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Month: December 2022

Elon throws a tantrum

A world of cartoon villains

What about being rich or super-rich infantilizes people? President Donald Trump “ultimately was a child,” Senate Majority Leader told CNN’s Jamie Gangel in a joint interview with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

On Thursday, Trump premiered as a “major announcement” a line of eponymous trading cards of himself costumed as a child’s idea of what to be when they grow up (including a superhero). In the launch video, Trump, “hopefully your favorite president, better than Lincoln, better than Washington” offered the collection of digital cards for $99 each. Not even a Bond villain is this full of himself.

Thursday night, Twitter’s new owner, Elon Musk, pitched an online tantrum and ejected over a half dozen national journalists from his site.

Reporters from CNN, the New York Times, The Washington Post, and video-clip impresario Aaron Rupar had accounts suspended. Musk accused them of posting “basically assassination coordinates” for him and his family. The Washington Post refutes that claim:

The suspensions came without warning or initial explanation from Twitter. They took place a day after Twitter changed its policy on sharing “live location information” and suspended an account, @ElonJet, that had been using public flight data to share the location of Musk’s private plane.

Many of the journalists suspended Thursday, including Washington Post technology reporter Drew Harwell, had been covering that rule change, as well as Musk’s claims that he and his family had been endangered by location sharing.

Musk also suspended a Twitter account encouraging users to move to Mastodon. The site gained over one million new accounts in the two weeks after Musk acquired Twitter and laid off half the staff.

Twitter did not directly respond to questions about the suspensions. But Musk suggested on Twitter, without evidence, that the journalists had revealed private information about his family, known as doxing. “Criticizing me all day long is totally fine, but doxxing my real-time location and endangering my family is not,” he tweeted late Thursday.

Harwell, whose most recent stories covered the ban of @ElonJet and the rise of baseless claims on Twitter, discovered he was unable to log into his account or tweet around 7:30 p.m. Thursday.

Musk claimed the suspensions would last a week, but Twitter told some reporters their bans were permanent, the Post adds. Later Thursday night, “he took a Twitter poll on when he should reinstate the accounts — but restarted it after a plurality of respondents said he should do so immediately.”

Some are born infantile, some achieve it, and great wealth infantilizes others. How and why requires more time (and research) than a blogger can muster in short order.

Brian Klaas in his newsletter ponders why so many of our political figures resemble cartoon villains:

Trump, of course, is ridiculous, but think about the other scions of Trumpworld. Matt Gaetz, with his big, vampiric hair, coiffed with one bottle of gel per outing into the sunlight; Roger Stone, a septuagenarian dandy who dresses like Batman’s Penguin, complete with a tattoo of Richard Nixon on his back; Steve Bannon, who clearly thinks showers are a deep state plot; and Lauren Boebert, who would marry a gun if Colorado law allowed it.

In the attention economy flamboyance — being a misfit or weirdo — is the fast track to fame. Earning it through hard work and accomplishment is old school in a world of internet “influencers.”

You probably would recognize Mitch McConnell or Nancy Pelosi, and both of them dress normally. They are well-known not because they’re weirdos, but because they’re legitimately powerful through the ordinary channels of politics: they were elected to influential roles within Congress. They followed the Put Your Time In path to power, in which they worked their way up through the ranks, patiently, over decades.

But people like Matt Gaetz and Lauren Boebert (or Marjorie Taylor Greene for that matter, who is another level of crazy), aren’t patient. They’re not about to spend decades waiting their turn, because they’re political influencers, not politicians. Marjorie Taylor Greene had her committee assignments stripped from her in the last Congress, which would normally be disastrous for a politician. Not so for her, because it amplified her ability to speak as an outsider. She became a national darling of the MAGA right.

They’ve recognized how the attention economy works and used it to hack democracy, to infantilize and degrade it.

The problem, then, is that our modern system is designed to attract these people. Some of them already were cartoon caricatures, and they’d just be larger-than-life villains and crooks if they hadn’t entered politics. Others have come into the system, realized the rewards system, and slowly become cartoon versions of themselves. But either way, it’s disastrous, because what’s being rewarded is the opposite of competence. It’s all flash, no substance. And being crazy—and looking like it—can help you win elections.

The country elected a game-show host and con man as president in 2016 over perhaps the best-qualified candidate ever to run for the office. America was not buying competence and it shows, doesn’t it?

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Hullabaloo stocking, it would be most appreciated.


Tucker’s latest trash talk

It’s hard to believe that he can come up with uniquely grotesque talking points week after week but somehow he manages to do it:

Tucker Carlson said Wednesday that “Nazi race science” will decide who qualifies for reparations in California’s proposal to pay compensation to descendants of slaves, including Black business owners and the homeless. (Watch the video below.)

A state task force on the matter met in Oakland Wednesday to begin determining eligibility and how much should be paid to recipients, The Associated Press reported.

“Nazi race science” didn’t come up. But that didn’t stop Fox News’ prime time pot-stirrer from offering an overbaked hot take.

“So, at this point, there are plenty of white people in America who are descended from slaves,” Carlson said. “There are plenty of Black people in America who are descended from slave owners. That’s just true.”

“So, how do you know who qualifies for government reparations? Well of course there is only one way to find out and it’s old-fashioned Nazi race science. Nazi race science. So, the state will have to certify the racial purity of its citizens in order to send them money. That’s gonna have to happen.

“Do we really want to go there?” he asked. “Do we really want to do that? Amazingly, liberals really do.”

I would guess many of you don’t have any idea what he’s going on about. California established a task force to look into reparations for slavery:

California’s Reparations Task Force has already made history. The panel’s nearly 500-page report released this year shattered the myth that the state was free from slavery. Its systematic review of the racist harms inflicted on generations of Black people is the first of its kind at a state level. And a hotly-debated decision to limit reparations to California residents who descend from enslaved people or Black freedmen could become a model for future efforts.

But starting Wednesday in Oakland, the nine-person committee will begin perhaps its most daunting task: Deciding what forms reparations could take. “This is really the meat of why we all came together,” said Assemblyman Reginald Jones-Sawyer, D-South Los Angeles, a task force member. Coming up with final recommendations is expected to take months, with a new report due by July 1.

Only Tucker Carlson could come up with something as absurd as comparing this to “Nazi race science” which is a very specific thing:

From 1933 to 1945, Nazi Germany carried out a campaign to “cleanse” German society of individuals viewed as biological threats to the nation’s “health.” Enlisting the help of physicians and medically trained geneticists, psychiatrists, and anthropologists, the Nazis developed racial health policies that began with the mass sterilization of “genetically diseased” persons and ended with the near annihilation of European Jewry. With the patina of legitimacy provided by “racial” science experts, the Nazi regime carried out a program of approximately 400,000 forced sterilizations and over 275,000 euthanasia deaths that found its most radical manifestation in the death of millions of “racial” enemies in the Holocaust.

I have no idea how they plan to determine who would be eligible for these raparations but I can guarantee that it will have nothing to do with that.

I only bring this up because I know that most readers here don’t follow Carlson and they shouldn’t. But it’s important to be aware of the batshit lunacy he spreads to his audience every single night. He has the highest rated show in cable news. Between him and Elon Musk we have evil, cynical, fascists spewing odious propaganda into the right wing mainstream. It’s dangerous. We can’t turn away.

If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Hullabaloo stocking, it would be most appreciated. Happy Hollandaise everyone!


A shameful waste of an opportunity

Immigration reform goes down. Again.

I can’t say that I held out much hope for it but it’s still a big disappointment. It’s clear that the Republicans want the issue more than a solution. The people gathering at the border in anticipation of the reversal of Title 42 which allows police and border officers to expedite the expulsion of illegal immigrants, are providing some vivid pictures for all the wingnuts so a chance to give million dreamers a path to citizenship and shore up the asylum system with more funding and clearer rules is gone.

Greg Sargent writes:

For a fleeting moment this month, a deal to protect 2 million “dreamers” and rationalize our asylum system appeared within reach. Two senators with a history of bipartisan compromises were earnestly haggling over details. Much of the bill text was written. The talks were endorsed by influential right-leaning opinion-makers, and even encouraged by the conservative Border Patrol union.

It’s dead. No hope.

What happened? Tillis and Sinema were negotiating over bill text, much of which had been written, as late as Wednesday night. But Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) informed Sinema and Tillis that he wouldn’t allow it to be attached to the end-of-year spending omnibus bill, effectively killing it, one of the sources tells me.

Some last-minute sticking points also arose. Some of them concerned detention issues, as well as the framework’s effort to retain temporary restrictions that barred most migrants from applying for asylum at all. The latter would have replicated the ban under the Title 42 covid-19 health rule, which a court has halted, creating expectations of a spike in efforts to cross the border.

The framework would have created new processing centers that would detain incoming asylum seekers — with increased legal and health services — until screenings could determine whether they have a “credible fear” of persecution if they were returned home. Those who passed would get a final hearing much faster than under the status quo, due to major investments in legal processing. Those who failed would be expelled promptly.

All this was designed to disincentivize exactly what Republicans rail about: migrants who seek asylum in hopes of disappearing into the interior and not showing up for hearings. The framework would have effectively continued the Title 42 ban on most asylum applications for at least a year, until the new system was operational.

But there was disagreement over whether migrants who enter the country between ports of entry should receive much more draconian treatment, such as longer detention or immediate expulsion, than under the current framework, the sources say.

What’s more, how open-ended the Title 42-type ban should be remained unresolved. For Democrats, that uncertainty raises the risk of the ban continuing indefinitely, or at least for many years, which would largely close down our asylum system and renege on international and human rights commitments.

What’s deeply frustrating about this moment is that the fundamental principles underlying reform were real and workable. Many Republicans recognize the absurdity of banishing the dreamers — who are culturally American and often know little of their countries of origin — to legal shadows where they are constrained from contributing to our country in keeping with their full potential.

And on asylum, these reforms represented a good-faith effort to come up with a solution that both sides could accept. It seeks to discourage the sort of abuses of the system that Republicans constantly decry as a “crisis” and a betrayal of the rule of law, while retaining fealty to our core commitment to provide a fair hearing to all who seek refuge here.

For some Republicans, particularly in the Donald Trump era, the only real “solution” to these problems is to reduce the number of immigrants accepted to as low a number as possible, regardless of the human rights consequences. So they won’t support such a compromise by definition.

Others probably see little political incentive in doing so. Our infrastructure is set to come under more strain once Title 42 is lifted, and contributing to solving the problem would provide less political payoff to Republicans than keeping the “border crisis” issue to wield against President Biden and Democrats in 2024.

On the Democratic side, a few opposed this compromise because it would in some fashion stiffen enforcement in inhumane ways. They were right to raise this objection. Yet the compromise offered a real shot at making life more humane for well over 2 million people. It could have demonstrated that government can manage asylum-seeking effectively while remaining true to our core values, potentially opening political space for widening channels to more legal migration later.

Get ready. This thing is going to dominate the political conversation for months. With tons of jobs available and continuing political unrest in Central and South America as well as the fact that the rules are about to change has led to a major influx of undocumented workers. Here’s the latest from California, where political leaders aren’t just cynical xenophobes:

Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom of California warned Monday that President Biden’s plan to reverse former President Donald Trump’s border policies could “break” his state. Newsom, speaking to ABC News on Monday, said, “The fact is, what we’ve got right now is not working and is about to break in a post-42 world unless we take some responsibility and ownership.”

“I’m saying that as a father,” the governor added. “I’m saying that as someone that feels responsible for being part of the solution and I’m trying to do my best here.”

Newsom claimed the U.S. government is sending “more and more” migrants to California because the state is “taking care of folks.” “The more we do, the burden is placed disproportionate on us,” he said.

“We’re already at capacity at nine of our sites,” Newsom continued. “We can’t continue to fund all of these sites because of the budgetary pressures now being placed on this state and the offsetting issues that I have to address.… The reality is, unless we’re doing what we’re doing, people will end up on the streets.

Newsom’s comments come as a surprise after years of championing policies to accommodate and expand protections to illegal migrants entering California. 

“On Day One of his administration, President Biden put forward a comprehensive plan focused on securing our border, ensuring Dreamers have a permanent home in our country, and helping businesses address their needs for more workers,” the governor’s office said in a statement to Fox News Digital, quoting Newsom’s comments from visiting the border on Dec. 12. The governor went on to claim that Republicans were disingenuous in their calls for tightened border security and immigration reform, accusing them of simply playing politics on the issue.

They want the issue and it looks like they are going to get it. I guess one possible temporary solution might come from the Federal Reserve which seems to be determine to create a hard landing and spike unemployment. Great.

That Sinema/Tillis plan was a good one. Progressives may have objected to some of the provisions but they were negotiating in good faith. But there isn’t more than a handful of Republicans, certainly not enough to break the filibuster, who would even talk about it. They love “the caravan.”

And, by the way, this issue helps Trump much more than DeSantis. It’s the backbone of his pitch and has been from the beginning. DeSantis had to go and find some immigrants in Texas to pull his stunt.

I’m dreading this …

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Hullabaloo stocking, it would be most appreciated.


The Big Reveal

Remember yesterday when I posted about Trump teasing a “Big Announcement” today? It looked like this:

People were wondering if he was going to announce a big new policy position, a major world trip to visit all of his favorite tyrants, Kari Lake as his running mate, something big to really kickstart his flailing campaign.

You will NOT believe what it was:

There is no indication that he’s having some fun with his people or something. He just put it out there.

Some of his followers are not amused:

Lol…

Meanwhile, back on Planet Earth:

This little gambit was just plain weird, even for him. Is it possible that he really is completely losing it? What in the world was he thinking?

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Hullabaloo stocking, it would be most appreciated.


The Ron DeSantis method: trolling with executive power

This piece by JV Last about DeSantis’s latest stunt with the vaccines is excellent:

Short version: DeSantis made a series of announcements this week about how he’s going to go after the Deep Science Big Elites or whatever by:

Seeking a grand jury to potentially prosecute the manufacturers of COVID vaccines.
Investigating “cardiac-related deaths” linked to COVID vaccines.
Standing up a “Public Health Integrity Committee” to oversee the medical establishment.

In a minute we’ll talk about the merits of these ideas. But let’s start with the fact that none of these proposals will amount to anything. Which is perfectly in line with the DeSantis modus operandi: big, performative, shit-stirring uses of government power—that are quickly (and quietly) walked back, overturned, or abandoned.

Remember the Stop WOKE Act? It was DeSantis’s big anti-CRT-in-schools legislation. (This was back when CRT was the most important issue facing the republic.) It was stopped by the courts because it is flatly and obviously unconstitutional.

Remember when DeSantis punished Disney for opposing his Don’t Say Gay law by revoking the company’s Reedy Creek special tax district? Yeah, that’s going by the wayside because it wasn’t thought out and would wind up costing Florida taxpayers money. The face-saving climbdown spin seems to be that DeSantis is reconsidering because Disney has changed CEOs and it was the old CEO whom he wanted to punish.1

And how about DeSantis’s mass “voter fraud” arrests, which managed to round up a bunch of people who don’t look like they live in the Villages on trumped-up voter-fraud charges? Yeah, those cases are falling apart in court because they had no basis in law.

Oh—and don’t forget the DeSantis promise to ship immigrants out of Florida after his stunt sending asylum seekers from Texas to Martha’s Vineyard blew up in his face.

This is what he does. And his anti-vaccine programs are no different. No vaccine maker will be prosecuted in Florida. There will be no peer-reviewed research showing that the risks of vaccine side effects were greater than the benefits. A “Public Health Integrity Committee” will not interfere with the practice of medicine in Florida.

And that’s by design.

The impracticability of DeSantis’s abuses of power are a win-win situation for him with Republican voters. They’re the governing version of shitposting.

The MAGA nationalists get stroked by them. And by the time the abuse of power is countered, DeSantis has given them a tease in some other erogenous zone. He’s edging the MAGAs and they are into it.

As for Team Normal, they look at his abuses of power and say,

“See? Nothing ever comes of it. The system holds. The guardrails work. And he probably doesn’t even mean it. He’s just doing this performative stuff for the rubes. If anything, these performances are good because they’re helping him detach the base from Trump!”

Might DeSantis actually mean it? Or, if he doesn’t mean it now, is it possible that humans are mimetic creatures and the principle of fake-it-until-you-make can be true for both good and evil?

These concerns are dismissed out of hand.

Gotta support the team, bruh.

And the COVID stuff? My God: More than a million Americans died from it. People still die from it every day. And DeSantis is playing games with this disease.

Yep. Team Normal is just as culpable. Whether Trump or DeSantis, the team comes first. And the team, my friends, is being coached by right wing loons and fascists.

The point about using the power of the state to shitpost and troll is a good one. It is the fundamental difference between Trump and DeSantis. For the former it’s all personal and he focuses his fire on individuals. They love to yell “lock her up” about the hated Clinton, for instance , or “Prosecute Fauci!” They need a face to hate. It’s Trump’s strength in a battle with DeSantis.

DeSantis uses the power of the state to go after the institutions and ideas that people like Tucker Carlson are targeting. It hasn’t worked out very well so far, but I think it is a portent of the future. This is where Trumpism is going — it’s American Orbanism.

And as Last concludes, it’s particularly odious:

The DeSantis stuff especially grinds my gears because he’s not shitposting on Twitter—he’s using the awesome power of the state to hurt real people. The alleged vote fraudsters? These were actual human beings with jobs and families. The asylum seekers from Venezuela he tricked into going to Martha’s Vineyard? They’re folks who braved unimaginable horrors to escape an ugly dictatorship.

And the COVID stuff? My God: More than a million Americans died from it. People still die from it every day. And DeSantis is playing games with this disease.

And, by the way, this doesn’t exactly help. It gives Team Normal and the members of the GOP who “just want to win” a way to rationalize DeSantis’ grotesque posturing: “see, he doesn’t really mean it.”

It’s Happy Hollandaise time at Hullabaloo! If you’d like to put a little something in the old stocking it would be most appreciated:


Why we blog

*scroll down for newer posts

Thank you to those of you who have put a little something in the old Hullabaloo Holiday stocking this year! It’s so satisfying to know that people value your work and want you to keep doing it. It truly means the world to me.

The fact is that I haven’t taken a full day off in more than 15 years even when on vacation. (You can look it up …) Tom Sullivan broke his similar record when he had a heart attack and even then was only out for five days! Does that seem just a tad obsessive? Yeah, it is. I fully admit that.

I’m a political junkie from way, way back but writing this blog for the past 20 years has brought focus and perspective to my political views. Political evolution is inevitable if you are paying attention, maturing etc, but there’s something about writing it all down every day, like a diary or a long intimate correspondence as they did back in the day, that hones your thinking.

We aren’t a fancy new Substack, but we deliver every single day, all day. It’s what makes a blog a blog.


I’ve mellowed a bit over the years. In the early days when I wrote psuedonymously, I was edgier, more profane, and a whole lot more judgmental towards people who are trying their best. (It’s never too late for an old dog to learn to be a nicer person.) But as I look back and shudder at my mistakes, I realize that I always had a few underlying beliefs that have served me well. Among them is that it’s important not to fall in love with politicians even if you find them wildly appealing (which isn’t often.) They aren’t your boyfriend or girlfriend.

Another is that the media is a herd and subject to group think — but just because that group think is often wrong it doesn’t mean it is never right. Contrarianism for contrarianism’s sake is just as bad.

Finally, I have known for more than 30 years that the Republican party took a dark turn toward authoritarianism, even as it screams “freedom!” at every turn. In fact, the seeds go back even farther. It is what motivated me to chronicle our time — or document the atrocities, as I like to put it.

All of that informs my writing about politics and I think it’s been helpful in assessing both political parties as we’ve tried to traverse this tumultuous time. I’m sure that I have many blind spots. They are revealed to me often. But I do try to be clear-eyed about my biases and suss out when it’s best to trust my instincts and when it behooves me to defer to those who know more than I do.

It’s hard. These online mediums are a test of maturity and decency and it’s so, so easy for anger and spite and jealousy and all the rest to get the best of you. Just look at what’s happened to Facebook and twitter. But I would like to think that for the most part this little old blog can serve as a refuge for those of you who like an overview of the news of the day that brings a little perspective and maybe a little information you can’t get anywhere else.

If this is valuable to you, I hope you’ll consider giving us some support so that we can keep going for another year. (It really is a year to year prospect…) It’s a pleasure to offer this blog for free to anyone who wants it but the support those of you who can afford it provides makes that possible.

And thanks again to all who have helped us keep the lights on here at Hullabaloo over the course of the last 20 years. It’s a privilege to write for all of you.

Happy Hollandaise everyone!


Defund Everything!

Marge and her crew have a plan

Punchbowl’s Jake Sherman reports this morning that House Republicans plan to revive the Holman Rule in their rules package in January. What is the Holman Rule you ask? Greg Sargent wrote about it a few months back:

This obscure rule — which Republicans revived last time they held the majority, until the Democratic majority ended it — would allow Republicans to use spending bills totry toslash the salary of specific federal officials or eliminate blocks of federal employees, and thus specific programs.

In a little-noticed aside, Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.) recently floated this idea, without detail. So it’s easy to see this rule being used as a mechanism to try toeliminate Garland’s salary, or the salaries of FBI officials overseeing an investigation involving Trump (or, if this happens, Justice Department officials prosecuting him).

Republicans could also attempt to defund any investigations into Trump, or even defund probes and prosecutions relating to the Jan. 6, 2021, attack. They could do this without the more improbable act of defunding the whole FBI.

Such an effort, of course, would not pass the Senate (if Democrats hold it) and would never get signed by President Biden. But it’s obvious Trump loyalists in the House will force showdowns over this, and if the GOP majority is narrow, those loyalists might be more empowered to succeed.

“I have no doubt whatsoever that they would use the threat of government shutdowns and debt ceiling breaches,” said Beyer, who predicted “some of the worst attacks on the rule of law this country has ever seen.”

Other Democrats also fear this. Rep. Gerry Connolly (Va.) suggested in a statement that Republicans who are “all too willing to do Trump’s bidding” will weaponize the Holman Rule. And Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (Md.) said they will “use the levers of government to target, harass, and defund.”

When you hear Marge Greene screeching incessantly about “defunding” everything from the FBI to the White House, this is what she’s talking about. Of course, she’s only been in Congress for two years so she may not yet understand that these things require Senate approval and a presidential signature but even if she does, she doesn’t care. They want to turn everything into a spectacle.

I’m sure you recall the last time the GOP ran the congress, right?

Marge gets what Marge wants in this new congress. She wants to defund the government and they are going to have to at least try or she will not be happy. Nobody wants to make Marge unhappy. After all, she’s threatened to bring an armed mob to the Capitol. I think she means it.

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Hullabaloo stocking, it would be most appreciated.


Anyone who votes for people like me shouldn’t vote at all

A very Republican solution

A reader sent former Ohio Democratic Party chair David Pepper a response letter from Ohio state Rep. Ninon Vitale (R). The reader wrote Vitale to oppose a bill in the state House.

Pepper explains, “You see, once again, Republicans have been pushing: 1) to add even more limits to the use of voter drop boxes; 2) to further limit early voting, both in person and by mail; and 3) to add a strict photo ID law, something Ohio has never had.”

Vitale’s response references the founders and argues, not in so many words, that we should not encourage voting by people who would elect people such as himself.

Behold:

Pepper explains how awkward the pending bill must be for its sponsors. Republicans have for years overseen Ohio elections and bragged about what a fine job they’ve done:

Secretary of State Frank LaRose’s own website and press releases tout Ohio as “one of the nation’s leaders in secure, accurate and accessible elections.”

In Ohio, they’ve assured us, it’s “easy to vote and hard to cheat.”  Ohio “got it right,” LaRose said in an ad after 2020, while (misleadingly) suggesting other states did not.

So why push for yet another bill to fix what ain’t broke? Because, says Pepper, “the measures they push always have a disproportionate impact on Democratic voters—and Black voters in particular.”

“Do we want uninformed or unserious people voting because the founding fathers of this country did not?”

TPM’s publishing Mark Meadows‘s emails this week reveals a plethora of unserious members of Congress belonging to an unserious political party that is egregiously unserious about their oaths to “support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic,” nor about bearing “true faith and allegiance to the same.” Never mind Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s (R-Calif.) announcement that his delegation’s first act in 2023 will be to read aloud the constitution they don’t take seriously (and never did).

The emails from the Crackpot Caucus are rife with bogus information from conspiracy websites and recommendations for mounting a bloodless(?) red, white and blue coup.

Vice News:

South Carolina Congressman Ralph Norman, for example, called for “invoking Marshall [sic] Law!” in a Jan. 17 text to Meadows, three days before President Joe Biden’s inauguration. Texas Rep. Brian Babin, meanwhile, told Meadows on Nov. 6 that “when we lose Trump we lose our Republic.”

[…]

North Carolina Rep. Ted Budd, for example, voted to deny certification of Pennsylvania and Arizona’s electoral votes. Budd reportedly texted Meadows on Nov. 7 alleging ties between Dominion and liberal billionaire George Soros, the target of a plethora of right-wing conspiracy theories. “Praying for your health!” Budd told Meadows. “FYI Dominion Voting Systems is owned by State Street Capital, which are Carlyle (Rubenstein alums), Rubenstein is a longtime co-investor with Soros Capital.”

It’s been said before that these clowns are some of the most un-self-aware politicians this country has seen. God help us survive them. If we took their advice, they would be the very people to discourage from voting. But discouraging people from voting is un-American, isn’t it?

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Christmas stocking, you can do so here or at the address on the left sidebar.


Get brain on inflation policy

No, not you, dear readers

Cory Doctorow throws shade on “ghouls like Lawrence Summers” for offering bad advice on inflation. Doctorow has a little help from Nobel-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz and spins a tastier tale than I could. Would you believe the fairy tale spun by inflation hawks?

First, the fairy tale:

Here’s the inflation story you’re expected to believe (advance warning: this story is entirely false): America gave the poors too much money during the lockdown and now the economy is awash in free money, which made those poors so rich that now they’re refusing to work, which means the economy isn’t making anything anymore. With all that extra money and all those missing workers, prices are skyrocketing.

To hear ghouls like Lawrence Summers tell it, there is only one answer to this. We have to immiserate the poors: jack up interest rates, kick off a recession, destroy millions of jobs, until the poors are stripped of their underserved fortunes, and, humbled, they return to their labors:

As noted: this is bullshit. Countries all over the world experienced inflation during and after the lockdowns, irrespective of whether they handed out relief money to keep people from starving to death while their workplaces were shuttered. America has slightly higher inflation than some other OECD countries, but the causes have nothing to do with overly generous relief packages.

“The Causes of and Responses to Today’s Inflation,” a Roosevelt Institute paper by Nobel-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz and macroeconomist Regmi Ira, debunks this false inflation narrative, revealing it as a sham aimed at destroying workers’ lives, offering a far more plausible explanation for inflation:

https://rooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/RI_CausesofandResponsestoTodaysInflation_Report_202212.pdf

Stiglitz and macroeconomist Regmi Ira compare interest rate hikes to remedy inflation to medieval bloodletting. Practitioners did “more of the same when their therapy failed until the patient either had a miraculous recovery (for which the bloodletters took credit) or died (which was more likely).”

Doctorow summarizes:

Let’s start with the case against bloodletting. Inflation hawks warn us of the wage price spiral, which is when inflation goes up and powerful workers bargain for higher wages, which drives up costs, and thus prices, and thus wages. This is the fairy-tale version of what happened in the 1970s and it’s entirely true except for the fact that it was OPEC’s embargo driving up oil prices that caused inflation, a fact that makes it entirely false, but oh well.

Still, let’s be generous to bed-wetting, seventies-haunted inflation hawks and pretend that we’re worried about a wage-price spiral. Good news! There isn’t one. Wage growth peaked in June at 4.8% and by October it had declined to 4.2%, making real wages 2.3% lower than they were in Oct 2021.

How is it that America’s all-powerful workforce was willing to take a paycut rather than demanding wages that keep pace with inflation? “Weak unions, globalization, and changes in the structure of the economy.”

Plus, workers are not demanding more because they don’t expect inflation to worsen, unlike the hawks. Inflation is not being driven by “greedy workers and free money and too much demand.” (But you knew that.) The items going up the most are those that generate the most profit. Meaning, there’s more room for price-gouging.

Those additional profits also aren’t producing multiplier effects, though: the biggest price-gougers are spending their profits on stock buybacks and dividends, meaning that they’re funneling that money to rich people, who then stash it offshore. A billion dollar stock buyback doesn’t result in a billion loaves of bread being bought at the corner bakery.

The five root causes of today’s US inflation are:

I. energy and food price-spikes;

II. changes in the kinds of goods we want;

III. supply interruptions (mostly for cars);

IV. higher rents (resulting from work-from-home moves);

V. market power (AKA price-gouging).

None of these can be fixed by jacking interest rates or forcing workers into unemployment.

I’d reiterate the tendency of policymakers to a) have more concern for financial markets than for the real “makers” (the working class), and b) to hold the dystopian, if not Dickensian, view (’tis the season) that the purpose of people is to serve the economy.

Doctorow and the report offer more detail, naturally, but we’ll skip to the end here where the authors advise that raising interest rates above their abnormal lows of the last decade and a half is better for workers. Rates that are too low “distort capital markets,110 induce
innovation to save labor,111 and enhance wealth inequality.” Yes, a “but” is coming:

Inducing a potentially unnecessary, large economic downturn and accompanying increase in unemployment is not what the country needs. It only adds to the suffering of people who are already struggling. Together, these concerns strengthen the argument for a measured monetary response to inflation—combined with fiscal policy and other more targeted measures.

The good news is that all the recent indicators point to inflation moderating on its own. There is now increasing evidence that supply side problems are at last being resolved. Key prices like energy and food show strong mean reversion—they’re returning to more normal levels—and that will be disinflationary.118 Hopefully, this will induce the Fed to exercise even more caution in its policy of monetary tightening.

“The best we can hope for,” Doctorow adds acerbically, “is that the Fed won’t get stuck in loop where the interest rates will continue rising until morale improves.”

Again, not my area. But we can hope Scranton Joe has advisers around him who believe the economy exists to serve working people and not the other way around.

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to throw a little something in the old Christmas stocking, you can do so here or at the address on the left sidebar.


Maybe it wasn’t just “candidate quality”

Maybe they have even bigger problems

Philip Bump of the Washington Post has an interesting take on the failure of the Republicans to take the Senate in the midterms. It’s conventional wisdom, most recently pushed by Mitch McConnell, that it was all about those damned Trump endorsements and dizzy MAGA candidates. But what if that’s not all there was to it?

It is obviously true that candidates like Herschel Walker — he of the challenging Georgia situation — were not particularly strong on the stump. It is also true that there was a consistent pattern across Senate races in 2022: Incumbents won, and open seats in states that heavily preferred one candidate or the other in 2020 backed the Senate candidate from that party.

In the two swing-state contests without incumbents, Republicans won one and lost one. This pattern is hard to attribute strictly to candidate quality.

In Arizona, where Blake Masters lost by 5 points, and New Hampshire, where Don Bolduc lost by 9 points, the Republican candidates were taking on Democratic incumbents in states Joe Biden won in 2020. In every place where that combination was in play, the Republican challenger lost.

Remember, though, that New Hampshire also voted for Biden by more than 7 points in 2020. So Masters actually underperformed his party’s 2020 presidential outcome much worse than Bolduc did, since the shift in his race was 4.6 points more favorable to the Democrats than the 2020 presidential result, while the shift in Bolduc’s was 1.7 points.

Now compare Bolduc to Joe O’Dea, the Republican candidate who faced off against the Democratic candidate in Colorado. Over the summer, shortly before he was complaining about candidate quality, McConnell dubbed O’Dea the “perfect candidate” for the state. But O’Dea also lost — with his race shifting 1.1 points toward the Democrats relative to 2020.

In other words, O’Dea did about the same relative to the 2020 presidential results as Bolduc did. Despite his being “perfect” and Bolduc being an exemplar of the opposite.

There were 10 Senate races in states that backed Biden or Trump by less than 10 points. Four had Democratic incumbents who won, and four had Republican incumbents who won. In the other two races, in Pennsylvania and Ohio, the results in the Senate race ran to the left of the 2020 presidential results. But since Ohio is redder and the swing smaller, J.D. Vance won his election. Mehmet Oz, in Pennsylvania, lost.

Bump delves into some of the races in more detail and concludes that the CW just doesn’t explain everything:

At the end of the day, it’s understandable why McConnell would like to identify Trump-backed candidates as the party’s weak spot. It is certainly true that candidates like Walker didn’t do the party much good. But the party also had wins in places where they underperformed and losses where they overperformed. They had perfect candidates who did worse than Trump had in 2020.

The problem wasn’t only candidate quality.

He doesn’t offer an explanation but I think it’s pretty simple. The GOP brand is tarnished and where people aren’t completely turned off they are, at least, confused. It’s going to take more than getting rid of Trump to fix that.

It’s Happy Hollandaise time. If you’d like to throw something into the old Hullabaloo stocking it would be much appreciated —