
I thought this rundown of the current situation by Punchbowl was pretty good:
Bipartisan negotiations are expected to continue, but there’s not much hope for an immediate solution. Democrats will keep the shutdown going as they push for new concessions from Republicans on health care, federal layoffs and more.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune may send senators home for the weekend following the CR vote, but no decision on the schedule has been made yet. Either way, it’s pretty much guaranteed that the shutdown will drag into next week at the least. And the fallout from the impasse will continue to worsen.
There’s enormous confusion — and consternation — over the Trump administration’s handling of the SNAP program, which helps feed more than 40 million Americans. A federal judge ordered the administration to fully fund the program on Thursday, but the Justice Department said it would appeal the ruling.
In the meantime, a 4% reduction in flight capacity at major U.S. airports takes effect today and will increase by 1% each day until it reaches 10%. That means thousands of flight cancellations per day, impacting millions of Americans, as well as those visitors flying in and out of the country.
A bipartisan deal to end the shutdown seemed within reach earlier this week. But Senate Democrats spent a two-hour caucus meeting Thursday taking stock of where things stand and came to this conclusion: Why on earth would we fold now?
[…]
Here are just a few reasons why Senate Democrats feel comfortable continuing to block floor action on reopening the government:
Negotiators haven’t decided on an end date for the CR. The three-bill minibus still isn’t finalized, even among Republicans. There isn’t an agreement on the structure or exact timing for an Obamacare subsidies vote, including whether there will be a side-by-side vote on a GOP alternative, as Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) called for during a closed-door meeting Tuesday. Even though Democrats have multiple chances to filibuster any such agreement, they don’t think they should help advance what would become the vehicle for a deal that’s not even done.
After Tuesday’s election victories, Democrats believe voters gave them a mandate to keep up the shutdown fight. Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), among others, implored their colleagues to “keep fighting” during Thursday’s closed-door session.
Republicans have told Democrats they’d be willing to discuss language reversing President Donald Trump’s mass layoffs of federal workers. Democrats want to push hard on this, as well as overturning OMB’s blue-state funding cuts.
Trump is at his most volatile and vulnerable right now, and Democrats think they can take advantage. Trump is picking fights with Senate Republicans over the filibuster. The president privately told GOP’s senators that the election results show that the shutdown has been “worse for us than for [Democrats].” So Democrats will try to stoke Trump’s anger and see what happens.
It’s very interesting that Republicans are so spooked that they’re willing to talk about reversing the federal layoffs. That cuts the heart out of DOGE and Russ Vought. I doubt it will go anywhere but it’s a tell that they at least realize how politically toxic all that is.
So, it doesn’t appear that we’re going to see a breakthrough this weekend but the GOP is starting to go wobbly. Good.
Update — By the way, Mike Johnson and the House wingnuts are throwing sand in the gears too:
House Speaker Mike Johnson on Thursday sharply diverged from the direction that Senate negotiations were headed in to end the government shutdown.
Johnson told reporters Thursday that he would not commit to holding a vote on extending COVID-19 pandemic-era enhanced Obamacare subsidies, which are set to expire at the end of this year without congressional action…. “The House did its job on Sept. 19. I’m not promising anybody anything. I’m going to let this process play out,” Johnson said.
[…]
The issue of enhanced Obamacare subsidies has been a matter of debate within the GOP, with some Republicans in more moderate districts calling for at least a year-long extension to give lawmakers time to create a new healthcare deal in its place.
But House conservatives are rejecting any such extension out of hand. Fox News Digital first reported that leaders of the 189-member Republican Study Committee issued an official position earlier Thursday demanding the credits not be extended.
Trump is the only one who can fix that and he’s busy snoozing and schmoozing.
Update: It appears that there might, might be a deal to extend the ACA subsidies for another year — at least Chuck Schumer has offered that. No idea yet if the Senate GOP is willing and who knows what the weirdos in the House will do. But that’s the latest.








