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Month: July 2020

Stephen Miller’s wife seems so nice

What a gal:

NBC reporter Jacob Soboroff’s new book on Trump’s immigration policies quotes Vice President Mike Pence’s communications director Katie Miller as saying “I believe that if you come to America, you should assimilate. Why do we need to have Little Havana?”

Little Havana is a neighborhood in Miami home to many Cuban exiles who fled the country during Fidel Castro’s regime. Cuban Americans have historically been a solidly Republican voting bloc in Miami-Dade County, although younger Cuban Americans hold more liberal beliefs than past generations.

And, by the way:

“President Trump, mired in some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency, is … even running behind Biden in his firewall states of Florida and North Carolina” — Amy Walters, Cook Report

Miller is also quoted saying this:

‘My family and colleagues told me that when I have kids I’ll think about the separations differently. But I don’t think so … DHS sent me to the border to see the separations for myself — to try to make me more compassionate — but it didn’t work,’ she is reported to have said. 

Of course she cannot be made more compassionate. She is a soulless monster.

And it says a whole lot that she’s working so closely with the Human Furrowed Brow. What I mean by that is that it says a lot about Mike Pence.

The Problem with “The Letter”

Dead On Arrival? Is the written letter really dead? - LexTalk

Under normal circumstances, I would sign the open letter printed in Harper’s in a heartbeat. It calls for an open, tolerant, robust debate on controversial issues and I am, like all liberals and progressives, 100% in support of such freedom of speech.

The problem is that a truly open, substantive debate is impossible to hold today in the mainstream media. As a result, this open letter distorts the situation and, while I agree with nearly every conceptual argument it makes, I wouldn’t sign the letter at the present time.

I’ll focus on one of their complaints as an example. The letter states:

Editors are fired for running controversial pieces…

This is, more than likely, a reference to the firing of James Bennett, op-ed editor of the Times, for running an op-ed by Senator Tom Cotton who wrote, and the Times published, this:

One thing above all else will restore order to our streets: an overwhelming show of force to disperse, detain and ultimately deter lawbreakers. But local law enforcement in some cities desperately needs backup, while delusional politicians in other cities refuse to do what’s necessary to uphold the rule of law.

The pace of looting and disorder may fluctuate from night to night, but it’s past time to support local law enforcement with federal authority. Some governors have mobilized the National Guard, yet others refuse, and in some cases the rioters still outnumber the police and Guard combined. In these circumstances, the Insurrection Act authorizes the president to employ the military “or any other means” in “cases of insurrection, or obstruction to the laws.”

This is the kind of “controversial piece ” we are supposed to tolerate: fullthroated advocacy of the US military to threaten and intimidate American citizens.

The problem is that this isn’t a “controversial” opinion. It’s simply the ravings of an extremist who should have no business with access to a mainstream editorial page. It is the equivalent of publishing a defense of the Rohingya massacres by Ahsin Wirathu. A responsible newspaper knows better than to disseminate such toxic trash.

The problem is that the mainstream discourse has become profoundly skewed to wards the publication of controversial far-right opinions without context or explanation. There is no “leftwing equivalent” to Cotton’s extremism that would ever see the light of day. To even provide a hypothetical example here would be irresponsible on my part.

If only the letter urging tolerance addressed the very real problem of irresponsible context-free publication of extreme rightwing ideas. If only it truly grappled with the complexities of publishing a wide range of genuine opinions when there are bad actors who seek to undermine the entire concept of a free, substantive, and open public discourse. But it didn’t and so, sadly, while I respect enormously many of the thoughtful people who signed the letter and agree in principle with much of what it says, I believe it is mostly irrelevant to the real issues of public debate we are facing today.

Being open to new, unusual, and controversial ideas does not mean I have to behave like a naive fool. I will not countenance the context-free advocacy of violent ideologies in mainstream media merely because some ambitious Republican wants to dogwhistle to his or her Neo-Nazi base. I will not excuse the propagation of dangerous lies and falsehoods about scientific facts merely because some Republican ignoramus promoted them.

It is not responsible to publish extremism in the way the Bennett did. He fully deserved to be fired for not properly vetting that reprehensible column. The problem lies not with those of us who reacted with disgust but with a media culture that permits Cotton (and so many other rightwingers) to get away with propagating their deplorable ideas.

Mexico may pay for the wall after all

Trump's wall: Winds blow over section of US-Mexico border fence ...

They need to protect themselves from us:

As he campaigned for the presidency, Donald Trump promised to build a “big beautiful wall” along the US-Mexico border, claiming it would keep migrants out of the country and stop everything from drugs to disease.

But with Covid-19 cases surging on both sides of the frontier, towns in northern Mexico are pleading to restrict cross-border movement – this time to stop tourists and travellers bringing in coronavirus from the US.

Over the weekend, townspeople in Sonoyta on the Arizona border used their own vehicles to block the road leading to Puerto Peñasco, a beach town on the Sea of Cortés popular with US tourists – and they plan to repeat the process this week.

“We invite US tourists not to visit Mexico,” Sonoyta’s mayor, José Ramos Arzate, said in a statement. “We agreed on this to safeguard the health of our community in the face of an accelerated rate of Covid-19 contagion in the neighboring state of Arizona.”

Coronavirus cases have mushroomed in several US border states, including Arizona and Texas, which both botched attempts at reopening. Despite the data showing a runaway growth in case figures in the US, Trump has reportedly sought to blame Mexico for the crisis and erroneously claimed Tijuana was “heavily infected with covid”.

Trump welcomes his Mexican counterpart, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, at the White House on Wednesday in a meeting meant to celebrate the newly implemented USMCA, but will inevitably include talks on the pandemic.

Like Trump, López Obrador has shrugged off advice on mask-wearing and downplayed the coronavirus, even as his country struggles to deal with the outbreak.

And like the US, Mexico has not rolled out a widespread testing program, prompting widespread speculation that the scale of the pandemic has been dramatically underreported. Amlo took his first coronavirus test only this week, amid preparations for his US visit.

But Mexican states near the border are increasingly coming to see US tourists and the constant cross-border traffic as a hindrance to containment efforts, and have asked the Mexican federal government to impose restrictions.

“It’s so important to implement the necessary measures to protect the health of Sonorans. And one of them at this time has to be reducing the border crossings from the United States to Mexico,” Sonora’s health secretary, Enrique Clausen, said earlier this month.

Over the Fourth of July weekend, Sonora set up checkpoints to screen people entering from the US, turning back tourists and others whose trips were deemed not be “essential travel”. An exception was made for the border crossing closest to Puerto Peñasco, which prompted residents along the route to block the road near the border, Arizona media reported.

Can you blame them?

The second term threat

Twitter Hides Trump Tweet Threatening Protesters With 'Serious ...

It would appear that President Trump is quite serious about the new strategy for dealing with the surging COVID-19 pandemic that was reported earlier in the Washington Post:

White House officials hope Americans will grow numb to the escalating death toll and learn to accept tens of thousands of new cases a day, according to three people familiar with the White House’s thinking, who requested anonymity to reveal internal deliberations. Americans will “live with the virus being a threat,” in the words of one of those people, a senior administration official.

Trump spent the day yesterday exhorting state and local authorities to open their schools in the fall regardless of the circumstances, saying that he planned to apply a lot of pressure to get it done. He didn’t offer any federal support for this demand, clearly not having even thought about the possible complications for teachers, administrators and families. According to CNN’s Daniel Dale, Trump said in an interview that there’s a lot of time to figure it all out, apparently unaware that in many districts school would normally start in as little as six or seven weeks from now.

It’s curious that someone who clearly doesn’t care about education is so adamant about this subject, but the likeliest explanation is that he believes the only reason state and local officials are reluctant to reopen schools because they want to hurt him politically. In other words, even the issue of how to conduct the school year during a raging pandemic is all about him.

Last week Trump was asked by his most fervent acolyte, Sean Hannity, to share with his assembled fans at a Fox News town hall what his priorities for a second term might be. It was quite a revealing answer:

Yes, I know that sounds like inane gibberish, but it really did say something. Basically, what Trump admitted in that answer was that he had no idea what he was doing in the first term and now he thinks he’s got the hang of it. The question is, what does he want to do with it now that he’s supposedly figured it out?

Trump has no specific policy agenda or legislative priorities, but then he never did. There is his silly wall, of course. And he is inordinately proud of the fact that he signed off on judicial appointments that were chosen in advance by the Federalist Society, apparently not realizing that accomplishment would have been carried out by any Republican president who could hold a pen. Likewise with the huge tax cuts for the rich and the bloated military budgets.

He took credit for the strong economy he inherited and he believes it will rebound from the current disaster as soon as people accept all the sickness and death from the coronavirus as the natural order of things and get back to work. And there are his massively overrated “trade deals” and foreign policy disasters.

But none of that is really what Trump has learned about being president and they’re obviously not what interests him going forward. The experience Trump has gained during his tumultuous three and a half years in office is that the presidency is immensely powerful and he can get away with anything.

Should he win a second term, the first and most obvious way he will use the power will be this:

His post-impeachment purge will be child’s play compared to what he’ll do in a second term. With henchmen like Attorney General Bill Barr, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe newly emboldened by Trump’s re-election, I don’t even want to think what will become of those the president considers his political enemies in a second term.

From the sound of his speeches and comments over the past several weeks, it’s clear he believes his enemies are not just elected officials or the so-called deep state. Here’s how he described them at his Mount Rushmore event last weekend:

In our schools, our newsrooms, even our corporate boardrooms, there is a new far-left fascism that demands absolute allegiance. … Make no mistake: this left-wing cultural revolution is designed to overthrow the American Revolution. … That is why I am deploying federal law enforcement to protect our monuments, arrest the rioters, and prosecute offenders to the fullest extent of the law. …

Here tonight, before the eyes of our forefathers, Americans declare again, as we did 244 years ago: that we will not be tyrannized, we will not be demeaned, and we will not be intimidated by bad, evil people. It will not happen.

Those “bad, evil people” are his fellow Americans.

We saw what happened a month ago when Trump came close to provoking a military insurrection by demanding that active duty troops be brought into the streets of America. It can’t have escaped anyone’s notice that Trump was energized by this confrontation with protesters and has been obsessed with it ever since. He can hardly speak of anything else.

It is tempting to see this as merely Trump ginning up his base for the campaign. And there is an element of that, to be sure. But Trump’s real agenda from the beginning has been to turn back the clock to a time in his mind when the country was safe and secure in the hands of police and political leaders who knew how to keep the “bad, evil” people in their places. Remember this passage from his infamous “Central Park Five” ad:

When I was young, I sat in a diner with my father and witnessed two young bullies cursing and threatening a very frightened waitress. Two cops rushed in, lifted up the thugs and threw them out the door, warning them never to cause trouble again. I miss the feeling of security New York’s finest once gave to the citizens of this City. Let our politicians give back our police department’s power to keep us safe. Unshackle them from the constant chant of “police brutality” which every petty criminal hurls immediately at an officer who has just risked his or her life to save another’s.

That same man, unchanged, was sitting in the White House when the Black Lives Matter protests against police brutality broke out last month. We all saw his reaction. This is the cause he’s been waiting for his whole life.

Trump knows that if he is re-elected he will have virtually unlimited power, and he is promising his followers that he is going to use it to fight the culture war. He’s not being metaphorical. He means it quite literally. If you want to know Donald Trump’s agenda for a second term, this is it.

My Salon column reprinted with permission.

It all comes back to daddy

Oh boy…

In one particularly disturbing scene from a trip to Mar-a-Lago, Mary recounts how when she was 29 and wearing a bathing suit and a pair of shorts to lunch at the resort, her uncle looked up at her and remarked, “Holy shit, Mary. You’re stacked.”

“Donald!” Marla Maples said to her then-husband, slapping him on the arm. 

“I was twenty-nine and not easily embarrassed, but my face reddened, and I suddenly felt self-conscious,” Mary recounts. “I pulled my towel around my shoulders. It occurred to me that nobody in my family, outside of my parents and brother, had ever seen me in a bathing suit.”

The Daily Beast first reported that the book would see Mary revealing herself as playing a critical role in helping The New York Times print its Pulitzer Prize-winning bombshell investigation of the president’s taxes, including how he was involved in “fraudulent” tax schemes and received more than $400 million (adjusted for inflation) from his father’s real-estate empire. As she reveals in the book, Mary supplied the paper with Fred Trump Sr.’s tax returns and other confidential financial information.

The book, obtained by The Daily Beast, opens with a family dinner at the White House in April 2017 to celebrate the birthdays for Mary’s aunts, Maryanne and Elizabeth. 

As Mary was walking through the halls of The White House, she recalls passing life-sized paintings of former first ladies. “I stopped in front of Hillary Clinton’s portrait and stood silently for a minute. I wondered again how this could have happened.”

At the dinner, just a few months after her uncle had moved into the White House, Mary recounts how Donald gestured towards Eric Trump’s wife, his daughter-in-law. “Lara, there,” he said. “I barely even knew who the fuck she was, honestly, but then she gave a great speech during the campaign in Georgia supporting me.” The couple had been together for eight years.

Don Jr. went on to give a toast to his father, at which point Mary got a waiter’s attention. “Can I have some more wine?” she asked. When the server returned with two bottles, and asked red or white, Mary responded “yes, please.”

The dinner wrapped in two hours and, as Mary notes, while it was twice as long as Thanksgiving or Christmas at her grandparents’ house, it was less time than Donald spent at a dinner with Kid Rock two weeks later. 

The book also publishes intimate and damning thoughts from retired federal court judge Maryanne Trump Barry about her brother. “The only time Donald went to church was when the cameras were there. It’s mind boggling. He has no principles. None!”

“He’s a clown,” Maryanne allegedly confided in her niece. “This will never happen again.”

Mary says she asked her aunt, “Does anybody even believe the bullshit that he’s a self-made man? What has he even accomplished on his own?” 

“Well,” Maryanne responded, “he has had five bankruptcies.” 

Maryanne also reportedly lashed out at Donald for using the death of her other brother, Fred Jr., for political gain when addressing the opioid crisis. “He’s using your father’s memory for political purposes,” Mary says Maryanne told her, “and that’s a sin, especially since Freddy should have been the star of the family.” 

When white evangelicals such as Jerry Falwell Jr. started endorsing Donald for president, Maryanne, a devout Catholic, allegedly remarked: “What the fuck is wrong with them?” 

“The only time Donald went to church was when the cameras were there. It’s mind boggling. He has no principles. None!”

Mary also relays details from a combative phone call Maryanne had with her presidential brother, shortly after the election, in which Trump asked his older sister to assess his performance, seemingly assuming her response would be unequivocally positive.

“When she said, ‘Not that good,’ Donald immediately went on offense,” Mary writes.

“‘That’s nasty,’ he said. She could see the sneer on his face. Then, seemingly apropos of nothing, he asked her, ‘Maryanne, where would you be without me?’” The jab, Mary writes, was “a smug reference to the fact that Maryanne owed her first federal judgeship to Donald because Roy Cohn had done him (and her) a favor all those years ago.”

Mary continued: “My aunt has always insisted that she’d earned her position on the bench entirely on her own merits, and she shot back at him, “If you say that one more time, I will level you.”

In another disturbing anecdote, Mary Trump writes that her father, Fred Trump Jr.—a heavy drinker who ultimately quit working for his father in favor of a job as a pilot for Trans World Airlines—died alone at the hospital in 1981 following an alcohol-induced heart attack. He was just 42. 

The night his family sent him to the hospital alone, President Trump had gone to see a movie, she said. “Mary Trump describes her uncle as a man who practiced cheating ‘as a way of life,’ even allegedly hiring someone to take the SAT for him.”

Mary Trump also contends the president is a narcissist, meeting all nine criteria for the personality disorder, and potentially incapable of surviving “in the real world.”

“Donald’s pathologies are so complex and his behaviors so often inexplicable that coming up with an accurate and comprehensive diagnosis would require a full battery of psychological and neurophysical tests that he’ll never sit for,” she writes.

She calls her uncle his father’s “monster—the only child of his who mattered to him—[who] would ultimately be rendered unlovable by the very nature of Fred’s preference for him. In the end, there would be no love for Donald at all, just his agonizing thirsting for it.

“After the election, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong-Un, and Mitch McConnell, all of whom bear more than a passing psychological resemblance to Fred, recognized in a way others should have but did not that Donald’s checkered personal history and his unique personality flaws make him extremely vulnerable to manipulation by smarter, more powerful men,” Mary writes. “His pathologies have rendered him so simple-minded that it takes nothing more than repeating to him the things he says to and about himself dozens of times a day—he’s the smartest, the greatest, the best—to get him to do whatever they want.”

[…]

Growing up, Donald Trump sought to win his imperious father’s approval, lying as a means of “self-aggrandizement” and seeking to differentiate himself from Fred Jr., whom their father saw as weak. “By limiting Donald’s access to his own feelings and rendering many of them unacceptable, Fred perverted his son’s perception of the world and damaged his ability to live in it,” Mary Trump writes, according to an excerpt reported by The Washington Post. She recalled how Donald Trump would hide his younger brother Robert’s toys and threatened to destroy him when he wouldn’t “stop crying” over it.

[…]

The Trump niece’s tell-all was the subject of a quick and vicious court battle, centered around Mary having signed a nondisclosure agreement with the family in 2001 as part of a settlement over her and her brother, Fred III, disputing the disposition of their grandfather Fred Sr.’s estate.

In the book, Trump details that fight over the elder Trump’s will, and suggests her aunts and uncles lied about the size of the estate in order to stiff her and her brother. She recalls lawyers arriving at a settlement figure “based on suspect numbers,” and her counsel informing her that “We know they’re lying, but it’s [a he-said, she-said]. Besides, your grandfather’s estate is only worth around thirty million dollars.” She added: “That was only a tenth of the estimate Robert had given The New York Times in 1999, which itself would turn out to be only 25 percent of the estate’s actual value.”

Maddow had a long segment last night featuring a bunch of other amazing anecdotes including a bit about how Mary was going to ghostwrite one of his books but couldn’t figure out what he really did all day.

Yikes. I guess I’m going to have to read this one …

https://twitter.com/brooklynmutt/status/1280578748081938442

Wouldn’t it be loverly?

The dirty-linen revelations in Mary Trump’s new book, “Too Much and Never Enough: How My Family Created the World’s Most Dangerous Man,” are grounded in firsthand and up-close exposure to the man who would be king. Beside that, Mary Trump (daughter of the late Fred Trump Jr. and the acting president’s niece) is a clinical psychologist and, brother, does Donald J. Trump desperately need one.

But while leaks of Mary Trump’s account of how Donald became The Donald might be fascinating, they do not address the problem at hand: the country is being run by a bundle of psychological disorders. Emphasis on disorder. As of this morning, her uncle’s mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic has cost the lives of over 130,000 Americans. His election, she wrote in now-deleted tweets, was the “worst night of my life.”

Per press reports, Mary Trump provided a bundle of financial records that formed a core piece of the New York Times’ 2018 Pulitzer-winning, 14,000 word investigation on the Trump family’s shady finances. After initially turning away 2017 inquiries by Times reporter Susanne Craig, Trump eventually delivered 19 banker’s boxes of documents from her lawsuit against the family over her inheritance from grandfather Fred Trump’s estate.

Only after reading the Times expose did Mary Trump realize how badly she and her brother Fred III had been cheated. Paul Waldman details:

When Fred Sr. died, Mary was told his estate was worth only around $30 million; the portion of that figure that became her inheritance was the subject of the dispute that led to a financial settlement and her NDA. She later gave Fred Sr.’s business records to the New York Times, which published a blockbuster story showing that the patriarch had transferred over $1 billion to his children (a scheme mostly carried out after Fred Jr.’s death), potentially defrauding the U.S. government of half a billion dollars in tax revenue.

Which brings us to the few unsettled cases on the U.S. Supreme Court’s calendar. One of them involves Donald Trump’s tax and financial records (newer than what the Times received). CNN:

For over three hours in early May over the telephone, the court delved into two momentous cases that will determine whether the House of Representatives and a New York prosecutor can subpoena Trump’s accounting firm and banks for his financial documents.

The justices focused on Trump’s effort to shield his documents but they also prodded the lawyers to look into the future and gauge how an eventual decision will impact the separation of powers and the White House’s broad claims of immunity.

Trump’s attorneys argued that the House subpoenas were “unprecedented in every sense” and asked for “temporary presidential immunity” against the subpoena from a New York prosecutor for the President’s tax records.

The release of any Trump financial documents before the election could be another bombshell for the President in an already dramatic year.

Lower courts in Washington and New York ruled against Trump.

Trump’s older sister, federal appellate Judge Maryanne Trump Barry, already surrendered her judgeship. She announced her retirement in April 2019, 10 days after notification of an ethics investigation into her involvement in the Trump family’s tax avoidance schemes revealed by the Times. A House of Representatives investigation of Donald Trump’s taxes could embarrass him, possibly revealing financial ties to the Russian government. But it would not likely further damage him politically with his tenacious base.

Prosecution by the state of New York, however, could cost Donald Trump real money. Whatever tax crimes the Trump family may have committed decades ago are long past the statute of limitations for criminal prosecution. “There is no time limit, however, on civil fines for tax fraud,” Craig and her Times colleagues wrote. Trump is overdue for a reckoning.

In the depths of the Great Depression, the Franklin D. Roosevelt administration refused to “look forward as opposed to looking backwards” as the Barack Obama administration did when faced with the Great Recession. Out of the Pecora Commission grew the Securities Act of 1933, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and eventually the creation of the Securities Exchange Commission for regulating Wall Street, writes Kevin Kruse at Vanity Fair. “The Glass–Steagall Act, meanwhile, forced commercial banks out of risky investments and established the FDIC system which guaranteed deposits in case of bank failures.”

Neutering those checks and Obama’s failure to prosecute Wall Street miscreants helped lead us here, with a career criminal in the White House who practices “cheating as a way of life.” A Biden administration should not make the same mistake. “If Democrats actually want to move on from the Trump era, they’ll first have to provide a real reckoning with the past,” Kruse writes.

From Vanity Fair to My Fair Lady: “Wouldn’t it be loverly?”

Update: Per SCOTUSBlog, the Trump opinion from SCOTUS should come down tomorrow (Thursday).

● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●

For The Win, 3rd Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide GOTV mechanics guide at ForTheWin.us. This is what winning looks like.
Note: The pandemic will upend standard field tactics in 2020. If enough promising “improvisations” come my way, perhaps I can issue a COVID-19 supplement.

Taking comfort in the deaths

QOTD: Anthony Fauci:

In a Tuesday morning tweet Trump falsely claimed that “we have the lowest Mortality Rate in the World,” while also attacking the news media for not reporting on the declining average number of daily deaths from COVID-19.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, is now warning that no one should take comfort from the surge in coronavirus cases.

“It’s a false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death,” Fauci said during a press event with Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL), according to CBS News reporter Alan He. “There’s so many other things that are very dangerous and bad about this virus. Don’t get yourself into false complacency.”

I don’t think Trump is listening.

The view from the USS Hellship

Lies, Damn Lies, and Startup PR: Abandon Ship

One of the greatest curiosities of the era is why virtually every GOP official has clung to Trump so ferociously. Never Trumper Tim Miller asked some of his erstwhile pals in the business and here’s what he learned:

Shooting rubber bullet grenades at protesting priests. Catastrophically botching the pandemic response, resulting in a public health and economic calamity. Tweeting “white power” memes. Ranting in front of empty arenas about how he navigated a “slippery ramp.” Being MIA while his Russian benefactors put out a hit on American soldiers in Afghanistan.

The last 3 months have been a political dumpster fire for President Trump, and the flames have engulfed Republicans up and down the ballot. But while pockets of Republican resistance have roasted Dear Leader, elected officials in D.C. and their svengalis in the consultant class have remained steadfast.

These swamp creatures were never the biggest Trumpers in the first place — his initial campaign team was an assortment of d-listers and golf course grunts rather than traditional GOP ad men. So why, as Trump’s numbers plummet, are these establishment RINOs continuing to debase themselves to protect someone who is politically faltering and couldn’t care less about them?

What an excellent question. For me it’s enough to simply observe that they are a bunch of spineless, lily-livered wimps who are so afraid of Donald Trump that they’ve all turned themselves into sycophantic little bootlickers to keep their Dear Leaderhappy.

But that’s just me. This is what they told Miller:

I reached out to nine of my former allies and rivals who still consult for Republican candidates at the highest levels of Senate and House races, some who have gone full MAGA and others for whom the president is not their cup of tea. I asked them to speak candidly, without their names attached, to learn about the real behind the scenes conversations about the state of affairs. How is the president’s performance impacting their candidate? Are there discussions about either storming the cockpit or gently trying to #WalkAway from Trump? And finally, why in the hell aren’t they more pissed at this incompetent asshole who is fucking up their life?

What I found in their answers was one part Stockholm Syndrome, one part survival instinct. They all may not love the president, but most share his loathing for his enemies on the left, in the media, and the apostate Never Trump Republicans with a passion that engenders an alliance with the president, if not a kinship. And even among those who don’t share the tribalistic hatreds, they perceive a political reality driven by base voters and the president’s shitposting that simply does not allow for dissent.

As one put it: “There are two options, you can be on this hell ship or you can be in the water drowning.”

So I give you the view from the U.S.S Hellship, first the political state of play, and then the psychological.

The impact of Trump’s disastrous 3 months on down ballot candidates was best summed up in the first text message I got back.

“Could you use a poop emoji for my comments?”

The assessment was excreta across the board.

  • “Every shred of evidence points to a likely ass kicking in the fall.”
  • “Well it’s as bad as it gets right now.”
  • “Right now most campaigns are thanking baby jesus every day the election isn’t held today.”
  • “I’ve got Trump down in Texas. [Republican Senator Steve] Daines down in Montana.”
  • “It’s certainly better than public polling, but it’s not good.”
  • “I told very high ranking people in the Trump Administration that it hasn’t been like this since October of 06” – when President Bush’s numbers were tanking over fallout from the Iraq War, Katrina, and the Mark Foley scandal.

But in 2006, Republican candidates could strategically distance themselves from an unpopular president without facing a mutiny within the ranks. That won’t work in 2020, as — though Trump’s numbers are plummeting with some demos — they are solidifying or improving among his core support demographic. Which makes running afoul of Trump fatal in the eyes of these strategists.

“There are practical realities — we ran a bunch of red district primaries, and it would come back that the number one issue for 80+% of Republican primary voters was loyalty to Donald Trump. I’m not making that number up,” a respondent told me.

Several consultants pointed to the situation that Sen. John Cornyn faces in Texas to illustrate the problem. They indicated that internal polling shows Trump either tied or very slightly ahead in the Lone Star State. One said Cornyn should be feeling very lucky that Beto O’Rourke ran for president, rather than tacking slightly center and spending $90 million on a campaign to unseat the incumbent senator. Another said Cornyn’s “quietly in trouble.”

But rather than addressing this by creating some strategic separation from Trump to solidify the historically conservative Dallas and Houston suburbs where Trump is bleeding out, Cornyn has become a Mr. Trump fan girl, echoing his virus denial and defending the attack on nonviolent protestors in Lafayette Square.

Why? According to one: “You have 25% of the state is rural and Trump gets like Saddam Hussein level numbers here. 87% in 25% of the state… Cornyn gets 69. And so Cornyn can’t find a place to break from because he could really put that in jeopardy.”

And thus the polarizing nature of Trump makes it impossible for Cornyn to make a move that helps him in the swingy suburbs without risking the floor falling out from under him in West Texas.

This same calculus pervades no matter the race, no matter the district, no matter the geography: The operatives insist that the pro-Trump zealotry the president’s supporters demand makes it far more difficult for candidates to win over anyone else.

A consultant who advises a challenger in a swing house seat that Hillary Clinton carried, for example, indicated that they thought they had less ability to distance from Trump than those who are in safer, more MAGAfied districts. “No dissent is tolerated [with the base],” and “If my candidate is going to win, it’s going to be by 1 or 2 percent they can’t afford to lose any votes [on the pro-Trump flank].”

In fact some candidates in competitive house seats are going the other direction because of what it takes to win a primary. A different consultant said: “My candidate didn’t vote for Trump. But we’re running ads right now about being a big Trump supporter,” because in that district “drap[ing] yourself in Trump is still a good decision.”Triple Play: This Hack Gets You Hulu, Disney+ and ESPN+ Together For Just $12Get unlimited access to all three services for about the price of two fancy coffeesAd By Rolling Stone See More

This view is so widespread that when asked, all of the consultants but two said they haven’t even had a conversation about the possibility of distancing from Trump with any of their candidates or campaign teams. Another put it this way: “The idea of distancing, if it’s discussed, it’s discussed very quietly, it’s discussed one-on-one. You wouldn’t talk about it on a conference call…maybe someone would, but let’s just say it hasn’t happened yet and I’m on a lot of those calls.”

Sit with that for a second. The idea of separating from Trump is so verboten in GOP circles that the best consultants won’t even talk about talking about doing it in mixed company, for fear of being stigmatized, and thus losing potential client work on other campaigns.

Some offered that the calculus might change in the fall, when their backs are against the wall. “We’ll probably get to Labor Day before any chess pieces are moved on the board.” But for now they are paralyzed by the experiences of 2016, when Trump rose from the dead several times, only to make those who challenged him weaker politically. So if anyone is expecting the rats to start jumping off the sinking ship, they better be patient.

In the meantime these strategists are left with the same strategy they’ve spent three years honing: Hope & Hiding.

“But if we get to fall and unemployment is in single digits and Dow over 30k he’s going to get reelected,” one said. “That’s why you don’t want to jump out right now and separate yourself because in the Fall the whole world will be different.”

Per another consultant: “Maybe if we don’t talk about Trump and we run on issues and we talk about constituent service and we continue the antagonism on the libs maybe we eek this thing out by a couple of points.”

Suggestions that maybe, just maybe, in the face of these headwinds, that they should try to win back some of the suburban vote and claim their own destiny rather than grabbing a middle seat on Trump Airlines and hope for the best, are met with derision. Trump “sucks the oxygen out of the room from every other candidate” to such a degree that you “can’t run independent of him,” as one put it.

Another put it more succinctly: “The press and the twitterati…they don’t know a fuckin thing.”

To a person, they professed that the only option they have is to go hard negative on their opponent and run a campaign on niche issues and accomplishments they’ve had while in office in the hopes that some slice of the electorate will be able to distinguish their candidate from Trump — even if the candidate themselves is unwilling to do it.

And maybe these guys are right, and those of us sitting in the cheap seats are wrong to think it’s worth a shot to try to get out from under an incompetent, overmatched, pathetic, racist, deteriorating president. Maybe Trump’s Hussein-like numbers with the MAGA crowd is such that anyone who dares cross him automatically is snuffed out the way Jeff Flake and Kelly Ayotte and Dean Heller were in 2016 and ’18.

Maybe. But it’s interesting that at a time when the numbers are “as bad as it gets,” the notion of trying to separate from Trump is not even being contemplated. Maybe there is something more to it.

What would that be? Well …

It’s a natural human trait to tell someone what they want to hear. So as an avowed Never Trumper, I’m used to these hushed conversations with my former colleagues where they commiserate over how bad Trump is, and how they wish they didn’t have to do what they are doing but circumstance has left no choice but sticking with Trump or quitting and becoming a goat farmer.

“We haven’t worked for anybody who seriously thinks the guy has it all together,” said one consultant…

But what I found was underneath that surface level eye-rolling at Trump and hat-tipping to the record on judges was an emotional alliance with the president that is deeper than they might let on in mixed company. A compartmentalization of the badness of the orange man, set aside in favor of a deep and visceral hatred of the president’s enemies.

They may hate him but they stick with him because he hates who they hate and he really knows how to own the libs.

Inspiring patriots all. It makes you proud to be an American.

America alone

Trump officially declares that America no longer needs to be involved in global health. In the middle of a pandemic. A pandemic that’s sickening and killing more Americans than any other country on the planet:

The White House has officially moved to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO), a senior administration official confirmed Tuesday, breaking ties with a global public health body in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic.

The U.S. has submitted its withdrawal notification to the United Nations secretary-general, the official said. Withdrawal requires a year’s notice, so it will not go into effect until July 6, 2021, raising the possibility the decision could be reversed.

Sen. Bob Menendez (N.J.), the top Democrat on the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, tweeted that the administration informed Congress of the withdrawal plans.

“To call Trump’s response to COVID chaotic & incoherent doesn’t do it justice. This won’t protect American lives or interests — it leaves Americans sick & America alone,” the senator tweeted.

If he wins a second term I’m going to guess he plans to build a really big wall around the whole country to keep out any more of these “foreign” viruses. That’ll teach ’em.

A young Trump casualty

I read about this story a couple of days ago and wondered about the details. It’s awful. This Trump cultist is responsible for her daughter’s death:

At just 17, Carsyn Leigh Davis had already experienced more challenges than most people face in their entire lives. From the age of 2, she battled a host of health issues, including cancer and a rare autoimmune disorder. But not once did Carsyn let the serious ailments get her down, her family said.

So when the high school student from Fort Myers, Fla., died last month after contracting the novel coronavirus, her death — which marked Lee County’s youngest virus-related fatality at the time — sent shock waves through the community. Touching tributes to Carsyn, often pictured smiling broadly, poured forth and tens of thousands of dollars were donated to GoFundMe campaigns.

“Even through the ravages of Covid, fighting to breathe, she never once shed a tear, complained or expressed fear,” her mother, Carole Brunton Davis, wrote in a statement shared on one of the fundraising pages.

medical examiner’s report recently made public, however, is now raising questions about Carsyn’s case. The Miami-Dade County Medical Examiner found that the immunocompromised teen went to a large church party with roughly 100 other children where she did not wear a mask and social distancing was not enforced. Then, after getting sick, nearly a week passed before she was taken to the hospital, and during that time her parents gave her hydroxychloroquine, an anti-malarial drug touted by President Trump that the Food and Drug Administration has issued warnings about, saying usage could cause potentially deadly heart rhythm problems.

Carsyn’s case, which gained renewed interest on Sunday after it was publicized by Florida data scientist Rebekah Jones, drew fierce backlash from critics, including a number of medical professionals, who condemned the actions taken by the teen’s family in the weeks before her death. Florida has more than 206,000 reported cases of coronavirus and 3,880 deaths as of early Tuesday.

In a scathing write-up on her Florida COVID Victims site, Jones described the church gathering as a “COVID Party.” She alleged that Brunton Davis took Carsyn to the event to “intentionally expose her immunocompromised daughter to this virus.”

Brunton Davis and the church reportedly behind the event could not be reached for comment late Monday night.

As Brunton Davis wrote in the statement after Carsyn’s death, the teen did not have an “easy life,” largely due to her health complications. In addition to cancer and the autoimmune disorder, she also suffered from obesity and a nervous-system disorder that improved when she was 5, the medical examiner’s report stated.

Still, Carsyn remained active in her community, her family said. She was a member of her high school’s varsity bowling team and dedicated time to volunteering with organizations such as Special Olympics. As an honor student, she excelled in school and particularly enjoyed her AP photography class.

Carsyn’s family also noted that she was “a devout Christian and follower of Jesus,” and “actively involved in Youth Church at First Assembly of God in Ft. Myers.”

On June 10, Carsyn was one of dozens of young people who attended the church event mentioned in the report. While the report did not include specifics about the gathering, Jones shared images of a June 10 post from the First Youth Church’s Facebook page advertising an event scheduled for that night called a “Release Party.” The church’s page has since been taken down.

“Service is back and better than ever!” the post said. “There will be games, awesome giveaways, free food, a DJ and music, and the start of our new sermon series.”

The medical examiner wrote that Carsyn’s parents gave her azithromycin as a preventive measure from June 10 to June 15. The antibiotic in combination with hydroxychloroquine has been floated by Trump as a potential coronavirus treatment. According to the report, Brunton Davis is a nurse and a man identified as Carsyn’s father is a physician assistant.

But while she was taking the medicine, Carsyn began feeling ill, developing a headache, sinus pressure and a mild cough, the report said. Then, on June 19, Brunton Davis noticed that Carsyn “looked ‘gray’” as she slept, prompting the mother to hook her daughter up to oxygen normally used by Carsyn’s grandfather, who has chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or COPD.

At some point, Carsyn was also given a dose of hydroxychloroquine by her parents — an action that came less than a week after the FDA pulled its emergency use authorization for that drug and chloroquine, another anti-malarial medication. A letter dated June 15 stated that the drugs “were unlikely to be effective” for covid-19 and that any potential benefits were outweighed by safety risks, including heart problems, The Washington Post’s Laurie McGinley and Carolyn Y. Johnson reported.

It remains unclear whether Carsyn had a prescription for hydroxychloroquine.

Not long after the oxygen and hydroxychloroquine were administered, Carsyn’s parents took her to a local medical center. She was later transferred to the pediatric intensive care unit at a nearby children’s hospital, where she was confirmed to have coronavirus.

Carsyn’s parents declined to have her intubated, and she instead started receiving plasma therapy, the report said. But by June 22, her condition wasn’t improving and “intubation was required,” the medical examiner wrote.

Despite “aggressive therapy and maneuvers,” Carsyn still didn’t get better, leading Brunton Davis to request “heroic efforts” even knowing that her daughter “had low chance of meaningful survival,” according to the report.

But none of the procedures worked and Carsyn continued to deteriorate. She died shortly after 1 p.m. on June 23, two days after her 17th birthday.

“We are incredibly saddened by her passing at this young age, but are comforted that she is pain free,” Brunton Davis wrote in the GoFundMe statement.

Jones, however, argued that Carsyn’s death could have been prevented.

“I started looking into her mother, the church where the COVID party was held with more than 100 children, her health history, and who she was and I felt so angry and sad that this happened,” she told Newsweek.

On Twitter, Jones shared images of posts from a Facebook profile with Brunton Davis’s name, which is no longer online. One post expressed support for anti-mask efforts and another criticized the methods doctors were using to treat Carsyn.

“The doctors are refusing to give her Hydroxychloriquine [sic], citing ‘new studies’ that it does not work and can be harmful. Using it is against their policy,” the post read. “This is very upsetting to me, as many of you know how I feel about that.”

On Sunday, Jones, who created the independent coronavirus dashboard after she said she was fired by the Florida Department of Health in May for refusing to make changes to how the state presented its data publicly, wrote that she was “so saddened for this girl and the loss of life.”

“Every death on this website is heartbreaking. Every minute lost in someone’s life is a tragedy,” she wrote, referring to her database. “But this one will stick with me long after this virus has torn through our communities.”

This woman put her immune compromised daughter at terrible risk and then didn’t have her properly treated — all because she’s a delusional Trump cultist. And she doesn’t appear to have learned a thing from the experience — well, except hat she might make some money off of the tragedy.

She won’t be investigated by the authorities, I’m sure because she will say that she was following religious guidelines. And we all know that is sacred. But her real religion isn’t Christianity, which would not be in favor of putting vulnerable children into harms way to make a political point. Her religion is the Trump cult.