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Month: December 2021

It was not a hoax, Part XXIV

I’m collecting some of the best pieces around that are challenging this growing, pernicious “reckoning” over the Russia investigation, which the mainstream media is helping to perpetrate with useless virtue signaling that elides the bigger story.

Some people are bucking that narrative and it’s a good thing they are. Here is Jonathan Rauch in persuasion:

“To see what is in front of one’s nose,” George Orwell said, “needs a constant struggle.” Among Donald Trump’s many impressive talents is his gift for obscuring, occluding, and even inverting what is in front of America’s nose.

Most notably, he has convinced tens of millions of Americans, including a majority of Republicans, that he, not Joe Biden, won the 2020 election—which is pretty amazing, when you think about it. In close second place, though, is that he and his supporters have won the Russia narrative. They have convinced millions of people, including many in non-MAGA circles, that Trump and his campaign did not collude with the Russians in the 2016 presidential campaign; that in fact, if anyone colluded, it was Christopher Steele, the Hillary Clinton campaign, and the FBI—against Trump.

This narrative does seem to have some facts in its favor. It is true that people in Clinton’s orbit commissioned the ex-spy Christopher Steele to trawl for gossip about Trump and the Russians, that they and Steele brought his report to the FBI, that the FBI relied partly on the unsubstantiated dossier to obtain a surveillance warrant, and that two sources for the investigation have been indicted for lying to the FBI. You don’t have to be a master propagandist to weave those facts into a claim that a politicized FBI was in cahoots with Trump’s adversaries.

But you would be wrong. An exhaustive investigation by the inspector general of the Justice Department—and that would be President Trump’s Justice Department—reviewed more than a million pages of documents and conducted more than 170 interviews. The finding? The FBI’s investigation was properly predicated; it was not politicized; it predated the Steele dossier. The bureau did rely on the dossier’s unverified allegations and make some misstatements in its bid to surveil one person, which resulted in the felony conviction of an FBI lawyer. But those failings, while troubling, had no bearing on the outcome of the FBI’s investigation or anything else.

Was the dossier dodgy? Yes, but it was widely understood to be unconfirmed gossip, which is why reputable media outlets declined to publish it until Buzzfeed (improperly, in my view) dumped it all out.

Did Clinton associates and Steele alert the FBI? Yes, but that is what concerned citizens are supposed to do if they have reason to think a hostile foreign power is interfering in our election (as, of course, one was). In fact, as really ought to be obvious, Russia’s efforts to penetrate the Trump campaign should have been reported to the FBI not only by Christopher Steele, Clinton associates, and Australian diplomats, but also, and especially, by the Trump campaign.

As for those two recent indictments of FBI sources, both charge wrongdoing against the FBI, not by the FBI. They imply nothing about the FBI’s intent or conduct—or for that matter about Trump’s.

Ironically, the Steele dossier and the ensuing fiasco benefit exactly one person: Donald Trump. Steele’s material was salacious enough to be irresistible to the media and plausible enough to seem newsy, yet also flimsy enough to set up gullible media outlets for the fall they experienced. The dossier proved the perfect vehicle for Trump to redirect attention from his own misdeeds to the media’s.

The brazenness and success of this counternarrative are remarkable, because what is there in front of our nose, in plain view, is an undeniable and undenied stack of evidence that the Trump campaign and Russian intelligence viewed the 2016 presidential race as a collaborative venture. The facts are these (all according to undisputed reports by special counsel Robert Mueller, the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee, and many news outlets):

The following is the TL;dr of the investigation and it’s really all you need to remember:

The Trump campaign eagerly and knowingly accepted overtures from the Russian government to provide dirt on Hillary Clinton.

Trump publicly asked the Russians to illegally steal and dump Clinton documents, and Russian intelligence promptly did exactly that.

The campaign and its associates had at least 100 contacts and probably more with assorted Russians, including (according to the Senate Intelligence Committee’s account) ones with ties to organized crime and Russian intelligence.

Trump’s campaign manager provided internal campaign materials to a business associate characterized by the Senate report and the U.S. Treasury Department as a Russian intelligence operative.

The campaign team, including Trump, was well aware of potential plans by Russia’s Wikileaks partner to dump stolen documents, kept close tabs on it, and tried to schedule and exploit that possibility.

Trump and his fixer Michael Cohen lied point-blank about Trump’s ongoing business dealings with the Russians.

Meanwhile, at no point did Trump and his people report Russia’s activities to U.S. law enforcement; instead, according to the Senate Intelligence Committee report, the campaign was “elated” by what it regarded as a “gift” from Wikileaks.

That the Trump campaign did all of those things and more is not seriously disputed. 

Rauch goes on to present an alternate argument illustrating the point. And then he addresses the most important point in all this:

How does Trump World invert reality, when so many of the facts are undisputed? Start with the oldest propaganda trick in the book: simple repetition. Ample research and copious experience demonstrate that the more often we hear something, the more likely we are to believe it. Even debunking a claim tends to hammer it in deeper. Similarly, we are more likely to believe notions that are memorable or come readily to mind. Those biases are so strong that they can fool us even when we’re aware of them. Trump, like countless demagogues before him, exploits this cognitive quirk by incessantly repeating catchy slogans: NO COLLUSION! RUSSIA HOAX! After a while, even if we think we know better, we become acclimated to the lie. It becomes part of our cognitive furniture.

Trump and his apologists also resorted to a rhetorical sleight-of-hand. They defined “collusion,” a non-legal term, to imply that it’s synonymous with “conspiracy,” a legal offense with a high burden of proof. Then they reasoned backwards by saying that if Trump’s campaign did not commit criminal conspiracy, it did not collude, either, and so the charge of collusion is a lie.

Word games helped former attorney general Bill Barr, among others, convince the public that the Mueller report was a nothingburger, when in fact it was chockablock with evidence of Trump-Russia connections (and also strong evidence of an illegal coverup). That made room for Trump to play two of his strongest suits: reversingthe charge against him andsubstitutinga counternarrative.

From early in his career, Trump was a master at denying any charge he confronted and then flipping the script. That was what he was up to in that famous “No, you’re the puppet!” moment during a debate with Hillary Clinton. Reversal and substitution are the heart of the #StopTheSteal campaign: We didn’t attempt to steal the election, you stole the election! Mainstream media and opinion-makers have resisted Trump’s substitute election narrative, perhaps because it is patently absurd. But many sophisticated people have been confused by his claim that the FBI was the real puppet.

Even better for Trump, the Steele dossier became, in the public’s mind, the litmus test for collusion. “It presented a story of what collusion might look like,” as the former FBI agent Peter Strzok said recently. (Strzok, who was later fired and vilified by Trump, was the FBI’s head of counterespionage and led the investigations into Hillary Clinton’s emails and Russia’s election operations.) “Lost in that [was that] there are a thousand other ways, many more likely, that problematic counterintelligence behavior might exist. But everybody was focused on the dossier and it became almost a dispositive test. Did these things occur? If so, it’s horrible. If they didn’t, Trump must be innocent, and there must be no wrongdoing.”

As he concludes: “Trump’s behavior was unprecedented, unpatriotic, sinister, subversive, and obscenely corrupt. That is what we should be talking about.”

I think you cannot overemphasize the efficacy of Trump’s particular form of repetition. “No Collusion No Obstruction”, “stop the steal!”, “Crooked Hillary” etc. are very specific and people know exactly what he means. Joe Biden repeats himself too but it’s always either personal story or an abstract concept like “We’re better than this” or “there’s nothing America can’t do if we put our minds to it.” These are nice sentiments but they have little specific meaning. They don’t inculcate an explicit political message in the minds of the public.

I will say this, though. Liberal writers and pundits have actually done this well in one case recently: The Big Lie. The mainstream media uses it liberally and without any caveats. It has stuck and it’s potent. We know this because it drives Donald Trump crazy and he keeps trying to turn it around and say that “The Big Lie is a big lie” but it’s not sticking. Likewise, calling January 6th an Insurrection has also stuck and that too is driving Trump crazy. Lately he’s taken to claiming that November 6th was the real insurrection but I haven’t seen it get much uptake among his own people.

I don’t know if “The Big Lie” and “Insurrection” will have the effect that “No Collusion, No Obstruction” had on Trump’s followers but I think it has done a pretty good job of keeping normal people from engaged with the reality of what happened. So it can be done even when the political leadership doesn’t push it as relentlessly as Trump did. I think it requires pushing the media to adopt it. Just something to keep in mind as we go into what is going to be a very contentious election year.


Checking out

Chris Wallace abruptly quit Fox News this weekend, announcing on the air that Sunday would be his last show. It’s not entirely shocking. There have been reports for months that the news division of Fox News (as opposed to the full-on propaganda arm) have been unhappy. Stephen Hayes and Jonah Goldberg quit last month following Tucker Carlson’s January 6th “documentary” suggesting it was a false flag event. But Wallace is the big marquee name that gave them any claim at all to actual journalism and he’s gone, reportedly to CNN streaming.

Another long-timer signed off last week as well: Brian Williams. Whereas Wallace didn’t offer any opinion about the state of the world in his final message, Williams did. And it’s pretty good:

I always kind of liked him because he has a very quick , dry wit. But I’m sure he’ll end up doing something in the new mediums just as Wallace is apparently going to do. Meanwhile, I hope MSNBC puts Mehdi Hassan in that slot. He’s got a real feel for the zeitgeist.

And then there’s the sordid saga of Chris Cuomo being fired at CNN. I never watched his show because frankly, I couldn’t stand him. And one of the reasons I couldn’t stand him was his relationship with his brother on air, especially during the pandemic. It was unpleasant, to say the least. And it was a sign, even then, of the unethical behavior that made him use his position to help his brother with his sexual harassment scandal. He should have quit the network if he was going to act as his brother’s henchman. Completely unacceptable.

It’s quite an upheaval and probably for the best all around. I can’t say that I’ll miss any of these people but that’s just me.

They’re not only in red states

Here’s Jordan Klepper interviewing anti-vaxers in Southern California:

A lot of this anti-vax fervor started among woo-woo lefties right here in the heart of blue America. They have been out matched by the wingnuts in the pandemic, but they’re part of the Death Cult too.

The PowerPoint Coup

Last week a federal court agreed to schedule Steve Bannon’s contempt of Congress criminal trial for July of next year — just as the fall campaigns go into full swing. He must be very pleased. Bannon would like nothing more than to have a big show trial at that moment and be carted off to jail where he can write his Great Replacement manifesto.

With the news that there was a PowerPoint presentation called “Election Fraud, Foreign Interference & Options for JAN 6”, reported here by Brett Bachman, Bannon’s revolutionary proclamations on his Jan. 5th podcast have become clearer. Recall what he said:

“Mitch McConnell’s got to start taking care and focusing on these senators — because this is going to be very controversial. We are going into uncharted waters. We’re going into something that’s never happened before in American history. Tomorrow it’s going — we’re pulling the trigger on something that’s going to be, it’s going to be minute by minute, hour by hour, what happens. The stakes couldn’t be higher right now.”

“It’s not going to happen like you think it’s going to happen …Okay, it’s going to be quite extraordinarily different. All I can say is, strap in. … You made this happen and tomorrow it’s game day. So strap in. Let’s get ready…It’s all converging, and now we’re on the point of attack tomorrow.”

It’s understandable that people would suspect that he was talking about the violence that took place when Trump incited his crowd to converge on the Capitol and he may very well have been. He and the others who were plotting at the Willard Hotel in the days before the insurrection were very close to groups like the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers, who had an outsized role in the attack.

But it’s clear now that Bannon was also talking about the plans laid out in that PowerPoint presentation which included some of what we knew but also reveals some rather chilling recommendations that add more detail to what was undeniably a coup attempt. When he said, “We are going into uncharted waters. We’re going into something that’s never happened before in American history,” he wasn’t kidding.

The presentation indicated that Mike Pence had more than one way to overturn the election. As vice president, he could seat alternate Republican electors (which Rudy Giuliani and the boys were working feverishly to round up), he could reject the electoral votes of the states Donald Trump was disputing (with no evidence) or he could delay by refusing to certify until there was a recount of all paper ballots. That last coincidentally tracks with the fatuous proposal by Senator Ted Cruz, R-Tx, and 11 other senators who planned to delay the count in order to conduct an “emergency audit” in the states Donald Trump was disputing in order to “restore trust in the electoral system.” Finally, Pence could just throw up his hands and say there was no way to ever know the real outcome and throw it to the House of Representatives which would vote as if it were a tie and Trump would win under the rules that each state delegation has one vote.

None of those recommendations were remotely constitutional.

Meanwhile, the PowerPoint also recommended that Trump brief Congress on alleged foreign interference in the election, deem all electronic voting in the states invalid, declare a National Security Emergency and put the National Guard on standby. (Politico reported that Chief of Staff Mark Meadows did order the guard to be available to “protect pro-Trump people.”) Here’s a little flavor of what they had in mind:

https://twitter.com/BetsyStover/status/1470250917668605956?s=20

The PowerPoint also features some of the looniest conspiracy theories hatched in the wake of the election. One slide states that a “key Issue” is that “critical infrastructure control was utilized as part of ongoing globalist/socialist operation to subvert the will of United States Voters and install a China ally leading to another one advising the president to say the Chinese government interfered in the election as a pretext to declaring all the electronic votes invalid.

This presentation was released by the January 6th Commission because it turned up in former Chief of Staff Mark Meadows’ documents which he voluntarily turned over the committee. It took a day or so before the person who circulated it was identified — a former Army Colonel by the name of Phil Waldron, who told the Washington Post that he worked with Trump’s lawyers to put it together. Waldron said he contributed the stuff about foreign interference and he claims that he met with Meadows 8-10 times and helped to brief members of Congress before January 6th on what they had in mind, telling the Post that the presentation’s recommendations were “constitutional, legal, feasible, acceptable and suitable courses of action.” And he’s right — if you are plotting a coup in a banana republic.

Not one of the people who read this disgraceful betrayal of American democracy blew the whistle. Well, except for Lara Logan, the Fox News personality who recently compared Dr. Anthony Fauci to infamous Nazi doctor Joseph Mengele. She tweeted out a version of the PowerPoint on January 5th but nobody paid any attention because she has no credibility. And yes, it was reported in Bob Woodward and Robert Costa’s book “Peril” that Senators Mike Lee of Utah and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina “vetted” the fraud claims and determined that it wouldn’t be prudent to overturn the election. I’m sure others clutched their pearls in the Senate cloak room, worrying about how risky the whole thing was as well. Not that they said anything publicly, of course.

We knew that Trump had many different plans to overturn the election. The memos prepared by right-wing lawyer John Eastman, Trump telling Acting Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen “just say that the election was corrupt and leave the rest to me and the Republican Congressmen” and threatening to replace him with a toady, Jeffrey Clark, if he refused were just a few examples. All of this was grossly unethical.

But this PowerPoint emphasizes just how desperate they were.

They threw everything at the wall in the hope that something would stick, that enough Republicans in Congress would grab on to one of the rationales they offered and agree to at least delay the certification or overturn it outright. When Vice President Mike Pence refused to go along, Trump tried one last gambit. He sent the angry mob he’d just whipped up to march to the Capitol to give the “weak” reluctant Republicans the “pride and boldness” they needed to stop the certification. It’s why he sat on his hands for hours as his supporters stormed the Capitol.

They were never going to cooperate

Maybe it’s time for “but his emails” to be a meme. CNN has more this morning on what Mark Meadows had in his:

Former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows sent an email saying the National Guard would be present to ‘protect pro Trump people’ in the lead up to the US Capitol insurrection, according to a new contempt report released by the January 6 committee Sunday night.

It was just one of several new details in the report about Meadows’ actions before and during January 6, as well as his role in attempting to overturn the 2020 election. The resolution comes after the panel informed Meadows last week that it had “no choice” but to advance criminal contempt proceedings against him given that he had decided to no longer cooperate.

The committee notes that in one email Meadows sent to an individual about January 6, he said that “the National Guard would be present to ‘protect pro Trump people’ and that many more would be available on standby,” according to the report. The new documents come as Meadows’ role is under renewed scrutiny following his decision to cease cooperating with the committee last week.

Having the National Guard present to “protect pro Trump people” would make a plausible cover story for using the Guard presence to further intimidate Congress. As it worked out, violence by Trump supporters did that without the Guard’s help. Their delay in arrival to protect Congress enhanced the effect. Questions need answering.

Meadows was never really going to cooperate. But he was going to try to have it both ways: both to support Trump’s seditionist fantasies about alternate slates of electors and to play voice of reason, depending on the audience:

If Meadows was still cooperating, the committee also said it would inquire about a text exchange with a media personality “who had encouraged the presidential statement asking people to, quote, ‘peacefully leave the Capitol,'” as well as a text sent “to one of— by one of the President’s family members indicating that Mr. Meadows is, quote, ‘pushing hard,’ end quote, for a statement from President Trump to, quote, ‘condemn this shit,’ end quote, happening at the Capitol.”

The committee has previously sought communications between Meadows and certain rally organizers as the panel remains focused on identifying any level of coordination with the Trump White House. The report goes on to note that Meadows was directly involved in efforts to overturn the election results in key swing states Trump lost and helped push unfounded claims about voter fraud.

But on the plotters’ PowerPoint, the press is still “sleepwalking past the coup,” Eric Boehlert complains:

The coup blueprint still has not appeared on the front page of single major American newspaper, nor has any influential editorial page weighed in. Republican members of Congress have not been repeatedly pressed to explain the document and why, twelve months ago, the president’s chief of staff took a meeting with the author of the unhinged PowerPoint. Or why members of the author’s conspiracy team, just days before the deadly January 6 insurrection, spoke to a group of Republican senators and House members, briefing them on the bogus claims of foreign interference in the election.

As of Sunday afternoon, “PowerPoint” had been mentioned just 20 times on CNN in the previous week, 50 times on MSNBC, and to nobody’s surprise, 0 times on Fox News. There has not been a single network evening news mention, according to a search of Nexis.

The media’s shoulder shrug response has left Democrats perplexed and enraged. “Can someone explain to me why this isn’t the only thing in the news?” tweeted Sen. Brian Schatz (D-HI). “I deeply respect the fourth estate, but, holy shit they had a plan to just end democracy, and is the press gonna just be like “are democrats using the wrong words again?

The press had a hard enough time bringing itself to use wrong words like “lie.” Here’s a wrong word the media will have an even harder time with.

Spotless minds

Right-wing chain emails stopped arriving regularly a decade ago. The pass-it-on spam once showed up after multiple forwards, sometimes with as many as 75 email addresses attached (blind copy seemed a mystery to conservatives). My collection of over 200 still sits in the “Spam – Right wing” folder where I send it. Early on in this space, I commented:

Now, out of those 200 chain emails, maybe three or four are not outright lies, distortions, and smears. Easily debunked on Google in the time it takes to attach your email list and forward to all your friends. They are lies and, deep down, right wingers know it. Yet they pass them along dutifully, almost gleefully. They know it’s wrong and they don’t care.

The earliest in the collection date from 2005. They were a clue to where Donald Trump would later take the country. So long as the in-box propaganda smeared people your dad or crazy uncle despised, they did not care if they were spreading lies. (Maybe Russian ones?) If phony stories about liberal “attrocities” made them angry and kept them angry, they would, like any Real American™, dutifully pass them on so their friends would get and stay angry too. Trump took the model live aided by social media and bona fide Russian propaganda.

But the right-wing spam machine has not gone totally silent, the New York Times finds:

A few weeks ago, Representative Dan Crenshaw, a Texas Republican, falsely claimed that the centerpiece of President Biden’s domestic agenda, a $1.75 trillion bill to battle climate change and extend the nation’s social safety net, would include Medicare for all.

It doesn’t, and never has. But few noticed Mr. Crenshaw’s lie because he didn’t say it on Facebook, or on Fox News. Instead, he sent the false message directly to the inboxes of his constituents and supporters in a fund-raising email.

Lawmakers’ statements on social media and cable news are now routinely fact-checked and scrutinized. But email — one of the most powerful communication tools available to politicians, reaching up to hundreds of thousands of people — teems with unfounded claims and largely escapes notice.

The Times signed up for the campaign lists of 390 senators and congressman to revisit what Snopes.com prophetically filed years ago under Inboxer Rebellion. Hyperbole in fundraising pitches is standard fare for both major parties, Maggie Astor reports:

But Republicans included misinformation far more often: in about 15 percent of their messages, compared with about 2 percent for Democrats. In addition, multiple Republicans often spread the same unfounded claims, whereas Democrats rarely repeated one another’s.

“The relatively small number of false statements from Democrats were mostly about abortion,” Astor notes. But the Times review reveals “how ubiquitous misinformation has become among Republicans.” But you knew that.

The people behind campaign emails have “realized the more extreme the claim, the better the response,” said Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster. “The more that it elicits red-hot anger, the more likely people donate. And it just contributes to the perversion of our democratic process. It contributes to the incivility and indecency of political behavior.”

As I’ve observed for over a decade, this is nothing new. Except the in-box lies were once more anonymous. I suspected for years that some were being created somewhere in Russia. I have even more reason to suspect that now.

Emily Thorson, an assistant professor of political science at Syracuse, notes that given the medium’s targeting, minds are not likely to be changed by the emails, but the misinformation is more likely to be accepted more uncritically by recipients because they come from elected officials. The 2020 election-rigging lie spread that way, not “because of random videos on Facebook but because it was a coherent message echoed by a lot of elites,” Thorson said. “Those are the ones that we need to be most worried about.”

Thorsen gives the GOP base too much credit for having any critical tinking. This stuff has been circulating since before Snopes cranked up in 1994. A couple of generations of Americans have had critical thinking conditioned out of them to the point that Pizzagate and QAnon sprouted in ground carefully made fertile for conspiracy theories.

Trump world’s blanket defiance of congressional oversight

screenshot

It’s not just the January 6th Committee:

A senior Trump administration official told the House panel probing the government’s coronavirus response that he will not comply with their subpoena, escalating a fight with Democrats investigating the handling of the pandemic.

Peter Navarro, who served as President Donald Trump’s trade adviser and closely consulted on the White House’s virus strategy, cited a “direct order” from the former president to claim executive privilege, according to a letter released on Saturday by the panel.

“[T]his matter is out of my hands and something that the Sub-Committee should discuss with President Trump’s counsel,” Navarro wrote to the committee on Dec. 7, rejecting their requests to turn over documents and share other information about the White House coronavirus response by their Dec. 8 deadline.Story continues below advertisement

Navarro did not immediately respond to a request for comment from The Washington Post.

The showdown with Navarro is the first time a witness has rebuffed a subpoena issued by the select subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis amid attacks from Trump and his allies that the probe is politically motivated. The panel in September subpoenaed Steven Hatfill, an adviser to Navarro, who subsequently cooperated.

Failing to comply with asubpoena can put a potential witness in “contempt of Congress,” which can lead to escalating financial penalties and the possibility of jail time. Democrats have given Navarro until Dec. 15 to sit for a deposition and on demanded again on Saturday that he turn over relevant records.Story continues below advertisement

The panel, which was first convened last year, has conducted months of interviews with officials involved in the Trump administration’s coronavirus response, including former senior officials at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, such as Nancy Messonnier and Anne Schuchat. Democrats also have released documents and interview transcripts that they say substantiate claims that Trump officials interfered in health experts’ work and mishandled the response.AdvertisementThe House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol issued subpoenas on Nov. 22 to more people, including Alex Jones and Roger Stone. (Reuters)

Navarro has emerged as a focus of the probe because of his role advising Trump — which included warning the president in February 2020 that the administration was unprepared to respond to the virus, according to memos obtained by the panel. The panel is also interested in Navarro’s subsequent oversight of some of the government’s investments in supplies and equipment to fight the pandemic.

Democrats on Saturday said that Navarro was wrong to claim executive privilege — particularly because he had already shared information about the White House response in media interviews, public appearances and his recent memoir.Story continues below advertisement

“Your blanket refusal to comply with the subpoena in its entirety is improper,” Rep. James E. Clyburn (D-S.C.), who is leading the probe, wrote to Navarro in a letter shared with The Post.Advertisement

Clyburn warned that Navarro was putting himself at risk by refusing to comply with a congressional subpoena. “Please be advised that if you do not appear for the deposition as scheduled and produce all responsive documents in your possession by December 15, 2021, the Select Subcommittee will interpret your actions as willful noncompliance with the subpoena,” the lawmaker wrote.

Trump last month issued a statement that Navarro should not comply with a “Witch Hunt” led by “Communist Democrats.”

“I’m telling Peter Navarro to protect executive privilege and not let these unhinged Democrats discredit our great accomplishments,” Trump said in a Nov. 20 statement.

Clyburn said Saturday that Trump did not have “ultimate authority” to determine what was covered through executive privilege, particularly by issuing a “press release” that “raises a number of grievances about his political opponents” but lacks specifics.

Navarro last month told reporters that he would send the panel a copy of his newly published memoirwhich he said detailed his role fighting the pandemic. “I will be delivering a case of my new book ‘In Trump Time’ to the Committee in thanks for their invitation,” Navarro said in a Nov. 18 statement.

If the Supreme Court upholds these specious claims of executive privilege, even as these henchmen make money off of their insider tell-alls, there will no longer be any question as to whether they are nothing more than rank Trump sycophants.

This is ridiculous. The congress has a responsibility to probe the pandemic response in light of the nearly 800,000 dead people! The way it’s going there will be a million dead before we’re through, largely because of right wing propaganda and conspiracy theories being enabled and promoted by Trump’s MAGA movement. His refusal to endorse masks and wishy-washy reaction to vaccines (even as he longs to take credit for them) has produced hundreds of thousands of death among his supporters. I guess I can see why he wants to cover that up. But if the high court backs this our problems are even more severe that we think. This goes way beyond politics.

I think this Youtube about how to deal with oppositional defiance disorder is actually a good way to think about this:

Too rich for MAGA’s blood?

Trump and Bill O’Reilly started their “tour” last night and it wasn ‘t the blockbuster people had anticipated:

Donald Trump’s event with former Fox News host Bill O’Reilly on Saturday had so many empty seats that organizers closed the top bowl of the stadium.

“Thousands of people donned their red baseball caps or favorite Donald Trump T-shirts in the FLA Live Arena in Sunrise Saturday afternoon to see the former president and conservative darling Bill O’Reilly,” the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. “The crowd chanted, ‘Let’s go, Brandon’ while waiting for the two to appear. … Many seats remained empty in the cavernous arena. The top level was closed and ticket buyers were ‘upgraded’ to the lower bowl.”

Saturday’s event was the first of four that are part of Trump’s “History Tour” with O’Reilly. The tour continues Sunday in Orlando, where ticket sales have also reportedly been slow, before moving on to Houston and Dallas next weekend.

Tickets for the “History Tour” reportedly started at $100 for upper deck seats and ran into the thousands of dollars for VIP packages. The VIP packages included “floor seats, a 45-minute reception before the show, and photos with Trump and O’Reilly.”

[…]

According to the Sun Sentinel, Saturday’s event featured Trump “deriding the current president, claiming the election was stolen, and portraying the country under Joe Biden as a crime-ridden, inflation-plagued mockery overrun by foreign criminals.”

“Trump had few comments that veered from what he has often said publicly,” the newspaper reports. “But he made the occasional unrehearsed comment. When the microphone failed and O’Reilly went silent, Trump said he thought something had happened to him.”

“I thought he went down, which frankly would have been very exciting,” Trump said.

The newspaper also notes that “members of the Proud Boys white nationalists — a group that has resorted to political violence to achieve its ends — were present.”

Of course they were there. They are Trump’s brownshirts.

I don’t know that it means anything that this event didn’t fill the stadium. Trump rallies are a specific genre and they rarely fill huge venues except in the middle of a campaign. And who cares about Bill O’Reilly anymore? Many MAGA members probably don’t even think of him as part of the cult and really, he hasn’t been. It’s a weird combo.

That Crazy Powerpoint

Here’s just one little piece of it explained by @atrupar:

I’m going to do a thread on highlights from the full 35-page pro-coup PowerPoint that was circulating in Trumpworld ahead of January 6.

You can read the whole document for yourself here: https://web.archive.org/web/20210716135230/https://ingersolllockwood.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/voter-fraud.pdf

Follow along for my thread, which I’ll add to as I go.

The document, titled “Election Fraud, Foreign Interference & Options for JAN 6,” opens with a crazy conspiracy theory aimed at basically disenfranchising anyone who voted by mail.

Recall that Trump spent much of 2020 preemptively conspiracy-mongering about mail voting.

It’s odd to me that Minnesota was included among the states where the results were to be challenged. Not only did Biden carry the state by more than 7 points, but Republicans don’t control the legislature there. (The governor is a Dem and the state House is controlled by Dems.)

As evidence of “irregularities” the document cites debunked (see: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/11/04/fact-check-no-vote-counting-democrat-led-states-hasnt-stopped/6163978002/) claims that amount to insisting counting all the votes is fraudulent

This stuff about Venezuela being involved in an international conspiracy to rig the US election echoes the widely mocked claims about Hugo Chavez that Sidney Powell was pushing in November 2020

It’s not necessarily notable that people were pushing wild conspiracy theories like this after the election. What is notable is that they made their way into the inbox of the White House chief of staff and reportedly into briefings given to Trump-backing members of Congress.

Originally tweeted by Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) on December 12, 2021.

This batshit crazy stuff was circulating all over Capitol Hill, in the right wing press and, of course, in the White House. The most shocking are the Senators and members of congress who never said a word and support Donald Trump to this day.

Will Democrats run on a crisp, pro-democracy, anti-Trump platform next year? They should.

Dan Pfeiffer’s newsletter today discusses the important topic of “messaging” for 2022 in light of all we know about the coup attempt, ongoing insurrection planning, right wing violence and the overall assault on democracy. You’d think that would be enough to get people off the couch but it seems to be hotly debated among the analysts, pundits and strategists, many of whom think “kitchen table issues” and bland moderations/bipartisanship are the the keys to winning.

Pfeiffer writes:

The recent uptick in insurrection-planning from the Republicans dovetails with an ongoing debate about Democratic messaging in the 2022 election. This convergence raises the question – can Democrats run on saving democracy? Or can they at least frame the Republicans as dangers to democracy?

The Need for One Consistent Story

The modern Republican Party has no policy, agenda, or ideological mooring other than loyalty to Donald Trump’s quackery. They oppose popular, important economic policies, block efforts to get the pandemic under control, and spread dangerous conspiracy theories about vaccines and the election. It is patently obvious to anyone not blinded by partisanship or performative neutrality that the GOP should not be within smelling distance of the higher levels of government for the foreseeable future. The only question is: what’s the best way to make that case to the voters? There is a Cheesecake Factory menu’s worth of Republican failings. Choosing one is hard, but it is essential.

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Whenever I appeared on a panel or spoke with a group of Democrats after the 2016 election, I would ask the attendees a couple of questions to make a larger point about why we lost. I would start by asking people to describe Donald Trump’s negative message about Hillary Clinton. The audience would respond – sometimes in unison – with some version of “Crooked Hillary.” This was Trump’s oft-repeated moniker for his opponent. The phrase encapsulated concerns about her email protocol, her paid speeches, and decades of residue from unfair Republican attacks on her and her husband. When I asked a similar question about Clinton’s argument against Trump, the audience would erupt with a multitude of answers – “racist,” “misogynist,” “liar,” “dumb,” “crook,” “Russian patsy,” and so forth.

Each of these was factual, but the audience’s response revealed that the Clinton campaign and the Democrats at large failed to settle on a single coherent narrative about why Trump shouldn’t be president. In politics and life, the worst choice is no choice. I worry the Democratic Party is headed down a similar path in 2022.

Can Running on Democracy Work?

There is a three-part test I like to use when thinking about messaging decisions:

First, Barack Obama would begin any conversation about the message or political strategy by declaring, “Let’s start with what’s true.” The former president didn’t just mean what could pass the factchecker’s muster – although he did care passionately about that; Obama was referring to the essential truth of the argument because he believed the only messages that resonated with voters are the ones that spoke to the world they clearly saw. Now you may be saying, ‘Republicans, run on fabricated bullshit all the time.’ And if you said that, you would be correct. However, Republicans and Democrats are trying to reach different voters through different means, and therefore, what works for them won’t necessarily work for us.

The idea that Republicans are a danger to democracy and election integrity is unquestionably true. It is also true that their anti-democratic authoritarianism is the greatest danger they pose in the short term. If Republicans were to take the House or the Senate, they could stop everything Biden wants to do, but they would fail to implement any of their retrograde policy agenda. Republican control of the House and/or Senate would put them in a position to potentially deny the presidency to the legitimate winner of the Electoral College.

Now we’re talking. Do people realize what lies in store in 2024 if the Republicans take over the congress, particularly with the radical wingnuts Donald Trump is enlisting in his cause? Can anyone feel confident that they won’t do it after all we’ve seen?

But the Democrats have to be willing to look “unreasonable” and have their hair on fire to explain this to the public with the required urgency. I haven’t seen mu evidence that they are willin to do that.

Pfeiffer points out that recent polling show that young people are especially concerned (and pessimistic) about democracy an d that emphasizing that battle could persuade them to come out and vote in the midterms, which I think is wishful thinking. But it’s worth a try.

Concerns about our democracy will only grow in intensity during the coming months as Republicans become more brazen and Donald Trump comes out of hiding to begin campaigning for his hand-picked, pro-insurrection slate of candidates. 

The final test of a message’s effectiveness is about the credibility of the messenger. This is where Democrats run into trouble. If democracy is really in grave danger why aren’t Democrats doing anything about it? Why aren’t more Democrats – including President Biden– more vocal about raising the alarm? Now, there may be nothing that can be done about Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema’s willingness to sacrifice your right to vote in order to protect Mitch McConnell’s power. No amount of arm-twisting or speech-making may be enough to change their recalcitrant minds. Efforts are still underway to pass Voting Rights and I expect President Biden to become more vocal about these issues once the endless effort to pass his economic plan is behind him. The failure to take action would be a huge problem on every dimension, but I think there are two things Democrats could do to make the message about democracy more credible even absent Senate action on voting rights legislation. 

First, they could get caught trying. That doesn’t mean one vote or a bunch of procedural BS. Democrats must engage in a party-wide effort, from the president on down, to make the case for democracy reform and raise alarms about Republican intentions to subvert democracy. It means real pressure on Manchin and Sinema and a very public push to eliminate the filibuster. Democrats cannot make the case that they will protect democracy if they haven’t clearly fought like hell to do so.

We must also clearly and specifically call out the Republicans. Because if Democrats don’t, we can be damn sure the media won’t do it for us. You lose 100 percent of the arguments you don’t make and not enough Democrats are making the argument that Republicans are a danger to democracy.

Second, we should spend more time talking about preventing election subversion and pushing efforts to reform the process at all levels to prevent politicians from stealing elections. This must include votes on specific pieces of legislation that make it more difficult for Congress to reject certified state election results. Let’s put the Republicans on record as being willing to overturn the will of the voters

It’s too early to know whether this is the right message. More research needs to be done, but the stakes could not be higher in 2022. In my experience, when the stakes are high, you want to make the election about big things. And what is bigger than the fate of democracy?

I know what the Republicans would do. They’d make Marjorie Taylor Green and Lauren Boebert the face of the Republican Party and run against them and Donald Trump asa threesome. And they wouldn’t be subtle about it either.

Negative partisanship is the zeitgeist of the moment, the two parties are completely polarized and there is really nobody in the middle. The way to win is to engage your voters against the other guys, get them mad/frightened enough to get out and vote. It isn’t pretty but it’s at least a realistic acceptance of the world as it is instead of this kumbaya belief that everyone will come out and vote in gratitude for the expanded child tax credit. (I know I don’t need to remind anyone that Obama and the democrats passed the biggest health care reform since the Great Society and got their asses handed to them in 2010.)

The Dems need to go nuclear about this. Will they?

Concerns about our democracy will only grow in intensity during the coming months as Republicans become more brazen and Donald Trump comes out of hiding to begin campaigning for his hand-picked, pro-insurrection slate of candidates. 

The final test of a message’s effectiveness is about the credibility of the messenger. This is where Democrats run into trouble. If democracy is really in grave danger why aren’t Democrats doing anything about it? Why aren’t more Democrats – including President Biden– more vocal about raising the alarm? Now, there may be nothing that can be done about Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema’s willingness to sacrifice your right to vote in order to protect Mitch McConnell’s power. No amount of arm-twisting or speech-making may be enough to change their recalcitrant minds. Efforts are still underway to pass Voting Rights and I expect President Biden to become more vocal about these issues once the endless effort to pass his economic plan is behind him. The failure to take action would be a huge problem on every dimension, but I think there are two things Democrats could do to make the message about democracy more credible even absent Senate action on voting rights legislation. 

First, they could get caught trying. That doesn’t mean one vote or a bunch of procedural BS. Democrats must engage in a party-wide effort, from the president on down, to make the case for democracy reform and raise alarms about Republican intentions to subvert democracy. It means real pressure on Manchin and Sinema and a very public push to eliminate the filibuster. Democrats cannot make the case that they will protect democracy if they haven’t clearly fought like hell to do so.

We must also clearly and specifically call out the Republicans. Because if Democrats don’t, we can be damn sure the media won’t do it for us. You lose 100 percent of the arguments you don’t make and not enough Democrats are making the argument that Republicans are a danger to democracy.

Second, we should spend more time talking about preventing election subversion and pushing efforts to reform the process at all levels to prevent politicians from stealing elections. This must include votes on specific pieces of legislation that make it more difficult for Congress to reject certified state election results. Let’s put the Republicans on record as being willing to overturn the will of the voters

It’s too early to know whether this is the right message. More research needs to be done, but the stakes could not be higher in 2022. In my experience, when the stakes are high, you want to make the election about big things. And what is bigger than the fate of democracy