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Month: January 2021

Cliff or cliffhanger?

The outgoing president’s attempts to subvert the results of the November election could result in harming his party’s chances Tuesday in the Georgia U.S. Senate runoffs. Republicans there are worried. Donald Trump heads to the carpet and flooring hub of Dalton, Ga. for a rally Monday to help Republican candidates, Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler.

From the Los Angeles Times:

“It is a cliffhanger,” said former GOP Rep. Jack Kingston. “The Democrats have shown an extremely well-disciplined and organized get-out-the-vote machine. I’m envious of it.”

Still, Republicans noted their supporters typically vote in higher numbers than Democrats on election day and hope that Trump’s visit to Dalton will prod more conservatives to the polls.

“Democrats feel really good about where they are, but Republicans feel good about their chances of closing that gap,” said Brian Robinson, a Georgia GOP political consultant who is a former aide for Gov. Nathan Deal. “Trump is the best turnout machine for Republicans that there is.”

“If he drives the right message — which is the message that Loeffler and Perdue are driving, that this is the last check on socialism, the last check on a far-left Democratic agenda — then I think that could be very effective.”

The message going out across the country this morning is that electing Democrats Jon Ossoff and Rev. Raphael Warnock on Tuesday could be the last check on the Party of Trump following a career criminal over a cliff. Along with American democracy.

https://twitter.com/jonmladd/status/1345839418771443713?s=20

Reporters are attempting to ask the Fulton County District Attorney’s office if it plans to pursue an investigation into the president’s actions. Being a pathological liar likely too delusional to meet “state of mind” requirements for a criminal charge could immunize Trump from prosecution. What hangs in the balance is whether blanket coverage of Trump’s malfeasance today will depress Republican turnout in Georgia tomorrow.

Democracy: Endgame

Still image from Logan’s Run (1976).

Donald Trump “doesn’t give orders. He speaks in code.”

So his erstwhile personal lawyer Michael Cohen testified in February 2019. The recording transcript of Trump’s July 2019 phone call with the president of Ukraine was a perfect example and resulted in Trump’s impeachment. The transcript released Sunday of the outgoing president’s hour-long Saturday call with Brad Raffensperger, Georgia’s secretary of state, is another. Trump wants a crime committed to his benefit. He just doesn’t come out and ask explicitly.

The lame duck president regurgitated wild tales of election fraud and intrigue from conspiracy corners of the internet. He made unsubstantiated claims that he actually won the election in Georgia that counting after counting showed he lost.

But Trump says, “So look. All I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have because we won the state.” And again, “I got to get … I have to find 12,000 votes and I have them times a lot. And therefore, I won the state.”

Trump is pressuring a public official to tamper with election results Georgia has already certified showing Trump lost. But he does not give Raffensperger orders. He says, “So tell me, Brad, what are we going to do? We won the election and it’s not fair to take it away from us like this. And it’s going to be very costly in many ways. And I think you have to say that you’re going to reexamine it and you can reexamine it, but reexamine it with people that want to find answers, not people that don’t want to find answers.”

Key people. The right people. Trump’s people. His answers.

There is no bottom

By Sunday evening, legal experts asked whether Trump’s actions were crimes under state and federal statutes.

“The president is either knowingly attempting to coerce state officials into corrupting the integrity of the election or is so deluded that he believes what he’s saying,” said Richard H. Pildes, a constitutional law professor at New York University:

But Pildes said Trump’s clearer transgression is a moral one, and he emphasized that focusing on whether he committed a crime could deflect attention from the “simple, stark, horrific fact that we have a president trying to use the powers of his office to pressure state officials into committing election fraud to keep him in office.”

Reporters should not so focus on Trump’s call to Georgia that they fail to look into how many similar calls Trump made to officials in other states he lost last November. “I bet GA is not the only one,” Norman Ornstein tweeted late Sunday. Public records requests are in order in state after state. Leading Democratic election attorney Marc Elias concurs.

https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1345947423034781696?s=20

The call transcript will surely deflect attention from the two Senate runoff races taking place in Georgia tomorrow. What’s more, Trump has set the frame for how the right will view voting on Tuesday when Republican Sen. David Perdue faces Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler’s battles Democrat Raphael Warnock.

Eric Boehlert theorizes how the aftermath of close elections Tuesday could get ugly. Very ugly:

But both Ossoff’s and Warnock’s victory margins, which have been confirmed via a recount, are tiny: Five thousand and nine thousand votes, respectively. Furious, the GOP declares war. Led by Trump, who insists Democrats “stole” the runoff elections, the Republican Party and the right-wing media noise machine unleash a relentless and brutal misinformation war, accusing Democrats of widespread corruption, and attacking Georgia election officials for covering up the concocted crimes.

Trump litigates (as Trump does), seeing yet another chance to overturn his own election loss. He would have the entire GOP political and legal infrastructure behind him as well as his MAGA minions. Death threats or worse could be in store for Georgia election officials.

Republicans are unlikely to step back from the brink. If, as is likely, Democrats fail to deploy equally relentless countermeasures to the Party of Trump’s public coup attempt, could this Covid-weakened republic stand the additional strain? What could the incoming Biden administration do to put the authoritarian genie back in the bottle? Samuel Johnson’s adage captures the feeling.

I watched Avengers: Endgame again last night. During an early scene, Steve Rogers leads a survivors’ support group five years after the “Snap” erased half of humanity. Between the damage Trump has done to the republic, the hundreds of thousands of Americans dead from the pandemic response he botched, and 10 months of social isolation, it felt too familiar for comfort.

Can you believe it’s come to this?

I don’t know what they’ve heard that made them think this was necessary but it’s unnerving. The following is a statement by the 10 living Secretaries of Defense, Ashton Carter, Dick Cheney, William Cohen, Mark Esper, Robert Gates, Chuck Hagel, James Mattis, Leon Panetta, William Perry and Donald Rumsfeld.

As former secretaries of defense, we hold a common view of the solemn obligations of the U.S. armed forces and the Defense Department. Each of us swore an oath to support and defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic. We did not swear it to an individual or a party.

American elections and the peaceful transfers of power that result are hallmarks of our democracy. With one singular and tragic exception that cost the lives of more Americans than all of our other wars combined, the United States has had an unbroken record of such transitions since 1789, including in times of partisan strife, war, epidemics and economic depression. This year should be no exception.

Our elections have occurred. Recounts and audits have been conducted. Appropriate challenges have been addressed by the courts. Governors have certified the results. And the electoral college has voted. The time for questioning the results has passed; the time for the formal counting of the electoral college votes, as prescribed in the Constitution and statute, has arrived.

As senior Defense Department leaders have noted, “there’s no role for the U.S. military in determining the outcome of a U.S. election.” Efforts to involve the U.S. armed forces in resolving election disputes would take us into dangerous, unlawful and unconstitutional territory. Civilian and military officials who direct or carry out such measures would be accountable, including potentially facing criminal penalties, for the grave consequences of their actions on our republic.

Transitions, which all of us have experienced, are a crucial part of the successful transfer of power. They often occur at times of international uncertainty about U.S. national security policy and posture. They can be a moment when the nation is vulnerable to actions by adversaries seeking to take advantage of the situation.

Given these factors, particularly at a time when U.S. forces are engaged in active operations around the world, it is all the more imperative that the transition at the Defense Department be carried out fully, cooperatively and transparently. Acting defense secretary Christopher C. Miller and his subordinates — political appointees, officers and civil servants — are each bound by oath, law and precedent to facilitate the entry into office of the incoming administration, and to do so wholeheartedly. They must also refrain from any political actions that undermine the results of the election or hinder the success of the new team.

We call upon them, in the strongest terms, to do as so many generations of Americans have done before them. This final action is in keeping with the highest traditions and professionalism of the U.S. armed forces, and the history of democratic transition in our great country.

You sure get the feeling that people in the defense sector are worried about something.

The Big Carnival

 “I’ve been screaming, ‘We need to become a big-tent party!’ for some time. But I think they misunderstood me and thought I meant ‘carnival tent.’” — former GOP congressman Denver Riggleman

Lol. Well, when they voted for Trump, they knew what they were getting. And let’s not forget, the carnival is working for them. Here’s Dan Pfeiffer, former Obama staffer:

According to reports, Mitch McConnell is livid at Hawley et al for forcing Republican to go on the record with a vote about the election results. Ideally, McConnell wants all of his members to have their conspiracy cake and eat it too — continue to push false allegations about election fraud to fire up the base without alienating Independents and suburban voters allergic to Trumpy conspiracy theories. But McConnell is reaping what he sowed.

In the days after the election, McConnell refused to congratulate Joe Biden or even refer to him as the “President-Elect.” He didn’t speak out against the lies being spread by Trump and others. McConnell’s silence created a vacuum that was filled by conspiracy theory mongering nuts (Trump) and ambitious snake oil salesman (Hawley/Cruz). I presume McConnell chose this path because he wanted to keep Trump voters fired up for the Georgia elections. But this type of short-term opportunism is how the Republicans ended up with Trump. In 2011, they stayed silent during Trump’s birther crusade back in the hope that it would help them win some elections.

In the post-Trump era, Mitch McConnell is the leader of the Republican Party and he failed his first test.

All of the above is about the motivation of individual politicians and the larger insanity of portions of the Republicanbase, but I believe there is something much more insidious going on. Something that explains why so many Republicans are willing to risk their reputations with election truthing.

All of this conspiracy mongering has a purpose. It is to create a pretext to impose even more draconian voter suppression measures.

At the Presidential level, Democrats improved on their performance in 44 of 50 states. The Democratic gains in Georgia, Arizona, and even Texas are a five alarm fire for the Republican Party. Across the country, Republicans are going to try to roll back voting by mail and early voting options. They want to put in place even more onerous voter ID laws. These false allegations of fraud will be the public rationale for measures to make voting harder.

When you make up allegations out of whole cloth, you can make them about anywhere. But the Republicans have focused their energy on claiming election theft in Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, and Atlanta because these cities have large population of Black and Brown voters. Despite some marginal gains with these voters in 2020, Republicans still view making it harder for communities of color to vote as the straightest line to electoral success. Challenging the election results helps pave the way.

This is obviously correct. And by keeping the Trump cultists riled up, they can keep in line anyone who thinks they might like to do something on a bipartisan basis (for instance, on keeping people from dying from the pandemic.)

Also, there are just a whole bunch of batshit insane Republican officials who are just as worked up as the craziest MAGA QAnon freak. The crazy is running strong.

A cult is attempting a coup in America

The Republican effort to contest the presidential election results on the Senate floor this week is raising questions about how media outlets should cover the moment, and whether the Trump-supported action should be called an attempted “coup.””

Should TV networks show the proceedings live when the GOP objectors are boldly lying?” asked CNN Chief Media Correspondent Brian Stelter. Should they call it a “coup?”

“I’ve been using that word for months now,” historian and author Timothy Snyder told Stelter on “Reliable Sources” Sunday. “Because he announced in advance, it numbed us all and then we’re scared to use the word,” Snyder added.

A dozen GOP senators have announced that they will object to counting votes in Biden’s clear Electoral College win during what has traditionally been a ceremonial exercise on Capitol Hill. The effort comes despite no credible evidence suggesting widespread voter fraud in the 2020 election.

“Is it accurate to call this a coup attempt? … Is President Trump betraying his oath of office? Are the lawmakers supporting him seditious? These words matter a lot right now,” Stelter said at the start of his show.

A whopping 83% of Fox News viewers say Biden was not elected legitimately, according to a new Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll, but Snyder said that “unlike previous elections, we actually did have an election in 2020 that people around the world could admire.””The coverage has to keep reiterating what is true, what is real.”

Here’s what is true, what is real:

That is the statement from Fox News board member and former Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan, RINO extraordinaire. Is anybody listening.

Another “perfect call”

Remember this from Pamela Karlan’s testimony in the impeachment hearings:

“Imagine living in a part of Louisiana or Texas that’s prone to devastating hurricanes and flooding. What would you think if you lived there and your governor asked for a meeting with the president to discuss getting disaster aid that Congress has provided for? What would you think if that president said, ‘I would like you to do us a favor? I’ll meet with you, and send the disaster relief, once you brand my opponent a criminal.’

Wouldn’t you know in your gut that such a president has abused his office? That he’d betrayed the national interest, and that he was trying to corrupt the electoral process? I believe the evidentiary record shows wrongful acts on those scale here.”

Adam Schiff said this in his closing arguments in the Impeachment trial in the senate:

“We must say enough — enough! He has betrayed our national security, and he will do so again. He has compromised our elections, and he will do so again. You will not change him. You cannot constrain him. He is who he is. Truth matters little to him. What’s right matters even less, and decency matters not at all.”

Welp:

President Trump urged fellow Republican Brad Raffensperger, the Georgia secretary of state, to “find” enough votes to overturn his defeat in an extraordinary one-hour phone call Saturday that election experts said raised legal questions.

The Washington Post obtained a recording of the conversation in which Trump alternately berated Raffensperger, tried to flatter him, begged him to act and threatened him with vague criminal consequences if the secretary of state refused to pursue his false claims, at one point warning that Raffensperger was taking “a big risk.”

Throughout the call, Raffensperger and his office’s general counsel rejected Trump’s assertions, explaining that the president is relying on debunked conspiracy theories and that President-elect Joe Biden’s 11,779-vote victory in Georgia was fair and accurate.

Trump dismissed their arguments.

“The people of Georgia are angry, the people in the country are angry,” he said. “And there’s nothing wrong with saying, you know, um, that you’ve recalculated.”

Raffensperger responded: “Well, Mr. President, the challenge that you have is, the data you have is wrong.”

At another point, Trump said: “So look. All I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have. Because we won the state.”

The rambling and at times incoherent conversation offered a remarkable glimpse of how consumed and desperate the president remains about his loss, unwilling or unable to let the matter go and still believing he can reverse the results in enough battleground states to remain in office.

“There’s no way I lost Georgia,” Trump said, a phrase he repeated again and again on the call. “There’s no way. We won by hundreds of thousands of votes.”

Several of his allies were on the line as he spoke, including White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and conservative lawyer Cleta Mitchell, a prominent GOP lawyer whose involvement with Trump’s efforts had not been previously known.

In a statement, Mitchell said Raffensperger’s office “has made many statements over the past two months that are simply not correct and everyone involved with the efforts on behalf of the President’s election challenge has said the same thing: show us your records on which you rely to make these statements that our numbers are wrong.”

The White House, the Trump campaign and Meadows did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Raffensperger’s office declined to comment.

On Sunday, Trump tweeted that he had spoken to Raffensperger, saying the secretary of state was “unwilling, or unable, to answer questions such as the “ballots under table” scam, ballot destruction, out of state “voters”, dead voters, and more. He has no clue!”

Raffensperger responded with his own tweet: “Respectfully, President Trump: What you’re saying is not true.”

The pressure Trump put on Raffensperger is the latest example of his attempt to subvert the outcome of the Nov. 3 election through personal outreach to state Republican officials. He previously invited Michigan Republican state leaders to the White House, pressured Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) in a call to try to replace that state’s electors and asked the speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives to help reverse his loss in that state.

His call to Raffensperger came as scores of Republicans have pledged to challenge the electoral college’s vote for Biden when Congress convenes for a joint session on Wednesday. Republicans do not have the votes to successfully thwart Biden’s victory, but Trump has urged supporters to travel to Washington to protest the outcome, and state and federal officials are already bracing for clashes outside the Capitol.

During their conversation, Trump issued a vague threat to both Raffensperger and Ryan Germany, the secretary of state’s legal counsel, suggesting that if they don’t find that thousands of ballots in Fulton County have been illegally destroyed to block investigators — an allegation for which there is no evidence — they would be subject to criminal liability.

“That’s a criminal offense,” he said. “And you can’t let that happen. That’s a big risk to you and to Ryan, your lawyer.”

Trump also told Raffensperger that failure to act by Tuesday would jeopardize the political fortunes of David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, Georgia’s two Republican senators whose fate in that day’s runoff elections will determine control of the U.S. Senate.

Trump said he plans to talk about the fraud on Monday, when he is scheduled to lead an election eve rally in Dalton, Ga. — a message that could further muddle the efforts of Republicans to get their voters out.

“You have a big election coming up and because of what you’ve done to the president — you know, the people of Georgia know that this was a scam,” Trump said. “Because of what you’ve done to the president, a lot of people aren’t going out to vote, and a lot of Republicans are going to vote negative, because they hate what you did to the president. Okay? They hate it. And they’re going to vote. And you would be respected, really respected, if this can be straightened out before the election.”

Trump’s conversation with Raffensperger put him in legally questionable territory, legal experts said. By exhorting the secretary of state to “find” votes and to deploy investigators who “want to find answers,” Trump appears to be encouraging him to doctor the election outcome in Georgia.

But experts said Trump’s clearer transgression is a moral one. Edward B. Foley, a law professor at Ohio State University, said that the legal questions are murky and would be subject to prosecutorial discretion. But he also emphasized that the call was “inappropriate and contemptible” and should prompt moral outrage.

“He was already tripping the emergency meter,” Foley said. “So we were at 12 on a scale of 1 to 10, and now we’re at 15.”

Throughout the call, Trump detailed an exhaustive list of disinformation and conspiracy theories to support his position. He claimed without evidence that he had won Georgia by at least a half-million votes. He floated a barrage of assertions that have been investigated and disproved: that thousands of dead people voted; that an Atlanta election worker scanned 18,000 forged ballots three times each and “100 percent” were for Biden; that thousands more voters living out of state came back to Georgia illegally just to vote in the election.

“So tell me, Brad, what are we going to do? We won the election, and it’s not fair to take it away from us like this,” Trump said. “And it’s going to be very costly in many ways. And I think you have to say that you’re going to reexamine it, and you can reexamine it, but reexamine it with people that want to find answers, not people who don’t want to find answers.”

Trump did most of the talking on the call. He was angry and impatient, calling Raffensperger a “child” and “either dishonest or incompetent” for not believing there was widespread ballot fraud in Atlanta — and twice calling himself a “schmuck” for endorsing Kemp, whom Trump holds in particular contempt for not embracing his claims of fraud.

“I can’t imagine he’s ever getting elected again, I’ll tell you that much right now,” he said.

He also took aim at Kemp’s 2018 opponent, Democrat Stacey Abrams, trying to shame Raffensperger with the idea that his refusal to embrace fraud has helped her and Democrats generally. “Stacey Abrams is laughing about you,” he said. “She’s going around saying, ‘These guys are dumber than a rock.’ What she’s done to this party is unbelievable, I tell you.”

The secretary of state repeatedly sought to push back, saying at one point, “Mr. President, the problem you have with social media, that — people can say anything.”

“Oh this isn’t social media,” Trump retorted. “This is Trump media. It’s not social media. It’s really not. It’s not social media. I don’t care about social media. I couldn’t care less.”

At another point, Trump claimed that votes were scanned three times: “Brad, why did they put the votes in three times? You know, they put ’em in three times.”AD

Raffensperger responded: “Mr. President, they did not. We did an audit of that and we proved conclusively that they were not scanned three times.”

Trump sounded at turns confused and meandering. At one point, he referred to Kemp as “George.” He tossed out several different figures for Biden’s margin of victory in Georgia and referred to the Senate runoff, which is Tuesday, as happening “tomorrow” and “Monday.”

His desperation was perhaps most pronounced during an exchange with Germany, Raffensperger’s general counsel, in which he openly begged for validation.

Trump: “Do you think it’s possible that they shredded ballots in Fulton County? ’Cause that’s what the rumor is. And also that Dominion took out machines. That Dominion is really moving fast to get rid of their, uh, machinery. Do you know anything about that? Because that’s illegal.”

Germany responded: “No, Dominion has not moved any machinery out of Fulton County.”

Trump: “But have they moved the inner parts of the machines and replaced them with other parts?”

Germany: “No.”

Trump: “Are you sure? Ryan?”

Germany: “I’m sure. I’m sure, Mr. President.”

It was clear from the call that Trump has surrounded himself with aides who have fed his false perceptions that the election was stolen. When he claimed that more than 5,000 ballots were cast in Georgia in the name of dead people, Raffensperger responded forcefully: “The actual number was two. Two. Two people that were dead that voted.”

But later, Meadows said, “I can promise you there are more than that.”

Another Trump lawyer on the call, Kurt Hilbert, accused Raffensperger’s office of refusing to turn over data to assess evidence of fraud, and also claimed awareness of at least 24,000 illegally cast ballots that would flip the result to Trump.

“It stands to reason that if the information is not forthcoming, there’s something to hide,” Hilbert said. “That’s the problem that we have.”

Reached by phone Sunday, Hilbert declined to comment.

In the end, Trump asked Germany to sit down with one of his attorneys to go over the allegations. Germany agreed.

Yet Trump also recognized that he was failing to persuade Raffensperger or Germany of anything, saying toward the end, “I know this phone call is going nowhere.”

But he continued to make his case in repetitive fashion, until finally, after more than an hour, Raffensperger put an end to the conversation: “Thank you, President Trump, for your time.”

If you want to know how this got leaked, check out the full tweet, which the Washington Post only excerpted:

Low Point: COVID edition

Meanwhile:

The dreaded post-Christmas spike in coronavirus cases appears to be materializing in Los Angeles County, with a new rise in cases as hospitals are already in crisis from the Thanksgiving surge.

The county reported 19,063 cases on New Year’s Day, its third-highest single-day total, and 16,603 on Saturday, its fifth-highest total, according to an independent Times tally of local health jurisdictions. That means that over the last three days, an average of more than 16,000 new cases a day have been reported in the county — one of the highest such tallies on record.

Saturday’s tally pushed the county’s cumulative number of cases past 800,000. In a sign of how rapidly the coronavirus is spreading, more than 400,000 of those infections were reported since Dec. 1.

“This is the fastest acceleration of new cases than at any other time during the pandemic,” the L.A. County Department of Public Health said.ADVERTISING

More L.A. County residents are dying daily of COVID-19 than at any other point in the pandemic — an average of 178 deaths a day over the last week, the equivalent of one death every eight minutes, according to a Times analysis. Of L.A. County’s cumulative death toll of more than 10,600, more than 3,000 have been reported since Dec. 1, including 136 on Saturday.

With hospitals already overflowing, officials have been dreading another spike in cases, which experts say would worsen conditions through January.

Just a week ago, there were some encouraging signs that new cases in the county were slowly stabilizing — leveling off at around 13,000 to 14,000 a day — as the stay-at-home order began to show results. But that brought little celebration, because those numbers were still so high that they would continue to overwhelm hospitals and because health officials were convinced that gatherings during the Christmas holiday would quickly erase those gains.

Dr. Robert Kim-Farley, medical epidemiologist and infectious diseases expert with the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, said Saturday that he expects cases to mount over the next two weeks as people exposed to the virus over Christmas and New Year’s fall ill and get tested. This would be similar to the trends from Thanksgiving.

If those trends hold, hospitals are expected to be at their peak crisis by the end of January and COVID-19 deaths would peak by mid-February, he said.

[…]

It’s ‘World War III,’ says L.A. County doctor beset by intensely sick COVID-19 patients

Officials had urged more people to stay home over the winter holidays than during Thanksgiving, and there was some hope more people might have complied. The Rose Parade was canceled for the first time since 1945 and Pasadena was an eerie calm.

But the same kind of pandemic fatigue seen over Thanksgiving led many people to defy officials’ pleas to stay home for the winter holidays. Many airports saw steady traffic from holiday travelers. And thousands of New Year’s revelers were dispersed, detained or arrested through the weekend in Southern California as large celebrations and parties occurred across the region.

Los Angeles Police Department officials said they broke up at least eight New Year’s Eve gatherings involving more than 2,000 people downtown and in the surrounding area, including one warehouse party where more than 1,000 people were dispersed. Sheriff’s officials said they broke up at least five parties involving more than 900 people — including at a rented house, a vacant warehouse, a hotel and a closed business.

Lt. Raul Jovel, an LAPD spokesman, said LAPD officials were “all monitoring social media” this week to identify planned parties. The work wasn’t easy, in part because party hosts “are getting smarter,” he said. Promoters often announce a party in a general area — like downtown — but won’t post the address until the last minute or not at all, relying on it spreading by word of mouth instead.

Social media “influencers” and other young partygoers posted footage on social media of revelers ringing in the New Year the old-fashioned way — by screaming, dancing and singing together in enclosed spaces without masks.

On New Year’s Eve, Christian activist Sean Feucht drew an estimated 2,500 mostly unmasked attendants to a church parking lot in Valencia.

Actor Kirk Cameron and others gathered at Point Mugu Beach. “We need to be listening for the voice of God, rather than being distracted by the noise of men,” Cameron said in a video posted on his Instagram page, which showed a crowd shouting and clapping in response to his sermon. Most people were not wearing masks.

With hospitals enduring a statewide crisis not seen in modern history, the stay-at-home order is expected to remain in effect in most of the state for the foreseeable future. State officials say the order will remain in place until the forecasted available capacity of intensive care units rises to 15% in a region; it remains at 0% in Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley.

[…]

Hospitals across L.A. County are being slammed by the pandemic, with most forced to turn away ambulances for much of the day as medical institutions buckle under the weight of unprecedented demand for critical care. Hospital morgues and private funeral homes are so full of corpses that the National Guard has been asked to help store the bodies temporarily at the county medical-examiner-coroner’s office. And healthcare workers are dying from COVID-19 at a more rapid clip.

As one of the nation’s largest metropolises with some of the nation’s densest neighborhoods, L.A. County is considered particularly vulnerable in a pandemic. The county, home to more than 10 million people, suffers in a number of neighborhoods from high rates of poverty and costly housing that lead to overcrowded homes. Southern California also has huge numbers of essential workers who must leave their homes to work — many employed in food factories and warehouses — where the virus can also spread easily.

Some patients are spending up to nine hours in hospital waiting rooms with low blood pressure and low oxygen levels. A number of facilities are reporting running dangerously low on supplies of oxygen. Some patients transported by ambulances are waiting as long as eight hours to be dropped off at emergency rooms. There’s fear that people suffering strokes, heart attacks and seizures aren’t getting the swift attention they need, and at least one person waiting for a kidney transplant had his procedure delayed because the ICUs are too full.

Sure. This is all fake news.

Donald Trump is currently plotting a coup with the help of a number of establishment Republicans. There is an excellent chance of violence starting on January 6th, mostly because Trump is fomenting it by encouraging his people to come to DC where he predicts the event will be “wild.” And now he’s saying that the pandemic numbers are fake.

I think we’ve become so inured to his insane behavior that we no longer feel just how radical he and his party have become. The frog boiling metaphor is flawed because frogs instinctively know better than to stay in a heating pot of water. They would jump out. Humans, unfortunately, aren’t that smart.

Sore Loser caucus re-ups 1876

David Frum explains:

You’re hearing a lot of talk about “irregularities” in the election of 1876 that led to a “disputed” outcome. What is being referred to in this hazy terms?

Across the state of South Carolina, white conservatives had used terror and massacre to deter former slaves from voting in 1876. Here’s the story of an attack upon the small town of Hamburg in July

Hundreds of black South Carolinians were killed by white conservative militias. Blacks fought back in many places, but they were out-gunned.

The killings were not spontaneous outbursts. They were part of planned campaign of anti-black voter suppression.

http://ldhi.library.cofc.edu/exhibits/show/after_slavery_educator/unit_nine_documents/document_11

Some of the elements of the conservative plan to suppress black votes in South Carolina in 1876 sound queasily familiar in our own time, adjusting for the antique language and technology.

But back of it all was terror and violence, more violence than could be contained by the limited federal forces in the area – who were anyway constrained by the white conservative Democratic House majority elected in 1874.

The terror and violence worked. States where large black populations had formerly cast ballots were “redeemed” for the conservative cause – and for the presidential nominee of the racial conservatives, the Democrat, Samuel Tilden.

In the face of this campaign of terrorism, the two national parties struck a deal. The Republicans would accept the validity of white conservative voter suppression at the state level – if they could retain the presidency and its patronage. The bargain was made.

When modern senators propose to repeat 1876, they are not endorsing some Solomonic compromise. They are endorsing a negotiated concession to violent conservative minorities.

Over the next half century, the states “redeemed” by white conservatives shriveled into tight oligarchies. I described the process in my book Trumpocracy, p. 141

Democracy in the United States has a contested history. It’s being contested again right now. The foundational idea of democracy is that each person counts. Let’s commit to proving that theory true in the dangerous week ahead. END.

Originally tweeted by David Frum (@davidfrum) on January 3, 2021.

What could go wrong?

Irritable and stupid gestures

Publicity photo from Animal House (1978).

Otter: I think that this situation absolutely requires a really futile and stupid gesture be done on somebody’s part!

They’re just the guys to do it:

WASHINGTON — Vice President Mike Pence signaled support on Saturday for a futile Republican bid to overturn the election in Congress next week, after 11 Republican senators and senators-elect said that they would vote to reject President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s victory when the House and Senate meet to formally certify it.

The announcement by the senators — and Mr. Pence’s move to endorse it — reflected a groundswell among Republicans to defy the unambiguous results of the election and indulge President Trump’s attempts to remain in power with false claims of voting fraud.

The New York Times normally pulls its punches, but peppers this report with comments [emphasis mine] about “unambiguous results,” that every state has “certified the election results after verifying their accuracy,” and that Republicans have attempted to question those reults by “offering vague suggestions that some wrongdoing might have occurred” and amplified them via “specious claims of widespread election rigging that have been debunked and dismissed.”

Not that any of that matters to the metastasized remnant of an American political party currently in control of the U.S. Senate.

Lionel Trilling suggested there were “no conservative or reactionary ideas in general circulation” in 1950. With modest exceptions, the conservative and reactionary impulses at that time, he wrote, do not “express themselves in ideas but only in action or in irritable mental gestures which seek to resemble ideas.”

Would that he could see conservatism today. He could expand his formulation to include conservative and reactionary impulses expressed in similar actions and irritable gestures that seek to resemble fealty to this constitutional republic.

Republicans want to rule

Still image from The Black Death (2010).

Singed by Donald Trump’s and Republicans’ efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election, the Washington Post Editorial Board this morning urges the nascent Biden administration to assign a high-level commission the task of developing recommendations for overhauling our democracy:

The nation needs a top-to-bottom review of how it conducts elections, counts votes and assures the public of the democracy’s health, so that it resists those who want to restrict voting, trash legitimate ballots and leverage positions of trust to upend valid results. 

The Post already has a short list for the commission to consider: abolish the electoral college (or assign electoral votes proportionally), institute universal voter registration, make Election Day a holiday, expand mail-in voting, improve ballot security, make voting mandatory, etc.

Changes like these, the Post believes, are necessary to prevent a more competent autocrat than Trump from stealing a future election. The commission’s guiding star would be “to prevent fraud and promote voter confidence,” including reforms to prevent partisan officials from rejecting election results.

Perhaps they are naive. They are missing the forest and most assuredly missing the point.

Not that their suggestions are bad ones. But improving democracy will not change the attitudes of those who have demonstrated they no use for it. Have we not seen enough bad-faith arguments in the last couple of decades to recognize them by now?

“If conservatives become convinced that they cannot win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy,” former George W. Bush speechwriter David Frum wrote in January 2018.

“A realignment of America’s two major parties is under way,” Jeremy D. Rosner, former Special Adviser to President Clinton and senior staff member National Security Council, wrote in December that year. “To put it simply, we are headed for an era in which America may well have a Democratic Party and an Anti-democratic Party.”

Both predictions have come to pass.

As others observed before me, Republicans do not want to govern, they want to rule. The first rule once was, heads they win, tails you lose. Now it is heads they win, tails “Nice constitutional republic ya got there….”

So what’s a plutocrat to do?” asked Paul Krugman at a time before openly rejecting democracy was de rigueur for Republicans. Since they could not come straight out and say only the wealthy should have the franchise, they resort to propaganda about voter fraud, etc. More democracy, better democracy is the last thing they want.

The latest wrinkle in our Trumpist saga is the effort among elected Republicans to raise objections to the decision of voters on January 6 when the U.S House and Senate meet to accept electoral vote certifications from the states. Republican Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas proposes a special commission charged with yet another examination of electoral college votes from “disputed states.”

Edward B. Foley has a clearer-eyed view of what is afoot than his Washington Post colleagues:

… the fact that a dozen senators and senators-elect, along with apparently more than 100 House members, want to disrupt congressional ratification of the electoral college result is one more horrendous sign of the severity of the disease afflicting the United States’ democratic system.

Anti-democrats do not want a more perfect democratic republic. They want the answer they want. They want to rule or else. Like a former client, like Donald Trump, he of the bottomless cup of lawsuits, they will keep raising objections to the will of the people, they will wear down opponents until they get the answer they want. If they lose, they try to will get even, Donald Trump-style. No presidential commission will remediate that.