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Digby's Hullabaloo Posts

ICYMI: Tim Walz

One of the most important insights I heard from the commentary last night came from Chris Hayes on MSNBC. He pointed out that while the campaign is leaning heavily on Walz’s biography as a small town teacher, coach, soldier and family amn, all of which is true, it’s important to remember that Walz also spent 12 years in DC as a congressman and has been a very successful Governor of a big state.

Walz is a great politician — an astute, experienced public official who knows how to communicate effectively and enact an agenda. If something should happen he would make a great president.

This choice speaks very well of Harris’s political judgement but it’s also speaks well of her seriousness of purpose.

Yet Another Lie, And A Big One

He’s projecting again:

Former President Donald Trump falsely claimed Wednesday that his Democratic opponent in the presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris, met with Russian President Vladimir Putin just days before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022.

Trump said in a speech in North Carolina: “Remember when Biden sent Kamala to Europe to stop the war in Ukraine. She met with Putin, and then three days later, he attacked. How did she do? Do you think she did a good job? She met with Putin to tell him, ‘Don’t do it.’ And three days later, he attacked; that’s when the attack started. Did you know that, General?” (Retired Army Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg was at the North Carolina event.)

Facts FirstTrump’s claim is false. Harris has never met with Putin. In reality, she met with US alliesincluding Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, at the Munich Security Conference in the days before Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Putin was not at the conference.

“Frankly speaking, I cannot recall a single contact between President Putin and Mrs. Harris,” a Kremlin spokesperson said last month, according to a state-owned Russian news agency.

The Biden administration was still trying to deter an invasion of Ukraine at the time of Harris’ 2022 trip to the conference in Germany, but top administration officials, including President Joe Biden himself, made clear that they believed Putin was already moving toward invading. As Harris was on her way to Germany, Biden told reporters that he thought a Russian attack “will happen in the next several days.”

CNN reported on the day the Munich conference began that a senior administration official said Harris had three key objectives: “Focus on the ‘fast-changing’ situation on the ground, maintain full alignment with partners and send a clear message to Russia that the US prefers diplomacy but is ready in case of Russian aggression.”

This is a total fabrication. It’s unclear if he’s simply confused about the Munich conference or if he’s just made it up out of whole cloth but either way that alleged confrontation where she told Putin “don’t do that” and he ignored her and did it anyway is so absurd it makes your head hurt. But when you recall that Trump routinely says that he told Putin that same thing and Putin submissively cowered and agreed never to do such a thing.

That is also total BS, of course. Putin had Trump wrapped around his little finger:

Vladimir Putin exploited Donald Trump’s “ego and insecurities” to exert an almost mesmeric hold over the former US president, who refused to entertain any negative evaluation of the autocratic Russian leader from his own staff, and ultimately fired his national security adviser, HR McMaster, over it.

The bold assessment of Trump’s fealty to Putin comes in McMaster’s book At War With Ourselves: My Tour of Duty in the Trump White House, published by HarperCollins and arriving on 27 August. The Guardian obtained a copy.

“After over a year in this job, I cannot understand Putin’s hold on Trump,” McMaster recalls saying in the memoir covering the turbulent 457 days the now retired general served as national security adviser from February 2017 until he was effectively fired by tweet in April 2018.

The comment, to McMaster’s wife, Katie, came in the aftermath of the poisoning in the UK by Putin’s agents of Sergei Skripal, a Russian former intelligence officer, and his daughter, in March 2018.

While other western leaders were beginning to formulate a strong response to the assassination attempt, McMaster says, Trump sat in the White House fawning over a New York Post article with the headline: “Putin heaps praise on Trump, pans US politics”. Trump, according to the book, wrote an appreciative note on the article with a black Sharpie and asked McMaster “to get the clipping to Putin”.

All they had to do was offer some phony flattery and he was in the palm of their hands. Putin, Xi, MBS, Kim, Bolsonaro all of them.

He can’t be allowed back into power at a time when the fascist right is making a move all over the world. He is their puppet, and he would have the most powerful economy and military in the world.

Does Every American Have A Valid Passport or Birth Certificate Handy?

I don’t think so…

My passport expired not long ago and I didn’t have a birth certificate available to get a Real ID from the Dept of Motor Vehicles. Unless they had extended the law requiring some form of Real ID during the pandemic I wouldn’t have been able to travel until I obtained one of those things. During the pandemic the wait for a new passport was months as was getting a copy of my birth certificate which I finally got after waiting almost a year. The new passport came through in record time a few months ago.

I only bring this up to illustrate that obtaining those documents is a major hassle even if you have expired documents that already prove your citizenship. It’s no doubt eased a lot since the pandemic but even then you have to go through hoops, it costs money and unless you really need it you might just say the hell with it.

Republicans know this, which is why they’re doing this:

Only months before November’s elections, the Republican National Committee has launched a new legal attack on the rules that govern federal elections. Supported by 24 states, the RNC is seeking, on an emergency basis, a Supreme Court ruling that the United States Congress lacks the constitutional authority to regulate presidential elections—congressional elections, yes, but not elections held to select presidents. The petitioners’ immediate goal is to allow the state of Arizona to impose a “proof of citizenship” requirement as a condition of a person’s right to vote for president.

If they are to succeed, the Court will have to suddenly, with mere weeks left before people start voting, abandon or explain away a decision it rendered in 2013—that Congress has the power to establish rules for voter registration in presidential elections. But even if the suit fails, it risks achieving some success in sowing doubt about the integrity of elections, highlighting claims of illegal voting by immigrants, and laying a foundation for post-election allegations of fraud and related legal challenges. (I have advised the national Democratic Party on this suit and have been further monitoring it as part of nonpartisan work to support election administrators in their preparation for the fall elections.)

The RNC target in this suit is a federal statute, the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA), enacted in 1993 to establish uniform, simplified, and nondiscriminatory rules for the registration of voters in federal elections. NVRA requires states to provide registration opportunities at their motor-vehicle departments and public-assistance agencies, and directed the adoption of procedures to keep voter rolls accurate and current. The law also mandated a federal voter-registration form that states must “accept and use.” The form requires an attestation of citizenship under penalty of perjury and no further documentation.

But in 2022, Arizona passed a law requiring its voters to submit, along with the federal form, documentary proof of citizenship (DPOC), such as a passport or a birth certificate. Under that law, Arizonans who register to vote with this form but do not provide DPOC would be barred from voting at all for president, and from voting by mail in any other election in the state. The state has never enforced the law, for one reason: In 2013, the Supreme Court had held that the NVRA preempted an earlier version of this requirement—constitutional-law-speak for not permitting the state to add its own DPOC mandate to the attestation called for by the federal form. This meant that the state could impose its own requirement only for state elections. Ever since then, only those Arizona voters who do not use the federal form to register have had to supply DPOC.

There is no reason to believe that the right wing majority on the court will be averse to overturning the 2013 decision or the 1993 decision for that matter. They’ve shown that they have zero regard for precedent and are especially willing to overturn voting rights. So I wouldn’t hold out too much hope in their “integrity” on this one even if it doesn’t make it to the high court this cycle.

The right has been trying to suppress the vote forever. They simply do not believe that the franchise should be easy for Americans to exercise and particularly don’t want to allow people they believe will vote their own economic interest to have the vote. But here’s the thing — the coalition is changing. The people who are most likely to have the kind of documents Arizona requires are educated urbanites and suburbanites and they aren’t voting Republican anymore. I would expect that many working class and rural white people won’t have them any more than the Black and Latino voters they are targeting with these laws.

Are they really sure this is going to help them?

Donald Trump didn’t invent the bogus voter fraud theme he just exploited it more effectively than anyone before him. One of the reasons non-MAGA cultist Republicans are so willing to believe his Big Lie is because Republican politicians have been lying about this stuff for decades. Anti-democracy isn’t a Trump thing and it won’t go away when he does.

Pre-Bump Bump

That’s the latest polling average before the DNC on August 20. Will the convention bump it up? I’d guess so but we’ll have to see.

Now is the time when poll trends really start to be reflective of the state of the race. People are paying attention, ads are everywhere and early voting will begin very soon.

Buckle up.

Dems In Array

Kamala Harris looks and sounds like a president — so much so that you almost forget that if she wins she will be the first woman to hold the office. She seems so right in the role that you have to remind yourself that there’s anything unusual about it all. From her impeccably tailored suits to the authority in her voice to her confidence and ease in the spotlight, this is a person who is clearly ready to take on the most powerful job in the world.

Harris’s acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention was pitch perfect, filled with warm biographical details in the beginning and then becoming deeper and more serious as she talked about the issues facing the country, the threat from Donald Trump and the right and America’s place in the world. This is a mature, confident, leader who sounds optimistic, patriotic and strong.

The convention was, for the most part, a big, fun love fest with the party celebrating in relief that it has a good chance to beat Donald Trump with this new ticket and enjoying the more positive, hopeful feelings it offers after years of dealing with the darkness of Trump, pandemics and economic stress. There was lots of humor and lighthearted banter as well as some sentimental, respectful send-offs to the old guard as the new generation takes over. It was, to quote the overused word this week, joyful.

With some serious turns about women’s experiences with the new abortion laws and gun violence it was mostly upbeat. as best exemplified by Gov. Tim Walz’s stirring pep talk and the open love of his family when he accepted his nomination on Wednesday night. It was heartwarming and sweet. Many of the other speakers, notably the Obamas and the vast number of rising stars in the party, were entertaining and inspiring, And the convention program itself, although it ran long, was extremely well-produced with innovative multi-media strategies designed to go viral online and plenty of made for TV moments. The ratings outstripped the drab RNC convention substantially the first three nights.

But it was up to the V.P. to present herself as the president and pull together all the strands of the big conversation that had been happening for the past three days under the Democrats’ expansive Big Tent. She did that. The big party stopped for a while and everyone listened raptly. This was the reason they were there. She held the room which looked on at her with a mixture of awe and respect.

There’s been a lot of talk about Harris bringing the fractious Democratic party together but for all her charisma and talent, I don’t think that’s quite right. It didn’t happen just since she became the nominee or at the convention. I’ve been astonished at how unified (with the obvious exception of the war in Gaza) the Democrats have been for quite some time. I believe the reason the party is so united, surprisingly enough, is because of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, the two old geezers everyone is determined to finally put out to pasture.

The threat of Donald Trump cannot be overstated. As long as he and his authoritarian MAGA movement hang over the American political scene it is incumbent on the Democrats to present a united front to oppose him. There is no margin for error. The fact is that from the moment he was inaugurated in 2017 Democrats have been pragmatically working together in ways we would have thought impossible just a few years ago.

And to the extent that they have attracted independents and disaffected Republicans, with some featured prominently at the convention this week, Trump gets credit for that too. He may have divided the country but he brought the Democrats together and inspired a popular front that’s held fast for the last four years.

Joe Biden really deserves a lot of credit as well. He came from the mainstream of the party but was surprisingly open to the progressive wing in ways that Obama was not. He never tried to “sistah-soljah” them (in 90s parlance) by beating them up in order to remain credible to the moderates in the party. (Yes, it helped that there are fewer of those centrist types these days although the few that were there caused plenty of trouble.) And because of Trump, the progressive wing was ready to grab their seat at the table and take their wins when they got them. And there were a lot of them, showing that progressives can leverage their power within the coalition in a cooperative way. The party is more populist than it’s been in decades and pretty much defines itself across the board as unapologetically pro-union, anti-monopoly, and pro-family.

Biden built enough loyalty on the left that when pundits and some Democrats began publicly calling for his withdrawal from the race, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez openly supported him as did Bernie Sanders. In the end, once he accepted the inevitable, his hard work to bring the previously warring factions together paid off and the party was able to come together very quickly behind his endorsement of Harris and embrace the new ticket with little angst or resentment.

Trump reshaped his party too, of course. It is now more of a cult devoted to his whims and needs, made that way through mafia-style strong arming and threats. His purges of “RINOs” and apostates and the elevation of flunkies and sycophants has made the Republican Party into a dysfunctional party of weirdos and cranks. Whne Trump finally does exit the stage, the transition to the next chapter will not be quite as smooth. In fact, it’s going to be an epic shitshow.

Whether this new harmonious Democratic coalition will last is unknown but nothing could be more important in this moment than to present a united front to stop Trump. If Harris wins, we’ll have to see if she can navigate the inevitable jockeying for power as well as Biden did. She did have the advantage of seeing him operate so hopefully that will guide her judgement.

The Democrats have collected over a $100 million in small donation through Act Blue during the convention week. They brought in almost $36 million yesterday andd uring the hour after Harris’ speech alone they collected $7 million. These are very big numbers and they continue to suggest that the enthusiasm is on their side. If the polling trends continue, the election could be a little less daunting than we thought. As long as nobody takes that for granted, the Democrats might just pull it off.

The Billionaire vs the “Billionaire”

The fact checkers at the NY Times actually thought it was important to ding JB Pritzker for that joke:

I just don’t know what to say anymore about what’s happening at the NY Times. They have totally lost their way. Other fact-checkers have had a different impression:

Meanwhile, here’s the latest on Trump’s tremendous billionaire business savvy from Michael Hilzik in the LA Times:

Hiding in plain sight in the first annual report issued by the parent company of Donald Trump’s Truth Social platform was a statement of inescapable, well, truth.

Issued, perhaps appropriately, on April 1 by Trump Media and Technology Group, the report said: “The value of TMTG’s brand may diminish if the popularity of President Trump were to suffer.” This was cited as a “risk factor” in holding the company’s stock.

So here we are. Since July 21, when President Joe Biden ended his campaign for reelection and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to run against Trump, the stock has been spiraling toward oblivion.

TMTG may lack any meaningful remedy if President Donald J. Trump minimizes his future use of Truth Social.

— Trump Media and Technology Group acknowledges the limits of Donald Trump’s duty to use his own social media platform

From then through Tuesday, shares of the company bearing Trump’s initials (DJT) as its ticker symbol have lost nearly 39% of its value. (The broad stock market as measured by the Standard & Poor’s 500 index has gained almost 2% over the same time span.)

The shares have gained in daily value only five times during that period, and lost ground on 17. The shares closed Tuesday at $21.42, down 82 cents or 3.71%, following a slide of 3.56% the day before.

In the context of the grand sweep of DJT’s history as a publicly traded company, that’s not so remarkable. Measured from its closing price of $57.99 on March 26, when it went public, the stock is down about 63%. Measured from its peak of $79.38, which it reached that day before pulling back, the loss is 73%. Choose which of these calculations you wish; either one fits the dictionary definition of “ugly.”

He may lose and he’s become even more unhinged which may be making some investors finally realize that investing in Trump is for suckers and losers.

And you have to love this:

But other counterweights have become more significant. One is the question of what Trump intends to do with his own shares in the company, which came to 59.9% of the total shares as of mid-July, according to its financial disclosures. Trump will be entitled to sell any or all of those shares starting in mid-September, when a six-month lockup period expires.

Any indication that Trump is moving to liquidate his exposure to DJT would almost certainly crater the shares’ price; anticipation that he is plotting to leave his outside investors in the lurch, as he has done to investors, partners and customers in other ventures, may account for some of the shares’ weakness.

Trump owns so much of the company that he might be able to realize $1 billion or more via stock sales before other shareholders have a chance to get out the door without taking a loss.

He’s not even trying to really create value and his licensing agreement doesn’t require him to.

Then there’s the stature of the company as a going concern. It issues all the disclosures required of a public company in the U.S., but anyone reading them would be well advised to open a window first.

Financially speaking, although it still has a market value of $4 billion, the company doesn’t resemble any enterprise that could have been imagined by the value-investing pioneers Benjamin Graham and David Dodd. In its most recent quarterly disclosure, issued Aug. 12, it reported a loss of $344 million on revenue of $1.4 million for the first six months of this year.

It’s a grift and anyone who doesn’t realize that by now probably deserves what they get.

Hilzik concludes:

I wrote in 2021, when the SPAC deal to take Truth Social public was first announced, that it was poised to set a high-water mark for dubious investment schemes. In April, a month after the IPO, I wrote that that Trump might end up laughing all the way to the bank, but his investors would be left with nothing but tears.

We’re well on the way to that glorious moment when I can say, “I told you so.” Or maybe we’re there already.

And yet it is possible that Trump will walk away with a billion dollars from the scam. The man is a fraudster and a criminal. That he’s allowed to do deals like this at all is an indictment of our system. He shouldn’t be allowed anywhere near a publicly traded company.

Fraudulent As Usual

Tim Walz spent 24 years in the Army National Guard. He retired to run for congress. Now they are swiftboating him which is totally expected. It’s what they do. But now they’ve exposed their own military lies. Vote Vets tweeted this:

🚨If you’re looking for a textbook example of Stolen Valor, look no further than Donald Trump’s campaign and the 50 Veterans who signed this letter.

29 of the signatures come from Republicans who falsely claim they retired from military service.

The most egregious example is Ronny Jackson, the former Navy officer reduced in rank from Rear Admiral to Captain after retirement:

Vote Vets sets the record straight:

@RonnyJacksonTX – you were demoted from Rear Admiral to Captain – why are YOU committing stolen valor for claiming you’re a retired flag officer? 

And that’s not the only indictment of Jackson. He was busted down in rank because of sexual harassment, drunken behavior and inappropriate distribution of narcotics. He really should shut his pie hole.

How about the rest of these liars?

@TroyNehls – to see you signing a letter to ANYONE about stolen valor is the height of hypocrisy. Ask anyone who’s seen you wearing that Combat Infantryman’s Badge that you never earned! 

@RogerMarshallMD – you did seven years – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@ScottForFlorida – you served for 29 months – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@Babin4Congress – you did four years in the Air Force – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@RepJimBaird – you did three years in the Army – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@Jim_Banks – you’re still serving as a supply officer in the Navy Reserve – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@BostForCongress – you spent three years in the Marine Corps – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@MikeCareyOH15 – you spent 10 years in the National Guard – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@EliCrane_CEO – you served for 13 years as a Navy SEAL – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@Vote_Davidson – you spent 12 years in the Army, including your West Point time – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@DunnCampaign – you served in the Army for 11 years – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@FallonForTexas – you spent four years in the Air Force – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@brettguthrie – you spent three years in the Army – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@CaptClayHiggins – you served in the National Guard for 6 years – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@WesleyHuntTX – you served for five years in the Army – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@DarrellIssa – you served for four years in the Army – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@JenKiggans – you served in the Navy for ten years – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@nicklalota – you served in the Navy for eight years – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@LopezforCO – you served for four years in the Air Force – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@standwithbarry – you served eight years in the Air Force – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@realannapaulina – you served five years in the Air Force – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@MaxMillerOH – you served six years in the Marine Corps – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@CoryMillsFL – you served five years in the Army – – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@GReschenthaler – you served 5 years in the Navy – – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@HalRogersKY5 – you spent eight years in the Army – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@gregsteube – you spent four years in the Army -– why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@VoteTimmons – you’re still in the Air National Guard – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

@Brandon4ny22 – you spent five years in the Navy – why are you claiming you’re retired? 

Again, Walz served for 24 years and retired. These people did not, yet they claim to be retired service members.

It would be nice to see the media take the initiative to put these claims to rest. Instead I’m seeing it on my TV as a “controversy” which they aren’t bothering to debunk. Hopefully, voters will discount this nonsense for the tired smear that it is.

Money Isn’t Everything

But massive fundraising does say something

The cash just keeps flowing:

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris’ election effort has raised around $500 million since she became the Democratic presidential candidate, sources told Reuters, an unprecedented money haul that reflects donor enthusiasm going into the Nov. 5 election.

Four sources familiar with the fundraising effort told Reuters that figure had been banked for Harris in the four weeks since she jumped into the race on July 21.

Campaign cash is critical for advertising and get-out-the-vote efforts that help bring people to the polls and persuade undecided voters to swing a candidate’s way.

Harris entered the fray after President Joe Biden stepped aside from the top of the Democratic ticket, unleashing floods of funding that had dried up in the weeks after Biden’s disastrous debate against Republican Donald Trump…

Harris’ team raised $310 million in July, bringing the total amount of money raised by her and Biden before he dropped out to more than $1 billion, the most rapid crossing of that fundraising threshold in history, according to the campaign.

Trump expected to make a huge fundraising haul after his assassination attempt and the RNC. It doesn’t look like that happened:

Trump’s campaign said it raised $138.7 million in July…

The difference in enthusiasm manifested by those numbers is pretty profound.

He Went There

And it was spectacular

It went viral in a hurry

Thank you Barack. We needed that.

David Kurtz at TPM has a nice wrap up of the Obamas’ speeches last night:

Barack and Michelle Obama welcomed the Democratic convention to their hometown of Chicago, with sterling back-to-back speeches that harkened to the brighter pre-Trump days.

Neither has lost a step as orators, with precision timing and panache that very few politicians have ever mustered, except that Michelle is not a politician and this was never her day job.

While he struck familiar themes from his two-terms as president and wove them into the Harris-Walz campaign messaging in a way designed to make her a natural successor to his legacy, it was that pantomimed dart at the manhood of the man who did succeed him that brought down the house.

He was great as always. But in spite of his usual rave up Red state, Blue state stuff toward the end, it was much harder hitting against the opposition than I remember, even aside from the comedy.

A lot of silly analysis overnight about Michelle eschewing her motto – “When they go low, we go high” – as if calling out racism and misogyny is going low.

“Going small is petty, it’s unhealthy, and, quite frankly, it’s unpresidential,” Michelle Obama said. “It’s his same old con: doubling down on ugly, misogynistic, racist lies as a substitute for real ideas and solutions that will actually make people’s lives better.”

She also unspooled an anti-Trump thread that I haven’t seen Democrats use as often as they might have over the past decade, perhaps because they generally avoid explicit appeals based on class:

But her speech peaked with her invocation of Trump’s derogatory reference to “Black jobs”:

They both brought the house down, of course. They’re the best orators in politics and everyone, including the Republicans know it, which really makes them fume.

Here’s Michelle’s entire speech in case you missed it:

Rollcall Playlist

In case you missed the full roll call last night:

For those of you who wanted that playlist here it is!