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Month: March 2020

“Everything is really under control”

I came across Trump’s speech at CPAC three weeks ago. He blathered on for an hour and a half. Here’s what he said about the coronavirus:

In the early stages of the foreign outbreak, I ordered sweeping travel restrictions to prevent uncontrolled spread of this disease.  I took a lot of heat, because I did it very early.  You know, we had never done it before, Matt.  Never done it before.  And we had never done anything like that before.  So not only did we do it, but I did it very early.  And that decision has been now given very good grades, like an A-plus- plus-plus.  (Applause.)

I took a lot of heat, even from my own people.  But we did the right thing.  The extreme fringes called us “racists” for imposing these critical lifesaving measures.  They wanted to let infected people pour into our country.  I don’t think they knew how bad it was, in all fairness, but nothing will deter us from protecting the wellbeing of the American people.  (Applause.)

As you know, we took in approximately 40 people; they were Americans.  And they may have had it.  Some had it, but they will put in quarantine, and it’s working out.  Many of them are in good shape right now, and they’re better and going home.

It’s time for all Americans to put politics aside and to come together to work for the health, safety, and security of the American people.  They’re great people.  (Applause.)

Because, you know, I watch — and maybe it’s a natural reflex — but I watch — because we have done a great job.  I mean, if nothing else, making that very early decision weeks — weeks early.  And we’ve done a great job.

And I’ve gotten to know these professionals.  They’re incredible.  And everything is under control.  I mean, they’re very, very cool.  They’ve done it, and they’ve done it well.  Everything is really under control.

He blathered on for a bit about “Cryin’ Chuck Schumer” and “Nervous Nancy” being partisan but basically that was it. And he is still saying the same old garbage.

Trump understands the power of repetition. And I would guess that by now most Americans think Trump did something truly spectacular when he banned travel from China even if they know he’s dropped the ball since then.

This was the March 6th FactCheck on his claim. I’ve just excerpted this part of it but it’s worth reading the whole thing to see how much he’s been lying from the very beginning:

For starters, health experts say Trump was wrong to refer to the travel restrictions as a “travel ban,” as he did in a telephone interview on March 4 with Fox News’ Sean Hannity. During a town hall on March 5, Trump said he “closed down the borders to China and to other areas that are very badly affected.” That’s not accurate.

As Azar explained when he announced the travel restrictions on Jan. 31, the policy prohibits non-U.S. citizens, other than the immediate family of U.S. citizens and permanent residents, who have traveled to China within the last two weeks from entering the U.S.

At a House subcommittee hearing on the coronavirus on Feb. 5, Ron Klain, White House Ebola response coordinator under the Obama administration, took issue with the characterization of the travel restrictions as a travel “ban.”

“We don’t have a travel ban,” Klain said. “We have a travel Band-Aid right now. First, before it was imposed, 300,000 people came here from China in the previous month. So, the horse is out of the barn.”

“There’s no restriction on Americans going back and forth,” Klain said. “There are warnings. People should abide by those warnings. But today, 30 planes will land in Los Angeles that either originated in Beijing or came here on one-stops, 30 in San Francisco, 25 in New York City. Okay? So, unless we think that the color of the passport someone carries is a meaningful public health restriction, we have not placed a meaningful public health restriction.”

Indeed, on Jan. 24, a week before the travel restrictions, the CDC confirmed two cases of the novel coronavirus in the U.S. from people who had returned from Wuhan, China, where the outbreak began.

Furthermore, Klain said, the import of goods from China is exempt from the travel restrictions, “and, of course, the people who fly the planes and drive the boats that bring those goods from China. We couldn’t ban that activity. We vitally need that. Ninety percent of the antibiotics in this country come from China. All kinds of vital medical supplies … we will use to treat people. So, travel bans … that’s not what we’re imposing, that’s not what exists.”

As part of the travel restrictions, Azar announced that any U.S. citizen returning to the U.S. who had been in Hubei Province in China in the previous 14 days would be subject to mandatory quarantine and health screening. U.S. citizens returning from mainland China outside Hubei Province were ordered to undergo health screenings and “up to 14 days of monitored self-quarantine to ensure they’ve not contracted the virus and do not pose a public health risk,” Azar said.

He didn’t “take heat” from anyone for making the decision. And his claim that this was the single most important decision in this whole horrible odyssey that saved many, many lives is a lie. But it’s a sales pitch that may be working for him simply because he says it so relentlessly that it sounds like something we’ve heard forever and so it must be true.

He screwed the pooch then and he’s screwing it now.

Millions of armchair scientists

There’s always a lot of snake oil circulating on Facebook and other social media. And there’s a boatload of it right now. Even aside from the president offering up untested therapies as miracle cures, there’s some really kooky stuff out there right now:

While most of the Okeechobee County Commissioners urge the public to refer to the health information from the Centers for Disease Control, the Florida Department of Health or their own doctor, one commissioner uses the public commission meetings to share his own ideas about COVID-19.

At the March 20 meeting of the Okeechobee County Commissioners, Commissioner Bryant Culpepper referenced a program he said he saw on One American News Network about the coronavirus.

“One of the things that was pointed out in this interview with one of the foremost doctors who has studied the coronavirus said that the nasal passages and the nasal membranes are the coolest part of the body. That’s why the virus tends to go there until it then becomes healthy enough to go into the lungs.

“This sound really goofy, and it did to me too, but it works,” he explained. “Once the temperature reaches 136 degrees Fahrenheit, the virus falls apart, it disintegrates.

“I said how would you get the temperature up to 136 degrees? The answer was you use a blow dryer. You hold a blow dryer up to your face and you inhale through your nose and it kills all the viruses in your nose.

“So that sounds like a really simplified way of doing things, but sometimes the cures for these diseases are very simple.

“Also, if you are worried about it going into your lungs, because that’s where it goes to turn into pneumonia, you can put a pan of water on the stove until it turns into steam and inhale it. It sounds too easy, but at this point, it’s worth trying,” he continued.

[…]

According to the World Health Organization website, hair dryers are not effective in killing the COVID-19 virus.

Doctors who have responded to this story that has made the rounds on YouTube, Facebook and other social media have also pointed out that pointing the hair dryer on high heat directly at your face could irritate your skin, eyes, nose and mouth.

Friday’s meeting suggestion was not the first time Commissioner Culpepper has offered a suggestion fighting the COVID-19 virus.

At the March 17 meeting, he suggested using ozone to kill the COVID-19 virus.

“My son has discovered something that is totally a game changer,” he said. “There is a website online and those of you that hunt … there is a device that hunters use because deer can smell the scent of a human, and they do that because of the bacteria.

“What they have developed is a small device, nano ozone, that you wear on your clothing and it actually sends out an ozone vapor that goes approximately three meters completely around your body. Any type of virus, coronavirus, whatever virus you choose, regular cold virus, can be killed by this ozone.

“Most of the time when you have a problem, there is usually a cure, and it’s usually technology,” he said.

Ok, he’s just some guy down in Florida. How about this?

Medium stepped in and said this post was not written by an expert and they published a rebuttal. But keep in mind that the President of the United States AND his tens of millions of followers are passing around bogus information in the middle of a pandemic.

Who needs Russian bots?

An old joke for a new disaster

Plane with 5 passengers on board: Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, Angela Merkel, The Pope and a 10-year-old schoolboy. The plane is about to crash and there are only 4 parachutes.

Trump says I need one: “I’m the smartest man in the USA and am needed to make America great again.” Takes one and jumps.

Johnson says, ‘I’m needed to sort out Britain’. He takes one and jumps.

The Pope says, ‘I need one as the world needs the Catholic Church.’ He takes one and jumps.

Angela says to the ten year old: “You can have the last parachute. I’ve lived my life, yours is only just starting.”

The 10-year-old replies: “Don’t worry, there are 2 parachutes left. The smartest man in the USA took my school bag.”’

Badumpump…

Whither India?

I have been wondering about India’s response to the virus. The poverty and massive population would seem to make it especially susceptible to extreme spreading of the pandemic. This viral video is worth watching.

This is the full interview with Ramanan LaxmiNarayan, a lecturer at Princeton University, on the COVID crisis in India. His research projection is that India should ready itself for 300-500 million cases by July end without drastic interventions and possibly between 1 and 2 million fatalities. He says “India has missed the bus on testing and all that can be done now is to protect the elderly.” He calls for massive use of a simpler antibodies test that he says private practitioners can easily execute. He also calls for private companies like the Tatas to manufacture ventilators on a war footing.

Oh man…

The New York Times had a good piece on this a few days back.

When every day is Christmas in LA

Here’s an interesting little graph:

It will be interesting to see the change in air pollution over the course of the lockdowns.

We went out for a drive the other day in LA just to get out of the house and it was pretty amazing. It’s not as if we can do anything but sit in the car and then come home but it is nice to see cleaner air and emptier freeways. In fact, the air is cleaner than I’ve ever seen it.

When I was a kid, the air was much, much worse here, of course. I can’t even imagine how bad it would be if they hadn’t managed to enact the environmental rules that improved it. But even so, the air is usually hazy with smog and the only days it ever seems really clear are on Christmas Day when the whole city is pretty much shut down.

When it comes to air quality, every day is Christmas now.

Daily PSA

I thought this thread from the Reuters Institute might be of interest to some of you. I know that many of us aren’t really interested in raising our anxiety levels by going too deeply into this subject. Others find it soothing. (And nobody who reads this blog wants to depend on the administration …)

Anyway, if you’re looking for some good resources, here’s a place to start:

When the comforter in chief is an ass

This is the White House Press Secretary this morning when asked about this episode by Howard Kurtz:

“The reporter was asking if he’s giving false hope to the American people, I think that was inappropriate. He’s the commander-in-chief, he’s at the helm of this country and it is his job as president to try and comfort this country and make sure that they know that we’re working towards options that will help people.”

Trump believes he has an especially gifted scientific mind that just “knows” when something is going to work even without doing any clinical trials. He’s instructing Americans to believe him over the scientists who say they don’t know and gets livid when anyone questions him about it.

He’s lying and spreading misinformation to desperate Americans because he’s trying to win re-election. That is beyond false hope. It’s evil.

“And now they know”

What do they know now? How Trump would handle a crisis.

Haberman and Baker in the New York Times:

Mr. Trump’s performance on the national stage in recent weeks has put on display the traits that Democrats and some Republicans consider so jarring — the profound need for personal praise, the propensity to blame others, the lack of human empathy, the penchant for rewriting history, the disregard for expertise, the distortion of facts, the impatience with scrutiny or criticism. For years, skeptics expressed concern about how he would handle a genuine crisis threatening the nation, and now they know.

“When he’s faced a problem, he has sought to somehow cheat or fix the outcome ahead of time so that he could construct a narrative that showed him to be the winner,” said Michael D’Antonio, a Trump biographer. “And when it was all about feuds with other celebrities or contests over ratings or hotel branding, he could do that and no one cared enough to really check. And the bluster and bragging worked.”

“But in this case,” Mr. D’Antonio added, “he tried that in the beginning and you can’t brag or bluster your way out of people dying. And I think more than the suffering, the human suffering, it’s been the inexorable quality of the data that’s forced him to change.”

Only after viral projections grew more dire and markets began to tank did Mr. Trump shift tone and appear to take the threat more seriously, finally adopting a more aggressive set of policies to compel Americans to stay away from one another while trying to mitigate the economic damage.

Any other president, and I mean any of them, even the worst, would have acted differently. This is the way in which Donald Trump is sui generis. Yes, his policies are generally pretty standard right-wing Republican and the overall trajectory of his presidency is pretty much what Mitch McConnell would have had on his wish list on January 20, 2017.

But it’s the deranged personality, the disorganization, the ignorance, corruption, and narcissism that sets him apart. Many presidents may have had elements of those traits. But never before have we had someone with that whole twisted package. And it’s in a crisis where that becomes a matter of life and death.

Life during wartime

When the going gets weird….

On a beautiful spring Saturday, housebound Seattlites made their way to parks, where police reminded them to spread out and, in some cases, clear out voluntarily, or risk full closure of all parks.

On Friday night, Seattle Parks and Recreation and King County Parks announced the closure of all playgrounds, sports courts and picnic shelters, joining other local jurisdictions, and following the guidance from Public Health — Seattle & King County.

An officer at Cal Anderson Park on Capitol Hill requested citizens disperse Saturday to help end the public health emergency:

“Your current conduct is placing yourself and your fellow Seattleites in danger,” the officer said over a loudspeaker, repeating his request that people leave the area. “Lack of voluntary compliance could result in a full closure of all parks, which will eventually result in trespasses, and possibly criminal prosecution.”

Citing county “social distancing” guidelines, the community park near here closed off parking areas Saturday to limit usage. People self-isolating here were there in numbers Thursday enjoying the blooming dogwoods for the same reason as Seattleites 2,200 miles away.

A county of 8,500 deep in North Carolina’s western mountains declared a state of emergency and a curfew Saturday. Citing the advice of the President of the United States, Commissioner Dale Wiggins wrote on Facebook that the county will be restricting highway access to local residents starting Friday. Drivers should be prepared to show a local address “or proof of property ownership for non-residents to be able to enter.” There is local precedent. Reportedly, the county seat was once a “sundown town.”

Slate’s Dahlia Lithwick worries how that same POTUS might use emergency powers to violate civil liberties he is not known for respecting. On the one hand, Donald Trump is the last person we want to trust with more power. (Attorney General Bill Barr is the second-last.) On the other, the man now selling himself as a wartime president has resisted using his power under the Defense Production Act to address already desperate shortages of medical supplies.

A “freaked out” Lithwick discussed the future of civil liberties and free and fair elections with Georgetown Law professor Joshua Geltzer, former senior director for counterterrorism at the National Security Council under the Obama adminstration. She asked Geltzer about the interplay of “wartime” powers and November elections:

Before coronavirus, many of us were concerned about and critical of Trump’s invocation of emergency authorities. Now, many of us are concerned about and critical of Trump’s failure to invoke emergency authorities. I don’t think that’s actually inconsistent: before, Trump was invoking emergency authorities for fake emergencies, such as at the southwest border; now, he’s refusing to invoke fully emergency authorities like the Defense Production Act to mobilize the private sector to make sorely needed medical equipment in the face of a real emergency. It’s bad to invoke emergency authorities when no emergency exists; it might be even worse to refuse to invoke such authorities when a genuine emergency does exist.

That said, he’s still Donald Trump; he’s still a serial abuser of executive authority; and he’s still just about the last guy I’d trust with additional power. So, even as many of us urge Trump to invoke authorities that can help us address a grave national emergency, I think we need more discussion—quickly—about how we constrain his reliance on those authorities. That can include articulating where we think the authorities’ boundaries are; time-limiting their use; and ensuring there’s oversight of their implementation, so they’re not abused.

It is “pretty perverse” that Trump might invoke emergency powers to remediate the impact of a pandemic his own foot-dragging has made worse. Still, it is “simply textbook law” that he cannot change the date of or cancel the upcoming elections. The U.S. held elections even in the depths of the Civil War.

But on the subject of sundowns, Geltzer recommends Congress prevent extraordinary executive powers from becoming “sticky”:

… we don’t want the executive branch—and many of us especially don’t want a Trump-led executive branch—to get comfortable with authorities that may well be appropriate here and now for dealing with a truly life-and-death situation but should end there. So, Congress should be using tools like sunset clauses, reporting requirements, and other forms of constraint and oversight to try to confine to the current circumstances exercises of power we may need now but regret if they persist later.

As if the pandemic was not enough to worry about. But we cannot let Trump get away with his wartime president spin. Geltzer says, “Bungling a response so badly that it takes a wartime toll on the American people doesn’t earn a president the honor of being treated as a wartime president rallying the country against an outside adversary.”

“We have serious problems to solve, and we need serious people to solve them,” a movie president once said, adding (I take liberties here), “And whatever your particular problem is, I promise you [Donald Trump] is not the least bit interested in solving it. He is interested in two things, and two things only: making you afraid of it, and telling you who’s to blame for it.”

Even in a pandemic, life imitates art.


Heard about Houston? Heard about Detroit?
Heard about Pittsburgh, P. A.?
You oughta know not to stand by the window
Somebody’ll see you up there
I got some groceries, some peanut butter
To last a couple of days
But I ain’t got no speakers, ain’t got no headphones
Ain’t got no records to play

https://youtu.be/s3A5CKkbH1o

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For The Win, 3rd Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide election mechanics guide at ForTheWin.us. This is what winning looks like.

Unfit

This is from the Never Trump group The Lincoln Project:

I’m not one who thinks it’s a good idea to go easy on Trump right now because we are in a crisis. These guys don’t either. And that’s because some of us understand the existential threat Trump poses and Americans’ reflexive desire to rally around the president, any president.

These Lincoln Project guys are the ones who helped turn this into an iconic moment that made George W. Bush a wartime leader who was a shoo-in for re-election in 2004:

We knew he was a boob. But the country rallied around him anyway. Don’t think it can’t happen again.