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Something In Their Water?

Ritual humiliation and humiliation humilitation

A couple of social media posts about the ongoing fascist follies. The inferiority complex runs deep. Followers will, as Ruth Ben-Ghiat (“Strongmen: Mussolini to the Present“) observes, debase themselves to win the Leader’s approval and bask in any glimmer of reflected glory.

Here’s the clip so you don’t have to hunt it.

Like Donald Trump has for decades, Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders dutifully regurgitates that people “on the other side of the world are laughing at us.” Trump the Insecure has always craved the respect of people he never felt took him seriously (like his father), and not just in New York City. It’s why Trump fawns over Russian President Vladimir Putin and Hungarian strongman Viktor Orbán and North Korea’s “hereditary communist monarchKim Jong-un.

They’ll never let you into their club, Donald. You’ll never have their respect. How much more pathetic that MAGA cult members crave Trump’s? Like loyalty with him, respect is a one-way street.

Yes, white nationalist clowns who dress alike and follow each other around like some kind of low-rent fraternity like to project menace for the rush.* They may even commit violence. But as a force to be reckoned with they leave something to be desired. Laugh, but remain vigilant.

 

 
Post by @reed_galen_lp
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* A former biker I once knew told me he was never into fighting. He just liked the implied menace that came with being a biker. Civilians gave him a wide berth.

Wiff Or No Wiff?

Biden expands abortion, contraception protections

Screen grab from October 2022.

One of the first headlines that popped up this morning was on a Jill Filopic column at Slate: Biden Is Whiffing It on the Most Important Issue for Democrats. Biden says restoring abortion rights will be his No. 1 priority in a second term. Well?

The column criticizes the Biden administration for issuing “executive orders to protect abortion and contraception, but those do not invalidate state abortion bans or potential contraception bans.” Filopic adds, “The Department of Health and Human Services issued an important directive on the long-standing Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act, confirming that hospitals receiving federal Medicaid dollars have to care for and stabilize any patient who comes through their doors, regardless of that patient’s ability to pay.” But they have limited effect.

So “it’s hard to say that restoring abortion rights has been the No. 1 priority of Biden’s administration,” Filopic continues (in a post likely filed over the weekend), “because, while he has made some statements supporting abortion rights, the president simply hasn’t made it a cornerstone of his campaign.”

And yet.

Flipping over to the Washington Post there is Biden expands abortion, contraception protections on Roe anniversary:

The White House on Monday is announcing new steps intended to ensure access to contraception, abortion medication and emergency abortions at hospitals. It represents President Biden’s latest bid to contrast himself with Republican challengers who support strict abortion limits and arrives on the anniversary of the Supreme Court ruling that guaranteed abortion rights for nearly 50 years.

The effort to expand access to contraception involves several measures. Federal agencies are issuing guidance that would make no-cost contraceptives more available under the Affordable Care Act and take similar actions to expand contraception access for federal employees. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra also plans to send a letter to health insurers instructing them of their obligation to provide no-cost contraceptives, according to a memo the White House sent to reporters Sunday.

The federal health department also announced a new team dedicated to enforcing its interpretation of a law, known as the Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act, or EMTALA, which the Biden administration has said requires hospitals to provide emergency abortions nationwide, including in the 21 states where the procedure is limited or banned.

EMTALA is the law Filopic thinks doesn’t go far enough; anti-abortion groups in Texas are already pushing back in court. Fair enough. But her column may have been premature. Biden, she writes, must “not just pledge to make abortion rights the top priority of his second term but … make them a top priority in this election and in his administration right now.”

Biden answers (The Post again):

Meanwhile, Biden on Monday is expected to convene two dozen senior officials in the White House for a meeting of his reproductive health task force, where he will be joined by several physicians who have practiced in states with abortion bans. Vice President Harris is slated to kick off a multistate reproductive rights tour with a visit to Wisconsin, where she is expected to criticize a proposal by state Republicans to ban abortion after 14 weeks of pregnancy. Wisconsin’s Democratic governor has already said he will veto the bill.

“On this day and every day, Vice President Harris and I are fighting to protect women’s reproductive freedom against Republicans’ dangerous, extreme, and out-of-touch agenda,” Biden said in a statement.

The Biden administration’s actions — coming on what would have been the 51st anniversary of the landmark ruling in Roe v. Wade, before the Supreme Court overturned the constitutional right to abortion in 2022 — reflect Democrats’ ongoing effort to highlight an issue that gives them a strong political advantage. Fifty-eight percent of all voters, including about 1 in 5 Republicans, said they trust Democrats more than Republicans on abortion, according to a November poll conducted by KFF, a health policy organization.

Still, an “anniversary” press event is not enough to drive home the point that restoring abortion rights is central to Biden’s reelection campaign. The campaign’s messaging effort has to be sustained and part of every event. Paint the beautiful tomorrow. Lather, rinse, repeat. “Tell ’em what you’re going to tell ’em; then tell ’em; then tell ’em what you told ’em.” The truth, if it’s to set voters free, must be shouted.

Biden was in North Carolina last week touting his administration’s infrastructure spending putting “shovels in the ground, cranes in the sky, and people hard at work on these projects.” Terrific. Yet there was no reference to women or women’s rights in his remarks. Yes, campaigns like to build events around themes. But women’s rights are not a theme if they’re not ever-present. Always Be Closing.

Speaker Blues

Mike Johnson is on thin ice

The crazies are restless:

Speaker Mike Johnson is beset with political challenges: At least two conservative lawmakers have begun threatening his job. The former acting speaker trashed Johnson’s performance this week. A border-policy showdown with the Senate and White House draws nearer every day.

And then there’s the problem of the 2024 campaign.

A growing number of House Republicans are increasingly frustrated with Johnson’s leadership and whispering about whether he can hang on to his role after 2024 — if he even makes it that far.

Despite serving barely three months as speaker, the Louisianan is already facing an immediate threat from Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, who is openly disparaging him and suggesting she may try to boot him from the speakership.

“I don’t think he’s safe right now,” Greene said, adding: “The only reason he’s speaker is because our conference is so desperate.”

Few Republicans are prepared to join Greene, at least at this point. But more than 100 of them signaled frustration with Johnson’s approach to government spending by opposing a funding patch on Thursday, including House GOP Conference Chair Elise Stefanik of New York. Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), who briefly served as interim speaker, delivered a blunt warning Thursday night that “we’re sucking wind” under Johnson’s leadership, urging the speaker to broaden his circle of advisers and avoid kowtowing to his right.

And still other Republicans are privately predicting that unless Johnson can hang onto their thin majority this fall, his time atop the GOP conference could expire.

Interviews with more than a dozen GOP lawmakers revealed a consensus that Johnson would have serious trouble staying in power after an electoral defeat. These days, some lawmakers who embraced Johnson — after the failure of three other aspiring successors to former Speaker Kevin McCarthy — openly acknowledge that the Louisianan would get the blame for any stumble at the ballot box this fall.

“It’s up to him to win or lose. And if he loses, he will leave,” said Texas Rep. Pete Sessions, a former National Republican Congressional Committee chair.

Sessions, who had his own short-lived bid for the gavel in October, predicted that if Republicans do not hold the majority, then Johnson “isn’t going to stick around — I mean that.”

Yes, he was dealt a bad hand. But he is also a right wing nut job who is at the mercy of his own allies — other right wing nut jobs. The House is ungovernable by any GOP majority. It’s been that way for over a decade because the party has lost its mind. Johnson is just the latest in a long line of failed GOP speakers.

But here’s a little bit of sunshine for you:

Johnson allies argue that skeptics are underestimating him, pointing to his quick progress assuaging concerns that he couldn’t keep up with McCarthy’s torrid fundraising pace. The more he helps with the 2024 campaign and candidate recruitment, the more Johnson can form some of the deeper connections to incoming members that helped McCarthy survive a grueling speakership race last January.

Even so, Republicans are openly admitting that they’re worried about November. Which is never a good sign.

“We’re in real jeopardy of not winning the White House and not winning the House,” said Rep. Richard McCormick (R-Ga.), who argued the party is not focused on voters’ top issues.

“The Federal Reserve is going to cut [interest rates] probably at least twice, if not five times this year. The gas price always comes down during an election. And the border will be secured before November. It’s gonna happen, right? It’s gonna be part of some package,” McCormick mused. “What are the three things that are the Achilles heel of Biden? Those three things.”

Real Americans

This is the media’s fault for indulging these spoiled brats’ tantrums about being “insulted” by the coastal elites. Nobody is more insulting than they are — and they’ve been that way for years. This isn’t a Trump thing. It’s a “Real America” thing.

Remember When?

He’s out. Thank God.

Yes, he is the most worthless politician in America:

It seems only minutes ago that the whole political world was agog at his tremendous political talent. Well…

The lesson? Never assume that the next GOP Great Whitebread Hope is as fantastic as the press corps thinks he is.

The other lesson? If you’re going to run as the biggest asshole in politics you’d better have a lot of money and celebrity that makes people think you must be really great anyway. Ron is just an asshole.

I am so happy to see the end of him. It’s been a real horror covering his disgusting campaign. Let’s hope we never see him on the national stage again. This massive flame-out argues for him joining Scott Walker and Tim Pawlenty in the Loser Hall of Fame.

What does it all mean? We’ll unwind all that in the next few days. But Greg Sargent is right that it spells the end of the big post-pandemic “woke” war. That battle in the culture war is coming to an end, but never fear, the war isn’t over.

All The Presidents Lawyers

Daniel Uhlfelder went through the FEC reports and found all money paid to law firms by Donald Trump’s Super PAC in the first 6 months of last year.

FEC records show that between January 1, 2023, and June 30, 2023, Donald Trump’s Super PAC, SAVE AMERICA, made payments to the following law firms in these amounts:
BALLARD SPAHR LLP – $109,174.55

BEDELL, DITTMAR, DEVAULT, PILLANS & COXE, P.A. – $351,040.77

BINNALL LAW GROUP – $1,031,788.33

BLANCHE LAW – $353,090.03

BRAND WOODWARD LAW – 201,948.00

BRITO PLLC – $68,194.50

CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM, & TAFT LLP – $344,950.21

CONTINENTAL PLLC – $1,929,207.90

DHILLON LAW GROUP INC. – $734,730.8

EARTH & WATER LAW, LLC – $347,820

HABBA MADAIO & ASSOCIATES LLP – $1,503,915.14

IFRAH LAW PLLC – $720,009.28

FINDLING LAW FIRM – $541,456.25

KELLOGG, HANSEN, TODD, FIGEL & FREDERICK PLLC – $1,042,479

CHRIS KISE & ASSOCIATES, P.A. – $2,148,536.58

JOHN F. LAURO, P.A. – $183,859.03

JPROWLEY LAW PLLC – $35,161

LEVEL LAW LTD – $89,721.45

MCGLINCHEY STAFFORD – $290,179.17

MINTZ, LEVIN, COHN, FERRIS, GLOVSKY AND

POPEO, P.C.- $269,424.39

NECHELESLAW LLP – $465,231.34

PARLATORE LAW GROUP, LLP – $136,325.1

ROBERT & ROBERT, PLLC – $1,355,631.17

SECIL LAW PLLC – $191,980.35

SILVERMAN THOMPSON SLUTKIN & WHITE, LLC – $2,183,578.73

SQUIRE PATTON BOGGS (US) LLP – $193,750

TACOPINA, SEIGEL & DEOREO -$ 1,773,126

WEBER, CRABB & WEIN, P.A. – $193,050 

Browse Disbursements – FEC.govExplore current and historic federal campaign finance data on the new fec.gov. Look at totals and trends, and see how candidates and committees raise and spend money. When you find what you need, expo…https://www.fec.gov/data/disbursements/?committee_id=C00762591&two_year_transaction_period=2024&data_type=processed

The total amount paid to these firms between January 1, 2023 and June 30, 2023 by SAVE AMERICA is almost $19 million. 

$18,789,359.07 actually 

28 law firms so average of $671,048 per firm 

My God. I’m sure that all Super PACs have legal expenses but this is insane. $19 million just in the first six months. I guess all his marks just love to give money to billionaires.

Friendly Reminder

Trump is not an improvement in any way

I hear a lot on my social media these days about how Trump is better than Biden on the Gaza war. That’s utter nonsense. It’s true that Trump isn’t particularly fond of Netanyahu (neither is Biden, actually) but that does not mean that he would ever be an ally of the Palestinians or the Palestinian allies.

Donald Trump promised on Monday that if elected president again he will bar immigrants who support Hamas from entering the U.S. and send officers to pro-Hamas protests to arrest and deport immigrants who publicly support the Palestinian militant group.

Trump, president from 2017-2021, said that if elected to a second White House term he will ban entry to the U.S. of anybody who does not believe in Israel’s right to exist, and revoke the visas of foreign students who are “antisemitic.”

He also vowed to step up travel bans from “terror-plagued countries.” He did not explain how he would enforce his demands, including the one requiring immigrants to support Israel’s right to exist under what he called “strong ideological screening.” …

Promising to drastically tighten U.S. immigration laws, Trump said: “If you want to abolish the state of Israel, you’re disqualified, if you support Hamas or the ideology behind Hamas, you’re disqualified, and if you’re a communist, Marxist, or fascist, you are disqualified.”

“We will aggressively deport resident aliens with jihadist sympathies,” Trump said.

He may now say some things on the trail that imply that he would ditch Israel, since he surely senses the tension in the Democratic coalition, but I suspect he’ll be pretty careful about that. He wants to keep Republican Israel supporters in his corner and that means the evangelicals, a huge faction.

Trump is a blatantly racist piece of work who isn’t fond of Jews (except the “good ones” like Jared) but he really, really hates brown and black people. He spits out the word “Hussein” every time he mentions Obama. If people are unaware of his history with Muslim bashing, they need to educate themselves. There is no way in hell that he is going to be helpful to Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank or Cambridge Massachusetts. He will make an already terrible, complicated situation a million times worse.

And We’re Off

The Biden campaign is out with a stark new ad featuring a woman talking about traveling out of state to receive an abortion due to Texas’ strict abortion ban. It’s the latest in their push to put reproductive rights front and center in the 2024 race.

It will be playing:

-during the The Bachelor season premiere
-on HGTV, TLC, Bravo, Hallmark, Food Network & Oxygen
-during NFL championships – on digital

This is very good. But it’s just a start. They need to keep it up.

It’s A Presidential Year

A quick refresher

People don’t know what they don’t know. That’s tautological, but true. One reason I publish ForThe Win every two years (the 5th edition isn’t quite ready) is to give less-experienced Democratic county chairs in under-resourced counties a “cookbook” for assembling a countywide get-out-the-vote program in support of their candidates. State parties assume chairs have already learned the nuts and bolts by the seat of their pants. They instead provide sometimes overly thick manuals focused mainly on party administration. “Where’s the part about electing Democrats?” is my usual reaction.

In presidential years, people unfamiliar with local party operations start calling the headquarters here in West Cackalacky (or your Cackalacky). Some have basic election questions. Others want to discuss policy or something they just saw on the news. Angry others want to chew the ears of retiree volunteers who answer the phone as though local committees are part of the Collective with a subspace connection to decisions made in the West Wing. That’s not how this works. (There is no The Democratic Party.) But they don’t know what they don’t know. That’s why the White House comment line number is written in large letters on the wall beside the reception desk. (Comments: 202-456-1111.)

A refresher on that from 2019:

Most of what people think they know about party politics they pick up from watching the presidential contest every four years. First, because it’s the only time they are paying close attention. Second, because the news coverage is inescapable. But it leaves a false impression of how parties work day to day.

Men (it always seems to be men) call the Democratic office here every presidential cycle to ask about their favorite primary candidates. They want to know when [your candidate here] is coming to town. Explain you don’t know, and they get an attitude. You’ve confirmed Democrats are as much a waste of their time as they already believed. The voices suggest Jimbo Jones from “The Simpsons.”

“Well, this is the Democratic Party, isn’t it?”

Yes, but (I do not reply) I’m not the one who called the guy at the motor pool with his hands in a Humvee transmission to ask for the base commander’s itinerary. Callers’ grasp of force structure is a tad fuzzy.

To my knowledge, no Commander in Chief (or senior staff) has ever called down here to the motor pool for our advice on policy or for any other reason. Even for planning local campaign stops. Those calls go first to local elected and police officials. The local party committee is maybe fourth in line to get the news, and then with only a couple of days’ notice.

Also: The DNC is not the One Ring that rules them all. That it does is an internet rumor, an urban legend.

What Day Is It?

Depends on which war you mean

Protesters in Tel Aviv call for change to Netanyahu government. (via Reuters).

The race is on to see who burns out on Donald Trump first, Trump Himself or the rest of us. With his shuttling furiously between court apearances and campaign appearances, Trump can no longer tell his Nikkis from his Nancys. “I am your retribution” has turned into “IMMUNITY NOW, IMMUNITY TOMORROW, IMMUNITY FOREVER.” Although Trump is neither as smart nor as clever nor as intellectually agile as George Wallace, Jamelle Bouie nonetheless believes Wallace’s “legacy in national politics … is very clearly Trump.”

I need a break. Make that “break.”

The Russians are still bombing Ukraine. The Israelis are still bombing Gaza. Vladimir Putin is still directing the former and Benjamin Netanyahu, the latter.

Al Jazeera provides a rundown of events on Day 697 of the war on Ukraine:

  • A fire broke out at a natural gas terminal in the Russian Baltic Sea port of Ust-Luga, the regional governor said early on Sunday. A high alert regime has been introduced in the Kingiseppsky district, which includes the port, and no casualties have been reported, according to the AFP news agency.
  • Russia’s parliament will consider a law allowing for the confiscation of money, valuables, and other property from those deemed to spread “deliberately false information” about Moscow’s military actions, a senior lawmaker said on Saturday.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Saturday that he expected a number of new Western defence packages for Ukraine to be signed this and next month. “We are preparing new agreements with partners – strong bilateral agreements,” Zelenskyy said in his nightly video address.
  • The wife of a Russian soldier delivered an emotional appeal for his return from Ukraine on Saturday at the election headquarters of President Vladimir Putin, a defiant gesture in a country where open criticism of the war is banned.
  • The Ministry of Defence in the United Kingdom stated on Saturday that Ukraine sustains a military presence along the left bank of the Dnipro River and persists in fending off Russian assaults despite logistical challenges.
  • Russia has lost 375,270 soldiers in Ukraine since the beginning of the war, including 750 over the past day, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine claimed on Saturday. The number has not been independently verified.

“Meat grinder” (Business Insider):

Russian marines and paratroopers are refusing to launch certain types of assaults due to concerns over the huge losses other troops are suffering, a Ukrainian official said, the Kyiv Post reported.

Nataliya Humenyuk, a press secretary for the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s Joint Command South, said that the soldiers considered “themselves ‘elite troops'” and did not “want to go into frontal assaults” that former felons and reservists typically carry out, the outlet reported.

Throughout the Russian invasion, Russia has become increasingly reliant on high-risk frontal assaults involving waves of attacks that probe Ukrainian positions and seize small portions of territory at the cost of substantial casualties.

The leader of the mercenary Wagner GroupYevgeny Prigozhin, who died in a plane crash last August after leading a failed mutiny in June, described the tactic as a “meat grinder.”

And in Gaza on Day 107 of that war, another milestone (Associated Press):

RAFAH, Gaza Strip — The Palestinian death toll from the war between Israel and Hamas has soared past 25,000, the Health Ministry in the Gaza Strip said Sunday, while the Israeli government appeared far from achieving its goals of crushing the militant group and freeing more than 100 hostages.

The level of death, destruction and displacement from the war already is without precedent in the decades-old Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Yet Israeli officials say the fighting is likely to continue for several more months.

During the Cold War, nuclear disamament protesters condemned the arms race as an effort to create enough surplus weapons to make the rubble bounce. Netanyahu is doing that in Gaza with conventional arms (many of them ours). And not just rubble, but bodies.

The war has displaced some 85% of Gaza’s residents from their homes, with hundreds of thousands packing into U.N.-run shelters and tent camps in the southern part of the tiny coastal enclave. U.N. officials say a quarter of the population of 2.3 million is starving as only a trickle of humanitarian aid reaches them because of the fighting and Israeli restrictions.

Netanyahu has vowed to keep up the offensive until Israel achieves “complete victory” over Hamas and returns all the remaining hostages. But even some top Israeli officials have begun to acknowledge that those goals might be mutually exclusive.

Netanyahu is a horror (Reuters):

TEL AVIV, Jan 20 (Reuters) – Thousands of Israelis gathered in Tel Aviv on Saturday to protest against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government, accusing the veteran leader of mishandling the nation’s security and calling for a new election.

Anti-government protests that shook the nation for much of 2023 ceased after the attacks by Hamas in southern Israel on Oct. 7. Political rifts were set aside as Israelis rallied behind the military and the families of those killed or taken hostage.

But with the devastating war in Gaza in its fourth month and opinion polls showing lagging support for Netanyahu, calls for leadership changes are growing stronger, though there is no indication that his position is under any imminent threat.

This was reflected in Saturday night’s turnout in a central Tel Aviv square where many of last year’s protests took place.

While the crowd was much smaller than those seen last year, it still comprised several thousand people, with many banging on drums, yelling their dismay and waving Israeli flags.

“Reprehensible” (Al Jazeera):

“This is the first time we are seeing this protest happen in the north,” said Al Jazeera’s Stefanie Dekker, reporting from Haifa on Saturday.

“It’s a protest with Israeli Jews and Palestinian Israelis, and it is significant because of the two coming together.

“The message here is to end the war and that they can only live peacefully side by side with a political solution for the Palestinians,” she said.

Omri Evron, a member of the Communist Party of Israel, who helped organise the anti-war protest, spoke to Al Jazeera about the message the protesters were hoping to convey.

“The killing of thousands and thousands of Palestinians, the vast majority of whom are innocent civilians, is not only reprehensible, it does not serve the security of the people of Israel. It does not bring us security, it only ensures the next massacre, the next cycle of violence,” he said.

Netanyahu isn’t budging (BBC):

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has again rejected the idea of creating a Palestinian state.

His comments came hours after a phone call with US President Joe Biden after which the US leader indicated Mr Netanyahu may still accept the idea.

Mr Netanyahu’s remarks appeared to deepen a public divide with the US.

The US believes a Palestinian state alongside Israel – known as a “two-state solution” – is vital for long-term stability.

But the White House acknowledged this week the US and Israeli governments “clearly see things differently”.

UPDATE: For clarification, added “Trump is” that I omitted in first paragraph, last sentence. (h/t LL)