The government first began gathering detailed information on benefits use by citizenship status in 1994. The data show:
For each year from 1994 to 2023, the US immigrant population generated more in taxes than they received in benefits from all levels of government.
Over that period, immigrants created a cumulative fiscal surplus of $14.5 trillion in real 2024 US dollars, including $3.9 trillion in savings on interest on the debt.
Without immigrants, US government public debt at all levels would be at least 205 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)—nearly twice its 2023 level.
These results, which do not account for any of immigration’s indirect, tax-revenue-boosting effects on economic growth, represent the lower bound of the positive fiscal effects. Even by this conservative analysis, immigrants may have already prevented a fiscal crisis.
Republicans enjoy using the Jim Crow-era Democratic Party’s support for segregation as proof that their embrace of white nationalism is not worth mentioning. It’s bothsidesism as a “get out of racism free” card.
There was a time post-September 11 when the GOP’s bogieman du jour was from somewhere vaguely Middle East or Muslim. We were coached to become a nation of bedwetters convinced that bearded men with long, curved knives were coming to kill us all in our beds. We packed heat and opened fire on anything that went bump in the night either at home or abroad.
Now it’s anyone nonwhite. I’d missed that Aliya Rahman, 43, the disabled American citizen dragged from her car in Minneapolis is Bangladeshi. It went by fast in her testimony on Tuesday. She mentioned seeing a combat knife come at her and fearing that the agent meant to harm her. Instead he cut off her seat belt so agents could drag her out of the car and onto her face.
Marimar Martinez survived after being shot five times during an ICE assault in Chicago. She also testified. We’d heard previously about the agent who shot her bragging about five shots and seven holes. But on Tuesday, we heard a new detail.
Marimar Martinez: I was escorted out through the back in a https://t.co/HBG9JTEKDG of the agents came up to me with his cell phone and took a photograph of me. It still haunts me that this agent has my photo on his phone. Was this the agent that shot me? Was this a trophy for… pic.twitter.com/dloJrYmqc8
Martinez testified in Congress Tuesday about how she was shot after she followed an agent’s car in Chicago while trying to warn her neighbors. DHS initially claimed that when the officers exited their vehicle, Martinez tried to run them over, “forcing the officers to fire defensively.” She was charged with felony assault of a federal officer despite ending up in the hospital herself.
In her testimony, Martinez revealed a new detail about what happened after she was shot.
“After being at the hospital for less than three hours, I was discharged from the hospital into custody of the FBI. As we left the hospital, I was escorted out through the back in a wheelchair. I observed over dozens of Border Patrol agents waiting outside the hospital,” Martinez said. “One of the agents came up to me with his cell phone and took a photograph of me. It was the same agent who had previously kept coming in and out [of my hospital] room, and I had to repeatedly tell him to leave. I told him I did not consent … but he did not care. It still haunts me that this agent has my photo on his phone. Was this the agent that shot me? Was this a trophy for him?”
A couple of decades ago we were supposed to fear foreigners coming to coming to kill us in our beds with their long, curved knives. Under the Trump-Miller ethnic cleansing effort, it’s anyone foreign-looking, citizens and non-citizens alike, who must fear that amped-up, masked agents of our own government are coming for us. Dehumanizing us as “bodies,” as Rahman testified, to be harvested, counted, and warehoused.
Judge Ana Reyes did not have to go far to discover Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s animus toward Haitians. She just had to read her social media feed. “I am recommending a full travel ban on every damn country that’s been flooding our nation with killers, leeches and entitlement junkies,” Noem wrote on X in December. She added, “WE DON’T WANT THEM. NOT ONE.”
Reyes, a Federal District Court judge in Washington, cited Noem’s post at the very beginning of a blistering opinion issued Monday night preventing the administration from ending Temporary Protected Status for Haitians, at least for now. That status was due to expire on Tuesday, rendering more than 350,000 Haitians who are now legally living and working in America undocumented overnight.
Goldberg visited Springfield, Ohio, with a population nearly one-quarter Haitian. (You know, the subhumans allegedly eating cats and dogs?) The Trump-Miller plan to void their Temporary Protected Status (TPS) and round them up for deportation leaves them a community living in fear:
On Sunday evening, Rose Goute, a Haitian restaurant, was almost deserted. “People stay home,” said Jean Philistin, a 50-year-old who was there picking up takeout. “People are scared.” He said he was less frightened than many others because he became a citizen a few years ago, though he wasn’t sure how much that would matter. “The worst thing is, since you’ve got an accent, or since you’re Black, they can stop you for no reason.”
Philistin had been a civil engineer back in Haiti and now worked refurbishing houses. He has two teenage children, both born in America. “I don’t know why they hate my community,” he said sadly.
I’d call that a rhetorical question.
In a 2005 op-ed about the Bush II “extraordinary rendition” and torture regime, I asked whether Americans were “fighting terrorists, breeding them, or becoming them.” We have our answer.
Absurdist theater based on Donald Trump’s presidency presents a problem for the Hamburg State Opera (Associated Press):
Tobias Kratzer spoke in disbelief ahead of the world premiere of “Monster’s Paradise” by Olga Neuwirth and Elfriede Jelinek, which features a gluttonous, ravenous, insatiable President-King, lampooning U.S. President Donald Trump.
“The metaphor has become a reality,” the Hamburg State Opera artistic director said in his office Sunday morning. “I’m really hoping in — what is it, eight hours? — the piece is not completely outdated because up until now it has always gone closer and closer to not being a satire but being reality.”
When I was posting spoof flyers around town for New Age workshops and therapies in the 1990s, there came a time when reality began overtaking satire. I once invented a men’s movement workshop where particpants would reconnect with their lost godhead by sharing stories of their “wounding” by circumcision. My psychologist brother-in-law later wrote that he’d run across one.
So Kratzer gets it.
Jelinek, 79, won the 2004 Nobel Prize in Literature. Neuwirth, 57, won the 2022 Grawemeyer Award for Music Composition, and was the first woman composer to present a work at the Vienna State Opera:
Alfred Jarry’s 1896 play “Ubu Roi” was the inspiration, a profane, scatological work that had a one-performance run in Paris, cut short by an angry audience response.
Aspects of Jarry’s King Wenceslas and Ubu characters were adapted into The President-King for what Neuwirth and Jelinek call a Grand Guignol opera, which has a six-performance run through Feb. 19. It moves to the Zurich Opera from March 8 to April 12 and next season to Austria’s Oper Graz. An audio recording is planned.
The President-King entered in a gilded Oval Office with a Coca-Cola filled refrigerator. A golden crown sat on his desk along with a red button that jettisoned visitors such as an Elvis Presley impersonator in the manner of a TV game show as a trio of red X-shaped lights flashed. A woman resembling Melania Trump lurked in the background.
They’re laughing at you, Donald. Here in the U.S. we’re almost passed finding the humor.
The startling extremism of the Trump regime, even compared with other modern wannabe dictatorships, is obvious to the naked eye. But I always find quantification useful. So I was very pleased to see that the estimable John Burn-Murdoch of the Financial Times has risen to the occasion, producing an index of democratic backsliding that lets us compare the trajectory of the United States under Trump with those of other nations we used to view as cautionary tales. (I’ve looked at how the index is constructed, and it’s reasonable.) We’re on a uniquely steep descent, at least for modern times.
It’s a horrifying picture. Yet the flip side of the naked extremism of the MAGA power grab is that it has produced a remarkably strong backlash. The size and determination of civil resistance to ICE has been incredible and inspiring, like nothing we’ve seen since the Civil Rights movement in the 1960s. Republicans are being punished at the polls: On Saturday a deep-red Texas Senate district that went Trump +17 in 2024 voted in a Democrat with a 15-point margin.
So what happens now?
I keep asking two questions as ICE runs wild. First, what is the strategy here? How do Trump, Stephen Miller, etc. think this is going to work for them? Maybe their initial belief was that a display of force would shock and awe their opponents into submission. It’s not happening, yet they just keep ramping up the threats and violence, apparently not knowing how to do anything else.
The obvious answer is that there isn’t any strategy. These people aren’t evil masterminds — evil, yes, but masterminds, no. They’re just thugs too crude and undisciplined to control their own thuggishness. They were caught off guard by the strength of the resistance because the very concept of citizens standing up for their principles is alien to them, and they still can’t believe it’s real.
The second question is, how does this end? Most immediately, what will happen during and after the midterm elections? Everything points to a blue wave in November. Yet many people in MAGA simply can’t accept losing power — among other things, their actions over the past year mean that if they lose power, many of them will go to jail.
Actually, Trump will pardon everyone so they needn’t fear that at all. But losing power is a deep, deep fear because they are afraid of other kinds of retribution — loss of work, status, money, community acceptance. They aren’t just going to go quietly we know that. The stakes are much, much higher than they were in 2020 — and the country is much more focused.
As Krugman notes:
[I]t’s just being realistic to say that MAGA will try, somehow, to prevent voters from having their say. Will ICE try to prevent blue districts from voting? If that fails, will they reject the results, in a midterm version of Jan. 6? Call me alarmist, but remember: The alarmists have been right, and the people telling us to calm down have been wrong, every step of the way.
Yep. Expect the worst with these people and plan accordingly. It will be very hard for them to steal 2026 if the turnout is huge.
I’ve been saying this for years. G. Elliott Morris does some sophisticated analysis of the voting population and proves, once and for all, that this idea that there is a huge number of people “in the middle” who are some who splitting the difference between the policies of the two parties which makes them “moderate” is nonsense. That group is just disengaged people who have no ideology at all:
The vast majority of the “moderates” are just completely non-ideological. Just over 80 percent of the respondents who scored between a -2 and 2 on either economic or social ideology had an ideological thinking score of 0 or 1. These “moderates” are not moderate, they’re disengaged. They didn’t express centrist views balancing left and right, or a preference for moderation on policy. They expressed no ideological views at all.
I took all 4,500 classified respondents in Steve’s data and calculated the following composition of the electorate based on voters scores on the three variables (”ideological thinking,” left-right economic policy, left-right social policy).
Disengaged (34%): Low ideology scores and no clear issue positions
Issue-focused but not ideological (25%): Mention economic or social concerns without ideological framing
Ideological right (19%): Clear conservative positioning
Ideological left (16%): Clear liberal positioning
Mixed/moderate (6%): True centrists or ideological misfits
The “center” of American politics isn’t populated by careful centrists weighing “both sides” of the policy debate, or people who want the Democrats or Republicans to retreat from extremism. It’s populated by people who want their daily lives to be easier and aren’t really thinking about politics at all.
I have often quoted from this piece by Chris Hayes from over 20 years ago. It’s as correct today as it was then and yet political strategists are just allergic to accepting this notion and planning accordingly. You can’t win those people over with issue oriented campaigns because they don’t understand politics enough (and don’t care.) It certainly doesn’t mean that “moderating” on issues is what they are looking for.
Democratic strategists have personal incentives for thinking otherwise but unless they think they will somehow benefit from more of what the MAGA folks are offering they need to wise up. As Morris writes:
The median voter isn’t moderate, at least in how they describe what they like about the two major parties. Our data suggests that when it comes to how they feel about parties, the average American isn’t thinking ideologically at all.
Instead, most people are thinking about conditions: prices, wars, group conflicts, and whether things just feel like they’re getting better or worse. This suggests that a campaign more about conditions of daily life and the country would be more successful than seeking out issues or groups you can campaign against to seem ideologically “heterodox” (the 2025 word of the year for DC strategists and pundits).
This also explains why “moderate” candidates don’t automatically win. Contrary to the strategy implied by Median Voter Theorists, if you’re pitching yourself as the sensible centrist, you’re appealing to a constituency that barely exists. Just as the No Labels candidate for president. The voters in the middle aren’t there because they carefully weighed the options; they’re there because they’re not paying attention to the ideological debate at all.
I guess that means for these people it really is all about “vibes.” And if that’s the case then the Democrats should win with no problem. The vibes in the country are horrific, perhaps the worst I’ve ever seen. And it’s not just the economy. It’s the chaos, the violence, the insecurity, fear and pessimism. Trump can toot his horn all he wants, day in and day out, but he’s not convincing anyone that there is morning in America. This country is in deep trouble and even the non-ideological among us know it.
There’s reason why self-described Independents are abandoning the Republicans in droves.
The delicate flowers of ICE were so scared of people making hand gestures that they had to pulled them over the next day, pull their guns and threaten to shoot them:
Agent: These guys were all threatening us yesterday with hand guns. … Agent: Hand guns, like threatening to shoot us.
Reporter: You mean like with hand symbols?
A: Pulling them out, trying to engage us.
R: Pulling out literal guns?
A: No. Making… assuming we were going to do something.
These poor fellas need a safe space. The streets of Minneapolis are triggering them. (No pun intended.)
The first one is being pooh-poohed by all the experts. “He can’t do that, the constitution is clear that states control elections.” He’s just having a tantrum.
Ok, but who’s going to stop him? How would he “take over” the election systems and “nationalize” elections? I don’t know. Declare martial law? Say we’re at war? Do you doubt that he is capable of trying anything?
Perhaps he could do it the same way they did it in Georgia. I don’t know where he came up with “15 places” but I assume he’s thinking about states where the Republican Party has control and could unilaterally declare that certain big city elections offices are corrupt (or something.) I’m not sure where this might be and it’s doubtful that he can get enough critical mass to swing an election doing this but you never know.
I still believe that the real plan is to contest the election and throw the next Congress into chaos as the cases wend their way through the courts. And who knows what the Supremes might do if it gets to them? I’m sure Johnson and Thune will be happy to help.
Republicans are now saying that state control of elections is wrong because they have different standards so maybe the Supremes are open to that argument now”
BASH: Would you be comfortable w/Trump 'taking over' elections nationally?REP GONZALES: POTUS is bringing up a fact on many Americans' minds – election integrityB: Isn't the issue that he's not telling the truth?G: One of the issues is every state does it differently. That gives a lot of doubt
I doubt he’s going to get anywhere with this but I’m not going to dismiss these threats because I still recall this:
This time he will still be president and he has a crew of ruthless henchmen in the DOJ, DHS and the military who will do his bidding. So, no one should be too sanguine that he won’t do anything. The only thing that mitigates against it is that he’s drunk with power and only cares about himself so he no doubt figures he can do whatever he wants whether he has a GOP Congress or not.
Pirro? I think she may have had an extra glass of wine at dinner. That statement is like waving a red flag in front of the gun nuts.
Blanche: That’s a great quote and should be what he’s remembered for. “It’s not a crime to party with Epstein.” Love it.
Trump’s tantrum about Harvard is hilarious. Harvard refused to buckle under to his administration’s blackmail. So now he’s going to sue, just like he’s using Trevor Noah and the IRS and the DOJ and anyone else who looks t him sideways. But the fact is that Harvard won and he lost. If only all the elite institutions had banded to get her and told him to pound sand last year, this administration would have gone differently.
It was just another morning for the GOP — and the rapidly accelerating destruction of America.
Donald Trump announced last week that he is suing the Internal Revenue Service for $10 billion because a contractor leaked his tax returns. This isn’t the first time the president has sued the federal government. He has already filed claims against the Justice Department for $230 million over the investigations into Russian collusion and the stolen classified documents. In each of these cases, it will be up to the agencies, which he oversees, whether to settle — with him. Gosh, I wonder what he’ll decide?
When asked about this curious arrangement over the weekend, Trump told the press, “I’m supposed to work out a settlement with myself… We could make it a substantial amount, nobody would care, because it’s gonna go to numerous, very good charities.” Evidently, American taxpayers are going to have to pay for yet more of Trump’s grievances — and give him what will almost certainly be a nice tax write-off. That’s assuming these “very good charities” aren’t along the lines of his defunct Trump Foundation, for which he was sued by the state of New York for funneling funds to himself and barred from ever running a charity in the state again.
Bennett L. Gershman, an ethics professor at Pace University, told the New York Times in October that Trump’s “the ethical conflict is just so basic and fundamental, you don’t need a law professor to explain it… It’s bizarre and almost too outlandish to believe.”
There was a time when that would have been true. But today, the administration’s corruption and profiteering are so blatant and commonplace that they hardly merit anything but a brief notice in the media.
When the Times asked him why he was openly doing deals in his second term after largely adhering to long-held norms against conflicts of interest in his first, Trump wasn’t wrong in his response: “Because I found out that nobody cared. I’m allowed to.” (He went on to claim that he previously prohibited his kids from doing business and didn’t get any credit for it, and then he saw “what went on with Biden.” Trump also noted that he “has a very honest family.”)
But it isn’t exactly true that nobody cared. There were several lawsuits filed against Trump during his first term over his business interests. The Supreme Court sat on them for months, as they often do with thorny questions that might require them to let their partisan flags fly, and then dismissed the cases after Trump lost the election, saying they were moot. As the Brennan Center noted at the time, “[A]ny future president can use the Trump experience as a guide to avoid the constitutional prohibition on foreign emoluments. So long as foreign governments’ political spending is laundered through a future president’s business, he or she can make the argument that this is perfectly fine since Trump did it.”
Was that prescient or what? The Brennan Center also noted that all a president with only one term has to do is run out the clock, which the courts are happy to help him do. And Trump, lucky fellow that he is, essentially has had two single terms and will almost certainly be able to do the same thing again.
Now he is openly fast-tracking pardons, handing them out to everyone from drug kingpins to personal business associates willing to pay top dollar to lobbyists who will advocate for them. The going rate is reportedly set at a million dollars. The money mostly goes to the middle men, but one can assume it gets spread around in various ways.
In the case of “crypto’s richest man” Changpeng Zhao — a billionaire felon who was sentenced to a four-month prison term in 2024 after pleading guilty to federal money laundering charges — the money spreading reportedly came in the form of a deal his company struck that hinged on using a dollar-pegged cryptocurrency from World Liberty Financial, a stablecoin company partially owned by a Trump family entity. The result, according to the Wall Street Journal: World Liberty’s credibility was enhanced and its market capitalization skyrocketed to over $2.1 billion (from $127 million). The paper also reported that “World Liberty raked in about $1.4 billion in revenue over the past year…far more than the president’s real-estate portfolio ever earned annually.” In October 2025, Zhao received a pardon from Trump.
The New Yorker’s David Kirkpatrick has been tracking Trump’s graft for the last several months and recently published an update to mark the president’s first year back in office. By Kirkpatrick’s reckoning — and he’s very conservative in his estimates — Trump and his family have made at least $4.05 billion in the last year alone. This does not count any of the pre-existing Trump Organization properties and businesses, and he even generously left out the “funny-money assets he couldn’t readily cash out without setting off a fire sale that would eviscerate their value,” such as Trump’s shares in his social media company Truth Social.
Most of the profits have come from crypto markets, which Trump’s son Eric is spearheading, along with special envoy Steve Witkoff’s son Zach. There is American Bitcoin, a company to which Eric and Donald Trump Jr. have lent their name and nothing else in an arrangement that makes Hunter Biden’s penny-ante Burisma deal look like a sidewalk lemonade stand. But the big one is World Liberty Financial — the very company that became entangled with Zhao. According to Kirkpatrick, the president is listed on the web site as a “co-founder emeritus” with sons Eric, Donald Jr. and Barron, along with Witkoff and his son Zach, who serves as CEO. (Again, recall the GOP’s shrieking over Hunter Biden “trading on his father’s name.”)
There have already been several scandals associated with this scheme. But this past weekend, the Wall Street Journal reported on what appears to be a massive bribe from the man known as the United Arab Emirate’s “spy sheikh.” Sheikh Tahnoon, a senior member of the Emirati royal family, reportedly took a secret ownership deal worth $500 million in World Liberty just prior to Trump’s inauguration. A couple of months later, the U.S. agreed to sell advanced artificial intelligence chips to the UAE, a move that surprised most national security experts, since up until then there had been serious concerns about them being diverted to China. According to the Journal, Witkoff — Trump’s Middle East envoy — also got a $31 million piece of the action.
Considering the vast sums that are changing hands, it’s grimly amusing that Trump himself is still hawking consumer goods, including an online merchandise store owned by the Trump Organization. (He also has a little “store” in the White House where he keeps the merch to give away to foreign dignitaries anxious to get their hands on a “Trump was right about everything” hat.)
At this point, you may be wondering if the Republican House Oversight Committee, which spent years investigating Biden and his son’s dealings in Ukraine from a decade before, will be looking into these billion dollar deals. The answer is no. Kentucky Rep. James Comer, who chairs the committee, explained that “the difference between the way the Trump family operates and the Biden family is they’re admitting they’re doing this.”
Apparently, the new rules are that the more flagrant the corruption the more legal it is.