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Month: March 2020

Bill Barr hard at work undermining democracy

With all due respect to Godwin’s Law, this could wind up being Trump’s Reichstag Fire:

Just as the Acting DNI, Trump sycophant Richard Grenell, is hurtling full speed ahead with Trump’s purge of the Intelligence Community, it looks like Bill Barr is working hard to advance his fascist legal agenda in this time of crisis:


The move has tapped into a broader fear among civil liberties advocates and Donald Trump’s critics — that the president will use a moment of crisis to push for controversial policy changes. Already, he has cited the pandemic as a reason for heightening border restrictions and restricting asylum claims. He has also pushed for further tax cuts as the economy withers, arguing that it would soften the financial blow to Americans. And even without policy changes, Trump has vast emergency powers that he could legally deploy right now to try and slow the coronavirus outbreak.

The DOJ requests — which are unlikely to make it through a Democratic-led House — span several stages of the legal process, from initial arrest to how cases are processed and investigated.

In one of the documents, the department proposed that Congress grant the attorney general power to ask the chief judge of any district court to pause court proceedings “whenever the district court is fully or partially closed by virtue of any natural disaster, civil disobedience, or other emergency situation.”

The proposal would also grant those top judges broad authority to pause court proceedings during emergencies. It would apply to “any statutes or rules of procedure otherwise affecting pre-arrest, post-arrest, pre-trial, trial, and post-trial procedures in criminal and juvenile proceedings and all civil process and proceedings,” according to draft legislative language the department shared with Congress. In making the case for the change, the DOJ document wrote that individual judges can currently pause proceedings during emergencies, but that their proposal would make sure all judges in any particular district could handle emergencies “in a consistent manner.”

The request raised eyebrows because of its potential implications for habeas corpus –– the constitutional right to appear before a judge after arrest and seek release.

“Not only would it be a violation of that, but it says ‘affecting pre-arrest,’” said Norman L. Reimer, the executive director of the National Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers. “So that means you could be arrested and never brought before a judge until they decide that the emergency or the civil disobedience is over. I find it absolutely terrifying. Especially in a time of emergency, we should be very careful about granting new powers to the government.”

Reimer said the possibility of chief judges suspending all court rules during an emergency without a clear end in sight was deeply disturbing.

“That is something that should not happen in a democracy,” he said.

The department also asked Congress to pause the statute of limitations for criminal investigations and civil proceedings during national emergencies, “and for one year following the end of the national emergency,” according to the draft legislative text.

Trump recently declared the coronavirus crisis a national emergency.

If only they were as efficient at public health.

People listen to President Trump. And it’s deadly.

Look what’s already happening:

Nigeria reported two cases of chloroquine poisoning after U.S. President Donald Trump praised the anti-malaria drug as a treatment for the novel coronavirus.

Health officials are warning Nigerians against self-medicating after demand for the drug surged in Lagos, a city that’s home to 20 million people. Two people were hospitalized in Lagos for chloroquine overdoses, Oreoluwa Finnih, senior health assistant to the governor of Lagos, said in an interview.

“Please don’t panic,” she said via text message. “Chloroquine is still in a testing phase in combination with other medication and not yet verified as a preventive, treatment or curative option.”

Nigeria’s Centre for Disease Control warned that the World Health Organization hasn’t approved use of the drug against the virus. Africa’s most populous country reported 22 infections as of Saturday.

Trump said Thursday that chloroquine and its less-toxic cousin hydroxychloroquine had shown “tremendous promise” to treat the new illness. Hospitals in the U.S. are rushing to stockpile the drug.

The president doubled down on Saturday, telling his Twitter followers that hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin “taken together” could be “one of the biggest game changers in the history of medicine.” He urged they “be put in use IMMEDIATELY.”

The Food and Drug Administration hasn’t approved the antimalarials to treat Covid-19, the respiratory illness caused by the coronavirus.

While chloroquine is no longer used to treat malaria in Africa, some pharmacies still stock it for patients who are resistant to other anti-malaria drugs.

After his White House Coronavirus Campaign Rally this morning, during which he once more flogged this “treatment” hard, he tweeted more misinformation:

This guy is a 26 year old “entrepreneur” who just posted this:

This is from his website:

Michael Coudrey was born in Long Island, New York and began his business career when he was just 14, creating a sunglasses e-commerce business and later selling it to a Miami based company for an undisclosed sum. At age 20, he moved to Los Angeles, California to further his career; launching multiple product businesses, a digital media company, and a real estate development firm. Michael Coudrey has made significant contributions to the digital media efforts in United States politics, offering social media and “digital information warfare” services to political candidates across the country. He is a philanthropist, having donated to political and educational causes, stating “we have a moral obligation to guide those who are willing to learn”.

This is the expert, Donald Trump is tweeting out to his millions of cultists.

He might as well be telling them to drink kool-aid at this point.

Update:

This guy Coudrey is waaay worse than I originally thought:

https://twitter.com/jaredlholt/status/1241408774394515459?s=20
https://twitter.com/jaredlholt/status/1241412060677881857?s=20

https://youtu.be/Wx6K6TFu8C4

Video shows GOP Congressional candidate’s “Hollywood Nazi” and “alt-right” associates Tim Gionet, Antonio Foreman, Michael Coudrey aka “Mike Tokes” and Bryden Proctor.

Their hair was on fire. His was not.

Trump is lying about everything to do with this crisis from selling untested treatments as “game changers” to claiming doctors all over the country are praising him for his great response. The list of lies is endless.

But this is the Big Lie:

“I didn’t act late. I acted early. I acted far before anybody thought I should be.”

Total bullshit:

U.S. intelligence agencies were issuing ominous, classified warnings in January and February about the global danger posed by the coronavirus while President Trump and lawmakers played down the threat and failed to take action that might have slowed the spread of the pathogen, according to U.S. officials familiar with spy agency reporting.

The intelligence reports didn’t predict when the virus might land on U.S. shores or recommend particular steps that public health officials should take, issues outside the purview of the intelligence agencies. But they did track the spread of the virus in China, and later in other countries, and warned that Chinese officials appeared to be minimizing the severity of the outbreak.

Taken together, the reports and warnings painted an early picture of a virus that showed the characteristics of a globe-encircling pandemic that could require governments to take swift actions to contain it. But despite that constant flow of reporting, Trump continued publicly and privately to play down the threat the virus posed to Americans. Lawmakers, too, did not grapple with the virus in earnest until this month, as officials scrambled to keep citizens in their homes and hospitals braced for a surge in patients suffering from covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.

Intelligence agencies “have been warning on this since January,” said a U.S. official who had access to intelligence reporting that was disseminated to members of Congress and their staffs as well as to officials in the Trump administration, and who, along with others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive information.

“Donald Trump may not have been expecting this, but a lot of other people in the government were — they just couldn’t get him to do anything about it,” this official said. “The system was blinking red.”

Spokespeople for the CIA and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence declined to comment, and a White House spokesman rebutted criticism of Trump’s response.

“President Trump has taken historic, aggressive measures to protect the health, wealth and safety of the American people — and did so, while the media and Democrats chose to only focus on the stupid politics of a sham illegitimate impeachment,” Hogan Gidley said in a statement. “It’s more than disgusting, despicable and disgraceful for cowardly unnamed sources to attempt to rewrite history — it’s a clear threat to this great country.”

Public health experts have criticized China for being slow to respond to the coronavirus outbreak, which originated in Wuhan, and have said precious time was lost in the effort to slow the spread. At a White House briefing Friday, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said officials had been alerted to the initial reports of the virus by discussions that the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had with Chinese colleagues on Jan. 3.

The warnings from U.S. intelligence agencies increased in volume toward the end of January and into early February, said officials familiar with the reports. By then, a majority of the intelligence reporting included in daily briefing papers and digests from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the CIA was about covid-19, said officials who have read the reports.

The surge in warnings coincided with a move by Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.) to sell dozens of stocks worth between $628,033 and $1.72 million. As chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Burr was privy to virtually all of the highly classified reporting on the coronavirus. Burr issued a statement Friday defending his sell-off, saying he sold based entirely on publicly available information, and he called for the Senate Ethics Committee to investigate.

A key task for analysts during disease outbreaks is to determine whether foreign officials are trying to minimize the effects of an outbreak or take steps to hide a public health crisis, according to current and former officials familiar with the process.

At the State Department, personnel had been nervously tracking early reports about the virus. One official noted that it was discussed at a meeting in the third week of January, around the time that cable traffic showed that U.S. diplomats in Wuhan were being brought home on chartered planes — a sign that the public health risk was significant. A colleague at the White House mentioned how concerned he was about the transmissibility of the virus.

“In January, there was obviously a lot of chatter,” the official said.

Inside the White House, Trump’s advisers struggled to get him to take the virus seriously, according to multiple officials with knowledge of meetings among those advisers and with the president.

Azar couldn’t get through to Trump to speak with him about the virus until Jan. 18, according to two senior administration officials. When he reached Trump by phone, the president interjected to ask about vaping and when flavored vaping products would be back on the market, the senior administration officials said.

On Jan. 27, White House aides huddled with then-acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney in his office, trying to get senior officials to pay more attention to the virus, according to people briefed on the meeting. Joe Grogan, the head of the White House Domestic Policy Council, argued that the administration needed to take the virus seriously or it could cost the president his reelection, and that dealing with the virus was likely to dominate life in the United States for many months.

Mulvaney then began convening more regular meetings. In early briefings, however, officials said Trump was dismissive because he did not believe that the virus had spread widely throughout the United States.

By early February, Grogan and others worried that there weren’t enough tests to determine the rate of infection, according to people who spoke directly to Grogan. Other officials, including Matthew Pottinger, the president’s deputy national security adviser, began calling for a more forceful response, according to people briefed on White House meetings.

But Trump resisted and continued to assure Americans that the coronavirus would never run rampant as it had in other countries.

“I think it’s going to work out fine,” Trump said on Feb. 19. “I think when we get into April, in the warmer weather, that has a very negative effect on that and that type of a virus.”

“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA,” Trump tweeted five days later. “Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”

But earlier that month, a senior official in the Department of Health and Human Services delivered a starkly different message to the Senate Intelligence Committee, in a classified briefing that four U.S. officials said covered the coronavirus and its global health implications.

Robert Kadlec, the assistant secretary for preparedness and response — who was joined by intelligence officials, including from the CIA — told committee members that the virus posed a “serious” threat, one of those officials said.

Kadlec didn’t provide specific recommendations, but he said that to get ahead of the virus and blunt its effects, Americans would need to take actions that could disrupt their daily lives, the official said. “It was very alarming.”

Trump’s insistence on the contrary seemed to rest in his relationship with China’s President Xi Jingping, whom Trump believed was providing him with reliable information about how the virus was spreading in China, despite reports from intelligence agencies that Chinese officials were not being candid about the true scale of the crisis.

Some of Trump’s advisers told him that Beijing was not providing accurate numbers of people who were infected or who had died, according to administration officials. Rather than press China to be more forthcoming, Trump publicly praised its response.

“China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus,” Trump tweeted Jan. 24. “The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!”

Some of Trump’s advisers encouraged him to be tougher on China over its decision not to allow teams from the CDC into the country, administration officials said.

In one February meeting, the president said that if he struck a tougher tone against Xi, the Chinese would be less willing to give the Americans information about how they were tackling the outbreak.

Trump on Feb. 3 banned foreigners who had been in China in the previous 14 days from entering the United States, a step he often credits for helping to protect Americans against the virus. He has also said publicly that the Chinese weren’t honest about the effects of the virus. But that travel ban wasn’t accompanied by additional significant steps to prepare for when the virus eventually infected people in the United States in great numbers.

As the disease spread beyond China, U.S. spy agencies tracked outbreaks in Iran, South Korea, Taiwan, Italy and elsewhere in Europe, the officials familiar with those reports said. The majority of the information came from public sources, including news reports and official statements, but a significant portion also came from classified intelligence sources. As new cases popped up, the volume of reporting spiked.

As the first cases of infection were confirmed in the United States, Trump continued to insist that the risk to Americans was small.

“I think the virus is going to be — it’s going to be fine,” he said on Feb. 10.

“We have a very small number of people in the country, right now, with it,” he said four days later. “It’s like around 12. Many of them are getting better. Some are fully recovered already. So we’re in very good shape.”

On Feb. 25, Nancy Messonnier, a senior CDC official, sounded perhaps the most significant public alarm to that point, when she told reporters that the coronavirus was likely to spread within communities in the United States and that disruptions to daily life could be “severe.” Trump called Azar on his way back from a trip to India and complained that Messonnier was scaring the stock markets, according to two senior administration officials.

Trump eventually changed his tone after being shown statistical models about the spread of the virus from other countries and hearing directly from Deborah Birx, the coordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, as well as from chief executives last week rattled by a plunge in the stock market, said people ­familiar with Trump’s conversations.

But by then, the signs pointing to a major outbreak in the United States were everywhere.

He. Screwed. The. Pooch.

By the way, that Washington Post story served as the OAN softball question of the day to allow Trump to go on an unhinged rally rant designed to get his cult all excited and worked up:

I know you are all aware of the horrible echoes of this:

Quarantine Donald Trump

Image result for trump in jail

On her show last night, Rachel Maddow basically urged her colleagues not to live- broadcast Trump’s latest rallies, aka his press conferences on coronavirus. You know why — the lies, the personal attacks, the racism, the dangerous misinformation and the delusional happy talk. If the networks don’t broadcast Trump live, they can then edit out Trump’s nonsense and provide the public with actual information. This will save lives.

Far more sensible than quarantining Trump’s dangerous posturing would be to remove him and his entire administration from office immediately. Every day he’s in office, more people are at risk of dying due to his incompetence and disorganization.

But failing that , the least the media can do is to not provide Trump a forum to lie, foment hate, and propagate dangerous, even fatal, misinformation.

Some informational PSAs

You certainly won’t get any useful information from the president’s daily White House Campaign Rally so I’m hoping that Biden’s daily briefing’s starting on Monday will be more helpful.

I removed an addition to this because a bunch of people told me it was bunk. I will refrain from passing on any scientific stuff here from now on. There’s enough of that on social media. I don’t need to add to it.

The Wrecking Crew continues

Just because we’re in the middle of a global pandemic doesn’t mean the Trump administration should stop politicizing the rest of the government. From the Washington Post:

The United States — and the world — faces a historic threat to its health, well-being and economy. The global covid-19 pandemic challenges all of us: the public, cities, states and, of course, the federal government. But as we collectively fight this deadly disease, the intelligence institutions that help protect us all from current and future threats are also under attack from an insidious enemy: domestic politics. We cannot let the covid-19 pandemic be a cover for the deeply destructive path being pursued by the Trump administration.

The most recent illustration of this unprecedented attack is the continuing dismissal of career intelligence professionals — officers who have ably served both Republican and Democratic administrations regardless of their personal political stripe. Specifically, the unceremonious removal this week of the leadership of the National Counterterrorism Center. The NCTC, though not as recognized an entity as its intelligence community counterparts such as the CIA, FBI and the National Security Agency, is one of the crown-jewel creations of the United States’ post-9/11 reforms.AD

Created to “connect the dots” and coordinate U.S. counterterrorism operational planning, the NCTC brings together representatives from across the federal government to maintain critical watch lists, monitor threats in real time and make sure that the disparate elements of the massive federal bureaucracy respond in a coordinated fashion. In short: Since 9/11, the NCTC has helped do for counterterrorism what the U.S. government is now trying to piece together against its new viral threat.

Although we were heartened to see President Trump nominate an experienced Special Operations officer to serve as the next Senate-confirmed director of the NCTC, we are deeply dismayed — and perplexed — as to why he would simultaneously gut the center’s leadership of critical institutional knowledge. The NCTC’s just-dismissed acting director, Russell Travers, began his career as an Army intelligence officer more than 40 years ago. He stood up the NCTC’s predecessor organization while the embers of Ground Zero still smoldered. He built the terrorism watch list from a set of index cards into the envy of countries around the world (and, it should be noted, as the model for the president’s own aspirational watch list to screen travelers to the United States for threats other than terrorism). Travers and his deputy, a career National Security Agency officer, were the epitome of what we strive for in national security: nonpartisan experts who serve the president and the American people with no regard to personal politics.

Now both are gone, to be replaced by as-yet-unnamed acting heads who will undoubtedly know less and who will be more beholden to the intelligence community’s politicized leadership. The next acting heads might or might not be gone themselves in a matter of months if the president’s nominee is ultimately confirmed. In the meantime, who manages the critical security tasks, including watch-listing and ensuring that the government-wide counterterrorism structure remains well integrated?

That’s from an op-ed signed by a number of former CIA and NSA chiefs and Directors of National Intelligence including Joseph Maguire who Trump fired just a month ago to install his toady Richard Grenell — the man who carried out the latest purge.

I’m sure it’s impossible to believe that terrorists would think this might be a good opportunity to strike the US and its western allies. So there’s no need for any of those “Deep State” actors to be in place during a global emergency. I’m sure there must be a Trump donor somewhere who can step into the job.

Dear Joe

Joe, you are the all-but-presumptive Democratic candidate. Officials from the Bernie Sanders campaign on Wednesday told reporters he would talk to supporters and consider the future of his campaign. He cancelled his Facebook ads and made no ask for campaign donations in an email to supporters.

But Joe, you also have serious decisions to make about the future of your campaign.

First, you need Sanders’ support and that of twice-disappointed Berners. You need them to do more than just vote for you in the fall. You need them to campaign for you between whenever Sanders drops out and November.

D.G. Martin, a moderate North Carolina opinion writer, once ran for Senate and lost in the primary to John Edwards. Martin gets it:

For all his recent successes, Biden has not shown he can inspire the youthful voters he will need to win in the fall. While Sanders did not get enough help from his young supporters to win, he did a whole lot better with that group than Biden.

In the fall, Biden needs a lot of help.

He needs the young Sanders voters and more. He needs Sanders to help

Fear of another Trump term won’t motivate them. Berners can’t be lectured or guilt-tripped into helping. That’s the thing about volunteers. They have to want to do it. You must give them a reason to. That isn’t a concession. It’s smart politics. The reason had best not come thinly wrapped in condescension from party regulars. That’s even smarter politics.

My sense of a candidate’s viability during the primaries has been this: Would you knock doors for them in the heat of August? Forgetting COVID-19 for the moment, my answer to the Biden campaign would be no. You need to get to yes with me. More importantly, you need to get to yes with the Berners who filled arenas for the senator from Vermont.

How? Carrots, not sticks.

People need a dream of a better future, especially now. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren gave supporters that. The Biden campaign promises a return to normal. But these times demand bold actions, not simply a return to normal. Anyway, normal isn’t returning anytime soon after the pandemic. You may not be able to give progressives everything on their wish lists but must recognize you need their engagement to win and win decisively. You need to engage their dreams.

Maybe rethink your position on health care.

The earth has moved since Super Tuesday. COVID-19 is making Sanders’ case for a single-payer health care system in a way no debate or budget analysis could. When you (and Pete Buttigieg) promised that if people — union members, for example — like their private insurance they could keep it, Nevada’s largest union backed Sanders’ vision instead. If you like your deductibles and co-pays, you can keep them (what I hear) is a tone-deaf argument from another era (three weeks ago).

“Democrats rely on polling to take the temperature; Republicans use polling to change it,” Anat Shenker-Osorio wrote in The Hill three years ago. That is, Republicans shape opinion; Democrats chase it. But the latter is pandering, not leadership.

A big stumbling block for moderate Democrats has been voters’ risk aversion. That made it hard for black voters to believe Sanders’ “socialist” revolution could win against Republicans this fall.

But like a post hypnotic suggestion, one pandemic triggered Republicans to adopt a massive relief program with little memory of their hatred of government spending on ordinary people. They’ve proposed spending in excess of Obama’s 2009 Recovery Act stimulus … as a down payment on more to come. This includes direct checks to individuals, what Republicans typically call handouts, charity, “the dole” (as my Depression-era grandmother called it), or socialism. What a difference a deadly virus makes.

Oh, Republicans will snap out of it. But socialized safety nets they worked decades to sabotage are for now de rigueur. Should you be the Democrats’ nominee, you might seize the moment, inspire progressives, and offer to take Americans to a place beyond the pandemic. You could adopt (or adapt) some of your former rivals’ initiatives and give Sanders’ and Warren’s supporters a positive reason to knock those doors for you this season (either literally or virtually).

One reason you swept South Carolina is that older black voters know and trust you. You already have their confidence. Amidst the pandemic and the Trump administration’s manifold failures, you might leverage that trust to sell improvements to peoples’ lives in a way Warren and Sanders could not. That is, if you can bring not just competence to the office, but vision. It’s not enough to vote against Trump. In this bleak hour, Democrats must represent a better future.

Joe, people wearing surgical masks to the grocery store are not in the mood to be told we can’t have nice things (like a few more months of life) because they cost too much.

Leadership is not about meeting people where they are. Where we are right now sucks. Leadership is about taking us to a better place.

Second, you need to pick a running mate that will energize the Democrats in ways a 77-year-old white man cannot. That too could shift opinions and win support from Sanders and his fans. And you should not be deterred from selecting a woman whose celebrity might at times eclipse yours. We have enough ego in the Oval Office as is. What we need are leaders with vision to fill the vacuum and restore our faith in the future.

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●

For The Win, 3rd Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide election mechanics guide at ForTheWin.us. This is what winning looks like.

Friday Night Soother

Hello from Santa Monica Beach

I find myself needing to watch some livecams of beautiful landscapes, adorable animals and wildlife during the day in order to smooth out my Trumpandemic anxiety. They are all gathered in one convenient website, Explore.org.

There’s a kitten rescue:

a senior dog cam

A penguin cam

Tropical fish

Puppies

and many, many more.

Explore.org for self care.

And tequila.

Of course.

The political divide in the age of coronavirus

Ron Brownstein did some important analysis on the red-blue gap in the coronavirus response. As usual, Democrats are from Earth and Republicans are from Uranus:

“There’s no reason to think that smaller communities will be protected from it,” Eric Toner, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, told me. “It may take longer for it to get there, but as long as there are people coming and going … the virus will eventually find its way to rural communities as well.”

Still, some experts believe that, throughout the outbreak, the greatest effects will remain localized in large urban centers. “The bottom line is, every epidemic is local, and the social networks and the physical infrastructure in any specific geographic area will determine the spread of the epidemic,” Jeffrey D. Klausner, a professor of medicine and public health at the David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, told me. “Particularly, respiratory viruses are dependent on close social networks and are going to spread much more efficiently in crowded, densely populated urban areas.”

The tendency of Democratic-leaning places to feel the impact first reflects the larger economic separation between the two parties. Democrats now dominate the places in the U.S. most integrated into the global economy, which may be more likely to receive international visitors or see their own residents travel abroad.

On the case-tracking website maintained by Johns Hopkins University’s Center for Systems Science and Engineering, each of the four states with the largest number of coronavirus cases is a Democratic-leaning place along the coast: New York, Washington, California, and New Jersey. Florida, a coastal, internationally oriented state that leans slightly toward the GOP, ranks fifth. Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, and Texas, each with at least one big urban center that functions as a gateway for tourism and trade, come in next. And though the Johns Hopkins project isn’t publishing precise county and municipal data on the outbreak, the biggest clusters of disease have all erupted in a few large metropolitan areas.

Toner said that while “it’s not universally the case” that pandemic diseases tend to spread first in the places most open to international travel, “as a general rule” that is the progression they follow. “The virus travels with people,” Toner said. “So, where people travel is where the virus goes first, and then it spreads out from those areas in which it has been introduced.”

By contrast, with only a few exceptions, the states with the fewest number of confirmed cases are smaller, Republican-leaning ones between the coasts, with fewer ties to diverse populations and the global economy. That list includes Wyoming, Idaho, Missouri, Montana, South Dakota, Oklahoma, and Kansas. (One important caveat: Testing in the United States remains deficient, so many cases are inevitably flying under the radar. “It’s not the case that other places don’t have cases,” Toner said. “They just don’t recognize them yet.”)

Republican-leaning states to this point are displaying notably less urgency about the outbreak. Of the states that have taken the fewest actions to restrict public gatherings or limit restaurant service on a statewide basis—such as Texas, Missouri, and Alabama—almost all have Republican governors, according to research by Topher Spiro, the vice president for health policy at the liberal Center for American Progress, where he directs a program that examines state health initiatives.

That’s left Democratic-run cities in those red states—such as Houston, Tucson, Nashville, and Atlanta—to try to impose their own rules on public gatherings. Yet all those local limits face an obvious problem: People from elsewhere in the state can still travel to their jurisdictions. “We can’t seal our borders,” acknowledged Lina Hidalgo, the chief administrator in Harris County, Texas, which includes Houston, when she announced county-wide closures on Monday.

Needless to say, way more Democrats and Independents are fearful of the epidemic than Republicans.

In an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released Sunday, Republicans were only half as likely as Democrats to say that they planned to stop attending large gatherings, and just one-third as likely to say that they had cut back on eating at restaurants. In an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released Tuesday, just over half of Republicans said the threat from the virus had been exaggerated, compared with one in five Democrats and two in five independents.

Why? It’s not just Trump:

Kabaservice says the tendency of GOP voters and officials to downplay the risk partly reflects Trump’s initially dismissive messaging about the crisis. But it may also relate to a deeper ideological suspicion of scientists, the media, and subject-matter experts within the federal government.

“This is something we’ve gone through a while here among Republicans,” Kabaservice says. “The feeling increasingly is that experts and the media are all part of this elite class that is self-dealing and is looking down on less-educated and less-fortunate people, and [that] they can’t be trusted to tell the truth.” He adds, “That dynamic … has been reinforced” by the emergence of the “conservative media ecosystem,” which unstintingly presents “elites” as a threat to viewers.

People living in the cities and suburbs have starkly different views from those in rural areas and small towns which mirrors the partisan divide as well.

Eva Kassens-Noor, a professor in the global-urban-studies program at Michigan State University, studied urban/rural patterns in the 1918 flu pandemic in India. Her research found that mortality was much greater in urban places above a certain density level than in rural places below it. She believes that U.S. communities will experience the coronavirus in contrasting, but complex, ways: While the disease will probably spread more rapidly in urban areas, she says, more of the population there is young and healthy. And while outbreaks may not be as pervasive in rural America, they could still prove very damaging because the population is older and has less access to quality health care.

Mortality rates, she says, will ultimately hinge on how rigorously communities minimize interaction by practicing social distancing. “It is all about individuals closing all of their social networking,” she says.

But it’s not just these ongoing differences between the city and the country. According to polling, Republicans in cities are also much more skeptical of the seriousness of the virus. I suspect that much can be attributed to Trump and Fox News Brain Rot.

But if the outbreak becomes more widely dispersed over time, it may be tougher for even the most conservative governors to resist action—or for Trump to escape consequences for his initially dismissive response.

I’m sure they’ll just blame the Chinese, the media, the Democrats and the Deep State. But you never know. I wrote this about the polling for Bush during Katrina the other day:

People keep saying that this is Trump’s Katrina, referring to President George W. Bush’s bungling of one of the worst disasters in U.S. history. But it pays to remember that Bush’s approval rating also didn’t fall much in the immediate aftermath of that storm. He was right where Trump is at the time, mired in the low 40s. That rating briefly dipped in the two months after the disaster hit and then bounced back up to 43%. It wasn’t until the next year that he drifted down into the 30s.

In that piece, I was skeptical that the Trump cult would abandon their Dear Leader. But you never know. In the meantime, as I’ve been saying for weeks, distance yourself from the redhats. Consider them all to be virus spreaders until further notice. They don’t take this thing seriously and they are not taking necessary precautions.

Highlights of today’s White House press rally

At the daily Trump White House rally, MSNBC’s Peter Alexander asked the president :

There are 200 dead, 14,000 who are sick, and millions who are scared right now. What do you say to Americans who are watching you right now who are scared?”

That is a totally reasonable question and an opportunity for Trump to say he understood people’s fears and that he and his team were working night and day to ensure that we get through this as best we can.

But Trump went batshit on Alexander:

CNN’s John King reacted appropriately after the rally was over:

What the president did to Peter Alexander was reprehensible. The people are looking for answers. They do want hope, they do want support, Mr. President. That was a very fair question. Kaitlan, this is a Trump trademark.”

“It was striking that this came — forgive me — this bullshit attack on fake news came just moments after the Secretary of State said the American people need to be careful about where they get their information, to go to sources they can trust.

Even Dana Bash was upset by this press conference and she has been cheerleading his press conferences.

This was a grotesque press conference, one of the worst he’s ever done.

Here are just a few of the highlights:

And then there was this surreal moment:

Whatever goodwill the media gave him on Monday, declaring him to have pivoted to become a “wartime leader” was just smashed to bits today. Which is good on the one hand. Many people are at home and may not have been fully aware of what a deranged imbecile Trump really is. But it’s terrifying that this man is in charge of the federal response to this monumental crisis.

I hope people take heart in the Governors and Mayors who are stepping up. They are all we’ve got.