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Month: October 2022

“He’s drowning in himself”

Lordy, there are tapes

Venerable reporter Bob Woodward has produced a new audiobook called “The Trump Tapes,” which contains the 20 interviews he conducted with Donald Trump in the course of reporting and writing his three books about the ex-president’s administration, “Fear,” “Rage” and “Peril” (the latter with Robert Costa). Woodward has never released full interviews or raw transcripts before, but decided to do it this time because Trump’s words don’t come across the same way in print. I think that’s true. I’ve read a number of Trump books over the past five years and I’m always struck by the fact that he doesn’t seem quite on the page as he does on video, even when the authors are quoting him saying something we’ve all seen or heard.

(Of course Trump now says the tapes actually belong to him and claims he’s already hired lawyers to sue Woodward, whom he describes as a very sleazy guy. One would expect nothing less.)

Woodward shared some of the audio in a piece for the Washington Post over the weekend in advance of the audiobook’s release this week. One of its most interesting aspects is the extent to which Woodward himself was clearly appalled by the man he was interviewing. That’s been pretty clear in the previously published books and interviews but it really comes through in this piece. This is a reporter who’s interviewed every president of the last 50 years and many other powerful officials, and he sounds … spooked.

Some of the exchanges in the article are familiar ground but always worth revisiting since Trump is clearly close to announcing that he’s running again in 2024. (At a rally in Texas over the weekend he said, “I will probably have to do it again.”) Woodward provides one of the discussions about Trump’s relationship with Kim Jong-un, which the then-president considered beyond special:

Woodward: The CIA says about Kim Jong Un that he’s “cunning, crafty but ultimately stupid.”
Trump: I disagree. He’s cunning. He’s crafty. And he’s very smart. You know.
Woodward: Why does the CIA say that?
Trump: Because they don’t know. Okay? Because they don’t know. They have no idea. I’m the only one that knows. I’m the only one he deals with. He won’t deal with anybody else …The word chemistry. You meet somebody and you have a good chemistry. You meet a woman. In one second you know whether or not it’s all going to happen…

Woodward: And is this all designed to drive Kim to the negotiating table?
Trump: No. No. It was designed for whatever reason, it was designed. Who knows? Instinctively. Let’s talk instinct.
Woodward: Do you get a sense he’s wooing you?
Trump: No, I get —
Woodward: Or building a relationship of trust?
Trump: — a sense — I get a sense he likes me. I think he likes me. Okay, so, you know he’s got a great piece of land. He’s in between Russia, China and South Korea. In the real estate business we’d say, “Great location.” You understand?

Listening to him say such idiotic things in the intimacy of private conversations is even more unnerving than watching him do it in front of a crowd. Woodward writes:

Trump’s voice is a concussive instrument. Fast and loud. He hits hard and will lower his volume to underscore for effect. He is staggeringly incautious and repetitive, as if saying something often and loud enough will make it true.

When asked if he’d given Kim too much power and what he would do if the North Korean leader shot off one of his ICBMs, Trump responded, “doesn’t matter… let me tell you, whether I gave it to him or not, if he shoots he shoots.” He literally cared about nothing but this supposed personal relationship, which seemed largely to exist in his own head, and just shrugs off the prospect of a nuclear strike by a rogue nation. It’s deeply bizarre.

Trump literally cared about nothing but his supposed personal relationship with Kim Jong-un, which existed largely in his head, and just shrugged off the prospect of a nuclear strike.

Woodward was perhaps most upset by Trump’s attitude toward the pandemic, which sounds even more dreadful than it did in real time. Woodward asks at one point if Trump thinks the crisis — in which the entire world economy was shut down and thousands were dying every day — was “the leadership test of a lifetime” and Trump barks out “No!” It is an exceedingly weird response. He consistently tells Woodward that everything is going great, while clearly failing to grasp the gravity of the situation.

Woodward says he believes that “the tapes show that Trump’s greatest failure was his handling of the coronavirus, which as of October 2022 has killed more than 1 million Americans.” There is no doubt of that in my mind either. I continue to be amazed that it seems to be forgotten among Trump’s many crimes, scandals and misdeeds.

There are a number of committees and commissions charged with looking at the COVID crisis but they mostly seem concerned with where all the money went, which is important. The House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis has released a number of reports on the Trump administration’s failures, to very little fanfare. Just last week, for example: 

A committee report last summer laid out evidence of the administration’s similar pressure on the FDA. But so far there has been almost no media attention on how poorly Trump and his administration handled that terrifying first year.

That level of malfeasance, which had such terrible consequences for millions of people, should not be allowed to disappear down the memory hole. Perhaps Woodward’s new book and the attendant publicity, given his personal focus on the issue, can put it back on the agenda.

When Woodward appeared on “CBS Sunday Morning,” he told host John Dickerson:

Trump was the wrong man for the job. But I realize now, two years later, all the Jan. 6 insurrection, leads me to the conclusion that he’s not just the wrong man for the job, he’s dangerous. He is a threat to democracy and he’s a threat to the presidency, because he doesn’t understand the core obligations that come with that office.

Unfortunately, Trump is the clear frontrunner for the 2024 Republican nomination and could be back in the White House in a little over two years. The recording of Trump saying the following says it all:

Trump: … I get people. They come up with ideas. But the ideas are mine, Bob. The ideas are mine.
Woodward: And then?
Trump: Want to know something? Everything is mine.

Woodward told Dickerson, “When you hear this voice and the way he assesses situations and himself, he’s drowning in himself.

Yes, he is — and he’s taking the country down with him. 

Click over to the Washington Post if you can and listen to some of these tapes.

And here’s the CBS Sunday youtube which features some excerpts also. They are creepy. He is a sociopath.

Who’s their daddy?

Tucker’s their daddy!

And Marjorie’s their mommy. (Trump is their god.)

An irate Tucker Carlson phoned Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), chairman of the House Republican campaign committee, with an ultimatum on Friday:

Either reveal which staff member took a swipe at Carlson’s son, a Capitol Hill aide, in an article about internal House GOP politicking — or the Fox host would assume Emmer himself was to blame for the quote.

Why it matters: Just two weeks before the midterms, the chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee — who is headed into a high-stakes leadership race if House Republicans win the majority — finds himself on the wrong side of the nation’s most powerful right-wing TV host.

The inside drama illuminates the high stakes, divisions and power jockeying already under way as the GOP seeks to retake power.

Emmer also now finds himself under attack from two MAGA celebrities: Donald Trump Jr. and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.).

The backstory: The source of the Fox News host’s anger was a Daily Beast article, published early Friday, detailing the already vicious backroom jousting over leadership slots in a potential House Republican majority.

Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.) — who employs Carlson’s son, Buckley Carlson, 25, as communications director — is expected to face off against Emmer for House Republican whip, which would be the majority party’s No. 3 leadership position.

The Daily Beast quoted an anonymous “GOP strategist” as saying of Banks: “Deep down, he dies to be liked by the Establishment. He hires Tucker Carlson’s son, a 24-year-old kid, to be his communications director.”

The intrigue: According to four sources briefed on their Friday morning phone call, Carlson told Emmer he needed to name the staffer who brought up Buckley Carlson — or Carlson would have no other choice but to blame Emmer himself.

Emmer repeatedly asserted to Carlson that his office had nothing to do with the background quote about Carlson’s son.

Carlson was unpersuaded. He made clear to Emmer that he now had a personal problem with him.

Behind the scenes: In an effort to pacify Carlson, Emmer worked to distance his office from the quote — and even to shift blame to another member of leadership’s staff, according to two sources familiar with his private comments.

Carlson does not believe this and still blames Emmer for the story.

NRCC communications director Michael McAdams told Axios in a statement: “Chairman Emmer and his staff have never attacked any other members’ staff. Period. These baseless accusations are meant to distract and divide Republicans. Our focus is on retaking the majority and firing Nancy Pelosi.”

After the Daily Beast story published on Friday, Donald Trump Jr. publicly blamed Emmer for the background quote.

The president’s eldest son tweeted: “Why did Tom Emmer tell his consultants to run to the leftwing Daily Beast to trash Jim Banks, Tucker Carlson and Tucker’s family? Does he really think that’s a winning strategy for a Republican House leadership race? Pathetic!”

This is not the first time Donald Trump Jr. and his allies have gone after a House GOP member for perceived attacks on Carlson’s son. 

Then on Sunday night, Taylor Greene, a lightning rod on the hard right of the House GOP conference, waded into the fiasco. She tweeted: “I stand with Buckley Carlson.”

Her follow-up tweet put an even finer point on it: “Consultants at national party political action committees should only focus on helping their party’s candidates win. They shouldn’t fund or not fund races based on candidate’s conservative views. And they should never attack Member’s [sic] staff to left wing activist bloggers. Ever.”

Despite the heat on Emmer, it’s unclear to what extent this will impact a secret-ballot vote among House Republican members.

Can you believe this? These are the people Americans think will do a better job dealing with their economic problems. How stupid are American voters…?

The sun’ll come out | Tomorrow

Perilous times do not necessarily spell “CERTAIN DEATH”

Image from MAD Magazine parody of “Lost In Space” (1966). My age is showing.

George Lucas and Steven Spielberg made fortunes reprising the style of those old 1930s and 40s serial films. Each week it seemed our hero was done for. In next week’s episode, we see he escaped in the nick of time.

Democrats look a lot like those guys as we approach November 8. In “O Ye of Little Faith,” Michael Moore cautions us not to be such bed-wetters. Get busy instead. Those who do “aren’t ‘hoping’ we win — you are making sure we are going to win.”

Media stories look to build suspence and generate clicks with shocky headlines. An experienced friend on one of my listservs this morning reminded me how predictably press handicappers got elections wrong over the last decade and a half. Clinton’s nomination in 2008; Romney’s win in 2012; Trump’s loss in 2016; Biden was a dead duck in the 2020 primaries, etc. Not to mention the polling.

Moore continues on that theme:

But we’re a nation now trained not to use the critical thinking lobe in the brain God and/or nature gave us. And so as soon as the Times says, “Voters See Democracy in Peril, but Saving It Isn’t a Priority”, we start to shake, our hearts race, tears well up and we immediately buy the new story — even though I, your humble narrator, have given you 24 big facts, 24 real truths to the contrary — plus singing to you in the middle of the night a Midterm lullaby! — while  providing you a logical roadmap to our midterm Blue Tsunami. 

And then this morning we wake up to this in the Washington Post: 

“Democrats fear the midterm map is slipping away: Polls in both the House and Senate show improvements for Republicans amid economic and crime concerns.” 

Yet, according to an NBC poll also this morning, a slight majority of Americans say they want the Democrats in control of Congress. And I am convinced that, if we all do our work in the next two weeks, we will have that majority in both houses.  

 Moore continues:

So why believe me? The guy in a ballcap with just a high school degree? The guy who tried to warn you in 2016, five months before the election, that Trump was going to win. Most howled and denounced me for stating what to me, living in the Midwest, was sadly obvious. It was like running down the middle of the street with my hair on fire screaming “Bloody murder!” but few would listen. I even made a quick documentary called “Michael Moore in TrumpLand” where I risked my life to try and convince a few hundred Ohio Trump supporters that they could both “not like Hillary AND vote for her!”. I soon realized that that form of complex thinking was not possible for this group of MAGA Americans. Nonetheless, it was the #1 most-watched piece of television on iTunes for eight weeks (“The Walking Dead” was #2). I’d like to think I helped to close the gap ‘cause in the end Trump only won because he got an average of two votes more per precinct than Hillary did in Michigan. Yes, you read that right. Two votes per precinct, two people who just stayed home on Election Day, two people you forgot to remind to vote, two people per precinct who didn’t use iTunes because they liked Vudu instead. 

Remember, says Moore:

There are more of us than there are of them! By the MILLIONS!

Panic is unjustified.

Vulture, vultures everywhere

“You need a bad guy to point at”

Unsuspecting tourist has his pocket picked. Still image from Casablanca (1942).

If you ever wondered what it would be like to live through a mass insanity, look around. Same with a global pandemic. But insanity and COVID-19 are not the only pandemics out there. There is also a pandemic of lies, greed, and corruption, both corporate and otherwise.

“Going forward, it should be considered political malpractice for Democrats to allow any conversation about inflation that’s not centered on the role of corporate profiteering,” MSNBC’s Mehdi Hasan said in his commentary Sunday evening. The data is out there.

Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.) in one of her now-signature interrogations of corporate misbehavior brought out a chart last week in questioning Mike Konczal, director of Macroeconomic Analysis at the Roosevelt Institute, a progressive think tank. Her chart displayed the components of recent inflation based on data from the Economic Policy Institute.

Porter: According to this chart, what is the biggest driver of inflation during this pandemic… during this recent period?

Konczal: It would be corporate profits.

Porter: And what is that percentage?

Konczal: It is 54% and that number does stay that high if you update that to more recent numbers as well.

NBC station KPNX Phoenix fact-checked those numbers and concluded:

Unless new data is presented to dispute The Economic Policy Institute and the Roosevelt Institute, there are reliable indications that a large portion of price increases are going to profits for large corporations in services like groceries, furniture and cars.

Porter, says Hasan, recognizes “in politics you need a villain. You need a bad guy to point at. Republicans understand this.” And Democrats? Not so much.

Bad guys aplenty

Cheerleading the economic rape of the innocent and the further concentration of wealth among the elite few are the ever-wrong economic “experts” among conservatives in government and the economic press. These snake oil salesmen have a cure for whatever ails ya: tax cuts. But you knew that.

Trickle down economics, observes venture capitalist Nick Hanauer, “is a protection racket for the rich, masquerading as economics. These lying charlatans are wrong and have always been wrong.”

The Daily Show assembled a blooper reel of men (it’s always mainly men) cheerleading policies by outgoing British prime minister and Thatcherite Liz Truss that swiftly brought the pound and her country’s economy to its knees.

Lies or ignorance? Does it matter?

Other lies? Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) tells Mark Levin (no, I’m not linking to it) that the FBI search for stolen documents at Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort was a fishing expedition by the Biden Department of Justice. “Every former President has taken documents from his administration,” Cruz said. Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush.

Except their administration’s records are controlled by and access is under the supervision of the National Archives and Records Administration. Trump just took them home and refused to return them when asked repeatedly.

Cruz is lying, one of many Republicans and fellow travelers trafficking in lies as a matter of course. The lying is as epidemic as it is dangerous.

If you missed, “60 Minutes” Sunday night, here is a taste of what the Trump cult’s shameless trafficking in lies about the 2020 election has wrought.

It’s a chilling 13-1/2 minutes. There is already blood on the cult’s hands. Stochastic terrorists threaten to spill more. Armed, right-wing militia types are prepared to do worse in service to conservative elites who have no use for them save as political shock troops and cannon fodder.

These are perilous times.

Liz makes a mistake

I think that is a foolish comment by Liz Cheney. There’s no chance he’ll willingly, publicly appear before what he calls the “Unselect Committee” as long as there are all these legal investigations going on. But by saying this in advance, they’re making it look like they’re afraid of him:

Beyond that, Liz had some other interesting things to say this week:

We are going to proceed in terms of the questioning of the former president under oath,” Cheney added. “It may take multiple days, and it will be done with a level of rigor and discipline and seriousness that it deserves.”

Cheney served as one of two Republicans on the January 6 bipartisan committee. After the committee’s vote, Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), the other Republican on the panel, said: “He’s required by law to come in, and he can ramble and push back all he wants. That’s the requirement for a congressional subpoena to come in.”

It is unclear as to whether Trump will actually go through with testifying. On Friday, Trump’s lawyer said in a statement: “We understand that, once again, flouting norms and appropriate and customary process, the Committee has publicly released a copy of its subpoena. As with any similar matter, we will review and analyze it, and will respond as appropriate to this unprecedented action.”  

Right. If there’s one thing Donald Trump will not abide it’s the shattering of norms.

Cheney added that the future of her party looks dim; if Trump is the GOP nominee in 2024, “the party will shatter.” She continued, “The party has either to come back from where we are right now, which is a very dangerous and toxic place, or the party will splinter and there will be a new conservative party that rises.”

I don’t know why she’s so sure of that. It appears to me that plenty of erstwhile conservatives are happy with the party as it is — as long as they gain power. Does she not see this? Look around, how many Republicans are willing to vote for Democrats or not vote at all in order to stop this rise of fascist politics in the GOP?

Not many… after all we saw that even after four long years, the nonstop chaos and extremism, 73 million people voted for Donald Trump in 2020. This alternate conservative party she’s dreaming about would fit in the president’s golden bathroom at Mar-a-lago.

The problem is not what voters think it is

All the pollsters are telling us that inflation is terrible and apparently they blame Joe Biden for it. They are wrong. It’s terrible but he’s not to blame:

A measure of U.S. profit margins has reached its widest since 1950, suggesting that the prices charged by businesses are outpacing their increased costs for production and labor.After-tax profits as a share of gross value added for non-financial corporations, a measure of aggregate profit margins, improved in the second quarter to 15.5%—the most since 1950—from 14% in the first quarter, according to Commerce Department figures published Thursday.

The data show that companies overall have comfortably been able to pass on their rising cost of materials and labor to consumers. With household budgets squeezed by the rising cost of living, some firms have been able to offset any slip in demand by charging more to the customers they’ve retained—though others like Target Corp. saw their inventories swell and were forced to discount prices in order to clear them. 

The surge in profits during the pandemic era has fueled a debate about whether price-gouging companies carry a share of the blame for high inflation—an argument pushed by President Joe Biden’s Democrats. Most economists have been skeptical about the idea.  

U.S. inflation has surged this year and stood at 8.5% in July, not far short of the previous month’s four-decade high. Federal Reserve officials have pointed to rising wages as one of the big risks that could keep inflation entrenched. But some economists say that historically elevated profit margins mean there’s room for businesses to accommodate worker demands for better pay without setting off a wage-price spiral.

Biden allies have singled out the energy industry, which has posted blowout profits this year, for criticism over price-gouging. Democratic Senator Ron Wyden has floated a measure that would impose a windfall tax on profits in the industry deemed to be “excessive.” Similar measures have been adopted in several European countries to help finance measures that will protect consumers the energy-price shock.

Across the economy, adjusted pretax corporate profits increased 6.1% in the April-to-June period from the prior quarter—the fastest pace in a year—after falling 2.2% in the first three months of the year. Profits are up 8.1% from a year earlier. 

While companies report individual profits based on historical costs, the government adjusts the figures to reflect the current cost of replacing capital stock such as equipment and structures. Due to surging inflation, the current replacement costs are much higher.

Excluding that adjustment, as well as one for inventory valuation, after-tax profits climbed 10.4% in the second quarter. 

Presidents always take the blame for bad economic numbers so it’s unsurprising that Biden and the Democrats are shouldering the burden. Sadly, they are also not getting credit for the incredible job market but apparently that’s something that we used to care about but no longer do. I’m sure when the Fed finally manages to tank it and put a lot of people out of work, everyone will care about it again and blame Biden for that too.

Here’s hoping that more people are able to see the complexity of our current political situation and vote on that basis.If they do, the Republicans won’t win.

Be careful what you wish for

Divided government isn’t what it used to be

Here’s another preview of what we’re in for if the Republicans win two weeks from now fron Doyle McManus. It’s horrifying. But it’s important to remember that up until three or four months ago it was what we all expected. We should not be surprised. And we certainly should not be surprised that Trumpism will guide everything they do. The GOP was insane before Trump came along (remember the Tea Party caucus?) There was never any reason to believe they would have moderated since then, quite the opposite.

McManus points out that those fools who are voting for “divided government” because they think it will result is moderate outcomes are in for a big surprise:

With election day two weeks away, Republican prospects of taking control of the House of Representatives, already strong, appear to have solidified. Barring the unexpected, President Biden’s next two years will be shaped by challenges from a House led by some of his most zealous opponents.

That isn’t unusual; every president for the last four decades has contended with divided government. Sometimes, that has arguably been a good thing — a constructive check on executive power.

Not now.

The House won’t merely be held by Republicans. It will be led by Republicans loyal to former President Trump, many of whom refuse to accept Biden’s legitimacy as president.

Most members of the new majority will have been elected with Trump’s endorsement. There will be almost no Trump critics in the House GOP — none who dare voice their qualms, at least. The caucus has been purged.

Of the 10 House Republicans who voted in favor of impeaching Trump after his supporters stormed the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, eight retired or lost primary elections. Only two are still on the ballot.

Of the likely members of the next majority, well more than half have questioned or denied the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. January’s incoming members will, not incidentally, be in the House when it considers the results of the presidential election of 2024.

Meanwhile, the ranks of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus are swelling. The group has been recruiting members among this year’s candidates and is on track to boast at least 46 next year, an all-time high.

The likely next House speaker, Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield), is a Trump loyalist too. As Republican floor leader during the Trump administration, McCarthy worked to forge a relationship with the volatile president, who rewarded him with the slightly demeaning nickname “My Kevin.” McCarthy broke with Trump oh-so-briefly over the Jan. 6 riot but flew to Mar-a-Lago three weeks later to seek forgiveness.

McCarthy has made clear that other Trump acolytes will gain under his speakership. He has promised Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio, one of the founders of the Freedom Caucus, the chairmanship of the powerful Judiciary Committee. He has promised Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, who once suggested that California’s wildfires were caused by Jewish-funded space lasers, a seat on the Oversight Committee, which is likely to launch an investigation of Hunter Biden, the president’s wayward son.

Jordan and the Freedom Caucus were once considered GOP gadflies, in-House critics who challenged the less disruptive conservatism of Speakers John Boehner and Paul D. Ryan. Greene was considered an outlier whose ability to grab headlines was a problem, not an asset.

No longer. Both are now core members of a GOP conference whose mission is to fight the Biden administration to a standstill.

Their agenda begins with deep spending cuts in domestic programs, which they argue are needed to shrink the federal budget deficit and quell inflation.

Some members have already declared their willingness to shut down the federal government to get their way.

“Shut it down if necessary,” Rep. Bob Good of Virginia said last week. “Gridlock is a good thing compared to the alternative.”

Even worse, several have said they plan to block an increase in the federal debt ceiling — a move that would raise the specter of the government defaulting on its debts and risk a global financial crash.

McCarthy said he too would be willing to block a debt limit increase as a tactic to force spending cuts.

“OK, we’ll provide you more money, but you got to change your current behavior,” he told the newsletter Punchbowl News.

Government shutdowns and debt-ceiling hostage dramas tend to backfire on the party that launches them. Most voters don’t enjoy watching the economy being held hostage by politicians.

McCarthy presumably knows that — but he also knows his majority includes many who would relish a showdown, either on principle or to pander to right-wing voters.

In another sign that Republican radicals are in the ascendance, McCarthy said he wants to impose limits on future U.S. aid to Ukraine, a hobbyhorse of Fox News host Tucker Carlson.

“Ukraine is important, but … it can’t be a blank check,” McCarthy said.

It adds up to a recipe for a series of collisions — not only with the Biden White House but with the Senate. No matter how the election turns out, the Senate is almost certain to be narrowly divided between the parties — and because of its 60-vote filibuster rule, any major legislation will need support from at least a few senators on both sides.

In an earlier generation, Americans often viewed divided government as a sensible way to check the power of the president and even an opportunity for bipartisan deal-making.

Virginia’s Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin sought to evoke that brand of nostalgia this month, arguing that GOP control of Congress could be “a calming influence.”

But there’s not much prospect of serenity from a House of Representatives led by McCarthy and his Trumpified party.

Pro-Trump voters who want to stop the Biden administration cold, no matter the cost, may enjoy the battle. But moderates and independents who vote for divided government, expecting anything better than chaos, are indulging in wishful thinking.

It will be a shame if the Democrats don’t beat the odds and at least hold the Senate. The stakes are so very high. But it’s not unprecedented. It’s what happened when Obama was president too and the Republicans managed to blame him for the mess the Bush administration had left him with. It’s been the template for years now. The Democrats need to find a way to change this but they haven’t found it yet.

JD Vance to Ukrainian constituents: Drop dead

He’s a Trumper through and through

Irena Stolar has voted Republican for over half a century, from Richard M. Nixon to Donald Trump. But in the midterms, Stolar, 73, said she will cast her first vote for aDemocrat. Originally from Ukraine, Stolar refuses to supportJ.D. Vance, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Ohio, who has said he wants to cut off aid to the war-torn country.

“Definitely not this year, with J.D. Vance saying that Ukraine doesn’t matter,” saidStolar, during a break from her shift as host at Olesia’s Taverne, a busy Ukrainian restaurant.She recalled being upset earlier this year, when Vance said on a podcast interview just before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, “I gotta be honest with you. I don’t really care what happens to Ukraine one way or another.”

Vance later recalibrated, saying Russian President Vladimir Putin “is the bad guy” and “we want the Ukrainians to be successful.” But for Stolar, the damage was done. “If he said one thing, then backs down on it, you can’t trust someone like that,” she said. “I’d like our senators to continue supporting Ukraine, sending arms as much as they can.”

Stolar was one of 15 Republican voters or elected officials The Washington Post interviewed this month here in Parma, a city of 80,000 near Cleveland that has one of the largest Ukrainian American populations in the state. Many said they would not vote for Vance. In a tight contest, such sentiments could have far-reaching implications.

Polls show that Vance and Rep. Tim Ryan (D) are in close competition as the race nears its conclusion, and with Democrats trying to retain their narrow Senate majority, the stakes are especially high. There are about 41,000 people with Ukrainian heritage in Ohio, according to the Census Bureau, and many have felt the effects of Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine more acutely and personally than most Americans.

While the war in Ukraine has not been the central focus of the race — a recent candidate debate focused on other topics, such as the economy, immigration, and moderation vs. extremism — it is one that has stirred impassioned responses that loom large over the final weeks of the contest and future showdowns in Congress over funding for Ukraine.

The clashes here come asHouse Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) recently signaled that if Republicans win the House in November, the GOP is likely to oppose more aid to Ukraine in its war with Russia. In recent years, a growing number of Republican lawmakers and candidates have embraced a more nationalist and isolationist foreign policy, a Trump-era shift from decades of more consistently hawkish and interventionist leanings in the party.

Vance and his allies are wagering that a sharp focus on improving life in Ohio and a critique of investments abroad will resonate in a state Trump carried twice. The author of “Hillbilly Elegy” and a Trump critic turned supporter, Vance has embraced some of the “America First” leanings that have become cornerstones of the pro-Trump movement. He has saidhe believes the United States has spent enough helping Ukraine and should instead channel funds toward blocking the flow of fentanyl across the Mexican border.

“We’ve got to stop the money spigot to Ukraine eventually,” Vance said in an interview with an ABC News affiliate in September. “We cannot fund a long-term military conflict that I think ultimately has diminishing returns for our own country.”

If Vance wins, as expected, he is going to be a member of the wingnut wrecking crew in the US Senate. He thinks he’s the smartest guy in the room and he has no character or moral center, a dangerous combination.

A haunting thought

And it isn’t even Halloween yet

God help us:

Former President Donald Trump has “repeatedly” discussed choosing Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as his 2024 running mate, The New York Times Magazine journalist Robert Draper told the Daily Beast.

Speaking on this week’s episode of the Daily Beast’s “The New Abnormal” podcast, Draper claimed the discussions have been ongoing for months.

Draper, the author of “Weapons of Mass Delusion: When the Republican Party Lost Its Mind,” told the podcast that Trump has toyed with the idea of selecting Greene to join his ticket since February of this year.

“It’s been discussed repeatedly,” he said, per the Daily Beast. “Now, to be fair, I mean, how many of these conversations has Trump had with other people?”

Draper said that Greene is being considered by Trump because she has been “unflaggingly loyal” to him throughout. “What is Trump concerned about most of all in a VP after the Mike Pence experience? Loyalty?” he added…

The former president needs somebody who will “fight for him to overturn a presidential election,” Draper continued. “He has every reason to expect that Greene would be by his side and would be his proximate warrior,” the journalist added.

Earlier this week, Greene told Draper that she’s discussed with Trump the possibility of serving as his running mate. She said she would be “honored” to serve, but added that the GOP establishment would not want it.

My instinct is to say that it would be great if he picked her as his running mate because she is so awful. But does that calculation make a lot of sense?I’m not sure anymore. Trump is completely normalized now, the undisputed head of the GOP so why shouldn’t we expect her to be too? Apparently, McCarthy plans to give her a big job in the congress if they win the majority:

Draper interviewed most major players, among them Kevin McCarthy, the House minority leader with his eye on the speaker’s gavel after next month’s midterms. Asked if the man who courted Trump with red and pink Starbursts and genuflections at Mar-a-Lago is the leader Republicans deserve, Draper answers carefully.

“So two operative words there are ‘leader’ and ‘deserves’. It depends on how you define either. He would be the leader in the sense of that they’ll probably vote for him for speaker … but it’s an open question as to whether he really will lead or whether he really has ever led.

“The important word is ‘deserves’. And obviously, that requires a judgment on my part. But I do think that what Kevin McCarthy embodies to me is the human refutation to the argument that Donald Trump hijacked the Republican party, because to imagine that metaphor, you imagine the Republican party as an airplane seized by force, without any complicity, and that the plane was a perfectly well-functioning plane before then. McCarthy is here to disprove all of that.

“McCarthy has been an absolute enabler of Donald Trump. He has never refuted the kinds of lies his party has embraced. He has winked and nodded along. People have told me that he’s offered to create for Marjorie Taylor Greene a new leadership position. At minimum, she’s likely to get plum committee assignments.”

Greene, a far-right, conspiracy-spouting congresswoman from Georgia, was elected as Draper began work.

“I thought she would be just kind of marginalised, sitting at the Star Wars bar of Republican politics, kind of a member of Congress who would be ousted after one term. But in a lot of ways, tracing her trajectory was a way of tracing the trajectory of the post–Trump presidency Republican party after January 6. Now, Trump is without question the dominant party leader, and more to the point, Trumpism is the straw that stirs the drink.”

If Trumpism is the straw that stirs the drink, Greenism is the roofie.

What’s the matter with old people?

They aren’t getting vaccinated? What?

I just don’t know what to say about this:

Linda Brantman, a retired membership salesperson at a health club in Chicago, was paying attention last month when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the new bivalent booster that protects against two variants of Covid-19. She went online and reserved an appointment at a Walgreens near her home.

Ms. Brantman, 65, who was already vaccinated and boosted twice, has grappled with asthma on and off for years; she keeps an inhaler handy, even for an ordinary cold. If she were sick with Covid, she said, “I would definitely have breathing problems.” Within two weeks of the C.D.C. announcement, she had received the latest booster — and public health officials hope all Americans over 5 will also roll up their sleeves again.

But many older Americans have responded more like Alan Turner, 65, who lives in New Castle, Del. and recently retired from an industrial design firm. He received the initial two doses of the vaccine but stopped updating his immunity after the first recommended booster. “I’ve become such a hermit,” he said. “I have virtually no contact with people, so I haven’t gotten around to it. I don’t see any particular need. I’m biding my time.”

Although Americans over 65 remain the demographic most likely to have received the original series of vaccinations, at 92 percent, their interest in keeping their vaccinations up-to-date is steadily declining, data from the C.D.C. shows. To date, about 71 percent have received the first recommended booster, but only about 44 percent have received the second.

[…]

“From the beginning, older people have felt the virus was more of a threat to their safety and health and have been among the earliest adopters of the vaccine and the first round of boosters,” said Mollyann Brodie, the executive director of public opinion at Kaiser Family Foundation, which has been tracking vaccination rates and attitudes.

Now Kaiser’s most recent vaccine monitor survey, published last month, has found that only 8 percent of seniors said they had received the updated bivalent booster, and 37 percent said they intended to “as soon as possible.” As a group, older adults were better informed than younger respondents, but almost 40 percent said they had heard little or nothing about the updated bivalent vaccine, and many were unsure whether the C.D.C. had recommended it for them.[…]

“The messaging on boosters has been very muddled,” said Anne N. Sosin, a public health researcher at the Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and the Social Sciences at Dartmouth College. Partly as a result, she added, “older people are entering the winter with less protection than at earlier points in the pandemic.”

Ms. Sosin and other experts noted that older Americans have several reasons to be on guard. Their immunity from previous vaccinations and boosters may have waned; mitigation policies like mandatory masking and vaccination have largely disappeared; and public testing and vaccination sites have shut down.

Early on, Ms. Sosin said, many older adults changed their behavior by staying at home or masking and testing when they went out. Now they face greater exposure because “they’ve resumed their prepandemic activities.” “Many are no longer concerned about Covid,” she said.

Public opinion polls bear that out. Older adults may also reason that improved treatments for Covid infections make the virus less dangerous.

Yet deaths in this age group doubled from April to July, exceeding 11,000 in both July and August, largely because of the increased transmissibility of the Omicron variant. Deaths began dipping again last month.

[…]

Two factors make older people more vulnerable to the virus. “Their immune systems become weaker with advancing age,” Dr. Schaffner said. “And they accumulate underlying conditions,” including heart and lung disease, smoking histories, diabetes and obesity, that increase their risks.“Should you become infected, you’re at risk for a more serious outcome,” he said. “All the more reason to protect yourself as best you can.”

Studies have shown that vaccination and boosters protect against serious illnesshospitalization and death, although that immunity ebbs over time. “The data are rock-solid,” Dr. Schaffner said.

The Department of Health and Human Services estimated this month that among seniors and other Medicare beneficiaries, vaccination and boosters resulted in 650,000 fewer hospitalizations for Covid and had saved 300,000 lives in 2021.

But even in nursing homes, where the early months of the pandemic had a devastating toll, the booster uptake “has been very stagnant,” said Priya Chidambaram, a senior policy analyst at Kaiser Family Foundation and co-author of a survey published this month.

As of September, an average of 74 percent of nursing home residents had received one or more boosters, but that figure ranged from 59 percent in Arizona to 92 percent in Vermont. Rates were far lower among nursing home staff; nationally, only about half had received a booster, and in Missouri, Alabama and Mississippi, only one-third had.

A federal mandate requiring nursing home staff members to be vaccinated remains in place, but it does not include boosters. A federal on-site vaccination campaign for residents that relied on CVS and Walgreens bringing vaccines to nursing homes was effective but has not been repeated for boosters.

“That push sort of died down,” Ms. Chidambaram said. “The federal government took its foot off the pedal.”

Some older adults who do not live in nursing homes may be homebound or have difficulty traveling to pharmacies. But their sense of urgency also appears to have diminished. “Most older people were vaccinated,” Ms. Sosin said. “They weren’t hesitant or opposed.” But when it comes to boosters, she said, “they’re not very motivated and they haven’t been given a reason to be. There’s more a sense of, ‘Why bother?’”

A number of public health experts are now urging a full-scale crusade — including mass-media campaigns; social media and digital communication; pop-up and drive-through sites; mobile vans; and home visits — to raise the vaccination rate among seniors, and everyone else, before a possible winter surge of the virus. “We have never seen an all-hands-on-deck approach to booster delivery,” Ms. Sosin said. “We should be flooding people with information, to the point where it gets irritating.”

The Biden administration’s fall Covid plan, announced early last month, has incorporated many of these ideas. But Dr. Schaffner argued that it did not spell out details or take a sufficiently aggressive approach for nursing homes.

Ms. Sosin was similarly skeptical. “I’m not seeing the elements in the plan materialize,” she said. “They’re not reflected in the numbers we’re seeing,” she said in reference to the number of people getting boosters.

Individuals can play a role in this effort. Kaiser surveys have found that doctors and other health care professionals are trusted sources of information, and the older population is in frequent contact with them. “If more providers recognized that four in 10 older adults don’t realize there’s a new booster and they should get it, that’s a lot of opportunity to make an impact,” Dr. Brodie said.

Family members, friends, co-workers and neighbors also influence health decisions and behavior, and Kaiser studies show that they can help increase vaccination rates.

For those on the fence, Dr. Brodie said, “asking or reminding your parent or grandparent about the new booster can make quite a difference.”

It’s so easy to get one. I just don’t understand the reluctance especially among old people who are dealing with all kinds of health issues all the time. But I guess COVID is old news. Let’s hope there isn’t a big surge this winter.