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Month: March 2024

I’ll Drink To That

“I really feel like 2016 was the year that the mask came off”

Still from Phantom of the Opera (1943).

One can only hope. North Carolina’s MAGAfied GOP is turning off once-faithful Republicans and turning them into once-Republicans (USAToday):

Ex-Republican Phebe Roberson, 75, said she “can’t stand” former President Donald Trump and voted against him in North Carolina’s GOP primary earlier this month. 

She also cast a ballot against Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, the incendiary Republican gubernatorial candidate who received Trump’s endorsement ahead of the primary. 

The right fringe, she says, has “stolen my Republican party.” She cast her primary ballot for Nikki Haley.

Justin Bradford, 47, of Pinehurst, once voted a straight Republican ticket, but began moving away from the GOP a dozen years ago when he switched his registration to unaffiliated and voted for Barack Obama.

Still, he said the Republican party “hadn’t really turned the corner yet.” 

“I really feel like 2016 was the year that the mask came off,” Bradford said. 

North Carolina’s fall election will be consequential not only for Joe Biden but for the state’s Democrats.

The “road to the presidency” goes through North Carolina, term-limited Gov. Roy Cooper (D) tells reporters. Except for Obama’s win in 2008, Republicans have won the state’s electoral votes for nearly half a century.

Then, of course, there is Michele Morrow, the NC GOP’s home-schooling candidate for superintendent of the state’s schools. She’s the Witch of the East to Robinson’s “worse than the other one” Witch of the West. Robinson advocates a total ban on abortion.

Bradford said he’s thinking about his 18-year-old daughter in both the gubernatorial and presidential election. 

“I have some genuine concerns for my daughter for the kind of world, you know, she’s going to operate in now as an adult,” Bradford said. 

“I don’t want to be super dire about things. But I’m a little bit freaked out right now.” 

Listen to those feelings, Justin.

There are just 99 Republicans in my very blue precinct, 627 unaffiliateds (80% vote blue) , and 727 Democrats. In North Carolina’s March 5, semi-closed primary, Nikki Haley received 77 votes, Trump 36, Chris Christie 2 and 2 No preferences. The voter history files are not updated yet to indicate how many UNAs voted a GOP ballot. Obviously, some voted in the GOP primary, likely for Nikki Haley. In the large, heavily red county to the south, Haley received 31%. I’ll take that as a good sign for November.

Happy St. Patrick’s Day. See you at the brew pub later.

(h/t BF)

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Ground Zero For Election Denialism

No vaccine yet for MAGA fever

Protect Election Integrity sign at Turning Point Action rally, Phoenix, Arizona.. Photo (2021) by Gage Skidmore via Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0 DEED).

That’s the thing about democracy. When it’s working smoothly no one notices. Public officials derided as the Deep State do their jobs, underpaid compared to the private sector, and deliver your mail, take away your trash, deposit your Social Security checks, run your police department. A small army of them administer elections in your state, unseen save for the handful of retirees you see every two years at your polling station.

“Nobody knew who we were, what we did,” [Arizona Secretary of State Adrian] Fontes said ruefully. “It’s a little bit different now.”

Fontes now has a bodyguard, reports The Guardian:

“It’s very sad,” Fontes said. “It’s a sad state of affairs that in a civil society, in one of the most advanced civilizations that anybody could have imagined, we have to worry about physical violence.”

These are troubled times in Arizona. Until 2020, election officials were the largely anonymous folk who did the important yet unseen work of making democracy run smoothly.

The MAGA cult changed all that, although it’s not as if election conspiracy theories were new on the right. Donald “91 Counts” Trump just supercharged them when he refused to accept defeat in the 2020 election. Arizona became “ground zero for election denial in America.”

In 2020, the Republican-controlled state legislature sponsored a widely discredited “audit” of votes in Maricopa county, the largest constituency, which contain Phoenix. Republican leaders put themselves forward as fake electors in a possibly criminal attempt to flip Joe Biden’s victory in Arizona to Trump’s.

Two years later, in the midterms, armed vigilantes dressed in tactical gear stalked drop boxes in a vain hunt for “mules” stuffing fraudulent ballots into them. Amid the furore, election officials found themselves assailed by online harassment and death threats.

No longer faceless bureaucrats, they had become public enemy No 1.

So the marine veteran and his state elections team are war-gaming out worst-case scenarios for election mishaps this fall. Truthfully, that’s not unique to Fontesand Arizona. Our local elections team does the same, just with less threat of bomb scares and  armed vigilantes stalking polling and vote counting stations.

“Tiger teams” have been assembled to be quickly dispatched across the state to fix software or other voting problems. To anticipate bad actors using artificial intelligence to create malicious deepfakes of candidates, his office has done its own AI manipulations, making videos in which individuals speak fluently in languages they do not know such as German and Mandarin. “They were very, very believable,” Fontes noted.

The election threat index reports that 53% of Arizonans are represented by Republicans in the legislature “with a proven track record of election denial.”

The strain is taking a toll on election workers who have dedicated their careers to fair and accurate administration of elections. Now the once-clerical work may include more security cameras, armed guards, and PTSD.

Arizona is suffering one of the severest brain drains of electoral knowhow in the country. Of its 15 counties, 12 have lost a top election administrator since the last presidential cycle, prised out by a constant barrage of bile.

Most of those quitting are women, a reflection of the predominance of female election officials and the often sexually charged nature of the threats.

Of the five members of the Maricopa county board of supervisors, two have announced they are not standing for re-election. [Clint] Hickman, recipient of the lynching threat, said recently that “it’s gotten worse and worse … I thought I was looking way too much in the rearview mirror”.

It’s a lengthy bit of reporting, but the indepependent state legislature theory cranks haven’t gone away, nor demands for hand counts. COVID-19 is not the pandemic it was in 2020, but there is no vaccine yet for MAGA fever. The people complaining that people are losing faith in elections are the very ones spreading conspiracy theories that undemine that faith.

Rather than reassuring his constituents that local elections are free, fair, and secure, Ron Gould, a Mohave county supervisor, demands hand counts:

Wouldn’t it be easier than moving to costly and cumbersome hand counts simply to tell his constituents that voting machines work?

“They’re hearing that from everybody, and that doesn’t make them believe it’s true. So if hand counts are what they want, I’m going to give them what they want,” he said.

Where does he think this could end?

“In a revolution, actually,” he said. “People are ginned up. They feel disenfranchised, disgusted, that they have no control over their lives or the political direction of their country. If they can’t solve it at the ballot box, then they’re going to do it in other ways.”

Giving them hand counts will not change a thing if Trump does not win, and maybe even if he does. First, because these are people who have rejected democracy except as window dressing for authoritarianism. And second, during a drawn-out, hand-count process, they’ll spread rumors that results are taking so long because dark forces are working to “steal” the election anyway. Feeding the delusion will not cure it. The reasoning is circular.

What happens here is that when MAGA types show up at regular Board of Elections meetings skeptical and intent on finding cheating, they find instead meticulous checks and balances, scrupulously followed that soften their opinions in time. It’s what they don’t know and think they do where conspiracy theories breed.

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Will The Next Civil War Start In Arizona?

WTF is happening here?

These are troubled times in Arizona. Until 2020, election officials were the largely anonymous folk who did the important yet unseen work of making democracy run smoothly.

“Nobody knew who we were, what we did,” Fontes said ruefully. “It’s a little bit different now.”

All changed with Donald Trump’s unprecedented refusal to accept defeat in the 2020 election. His conspiracy to subvert the election has had an explosive impact in Arizona, a battleground state which has become arguably the ground zero of election denial in America.

In 2020, the Republican-controlled state legislature sponsored a widely discredited “audit” of votes in Maricopa county, the largest constituency containing Phoenix. Republican leaders put themselves forward as fake electors in a possibly criminal attempt to flip Joe Biden’s victory in Arizona to Trump’s.

Two years later, in the midterms, armed vigilantes dressed in tactical gear stalked drop boxes in a vain hunt for “mules” stuffing fraudulent ballots into them. Amid the furore, election officials found themselves assailed by online harassment and death threats.

No longer faceless bureaucrats, they had become public enemy No 1.

With the likely presidential rematch between Trump and Biden just eight months away, Fontes, as top elections administrator, is facing a formidable challenge. He is preparing for it like the marine veteran that he is.

The secretary of state is staging tabletop exercises in which officials wargame how to react to worst-case scenarios. What would they do if a fire broke out at the ballot printing warehouse, or if a cargo train spilled its toxic load on to the facility storing voting equipment?

“Tiger teams” have been assembled that can be quickly dispatched across the state to fix software or other voting problems. To anticipate bad actors using artificial intelligence to create malicious deepfakes of candidates, his office has done its own AI manipulations, making videos in which individuals speak fluently languages they do not know such as German and Mandarin. “They were very, very believable,” he noted.

Specialists from the Department of Homeland Security have been deployed to advise counties on physical and cybersecurity. Active shooter drills have been rehearsed at polling stations.

As the Washington Post reported, kits containing tourniquets to staunch bloodletting, hammers for breaking glass windows and door-blocking devices have been distributed to county election offices. “These are not things we would ever want to train anybody on,” Fontes said. “But given the environment …”

With all this under way, Fontes insists he’s ready for anything. “We will prepare as best we can for any contingencies,” he said. “And then we have no choice but to march forward, hopefully.”

The MAGA cult is out of its mind. This bureaucrat has to have a bodyguard because of all the threats. And they are totally preparing for violence in November.

Read the whole article in the Guardian. It will make your hair stand on end. I don’t know if any of this is going to come to pass — I fervently hope not. But the fact that they have to prepare for it because that orange imbecile couldn’t admit that he lost is simply stunning. My God.

Update:

https://twitter.com/AccountableGOP/status/1769103944783933951?s=20

“Slow The Testing Down, Please”

Please pass this on to any jackass who claims that Trump did a good job with the pandemic. Aside from the inability to even get masks and gowns to NY City in the early days and his insistence that people take snake oil or inject disinfectant, there was his desire to stop testing people because it made him look bad that we had so many case. It is one of the most important low points no one should be allowed to forget it. Ever.

Kellyanne tries to put lipstick on the GOP pig

Jamelle Bouie on Kellyanne Conway’s lame attempt to paper over the GOP’s problem on reproductive rights:

Republican strategists are well aware that abortion is an albatross around the party’s neck. Their advice? Find new language.

“If it took 50 years to overturn Roe v. Wade, it’s going to take more than 50 minutes, 50 hours or 50 weeks to explain to people what that means, and more importantly, what it doesn’t mean, and to move hearts and minds,” said Kellyanne Conway, a former adviser to Donald Trump, at Politico’s Health Care Summit on Wednesday. During the conversation, she advised Republican candidates to focus on “concession” and “consensus” and to turn the conversation toward exceptions. She also urged Republicans to avoid ballot initiatives on abortion, for fear that they could mobilize voters against them.

I have no doubt that Republicans will take this advice; they are desperate to neutralize the issue. But the Republican abortion problem isn’t an issue of language, it’s an issue of material reality. The reason voters are turned off by the Republican position on abortion has less to do with language and more to do with the actual consequences of putting tight restrictions on reproductive rights. Countless Americans have direct experience with difficult and complicated pregnancies; countless Americans have direct experience with abortion care; and countless Americans are rightfully horrified by the stories of injury and cruelty coming out of anti-abortion states.

No amount of rhetorical moderation on abortion will diminish the impact of stories like that of K Monica Kelly, who had to travel from Tennessee to Florida to end a potentially life-threatening pregnancy, thanks to Tennessee’s strict post-Dobbs abortion ban. Nor will it obscure the extent to which the most conservative Republicans are gunning for other reproductive health services, from hormonal birth control to in vitro fertilization.

Good luck Kellyanne. I don’t think this one’s going to fly. What do you plan to do about zealots like Speaker Mike Johnson who wasn’t exactly helpful:

“We need to look at the ethics surrounding that issue, but it’s an important one,” Johnson told “CBS Mornings” co-host Tony Dokoupil on Thursday. “If you do believe that life begins at conception, it’s a really important question to wrestle with.”

Johnson, a Louisiana Republican, made clear his support for the “sanctity of life” as well as IVF. But he then said there’s an “ethical handling” of the issue that must be considered by states. 

“In some states, like in Louisiana, there’s a limit on the number of embryos that can be created because they’re sensitive to that issue,” he said. “But it’s something that every state has to wrestle with and I think Alabama has done a good job of it.”

Yeah. This is going great for them.

We Just Have To Beat Him

Michael Tomasky runs down all the roadblocks, delays, ratfucks and manipulations being used by the Trump team (which is a D-List team at best, which says something) to ensure that Trump does not go to trial on any of his criminal cases before the election. It’s depressing, but it’s true and you should read the whole thing if you haven’t seen it all put together.

His conclusion is absolutely correct:

When we talk about what’s wrong with our democracy, we talk about our political structures and processes. We talk about the Senate. We talk about the Electoral College. We talk about gerrymandering. And of course all these problems are real.

We don’t talk about our legal system. We should. The American legal system doesn’t uphold the values of democratic rule like equality. It far more often corrupts and perverts them. Rich people like Trump twist the system into a pretzel and win delay after delay after delay. Corporations pay fines, usually not that large when considered against their bottom line, and they admit no wrongdoing, even after their practices have killed people. Poor people, meanwhile, get pushed around by the system constantly.

There is no such thing in this country as equality before the law, and everyone knows it. And I would argue that this legal inequality does more damage to democracy than all the political inequities for the simple reason that they’re more visible. And they’ve never been more visible than they are now with Trump. If he is able to push all these cases back past November, or at least three of them (the Bragg case should proceed this summer), and then especially if he wins the White House and pardons himself, that will constitute the biggest failure of the rule of law in the history of the country.

When we talk about what’s wrong with our democracy, we talk about our political structures and processes. We talk about the Senate. We talk about the Electoral College. We talk about gerrymandering. And of course all these problems are real.

We don’t talk about our legal system. We should. The American legal system doesn’t uphold the values of democratic rule like equality. It far more often corrupts and perverts them. Rich people like Trump twist the system into a pretzel and win delay after delay after delay. Corporations pay fines, usually not that large when considered against their bottom line, and they admit no wrongdoing, even after their practices have killed people. Poor people, meanwhile, get pushed around by the system constantly.

There is no such thing in this country as equality before the law, and everyone knows it. And I would argue that this legal inequality does more damage to democracy than all the political inequities for the simple reason that they’re more visible. And they’ve never been more visible than they are now with Trump. If he is able to push all these cases back past November, or at least three of them (the Bragg case should proceed this summer), and then especially if he wins the White House and pardons himself, that will constitute the biggest failure of the rule of law in the history of the country.

None of that takes into consideration that after what we’ve seen happen with the Fanni Willis case it’s entirely possible the whole thing could blow up into a mistrial or even a dismissal or an acquittal. There are no guarantees on any of this.

As Tomasky says:

The lesson? We can’t count on the legal system to stop Trump. We have to stop him ourselves. One conviction would be nice; two would probably be quite helpful. But we can’t count on the broken legal system to do a job that we ourselves have to do at the polls.

Honestly, I don’t even think this is such a bad thing. I believe Trump should be held accountable for his crimes. It would be a travesty if they didn’t at least try. But at the end of the day this is a political problem and to the extent we still have a democracy politics is the only way to stop him. This isn’t just about Trump it’s about a political party that has become an authoritarian movement because it’s losing popular support. The only way to stop it is to defeat it, otherwise they’re just going to keep going, with Trump or without him.

4 Years Ago Today

Are you better off?

Yes you are better off. That was a historic horror show.

How about 5 years ago when the economy under Trump was supposedly the greatest the world has ever known:

Yep.

So how are people feeling right now?

Paul Krugman:

So Quinnipiac is doing swing-state polls that among other things ask people both about the state of the economy and their personal finances. Here’s Michigan, but you see the same disconnect elsewhere

I keep seeing claims that never mind the macro data, people’s lived experience is of a bad economy. But consumer sentiment isn’t a lived experience; it’s a narrative, and one that is actually at odds with people’s personal lives  

Why?

Free-fire America

Blue grass and blood stains

Bloody (grass) Blade. Photo by Chris Moody (2010) via Flickr (CC BY-NC 2.0 DEED).

The Nation:

In March 14, the Kentucky Senate Judiciary Committee voted to approve HB 5, the “Safer Kentucky Act.” The legislation will now head to the Senate floor for a vote, and it will almost certainly pass. The 78-page bill criminalizes homelessness—and decriminalizes the use of deadly force against individuals engaging in “unlawful camping.” Under this law, if a property owner believes an unhoused trespasser is attempting to commit a felony or attempting to “dispossess” them, they can shoot the homeless person.

Notably, The Bluegrass State found it necessary to make the language of existing related statutes more inclusive by changing his to his or her, and he to he or she. But shoot to kill. It’s fine.

The dispossess language is subsection a.

“[W]e are entering a time of vast restratification,” Chip Elliot wrote in Esquire in September 1981. “The United States is becoming more European…but it is a Europe of a different century. We are moving toward a culture in which we’ll have cooks, chauffeurs, maids, carpenters, brewmasters, vintners, industrialists, bankers, machinists, hat makers, shopkeepers, and kings and queens of a sort. And, of course, we’ll also have highwaymen, cutthroats, and thieves.” A time when people “wore swords and pistols whenever they went anywhere.”

1981. In response to a commentary on the shooting of John Lennon. What was “the social structure in America of the past three or four decades … has collapsed,” Elliot wrote over 40 years ago. It’s gotten worse since then, and since the widespread access to semiauto versions of military assault rifles. Oh, and the election of the nation’s first black president.

Ironic that these medieval “stand your ground” laws and their variants are a product of the ALEC-promotedCastle Doctrine.”

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Mike Pence Needs An Anger Translator

Trump wanted to “shoot Americans in the street”

Mike Pence has got righteous down. Just needs the anger. How many GOP allies are waiting for the signal to jump Trump’s ship? And Pence is just slipping out the door?

Pence: Donald Trump is pursuing and articulating an agenda that is at odds with the conservative agenda…. I cannot in good conscience endorse Donald Trump.

<YAWN>

This from the guy targeted for hanging by Trump’s Jan. 6 mob, egged on by Trump himself.

How fitting that Pence picked Friday, Marcy Wheeler tweets:

If Mike from Pennsylvania is auditioning for Pence’s anger translator, he’s got the idea. He needs to work on his delivery. But it’s a start.

Mike from Pennsylvania: Donald Trump cares the hell out of me…. He really scares me to death…. Donald Trump is mentally unfit for the office.

For your MAGA relatives:

Now with video!

In you missed it, Mike, the boss you gave puppy-eyed looks to wanted to deploy troops to “shoot Americans in the street.”

Mike? Nothing?

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For The Win, 5th Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide GOTV planning guide at ForTheWin.us.

Friday Night Soother

The sloth:

Just snoozing…

Sloths—the sluggish tree-dwellers of Central and South America—spend their lives in the tropical rain forests. They move through the canopy at a rate of about 40 yards per day, munching on leaves, twigs and buds. Sloths have an exceptionally low metabolic rate and spend 15 to 20 hours per day sleeping. And surprisingly enough, the long-armed animals are excellent swimmers. They occasionally drop from their treetop perches into water for a paddle.

It is my spirit animal.