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Month: June 2022

Playing chicken with the republic

White nationalist extremists expect the rest of us to blink first

A vehicle involved in a head-on crash, Dec. 9, 2015 after a game of “chicken.” Orange , CT Police.

Three months after the golden escalator ride that changed the world, Rep. John Boehner announced his retirement from Congress. Frank Bruni speculated that what provoked Boehner’s exit was the “uncertain future of his pathologically self-destructive party.”

“One of our two major political parties is hostage to an extreme subgroup that won’t brook compromise, values theatrical protests over actual governing and is adolescent in its ideological vanity,” Bruni wrote in the New York Times and listed a catalogue of political sins.

Of Donald Trump, historian Rick Perlstein cautioned, “Take demagogues seriously. Voters love them. And they’re only a joke until they win.”

I’ve cautioned since at least 2013 that if white conservatives could not have their beloved country for their very own, they just might murder it. On Jan. 6, 2021, they tried.

This afternoon, the House Select Committee on the Jan. 6 Attack on the Capitol will provide more details behind the planning and attempted execution of our creaky democracy.

David Rothkopf, paraphrasing Mark Twain at the Daily Beast, believes rumors of the death of our democracy are greatly exaggerated. He finds four reasons to believe the republic will survive these dark hours. Even some of the most reptilian advisers “drew the line at overthrowing the government, stealing an election, and defrauding the American people.”

Rothkopf is being generous. Not lifting a finger or uttering a public syllable to stop “Team Crazy” is not a profile in courage. Still, the institutions of government, the Deep State in some circles, held. But having weakened the castle wall, the Team Insurrection has an obvious spot to reapply its battering ram in 2024.

“Secondly, as the hearings have also demonstrated, a growing number of Republicans are willing to go on the record to challenge Donald Trump,” Rothkopf continues. Republicans on the Jan. 6 panel, Reps. Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger put their political careers on the line to stop the real steal “simply because it was what needed to be done.”

Amidst the legislative rancor and chaos, Rothkopf see finds hope in the proposed gun legislation that Republicans and Democrats may yet find a skosh of agreement for producing something, anything positive from their federal paychecks.

Finally, Rothkopf hold hope that the public airing of the facts surrounding the coup attempt may yet move the public needle towards preserving the republic instead of burning it to the ground:

A recent Morning Consult/Politico poll showed that “most voters believe DOJ should take action against officials who attempted to overturn election results.” In the poll, two-thirds of voters held this view—including 86 percent of Democrats, 64 percent of independents, and about half of all Republicans. Nearly six in ten of those polled believe former President Trump is “very” or “somewhat” responsible for the events of Jan. 6. Finally, importantly, about half of all voters said the events of Jan. 6 would affect how they voted in November. The story is not a good one for those threatening democracy, and we are just in the early days of the hearings, so these findings are quite encouraging.

The threats against our system are grave. Active efforts to promote “the Big Lie” and steal elections continue. According to a Washington Post tally, “more than 100 GOP primary winners back Trump’s false fraud claims.” If they win in November—particularly those vying for state jobs that certify or decide election outcomes—free and fair elections might soon become a thing of the past in the U.S.

We have yet to see how much the enemies of diversity have undermined the foundations of our democratic processes. Rothkopf does not allow that fact to cloud his optimism.

White nationalists at the Unite The Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia on August 12, 2017. Robert Dunning/flickrCC BY-NC-SA

The country feels as if two cars face each other on an open road preparing for a game of chicken. There is more afoot than Machiavellian plotting inside the Beltway.

Slate’s Christina Cauterucci sees in the Patriot Front arrests in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho, and the Proud Boy disruption of a Pride event at a Bay Area library, the consequences of relentless conservative demagoguery against anyone nonconforming to a white, straight, Christian vision of America. To keep anger burning hot and bright, bigots have pivoted from Blacks and Browns and Asians to non-straight ones:

Conservatives have used that narrative to validate regular old homophobia and transphobia, giving cover to Republicans who wish to turn voters against LGBTQ rights or simply drum up votes from their base by tapping into a moral panic. But it also appeals to white nationalist extremists, who see queer and trans people as a threat to the patriarchal, fascist state they seek to establish, and are willing to embrace violence against them.

There may yet be consequences for those who promoted the Big Lie and a violent insurrection. But in this game of chicken, right-wing extremists, armed and amped-up, expect defenders of democracy will blink first and allow them to turn the United States into Augusto Pinochet’s Chile. Gov. Ron DeSantis is already experimenting with Florida.

Pray the country pays heed to the dangers the House Select Committee exposes in its hearings. Pray too there are enough Americans left who believe in more of the founding documents than the 2nd Amendment. Pray there is enough unrigged democracy left for their votes and efforts to make a difference.

Battered and exhausted, small-d democrats have to care at least as much as those screaming in our faces to get the hell out of their country.

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It’s not over

In fact it’s just begun

This from Dan Pfeiffer really can’t be emphasized enough:

There is a general narrative within the mainstream political press that only the most-Trumpy Republicans believe the Big Lie. The idea is that Republican politicians afraid of the wrath of Trump, Tucker Carlson and others are doing MAGA-karaoke solely for political survival. The GOP winks and nods at Trump; and the press covering these Republicans winks and nods as well. It’s all a big joke.

This mentality was embodied by a quote given to the Washington Post after the election (but before January 6th):

What is the downside for humoring him for this little bit of time? No one seriously thinks the results will change. He went golfing this weekend. It’s not like he’s plotting how to prevent Joe Biden from taking power on Jan. 20. He’s tweeting about filing some lawsuits, those lawsuits will fail, then he’ll tweet some more about how the election was stolen, and then he’ll leave.

It wasn’t fear of a mean tweet that led Republicans to “humor” Trump. Control of the Senate was up for grabs in the two Georgia special elections. Mitch McConnell and others were afraid to anger Trump and deflate his base. Abiding by the Big Lie was the cost of possibly winning the Senate. In the end, this cynical dishonesty led to the assault on the Capitol and the loss of life.

However, no lessons were learned.

Despite a brief moment where most in the party condemned Trump, there was no impeachment, no accountability, and the party continues to stand by Trump. But it gets worse. If in 2020, the Republicans “humored” Trump in his efforts to steal the election, in 2022, they are actively helping him do it.

Insurrection 2.0

Across the country, the Republican Party is recruiting, backing, and funding candidates who push the Big Lie. According to an account in the Washington Post:

District by district, state by state, voters in places that cast ballots through the end of May have chosen at least 108 candidates for statewide office or Congress who have repeated Trump’s lies. The number jumps to at least 149 winning candidates — out of more than 170 races — when it includes those who have campaigned on a platform of tightening voting rules or more stringently enforcing those already on the books, despite the lack of evidence of widespread fraud.

In Michigan, a GOP candidate for governor was just arrested in their home for participating in the insurrection. Doug Mastriano, the Republican gubernatorial nominee in Pennsylvania, ran on a promise to award Pennslvania’s 19 electoral votes to the Republican nominee no matter whom the voters choose. The Republicans roaming the halls of Congress either openly question the integrity of the election or refuse to answer the question. Very few, if any, are willing to state the simple incontrovertible fact that Joe Biden is the legitimate President of the United States.

The emergence of Mastriano and his ilk is often portrayed as a victory for the MAGA extremists. A victory over the more staid and grounded Republican establishment. However, that’s bullshit. This is a difference in approach, not outcome. The Republican Party is perfectly comfortable with overturning the next election, but wish the MAGA-wing would be more subtle in their approach. McConnell’s view is that real insurrectionists move in silence (like lasagna).

Former Trump campaign consiglieri Steve Bannon promised to take over the “election apparatus” precinct by precinct across the country. Bannon is a bigoted blowhard infatuated with the sound of his own voice.

But Bannon’s threat isn’t empty. Based on video tapes acquired by Politico, the Republican National Committee is implementing his plan. According to the report:

Video recordings of Republican Party operatives meeting with grassroots activists provide an inside look at a multi-pronged strategy to target and potentially overturn votes in Democratic precincts: Install trained recruits as regular poll workers and put them in direct contact with party attorneys.

The plan, as outlined by a Republican National Committee staffer in Michigan, includes utilizing rules designed to provide political balance among poll workers to install party-trained volunteers prepared to challenge voters at Democratic-majority polling places, developing a website to connect those workers to local lawyers and establishing a network of party-friendly district attorneys who could intervene to block vote counts at certain precincts.

This isn’t some MAGA faction of the party or a grifting pro-Trump Super PAC. TheRepublican National Party apparatus, run by Mitt Romney’s niece, requires the full cooperation and support of Mitch McConnell, Kevin McCarthy, Republicans in Congress and statehouses. The Republicans are not only complicit out of cowardice, they are active participants in the plot to steal the 2024 election. Trump is a very specific threat to the country. He should be in a federal penitentiary not the White House, but he is also a potential distraction. As these hearings progress, we must look beyond Trump and January 6th. The threat is ongoing, and more grave than it was in 2020.

I hope they are able to leverage the attention they are getting to inform the public about this. But I don’t know if they’ll be able to. Certainly the Democratic party should be hammering it but I don’t know if they want to. I hope they do. Nothing is more important.

Megyn Kelly is still an awful person

Not that we ever thought she wasn’t…

They really are coming for trans kids — and LGBT people in general:

Megyn Kelly accused Fox News of betraying its “mission” over the network’s decision to air a report about a transgender child.

On Friday morning, the network aired a segment about 14-year-old Ryland Whittington, who identifies as a transgender boy. The network did so to celebrate “diversity” for “LGBTQ+ PRIDE MONTH,” per a graphic on America’s Newsroom.

The story drew immense and immediate backlash from many conservatives.

Kelly, a former Fox News prime time host, joined Newsmax TV’s The Balance on Tuesday to talk about the story with host Eric Bolling.

“If you look at the history of transgender – gender dysphoria, it affects mostly, almost exclusively, little boys who think that they’re actually girls,” she said.

Kelly said roughly 70% of children experiencing gender dysphoria will grow out if it. She then ripped her former network for what she categorized as irresponsible reporting. Kelly said,

In the Fox News segment, Ryland’s mother Hillary Whittington invoked high rates of suicides for transgender people.

“I’d rather have a living son than a dead daughter,” she told the network.

Kelly described Fox’s decision to quote her verbatim as “dangerous.”

“That’s a very dangerous trope, because this is used by the LGBTQ activists to shame parents who know about that 70% statistic, that generally, if I stay out of it, my kid’s going to outgrow this, and in many cases, they just turn out to be gay,” she said.

Kelly added,

To not flag the significant downsides of what happens to these kids when they’re put on puberty blockers, when they’re put on cross gender hormones – by the way, when that’s done two girls, they’re sterile, they can’t have children anymore – and you can go down the list is irresponsible to their mission. I mean, I don’t expect any of the mainstream press to do it.

She is clueless and cruel. And she is also a right wing hack if there ever was one. She makes it clear that the Fox news “mission” is to transmit right wing propaganda. But you knew that too.

Cowboy for Trump interferes with election results

This is what will happens when all these conspiracy theorists take over the election machinery

Get ready for the crazy:

Otero County is once again facing an election scandal as the Republican-controlled county commission is threatening to throw out over 7,000 votes by refusing to certify the results of the June 7 primary.

“Democratic Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver on Tuesday asked the state Supreme Court to order the three-member Otero County commission to certify June 7 primary election results to ensure voters are not disenfranchised and that political candidates have access to the general election ballot in November,” the Associated Press reported Tuesday. “On Monday, the commission in its role as a county canvassing board voted unanimously against certifying the results of the primary without raising specific concerns about discrepancies, over the objection of the county clerk.”

The county counted 7,123 votes in the state’s gubernatorial primaries.

“Members of the Otero County commission include Cowboys for Trump co-founder Couy Griffin, who ascribes to unsubstantiated claims that Trump won the 2020 election. Griffin was convicted of illegally entering restricted U.S. Capitol grounds — though not the building — amid the riots on Jan. 6, 2021, and is scheduled for sentencing later this month. He acknowledged that the standoff over this primary could delay the outcome of local election races,” the AP reported.

The complaints over the primary stem from GOP conspiracy theories about Dominion voting machines.

Trump won over 60% of the vote in Otero County in 2020, but Griffin conducted a door-to-door “audit” anyway.

“The post-election canvassing process is a key component of how we maintain our high levels of election integrity in New Mexico and the Otero County Commission is flaunting that process by appeasing unfounded conspiracy theories and potentially nullifying the votes of every Otero County voter who participated in the primary,” the secretary of state explained.

The watchdog group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington filed a lawsuit in March seeking to have Griffin removed from office.

Griffin was at the Capitol on January 6 and he was convicted on one misdemeanor count. But sure, this guy should be in charge of vote certification.

This wonderful fellow:

The founder of the Cowboys for Trump political support group in a live Facebook video urged people who support performances of the Black national anthem at football games to “go back to Africa” and condemned as “vile scum” people who portray the Confederate flag as racist.

There are a lot more where he came from:

Jim Marchant, one of the organizers of a Trump-inspired “America First” slate of candidates who continue to question the legitimacy of the 2020 election, easily won the Republican nomination for secretary of state in Nevada, a key political battleground.

His victory was called by The Associated Press.

Mr. Marchant, who was also a member of Nevada’s alternate slate of pro-Trump electors seeking to overturn Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s victory in the state in 2020, has said he would have refused to certify that year’s election had he been in office.

In his push to become Nevada’s top election official, he has proposed decertifying Dominion voting machines and pushing for the hand counting of paper ballots, which experts say would bring lengthy delays and chaos to the voting process.

In the general election, he will face Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer who once worked for former Senator Harry Reid, in what will be a closely watched race that could hinge on the outcome of Senator Catherine Cortez Masto’s re-election bid. Down-ballot races for offices like secretary of state have often — though not always — closely mirrored results for top-of-the-ticket elections.

A former state assemblyman, Mr. Marchant unsuccessfully ran for Congress in 2020. But rather than concede a race he lost by more than 16,000 votes, or about 5 percentage points, he blamed fraud for his loss, filing a lawsuit that echoed many debunked claims about the 2020 election that Republicans put forward elsewhere.

A red wave will sweep people like this into office. And then Donald Trump will be president again. Don’t think it can’t happen.

About that Capitol tour

Why would you take pictures of stairways and security checks?

Yeah:

People who joined Georgia GOP Rep. Barry Loudermilk for a Capitol complex tour on Jan. 5, 2021 photographed and recorded places “not typically of interest to tourists, including hallways, staircases, and security checkpoints,” according to materials released Wednesday by the Jan. 6 select committee.

“The behavior of these individuals during the January 5, 2021 tour raises concerns about their activity and intent while inside the Capitol complex,” panel chair Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.) wrote in a letter to Loudermilk, renewing their request for testimony.

The video footage and new details released by the panel underscored lawmaker concerns that surfaced in the days after the Jan. 6 attack: that large tour groups appeared to surveil areas of the building a day before a violent mob smashed its way inside the Capitol. The select committee has evidence that at least one member of Loudermilk’s group returned to the Capitol the following day and recorded an ominous video message aimed at Democratic lawmakers.

“There’s no escape Pelosi, Schumer, Nadler. We’re coming for you,” the person said near the Capitol grounds, according to the video, released by the committee Wednesday. One member of Loudermilk’s tour group photographed an image of the plaque outside Nadler’s office, an image released by the panel as well.

Loudermilk has not been accused of any wrongdoing or having knowledge about the activities of any members of his group on Jan. 6, beyond their attendance at the rally that preceded the riot, headlined by Donald Trump.

In a statement, Loudermilk said the Capitol Police had already settled the matter: “As Capitol Police confirmed, nothing about this visit with constituents was suspicious.”

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy told POLITICO the panel’s disclosure was “just more of the Jan. 6 [committee] going after political folks.”

Republicans have pointed to a recent letter from Capitol Police Chief Thomas Manger characterizing the group’s behavior on Jan. 5 as benign, but the footage released by the select committee shows a more nuanced version of events.

They said they planned to use the American flag pole as a spear and rip the hair from Nancy Pelosi’s head.

And Loudermilk said they didn’t even attend the rally…

White power hates LGBT too

They think they don’t contribute to the white birthrate…

I keep hearing that it’s weird those white nationalist fascists in Idaho went after a gay pride event. It’s not. They’ve always been hostile to LGBT people. (Remember, in Hitler’s Germany gay people people were rounded up and sent to death camps.)

Anyway, here’s a twitter thread from an expert on the White Power movement Kathleen Belew that explains why:

Okay, trying again: to those asking why Patriot Front would target Pride: to the white power movement and some of the militant right, a host of social issues (abortion, gay rights, interracial contact, immigration, secularism) are all a problem for the same reason.

White power activists have long seen all of these issues as part of an interconnected conspiracy to lower the white birth rate, attacking their race and nation. They see this as an apocalyptic threat.

This is what connects attacks on the black community (Buffalo, Charleston) with attacks on immigrants (El Paso) with attacks on Jews (Pittsburgh) with attacks on Pride (Idaho, SF)

Coeur d’Alene has a long history of white power activity going back to the late ’70s. It was the site of the Aryan Nations compound and remains symbolic both for the militant right and for peace activists that want to stop white power activism. But this is not an Idaho thing.

We should be thinking back way before the Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville (2017), because these groups have been working out of this playbook for decades, if not generations. The history of the earlier period can illuminate what comes next

We are on a trajectory that leads NOT ONLY to mass shootings and violent attacks, but also to continuing, intense activation of cell-style action across the country, in every region, in cities and suburbs and rural areas

Public-facing recruitment actions will play out alongside mass violence. This impacts all of us, activity is escalating dramatically, and time is running short to do something about it.

Concrete things you can do right now about the problem of white power violence: 1) Watch the Jan 6 hearings and talk about the findings, especially with people who are checked out or have different views. It was an attack on our nation and our democracy.

Concrete things you can do right now about the problem of white power violence, continued: 2) Read news stories about these different groups and ask yourself and others, how is this part of a groundswell?

Concrete things you can do right now about the problem of white power violence, continued: 3) Go to your local school board meetings and pay attention to what’s happening there.

Concrete things you can do right now about the problem of white power violence, continued: 4) Volunteer at your local library and/or high school to encourage conversation about civics and responsible media consumption

Also, just my regular reminder that people in the white power movement are PEOPLE, motivated by a political ideology. We can take cheap shots at them all we want, and I see a lot of this on social. Here’s the thing though

1) They have not stopped killing people while we ignored them and called them names and 2) They have repeatedly used the idea of their ineptitude to avoid prosecution for serious crimes

So besides the fact that an idea of shared humanity is, in this historian’s opinion, a good place to begin any social project, we will get better accountability if we employ it. Take it seriously. Respond accordingly.

Originally tweeted by Kathleen Belew (@kathleen_belew) on June 14, 2022.

I can’t help but be reminded of Viktor Orban’s policies. He too is very concerned about white birth rates and he encourages (white) women to have as many babies as humanly possible.

By the way, this white birthrate issue was one of the motivations for the Buffalo shooter..

Team Normal dropped the ball

Now they’re telling the truth under oath. I guess that’s the best we can expect from these people.

Back in 2018, the New York Times published an anonymous op-ed called “I am part of the resistance inside the Trump administration.” It set off quite a stir throughout Washington and got everyone in the executive branch looking over their shoulders wondering if their officemate might be the writer. Donald Trump had a fit, of course, and set off on a crusade to find the nefarious leaker. Before too long, however, the whole thing had blown over and we were off to the next crisis. But the idea that there was a “resistance” to Trump’s unpredictability and ineptitude within the government soothed many people and led to a certain complacency that there were “grown-ups” stopping the president from going off the rails and keeping the engine of government humming.

The author wrote:

[W]e believe our first duty is to this country, and the president continues to act in a manner that is detrimental to the health of our republic. That is why many Trump appointees have vowed to do what we can to preserve our democratic institutions while thwarting Mr. Trump’s more misguided impulses until he is out of office.

The root of the problem is the president’s amorality. Anyone who works with him knows he is not moored to any discernible first principles that guide his decision making.

This wasn’t a complete surprise. From the moment Trump was inaugurated there were almost daily reports of the chaos inside the White House and it was obvious from his public appearances that he was in over his head. The turnover was unprecedented with Trump firing people nearly every week and others being forced to resign under a cloud of corruption and scandal.

This op-ed suggested that we needn’t worry about all that. Yes, Trump was a complete disaster, but anonymous heroes were on the inside working to preserve our constitutional order. It was a pompous, self-serving declaration that was also total nonsense. The chaos itself was tremendously damaging, causing disruption and confusion day in and day out. Trump was systematically destroying the United States’ reputation around the world which is a very dangerous situation for the world’s only military superpower. And when confronted with a real crisis, as we were with the global pandemic, a dysfunctional government led by an incompetent narcissist was naturally overwhelmed.

The government may have been running during Trump’s term but it was on fumes. All Trump had to do was light the match and the whole thing could have blown up. It almost did.

In September 2020 we learned the author of that op-ed was a senior DHS employee named Miles Taylor who finally quit the administration and more or less admitted that the “grown-ups” had failed. He and other horrified Trump administration alumni signed letters saying Trump should not be re-elected and made appearances on TV trying to persuade the public that the country couldn’t tolerate another four years of him. The majority of the public agreed and Joe Biden was elected to replace him.

The January 6 committee is now looking closely at what happened after that in the period between the election and the Capitol riot. What they have found is that the remaining protectors of the guardrails didn’t do much to stop Trump from attempting to overturn the election.

Their reticence to do something other than watch from the sidelines led to Trump empowering Rudy Giuliani and the rogues gallery of misfits and weirdos who helped him spread the Big Lie that led to the insurrection. Some of the anonymous heroes even suggested in the press that Trump just needed to cry it out and then he would bow out gracefully. The Jan 6 committee hearing this week revealed that within the White House during this period they called themselves “Team Normal” apparently because they knew the Big Lie was a big lie and they didn’t go out of their way to help Trump spread it. However, some helped Trump lay the groundwork for his claims that the election was being rigged and only balked after the fact when he insisted that it was. Some of them helped him raise hundreds of millions of dollars in a clear-cut scam while others are even currently working for people who are running for office on the Big Lie platform. They all stayed mum about what Trump and his crazy accomplices were up to. It’s good they are telling the truth under oath to the committee but it doesn’t speak well of them that they didn’t step up when it really counted. Their silence led to death and mayhem and an ongoing crisis in our democracy.

The Washington Post reported some new details about the one group in “Team Normal” who did manage to hold Trump back from doing his worst in those final days: the lawyers in the Department of Justice(DOJ) and the White House Counsel’s office. While Jared Kushner testified that he dismissed them as a bunch of whiners, it was their threats to quit that kept Trump from firing the Acting Attorney General and replacing him with an obscure toadie named Jeffrey Clark who was somehow persuaded that he could take over the DOJ and use it to help Trump overturn the election.

The Post describes a meeting two days before the insurrection in which Trump seemed to be prepared to take that step until the lawyers made it clear that if he did, he wouldn’t just be firing the top two lawyers in the DOJ, nearly 50 of the top lawyers in the department would quit as well. Pat Cipollone, the White House counsel, called it a “murder-suicide pact.” Trump relented. And it’s interesting what he allegedly said to Clark:

“These guys are going to quit. Everyone else is going to resign. It’s going to be a disaster. The bureaucracy will eat you alive. And no matter how much you want to get things done in the next few weeks, you won’t be able to get it done, and it’s not going to be worth the breakage.”

Considering it was coming from a man who was neck-deep in fantasy, that sounds like a pretty rational assessment, doesn’t it? It makes you wonder what might have happened if the whole “Team Normal” had come to Trump and said they were going to walk out en masse, hold a press conference and tell the country that the election was not stolen and that Trump was lying to them. They all knew that was the truth.

I don’t know what Trump would have done but in this one instance at least he seems to have understood that destroying his administration in order to save face wasn’t worth the “breakage.” Maybe if they had the guts to confront him for once, he might have realized that it was time to throw in the towel. After all, it only would have taken two little words from Trump and the insurrection wouldn’t have happened.

All he needed to say was “I concede.” 

Salon

Chicken soup for the GOP?

It couldn’t hurt … them

What the Jan. 6 hearings have demonstrated so far — beyond what a colosal lie the Big Lie was — is that Donald Trump operatives and family backed the Big Lie in public while dismissing it behind closed doors.

Trump’s insurrection enablers on Capitol Hill today are dismissing the Jan. 6 hearings as political theater in public while secretly hoping they cripple Trump as a candidate for 2024.

Josh Marshall:

When Fox host Bret Baier asked [Brit] Hume if the committee seems to be making a legal or political case against Trump (and his incitement of the insurrection), Hume said he thought it might be “both.” He then suggested that Republicans know they “can’t win” with Trump as the nominee once again in 2024.

“What strikes me about this, Bret, is that if they succeed ― either by damaging him or staining him such that he is either unable for legal or political reasons to run again ― they might end up finding out that they’ve done the Republican Party a great service,” he said.

“Because I think a great many Republicans think they can’t win with Trump at the head of the ticket again,” he continued. “They’re afraid of his supporters and don’t want to come out against him directly. But they’d like him to go away. If the effect of this committee is to make his possible candidacy go away, I think a great many Republicans would privately be very glad.”

The Bulwark’s Tim Miller, a former Republican operative, concurs. Why, Democrats and Never Trumpers might be trying to do the right thing even if it hurts them politically!

The committee sending a criminal referral on Trump to the Department of Justice might not be in Democrats’ best interests either. (I’d brace for more violence.) In a tweet Tuesday afternoon, committee Vic eChair Rep. Liz Cheney said the panel “has not issued a conclusion regarding potential criminal referrals.”

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Request a copy of For The Win, 4th Edition, my free, countywide get-out-the-vote planning guide for county committees at ForTheWin.us.
If in a position to Play to win in 2022 (see post first), contact tpostsully at gmail dot com

They’ll empty their pockets

Promise the marks the stakes are apocalyptic and they are the Chosen

“MY FATHER JUST RELEASED OFFICIAL TRUMP-EDITION GOLF BALLS,” enthused Donald Trump, Jr.

Still as true as when LBJ said it in 1960:

“If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.” — Lyndon B. Johnson, as told to Bill Moyers

The Jan. 6 panel on Monday played tape after witness tape confirming that Donald Trump’s closest advisers knew his stolen election narrative was “bullshit,” and said so. So they claim now under oath, having done nothing to alert the public when it might have saved lives. The committee also emphasized that promoting the Big Lie as a fundraising gimmick (for his nonexistent “Official Election Defense Fund”) netted Donald John Trump roughly $250 million.

Ja’han Jones writes at the ReidOut Blog that Trump could wind up paying for those lies. He’s already been sued by several Capitol and D.C. police officers. And more:

Washington, D.C., Attorney General Karl Racine is investigating the Jan. 6 attack and has filed a civil suit seeking damages from members of extremist groups — such as the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers — accused of participating in the riot. Multiple members of both groups have been charged with seditious conspiracy for their roles in the attack. If the committee continues to provide evidence Trump was responsible for the attack, it seems increasingly likely he’ll be added as a defendant in the D.C. lawsuit. 

On top of that, Trump is also facing a lawsuit filed by the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund, which claims his campaign’s effort to discard 2020 votes in cities with large Black populations was illegal. 

Not facing war crimes charges, former President George W. Bush is painting in his retirement. Trump could spend his facing lawsuits from attorney’s general across the country over his “Official Election Defense Fund.”

Amanda Wick, a senior investigative counsel to the committee noted in video testimony, “Claims that the election was stolen were so successful, President Trump and his allies raised $250 million, nearly $100 million in the first week after the election.” (In the small print, IIRC, the mailings did mention a portion of the funds would go to Trump’s PAC.)

Not specifying these reports directly, New York Attorney General Tish James tweeted on Monday that investigating fraud is part of her remit. She is already investigating Trump for financial misconduct in New York.

The Department of Justice has in the past “charged a number of operators of so-called scam-PACs” for raising money that went to consultants and not to the advertised purpose. See Steve Bannon’s “We Build the Wall” campaign.

But, says the New York Times:

The experts said that any investigation of Mr. Trump’s fund-raising would likely target his aides, not the former president himself.

And they pointed out that the Trump Make America Great Again Committee, the campaign committee that sent out most of the solicitations for the election defense fund, transferred funds to the Republican National Committee, which spent money on legal fights related to the 2020 election.

“In contrast with some of these other scam PAC prosecutions — where effectively none of the money raised went toward satisfying donor intent — Trump might argue that a portion of the funds raised in the postelection period went toward litigation, and an additional portion went toward future ‘election integrity’ efforts,” said Brendan Fischer, a campaign finance expert at the watchdog group Documented.

“It would certainly be novel for the Justice Department to pursue a fraud case against a former president’s PAC, but Trump’s fraudulent postelection fund-raising was novel, too,” Mr. Fischer said, adding that the amount Mr. Trump’s team had raised after the election was “entirely unprecedented.”

Stephen Spaulding, an official at the good government group Common Cause who advised Ms. Lofgren on election law issues in 2020, said the Justice Department should examine whether the misleading fund-raising “crossed the line into wire fraud.”

“We Build the Wall” campaign crowd-funders Brian Kolfage and Andrew Badolato in April pleaded guilty in federal court to conspiracy to commit wire fraud. The charge carries a maximum of 20 years. Steve Bannon received a pardon from Trump.

But will Trump’s faithful even care that they were scammed?

In conversation with Greg Sargent, historian Rick Perlstein suggests they may not. Televangelists have fleeced their followers for decades. Seeing their supporters as “marks” goes back to the earliest days of movement conservatism in the 1960s (Washington Post):

Sargent: You see that overlap very clearly here: Trump and his allies told millions of voters that the election was being stolen from them — and that their country was being taken from them as well.

That had the effect of bringing in hundreds of millions of dollars. But it has also had the effect of creating something akin to a social movement.

Perlstein: Right-wing voters are acclimated into an understanding of the world in which they are being victimized by dark forces. That’s a great way for conservative leaders to get money shoveled in their direction. But it’s also a great way to form what Marxists used to call a “cadre,” a group of fanatically dedicated followers.

Now we face the phenomenon of millions of people, many of them armed, who are identifying their own safety, comfort and flourishing as human beings with the political success of Donald Trump and his allies.

Once, Republican used direct mail pitches pioneered by Richard Viguerie in the 1970s. Today, it is social media. Both do two things simultaneously, Perlstein observes. They raise money while spreading the misinformation gospel:

Perlstein: The mainstream of the population wakes up to discover that millions of people believe that babies are being harvested in a pizza basement. The only reason that can happen under the mainstream’s nose is the structure of social media and targeted algorithms.

In the same way, direct mail was news that people got that wasn’t from a newspaper or network news. It was news they got directly from the instigators of this conservative countercoup.

Like so much of the relationship between Reagan-era conservatism and Trump-era conservatism, it’s the same phenomenon — supercharged.

Yes, it’s confounding. Why don’t they rebel against being conned, David Roberts asks in a tweet thread. Why aren’t they furious?

Lyndon Johnson answered that 60 years ago.

It’s a wonder the former president is not hawking Trump-branded prayer cloths.

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The Trumpers turn on each other

Sad!

The Washington Post reports:

The Jan. 6 committee’s work might never lead to criminal charges against Trump or those around him. But it has certainly prompted an extraordinary round of sniping and infighting.

Perhaps the most pronounced example came Tuesday morning, when Rudy Giuliani effectively accused two top Trump campaign aides, Jason Miller and Bill Stepien, of perjury. Miller had said under oath that Trump’s former attorney was “definitely intoxicated” on election night 2020. (Stepien didn’t say this, though Giuliani apparently believed he had.) Giuliani also suggested they might have taken bribes for testifying to that effect.

Giuliani later deleted the tweets. (Some had noted the accusations could be grounds for defamation lawsuits. And another former White House aide, Alyssa Farah Griffin, confirmed Tuesday that Giuliani “appeared inebriated” on election night.)

But Giuliani didn’t leave it there. He later retweeted someone who pointed to a 2018 story about Miller being accused of slipping an abortion pill into his girlfriend’s smoothie. Miller denied the accusation at the time and sued those who promoted it, but the case was dismissed. (Miller didn’t respond to a request for comment Tuesday.)

Giuliani also linked to a story about Stepien’s role in former New Jersey governor Chris Christie’s (R) “Bridgegate” scandal. Stepien ran Christie’s gubernatorial campaigns, but Christie fired him amid the scandal.

Both tweets were also apparently deleted.

The other big clash to emerge from Monday’s hearing was between Trump and his former attorney general, William P. Barr. The committee on Thursday and again on Monday played clips of Barr repeatedly deriding Trump’s and his allies’ voter-fraud claims in stark terms. On Monday, they added clips of Barr saying he informed Trump that his theories were bogus — something that could be legally significant.

Trump spokeswoman Liz Harrington responded to this by accusing Barr of being a “cowardly RINO” and a “shill” for “Marxist Democrats” — a pretty remarkable allegation when you consider how much Barr bent over backward for Trump. (Trump also criticized Barr in terms he often uses for loyalists-turned-critics.)

There’s more. All the loonies are very upset.