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Month: April 2022

This is unconstitutional

Governor Abbot puts America last

Art. I, Sec. 10

“No state shall, without the consent of Congress, … enter into any agreement or compact with another state, or with a foreign power….”

This is a direct attack on the Constitution. Abbot is doing a series of stunts to help his re-election campaign, busing immigrants to DC and shutting down the border and now negotiating with Mexican Governors.

I wish I felt confident that the Supreme Court would dispatch this immediately when it comes to them, but I don’t. In fact, if they get the right federal judges we might even see it upheld all the way down the line.

This is bad.

Update — some background from TPM:

1-Abbott ordered unnecessary extra checks on cargo coming across the Mexico border.

Abbott announced on April 6 that he was ordering new “enhanced safety inspections” of vehicles entering Texas via the U.S.-Mexico border.

Ostensibly, the checks are in response to the Biden administration’s decision to end of Title 42 — a Trump-era Department of Homeland Security order that used the COVID-19 pandemic to justify expelling migrants who may be seeking asylum.

The Texas governor marshaled the long-held fever dream that bands of drug cartels threaten the U.S. with invasion as he justified his order.

“The Biden Administration’s open-border policies have paved the way for dangerous cartels and deadly drugs to pour into the United States, and this crisis will only be made worse by ending Title 42 expulsions,” Abbott said.

The checks themselves are burdensome and, industry officials say, redundant.

“We agree that safety and security are paramount, which is why the inspections of commercial trucks by U.S. Customs and Border Protection are considered to be the best in the world,” Fresh Produce Association of the Americas President Lance Jungmeyer told Abbott in a Monday letter. “Texas has some of the most secure Commercial Ports of Entry anywhere along the U.S. border. Officers use sophisticated technology to see through the trailers and catch illicit cargo and prevent human smuggling.”

2. It’s caused huge delays, spiking food and other prices in an election year.

The result has been massive increases in delays for cargo to enter the U.S. from Mexico via Texas.

Border Patrol on Tuesday gave a sampling of how wait times have increased at different crossing points: Columbia bridge in Laredo, Texas hit a wait time of 300 minutes, compared to its usual, 26 minute average. In El Paso, wait times have been as long as 335 minutes, compared to 52 minutes normally.

Many of the trucks that are delayed are filled with perishable items, farmed in Mexico. Those includes avocados, strawberries, and other items that quickly rot.

White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki on Wednesday accused Abbott of “obstruct[ing]” the work of Customs and Border Protection, saying that “Governor Abbott’s actions are impacting people’s jobs, and the livelihoods of hardworking American families.”

3. Abbott is going beyond his powers to mess with the national economy…

What Abbott has created is a system of secondary checks, state-level restrictions added on to the normal customs controls that already exist along the federal border between the United States and Mexico. The checks, manned by Texas state police officers, exist just beyond the end of federal checkpoints.

Abbott’s policy was enacted with Title 42 in the backdrop. The end of the policy has been cited, often by those on the right, to stoke fears of a massive influx of illegal immigrants. The result of Abbott’s gambit has been to fuse the immigration issue with another national political headache for Biden: inflation.

As a result of the delays at the border, more than 80 percent of perishable goods have been unable to cross from Mexico into Texas, the Fresh Produce Association said in its letter to Abbott.

“If DPS inspections stopped today, it would take over a week for the supply chain to return to normal,” the letter reads. “Unfortunately, the loss of inventory, freshness, and sales will never be recovered, and these losses are a direct economic loss to Texas companies, and lost sales to their customers around North America.”

4…and with foreign policy.

The one instance in which Abbott has let up is telling.

On Wednesday, the Texas governor announced a deal with the Mexican state of Nuevo León: in exchange for ending the safety checks, Mexican officials will conduct their own safety checks and, critically, ensure “our 14 kilometers of border with Texas will be continually patrolled with our police,” the Nuevo León governor said in a statement.

Abbott himself has framed it as a victory not of state policy, but of national and foreign policy.

“Until President Biden enforces the immigration laws passed by Congress, Texas will step up and use its own strategies to secure the border and negotiate with Mexico to seek solutions that will keep Texans safe,” Abbott said.

5. Abbott is the true heir to February’s trucker blockade of the northern border.

Back in February, a group of Canadian truckers reached the crescendo of their protest by blocking key transport nodes along the U.S.-Canada border.

The most high-profile of these blockades was at the Ambassador Bridge, linking Detroit and Windsor. TPM reported on the Capitol insurrection attendee who took credit for thinking up the idea to use transport bottlenecks as a pressure tactic.

Abbott appears to have learned a lesson from this and innovated on it, using the power of the state to apply pressure for his own political hobby-horse. Instead of strawberries and avocados being blocked, in his rhetoric its drugs and illegal immigrants.

Threats and rumors of threats

Russia tries to appear more formidable than it is

Russian missile cruiser Moskva. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, 2015)

Earlier on the day Russia saw its Black Sea flagship sunk, it stepped up its threats against Europe (The Guardian):

Moscow has said it will be forced to strengthen its defences in the Baltic if Finland and Sweden join Nato, including by deploying nuclear weapons, as the war in Ukraine entered its seventh week and the country braced for a major attack in the east.

However, the Lithuanian defence minister, Arvydas Anušauskas, claimed on Thursday that Russia already had nuclear weapons stored in its Baltic exclave of Kaliningrad, which borders Lithuania and Poland. That claim has not been independently verified, but the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) reported in 2018 that nuclear weapon storage bunkers in Kaliningrad had been upgraded.

Lithuania was unimpressed (Bloomberg):

But Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda dismissed the threats as “empty,” accusing Russia of already placing tactical nuclear weapons in the Kalinigrad exclave on the Baltic. “I don’t know if one can deploy something anew that’s already been deployed,” Nauseda told a press conference in Vilnius.

Dmitry Medvedev, former Russian president and ally of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, said there can be “no more talk of any nuclear-free status for the Baltic: the balance must be restored.”

Balance? What balance? NATO’s GDP represents over 25 times the Russian Federation’s economy (2020; World Bank). But give Medvedev points for trying.

Washington Post:

Russia this week sent a formal diplomatic note to the United States warning that U.S. and NATO shipments of the “most sensitive” weapons systems to Ukraine were “adding fuel” to the conflict there and could bring “unpredictable consequences.”

The bluster is a sign that Putin’s attempt to erase Ukraine from the map has not only failed so far, but has backfired. Where once Sweden and Finland wished to remain nonaligned, Putin has changed their minds (New York Times):

In a rapid response to Russia’s invasion — and despite Mr. Putin’s threat of “serious political and military consequences” — both Finland and Sweden are now seriously debating applications for membership in the alliance and are widely expected to join.

Their accession would be another example of the counterproductive results of Mr. Putin’s war. Instead of crushing Ukrainian nationalism, he has enhanced it. Instead of weakening the trans-Atlantic alliance, he has solidified it. Instead of dividing NATO and blocking its growth, he has united it.

The missile cruiser Moskva was the second major Russian vessel sunk during its invasion of Ukraine. Moscow disputes that Ukrainian forces sank it with two Neptune missiles. Moscow blamed an unexplained fire on board.

Russia promises to retaliate against Kyiv at a time when, after Ukraine repelled Russian forces there, city life there was returning to some kind of normal (Associated Press):

A day after Moscow suffered a stinging symbolic defeat with the loss of the flagship of its Black Sea fleet, Russia’s Defense Ministry promised Friday to ramp up missile attacks on the Ukrainian capital in response to Ukraine’s alleged military “diversions on the Russian territory.”

The threat of intensified attacks on Kyiv came after Russian authorities accused Ukraine of wounding seven people and damaging about 100 residential buildings with airstrikes on Bryansk, a region that borders Ukraine. Authorities in another border region of Russia also reported Ukrainian shelling Thursday.

CNN reports renewed sea-launched missile strikes against the outskirts of Kyiv.

Russia has already retaliated in the Ukrainian southeast (CNN):

A spokesperson for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in southern Ukraine suggested that Russian missile attacks in the south since Thursday night were in retaliation for the sinking of the Russian cruiser Moskva.

Natalia Humeniuk said the attack had “affected not only [Russia’s] ships, but also the enemy’s imperial ambitions.”

She told a media briefing Friday that after the attack on the Moskva, “we all realize that we will not be forgiven.”

After its defeat on the ground in Kyiv, Russia has refocused its efforts to capture and hold the eastern Donbas region. “They’re coming and coming and coming,” building up for an attack, a Ukrainian lieutenant tells CNN.

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Good Friday reflections

The poor, poor, put-upons want you to shut up and know your place

When professor Elizabeth Warren was still teaching about The Coming Collapse of the Middle Class and “the two-income trap” during the aughts, she presented data on why, even with two earners in the home, Americans were struggling to make ends meet. It was not that they were spending frivolously. Pay stagnation, childcare costs, and health care inflation meant that it now takes two incomes to keep a family afloat (barely) when once it took one. And this was before the financial collapse, the Great Recession, and the election of the first black president on a platform of “Hope.”

Everyone today feels put upon. Everyone feels squeezed. People are expected to support an economy with their time and labor that does not support them in return. During the pandemic shutdowns, many discovered they could make do with less work and less stress. Americans took the advice of the ironically named Johnny Paycheck from 1977. The Great Resignation followed. Take this job and shove it.

The sense of being undervalued is pervasive in the latest focus group from The New York Times, this one with eight conservative men. Except they seem to believe the alienation the feel is unique to them:

The men didn’t see themselves fitting into American society today. They didn’t feel free to be themselves in the culture. Seven of them said they felt like a stranger in their own country…. Several felt the cost of saying what they really think is sometimes just not worth it, evoking worries among some Americans about free speech and cancel culture. And they had strong views about masculinity and gender; they seemed aware that their views are out of step with modern culture and will offend some but still felt their views were obviously correct.

Christians, too, feel themselves put upon in a diversifying culture they no longer feel able to dominate. Nearly two-thirds of Americans still identify as Christian, but that number is shrinking. It was nearly 82 percent on 2001, and higher in 1990. Like the white-heavy Republican Party’s grip on the American electorate, Christians’ sense of being confidently in control is slipping. Both groups (and they overlap) resent it.

Thus the rush by both groups in Republican-controlled legislatures and in the courts to re-exert as much white-Christian cultural dominance as they can while they still can.

Slate’s Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Joseph Stern examine an effort I’d not noticed before now:

On April 24, the Supreme Court will hear Kennedy v. Bremerton School District, a case that was carefully engineered to return prayer to public schools. Kennedy marks an effort to overturn nearly 60 years of precedent protecting schoolchildren from state-sponsored religion by flipping the First Amendment on its head. The case erases the rights of children who wish to avoid religious coercion at school, fixating instead on the right of school officials to practice their religion during the course of their formal duties. It is the culmination of a decadeslong battle to reframe government neutrality toward religion as unconstitutional discrimination against people of faith. And it is chillingly likely to succeed.

It would be a mistake, however, to view Kennedy as a mere doctrinal shift in constitutional law, as radical as that doctrinal shift would be. This case is also the product of the Republican political campaign aimed at restoring public schools’ authority to indoctrinate students with Christianity. The campaign is on the brink of success in the courts because proponents of school prayer have perfected a tactic that reverses the victim and offender.

Today, school officials who coerce students into prayer go on the offensive, claiming that any attempt to halt their efforts at religious coercion is actually persecution of their religious beliefs. Supervisors, lawmakers, and judges who attempt to shield children from being indoctrinated are recast as anti-Christian bigots.

Poor, poor, put-upon two-thirds of the population and nearly half the electorate.

The Kennedy case arose out of a Washington state football coach conspicuously holding post-game prayers on the 50-yard line. When challenged based on First Amendment grounds, Kennedy made a spectacle of it and eventually sued the school district for violating his First Amendment rights. When the case first came before the Supreme Court, the justices punted based on “unresolved factual questions.” But with the addition of Amy Coney Barrett to the team leaning toward “insisting that the separation of church and state is actually unconstitutional,” say Lithwick and Stern, the court could rule that “the government is not barred from endorsing or coercing religion in schools; it is required to do so.”

It was weird when my Catholic family moved South in the 1960s to see preachers leading prayers before high school football games (where Dixie was still a standard fight song). When I transitioned from Catholic elementary school to a public high school, it was weirder to see teachers lead prayers in classrooms. Those of us in the denominational minority (and non-Christian students) were supposed to know our places, shut up and go along. Or we “Yankees” could step out in the hall and draw hairy eyeballs from teachers and classmates.

That’s the world the poor, poor put-upons want to bring back. One where they are in charge and everybody else had best know it. And never, ever question the economic underpinnings of your sense of alienation.

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Trump and Oz

Is Trump a wizard or a fool?

Politico reports that the Dr Oz Nomination is causing some heartburn in Trumpland:

Donald Trump and close allies are moving swiftly to contain the blast radius of the backlash sparked by his endorsement of physician Mehmet Oz in the Pennsylvania Senate race.

People familiar with the campaign’s operation said they expect a number of prominent Trumpworld surrogates to soon hit the trail with Oz, demonstrating the depth of his MAGA backing. Among them are Ben Carson, who headed the Department of Housing and Urban Development under Trump, and John Fredericks, a conservative talk radio host, both slated to appear at an Oz event next week.

Others close to Trump have tried their hands at lessening the blowback to the Oz endorsement. On Monday night, Fox News host Sean Hannity invited the celebrity doctor on his show to discuss his record, amid a wave of criticism from prominent figures on the right that Oz isn’t sufficiently conservative. Hannity, according to people familiar with the matter, played an outsized role in influencing Trump’s decision to endorse his friend Oz in the first place.

“You know I read a couple articles, I got a lot of reaction to this, 99 percent supportive, ‘MAGA is shocked,’” Hannity said. “When I supported Donald Trump pretty early I got the crap beaten out of me — Glenn Beck, Ben Shapiro … and I promised people he’d govern as a conservative and he did. And I’m saying the same thing about you [Oz].”

But the night after Hannity’s segment, his fellow Fox News host Laura Ingraham did one of her own, in which she played clips of Oz’s past positions on abortion and gun laws and pressed former Trump aide Kellyanne Conway — who supports businessman David McCormick, Oz’s main GOP rival, and is working with a McCormick-supporting super PAC — if Trump’s decision was wrong.

“Kellyanne, do you think the Trump endorsement of Oz was a mistake?” Ingraham said. “Hannity I think endorsed Oz, and I think that’s probably not inconsequential for President Trump. You wouldn’t answer the question of whether it was a mistake. I think it was a mistake for Trump to endorse Oz. I’ll say it, I’m not afraid to say it.”

The dueling Fox News segments illustrate the fissures that have erupted in MAGA world over Trump’s intervention in the Pennsylvania GOP primary. And it is the latest example of how the former president’s endorsements have often added more chaos to already contentious fights to define the Republican Party during his post-presidency.

“My phone has been ringing off the hook from committee chairs in Pennsylvania saying, ‘What the heck is going on? What was President Trump thinking?’” said Army veteran Sean Parnell, the candidate Trump originally endorsed in the race, who withdrew amid a child custody battle in which his estranged wife alleged abuse. Parnell, who denied the allegations, is supporting McCormick.

Following Trump’s endorsement, social media erupted with complaints from popular right-wing figures ranging from Blaze TV’s Allie Beth Stuckey and far-right personality Jack Posobiec to longtime Trump hand Roger Stone and Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.), who recently saw his own Trump endorsement rescinded by the former president.

“It’s like Donald Trump’s staff is sabotaging Trump by convincing him to make the worst possible endorsements,” wrote conservative pundit Erick Erickson on Twitter.

Sorry, Erick, son of Erick. The Cossacks work for the Czar. If there has ever been a decision that Trump made himself it’s this one. He worships TV and thinks that any celebrity is a must win. He’s made that clear. At his rally last weekend he said that Oz had great ratings and that exactly “like a poll” that shows “people like you.” He was impressed with the crowds at Oz’s events and, of course, the fact that Oz once said Trump was in perfect health. (He likes that.) Also, Oz’s top rival McCormick said something negative about Trump once so that’s a huge non-starter. These are the criteria Trump uses when making endorsements. It’s all him.

Who are the big winners?

The Birchers are the big winners!

This piece from Bulwark writer Robert Tracinski is fascinating, not because we aren’t already well aware of this phenomenon, but because I think it truly does come as a surprise to some conservative intellectuals. They thought they could keep this genie in the bottle but let him out just a little bit to win elections. It didn’t work. It never does. This genie is too powerful:

A foundation of the folklore of the American right is the story of how National Review’s William F. Buckley, in the early- to mid-1960s, cast the John Birch Society—and by extension the entire kooky, conspiracist wing of the right—out of the conservative movement.

This was part of a larger struggle for the soul of the right. Older conservative publications such as the American Mercury, which had once been the home of such luminaries as H.L. Mencken and Henry Hazlitt, had turned into a forum for antisemitic conspiracy theories—before eventually being taken over outright by neo-Nazis. The response was an effort by Buckley and other conservative thinkers, with the help of political frontmen Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan, to create a conservative movement with more ideological and philosophical substance—one based not on conspiracy theories or mere reactionary emotions but on ideas. (Too bad he also tried to get rid of Ayn Rand.)

Looking at American politics today, it sure looks like this seminal conservative achievement is unraveling. The Birchers are back. And they’re winning.

The John Birch Society, to refresh your memory, was started in 1958 by a conservative businessman who thought President Eisenhower was secretly a Soviet agent. It had a certain kind of cracked appeal as an easy explanation for various setbacks in the early years of the Cold War. The Soviet domination of Eastern Europe, the Communist takeover of China, the Soviet development of nuclear weapons—these weren’t the results of Western mistakes, or large and difficult-to-control social forces, or just the fortunes of war. No, it was all a secret plot, and THEY were lying to you.

This worldview was tremendously popular, more popular than today’s conservatives would probably like to admit. In 1962, Barry Goldwater complained, “Every other person in Phoenix is a member of the John Birch Society. I’m not talking about commie-haunted apple pickers or cactus drunks. I’m talking about the highest cast of men of affairs.”

The Birchers had such a big following on the right that Buckley, Goldwater, and Reagan hemmed and hawed for years before breaking with them. Even then, it took repeated denunciations, combined with the Birchers’ increasing notoriety as a national laughingstock, to eventually reduce their appeal and relegate them to the crazy fringes.

Consider the elements of this history:

We have a conspiracy theory that explains everything conservatives think has gone wrong in the world by positing the machinations of a secret cabal that controls everything from the intelligence agencies to the schools.

We have the rapid spread of these crackpot theories to otherwise normal and respectable people in the rank and file of the movement.

We have an attempt to make the conspiracists into the ultimate representatives of opposition to totalitarian communism, and a corresponding attempt to dismiss any conservative critics of the conspiracists as weak-kneed appeasers handing over the country to its enemies.

We have the uneasy balancing act of conservatives in the media and in politics who don’t want to denounce the crackpots for fear of angering their party’s base.

Isn’t this also precisely the state of conservatism today?

We tend to think that our culture war is something new, rising out of the unique challenges of our own era. But you’d be surprised how much of it is just the same old culture war being endlessly rehashed.

Today’s equivalent of the John Birch Society is the QAnon conspiracy theory, an online grift that got out of hand and became a worldview. It posits its own spectacularly implausible conspiracy theory: That there is a global network of pedophiles who secretly run the world and control our politics so that they can abuse children. This conspiracy theory has in turn spawned other conspiracy theories which claim that the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump. It is currently being mainstreamed in attacks on Disney as a corporation bent on “grooming” children to prepare them for exploitation by pedophiles.

And where are today’s conservative leaders, the intellectuals and politicians, the Buckleys and Reagans, who have the authority to shut this down?

Well, Ben Sasse wrote a piece once. But most of today’s conservative and Republican leaders are actually trying to hitch themselves to the new John Birchers.


Donald Trump famously refused to denounce the QAnon crazies, describing them only as people who are “against pedophilia”—the most flattering possible description of the group. It’s like saying that the John Birchers were “against communism.” In both cases, the actual salient characteristic of these groups is their wild, paranoid, evidence-free conspiracy theories.

Trump’s sympathy for QAnon helped ease it into the conservative mainstream, and we can see the results in two recent incidents.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is the leading candidate to become the “sane Trump”—a Republican who can harness Trump’s populist appeal, but in a disciplined and calculating way. But after DeSantis’s defenders rushed out to assure everyone that his bill targeting teachers was not a “Don’t Say Gay Law” and was not animated by anti-homosexual bias, his press secretary Christina Pushaw declared that the bill “would be more accurately described as an Anti-Grooming Bill,” adding, “If you’re against the Anti-Grooming Bill, you are probably a groomer.” A “groomer,” for those who are fortunate enough not to know, is a child predator who manipulates his victims to prepare them to accept abuse.

So much for being the “sane Trump.”

The idea that gay teachers are predators preparing to groom children is an old trope with a history in Florida. You may recall that previous iterations of the culture war attempted to ban homosexuals from teaching jobs. But more significant is the way this claim taps into the QAnon conspiracy theory. The whole base of QAnon is the dangerous delusion that their enemies are all secret pedophiles. This is the line that has been taken up by conservatives and endlessly repeated, including in a conservative campaign to boycott the Walt Disney Company (and also to subject it to land-use and antitrust regulations) as a political reprisal for opposing the Florida law. And why not if, as authoritarian conservative Rod Dreher puts it, Disney has “gone groomer”?

Taking a bill with many serious problems—a vaguely worded restriction and an enforcement mechanism designed to facilitate legal harassment—and characterizing any criticism of it as “grooming” and as support for pedophiles and “predators” has created an atmosphere of constant, vicious defamation aimed at any and all opponents. This is being egged on, of course, by the usual unscrupulous carnival barkers.

This mode of conspiracy thinking was also reflected in the scurrilous conduct of the Senate hearings for Ketanji Brown Jackson, when Senator Josh Hawley pandered to the QAnon vote by trying to portray the judge’s past sentencing work as “soft on pedophiles.” Many people, including conservative authors such as National Review’s Andrew McCarthy, have debunked the smear, showing that Judge Jackson’s sentences were in line with the consensus view of other judges.

But once given this talking point, the crazies will chant it forever as if it is the gospel truth. Except that practically everyone is one of the crazies now. Hence the spectacle of Mollie Hemingway, of the Federalist and Fox News, trying her hardest to imply that Mitt Romney is a secret pedophile.

Which makes as much sense as Eisenhower being a secret communist.

From the top down, the Birchers have won. They now own the conservative movement and the Republican party.

This is true. And there seems little push back from any remaining “conservatives” in the party for some reason, Why is that?

Trump 2.0 signs bill to force little girls to give birth to their father’s child

These are the people who claim to be all about “the children.”

Keep in mind they also want to stifle sex education in schools so 12 year old girls impregnated by their father won’t understand what’s happening to them in the brief time frame they’re allowed to have an abortion.

This man is dangerous. Very dangerous. He’s got all the worst attributes of Trump but he has brains. The fact that his instincts are telling him to push the culture war this hard makes me very nervous. Recent polling shows him at a 58% approval rating.

Of course, when it comes to abortion, he’s not the only one:

Kentucky Republicans overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto Wednesday night on an abortion law so restrictive that the state’s few remaining clinics will no longer be able to operate. It’s effective immediately.

Abortion rights groups plan to challenge the law in court. 

Planned Parenthood’s Kentucky state director Tamarra Wieder said that provisions in the law forcing providers to be certified by the state Board of Pharmacy before they dispense abortion medication and requiring the burial or cremation of fetal remains make it impossible for clinics to continue providing services, according to Reuters

In his veto, Beshear made the practical effects of the draconian law clear. 

“House Bill 3 contains no exceptions or exclusions for pregnancies caused by rape or incest,” he wrote. “Under House Bill 3, a 12-year-old child that is raped and impregnated by her father would not have the option of a procedure without both the consent of her mother and without also notifying her rapist — her father — at least 48 hours prior to obtaining a procedure or by petitioning a circuit or district court for a hearing…” 

“Furthermore,” he added, “House Bill 3 is likely unconstitutional.” 

Republican-controlled legislatures have been chomping at the bit to make abortion even less accessible in their often already intensely restrictive states, with Oklahoma earlier this month rolling out a law that would make it a felony for a provider to perform an abortion. The Oklahoma law was in part a response to the Texans flooding into the state seeking care, a direct result of their own state’s new legislation that creates a monetary-based incentive system for private individuals to turn over their neighbors who “aid and abet” post-six week abortions.

Conservatives on the Supreme Court made clear in oral arguments over a 15-week Mississippi ban that they are prepared to overturn Roe v. Wade, a decision expected to come this summer. In response, Republican-controlled states have queued up swaths of new abortion restrictions on top of the short bans and trigger laws many already have on the books that will go into effect the second Roe falls.

Trump says “people won’t take it” if he’s indicted

Yes, it’s a threat

He’s probably right about nothing happening but I can’t help but think it’s at least partially because of the threat of his armed followers deciding to do something violent. It’s got to be part of their calculation.

What we shouldn’t take is four more years of this sophistry but I’m afraid we might be forced to:

Notice that Hannity, as usual, doesn’t even bother to try to pin him down.

But apparently many people are just fine with this and will happily put him back in charge.

Update – speaking of sophistry

I mean, come on. This was 2020:

Aaaand:

Musk wants to buy twitter

And he wants to change it

I’m not too worked up about this … yet. If twitter turns into a full-fledged right wing hellhole it’s fine. I don’t have to participate any more than I participate in Gab or Gettr or Truth Social or any of the other right wing platforms. But it’s depressing that a single rich person could have this much power to affect the global discourse

Elon Musk has launched a takeover bid for Twitter, offering to buy it for $54.20 a share, just weeks after he became the social media company’s largest shareholder.

Mr. Musk said this was a “best and final offer,” representing a 54 percent premium over the day before he began investing in the company in late January, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. It would value the company at about $43 billion.

In the filing, Mr. Musk said “I don’t have confidence in management” and that he couldn’t make the changes he wanted in the public market.

If the offer is not accepted, Mr. Musk said, he would “need to reconsider my position as a shareholder,” according to a letter sent to Bret Taylor, Twitter’s chair, on April 13 and enclosed in the filing. “Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”

Morgan Stanley is Mr. Musk’s financial adviser for the bid, according to the filing.

On April 4, a regulatory filing revealed that Mr. Musk, the billionaire chief executive of Tesla and SpaceX and the world’s richest man, had bought a 9.2 percent stake in Twitter. The next day, Twitter announced Mr. Musk would join its board, but by the end of the week he rejected the offer.

“I invested in Twitter as I believe in its potential to be the platform for free speech around the globe, and I believe free speech is a societal imperative for a functioning democracy,” Mr. Musk said in the letter to Mr. Taylor sent on April 13.

“However, since making my investment I now realize the company will neither thrive nor serve this societal imperative in its current form,” he wrote. “Twitter needs to be transformed as a private company.”

Yeah, I’m just a teensy bit skeptical that an eccentric asshole billionaire is the right guy to be making those decisions. Let’s just say that “free speech” always sounds good to these people until it threatens their power. Then …

Dianne Feinstein should resign

It’s past time

She will be 89 in a couple of months:

The Chronicle spoke to four U.S. senators, including three Democrats, three former members of Feinstein’s staff, and one California Democrat in Congress about how the longtime senator has been losing her memory, that she often fails to recognize colleagues, and that she is no longer able to engage with the job in the way she used to.

The California Democrat recounted a recent exchange in which they had to reintroduce themselves to Feinstein several times over the course of a single conversation, and that Feinstein kept repeating questions, like asking what mattered most to voters in the lawmaker’s district. “I have worked with her for a long time and long enough to know what she was like just a few years ago: always in command, always in charge, on top of the details, basically couldn’t resist a conversation where she was driving some bill or some idea. All of that is gone,” they said. “She was an intellectual and political force not that long ago, and that’s why my encounter with her was so jarring. Because there was just no trace of that.”

“It’s bad and it’s getting worse,” added a Democratic senator, noting that Feinstein has had difficulty keeping up conversations.

One staffer for a California Democrat said there’s a joke on Capitol Hill that Democrats have “a great junior senator in Alex Padilla and an experienced staff in Feinstein’s office.”

Sen. Padilla was one of a handful of Democrats who defended Feinstein’s cognitive abilities to the Chronicle. So did Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). Pelosi said it was “unconscionable that, just weeks after losing her beloved husband of more than four decades and after decades of outstanding leadership to our City and State, she is being subjected to these ridiculous attacks that are beneath the dignity in which she has led and the esteem in which she is held.”

The Chronicle notes its sources’ comments about Feinstein’s declining mental acuity took place before her husband’s death in late February. Feinstein said in a statement to the Chronicle on March 28 that the “last year has been extremely painful and distracting for me, flying back and forth to visit my dying husband who passed just a few weeks ago.”

Feinstein has her defenders, but even those questioning her fitness to serve acknowledged that it was hard to do so because of the immense respect they have for her and what she’s accomplished over the decades she served in Congress. The Intercept’s Ryan Grim spoke to a Democratic staffer who was a little more blunt in their appraisal of the situation. “Feinstein’s decline is an open secret on the Hill and anyone claiming otherwise is a liar,” the staffer said.

This isn’t the first time concern has been raised over Feinstein’s ability to carry out her job. The Chronicle points to 2020 when it was possible that she could head up the Senate Judiciary Committee should Biden win and Democrats control the Senate (Sen. Dick Durbin is the current chair). She told the Los Angeles Times at the time that she didn’t believe her cognitive abilities had declined, but that she “quite possibly” forgot things.

Feinstein would be third in line for the presidency if Democrats retain control of the Senate in November, as Sen. Patrick Leahy’s retirement would make her Senate pro tempore. The only way Feinstein could be removed from office is through her retirement or a two-thirds vote in the Senate. Her term is up in 2024.

It’s been obvious that she’s not what she once was for a while. She should resign and let the voters choose someone new in November.

“A little aneurysm of reality”

Why not believe the deep state has replaced birds with surveillance drones?

“Paranoia strikes deep” goes back to 1967. Continuing on a theme from my post below, The Guardian profiles Peter McIndoe. As a prank on the weekend of the 2017 Women’s Marches, he brought to a right-wing counter-protest in Memphis an absurdist sign satirizing conspiracy thinking:

That statement was “birds aren’t real”. As he stood with the counterprotesters, and they asked what his sign meant, he improvised. He said he was part of a movement that had been around for 50 years, and was originally started to save American birds, but had failed. The “deep state” had destroyed them all, and replaced them with surveillance drones. Every bird you see is actually a tiny feathered robot watching you.

Someone was filming him and put it on Facebook; it went viral, and Memphis is still the centre of the Birds Aren’t Real movement. Or is it a movement? You could call it a situationist spectacle, a piece of rolling performance art or a collective satire. MSNBC called it a “mass coping mechanism” for generation Z, and as it has hundreds of thousands of followers on social media, “mass”, at least, is on the money.

It’s the most perfect, playful distillation of where we are in relation to the media landscape we’ve built but can’t control, and which only half of us can find our way around. It’s a made-up conspiracy theory that is just realistic enough, as conspiracies go, to convince QAnon supporters that birds aren’t real, but has just enough satirical flags that generation Z recognises immediately what is going on. It’s a conspiracy-within-a-conspiracy, a little aneurysm of reality and mockery in the bloodstream of the mad pizzagate-style theories that animate the “alt-right”.

We’re gonna need a bigger rabbit hole.

Fortunately, high-schoolers get it almost immediately. But McIndoe, an Arkansas native and product of a “home-school environment,” is able to easily punk “sub-Rush Limbaugh local radio shock-jocks” into putting him on the air:

It’s a vivid dramatisation of how divisive conspiracy theories are; people who believe them live in another world, where any wild theory flies and even the most fleeting attempt to fact check it or test it against logic (if birds have been destroyed, who’s eating all the worms?) marks you out as a brainwashed liberal. People who don’t believe them cannot think themselves into the headspace of those who do. Then along comes a guy with a sign, and maybe he’s not bridging this implacable divide, but he’s certainly disrupting it.

Those who participate in “Birds Aren’t Real” for fun are engaged in “a collective role-playing experiment.” Those from the right who know it’s a prank “think that we are the CIA, we’re put out there as a weapon against conspiracy theorists.” Even knowing it’s a joke feeds their paranoia. It’s their God-given right in America to believe the unreal is real and to reject The Enlightenment. McIndoe fears “the lunacy is going to become more intense.”

People in an age of chaos are eager to find a single, simplifying theory for making sense of it. They reach for any explanation.

Again, that familiar Voltaire paraphrase about absurdities and atrocities here and here and here and here.

But of course, Voltaire worked for the CIA.

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