed to be an American right now.”

You are not alone, lady.

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Is he a racist? Need we ask?

Is he a racist? Need we ask?

by digby

You and I know the answer to that.  But Quinnipiac broke it down and, as usual, a majority of one particular group of Americans stand out for their support of everything he does:

You’ve undoubtedly noticed that its the white, non-college educated, conservative-religious men who really stand out.

Of course, there are plenty of others in almost all categories who also think he isn’t a racist and plenty of white, non-college educated religious men who do. But this particular group really stands out for its loyalty to Dear Leader.

Notice that way more white women than white men think he’s a racist. This is a problem for Trump. He needs every last white working class woman to vote for his if he expects to win.  And they are not liking what they see.

I wrote about this yesterday for Salon, based upon Ron Brownstein’s analysis.

Greg Sargent at the Washington Post has more today:

The data provided to me by Quinnipiac does appear to suggest the possibility that this demographic [white blue collar women] is getting driven away from Trump.

The poll finds that among overall registered voters, 54 percent say they will “definitely not” vote for Trump in 2020, vs. 32 percent who definitely will, and 12 percent who will consider voting for him. Among non-college-educated whites, 45 percent said they will definitely vote for him, vs. 41 percent who say they will definitely not vote for him.

That last number seemed like a large percentage of non-college-educated whites who definitely won’t vote for Trump. So I asked Quinnipiac for a further breakdown, and here it is:

That’s also striking: A bare plurality of non-college-educated white women disapprove of Trump. (And again, the depth of alienation among college-educated white women is really something to behold.)

Now, to be fair, this is only one poll. But this dovetails with the extensive amount of data and focus grouping Brownstein reported on, so it’s plausible that this is a real thing.

And if this broader dynamic is right, it could be a big deal. This has been a Republican-leaning demographic for many election cycles now, which alone makes this seeming shift striking. More specifically, Trump’s racist attacks are all about three states — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — where Trump hopes to supercharge turnout and vote share among non-college-educated whites from non-metropolitan areas, allowing him to win the electoral college, even plausibly amid a larger popular-vote loss than last time.

But as Democratic pollster Greenberg told Brownstein, this becomes a taller order if the women in that demographic are getting alienated, even if the men are as gung-ho for Trump as ever. “White working-class men look like they are approaching the 2016 margins for Trump,” Greenberg allowed, but he added, “it only works if women are part of the story.”

That’s striking: A bare plurality of non-college-educated white women say they will definitely not vote for Trump. (It’s also worth noting the extreme depth of alienation from Trump among college-educated white women: More than 6 in 10 say they definitely won’t vote for him.)

This is also evident in Trump’s approval. The Quinnipiac poll shows that among registered voters overall, 40 percent approve of Trump and 54 percent disapprove. Among non-college-educated whites, 52 percent approve vs. 43 percent who disapprove — that latter, again, being a surprisingly high number, given this demographic.

He’s brought out the true asshole in a whole lot of Americans. But he’s really brought it out in this non-college educated, white, male demographic. There are a lot of these guys. But he can’t win (legitimately) without the women in that demographic too. And a whole lot of them are getting sick and tired of this shit.

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Socialize this by @BloggersRUs

Socialize this
by Tom Sullivan

File under: “Can dish it out but cannot take it.”

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has a case of the vapors over being dubbed #MoscowMitch and “a Russian asset” for blocking an election security bill. It’s “modern-day McCarthyism,” the Kentuckian splutters:

“The outrage industrial complex doesn’t let a little thing like reality get in their way,” said McConnell (R-Ky.) in a nearly 30-minute speech on the Senate floor. “They saw the perfect opportunity to distort and tell lies and fuel the flames of partisan hatred, and so they did.”

Why (Miss Scarlett might say), that sort of thing is just not done.

Eric Black of the MinnPost recently started a file on the National Republican Congressional Committee. The NRCC recently blasted as “deranged” 29 different House Democrats in a series of emails sent over 30 minutes. All identical, except for the name of the target.

An audience of idiots

“NRCC uses the word ‘socialist’ in pretty much every press release to describe the particular Dem under attack and generally assigns an unflattering nickname to every Democratic House member or candidate,” Black finds. Just like their liege lord in the White House.

Black continues:

It’s juvenile. Or should one say despicable? Well, it’s at least a parody of an organization that attaches no meaningful meaning to the word “socialism” nor to the concept of credibility or civility in political rhetoric. It’s just sad. Pitiful. Execrable. Its staff can’t be as stupid as they come across, but it’s hard not to assume that they believe they are writing for an audience of idiots.

Let’s just say Inigo Montoya would question if the NRCC even knows the meaning of the S-word it keeps using in its “strategy of red-baiting, bordering on McCarthyism.” They are rather desperate to change the national conversation from racism to socialism. Black’s series on the topic is his way of being helpful.

NRCC chair Tom Emmer of Minnesota defines socialism broadly and loosely by example, “It’s Venezuela. I mean, it is a complete government takeover. Literally, it’s theft. Socialism is theft. You name your issue. It’s restriction of free speech.”

“Keep your government hands off my Medicare!”

The Washington Post’s Philip Bump believes the word socialism “should be read with the same intonation you’d use to say ‘the boogeyman’ to a 4-year-old you were trying to scare.” He defines the S-word’s colloquial usage thusly:

The government can’t be trusted to do things except the things it does that I like. It’s trivial to extend that outward to capture a debate that’s potent at the moment: Government-run programs are unacceptable socialism, except the good ones.

“Keep your government hands off my Medicare!” shouted an older man at a South Carolina town hall event in 2009. Reflecting on the man who launched “a thousand ironic riffs,” Bump comments on a recent Economist-YouGov poll that asked, “Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of socialism?” Republicans hated the term far more than Democrats while approving of government programs they like. Bump turned the data into a handy chart.

Free health care for all: socialism. Medicare for seniors over 65? Government-administered health care for veterans? Not socialism. There is “a 50-point gap in the likelihood that a Republican will call Medicare socialism and the likelihood they’ll say that of free health care for everyone.” For Democrats the gap is 11 points.

Black continues:

Sweden, Norway and Finland are often called “socialist” models. They use the term to refer to their own systems, which include plenty of free enterprise and prosperous companies. They are also solidly in the camp of democracy. Life there is very good, better, by many objective measures, than in the USA. Is that because they’re “socialist”? Or because Scandinavians are hard workers? Or some other reason?

If you wanted to have an honest discussion, you would deal with all of those cases, and others. If you just wanted to scare Americans, you would say that Venezuela is hell because “socialism” is hell, while Sweden is heaven because Swedes are just good people, even if they don’t love “freedom” like we do. (By the way, a lot of Swedes are good people.)

The U.S. has always had a mixed economy. It’s no more pure capitalism than it is a pure democracy, as conservatives pedants are quick to remind. But we cannot have that discussion. There are elections to win and opponents to smear.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump doles out subsidies to make up for the beating farmers are taking over his tariff wars. Two rounds of agricultural bailouts totaling tens of billions of dollars? Totally not socialism. Propping up the failing coal industry? Totally not socialism. Nor is it socialism in Republican eyes, Catherine Rampell observes, to have the treasury secretary lecture “U.S. retailers and manufacturers about how and where they should reallocate their supply chains; nor when the president himself lectures firms about what products to stock; nor when the administration tries to get other countries to engage in more centralized economic planning.”

Ultimately, the leading lights of the Republican Party don’t really care about the size of government spending. The charge of socialism by Republicans comes down to who is doing the spending and into whose pockets the federal dollars are flowing. Will funds benefit salt-of-the-earth, Lee Greenwood-humming Real Americans™ hanging out in idyllic Wall Street cube farms (also, country diners), or into those of darker-hued sub-humans who reside in “rodent-infested” cities like Baltimore?

So, ask the Joni Ernsts and the Tom Emmers whose voters get socialized national defense, education & transportation systems, socialized fire and police protection and public utlities, socialized retirement, socialized health care for seniors and the poor, plus socialized farm supports which they plan eliminating from their fair states first?

Update: Mercy, I originally left out the last ‘t’ in Scarlett.

32% say they will definitely vote for Trump in 2020.

32% say they will definitely vote for Trump in 2020. 


by digby

The New Q Poll shows that Trump’s approval rating remains static. He was at 42% approval in June, now 40%. It’s been bouncing within this narrow range like this from the beginning.

Only 32 percent of all American voters say they “definitely” will vote for Trump if he is the Republican candidate in the 2020 presidential election, while 12 percent say they will consider voting for Trump.

But 54 percent of all American voters say they “definitely” will not vote for Trump, matching the “never Trump” total from a May 21 Quinnipiac University National Poll. This “never Trump” tally includes 57 percent of independent voters.

American voters disapprove 54 – 40 percent of the job Trump is doing as president, compared to a 53 – 42 percent disapproval in a June 11 poll.

Here’s the poll of polls:

Nothing ever really changes. According to that poll, he currently has a maximum vote of 44%. You would think that would give the rest of the country confidence that he will not be able to win another term.

But they cheat. And we know that the electoral college gives cheaters an advantage even when the winner loses the popular vote by millions of votes. 

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Why would you ask Limbaugh of all people?

Why would you ask Limbaugh of all people?

by digby

Oh please.

Here is a partial list of Limbaugh’s racist commentary through 2011. There are many more examples since then:

1 Limbaugh on Obama: “Halfrican American” [1/24/07]

2 Limbaugh on Obama: His “only chance of winning is that he’s black” [6/2/08]

3 Limbaugh on Jesse Jackson: Kerry camp got “a chocolate chip” [1/30/04]

4 Limbaugh: “If Obama weren’t black he’d be a tour guide in Honolulu” [7/6/10]

5 Limbaugh twice used word “spade” during discussion of Obama [1/15/08]

6 Limbaugh: Obama “wouldn’t have been voted president if he weren’t black” [7/6/10]

7 Limbaugh: “The media has been very desirous that a black quarterback do well.” [2003]

8 Limbaugh: “NFL all too often looks like a game between the Bloods and the Crips without any weapons” [1/19/07]

9 Limbaugh: Left upset with Obama because “white people are not shining the shoes of black people” [4/22/11]

10 Limbaugh: Gallup is “upping the sample of black Americans” to keep Obama’s approval rating over 50 percent [11/19/09]

11 Limbaugh: Obama and Holder “continue to protect and represent” New Black Panther [7/12/10]

12 Limbaugh: Caller is “clever” for embracing Obama’s “black half” while bashing his “white socialist European Marxist half” [3/3/11]

13 Limbaugh on “stories” about how “the black frame of mind is terrible”: “Tiger Woods’ choice of females not helping ’em out” [12/8/09]

14 Limbaugh mocks Chinese president’s untranslated speech [1/19/11]

15 Limbaugh photoshops Rep. Clyburn “driving Miss Nancy” [11/12/10]

16 Rush proposes a new leadership position for Rep. Jim Clyburn: “Driving Miss Nancy” [11/11/10]

17 Limbaugh: All Dems “had to do was nominate an African-American and [they’ve] got Colin Powell” [5/18/09]

18 Limbaugh: Obama is “this little boy, this little man-child president” [10/27/09]

19 Limbaugh: “For the first time in his life, Paterson is gonna be a massa” if he chooses Massa’s replacement [3/9/10]

20 Limbaugh: Basketball is “the favorite sport of gangs” [10/07/09]

21 Limbaugh: Illegal immigrants are an “invasive species” [4/4/05]

22 Limbaugh claimed “[t]here can only be one reason” Survivor scrapped “segregated” competition after two episodes — “the white tribe had to be winning” [9/29/06]

23 Limbaugh: “[M]inorities never do anything for which they have to apologize” [4/13/07]

24 Limbaugh: “The government’s been taking care of [young blacks] their whole lives” [2/5/07]

25 Limbaugh on Obama: “We are being told that we have to hope he succeeds, that we have to bend over, grab the ankles … because his father was black” [1/22/09]

26 Limbaugh: “Obama’s entire economic program is reparations” [7/22/09]

27 Limbaugh on minorities: “The days of them not having any power are over, and they are angry” [6/4/09]

28 Limbaugh: Obama would not have acted if he’d known that the Somali pirates were “actually young, black Muslim teenagers” [4/14/09]

29 Limbaugh: Obama “wants us to have the same health care and plan that he had in Kenya” and “wants to be the black FDR” [8/24/09]

30 Limbaugh: “Obama has disowned his white half … he’s decided he’s got to go all in on the black side” [3/21/08]

31 Limbaugh: Obama is “more African in his roots than he is American” and is “behaving like an African colonial despot” [6/26/09]

32 “[I]n Obama’s America, the white kids now get beat up with the black kids cheering” [9/15/09]

33 Limbaugh: Why was Michelle Obama not at Byrd’s funeral? Because of her “authentic slave blood”? “We can only speculate” [7/2/10]

34 Limbaugh on Steinbrenner death: “That cracker made a lot of African-American millionaires” [7/13/10]

35 Rush Limbaugh claimed that Democrats “want to get us out of Iraq, but they can’t wait to get us into Darfur.” He continued: “There are two reasons. What color is the skin of the people in Darfur? It’s black. And who do the Democrats really need to keep voting for them? If they lose a significant percentage of this voting bloc, they’re in trouble.” A caller responded, “The black population,” to which Limbaugh said, “Right.”[8/23/07]

36 Limbaugh: Obama will use Haiti to boost credibility with “light-skinned and dark-skinned black community in this country” [1/13/10]

37 Limbaugh: “[W]e need segregated buses […] This is Obama’s America” [9/15/09]

38 Limbaugh: “If homosexuality being inborn is what makes it acceptable, why does racism being inborn not make racism acceptable?” [9/15/09]

39 Limbaugh on Obama’s census form: “What race does he put down?” [4/1/10]

40 Limbaugh: Dismissal of cases against black defendants “the natural course of events” with black AG and president [7/1/10]

41 Limbaugh: “Every minority has been given the shaft and so there’s this inherent sympathy for them on the part of liberal do-gooders. And I think part of this irrational interpretation of Obama and his political talents is founded and rooted in this view of him with sympathy” [3/17/11]

42 Limbaugh: “Obama is half-white; maybe his half-white side is to blame here” [9/15/09]

43 Limbaugh: “Can this nation really have an African-American president” [9/16/09]

44 Limbaugh also claimed that the allegedly insensitive actions of the Obama family were taking place because they “look at it as if they are owed” these luxuries because of past racial discrimination. He added that they are “flying all over the country while everyone else is tightening their belts, ’cause they deserve it. This is owed to them.” [8/6/10]

45 Rush Limbaugh invented a racial element to explain Iraq war veteran Paul Hackett’s departure from the Ohio Democratic Senate primary race against Rep. Sherrod Brown (D-OH), asserting, “And don’t forget, Sherrod Brown is black. There’s a racial component here, too.” In fact, Brown is Caucasian — a point on which Limbaugh was corrected later in the program. [2/15/06]

46 Limbaugh: Food safety advocates “going to go after Oreos” but might have to wait until Obama leaves office [7/27/09]

And this:

Rush Limbaugh resigned last night from ESPN’s ”Sunday NFL Countdown” three days after he made race-related comments about how the news media view the Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb.

The remarks prompted demands for ESPN to fire Limbaugh yesterday by Gen. Wesley K. Clark, a Democratic presidential contender, and Rep. Harold Ford Jr., Democrat of Tennessee, who said that he had enlisted 20 other House Democrats and had interest from three Republicans to sign a letter to the ESPN protesting the radio commentator’s comments.

On Sunday, Limbaugh elaborated on his belief that McNabb is overrated and that the Eagles’ defense has carried the team over the past few seasons.

”What we have here is a little social concern in the N.F.L.,” he said. ”The media has been very desirous that a black quarterback can do well — black coaches and black quarterbacks doing well. There is a little hope invested in McNabb and he got a lot of credit for the performance of this team that he didn’t deserve.”

He is a stone cold racist. And he know Trump is too. It’s one of the things they like about each other.

And by the way, Republicans from George Bush on down have been licking Limbaugh’s boots for decades now. There’s only one degree of separation between them and Trump.

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There is no low

There is no low

by digby

He just can’t help himself:

That was at a White House event where he took credit for passing the Fi8rst Responder’s bill.

Here’s Trump’s record on this:

Also:

McConnell thinks protecting elections from foreign interference is “modern McCarthyism”

McConnell thinks protecting elections from foreign interference is “modern McCarthyism”

by digby

Nobody believes anything:

54% of Americans said that they are not confident in the capability of the U.S. to effectively defend itself from potential foreign government interference in the 2020 presidential election.

Only 17% said they were very confident and 27% were somewhat confident.

There were also large partisan differences on this question — with 25% of Democrats saying they are very or somewhat confident, compared to 77% of Republicans. Independents fell in between, at 40%.

I’ll make a bet that if Trump loses it will instantly become an article of faith that the Democrat won with the help of Vladimir Putin (and undocumented immigrants, of course.) Trump will make that explicit if the polling is close in the final days. He did it last time and he will do it again.

It is not beyond the realm of possibility that he will officially contest the results if he loses.

Update:

McConnell went to the Senate floor today to “defend” himself from the outcry over the blocking of bipartisan election protection legislation, accusing the Democrats of hysterically deploying “modern-day McCarthyism.” No I don’t get that either.

But whatever…

Here’s a little reminder of what happened in 2016:

Despite the intelligence the CIA had produced, other agencies were slower to endorse a conclusion that Putin was personally directing the operation and wanted to help Trump. “It was definitely compelling, but it was not definitive,” said one senior administration official. “We needed more.”

Brennan first alerts the White House to the Putin intelligence and later briefs Obama in the Oval Office. Brennan moved swiftly to schedule private briefings with congressional leaders. But getting appointments with certain Republicans proved difficult, officials said, and it was not until after Labor Day that Brennan had reached all members of the “Gang of Eight” — the majority and minority leaders of both houses and the chairmen and ranking Democrats on the Senate and House intelligence committees.

Jeh Johnson, the homeland-security secretary, was responsible for finding out whether the government could quickly shore up the security of the nation’s archaic patchwork of voting systems. He floated the idea of designating state mechanisms “critical infrastructure,” a label that would have entitled states to receive priority in federal cybersecurity assistance, putting them on a par with U.S. defense contractors and financial networks.

On Aug. 15, Johnson arranged a conference call with dozens of state officials, hoping to enlist their support. He ran into a wall of resistance.

The reaction “ranged from neutral to negative,” Johnson said in congressional testimony Wednesday.

Brian Kemp, the Republican secretary of state of Georgia, used the call to denounce Johnson’s proposal as an assault on state rights. “I think it was a politically calculated move by the previous administration,” Kemp said in a recent interview, adding that he remains unconvinced that Russia waged a campaign to disrupt the 2016 race. “I don’t necessarily believe that,” he said.

Stung by the reaction, the White House turned to Congress for help, hoping that a bipartisan appeal to states would be more effective…

The meeting devolved into a partisan squabble.

“The Dems were, ‘Hey, we have to tell the public,’ ” recalled one participant. But Republicans resisted, arguing that to warn the public that the election was under attack would further Russia’s aim of sapping confidence in the system.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) went further, officials said, voicing skepticism that the underlying intelligence truly supported the White House’s claims. Through a spokeswoman, McConnell declined to comment, citing the secrecy of that meeting.

Key Democrats were stunned by the GOP response and exasperated that the White House seemed willing to let Republican opposition block any pre-election move.

On Sept. 22, two California Democrats — Sen. Dianne Feinstein and Rep. Adam B. Schiff — did what they couldn’t get the White House to do. They issued a statement making clear that they had learned from intelligence briefings that Russia was directing a campaign to undermine the election, but they stopped short of saying to what end.

A week later, McConnell and other congressional leaders issued a cautious statement that encouraged state election officials to ensure their networks were “secure from attack.” The release made no mention of Russia and emphasized that the lawmakers “would oppose any effort by the federal government” to encroach on the states’ authorities.

They knew the implications of course. Recall this:

A month before Donald Trump clinched the Republican nomination, one of his closest allies in Congress — House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy — made a politically explosive assertion in a private conversation on Capitol Hill with his fellow GOP leaders: that Trump could be the beneficiary of payments from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

“There’s two people I think Putin pays: Rohrabacher and Trump,” McCarthy (R-Calif.) said, according to a recording of the June 15, 2016, exchange, which was listened to and verified by The Washington Post. Rep. Dana Rohrabacher is a Californian Republican known in Congress as a fervent defender of Putin and Russia.

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) immediately interjected, stopping the conversation from further exploring McCarthy’s assertion, and swore the Republicans present to secrecy.

Before the conversation, McCarthy and Ryan had emerged from separate talks at the Capitol with Ukrainian Prime Minister Vladi­mir Groysman, who had described a Kremlin tactic of financing populist politicians to undercut Eastern European democratic institutions.

News had just broken the day before in The Washington Post that Russian government hackers had penetrated the computer network of the Democratic National Committee, prompting McCarthy to shift the conversation from Russian meddling in Europe to events closer to home.

Some of the lawmakers laughed at McCarthy’s comment. Then McCarthy quickly added: “Swear to God.”

Ryan instructed his Republican lieutenants to keep the conversation private, saying: “No leaks. . . . This is how we know we’re a real family here.”

They welcomed the help. And they are welcoming it again.

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Friendly Reminder: Things are really, really bad

Friendly Reminder: Things are really, really bad

by digby

I find it shocking that people are actually starting to downplay the nature of the Trump emergency, but I’ve even heard it from some liberals who are basically just exhausted so they’re giving in. It’s concerning, to say the least.

Washington Post editor Fred Hiatt issues a reminder of what’s at stake:

The economy is humming. We’re not at war (much). So he can’t be that bad, right?

Steadfast NeverTrumpers may find it hard to believe, but I’m hearing that argument more and more lately, as people try to come to terms with the possibility of a second Trump term. It’s the “normalization” we’ve been warned about since Donald Trump’s ascension, but in a different form than we might have expected.

After all, many of the people telling themselves that things aren’t “that bad” insist they are as offended as ever by the racist tweets and sexist taunts. They’d prefer someone more civil in the Oval Office, of course.

But . . . the government, and the world, carry on. He insults our allies, but they remain on our side. He imposes tariffs, but unemployment stays low. He threatens defaults, but the debt ceiling is raised. Maybe, people think, a second term wouldn’t be the end of the world.

I’d argue such complacency is not justified. First, because a second term could be a lot more dangerous than the first. There would be more Trump judges on the courts to validate his lawlessness, no Jim Mattis or (God help us) Jeff Sessions in the Cabinet to curb his authoritarian whims, no worries of voter anger to restrain his bellicosity. A second mandate surely would embolden him; at worst, we could find that his jokes about a third term were no joke.

But complacency is misplaced also because — and here’s where the normalization comes in — things are that bad, even now. If people discount the damage, it’s due to a combination of fatigue and relief: fatigue, because it’s almost impossible to maintain outrage when the outrages are so incessant; and relief, because we are constantly aware that things could be worse.

Trump’s tweets telling minority congresswomen to “go back” to their countries follows a history of racism and nativism. Voters will decide if this is effective. (Joshua Carroll, Kate Woodsome, Danielle Kunitz/The Washington Post)

Take North Korea’s missile launches last week, for example. Congress and the media would be scorching any other president right now for allowing North Korea to continue its nuclear and military buildup unimpeded. But we are so grateful that Trump has not blustered and stumbled into a war — into “fire and fury” — that we bite our tongues.

It’s the same around the world: Our ankle-high expectations for the man keep us from noticing how completely he is meeting those expectations. Our two key allies in East Asia, Japan and South Korea, are at loggerheads; a marginally competent president would be helping to mend fences.

Our most important allies in Europe are spinning apart as Britain plunges toward a disastrous Brexit; a normal president would be helping our friends salvage something workable for the future.

When Ebola emerged in West Africa, the Obama administration mobilized; now Ebola is spinning out of control in Congo, and the United States is absent. A Darfur-scale tragedy has unfolded among the Rohingya in Myanmar, also known as Burma; Trump doesn’t know who they are. A human rights violation of epic scale has taken shape in western China — the cultural genocide of an entire people, with as many as 3 million people in concentration camps — and Trump takes no notice. Journalists are murdered and imprisoned, and Trump sides with their murderers and jailers.

To the world, it is not just Trump taking these positions. It is America. The damage will be long-lasting.

And his ignorance and cynicism reverberate through some of the biggest stories of our time: the confidence of authoritarian strongmen in China, Russia and beyond; their distortion of technology from a liberating force into a malevolent tool of surveillance and suppression; the destructive warming of the climate, which the United States ignores and abets. None of these is easily reversible.

The story is similar, if more familiar, at home. The constant, willful lying; the attacks on the press and on the very idea of truth — these are not harmless. They draw from but also foster a lack of trust that will persist long after his presidency.

So does the racism. So do the ugly attacks on immigrants. So do the contempt for science and the refusal to stand up to foreign attacks on our elections. So do the disparaging of public servants and the casual threats to wield the vast powers of the federal government against perceived political enemies. These things used to be not okay. Now they are okay. There will be no easy return.

I’m not sure “return” is the right way to think about this. Obviously something was very, very wrong long before Trump or he would not have been able to take the White House in the first place. If the Democrats are able to finally stop these Republicans we must look at the next era as one of massive reform. The system is broken in a dozen different ways.

But first, yes, Trump and the Republicans must be soundly defeated. Only then can the nation rebuild.

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Trump’s racist re-election strategy has a major flaw: many white working-class women are repulsed by it

Trump’s racist re-election strategy has a major flaw: many white working-class women are repulsed by it

by digby

My Salon column this morning:

If anyone still clings to the notion that President Trump issued his racist broadside against “the Squad” a couple of weeks ago as a clever divide-and-conquer tactic against the Democrats, they were disabused of it this weekend. It’s true that Trump had pretended to be taking Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s side in a dispute with the young first term women of color, but only as an excuse to do what he wanted to do anyway. Fox News had been demonizing the four women for months and Trump is certainly tuned in to the right-wing zeitgeist.

Any lingering questions about Trump’s motives were extinguished when he launched another racist assault on Saturday, this time on the highly respected chairman of the House Oversight Committee, Rep. Elijah Cummings of Maryland:

That was just the beginning of a fusillade of grotesque insults Trump sent throughout the day and again on Sunday, while trying lamely to bring Pelosi into it again and failing. He also sent out his surrogate, acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney, to defend his comments and insist that the president’s racist statements weren’t racist and that he was just “fighting back” against someone who had wrongly insulted the Customs and Border Patrol for its deplorable treatment of children in the filthy border camps. Trump apparently didn’t think it was appropriate for this African American committee chair to bluntly criticize Kevin McAleenan, Trump’s acting director of Homeland Security. He didn’t use the word “uppity” but it was implicit in his rant.

The debate raged on throughout the weekend as these things do, with some dramatic testimony by CNN anchor Victor Blackwell that immediately went viral.

According to the Washington Post this divisive race-baiting will be at the center of the president’s 2020 strategy:

As condemnations have poured in over the past two weeks accusing Trump of bigotry — including a bipartisan House resolution decrying his “go back” tweets as racist — Trump’s campaign has mounted an all-out effort to defend the president and turn his offensive comments into a political advantage with his base.

“This is Hillary’s ‘basket of deplorables’ all over again,” said Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh, referring to a term Hillary Clinton used to brand some Trump supporters as bigots in 2016. “They’re trying to say anyone who supports this president is racist.”Trump, who turned the “deplorables” label into a rallying cry for his base, is seeking to do the same in 2020 as he tries to retain support in key Midwestern swing states.

Trump’s latest ravings came on the heels of a “Fox and Friends” segment that took Cummings to task for his questioning, and the idea of insulting his district came directly from there. So it appears that the Trump campaign can depend upon Fox News to provide the talking points and memes for Trump on a daily basis. (He doesn’t like to be “briefed” or to read anything so this is probably the best way to keep him on message.) If all the predictions of foreign interference are true, we can expect that Trump-supporting American adversaries will once again be exploiting the fault lines that Trump’s racial demagoguery opens up.

Trump’s strategists know they don’t have much choice but to go with it: It’s clear enough that these racist assaults reflect Trump’s true beliefs and he’s incapable of hiding them. So they will make this the most divisive election they possibly can, perhaps in hopes that their base will be thrilled and at least a few other voters will be so turned off by politics they will simply drop out.

As Perry Bacon at 538 points out in this piece, we really don’t know if they are right. There have been a number of studies done around the 2016 and 2018 elections and the results are inconclusive. The one data point that seems to be incontrovertible is that partisanship is the single most important reason people vote. Trump was the Republican nominee and so Republicans voted for him, especially since he was running against a person that the GOP’s older base had hated passionately for decades.

According to the Atlantic’s Ron Brownstein, opposition to Trump has hardened, largely as a result of his aggressive bigotry. Young people, minorities and college-educated white voters, especially women, will never vote for him. He has another problem that wouldn’t be a problem if he weren’t such a belligerent demagogue: people who are happy with the economy aren’t necessarily going to vote for him.

Brownstein explains that means Trump has to goose turnout among those receptive to his “exclusionary racist and cultural messages” to epic levels. Those would be the conservative evangelicals, older, rural and non-college educated whites. The problem is that one big subgroup within that faction is shrinking: non-college-educated white women.

These women are vital to his re-election prospects. They have voted solidly Republican for more than 30 years (with the exception of Bill Clinton) and voted for Trump by more than 27 points in 2016, according to exit polls. But they favored Republicans in 2018 by only 14 points, and Trump’s job approval rating among them stood at just 50%.

Brownstein cites recent focus groups by Stanley Greenberg, who has been tracking the sentiments of white working-class voters since the 1980s, showing that blue-collar women are questioning Trump. They don’t like his divisiveness and they don’t believe he’s delivered any material benefit to their lives. While the blue-collar men have all rationalized Trump’s behavior in order to support him, the women have not, using words like “intolerant” and “ignorant” to describe his behavior.

Brownstein writes that “after playing video clips of Trump’s salvos against immigrants and ‘socialists’ to the women in his focus groups, Greenberg says he flatly does not believe that Trump’s heightened racial and ideological attacks will work with them: ‘I came away utterly unafraid of him playing the immigration card in its most extreme form.'”

Trump needs to get every single Trump voter from 2016 to vote for him and hope that the Democrats are unable to rally their own base in the urban areas of the states where he eked out a victory in the Electoral College. He can’t count on the economy to get him over the line. He certainly hasn’t delivered on any other benefit he promised. The only thing he has to offer is racism, bellicosity and political incorrectness — all of which are offensive to one very important voting bloc without which he simply can’t win. Donald Trump is in an electoral bind of his own making, and there’s no obvious way for him to wriggle out of it.

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