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Month: August 2025

The Beshear Boomlet

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear is one of the top line contenders for the 2028 nomination. He’s seen as a potential winner because of his ability to win in a red state without completely abandoning liberal values. Axios reports on a recent Democratic confab he attended:

Many Democrats left House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries’ annual California fundraising event last week convinced Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear is running for president, according to four attendees.

Democrats lapped up the message from the two-term governor, who told big dollar donors and vulnerable House Democrats that the key to winning over Trump voters is staying true to your values.

  • Jeffries’ event at the luxury Lodge at Torrey Pines is the successor to Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi’s wine-soaked summer donor party in Napa, California.

Beshear’s biggest applause line came when he explained why he vetoed a bill in 2023, when he was up for reelection, that restricted some medical care and bathroom use for transgender people.

  • Beshear called it “the nastiest anti-trans bills in the nation — and I vetoed it,” according to attendees.
  • “There are some things worth losing over,” Beshear said.

Beshear went on to win by five percentage points in a deeply red state.

Democrats are eager to find candidates – and messages – that they think will appeal to voters in red and blue states.

  • Both Beshear and Jeffries spoke of the importance of authenticity and using words that voters actually use.
  • Don’t be afraid to say “addiction,” Beshear said, when discussing the opioid crisis.
  • Try to avoid using overly sanitized phrases like “substance abuse disorder,” he counseled.

In both public and private conversations, the looming mid-cycle redistricting battle was frequently discussed. Democrats promised their donors that they would respond to GOP gerrymander efforts.

  • “We are working on an aggressive plan to make sure we fight fire with fire on redistricting,” according to a member of Congress in attendance.

There were others there like David Schor who reportedly told the donors that some of what they care about are not valued by the voters. I’m not sure specifically what that means but this is how Wikipedia describes his philosophy:

Shor is an advocate for what he terms “popularism”, the idea that Democrats should campaign on a strategy of focusing on issues that enjoy electoral popularity, such as supporting specific economic issues over polarizing social and cultural issues.[29][30] Some political analysts, including Michael Podhorzer, have criticized his work for a lack of transparency regarding his methods and data sources.[29]

Shor has prominently argued since the 2024 election that Gen Z is the most conservative generation in decades, even more than Baby Boomers which makes its electorally necessary for Democrats to moderateJean M. Twenge has criticized this argument on the grounds that it’s based on a single year’s data and that most long-term and other available evidence contradicts it. She further argues that 2024’s swing may been a “one-off event” as a result of Gen Z’s anti-establishment attitudes and that they are more liberal than other generations on specific issues and less likely to identify as conservative.[31]

I don’t know who’s right and whether Beshear fits into Schor’s paradigm but I’m not surprised that the Dems would invite Shor to speak. The idea that Democrats need to moderate is perennial and there’s always someone selling the idea.

I’m not sure any of that is even relevant in our politics in the 2020s. We are fighting fascism, after all. I can’t even imagine at this point where we are going to be 3 years from now.

Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter

Lol:

A spokesperson for California State Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas confirmed to ABC News that the state legislature is aiming to release draft maps on Friday.

Newsom’s post did not offer any details on the maps or how he plans to get them approved, although Newsom has said previously he would consider trying to have maps on the ballot in a special election in November.

The California governor said he would be part of a press conference this week with “powerful” Democrats, but didn’t offer details about who would be in attendance.

He’s talking in Trump speak and I think it’s pretty funny. But this is actually a very serious issue and I hope that Newsom and the California Democrats can get this done. From what I hear they’re all very confident that it can be. We’ll see…

But let’s give credit where credit is due. They’re doing things. Some may fail but at least they’re trying.

Other Countries Will Make The Vaccines

But will Americans be allowed to have them?

I feel quite certain that we’ll be way down the list when other countries are the ones researching, developing and manufacturing the life-saving vaccines in the future. Why wouldn’t they? Our government is treating them like garbage.

At least a dozen countries are interested in developing their own vaccines because they’re losing confidence that the US government will have immunizations ready for the next pandemic, a top biotech investor said.

Other nations have largely depended on the US to make shots that are deployed globally. The Covid-19 vaccines, developed by Pfizer Inc. and Moderna Inc. and embraced by the US government, were used by tens of millions of people around the world.

But under Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the US government has ended contracts to make vaccines using new technology. And now, countries aren’t sure they can count on the US in the next pandemic, said Noubar Afeyan, founder of Flagship Pioneering, which invests in and creates new biotech companies.

Flagship’s companies are seeing “a lot of interest overseas” from countries that want to learn how to design and make their own vaccines, he said.

We’re already seeing the brain drain to other countries and it’s going to get worse.

But don’t worry. RFK Jr will make sure we’re drinking coke with real sugar and there will be no red dye in our food so we’ll be so much more healthy that we will be immune from any novel viruses.

The Summit

Donald Trump is hosting the war criminal Vladimir Putin at a US Air Force Base on American soil this week. It looks like he got played just as he did in Helsinki in 2018. Jonathan Lemire at the Atlantic lays out the stakes:

Putin needs to buy time to change the trajectory of the conflict. So the former KGB spymaster has given Trump something that the U.S. president has wanted for months: a one-on-one summit to discuss the end of the conflict. Trump leaped at the chance. But as the two men prepare to meet in Alaska on Friday, foreign-policy experts—and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky—are warning that Trump could be walking into a trap that the Russian leader is setting on American soil.

“Putin has already won. He is the leader of a rogue state, and he’ll get a picture on U.S. soil with the president of the United States,” John Bolton, one of Trump’s former national security advisers, told me. “Trump wants a deal. And if he can’t get one now, he may walk away from it entirely.”

Putin has shown no sign of compromising his positions. His demands to reach an end to hostilities remain maximalist: He wants Russia to keep the territory it conquered, and Ukraine to forgo the security guarantees that could prevent Moscow from attacking again. Those terms are nonstarters for Ukraine and the European nations that have rallied to its defense.

Having promised an end to the war during his campaign, Trump, above all, is desperate for the fighting to stop, and observers fear that, as a result, he might agree to Putin’s terms regardless of what Ukraine wants. Trump has already said in recent days that Russia and Ukraine will need to “swap lands” (without specifying which ones). But it is not clear that Russia is willing to give up anything. And if Zelensky were to reject a deal, no matter how one-sided it might be, in Trump’s mind, Kyiv would suddenly be the primary obstacle to peace. That could lead Trump to once again unleash his wrath on Zelensky, with potentially disastrous consequences for Ukraine’s ability to keep fighting the war.

“Clearly Putin’s strategy is to delay and play the president: string him along, concede nothing, exclude Zelensky,” Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut, who sits on the Armed Services Committee, told me. “My preeminent fear is a bad deal that Zelensky rejects, and then he becomes the bad guy, and that then Trump, once again in his classic mixture of vengeance and vanity, will turn against Ukraine.”

He’s already making it clear that he’s about to turn on Zalansky again. He said again yesterday in his press conference that Zelensky started the war by which he means that he should have immediately surrendered to the alpha-male Vlad when he invaded. He’s responsible for it because he didn’t immediately recognize the manly, manliness of his mighty superior Vladimir Putin and bow down as he should have done.

Lamire noted:

[I]f history is any indication, Putin might be able to use the summit to again curry Trump’s favor. Several times in both his first and second terms, Trump followed up a meeting or call with Putin by repeating Kremlin talking points. Most infamously, this occurred during a 2018 summit with Putin in Helsinki, when I asked Trump if he believed U.S. intelligence agencies’ conclusion that Russia had interfered in the 2016 U.S. election. And yesterday, after Putin had signaled his interest in the summit, Trump took a swipe at Zelensky, who has strenuously objected to giving any territory to Russia and has noted that the Ukrainian constitution requires that any cession of land must be done by national vote.“I get along with Zelensky. But you know, I disagree with what he’s done. Very, very severely disagree. This is a war that should have never happened,” Trump told reporters in the White House briefing room. “I was a little bothered by the fact that Zelensky was saying, ‘Well, I have to get constitutional approval.’ I mean, he’s got approval to go into war and kill everybody.”

John Bolton said od Putin that he had made Trump nervous with his defiance but, “now he wants to work his KGB magic on Trump and get him back in line.”

I have no doubt that he will succeed. They’re going to have more of those “one-on-one” meetings with no notes.

Epstein Update

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A comprehensive CNN review of Trump’s ties to Jeffrey Epstein—backed by records, photos, videos, interviews & messages—shows a long, close relationship until at least the mid-2000s. Epstein and multiple associates called them “best friends,” with Epstein saying Trump was his “closest friend for 10 years” in 2019.

Just another bit of info for the collection. It probably won’t end up anywhere. The sex abuser who said on tape that he grabbed women by the pussy was elected to the presidency twice already so it’s hard to see who this is a deal breaker. His QAnon followers are already rationalizing it away.

Still, if we survive all this, it will be important for the history of our surreal times to have this record.

More Immigration Horrors

The Guardian reports on yet another New Zealander being treated like a criminal by our draconian immigration system:

A New Zealand woman who is being held at a US immigration centre with her six-year-old son after they were detained crossing the Canada-US border, is being wrongly “treated like a criminal”, according to her friend and advocate.

Sarah Shaw, 33, a New Zealander who has lived in Washington state for just over three years, dropped her two eldest children to Vancouver airport on 24 July, so they could take a direct flight back to New Zealand for a holiday with their grandparents.

When Shaw attempted to re-enter the US, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) detained her and her youngest son, in what was a “terrifying” ordeal, said Victoria Besancon, Shaw’s friend who is helping to raise money for her legal fight.

“Sarah thought she was being kidnapped,” she said. “They didn’t really explain anything to her at first, they just kind of quietly took her and her son and immediately put them in like an unmarked white van.”

Ice confiscated Shaw’s phone and transported the mother and son to the Dilley immigration processing center in south Texas, many states away from her home, Besancon said. Foreign nationals caught up in the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown have similarly been transported to centres far from their homes, support networks and legal representation.

“It has been absolutely horrible,” Besancon said, adding that aside from the staff, Shaw and her son are the only English speakers, are locked in their shared bedroom from 8pm to 8am and are not allowed to wear their own clothes.

[…]

Shaw’s case is the latest in a growing list of foreigners facing interrogation, detainment and deportations at the US border, including a British tourist, three Germans Lucas SielaffFabian Schmidt and Jessica Brösche, and a Canadian and an Australian who were each held and then deported, despite having valid work visas.

It was just a paperwork mix-up. There was no need to detain her. She had a job and a house and several kids whose paperwork would let them back in the country with no problem. But then there are thousands of Latino and Asian immigrants under similar circumstances who are being held and deported without any practical ability to contest the decision. This is the life of an immigrant in the United States today.

Frankly, I’m surprised they haven’t deported this woman already. She’s taking a job that could be done by a home schooled MAGA cultist.

Arendt’s Law

Incompetence as a career choice

Fox posts a chart comparing dated homicide rates in D.C. with capitols in other countries not as armed to the teeth as the U.S.

Paul Krugman borrows from Hannah Arendt, but not the banality of evil this time (although the Trump administration is a paradigm case). He’s riffing on this Arendt quote:

Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.

Krugman thus defines Arendt’s Law: Totalitarian and wannabe totalitarian regimes only hire incompetent hacks.

Case in point, Stephen Moore from the Heritage Foundation. Moore stood in the Oval Office with Donald Trump on Thursday and presented a chart on the economy that was, well, pretty hacky.

Jared Bernstein looked at Moore’s numbers and declared them dubious at best and at worst crap.

Krugman wrote on Monday:

I don’t mean that Moore is extremely right-wing, although of course he is. I don’t even mean that he’s a dishonest hack, although again of course he is. I mean that even among dishonest right-wing hacks Moore stands out for his pathological inability to get numbers and facts right.

And the fact that Moore was the right’s go-to guy on economics even before Trump tells you a lot about the people who now rule America.

Arendt’s Law in action. “The Worst People Have the Most Power,” declares The Bulwark.

Next comes Trump’s nominee (another Heritage hack) to run the Bureau of Labor Statistics after Trump fired a competent one.

Krugman offers more details on Antoni’s resume (or lack thereof) and concludes:

I’d like to think that Antoni’s utter professional inadequacy for the role of BLS Commissioner will keep Congress from confirming him. But as I mentioned Monday, Stephen Moore already had a well-established reputation for surreal incompetence by the time Trump tried to install him on the Federal Reserve Board. Yet he would probably have been confirmed anyway if unsavory facts about his personal life hadn’t surfaced.

So there’s a good chance that Antoni will, in fact, take over the BLS. And the result will be the total destruction of one of the world’s greatest statistical agencies — an agency that has, among other things, been a crucial aid to business decision-making. It won’t even matter whether the Trumpists cook the books (although they will.) For from the moment Antoni takes full control, nobody will believe any numbers coming out of BLS.

Down the street at the House of Representatives, Rep. Troy Downing (R) of Montana advocates for a federal takeover of D.C. Fox News backs him up by posting a chart comparing dated homicide rates in D.C. with capitols in other countries not as armed to the teeth as the U.S. Downing thinks Trump’s D.C. moves should presage federal intervention in other “liberally run” cities because of their alleged crime problems. In fact, 2024 homicide rates in New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago are much lower than in D.C. Recent homicide rates in New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago: 4.7, 7.1, and 21.7 (St. Louis is 54.4). But bad data and analysis is what incompetent hacks report. Our country hired one as its CEO.

* * * * *

Have you fought dicktatorship today?

50501
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

State Capitalism

Trump copies Putin’s moves

The Wall Street Journal on Monday announced that the Doald Trump administration is marching this country  — your country — toward state capitalism, “a hybrid between socialism and capitalism in which the state guides the decisions of nominally private enterprises.”

The president doesn’t like your company’s CEO? Fire him and hire his choice if you know what’s good for you. Your Tokyo-based corporation wants to buy U.S. Steel? Commit to building a new steel mill in Pennsylvania. Want to sell artificial-intelligence chips to China? Pay tribute to Washington. And to Trump.

The Journal’s complaint with state capitalism isn’t that the president is arrogating unconstitutional power to himself, openly accepting bribes, and threatening anyone or any company that rubs him the wrong way. The Journal complains that state capitalism interferes with (as editors cross themselves) the free market. It’s inefficient.

Former labor secretary Robert Reich writes:

It’s unclear what the “United States” means when the deals Trump has struck give the United States ownership rights in corporations, but it’s certainly not the people.

How do America’s ownership rights get exercised? By whom? Who holds the equity, and where is it held? It appears that all this is up to the whims of Trump.

In reality, Trump’s state capitalism is just another part of Trump’s growing fascist state, extending his personal arbitrary control into what had been the private sector of the U.S. economy.

During Trump 1.0, CEOs resigned from his business advisory panels after Trump uttered his “very fine people on both sides” statement on the violence in Charlottesville. They shunned him after he instigated his failed Jan. 6 coup. And now?

Now, CEOs are showering him with donations and praise. They can’t kiss his derriere enough. Jeff Bezos won’t run editorials critical of Trump in his Washington Post. CBS won’t allow “60 Minutes” or Stephen Colbert to oppose him (when Colbert’s contract runs out). The bros of Silicon Valley don’t dare say a word against him (look what happened to Musk).

As with other aspects of Trump fascism, Trump has extended his power by exploiting greed and fear.

In the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin smiles. Trump is copying his moves.

Trump isn’t having opponents defenestrated yet. That would be too subtle for the TV-obsessed, convicted felon who made tee shirts of his mug shot. He wants opponents shot down in the streets by soldiers for the cameras. He’s simply waiting for the right opportunity. Los Angeles was previews. Trump deploying federal agents and the National Guard to the District of Columbia is the premiere. His claims of rampant crime in the nation’s capitol are bullshit, as are his claims that national security concerns drive his other actions.

“It’s all about centralizing ever more control over America in the Oval Office. It’s simply another power grab by Trump,” Reich declares:

Make no mistake. Trump’s ever-increasing power is an ever-growing threat to the rule of law and democracy.

This is what fascism looks like.

Be the social proof your neighbors need to see it and to do something about it.

* * * * *

Have you fought dicktatorship today?

50501
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

Historical Revision For Dummies

Oh God:

The White House plans to conduct a far-reaching review of Smithsonian museum exhibitions, materials and operations ahead of America’s 250th anniversary to ensure the museums align with President Trump’s interpretation of American history.

In a letter sent to Lonnie Bunch, the secretary of the Smithsonian Institution, three top White House officials said they want to ensure the museums’ “unity, progress, and enduring values that define the American story” and reflect the president’s executive order calling for “Restoring Truth and Sanity to American History.”

Areas under scrutiny range from public-facing exhibition text and online content to internal curatorial processes, exhibition planning, the use of collections and artist grants.

“This initiative aims to ensure alignment with the president’s directive to celebrate American exceptionalism, remove divisive or partisan narratives, and restore confidence in our shared cultural institutions,” the letter states. 

Sigh. …

Jailing Beto

Are they kidding???

Attorney General Ken Paxton has asked a Texas district court judge to jail former Rep. Beto O’Rourke over his fundraising pitches connected to the state’s intensifying redistricting battle.

Paxton’s request accused the Texas Democrat of violating a court order that the judge, Tarrant County’s Megan Fahey, issued last week that barred fundraising by O’Rourke and his nonprofit Powered by People intended to bankroll the efforts by Texas Democratic lawmakers to derail the redistricting effort.

[…]

In support of his claim, he highlighted a remark O’Rourke made at a Saturday rally — a day after Fahey’s order — saying “there are no refs in this game. Fuck the rules.”

But an attorney for O’Rourke says Paxton’s characterization of O’Rourke’s remark was an “outright lie.” O’Rourke’s comment, she noted, was a reference to the broader nationwide fight over redistricting — a call for Democratic states to counteract Texas’ redistricting push by undertaking their own partisan redrawing of political boundaries.

“In their zeal I guess to intimidate a political rival, they are actually lying to the court,” said O’Rourke’s attorney, Mimi Marziani, who said she would quickly alert the court to the context of O’Rourke’s comments and her intention to seek sanctions against Paxton.

What else is new?

I think they should do it. If they want o rouse the resistance that’s one good way to do it.