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Month: November 2021

It’s doomsday somewhere

Still image from Logan’s Run (1976).

The economy’s up: Bad news for Biden

Boehlert added, “Anyone who ventured to a mall yesterday likely witnessed a shopper mob scene. GOP/media are going to have increasingly hard time spinning this red-hot economy as doomsday for Dems.”

But like drinkers say about 5 o’clock, it’s doomsday somewhere.

Gas prices coming down: Bad news for Biden

Lower gas prices are bad news for Biden’s plan to sell more electric cars, tweets someone else.

As usual the day after Thanksgiving, for some shoppers Black Friday seemed like doomsday.

Actually it was three shot (including a 10 year-old from a ricochet) and another three injured in Durham during the mall evacuation.

Surely, bringing a gun to the mall meant the shootings involved justifiable self-defense in each case, right? Isn’t that the catechism, the reason everyone should?

Wheels within Emptywheel

Following up on David Frum’s observations this week about what is true about Donald Trump’s Russia dalliances, Marcy Wheeler this week surmised how disinformation in the Steele dossier advanced the goals of helping Russia undermine the U.S. election. She suggests how “any disinformation in the dossier became a key part of the Russian operation” to help Trump:

The details of any disinformation in the dossier — the possibility that Russian intelligence deliberately planted false stories about secret communications Michael Cohen had with the Kremlin — are important because they may have served the overall Russian operation. In some cases, such as the claim that Carter Page was Paul Manafort’s purported go-between with Russia rather than Konstantin Kilimnik, might have provided cover. The claims that Russia had years old FSB intercepts of Hillary they planned to release as kompromat, rather than recently stolen emails from John Podesta, would similarly provide cover. In others, disinformation might have worked in the same way Oleg Deripaska’s double game did, increasing the vulnerability of Trump’s people even while making it more likely they’d do what Russia wanted.

I have argued in the past that the Trump Tower deal wasn’t important because it showed that Trump was pursuing a real estate deal while running for President. Rather, it was important to the success of the Russian operation because it gave Russia proof, before any hint of the Russian operation became public, that Donald Trump would be willing to work, in secret, with sanctioned banks and a GRU officer to make an impossibly lucrative real estate deal happen.

There’s more:

The impossibly lucrative real estate deal was useful to the Russian operation because it ensured that, even before GRU hacked the DNC, Putin had collected receipts showing that Trump’s personal lawyer had secretly been in discussions about a deal brokered by a GRU officer and sanctioned banks for Trump’s benefit. Trump would want to (and in fact did) keep this fact from voters because it would have proven he was lying about having business interests in Russia. The attribution of the DNC hack to the GRU made Trump’s secret more inflammatory, because it meant Trump stood to benefit personally from the same people who hacked his opponent. Trump and Cohen couldn’t have known all that when Cohen called Peskov in January. But Russia did. Indeed, that may well have been the entire point.

The Cohen-in-Prague story includes outlines of Trump’s real secret: contact by Trump’s personal lawyer with the Kremlin and those who conducted the DNC hack. But the Cohen-in-Prague story displaced the key details of that secret, providing a place and personal details that would be even more damning, but also easier to debunk.

In fact, when Michael Cohen broke the law (by lying to Congress) to cover up this secret, when the Trump Organization withheld from Congress the most damning documents about it, when Trump told his most provable lie to Mueller about it, they (along with Felix Sater and others) used the Cohen-in-Prague story as an easy way to issue true denials while limiting admissions (and lying) about the extent of the Trump Tower deal.

There is reason to believe, Wheeler writes, that as disinformtaion the Cohen-in-Prague story accomplished what it was supposed to: hide the Trump Tower discussions by “creating an easily debunked stand-in for Trump’s real cooperation,” and distract from Manafort’s Russia involvement.

Wheeler concludes:

If the dossier was significantly disinformation, then all Americans were victims of it. It turned a legitimate concern about real Russian interference into American elections into one of the biggest sources of political polarization in recent history. Like the social media trolling from Internet Research Agency, it stoked divisions, with the added benefit that it led significant numbers of Trump voters to trust the Russians who were feeding that disinformation more than they trust the current President. One viral Twitter thread earlier this year even claimed that the dossier (and therefore any Russian disinformation in it) led directly to and justified the attack on the Capitol on January 6. As such, disinformation injected into the dossier should increasingly be treated as a potential central part of the 2016 Russian influence operation — perhaps its most successful and lasting part.

Republicans insist that the Steele dossier is the entirety of the Russia investigation and the original source of it (not true). Manafort told Trump White House chief of staff Reince Priebus they could undermine the Russia investigation by focusing relentlessly on the dossier and its flaws, Wheeler told the Columbia Journalism Review’s podcast last week, and by discrediting the dossier discredit anything coming at Trump out of the investigation of his ties to Vladimir Putin and Russia.

How the dossier, disinformation and all, worked to advance Russia’s interests has itself not received serious investigation in the media. Special counsel John Durham’s indictment of Igor Danchenko, a key figure behind information/disinformation in the Steele dossier, has yet to provoke serious reflection by the media of its under-critical reporting on its contents or what Steele should have known that is not in it (Papadopoulos in London, etc.). Why did the stories that get told get told, Wheeler asks.

(h/t SR)

Friday Night Soother

Baby Bears!

The images in this video shocked the entire Zoo Rostock team. Last week two tiny polar bear cubs were discovered at the German Zoo while keepers were checking the video from the den. The two cubs were born on Sunday, November 14th, 2021. The first baby was born at 10.15 a.m., the second 20 minutes later. These are the first offspring for polar bear parents Sizzel and Akiak.

German media quoting the zoo reported Sizzel was doing a “great job” looking after her two babies born on Nov. 14.

Cubs at birth weigh between 450 and 850 grams, a fraction of a grown female polar bear which during pregnancy put more than 500 kilos on the scale, according to Nuremberg zoo.

Polar bear cubs are born almost naked and it takes them up to two months to be able to stand up on their feet.

According to German media, Rostock zoo will ensure Sizzel and her babies are not exposed to any type of stress for now.

h/t Zooborns

Misogyny in action

Reading this story about the Texas abortion law you cannot help but be struck by the fact that the law simply disregards the needs of women in virtually every way. It doesn’t even discuss the psychological effects of forced pregnancy against your will. This is solely focused on the physical threats of pregnancy for some women and how they are personally threatened by the inability to obtain a needed medical abortion. It’s horrifying:

A few weeks after Texas adopted the most restrictive abortion law in the nation, Dr. Andrea Palmer delivered terrible news to a Fort Worth patient who was midway through her pregnancy.

The fetus had a rare neural tube defect. The brain would not develop, and the infant would die at birth or shortly afterward. Carrying the pregnancy to term would be emotionally grueling and would also raise the mother’s risk of blood clots and severe postpartum bleeding, the doctor warned.

But the patient was past six weeks’ gestation, and under the new law, an abortion was not an option in Texas because the woman was not immediately facing a life-threatening medical crisis or risk of permanent disability.

“So we look at them like a ticking time bomb and wait for the complications to develop,” Dr. Palmer said of her patients.

In this case, the woman had the means to travel, and she obtained an abortion in another state, an option unavailable to many low-income and working class women.

Texas’ new measure was intended to impose stringent limits on abortion. But it is also affecting women who have no desire for termination but are experiencing medically risky pregnancies. Many doctors say they are unable to discuss the procedure as an option until the patient’s condition deteriorates and her life is at risk.

[…]

Many physicians say they cannot intervene in complex pregnancies that may not pose an immediate threat to the patient but can rapidly spin out of control. Some hesitate to counsel patients about the option of termination, or refer them to doctors in other states, for fear their advice could be interpreted as aiding an abortion.

Supporters of the law say their goal is to save the life of every embryo, regardless of the circumstances of conception.

“We never advocate taking a life of an unborn child unless it is necessary to protect the life of a woman,” said Joe Pojman, executive director of the Texas Alliance for Life.

Even in cases of rape or incest, “we don’t advocate for taking the life of an unborn child for the crime of the father,” he said.

The law’s supporters say that it provides sufficient leeway for physicians to act if a mother’s life or bodily functions are compromised, and they insist those cases are rare.

Dr. Ingrid Skop, an obstetrician in San Antonio who belongs to the American Association of Pro-Life Obstetricians and Gynecologists, said that even a girl as young as 9 or 10, impregnated by a father or a brother, could carry a baby to term without health risks.

“If she is developed enough to be menstruating and become pregnant, and reached sexual maturity, she can safely give birth to a baby,” Dr. Skop said.

But studies show that pregnant teenagers are more prone than older women to developing a dangerous condition called pre-eclampsia, and they are more likely to have preterm deliveries, small babies and stillbirths. Very young rape victims tend to seek prenatal care late, and they are more likely to have small babies that score poorly on tests of heart rate and muscle tone given immediately after birth.

The idea that it’s normal for 9 or 10 year olds to give birth is so grotesque it literally made my stomach lurch to read this doctor saying it as if it’s just fine. And, as I mentioned, this horrible monster apparently also thinks it’s just fine to retraumatize a small child who has been raped by a relative by forcing her to go through nine months of pregnancy and then give birth. At best, she doesn’t think it’s worth worrying about.

But she says doctors shouldn’t worry. If some yahoo decides to collect a bounty and sue the doctor, they will have an opportunity to defend themselves in court so it’s all good.

With regard to pregnancy-related complications for women of any age, Dr. Skop said, the new law allows doctors to act when necessary and to justify their treatments in court if they are sued.

“It is disingenuous to allege that this law prevents obstetricians from following the medical standard of care,” she said.

Many physicians disagree, pointing out that the law can disrupt care for pregnant women who have underlying health problems that are not immediately life-threatening, such as pulmonary hypertension or certain types of cancer.

“It’s one of the most egregious invasions of the physician-patient relationship that we’ve ever seen,” said Dr. Rick Snyder, a cardiologist in Dallas who is chair of the board of trustees of the Texas Medical Association.

The law does not make an exception for pregnant women who learn that the fetus has chromosomal abnormalities or anomalies that will cause the baby to die soon after birth. Such testing is done late in pregnancy, beyond the six-week limit, noted Crescenda Uhles, a genetic counselor in Dallas.

“I have a code of ethics to uphold, and that is making sure I discuss with my patients all of their options, regardless of what is available in their area,” Ms. Uhles said. Depending on the medical circumstances, one of those options may be abortion.

The hospital where she works “pays me to have these conversations with patients, but there’s not necessarily any guarantee they would have my back should someone decide to list my name on a lawsuit,” she said.Crescenda Uhles, a genetic counselor in Dallas, said the Texas law puts people like her in a bind when advising patients. […]

The Texas law, which is also called Senate Bill 8, carves out an exception for termination in “a medical emergency,” which is defined in the state’s health code as “a life-threatening physical condition” caused or aggravated by pregnancy that “places the woman in danger of death or a serious risk of substantial impairment of a major bodily function.”

But there is professional judgment involved in making these determinations, and some physicians in Texas now fear these opinions will be second-guessed in a courtroom. “One person’s emergency may not be another person’s emergency,” said Dr. Robert Carpenter Jr., an obstetrician in Houston. […]

There is zero concern for the long term health effects on women. None:

The new law does not apply to removing ectopic pregnancies that implant outside the uterus, which are not considered abortions under state law. But some health conditions can jeopardize a woman’s health in the long term but not necessarily constitute an immediate threat to her life.

Dr. John Thoppil, an obstetrician in Austin who is president of the Texas Association of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, said that shortly after the new law went into effect in September, a patient who relied on an intrauterine device for birth control became pregnant.

An IUD can make menstruation irregular, and she did not realize she had conceived until after the six-week mark. The pregnancy made it impossible to remove the device, Dr. Thoppil said.

With it in place, his patient faces a pregnancy rife with potential medical problems. Yet under the new law, Dr. Thoppil felt he could not counsel her on terminating the pregnancy.

“You can’t even mention what someone’s choices would be, because of fear that talking about options would be considered aiding and abetting someone getting an abortion,” he said.

Some supporters of the law say that it does not forbid a doctor to counsel a woman about abortion or refer her to an abortion provider outside Texas. But the language is ambiguous, and travel can be expensive and onerous for pregnant women, especially if they are unwell.

[…]

Pregnancies can be complicated by any number of medical conditions. The American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association, for example, advise women with certain congenital heart conditions to avoid pregnancy altogether, as they are at higher risk of illness or death shortly after giving birth.

The associations say these women should be given the option of termination if they become pregnant. For doctors treating such patients, the Texas law “creates quite a conundrum,” Dr. Snyder said.

“If I offer the patient the standard of care, I could be sued for aiding and abetting,” he said. “If I don’t provide my patient the standard of care, which they are due, I could be sued.”

For example, in rare cases an infection can make the amniotic sac rupture before the fetus is viable. Initially, the patient may not be in danger, and under the law physicians may be prohibited from taking action, even though the baby will not survive.

But the woman’s condition can quickly deteriorate, which is why physicians often prefer to offer an abortion. “I have seen cases where the woman has gone from completely normal to septic shock in less than an hour,” Dr. Carpenter said. “You don’t get a lot of time to respond, and if you don’t respond quickly enough, your patient expires.”

In Poland, protests over that country’s abortion laws erupted this year after a 30-year-old pregnant woman died of septic shock. Her water had broken midway through the pregnancy, but her doctors, fearing prosecution if they violated the abortion ban, did not begin treating her until the fetus’s heart stopped on its own.Dr. Ghazaleh Moayedi, an obstetrician/gynecologist and abortion provider in Texas, said the new law leaves unclear whether a physician can act when a woman has a spontaneous miscarriage and is bleeding heavily, but the fetus has not passed.Credit…Nitashia Johnson for The New York Times

A more common scenario also raises difficult questions, said Dr. Ghazaleh Moayedi, an obstetrician and gynecologist in Texas who provides abortions. Sometimes, she said, a woman has a spontaneous miscarriage and is heavily bleeding, but the fetus has not passed and cardiac activity can still be detected.

The only way to stop the heavy bleeding is to end the pregnancy and contract the uterus, Dr. Moayedi said. Time is of the essence. “Every OB-GYN has cared for someone who has died from a hemorrhage,” she said. “If someone is hemorrhaging while miscarrying, how long do I have to wait?”

Even if the mother’s life is saved, Dr. Moayedi added, she could require an emergency hysterectomy, or removal of the uterus, which would leave her infertile.

Other complications that occur when a woman is carrying twins or multiples can be resolved by a “selective reduction,” or abortion, of one of the fetuses so that the other has a better chance to live. Not doing so can, in some circumstances, kill all of the fetuses. Selective reductions are forbidden under the new state law.

In other cases, a pregnant woman’s medical needs may conflict with those of her fetus.

Just a few months before the Texas legislature passed the new law, Dr. Robert Gunby Jr., an obstetrician in Dallas, was caring for a pregnant newlywed who suddenly started losing weight. She was diagnosed with an aggressive lymphoma, a cancer of the immune system.

An oncologist urged the woman to start treatment immediately, but the chemotherapy regimen would have been toxic to the fetus.

“First she said, ‘I can’t, I want this baby so badly,’” Dr. Gunby recalled. “But it was the only choice they had to save this young woman.” She eventually agreed, and the treatment was begun as soon as an abortion was performed.

Dr. Palmer, the obstetrician in Fort Worth, said that one of her patients was trying to get pregnant after the new law went into effect, and she had consensual sex with her partner.

A few days later, she went out to celebrate a friend’s birthday and was raped on her way home. She took a pregnancy test soon after she missed her period and found out that she had conceived. But she did not know who the biological father was.

The earliest time that any genetic testing could be done would be at seven weeks, Dr. Palmer said, so the patient decided to terminate her pregnancy before the six-week mark, in Texas. She knew she did not have the flexibility to be able to travel out of state for an abortion later on.

Like other physicians, Dr. Palmer said she was uncertain whether counseling that patient about all of her options, including terminating the pregnancy outside Texas, would have been considered “aiding and abetting.”

It is very, very hard to believe that this scheme isn’t actually designed to punish women. After all, these people have made it very clear that it’s more important to save a fetus that has developed without a brain and has no chance to live than to protect the fully formed human being inside whom it is gestating.

The Supreme Court will decide this case at some point. But the fact that they refused to stay this law, putting who knows how many women in danger says everything about their morality. They may not completely overturn Roe but I won’t be surprised if they do. The underlying lack of concern for women s clear and the majority on the court have been marinating in this misogyny for years. To borrow Adam Serwer’s famous phrase: the cruelty is the point.

“The variant is a spark that should not distract us from the fact that we are already in a burning house.”

Some new information from a well-informed source. The WHO calls it OMICRON:

This pandemic has been all about communicating uncertainty and it doesn’t get more uncertain than early data on new variants.

So a few things to keep in mind the next few days and weeks as the picture around B.1.1.529 becomes clearer and why it’s right to be concerned

Most importantly: We will learn a lot in the coming days but getting good answers takes time, science takes time.

For instance, researchers in SA are growing the virus now for experiments but that can take a week or two (and different variants differ in how well they grow)

Interpreting real world data is difficult. An increase in one variant in one place can have a lot of reasons and they don’t all have to do with the variant. A superspreading event – or a series of them – can also lead to a rapid increase for instance

If it is the variant, then there are still different reasons why it might be outcompeting delta:
Is the virus better at re-infecting recovered or vacccinated people or is it inherently more transmissible? Or is it a mix of the two?

Immune escape is easier to parse.
First experiments will use other viruses that have been engineered to carry the spike of B.1.1.529 and test how well serum from vaccinees does against these.
Later experiments will test the actual virus against these sera.

We can also tell more about immune escape from the genome alone and what we see there is really concerning. For instance, with monoclonal antibody therapies we know precisely what parts of the virus they recognise and some of these are different here.

Great work done by @jbloom_lab has put us in a position to judge the effect of some of these mutations.

For instance, the REGEN-CoV antibody cocktail could be affected by some mutations:

Of course humans don’t just make an antibody or two they are a lot of different ones. But this variant has a lot of changes that could affect a lot of different antibodies, as @jbloom_lab points out:

But remember that our immune system has more than just neutralising antibodies in store, so none of this tells us just how much this variant is going to escape immunity and if it will mostly affect protection from infection or also severe disease.

Immune escape is not black-and-white, not yes or no, which is why the term immune erosion is generally better.

Transmissibility is harder to measure and we can read much less about this from a genome sequence, so for this experimental data and more real-world evidence is even more important.


Again, the little we know suggests there could be some advantage, but this is very uncertain.

I am most wary of any pronouncements on whether this virus leads to more severe disease or deaths. There can be so many biases in the early data and we really don’t have the numbers to say anything this early on.

So as usual: Beware of anyone who is overly confident on anything about this variant right now.
There is a lot we need to find out.

The only thing I know for sure is that I’m back to being a #covid19 variant reporter for now…

And all of this should underscore 2 points:

1. We are all in this together. It does not matter where a new variant pops up it will most likely end up affecting all of us. That’s one reason why the tools to track this virus and fight it need to be distributed equitably.

2. It’s a reminder that any place that has high transmission (like Germany right now) we really really need to drive down transmission.

As @firefox66 put it really well: “The variant is a spark that should not distract us from the fact that we are already in a burning house.”

Originally tweeted by Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) on November 26, 2021.

Tu-ber-cu-lucas and The South African Flu

Just what you wanted for Christmas, a new Covid variant:

An increasing number of countries — including Britain, France, Israel, Italy and Singapore — were moving on Friday to restrict travel from South Africa and other countries in the region, a day after South African authorities identified a concerning new coronavirus variant with mutations that one scientist said marked a “big jump in evolution.”

In the past, governments have taken days, weeks or months to issue travel restrictions in response to new variants. This time, restrictions came within hours of South Africa’s announcement — and hours before health officials from the country began discussing the variant with the World Health Organization.

Britain, France and Israel announced bans on flights from South Africa and several neighboring countries on Thursday, citing the threat of the new variant. Britain’s flight ban applies to six countries — South Africa, Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Namibia and Zimbabwe — and begins at noon local time on Friday.

New and improved

What specialists think they know so far:

Scientists are still unclear on how effective vaccines will be against the new variant flagged by a team in South Africa, which displays mutations that might resist neutralization. Only several dozen cases have been fully identified so far in South Africa, Botswana, Hong Kong and Israel.

The new variant, B.1.1.529, has a “very unusual constellation of mutations,” with more than 30 in the spike protein alone, according to Tulio de Oliveira, director of the KwaZulu-Natal Research and Innovation Sequencing Platform.

On the ACE2 receptor — the protein that helps to create an entry point for the coronavirus to infect human cells — the new variant has 10 mutations. In comparison, the Beta variant has three and the Delta variant two, Mr. de Oliveira said.

The variant shares similarities with the Lambda and Beta variants, which are associated with an innate evasion of immunity, said Richard Lessells, an infectious diseases specialist at the KwaZulu-Natal Research and Innovation Sequencing Platform.

Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention’s Statement regarding the new SARS-COV-2 virus variant B.1.1.529:

On 25 November 2021, the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) in South Africa announced the detection of a new variant of the SARS-COV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, following genomic sequencing. This variant is currently labelled as lineage B.1.1.529.

The emergence of this new variant coincides with a sudden increase in cases in the Gauteng province over recent days and is accordingly being closely monitored by the health authorities in South Africa.

Details of the new B.1.1.529 variant

    • By 25th November 2021, the B.1.1.529 variant had been detected in 77 samples collected between 12-20 November from Gauteng province in South Africa, 4 samples from Botswana and 1 sample in Hong Kong.
    • The B.1.1.529 variant displays multiple mutations across the virus genome, including more than 30 in the region which encodes the spike protein responsible for virus entry into host cells.
    • Some of the mutations have been detected in previous variants, such as Alpha and Delta, and have been associated with increased transmissibility and immune evasion.
    • Many of the other identified mutations are not yet well characterized and have not been identified in other currently circulating variants. 
    • More investigations are underway to determine the possible impact of these mutations on the capacity of the virus to transmit more efficiently, to impact vaccine effectiveness and evade immune response,  and/or to cause more severe or milder disease.

Gives a whole new holiday feel to Black Friday, doesn’t it, shoppers?

Who knew I’d reference a tune David Lindley covered twice in two days? Here’s the original by Huey “Piano” Smith:

No hoax

Donald Trump’s “fake news” isn’t. His “rigged” election wasn’t. His university and his charitable foundation were scams. His cries of voter fraud are a fraud. Trump’s “Russia hoax” is itself a hoax. As honest as the day is long, he is not. But he’s consistent.

On that “Russia hoax,” David Frum, has a few words in The Atlantic. To begin, Frum calls out the people in Trump’s orbit who frankly dislike him but find him useful. They’ve mounted a “red-hot media campaign” to promote Trump’s Russian hoax fantasy and, perhaps in a few cases, to deflect attention from themselves. Does The Donald know he’s being used? Would he admit it to himself?

Anti-Trump Republicans commissioned the 2016 campaign opposition research into Trump’s Russia connections that, after they dropped it, became the infamous Steele dossier when Democrats picked up the funding.

Frum writes:

The Steele dossier undertook to answer the question “What the hell is going on with Trump and Russia?” The Senate Intelligence Committee found that the FBI investigation gave the Steele dossier “unjustified credence.” But the disintegration of the dossier’s answers has not silenced the power of its question.

Doubts about the amount of the dossier’s disinformation content, doubts fed by three indictments leveled by Trump-appointed investigator John Durham, are all for “lying to the FBI about various aspects of the Steele dossier.” The indictments support those with an interest in seeing the Trump-Russia questions remain unanswered. Thus the “red-hot media campaign” to promote the idea that allegations of Trump’s cooperation with Russia were all a hoax from the start.

Frum reiterates for those who need reminding a series of known knowns provided by the Senate Intelligence Committee:

    1. Dating back to at least 2006, Trump and his companies did tens of millions of dollars of business with Russian individuals and other buyers whose profiles raised the possibility of money laundering. More than one-fifth of all the condominiums sold by Trump over his career were purchased in all-cash transactions by shell companies, a 2018 BuzzFeed News investigation found.
    2. In 2013, Trump’s pursuit of Russian business intensified. That year, he staged the Miss Universe pageant in Moscow. Around that time, Trump opened discussions on the construction of a Trump Tower in Moscow, from which he hoped to earn “hundreds of millions of dollars, if the project advanced to completion,” in the words of the Senate Intelligence Committee.
    3. Trump continued to pursue the Tower deal for a year after he declared himself a candidate for president. “By early November 2015, Trump and a Russia-based developer signed a Letter of Intent laying out the main terms of a licensing deal,” the Senate Intelligence Committee found. Trump’s representatives directly lobbied aides to Russian President Vladimir Putin in January 2016. Yet repeatedly during the 2016 campaign, Trump falsely stated that he had no business with Russia—perhaps most notably in his second presidential debate against Hillary Clinton, in October 2016.
    4. Early in 2016, President Putin ordered an influence operation to “harm the Clinton Campaign, tarnish an expected Clinton presidential administration, help the Trump Campaign after Trump became the presumptive Republican nominee, and undermine the U.S. democratic process.” Again, that’s from the Senate Intelligence Committee report.
    5. The Trump campaign adviser George Papadopoulos “likely learned about the Russian active measures campaign as early as April 2016,” the Senate Intelligence Committee wrote. In May 2016, Papadopoulos indiscreetly talked with Alexander Downer, then the Australian high commissioner to the United Kingdom, about Russia’s plot to intervene in the U.S. election to hurt Clinton and help Trump. Downer described the conversation in a report to his government. By long-standing agreement, Australia shares intelligence with the U.S. government. It was Papadopoulos’s blurt to Downer that set in motion the FBI investigation of Russia’s interference in the 2016 presidential election, a revelation authoritatively reported more than three years ago.
    6. In June 2016, the Trump campaign received a request for a meeting from a Russian lawyer offering harmful information on Hillary Clinton. Donald Trump Jr. and other senior Trump advisers accepted the meeting. The Trump team did not obtain the dirt they’d hoped for. But the very fact of the meeting confirmed to the Russian side the Trump campaign’s eagerness to accept Russian assistance. Shortly after, Trump delivered his “Russia, if you’re listening” invitation at his last press conference of the campaign.
    7. WikiLeaks released two big caches of hacked Democratic emails in July and October 2016. In the words of the Senate Intelligence Committee: “WikiLeaks actively sought, and played, a key role in the Russian intelligence campaign and very likely knew it was assisting a Russian intelligence influence effort.”
    8. Through its ally Roger Stone, the Trump campaign team assiduously tried to communicate with WikiLeaks. Before the second WikiLeaks release, “Trump and the Campaign believed that Stone had inside information and expressed satisfaction that Stone’s information suggested more releases would be forthcoming,” according to the Senate Intelligence Committee. In late summer and early fall 2016, Stone repeatedly predicted that WikiLeaks would publish an “October surprise” that would harm the Clinton campaign.
    9. At the same time as it welcomed Russian help, the Trump campaign denied and covered up Russian involvement: “The Trump Campaign publicly undermined the attribution of the hack-and-leak campaign to Russia and was indifferent to whether it and WikiLeaks were furthering a Russian election interference effort,” the Intelligence Committee found.
    10. In March 2016, the Trump campaign accepted the unpaid services of Paul Manafort, deeply beholden to deeply shady Russian business and political figures. “On numerous occasions, Manafort sought to secretly share internal Campaign information” with a man the Intelligence Committee identified as a Russian intelligence officer. “Taken as a whole, Manafort’s high-level access and willingness to share information with individuals closely affiliated with the Russian intelligence services … represented a grave counterintelligence threat,” the committee found. Through 2016, the Russian state launched a massive Facebook disinformation program that aligned with the Trump campaign strategy.
    11. At crucial moments in the 2016 election, Trump publicly took positions that broke with past Republican policy and served no apparent domestic political purpose, but that supported Putin’s foreign-policy goals: scoffing at NATO support for Estonia, denigrating allies such as Germany, and endorsing Britain’s exit from the European Union.
    12. Throughout the 2016 election and after, people close to Trump got themselves into serious legal and political trouble by lying to the public, to Congress, and even to the FBI about their Russian connections.

The record “leaves many mysteries and uncertainties unresolved” and questions unanswered, specifically, “What the hell is going on with Trump and Russia?”

“So by all means, follow the trail on Steele,” Frum insists. But don’t let the campaign of distraction divert attention from pursuit of the unanswered questions. The people who laid false trails along the way are professionals.

The Plot Thickens

… like turkey gravy:

Lara Trump, the Fox News contributor and wife of Eric Trump, has bizarrely claimed that the rising cost of the Thanksgiving turkey is part of a liberal plot to “chip away” at American traditions.

During a discussion on Fox News about inflation and its impact on Thanksgiving-related purchases, the former president’s daughter-in law claimed leftwing Americans “want to fundamentally transform America” and were using the humble Thanksgiving turkey as a vehicle for their nefarious plot.

“Well, how do you that? You have to change America from the inside-out. You have to take away our traditions. So it might seem a little funny and a little ridiculous. ‘Oh, don’t have a turkey, then people won’t come over.’”Advertisement

In the exchange with the Fox host Pete Hegseth, Trump was responding to comments made by the White House press secretary, Jen Psaki, that inflation had pushed costs of the traditional Thanksgiving bird to about a dollar more for a 20lb bird.

“It all goes to fundamentally transforming this country, and the way you do that is you make sure that we have no commonality whatsoever, no traditions as Americans whatsoever,” she said. “You start chipping away at that, and they don’t care that Thanksgiving costs a lot more.”

A battle over turkey inflation has been brewing for weeks, with conservatives accusing liberals of attempting to quash holidays, including Halloween, as part of an effort “to divide Americans up”.

“They don’t want us to have any common ground. They don’t want us to have any shared traditions like Thanksgiving. A lot of places last month actually did away with Halloween because they wanted to be inclusive of the people that didn’t celebrate Halloween,” Trump added.

The Communist Democrats just ruin everything. don’t they?

Future Cooks of America

Kindergartners from Hoosac Valley Elementary School shared their techniques for preparing a Thanksgiving turkey dinner. Here are a few. It’s like Turkey Mad Libs:

Robin Poirot’s class

Our turkey will probably weigh about 200 ounces. Dad and I would probably stuff our turkey with cheeseburgers with lettuce. I would put a little salt and pepper on top and then put it in the oven. Dad would cook it for 5 hours at 5 warm degrees. When it is done, we will take it out and cool it down and then cut it up and eat it with my whole family. Yum!

— Helena Nocher

I know my Grampa will probably hunt for it. You have to get those feathers off of it first before you eat it. You know that right? I LOVE turkey, especially the meat part. I will eat it all up! First we will put some stuffing and a little pizza sauce inside and cook it for about 20 seconds at 54 degrees. Hey! That’s weird. I just thought of something. I said 54 degrees and we have been in school for 54 days so far! That’s silly!

— Emma Grace Poirot

My Nana will buy the turkey at the Adams Hometown Market. They have good meat there. After she takes it out of the car and brings it in the house, she will stuff it with chicken. Then it’s time to put it in the oven. I would say it needs to be in there for about 33 hours at 100 degrees. When it beeps it will be ready. Don’t forget to eat it with the yummy red stuff! I kind of like the red stuff!

— Aria Larabee

When we buy our turkey it will be as big as a black bear. Before you cook it, you have to cut it up in little pieces and put it in a pan. Then I would take a spoon and fill it with ice cream and put it in to cook for 100 million degrees for 100 minutes. When it is done, I will eat it with lots of corn.

— Jacob Wendling Jr.

My mom and dad might go hunting in the woods for our turkey. When they get it, it will come up about this high (pointing to his chest). It will weigh about 50 pounds. Did you know that when you put it in the oven and cook it, it comes out without the head and feathers? I like the fat part best because it gives the meat flavor. It will be chewy if you cook it for about 4 minutes at 10 degrees.

— Weston Lic

My dad will hunt for our turkey in the woods. I’m sure he will get a really big one! After he gets it, we would get it ready by stuffing it with lots of mashed potatoes and french fries too! Just cook it for 10 minutes for about 2 degrees. If you pour some cauliflower soup all over the top it will taste delicious!

— Henry Poplaski

My dad will hunt for our turkey and bring it to my Gram. Then Mommy will take off all of the feathers and stuff the turkey with strawberry ice cream. She will cook it on top of the stove at “Medium hot” so the ice cream won’t melt. When it is done, we will eat it with cucumbers, mashed potatoes and corn. It will taste nice and sweet!

— Berkley Biros

Sarah Leidhold’s class

You gotta buy the turkey from the supermarket. First, you cut it a little. Then, put it in a pan. It should be in the oven for 16 and a half minutes. Turn it to 6 or 7 degrees. You should stuff it with lots of stuffing. Then eat it with toast and butter.

— Zachary R.

Get the turkey at the Dollar Store. Then you put it in your hand and trace it. You cook it for two minutes and it’s done.

— Joey M.

You can get a turkey in the classroom. Boil it and stuff it with skin. Just eat the turkey!

— L.T.

Get the turkey from the ground. You put the meat on the turkey and then it runs away. Get it hot in the oven, like 7 degrees. Keep the turkey inside for 20 hours. You need to stuff it with chicken. Eat it with lots of gravy.

— Oliviah S.

Okay go to the store, maybe Walmart, to get a big turkey. Bake it in the oven for 10 minutes with 2 degrees. You gotta stuff it with chicken. Get some chicken nuggets to put on the side.

— Sophia S.

Jillian Tietgen’s class

I love turkey. I go to the grocery store to get it because it’s so yummy. It’s so big it’s like giant. It is bigger than me. It almost touches the sky. We cook it in the oven I think. It’s so hot. We cook it for like a long time I think. We stuff it with cookies. We also eat grapes and maybe strawberries and cake. I like to make cookies and milk for santa and leave carrots because I think he likes carrots.

— Aria

We go to a farm to get the turkey. We also see other animals at the farm. It’s about as big as a chicken. We cook it in the oven on hot for 60 days. We put crackers on it and stuff it with candy. We eat waffles and blueberries and bananas and apples too. My favorite part is eating strawberries.

— Jaxon

We get it hunting and we are really quiet. We wear a jacket then we cook it. We cook it in a pot at hot for 5 minutes. We cut it with a knife and eat pumpkin pie. One thing i know is my friends are coming to my house for Thanksgiving.

— Tobey

We go to the store and pick it up and put it in the car. It is maybe like twice the size of my head. Maybe like cook it rare like it’s special. We cook it at 7 degrees for maybe like 1 hour or a half an hour. We put oil and stuff on it and stuff it with stuffing. We eat bread and stuff and dessert which is whip cream and vanilla ice cream and chocolate. My favorite part is watching the movies like cartoons. I like paw patrol.

— Austin

I get my turkey from the store and it is the size of a snake. I walk or drive to the store and take a cart. I cook it in the oven for 10 minutes on hot. I stuff it with candy. Yummy! I also eat stuffing and cranberry sauce and potatoes and a cup of water and that’s it. My favorite part is the cranberry sauce. I love to eat pie.

— Leo

We get our turkey from the farm. It’s the same size as a chicken. We cook it on the stove on hot for 60 minutes. We don’t stuff it because I don’t like stuff in my turkey. We also eat stuffing. My favorite part is eating with my family.

— Ella

At the store, medium I get a big one and medium one and a small one. I get all three but I don’t usually get them. So, I saw you cook turkey with fries and french fries. So, the temperature for a cooked turkey is 3 degrees. It goes on for 8 minutes. You stuff it with bones. I eat broccoli and more broccoli and some carrots but cooked carrots. Pie for desserts is my favorite kind of pie vanilla and chocolate and mint and broccoli kind and more broccoli.

— Gianna

We get the turkey from, I think, buy turkey from walmart and try to get the turkey stuff. For my ingredients I would get some bones in there and stuff from Target and I know what else, but you can get any toppings on there and you make it nice and sweet with pineapple. We get a huge turkey for all of my family, the size of my head. You cook it at 8 high and you cook it for 20 hours. You stuff it with anything you want. You can eat mac and cheese and stuff. For dessert, we eat ice cream and ice cream sandwiches and cookies.

— Aleigha

We go into the woods and get a turkey. We hunt for the turkey the size of a cheetah. We use the stove to cook it at 8,040 degrees for 10 hours. We stuff it with chicken and eat steak.

— Karsen

I would cook it like how my mom cooks a turkey. I go into the woods and get a turkey. Then, if I want something else I go into the woods and get something else to eat. You put the turkey in a pan at 4 degrees for 2 minutes. I take the juice out of the turkey. You put another piece of turkey. I also eat chicken legs with my turkey and ice cream. I put ice cream on top of my chicken leg.

— Sebastian

Sounds yummy …