An existential threat like the Epstein files
Dan Pfeiffer this morning recalls an Obama campaign team meeting from 2012. Everything was upbeat and going swimmingly until White House Senior Advisor David Plouffe spoke:
“Gas prices are an existential threat to the entire enterprise. If they keep going up, we will lose reelection.”
The direness of Plouffe’s warning caught everyone’s attention. Plouffe was known for keeping calm under the most intense pressure and never panicking.
But prices went down. Obama won reelection. Donald Trump may not be so lucky in the 2026 midterms. With his attack on Iran, he’s shot himself in the foot in the middle of Fifth Avenue. He’s losing voters.
Elliot Morris has the numbers:
Since the U.S. launched a war against Iran on Feb. 28, 2026, the national average price of a gallon of gasoline has climbed from $2.93 to $3.72, according to AAA. That is the highest price in over a year, and a 27% increase compared to the same time last year. Americans are witnessing the largest month-to-month spike in gas prices we’ve seen in 30 years.
Consumer sentiment is “cratering” as worry about inflation spikes. Even sucking helium, Trump cannot keep the jobs market from deflating:
And gas is just the latest blow. The February jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed payrolls declined by 92,000 — the third time in five months that the economy has shed jobs. This month, unemployment ticked up to 4.44% (dangerously close to rounding to 5%). Year-over-year CPI is running hotter, and that’s before you account for (a) the fact that the BLS changed data sources for legal services last month, leading to an artificially lower inflation reading or (b) the full impacts the war with Iran will have on everything from food to building materials.
“On day one, we’re bringing prices down,” Donald Trump promised crowds throughout 2024. But every major piece of data we have on prices is going in the opposite direction.
Working-class whites and Latinos who helped put Trump back into the White House one year ago have noticed. Low-income white voters have swung 26 points against Trump since 2024. He’s lost more with low-income Hispanics with a 34-point net approval gap.

Simply put, “the data is that workers voted for Trump because he promised to make their lives cheaper — but he has done the opposite at every turn, and is now suffering the consequences.” Their support in 2024 was transactional, and Trump has not delivered, either on an improving economy or on his promise to keep the U.S. out of endless foreign wars.
Trump did not just avoid a foreign war. The dangerous, delinquent idiot started one on a whim. “The casual nature of the declaration of war matched the unmoored nature of Trump’s imperial cosplay,” observes Fintan O’Toole in The New York Review. The reflexive liar has not even bothered to construct a sensible story as to why. Past U.S. conflicts purported to be about “making the world safe for democracy (World War I), defeating fascism (World War II), saving civilization from communism (Korea and Vietnam), upholding international law and the sovereignty of nations (Kuwait), responding to the atrocities of September 11 through the “war on terror” (Afghanistan and Iraq).” Trump’s attack on Iran contradicts his own National Security Strategy published in November.
One area in which Trump has gone the extra mile is in routinely insulting U.S. allies. Now that he’s started a widening war in the Persian Gulf, U.S. allies are letting him stew in it.
O’Toole concludes:
It is obvious that making war is a useful distraction—for himself as well as for the world—from the Epstein scandal. But it is also now the purest form of self-pleasuring. Usually a president going to war is taking on burdens. Trump is shrugging them off, entering a state of weightlessness where all thought of consequences and all concern for mundane irritants like inflation and affordability are left behind.
MAGA has noticed. In the seven months that Sign Guy has been on street corners and overpasses five times per week, last week’s message drew far more middle fingers than in any week since August. It read: IRAN’S LEADER IS DOWN. YOUR PRICES ARE UP.
Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes is done with MAGA, even as he’s pursuing a full pardon from Trump. So he blames Israel for the war, not Trump, but he’s done. As Monday guest host on Alex Jones’ show, Rhodes declared “the obvious role of the influence of Zionism in our government,” etc., etc.:
“So that’s why I no longer call myself MAGA. I am an America-only patriot. I’m a Christian nationalist, an American Christian nationalist. I have to open my eyes to the reality in front of my face, and it’s caused a division inside of MAGA, and it’s caused a division on the political right. But so be it,” Rhodes said.
Trump is burning through supporters faster than U.S. advanced weaponry. For those of a certain age, in there somewhere is a Carnac the Magnificent joke involving diseased camels.
UPDATE:
Second Update:













