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Month: March 2020

Dear Leader update

The good news is that he washed his hands. At least according to Matt Schlapp:

Did he follow him into the bathroom? More than once?

Here’s the stable genius handing the issue from the beginning:

Mr. Trump tweeted:
“China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!”

While the Chinese response to the coronavirus was more transparent than during the SARS outbreak nearly two decades earlier, it was not a model of open communication. The government continued to censor criticism and suppress information. A Chinese doctor who tried to warn his medical school classmates about the virus in December was detained by authorities for questioning. He was infected with the virus and died two weeks after Mr. Trump’s tweet.

Mr. Trump tweeted:
“Just received a briefing on the Coronavirus in China from all of our GREAT agencies, who are also working closely with China. We will continue to monitor the ongoing developments. We have the best experts anywhere in the world, and they are on top of it 24/7!”

Mr. Trump spoke with the Fox News personality Sean Hannity:
“We pretty much shut it down coming in from China,” Mr. Trump said of the coronavirus. “But we can’t have thousands of people coming in who may have this problem, the coronavirus. So, we’re going to see what happens, but we did shut it down, yes.”

Mr. Trump addressed the National Border Patrol Council:
“And 61 percent of the voters approve of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus. And, you know, we did a very early move on that. We did a — I was criticized by a lot of people at the beginning because we were the first. We’d never done it before.”

He also offered an optimistic prediction:
“There’s a theory that, in April, when it gets warm — historically, that has been able to kill the virus. So we don’t know yet; we’re not sure yet.”

Warmer weather does not “kill” the seasonal flu, but slows its transmission. It’s unclear if this will hold true for coronavirus infections, which have similar symptoms to the flu but are caused by a different virus. Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, also contradicted Mr. Trump’s theory a day earlier, telling CNN that “this virus is probably with us beyond this season, beyond this year.”

Mr. Trump tweeted:
“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”

Mr. Trump, visiting India, tweeted:
“Cryin’ Chuck Schumer is complaining, for publicity purposes only, that I should be asking for more money than $2.5 Billion to prepare for Coronavirus. If I asked for more he would say it is too much. He didn’t like my early travel closings. I was right. He is incompetent!”

In two other posts, he also said:
“CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus, including the very early closing of our borders to certain areas of the world. It was opposed by the Dems, ‘too soon’, but turned out to be the correct decision. No matter how well we do, however, the Democrats talking point is that we are doing badly. If the virus disappeared tomorrow, they would say we did a really poor, and even incompetent, job. Not fair, but it is what it is. So far, by the way, we have not had one death. Let’s keep it that way!”Get an informed guide to the global outbreak with our daily coronavirus newsletter.

At a news conference, Mr. Trump was asked about his previous criticisms of the Obama administration’s handling of Ebola in 2014. He responded: “At that time, nobody had ever even heard of Ebola or ever conceived of something where you basically — the people would disintegrate. And we’re still working on Ebola.” He went on saying, “The level of death with Ebola — you know, at the time, it was a virtual hundred percent.”

This was exaggerated. Ebola got its name from a 1976 outbreak. The average fatality rate is around 50 percent, but has ranged from 27 percent in Sierra Leone during the 2014 to 2016 outbreak to 88 percent in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 1976. Ebola is spread through direct contact with the bodily fluids of an infected person, while the coronavirus can be transmitted more easily, through close contact or droplets from sneezes and coughs.

At a news conference at the White House, Mr. Trump addressed Democratic criticism of his response:
“We should all be working together,” he said. He added: “All they’re trying to do is get a political advantage. This isn’t about political advantage. We’re all trying to do the right thing. They shouldn’t be saying: ‘This is terrible. President Trump isn’t asking for enough money.’ How stupid a thing to say. If they want to give us more money, that’s OK.”

The president responded to whether U.S. schools should prepare for the virus:
“I think every aspect of our society should be prepared. I don’t think it’s going to come to that, especially with the fact that we’re going down, not up. We’re going very substantially down, not up. But, yeah, I think schools should be preparing and, you know, get ready just in case.” He added: “We have it so well under control. I mean, we really have done a very good job.”

His claim about cases “going very substantially down” was false and contradicted what the secretary of health and human services and a top official from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had said moments earlier in the same news conference: that they expected “more cases.”

Mr. Trump tweeted:
“Congratulations and thank you to our great Vice President & all of the many professionals doing such a fine job at CDC & all other agencies on the Coronavirus situation. Only a very small number in U.S., & China numbers look to be going down. All countries working well together!”

Mr. Trump tweeted:
“So, the Coronavirus, which started in China and spread to various countries throughout the world, but very slowly in the U.S. because President Trump closed our border, and ended flights, VERY EARLY, is now being blamed, by the Do Nothing Democrats, to be the fault of ‘Trump’.”

He also tweeted:
“The Do Nothing Democrats were busy wasting time on the Immigration Hoax, & anything else they could do to make the Republican Party look bad, while I was busy calling early BORDER & FLIGHT closings, putting us way ahead in our battle with Coronavirus. Dems called it VERY wrong!”

At a rally in Charlotte, N.C.:
“We had a great meeting today with a lot of the great companies, and they’re going to have vaccines, I think, relatively soon. And they’re going to have something that makes you better, and that’s going to actually take place we think even sooner.”

This was misleading. According to Mr. Trump’s own health care experts and pharmaceutical executives, whom he had met with hours earlier, a vaccine may be available for widespread use in about a year to 18 months.

He also made this reassurance: “The United States is right now ranked by far No. 1 in the world for preparedness.”

This was exaggerated. The United States did rank No. 1 out of 195 countries in the Global Health Security Index overall and first in four of six criteria. But the index also warned that “no country is fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics.” And it noted a specific weakness of the United States as well: lack of universal access to health care and high out-of-pocket costs.

The president also compared the coronavirus to the flu: “From 27,000 to 70,000 people get infected, and many people die. Think of it, 27,000. You lose 27,000 people to the common flu.”

This is misleading. The figures are largely accurate but obscure some notable differences. The coronavirus seems more deadly than most strains of the flu, and while there are widely available treatments and vaccines for the flu, none are ready yet for the coronavirus.

Mr. Trump said to reporters:
“There’s only one hot spot, and that’s also pretty much in a very — in a home, as you know, in a nursing home.”

This is understated. The definition of a disease “hot spot” is imprecise, but there had been more clusters of coronavirus in the United States than Mr. Trump suggested. The relative paucity of tests may also have obscured the number of cases and their locations. A week earlier, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has also reported “community spread of the virus” in two places in California and in Oregon, in addition to the long-term care facility in suburban Seattle cited by Mr. Trump. And New York announced a second case hours after Mr. Trump spoke.

In a White House meeting:
“The Obama administration made a decision on testing and that turned out to be very detrimental to what we’re doing, and we undid that decision a few days ago.”

This was misleading. Mr. Trump was likely referring to “draft guidance” issued in 2014 that extended the Food and Drug Administration’s authority to regulate laboratory-developed tests, but that was never finalized or enforceable. A law enacted in 2004 created the process and requirements for receiving authorization to use unapproved testing products in health emergencies. The agency had announced four days earlier that it would permit unapproved tests for 15 days while developers are preparing their emergency authorization request, but it did not “undo” any regulations or laws.

Later, in an interview with Mr. Hannity, the president cast doubt on the rate of death reported by the World Health Organization:
“Well, I think the 3.4 percent is really a false number. Now, this is just my hunch, and — but based on a lot of conversations with a lot of people that do this, because a lot of people will have this, and it’s very mild. … So, if we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better.”

The 3.4 percent refers to the rate of deaths among reported cases of coronavirus, so Mr. Trump has a point that it may not include milder cases. Dr. Bruce Aylward, who is leading the World Health Organization’s coronavirus efforts, estimated an ultimate rate of 1 to 2 percent.

Mr. Trump angrily rebutted criticism over his comments to Mr. Hannity on Twitter:
“I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work. This is just more Fake News and disinformation put out by the Democrats, in particular MSDNC. Comcast covers the CoronaVirus situation horribly, only looking to do harm to the incredible & successful effort being made!”

Today:

Let’s talk about nepotism, shall we?

I thought I would pass this along before we start having to hear about Hunter Biden and Burisma 24/7 now that Biden is back in the nomination hunt. The fact that Trump, of all people, would breathe a word about nepotism and corruption is beyond chutzpah. It’s delusional. Unfortunately, half the country is down that same rabbit hole.

I’ve gotcher vote fraud right here

I wonder how much of this is going on?

A Florida woman working for a conservative organization has been charged after she allegedly filled out 10 voter registration forms with incorrect information, The New York Times first reported Saturday.

Cheryl A. Hall, 63, of Clermont, Fla., was reportedly working for a voter registration group, Florida First, which is associated with America First Policies, a pro-Trump PAC. Hall is accused of registering Democratic and Independent voters in the Republican Party without their knowledge. 

The woman in question was charged with 10 counts of submitting false voter registration information and released on $20,000 bond on Thursday, according to the county Sheriff’s office, the Times reported. ADVERTISEMENT

America First announced last year that they planned to spend $20 million on voter registration in battleground states such as Florida.

Alan Hays, the supervisor of elections in the county, told the Times that he believes Hall might have submitted another 109 forms with false information, on top of the actions she has allegedly already taken. He became aware of the alleged changes when voters began complaining to his office after receiving mail from the opposite party.

They cheat. And their great success in claiming that it’s the other side that cheats is reflective of their only other talent. Propaganda. It’s a powerful combination.

CDC freakshow

In case you missed this demented “tour” of the CDC last Friday, I thought I’d document the highlights. I still can’t believe what we saw:

Aaaaand… this:

For a full fact check on that whole thing read this excellent piece in Wired:

As a reporter, in general I’m not supposed to say something like this, but: The president’s statements to the press were terrifying. That press availability was a repudiation of good science and good crisis management from inside one of the world’s most respected scientific institutions. It was full of Dear Leader-ish compliments, non-sequitorial defenses of unrelated matters, attacks on an American governor, and—most importantly—misinformation about the virus and the US response. That’s particularly painful coming from inside the CDC, a longtime powerhouse in global public health now reduced to being a backdrop for grubby politics. During a public health crisis, clear and true information from leaders is the only way to avoid dangerous panic. Yet here we are.

more

We go “Hi, Donald!”

Former First Lady Michelle Obama. Photo by Gage Skidmore via Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Now that the Democratic presidential field has narrowed to two old, white guys (Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders), there is widespread speculation about vice presidential running mates. That speculation naturally leans toward the pick being female, younger, and a person of color with broad appeal.

A friend suggested over beers Saturday night that the best pick might be one that most irritates Donald Trump.

“It’s got to be somebody that the Democratic Party can see its future in,” Ian Russell, former deputy director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, told Business Insider.

The Washington Examiner notes:

Biden, in particular, describes himself as “an old guy” when asked by voters about his vice presidential shortlist. The people he’s mentioned range from Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren to Stacey Abrams, Maggie Hassan, Jeanne Shaheen, Sally Yates, and even Michelle Obama or a Republican.

“But for me, it has to be demonstrated that whoever I pick is two things: One, is capable of [being] president because I’m an old guy,” Biden said in January.

Sanders has said his pick would not be “an old white guy.” He told a CNN town hall in February, “My administration, my cabinet will look more like America in terms of gender equality, in terms of racial equality than any administration in American history.”

An unnamed Democratic operative that spoke to Business Insider speculated on Sanders’ pick:

“He doesn’t want to seem as if he’s selling out his people. There is an appearance piece of this, so it’s gotta be someone who’s going to pass the smell test with his supporters,” he said. 

Hillary Clinton’s selecting Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia in 2016 only exacerbated the rift between her and disappointed Sanders supporters. My friend* was one of them.

On that point, we speculated that if Biden wins the nomination, he’ll need someone Berners will accept if he and the party have learned anything from 2016 (doubtful). If Sanders wins, he’ll need someone acceptable to the party rank and file as well as his base. But it would be that much more fun if the V.P. pick made Donald Trump’s head explode.

Given local and national murmurings, we decided the perfect woman for that assignment would be Michelle Obama.

A poll taken in California between Feb. 26 to Feb. 28 showed her the clear favorite:

A poll put out by Stanford’s Hoover Institution, along with the Bill Lane Center for the American West and YouGov, shows 31 percent of those asked choose Obama as vice president. This compares with 19 percent for Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) at 18 percent, Stacey Abrams, author and politician from Georgia, garnered 13 percent support, and 10 percent of respondents supported Bay Area billionaire Tom Steyer as the VP. California Gov. Gavin Newsom received 8 percent support.

Of course, Michelle Obama is not interested in saving the world, no. But consider Trump’s reaction to having to run against another Obama in 2020.

Trump spent the aughts flogging the birther conspiracy. Widespread speculation is his decision to run in 2016 was triggered by the roasting he got from President Obama at the 2011 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner. Trump has spent his presidency systematically dismantling everything Barack Obama touched, if for no other reason than simply to be contrary. He uses every opportunity to blame his own failures on Michelle Obama’s husband.

When Trump is not doing that, he and his red-hat cult take every opportunity to “own the libs.” What would it do to him if the libs owned back?

Michelle could bring back the White House garden.

* Update: Clarified a pronoun.

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Notes from Ground Zero…and The Twilight Zone

Gloveless in Seattle: I’m sure there’s no reason to panic.

The tools of conquest do not necessarily come with bombs and explosions and fallout. There are weapons that are simply thoughts, attitudes, prejudices…to be found only in the minds of men. For the record, prejudices can kill…and suspicion can destroy…and a thoughtless, frightened search for a scapegoat has a fallout all of its own – for the children and the children yet unborn. And the pity of it is that these things cannot be confined to the Twilight Zone.

– Narrator’s epilogue from “The Monsters are Due on Maple Street” (1959 episode of The Twilight Zone) original teleplay by Rod Serling

A few days ago, this Tweet by NBC news journalist Richard Engel caught my attention:

Now here was an angle on the Coronavirus crisis that I hadn’t given much thought to. Engel makes a very salient point about “social” side effects of pandemic panic. Many people are prone to allergies or suffer from non-viral chronic respiratory conditions who will be (or already are) getting dirty looks when they’re out and about. I’ve been worried about this myself for several days; the apple and cherry trees have begun to blossom, and (right on schedule) so has my usual reaction: sneezing fits, runny nose and dry coughing.

I currently live in fear of mob retribution should I fail to suppress a sneeze in an elevator.

On the flip side, I must come clean and plead guilty to feeding the monster myself. Earlier this week I was waiting in line at the drug store. Standing in front of me was a man and his young daughter (I’d guess she was around 7 or 8 years old). She was doing the fidget dance. Just as she twirled around to face in my direction, she emitted a fusillade of open-mouthed coughs. I jumped back like James Brown, nearly colliding with the person standing behind me (we’re all a tad “jumpy” in Seattle just now). For a few seconds, I was seeing red and nearly said something to her dad, who was too busy futzing around with his cell phone to notice his Little Typhoid Mary’s St. Vitus Dance of Death.

Thankfully, my logical brain quickly wrested the wheel from my lizard brain, and I thought better of making a scene. After all she was just a little girl, bored waiting in line.

https://i0.wp.com/cbsnews2.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2014/06/19/e50ccf31-080b-405b-8472-d7996d39eb7a/resize/620x465/658eba94c97a9648b8e539e7f3380ca9/twilight-zone-monsters-are-due-on-maple-street.jpg?quality=89&ssl=1

A lot of sociopolitical fallout from pandemic panic has been on display in recent weeks: fear of the “other” (ranging from unconscious racial profiling to outright xenophobia), disinformation, fear mongering, and the good old reliable standbys anxiety and paranoia.

This got me thinking about one my favorite episodes of the original Twilight Zone, “The Monsters Are Due on Maple Street”. Scripted by series creator Rod Serling, the episode premiered in 1960. I re-watched it today and was struck by how tight Serling’s teleplay is; any aspiring dramatist would do well to study it as a masterclass in depth and brevity.

**** SPOILERS AHEAD ****

The story opens under blue suburban skies of Maple Street, U.S.A. in a neighborhood straight outta Leave it to Beaver where the residents are momentarily distracted from their lawn mowing and such by the overhead rumble and flash of what appears to be a meteor streaking though the sky. However, this brief anomaly is only the prelude to a more concerning turn of events: a sudden power outage coupled with an inexplicable shutdown of anything gas-powered, from lawn mowers to automobiles. Concern builds.

This precipitates an impromptu community meeting in the middle of the block, as residents start to speculate as to what (or who) could be to blame for these odd events. A young boy takes center stage. An avid sci-fi comic book fan, he regales the adults with a tale he read recently about an alien invasion. In the story, the invaders infiltrate towns by embedding a family in each neighborhood, until the time is right to “take over” en masse.

The seed has been planted; fear, distrust and paranoia spreads through the block like wildfire, becoming increasingly more palpable with the diminishing daylight. By nightfall, anarchy reigns, and once-friendly neighbors have turned into a murderous mob.

The camera pulls away further and further from the shocking mayhem occurring on Maple Street to a “God’s-eye” view, where we become aware of two shadowy observers (who are obviously the alien invaders). After absorbing the ongoing scenario, one asks the other “And this pattern is always the same?” “With a few variations,” his companion intones with a clinical detachment, adding “They pick the most dangerous enemy they can find, and it’s themselves.” Cue Mr. Serling’s equally omniscient epilogue (top of post).

Obviously, when Serling wrote the piece he was referring at the time to the Red Scare; America and Russia were at the height of the Cold War and nuclear paranoia was rampant among the general populace (in the episode, a character sarcastically refers to himself as a “Fifth Columnist” when accused of being an alien invader by his neighbors).

That said, Serling’s script (like much of his work) is “evergreen”. With its underlying themes about mob psychology, scapegoating, and humanity’s curious predilection to eschew logic and pragmatism for fear and loathing, the “message” is just as relevant now.

Keep your head, be a good neighbor, and don’t forget to wash your hands for 20 seconds.

Previous posts with related themes:

“You’re a bad world!”

More reviews at Den of Cinema

Dennis Hartley

Republicans are a danger to your health

This is not surprising. I’ve been saying it for a while. If you watch Fox, you are not getting what you need to make an informed decision about the coronavirus:

Ipsos/Reuters has released a poll which shows a significant though not overwhelming difference between the self-reported precautions by Democrats and Republicans.

40% of Democrats says they have not altered their daily routines. 54% of Republicans say this. 48% of Democrats say they’re washing their hands or using disinfectants more frequently. 38% of Republicans say the same. (Poll data here.) Across the board Democrats perceive COVID-19 as a bigger than Republicans and are taking more steps to prepare.

These are not huge differences. But they’re significant. And spread over time and hundreds of millions of Americans they could easily have real world health impacts.

Many Trump voters are older people. They are taking their lives into their hands if they believe what he’s telling them;.

The point of all these precautions everyone other than Trump is proposing is the fact that this virus grows exponentially so the best thing we can do to mitigate the harm is to slow it as much as possible so our health care system doesn’t become overwhelmed. That means everyone, of every age, needs to do their part to try not to spread it.

Stay away from the red hats. They know not what they do.

The first enemies list

They’ve been purging from the very beginning:

Just months into his presidency, a small circle of senior White House advisers met with Donald Trump about a carefully curated list containing the names of dozens of perceived political opponents, particularly leakers, working inside the government.

A detailed account of the meeting was revealed for the first time to CNN by two former senior administration officials, who said that the April 2017 gathering included then senior strategist Steve Bannon and former national security adviser H.R. McMaster.

After being shown the list, the President told McMaster to deal with it, according to one of the officials. McMaster and Bannon walked away from the meeting with different interpretations of Trump’s instructions, according to the two former officials and two other former senior officials in the President’s orbit who were briefed on the conversation.

Three of the officials told CNN that Bannon understood Trump wanted people fired, while the fourth said that McMaster believed the President’s direction was to deal with leaks in a systematic fashion, rather than a mass firing.

[…]

The President expressed in public remarks last Saturday that he’s getting rid of bad people in government who are “not people that love our country.”In recent weeks, Trump has expressed to aides that he wants fewer people working for him at the White House and only those identified as loyalists to hold key positions in his administration, leading to a fresh batch of lists from allies, the existence of which was first reported by Axios.

The existence of “deep state” lists in the early days of Trump’s presidency was widely talked about in the halls of the National Security Council and the State Department, according to multiple former White House officials, although several officials named on the list tell CNN they didn’t know that any such list really existed or that they were on it. The “deep state” refers to a right-wing belief that certain members of the federal bureaucracy are actively undermining the Trump presidency.

One contributor to the list that was collated and frequently updated in early 2017 was former NSC official and former Trump campaign aide Rich Higgins. He told CNN in an exclusive interview recently that from the beginning of his tenure he was convinced that leaks of minutes of highly classified meetings were from holdovers of the Obama administration and he suspected widespread resistance to some of the administration efforts.

Higgins is not involved in the current lists and does not have a current connection to the White House. The White House did not respond to requests for comment for this story. Bannon and McMaster declined to comment for this story.

Higgins, 45, a former Pentagon official who consulted for the Trump campaign in the 2016 election as a counterterrorism adviser, joined the NSC in February 2017 as director of strategic planning.

Higgins told CNN he arrived to find two senior NSC directors and fellow Trump appointees, Col. Derek Harvey and Ezra Cohen-Watnick, regularly meeting over coffee or gathering in their offices and joined them in a mission to find alleged leakers and those perceived as resistant to the Trump administration’s policies.

There is much more at the link. It’s astonishing. This administration has been deeply twisted from the get. Not that we didn’t know it, but it’s important to recognize that the fascistic, Stasi-like tendencies manifested themselves long before the “witch-hunt” stuff.

I will say again — if this was what they did from the very early months of his presidency, imagine what they will do in a second term.