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Month: November 2021

No Stone Left Unturned

The Trumpers were very serious about overturning the election:

One of QAnon’s wildest conspiracy theories claimed that the U.S. presidential election had been stolen from Donald Trump with the help of two small-time Italian hackers who had somehow hijacked a satellite in order to change the results being counted on American voting machines.

It is now clear that this bizarro theory was not confined to the darker corners of the QAnon conspiracy network. The power of the U.S. State Department may have been pushed into action trying to prove that this was how President Biden stole the election.

Seriously? Apparently so:

An Italian prison official and a lawyer for the alleged hacking mastermind have told The Daily Beast that two Americans gained illicit access to one of the hackers inside an Italian prison—best known for its mafioso inmates—in the dying days of Trump’s term in office in a desperate bid to chase down this insane conspiracy.

The prospect of the U.S. State Department working on this theory was first raised last June when classified emails were released about the so-called #Italygate conspiracy, and fleshed out in Jonathan Karl’s book Betrayal, which scratches the surface of the controversy.

So convinced that the hackers were able to rig the satellites, Karl says Ezra Cohen, a Pentagon official at the time, asked the U.S. Embassy in Rome to deploy its defense attaché down to the southern port city of Salerno to interrogate hacker Arturo D’Elia and his partner in crime Antonio Rossi, who are serving time for hacking into an Italian military supply company.

The plot proved untrue, though it still lives on as “fact” in the dark corners of QAanon’s conspiracy network and is now the focus of an internal investigation by the Italian bureau of prisons.

The Daily Beast caught up with D’Elia’s lawyer Nicola Naponiello, who confirmed the Americans’ visit and who said that his client was “terrified” that people he presumed were American secret service agents were there to investigate him. “He did not agree to be interrogated and, in fact, no one should have had access to him without going through me,” Naponiello said. “It is beyond absurd.“

He says he is sure that the Americans were hoping to convince his client that in fact he had somehow inadvertently triggered the voting machine results and that if he would just admit that it might have happened, they’d leave him alone. Instead, D’Elia called his lawyer who quickly filed a complaint with the prison.

I knew about the Italygate conspiracy theory and the fact that Mark Meadows had pressured the DOJ to investigate it. But I had no idea they actually interviewed the alleged hackers. Good lord.

I guess it’s just another looney wingnut conspiracy theory that Trump and his henchmen were pursuing in service of his Big Lie. Is anyone ever going to pay a price for this insanity? Or are we just going to watch the right wingers turn the Steele Dossier into proof that Trump was unfairly maligned so anything else he did will be swept under the rug and that will be that?

If you are unfamiliar with #Italygate, here’s a Reuters Fact Check.

A Star is Born

This is just … amazing:

Hours after a jury acquitted Kyle Rittenhouse on charges of homicide, Fox News personality Tucker Carlson announced that he will not only interview the teenager but air a documentary about him.

Mr Rittenhouse was charged with five felonies after fatally shooting two men and injuring another in the volatile aftermath of police brutality protests in Kenosha, Wisconsin on 25 August, 2020.

On 19 November, the host of Tucker Carlson Tonight revealed that a film crew had followed the 18-year-old during the trial, though defense attorney Mark Richards told CNN that he did “not approve of that”.

“I threw them out of the room several times,” Mr Richards said on Friday following the verdict. “I don’t think a film crew is appropriate for something like this.”

Mr Richards said that making the film was part of the Rittenhouse family’s fundraising efforts for legal costs. He described the film crew’s presence as “a definite distraction” throughout the murder trial.

The attorney told CNN that he had told Mr Rittenhouse that he was uncomfortable with Fox News’ presence.

Mr Richards went on to say that “Kyle’s going to have some hard choices in his life about the direction he goes and what he stands for”.

“Those will have to be made by Kyle, eventually,” he added.

Mr Carlson will interview Mr Rittenhouse on 22 November. The documentary will air in December.

During the trial, attorneys for Mr Rittenhouse claimed that he fired his AR-15-style rifle in self-defense against members of a violent mob that began chasing after him.

Following two weeks of testimony and four days of deliberations, prosecutors failed to convince jurors that Mr Rittenhouse provoked the already-chaotic scene by bringing the rifle into the crowd.

A statement from Fox News says the documentary, made by “Tucker Carlson Originals”, will “include additional portions of the interview as well as exclusive behind-the-scenes access to Rittenhouse and his defense team”.

https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1461863167403909121?s=20

A preview clip shared by the Fox News anchor shows Mr Rittenhouse on a couch, followed by images of Kenosha unrest and scenes outside the Kenosha County Courthouse. Mr Rittenhouse narrates the one-minute and 45-second clip.

“It’s the stuff that keeps you up at night,” he says. “Once you finally do get to sleep, your dreams are about what happened and you’re waking up in a dark, cold sweat.”

In the final moments of the clip, an off-camera voice inside a car leaving the courthouse asks Rittenhouse how he feels about the verdict.

“The jury reached the correct verdict. Self-defense is not illegal,” Rittenhouse says. “I believe they came to the correct verdict and I’m glad everything went well. It’s been a rough journey but we made it through it. We made it through the hard part.”

Fox News hosts have repeatedly come to Mr Rittenhouse’s defense throughout the trial. On his programme after the teenager’s acquittal, Mr Carlson said the jury was “brave enough to reach the right and obvious conclusion”.

What do fundraising efforts have to do with Tucker Carlson? Huh? What does that mean? Did Tucker and/or Fox help fund the defense?

This is sooooo shady.

A Reckoning of Fools

You may have noticed that the media is in a full-blown tizzy over the Steele Dossier coverage, calling it a “reckoning” with their own coverage of the Trump administration. It’s a pathetic display of self-flagellation in pursuit of “credibility” from right wing operators who are laughing in their faces. The fact is that nobody took the Steele Dossier as gospel. It was well understood that it was an oppo-research document that was unproven intel and gossip that may or may not be true. And this propaganda that all the Russia investigations relied on it is a lie. They explicitly did not.

Anyway, keep this in mind as you watch the mainstream media exonerating Trump on Russia when it remains true that there were Russian agents crawling all over that 2016 campaign and there were members of the campaign who were complicit, including the felonious campaign chairman Paul Manafort. It would have been malpractice to blow off such bizarre behavior.

Jonathan Chait wrote this on the subject this week:

Donald Trump’s attorney has written a letter threatening to sue the Pulitzer Committee unless it revokes the awards given to the Washington Post and the New York Times for their coverage of Trump’s secretive ties to Russia. Trump, of course, will probably never actually file this suit. If he did, he would certainly lose, because the Times and the Post in fact uncovered enormous amounts of damning evidence against Trump and did not, contra Trump, rely on the Steele dossier, the report compiled by the British spy Christopher Steele. Trump’s lawsuit threat is a publicity vehicle to advance the message he has never stopped making: that the entire Russia scandal is a “hoax,” ginned up by Democrats and the Deep State, of which he and his allies are innocent, and the crimes are all on the other side.

The novel development is that the entire conservative movement apparatus is now singing from the same hymnal. National Review, which in the past has wandered from the pro-Trump line on some matters, now alleges the FBI “relied on the shoddy document to surveil an American citizen in an investigation that produced the Mueller probe and a two-year-long obsession with Trump and Russian built on a preposterous foundation.” You can find the same line in organs like Fox News, the Wall Street Journal editorial page, and the Washington Examiner, not to mention the ordinary houses of Trump worship like the Federalist.

The pretext for this chorus of new complaints that Trump has been treated very unfairly is new revelations about the Steele dossier. The tip sheet was always seen as unproven, even by those of us who gave it some credence. Steele himself estimated the tips were only around 70 to 90 percent accurate, and almost nobody would put the percentage anywhere near that high; many of the allegations he compiled came through interested parties or second- and third hand gossip.

[…]

[C]onservatives are not satisfied with merely correcting the record on Steele. They want to make Steele the underpinning of both the FBI investigation and the journalistic narrative about Trump and Russia.

But the Trumpist argument that Steele’s allegations formed the “foundation” of the FBI investigation is obviously false. The FBI began looking into Trump’s ties to Russia because Trump foreign-policy adviser George Papadopoulos boasted that Russia had dirt on Hillary Clinton to an Australian diplomat, who duly informed the U.S. government. That is obviously a very good reason to begin a counterintelligence investigation. The FBI did try to run down Steele’s leads, but it also had other sources for its investigation (and, indeed, uncovered a great deal of incriminating information).

The notion that the media started questioning Trump’s ties to Russia because of the Steele dossier is even more preposterous. While some insiders saw Steele’s reports, his dossier was not made public until January 2017. But nearly a year before that, the suspicious alliance between Trump and Putin was already playing out before our eyes.

In March 2016, Trump hired a campaign manager who had previously run a pro-Kremlin presidential campaign in Ukraine and appeared to be indebted to Russian oligarchs. In May, reporters noticed that the Kremlin’s propaganda apparatus was openly cheering on Trump, who in turn was lavishing Vladimir Putin with fawning praise. In July, Franklin Foer wrote a long Slate story putting Trump’s relationship with Russia in the context of both Trump’s murky financial ties to the country and Russia’s well-established habit of courting and paying off right-wing politicians in other nations; a few weeks after that, Trump asked Russia to hack Clinton’s emails on live television. This extremely unusual fact pattern raised the antenna of the national media before any of us heard of Christopher Steele.

While the right-wing press has asserted over and over that Trump was ultimately cleared of wrongdoing, the opposite is true. The Mueller investigation was orthogonal to the questions raised by the media: It was a criminal investigation, not a counterintelligence probe. Even so, it incidentally established, and Mueller testified to Congress, that the most damning suggestion raised by the critics was in fact true. Russia had leverage over him, in the form of dangling a lucrative, no-risk contract worth hundreds of millions of dollars, at a time he was falsely telling the public he had no business dealings with Russia. (This deal closely mirrored other payoffs Russia has made to its right-wing political allies overseas, which are frequently disguised as investments.) This deal gave Putin both a carrot for Trump and a stick — he could easily expose Trump’s lie — should Trump have ever angered him.

The most conclusive investigation into the counterintelligence danger posed by Trump’s ties to Russia — that is to say, the noncriminal ways Trump was implicated in, and compromised by, Russia — was conducted by the Senate Intelligence Committee. That bipartisan report is extensive and damning. It identifies two channels of cooperation between the Trump campaign and its Russian allies. First, campaign manager Paul Manafort, who communicated regularly with Russian agent Konstantin Kilimnik, including giving him regular supplies of campaign polling data. And second, working through adviser Roger Stone, the campaign “took actions to obtain advance notice about WikiLeaks releases of Clinton emails; took steps to obtain inside information about the content of releases once WikiLeaks began to publish stolen information.”

Neither Manafort nor Stone cooperated with investigators or federal prosecutors, calculating correctly that Trump would reward them with pardons for keeping silent. Thus, the committee was left with suggestive but not conclusive evidence of the full extent of the Trump campaign’s collusion with Russia. It said “some evidence suggests Kilimnik may be connected to the GRU hack-and-leak operation related to the 2016 election.” Likewise, Stone held conversations with Trump that other members of the campaign believed were about his back channel to WikiLeaks, but, since neither Stone nor Trump ever testified, this cannot be proven.

And while the report says it “did not establish” that Russia had sexually compromising information on Trump, it compiled a vast amount of circumstantial evidence, ranging from numerous contemporaneous reports that he had romantic encounters in Russia to noting that “the Ritz Carlton in Moscow is a high counterintelligence risk environment. The Committee assesses that the hotel likely has at least one permanent Russian intelligence officer on staff, government surveillance of guests’ rooms, and the regular presence of a large number of prostitutes, likely with at least the tacit approval of Russian authorities.”

The sexual aspect has naturally claimed an outsize role in the public imagination. Those of us who used Steele’s version of the sexual-blackmail claim were wrong, because Steele was simply passing on gossip. But the reason that gossip existed in the first place is not that Trump’s enemies invented it to stop his campaign, but because the possibility was a serious concern to counterintelligence professionals.

Even limiting the evidence to the parts that can be proven yields an extraordinarily damning indictment. For that reason, conservatives have almost entirely ignored the Senate Intelligence Committee report. None of the conservative columns I linked to above even mention the Senate Intelligence report; indeed, the conservative media has almost uniformly refused to acknowledge it at all. The source is simply too credible (the investigation was begun under Republican control, and its findings had bipartisan support on the committee) and its conclusions too incriminating for conservatives to spin away.

Better to ignore the report and pretend the whole Trump-Russia scandal was ginned up by Steele and the Democrats. This National Review headline is representative of the right-wing line: “Yes, Hillary Clinton Orchestrated the Russia-Collusion Farce.” This claim is more absurd and provably false than the wildest conjecture Steele dug up.

I hope that Trump does sue the Pulitzer board. A trial might be just the thing to get this whole thing demonstrated for the public at long last. He won’t like it. The best case shows he was played for a fool by the Russian government. Bring it.

Update: David Corn has written about this too. He wrote a book, with Michael Isikoff, about the Russia connection that dug very deep into the story and he was the first journalist to write about the Steele Dossier.

Vladimir Putin must be delighted. With the recent indictment of Igor Danchenko, the primary source for former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele’s 2016 dossier that alleged ties between Donald Trump and Moscow, the Trump-Russia denialists have had a field day. They have blasted the media for its reporting on Steele’s memos and claimed that this further undermining of his reports demonstrates the Russia scandal was a hoax.

That last point is disinformation. 

Certainly, the credibility of Steele’s memos has been, once more, severely impugned. (I’ve been assailed for having been the first journalist to reveal their existence—more on that shortly). But the controversy over these documents is distinct from from the dark and troubling core of the Trump-Russia affair. In fact, it’s a distraction and a deflection. The Steele dossier—and how it was covered by media outlets—is but a sideshow to the main event: how the Kremlin clandestinely attacked the 2016 election to help Trump become president and how Trump and his crew aided and abetted that assault on American democracy. 

Let’s start at the beginning. During the 2016 campaign, Trump’s relationship with Putin and Russia was a key question. He often spoke positively—even effusively—about the repressive Russian leader. And in June 2016, the news broke that Russian hackers had penetrated the computers of the Democratic National Committee. Weeks later—at the start of the Democratic convention in Philadelphia—WikiLeaks dumped documents that had been swiped by the Russian cyber-thieves.

Clearly, this was a move by Moscow to harm Hillary Clinton’s campaign. Other dumps designed to undermine Democrats followed in subsequent weeks. Despite the consensus among cybersecurity specialists that the Kremlin was behind these attacks on America’s election, Trump and his top aides stridently denied any Moscow involvement—even as Trump himself publicly encouraged Russian hackers to target Clinton. (Russian hackers hours later tried to break into the servers used by Clinton’s personal office.) Roger Stone, a Trump confidante who claimed to have a backchannel to WikiLeaks, insisted that the paper-thin cover story put out by the Russians—a Romanian hacker was the culprit—was accurate.

The whole Trump-Russia thing was rotten. They were simultaneously denying the obvious and, as we later learned, hiding what they knew. Here’s some of what was kept from the public at the time:

–Trump had been secretly pursuing a tower deal in Moscow that could have earned him hundreds of millions of dollars, and the Trump Organization (via Michael Cohen, Trump’s lawyer) had privately asked Putin’s office for help in securing the deal.

–Donald Trump Jr. had been informed in early June that the Kremlin wanted to covertly help the Trump campaign. As part of that effort, a Russian operative supposedly bearing dirt on Clinton was soon sent to Trump Tower, where Trump Jr., campaign chief Paul Manafort, and Jared Kushner met with her. The Trumpers later claimed her information was not significant. But this secret meeting signaled to the Trump campaign that Moscow was aiming to help Trump on the down-low, and it signaled to the Kremlin that the Trump camp did not object to Moscow’s clandestine intervention in the election.

–During the campaign, Manafort was in secret contact with Russian and pro-Russia Ukrainian oligarchs and with a former business partner named Konstantin Kilimnik, who was identified in a 2020 Senate Intelligence Committee report (approved by the Republicans and Democrats on the committee) as a Russian intelligence officer. Manafort passed internal campaign polling data to the oligarchs and Kilimnik. That report noted that Kilimnik possibly was connected to Putin’s hack-and-leak operation that was being waged to bolster Trump. It also stated that the committee had “two pieces of information” that “raise the possibility” that Manafort himself was tied “to the hack-and-leak operations.” The report concluded: “Kilimnik likely served as a channel to Manafort for Russian intelligence services.” In April 2021, the Treasury Department went further and stated, “During the 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign, Kilimnik provided the Russian Intelligence Services with sensitive information on polling and campaign strategy.”

These serious Trump-Russia interactions were not publicly known. Yet to anyone paying attention, there was a Trump-Russia story to be had—and it seemed important. 

Running the aslyum

David Rothkopf has a few thoughts on the current inmates on the Republican side of the aisle on Capitol Hill:

The Congress of the United States is not Arkham Asylum, the psychiatric hospital and prison in Batman’s Gotham City.

Though if you watched the mad ranting of Minority “Leader” Kevin McCarthy, who spoke on the House floor for eight and a half hours from Thursday night until early Friday morning, you could be forgiven for thinking otherwise. For most of his speech there was almost no audience. For all of his speech he made no sense. His marathon babblefest achieved nothing whatsoever. But he blatherbustered on and on, full of, as Shakespeare would say, sound and fury, signifying nothing.

Censured Paul “Anime” Gosar, Louie Gohmert, Madison Cawthorn, Andrew Clyde, and the representative from Glock, the fitness trainer unfit for Congress, Senator Cornpone, etc. It’s quite a crew.

Rothkopf runs down some recent greatest hits, but the bottom line is they are not there to help anyone. McCarthy claimed a record for holding the floor “in opposition to providing hearing aids for the elderly, pre-K for children, home care for those who needed it, help for the environment, and more jobs for Americans.)”

Freedom. For those who’ve made it a worship word, it’s not freedom for anything or to do anything in particular. Just freedom. Political office is the same for many. It’s not power to do anything. Just power.

Cancelling democracy

This novelty “permit” has been on sale at gun shows for decades and represents attitudes that are not at all new.

Even as the right screams and tears its hair about cancel culture, conservatives are doubling and tripling down on cancelling democracy. Christopher Rufo (of critical trace theory fame) has a quote outstanding to absolve himself of any fallout from his incendiary rhetoric on that (Zack Beauchamp at Vox):

On Tuesday, Rufo elaborated a bit more on the project he has in mind: “It’s time to clean house in America: remove the attorney general, lay siege to the universities, abolish the teachers’ unions, and overturn the school boards,” he tweeted.

Confronted with unsavory parallels to militant fascist rhetoric against intellectuals, Rufo clarified that he was not calling for violence. “For the Godwin’s Law aficionados: remove the attorney general through resignation or impeachment, lay siege to the universities through cutting federal subsidies, abolish the teachers’ unions through legislation, and overturn school boards through winning elections,” he tweeted on Tuesday night.

Whew. Thank goodness that, post-Rittenhouse acquittal, the guys who’ve been buying and selling the stickers above at gun shows for decades won’t take Rufo the wrong way.

Patrick J. Deneen published an essay this week explaining the need for real conservatives not only to supplant a Conservatism Inc. co-opted by the left, but to crush “liberal totalitarianism.” Deneen’s “happy warrior” stance recalls Grover Norquist’s invitation to a post-election party at his Capitol Hill home. Norquist quoted Conan the Barbarian: To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women.”

Deneen explained Republicans have so far failed in that:

What is the reason for this failure? Deneen cites mainstream conservative adherence to seven liberal principles — religious liberty, limited government, “the inviolability of private institutions (e.g., corporations),” academic freedom, constitutional originalism, free markets, and free speech — as the root of its defects.

“Liberalism has become consistently more aggressive in extending each of these features to their logical conclusion — their own contradiction in the form of liberal totalitarianism,” Deneen argues. Liberalism inevitably produces “the evisceration of all institutions that were originally responsible for fostering human virtue: family, ennobling friendship, community, university, polity, church.”

“Rufo and Deneen are part of a bigger intellectual trend on the right — one in which America’s core institutions are described as hopelessly corrupted by liberal forces,” Beauchamp explains. The view is promoted now by conservative think tanks such as California’s Claremont Institute:

In a March article in the American Mind, Claremont’s blog, writer Glenn Elmers declares that “most people living in the United States today — certainly more than half — are not Americans in any meaningful sense of the term.” If Trump voters and conservatives do not band together and wage “a sort of counter-revolution” against these “citizen-aliens,” then “the victory of progressive tyranny will be assured.”

And an August essay in the Claremont Review of Books by scholar Angelo Codevilla describes a country whose government is clinging to “an illusion of legitimacy” after “a half-century of Progressive rule’s abuse” has demolished American society.

Rufo and Deneen’s stances are dressed-up versions of white backlash to a diversifying country. With demographic shifts and growing demands by traditionally marginalized groups including, most prominently, Black Americans for actual equal treatment, conservatism as a whole now reflects evangelical Christianity’s reflexive sense of persecution. When you’re accustomed to privilege equality feels like oppression.

Compare Deneen’s list of institutions fostering human virtue with the list of institutions Seven Mountains dominionists hope to seize by “overt” and “covert” means to bring about the return of Jesus. I wrote about Christian reconstructionism described in Rachel Tabachnick’s recent webinar for the Religious Coalition for Reproductive Choice:

“The goal of reconstructionism is to tear down the existing order and reconstruct a new society based on biblical law,” Tabachnick said. “Even if we assume that this vision of a theocratic America will never come to fruition, it’s important to recognize the movement’s impact on the ideas, strategies and tactics of the larger religious right and its role in sacralizing the actions of other anti-statist fellow travelers.

Consider the parallels between Deneen’s rhetoric and that from figures Tabachnick cites. Do yourselves a favor and have a listen to Tabachnick’s take on what’s happening just below the surface of our broken politics:

Tabachnick told Paul Rosenberg of Salon:

“This movement believes that rights come from God and not from any government,” Tabachnick told Salon. “Therefore, any ‘rights’ that conflict with their interpretation of God’s law are not actually rights. They are ‘humanist’ or a product of man’s laws and not God’s laws. This theme of ‘human rights’ versus inalienable rights from God has been at the center of the Christian Reconstructionist movement since its beginnings.”

She pointed to “What’s Wrong With Human Rights,” an excerpt from a book of the same name by the Rev. T. Robert Ingram published in “The Theology of Christian Resistance,” a collection edited by North. Ingram sweeps aside the Bill of Rights as “a statement of sovereign powers of states withheld from the federal authority of the Union,” and turns instead to the Virginia Declaration of Rights, authored by George Mason in 1776. 

The first section of the Virginia Declaration, beginning “That all Men are by Nature equally free and independent, and have certain inherent Rights,” is dismissed by Ingram for omitting any mention of God, as an “error of unbelief which falsifies all the rest that is said about human life.” The second, beginning “That all power is vested in, and consequently derived from the People; that Magistrates are their Trustees and Servants, and at all Times amenable to them,” he dismisses as well: “The meaning could not be more clear, nor more opposite Biblical thought. The ruling proposition of Scripture and Christian doctrine is that ‘power belongeth unto God.'” In short, there are no human rights.

I wrote this month that “well-meaning” Americans’ aversion to seeing what’s in front of them has allowed Christian Reconstructionists to move into positions of power unnoticed.

Furthermore:

“The goal of reconstructionism is to tear down the existing order and reconstruct a new society based on biblical law,” Tabachnick said. “Even if we assume that this vision of a theocratic America will never come to fruition, it’s important to recognize the movement’s impact on the ideas, strategies and tactics of the larger religious right and its role in sacralizing the actions of other anti-statist fellow travelers.”

When clips of a speech by North Carolina Republican lieutenant governor went viral this week, many will not have recognized the dominionism behind his promise that “Christian patriots will own and rule this nation.” But when he declared non-Republicans “our enemies” and the most populous state in the U.S. “Commie-fornia” [timestamp 8:10], what he put on public display was Christofascism.

This movement does not get a lot of press. The players seem too fringe for most of the media to cover. Until they storm the Capitol. While they scream the loudest about being cancelled, they will cancel democracy if that’s what it takes to retain their accustomed privilege.

Friday Night Soother

SINGAPORE — The Republic’s first giant panda cub may welcome his fans soon as the tiny tot takes his first steps at River Wonders and will cross his 100-day milestone on Nov 21.

Guests can look forward to catching sneak peeks of the cub at the Giant Panda Forest exhibit over the coming weeks before he joins his mother in her public exhibit early next year.

River Wonders was formerly known as the River Safari.

Weighing a little over 6kg – 30 times his body weight when he was born – and measuring 67cm, the cub has been showing off his crawl-walking skills to his handlers.

In a statement on Friday (Nov 19), Mandai Wildlife Group (MWG) said the cub’s mother Jia Jia “has made great strides in providing exemplary care and protection for her newborn” during the first few months of his life.

The panda cub’s name will be jointly revealed by Singapore and China next month.

MWG thanked the public for helping with naming the new cub, after it received more than 64,000 votes for suggestions.

MWG chief executive Mike Barclay said: “Together with our panda care team, we are overjoyed to be approaching the 100th day since Jia Jia gave birth to our little miracle cub at River Wonders. We are honoured to have him under our care and to contribute to his development over the first few months of his life.

“As he becomes more comfortable and independent, we expect him to join Jia Jia in her public exhibit from early next year.”

Members of the public had submitted names for the cub. These were reviewed by a judging panel made up of academics and representatives from the Chinese Embassy in Singapore, relevant government agencies and MWG.

“Looking ahead, the panda care team is preparing the cub for more health checks and his eventual public debut… conditioning him to be away from Jia Jia for longer periods of time and introducing him to new environments to help him adapt to different surroundings.

“(It) will judge when it is the right time to allow him to explore the public exhibit, where he will be exposed to new elements such as plants, rocks, slopes and visitors to River Wonders,” MWG added.

Peanut Butter Jelly Time

This one was one for the books. 2018. The jokes didn’t exactly age well …

Nothing compares to this, however:

And here’s a nice compilation. I used to enjoy seeing the Obama teens barely able to contain their exasperation at the dad jokes. Lol:

Will They Have The Courage?

It’s important to get the fact straight on our current economic situation. Its true that people are feeling the bite when put gas in their cars or go to the grocery store. Prices are higher and it’ obvious. At the least it makes people nervous. At worst it makes them downright angry and many of them are ready to blame the Democrats after years of brainwashing about Democrats being terrible stewards of the economy when the opposite is true.

Anyway, here’s Krugman on inflation:

​Early this year some prominent economists warned that President Biden’s American Rescue Plan — the bill that sent out those $1,400 checks — might be inflationary. People like Larry Summers, who was Barack Obama’s top economist, and Olivier Blanchard, a former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, aren’t unthinking deficit hawks. On the contrary, before Covid hit, Summers advocated sustained deficit spending to fight economic weakness, and Blanchard was an important critic of fiscal austerity in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis.

But Summers, Blanchard and others argued that the rescue plan, which would amount to around 8 percent of gross domestic product, was too big, that it would cause overall demand to grow much faster than supply and hence cause prices to soar. And sure enough, inflation has hit its highest level since 1990. It’s understandable that Team Inflation wants to take a victory lap.

When you look beyond the headline number, however, you see a story quite different from what Summers, Blanchard et al. were predicting. And given the actual inflation story, calls for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to cool off the economy look premature at best.

First, overall demand hasn’t actually grown all that fast. Real final domestic demand (“final” means excluding changes in inventories) is 3.8 percent higher than it was two years ago, in an economy whose capacity normally expands about 2 percent a year:

Not that much of a demand surge.FRED

It’s true that the Great Resignation — the unwillingness of many Americans idled by Covid-19 to return to the labor force — means that labor markets seem very tight, with high quit rates and rising wages, even though G.D.P. is still below its prepandemic trend. So supply is lower than most economists (including Team Inflation) expected, and the economy may indeed be overheated.

But everything we thought we knew from the past said that while overheating the economy does lead to higher inflation, the effect is modest, at least in the short run. As the jargon puts it, the slope of the Phillips curve is small. And those rising wages aren’t the main driver of inflation; if they were, average wages wouldn’t be lagging consumer prices.

So what is going on? The Bank for International Settlements — a Switzerland-based institution that is sort of the banker to the world’s bankers and has a formidable research team — argues that it’s largely about the bottlenecks, the now-famous supply-chain snarls that have ships steaming back and forth in front of Los Angeles and factories shut down for lack of chips.

What’s causing these bottlenecks? Overall demand still isn’t that high, but demand has been skewed: In the pandemic era, people have been consuming fewer services but buying a lot of durable goods — home appliances, exercise equipment, etc.:

This surge in demand for durable goods has overstressed the ports, trucking and warehouses that deliver durables to consumers, leading to rapidly rising prices for stuff whose prices normally fall over time as technology advances:

In other words, it seems to be the pandemic skew in demand, not excessive spending across the board, that’s driving current inflation.

Once you realize this, it has major implications both for our understanding of the recent past and for future policy.

First, because inflation reflects the huge surge in demand for durable goods, not the much slower growth in overall demand, a smaller Biden spending plan wouldn’t have made much difference. Even if demand had been a point or two lower, the rush to buy stuff as opposed to services would still have overwhelmed our logistical capacity.

Second, because inflation reflects bottlenecks rather than a general problem of too much money chasing too few goods, it should come down as the economy adjusts. Inflation hasn’t been as transitory as we hoped, but there is growing evidence that supply chains are getting unkinked, which should eventually provide some consumer relief.

Finally, even if inflation stays elevated for a while, do we really want to slow the whole economy because bottlenecks are causing some prices to rise? One way to describe the argument of inflation hawks is that they’re saying that we should eliminate hundreds of thousands, maybe millions of jobs because the docks at the Port of Los Angeles are congested. Does that make sense?

Now, matters would be quite different if we saw signs of a 1970s-type wage-price spiral. But so far we don’t. And for the time being, at least, policymakers should have the courage to ride this inflation out.

As American as Apple Pie

This piece called “Kyle Rittenhouse is an American” is one of the smartest pieces I’ve read putting the case into historical context. It’s by Patrick Blanchfield, a freelance writer and Associate Faculty Member at the Brooklyn Institute for Social Research. His book, Gunpower: The Structure of American Violence is forthcoming.

In 1816, Andrew Jackson, then a general in the Army, took it upon himself to unilaterally invade Spanish Florida. His target was a fortified community of Choctaws, escaped slaves, and Black former British Royal Marines. Dubbed the “Negro Fort,” this community drew runaways from as far away as Virginia, infuriating Southern planters and inspiring fears of broader slave revolts. Jackson’s force of soldiers, Creek allies, and opportunistic settler militia accordingly leveled the place and sold the surviving Black people — regardless of their prior national citizenship or legal status — into slavery. When press and congressional critics of President James Madison questioned U.S. operations in Spanish territory, Secretary of State John Quincy Adams cited a letter from a Georgia plantation owner decrying “brigand negroes — a set of desperate and bloody dogs” who make “this neighborhood extremely dangerous to a population like ours” and proclaimed Jackson’s campaign an act of “national self-defense.”

Two centuries and change later, Americans watch the trial of Kyle Rittenhouse, the 18-year-old from Illinois who last year took it upon himself to cross a border and patrol the streets of Kenosha, Wisconsin during the unrest that followed the police shooting of Jacob Blake, a Black man. Responding to a 911 call about a “domestic incident,” a white police officer shot Blake seven times in the back. As the community erupted and Gov. Tony Evers declared a State of Emergency, the Kenosha Police Department dug in. For his part, Rittenhouse, an avowed supporter of Blue Lives Matter and a would-be police cadet, self-deployed in his capacity as a private citizen armed with a Smith & Wesson M&P 15.

Walking with other militia through the streets of Kenosha on the night of Aug. 25, Rittenhouse & co. received a warm welcome from police, who tossed them water bottles and told the group, “We appreciate you guys, we really do.” At some point, Rittenhouse and one protester, Joseph Rosenbaum, had a heated confrontation that culminated in Rosenbaum chasing and throwing a plastic bag at him; Rittenhouse shot and killed him in a used car lot. A crowd chased Rittenhouse as he fled the scene; he shot again, killing a second protester, Anthony Huber, and wounding another. His lawyers insist he acted in “self-defense” after the first protester reached for his gun.

THE IMPULSE TO RECONSTRUCT THAT NIGHT’S CHAOS AS THOUGH WATCHING A 21ST CENTURY RASHOMON IS A TRAP.

Contemplating events like these during a trial, the aperture inevitably tightens to microseconds. Who was where when, who moved how, and who “reasonably” thought who was going to do what? The jury of Rittenhouse’s peers — 11 white people and one person of color — will presumably bring these and other questions to bear as they scrutinize that night’s events. Meanwhile, observers are free to speculate and judge in light of their own hypotheticals, projections, fantasies, and fears. What choice could Rittenhouse, who was 17 at the time, have had in those frenetic instants? What would you have done? But the impulse to debate these questions, like the impulse to litigate the idiosyncrasies of Wisconsin’s self-defense laws, or the impulse to reconstruct that night’s chaos as though watching a 21st century Rashomon, is a trap.

Instead of indulging those impulses, we must widen the aperture. We must interrogate what made Rittenhouse’s decision to insert himself and his gun into the situation imaginable in the first place. And not just imaginable narrowly as a choice for him, but as a story that’s legible for the rest of us, one way or another. Rather than fixating on the case’s narrow specifics or elevating its outcome into a singularly decisive referendum, we need to ask what makes the entire nightmarish story feel so uncannily familiar, even inevitable.

Despite the universal language of the Second Amendment or theories of Natural Law, armed “self-defense” has never been a truly open-to-all-comers franchise in American life. As the scholar Caroline Light has powerfully documented, American legal history is replete with laws and rulings that have first and foremost protected claims of “self-defense” by propertied white men over and against those of indigenous persons and other people of color. The European roots of American self-defense law in English Common Law enshrined the right of individual men to protect their homes qua “castles.” What that meant on the beachheads and in the homesteads of settler colonial expansion in North America was that white men could lawfully exercise lethal violence against indigenous people and African slaves. These people, for their part, had no legal right to defend themselves, and their resistance was regularly criminalized and punished by death at the hands of authorities.

Such people, who could literally be property, had a claim to exist only insofar as they did not threaten the order of property, an order which put the white man at its center, or, more precisely, made whiteness itself a defensible commodity. On a continent where ever-expanding colonization inevitably meant that settlers would claim territory that was already populated by indigenous people, this meant that the mere presence of non-white others living and thriving nearby was seen as an existential threat, resulting in vicious cycles of what the historian Philip Deloria has called “defensive conquest.” Much as how, for that Georgia planter, the existence of the Negro Fort was a threat that had to be eliminated, any given settler could inflict violence, preemptively or otherwise, in “defense” of their homestead. After all, as settlers, they were merely standing “their” ground on land that they themselves were invading.

As Light and others have demonstrated, the racial exclusions underwriting the “natural” right to self-defense had gendered dimensions as well. Enslaved Black and indigenous women had no legal right to resist torture and sexual violence by slavemasters, and courts and private citizens vigorously punished those who did. Meanwhile, white women had no legal right to defend themselves against rape and other abuse by their husbands, who, under the legal doctrine of coverture, effectively held sovereign power over their wives’ bodies. Women could defend themselves against violence by other men only insofar as, legally speaking, they were protecting their husbands’ proprietary rights of sexual and reproductive access to their own bodies. Today, even as self-defense law has become more nominally color- and gender-blind, the actual record of disparities in cases of stand your ground and justifiable homicide is stark. The right to armed self-defense may be universal, but certain persons occupy less defensible positions than others; some, as activist, organizer, and writer Mariame Kaba has said of Black women specifically, effectively have “no selves to defend.”

This is the history that underwrites today’s talk of Rittenhouse as defending himself, property, community, order, and the like. This is the history that made Rittenhouse’s choices leading up to that night in August imaginable for him, and that makes it possible for so many Americans to imagine themselves in his shoes or to express pride in him as though he was their own son. It’s the same history and context, too, that fills in the blanks when commentators like noted memoirist, venture capitalist, and Ohio Senate hopeful J.D. Vance speak in generic yet lurid abstractions about how Rittenhouse was merely defending “his community” from subhuman “thugs” and “wolves.”

And it’s the same history and context that reveals Rittenhouse as but the latest iteration in a long line of American men who have decided to insert themselves and their guns into situations in which they somehow find themselves compelled to kill. More than mere vigilantes defending themselves, these are men who, in killing, supplement formally legitimate authorities and vindicate an entire hierarchical social order by exercising their prerogative to assert ballistic control over space and dispose of the bodies of others. Their number includes George Zimmerman, who in 2012 chased and killed Trayvon Martin, the three men who chased and killed Georgia jogger Ahmaud Arbery last year (“he was trapped like a rat,” one proudly told cops afterwards), and more than a few police officers too.

Sure, in some cases such killers get convicted, despite the odds. And, sure, sometimes they aren’t even white. A crucial part of how the system works, after all, is not just that concepts like “self-defense” are ostensibly universal, but that, in a nation full of guns and socially imaginable opportunities to use them, individuals are widely invited – and sometimes compelled – to take their chances. George Zimmerman in a very real way got to be white because he killed Trayvon Martin, and after spending the money he got auctioning the pistol he used to do it now autographs bags of Skittles and sells Confederate flag art. Marissa Alexander, the Black woman in Florida who fired a warning shot at her abusive husband, got sentenced to 20 years and served three. Michael Reinoehl, the white antifascist who shot and killed a far-right Trump supporter during clashes in Oregon, was later killed by police. The system abides.

Such violence has historically been a condition of possibility for the entire American enterprise — so what does it mean to expect “justice” in that light? The outcomes of any given court proceedings are what they are, not least since all Americans, killers included, have a right to a fair trial. All Americans have that right, or at least in the same sense that all Americans equally enjoy recourse to armed self-defense: as a principled right to try their chances in practice. Whether acting out of considered choice or compelled desperation, everyone equally has a chance to find out whether they will be an exception that proves the rule or one just another instance of it. That all this tends to favor those left standing when the gunsmoke clears — and has since the very beginning — is probably a coincidence.

Rittenhouse walks

The t-shirt says “Free as Fuck” He was wearing it months ago.

Of course he walked. The law in Wisconsin requires the prosecution to disprove self-defense beyond a reasonable doubt. In other words they have affirmatively made vigilantism legal and Rittenhouse has shown the way.

There’s a lot of talk about the “culture war” and how the so-called woke left is ruining the country with its calls for diversity and inclusion. But there’s another war going on and it’s the real kind, being waged with guns and bullets. Don’t kid yourself. Vigilantism in the name of “gun rights” and “self-defense” is now legal and it’s open season on America’s streets.

This is not just about Rittenhouse. He’s a murderer and he’ll go free. He isn’t the first and won’t be the last. It’s about something much more important. Here’s my piece on this from a couple of weeks ago:

The trial of Kyle Rittenhouse, the 17-year-old who brought an illegally obtained AR-15 semiautomatic rifle to a chaotic street protest in Kenosha, Wisconsin, and shot three people, killing two of them, has the country riveted this week. The judge and the prosecutor have been at each other’s throats, the top prosecution witnesses turned out to be more helpful for the defense, and defense attorneys unexpectedly put the baby-faced Rittenhouse on the stand, where he breathlessly sobbed like a toddler. Meanwhile, the judge got a phone call as he sat at the bench, revealing his ring tone to be Lee Greenwood’s “God Bless the USA,” an unofficial Republican theme song. So the trial has been both dramatic and bizarre in equal measure.

The case is important for many reasons having to do with policing, guns, politics and the growing acceptance of right-wing vigilantism in America. Rittenhouse has somehow become a symbol of all those issues, with the country split down the middle on whether he should be condemned for carrying an illegally obtained assault weapon across state lines (he lived a few miles away, in Illinois) and killing people or should be viewed as a hero for standing up to the left-wing mob and defending himself when challenged. His childlike demeanor confuses the issue even more. How could such an innocent-looking boy have done either of those things?

The facts of the case are well known, so I won’t go into it in detail. Suffice it to say that Rittenhouse fashioned himself as a “medic” (a role for which he was entirely untrained) as well as a sort of adjunct militia member, protecting private property and supporting the police when he drove into Kenosha that night and ostentatiously patrolled the streets with his long gun. He was confronted by Joseph Rosenbaum, an ex-convict with a history of mental illness who threw a bag of toiletries at him. Rittenhouse fired his gun, mortally wounding Rosenbaum. He called a friend and said, “I just killed somebody,” as he jogged away from the scene. 

Rittenhouse was chased by several people, including one man who tried to hit him with a high kick. Rittenhouse fired at that person but missed. Another protester, Anthony Huber, attempted to bring him down with a skateboard and Rittenhouse shot and killed him too. Gaige Grosskreutz, an armed protester and trained paramedic who also chased Rittenhouse, testified that the two men aimed their guns at each other and Rittenhouse shot him as well, wounding him in the arm. Then Rittenhouse simply walked away from this bloody scene, walking right past police lines, and went home. He turned himself in the next morning. At no point did the self-styled medic try to help any of the people he shot.Advertisement:

Donald Trump defended Rittenhouse’s actions at the time, saying that Rittenhouse was “trying to get away from them, I guess, it looks like. I guess he was in very big trouble. He probably would have been killed.” The Trump administration distributed talking points urging officials to say to characterize Rittenhouse as “taking his rifle to the scene of the rioting to help defend small business owners.”

As for the MAGA crowd, the Washington Post’s Paul Waldman observed that Rittenhouse has been extolled as a hero from the very beginning, with Trump supporters raising most of the $2 million for his bail with online appeals:

On Fox News and other conservative media, one personality after another rushed to his defense….

Rittenhouse “should walk away a free and rich man after suing for malicious prosecution. That would be true justice in this case,” said Matt Walsh of the Daily Wire. “Kyle Rittenhouse went to Kenosha to clean up the filth left by the rioting Biden voters,” said Tucker Carlson ….

So try to imagine what will happen if Rittenhouse is acquitted. Trump will issue a statement somehow taking credit for it. Fox News will fly Rittenhouse to New York for triumphant interviews. Social media will erupt with joy, as millions of conservatives cry “Suck it, libs!” He’ll appear on T-shirts and bumper stickers; maybe he’ll speak at the next Conservative Political Action Conference. And don’t be surprised if Trumpist candidates start seeking Rittenhouse’s endorsement and asking him to appear on the campaign trail with them.

The trial isn’t even over yet and that’s already happening. Here is Rittenhouse’s mother on Sean Hannity’s Fox News show Thursday night:

This could be the beginning of a very successful career for young Rittenhouse. He’s already shown that he has an instinct for it. After his arraignment and not-guilty plea he was seen numerous times wearing a “Free as Fuck” T-shirt in public, accompanied by his mother and greeted with cheers from his MAGAworld fans.

This sort of vigilantism is routinely celebrated on the right these days. From the Trayvon Martin killing in Florida to the trial of Ahmaud Arbery’s killers now unfolding in Georgia, they have lined up in support for citizens who take the law into their own hands — as long as the targets are left-wing protesters and Black people. They aren’t so keen when the shoe is on the other foot.

You may recall another very similar case in Portland, Oregon, last year when Michael Reinoehl, an armed antifa supporter, got into a beef with Aaron Danielson, a supporter of the far-right group Patriot Prayer. In this case, the leftist shot and killed the MAGA supporter and Trump, according to his own account of events on Fox News, personally ordered U.S. marshals to hunt Reinoehl down:

Now we sent in the U.S. marshals for the killer, the man that killed the young man in the street. Two and a half days went by, and I put out, “When are you going to go get him?” And the U.S. marshals went in to get him, and in a short period of time, they ended in a gunfight. This guy was a violent criminal, and the U.S. marshals killed him. And I’ll tell you something — that’s the way it has to be. There has to be retribution when you have crime like this.

According to this rundown of the events by the New York Times, it’s clear that Reinoehl was unarmed at the time of his death and that marshals opened fire without warning as he walked to his car. It was an extrajudicial execution, apparently ordered by the president of the United States

It may be that Kyle Rittenhouse will be seen in the eyes of the law to have fired in self-defense. After all, he’s being tried for murder, not for being a reckless fool who should never have carried a firearm anywhere near the melee that night. Many of the TV lawyers analyzing the case believe the prosecution has not made the case for a homicide conviction. If that’s the way things play out, that won’t be the fault of the lawyers, the judge or the jury. It will be the direct result of laws that allow teenage boys to wander the streets with loaded assault weapons slung over their shoulders, as if that were perfectly reasonable in a civilized society.

Vigilantism, extrajudicial killings by federal authorities, violent insurrections, threats and harassment of public officials, and rejection of election results and the democratic process are all hallmarks of authoritarian movements. Coddling the gun fetishists and allowing right-wing extremism to fester over many years has brought us to the point when we must ask ourselves if we’re no longer a country where politics is war by other means — it’s just plain old war.