
Robin Wright has been writing about Iran for as long as I can remember. Here is her first take on the new war:
President Donald Trump has launched a capricious and personal war on Iran that is more ambitious, politically and militarily, than any past U.S. campaign in the perpetually volatile Middle East. In an eight-minute video released in the wee hours of Saturday morning, while most Americans were still asleep, he announced that his goals are the abolishment of the theocratic regime, total capitulation by its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—or else the death of its members at U.S. hands—and an end to the country’s controversial nuclear program.
Trump called for Iran’s ninety-two million people to rise up in popular resistance and form a new government. “For many years, you have asked for America’s help, but you never got it,” he told the Iranian people. “Now you have a President who is giving you what you want, so let’s see how you respond. America is backing you with overwhelming strength and devastating force.” It is an audacious gambit, undertaken in coördination with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, of Israel, that has no clear outcome. For a man who hungers for the Nobel Peace Prize, this war of choice borders on delusion.
They have apparently killed the Supreme Leader and we know that Trump will be bleating about this killing as if he did it with his own hands. So that will be tiresome. But that is not the end of the story. (BTW, the Ayatollah was 86, so he wasn’t going to be around much longer anyway.)
Most analysts seem to think that the regime will fight hard for its survival and they will not be like the Venezuelan leaders who are willing to make deals with the devil. Iran is not just a government, it’s a theocratic government that clings to power with religious zeal. And they have the ability to inflict a lot of damage throughout the region and yes, here is the United States. (I know I’m looking forward to another round of terrorist threats for which I’d like to thank Donald Trump.)
Maybe Trump will get lucky and the regime will give him a convenient off-ramp in order to take credit for bringing peace to he middle east —- again. He does have a way of wriggling out of trouble. But this move is the riskiest yet and despite his crowing about being the greatest military leader since Alexander the great, we have no way of knowing how this is going to play out. We just have to hope that massive numbers will not have to lose their lives before we find out.








