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Election stealing in Bizarroworld

Election stealing in Bizarroworld

by digby

Laura Ingraham is having a cow:

The integrity of our elections is imperiled. We may be witnessing yet another in a series of stolen elections in Florida. Democrats are experts at pulling swifties at the ballot box, you know, it is widely believed that they resorted to voter fraud in Illinois and Texas to tilt the election of John F. Kennedy over Nixon in 1960. And they may be up to their old tricks again.

Ballot irregularities in Palm Beach and Broward County in Florida are front and center. The president, of course, has been very vocal about what he believes is happening there. Here’s just some of what he’s had to say:

“Well, you take a look at the past. Take a look at the past. And all of a sudden they are finding votes? You mean, after the election they are finding votes? “

Predictably, the media have rushed in to pooh-pooh any notion of voter fraud.

The New York Times on Tuesday wrote, “in Florida, no one has offered evidence of widespread election fraud…”

No one? I love the weasel word “widespread.” Neat-o.

If one or two counties in Florida are engaged in voter fraud, it is widespread. It affects the entire state results and the results perhaps for the rest of the country.
[…]
My friends, this is a complete travesty that cannot be permitted to change the outcome of this election.

And it’s sadly is not restricted to the Sunshine State. There’s Georgia, too.

So what is next? I think as the Kavanaugh fight demonstrated, the Republicans must stand united to expose the maleficence and fraud of the left. Because when we do, we usually win.

We cannot allow this flouting of the rules and procedures by corrupt officials or political hacks. We can’t let it stand. If we allow this to go unchecked, it will undermine our democracy, and like a contagion, it’s going to spread across the nation. Eighteen years? Can you believe it, since Bush v. Gore? It’s absolutely unforgivable that we are still dealing with these type of issues.

It is time for the Department of Justice to step in and do a top to bottom investigation regarding why these issues still persist.

And if necessary, people are going to have to go to jail. There has to be repercussions for willful fraudulent defiance of electoral laws.

If this isn’t cleaned up, I’m telling you, the GOP can kiss any hopes of restoring their majority, let alone a presidential victory, well, they can kiss it bye-bye in 2020.

It seems that their go-to in every situation is “lock them up!”

Nah, nothing authoritarian happening in the GOP. Nothing at all.

By the way, their hysteria over “voter fraud” in Florida is, of course, utter bullshit. The problem down there is an antiquated, under-resourced electoral system.

Republicans have been running the damned place for three decades now. It’s pretty clear who benefits.

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Trump tells his cult that if the GOP loses: My whole life, you know what I say? ‘Don’t worry about it, I’ll just figure it out.'”

Trump says if the GOP loses: My whole life, you know what I say? ‘Don’t worry about it, I’ll just figure it out.'”

by digby

He’s trying to figure out who to blame and how to wriggle out from responsibility if the GOP doesn’t do well tonight. I think we can expect lots of claims of voter fraud, as he did in 2016 to explain away Clinton’s 3 million popular vote win. And he’ll blame the fake news and probably the GOP leadership. If they keep the Senate, he’ll take credit. But if it doesn’t go well, he’s got to find a way to somehow explain that his magical demagogue tour wasn’t the cause.

He’s also got absolutely no idea what to do next:

Tuesday’s election results will test whether the former reality star’s messaging — to make the 2018 midterm elections about an “invasion” of migrants that hasn’t happened – is a success. No matter the results, the president signaled he would not take the blame.

“I’ve seen many of the newspapers saying it’s a referendum on what we’ve done, so I don’t know about that, but I can tell you that’s the way they’re going to play it, and if we don’t have a good day, they are going to make it like it’s the end of the world,” Trump said in a call with the supporters the day before the election.

“The election,” Trump said, “is very vital because it really is summing up what we’ve done, it’s going to show confidence for what we’ve done.”

“Even though I’m not on the ballot in a certain way I am on the ballot,” Trump said.

But don’t worry Trump cultists, he’s got a plan:

Days before the election, the president appeared to admit for the first time that Republicans might lose the House. “It could happen,” Trump said. “And you know what you do? My whole life, you know what I say? ‘Don’t worry about it, I’ll just figure it out.'” Trump said.

He’s dancing as fast as he can. Will he be able to dance out of this one?

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Border patrol cancels its election day “mobile field force demonstration”

Border patrol cancels its election day “mobile field force demonstration”

by digby

A moment of sanity:

U.S. Customs and Border Protection abruptly canceled a crowd-control exercise it had planned near a Hispanic neighborhood in El Paso on Tuesday after critics raised concerns that the presence of so many armed border agents could discourage voting.

The agency had planned to stage a “mobile field force demonstration” Tuesday morning at the Paso del Norte border crossing, in an area adjacent to a neighborhood known as Chihuahuita with about 100 modest homes.

After lawmakers, activists and the American Civil Liberties Union questioned the decision to conduct the exercise on Election Day, Border Patrol agents said it had been postponed.

The controversy flared as voters began going to the polls in a city where high turnout is especially crucial to the Senate campaign of Rep. Beto O’Rourke, the El Paso Democratic candidate challenging Republican Sen. Ted Cruz.

CBP and Homeland Security officials rejected allegations that the training exercises had any relation to the election.

It might even be true. But it says something that they feel the need to stage such a demonstration near a Hispanic neighborhood in the first place.

It’s ridiculous that voting is so contentious in this country that this kind of thing has to be monitored constantly.

Reminder: there is no systematic voter fraud in this country. It simply doesn’t exist. But vote suppression is more and more prevalent, especially now that the wingnut Supreme Court decided that it doesn’t exist.

Our democracy is in crisis for a lot of reasons but this is right at the top of our list of problems.

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Maybe there will be postcards? by @BloggersRUs

Maybe there will be postcards?
by Tom Sullivan


Turtle Mountain Reservation, North Dakota

Purveyors of the voter fraud myth have expanded their palette. Retromingent Jim Crow tactics for preventing darker-skinned, not-really Americans from voting are still barely too gauche for the president’s party, or too messy. Everyone knows how squeamish Mr. Tough Guy is about the sight of other people’s blood, no matter where he thinks it’s oozing from. Don’t expect the red hats to be. During Jim Crow, people posed for postcards in front of human trophies.

Logistical shenanigans more arcane than beatings and literacy tests have been deployed to stop Others from voting this election. But stealing elections in broad daylight is likely in beta testing. Driving the sabotage of democratic process is demographic shifts and the emergence of what Atlantic‘s Adam Serwer sees as identity politics for white people. Those who claim to oppose identity politics, of course, apply the term exclusively “to efforts by historically marginalized constituencies to claim rights others already possess.”

Serwer explains:

Underlying the American discourse on identity politics has always been the unstated assumption that, as a white man’s country, white identity politics—such as that practiced by Trump and the Republican Party—is legitimate, while opposition to such politics is not. For Americans whose Americanness is considered conditional, accepting this implicit racial hierarchy is the only praiseworthy or acceptable reaction.

For millennia, one supposes, people who gave it thought assumed the world was flat because their senses reinforced that assumption daily. So too with assumptions about America’s formation as a bastion of whiteness and Protestantness and maleness. For questioning the heliocentric model of the universe, the Holy See convicted Galileo of heresy. Because Others challenge how things are and ought to be, white America elected Donald Trump.

His election was merely the capstone to decades of Republicans inflating the myth of voter fraud to the point it would barely hide anti-democratic actions to shrink the franchise to back to a size that would again guarantee America’s whiteness and Protestantness and maleness. Just the way America was meant to be.

The New Yorker’s Jelani Cobb examines vote suppression in the age of Trump, beginning with the reemergence of an old joke:

Decades ago, amid the most overt privations of Jim Crow, African-Americans used to tell a joke about a black Harvard professor who moves to the Deep South and tries to register to vote. A white clerk tells him that he will first have to read aloud a paragraph from the Constitution. When he easily does so, the clerk says that he will also have to read and translate a section written in Spanish. Again he complies. The clerk then demands that he read sections in French, German, and Russian, all of which he happens to speak fluently. Finally, the clerk shows him a passage in Arabic. The professor looks at it and says, “My Arabic is rusty, but I believe this translates to ‘Negroes cannot vote in this county.’ ”

These days, however, making America great again means pickaninny caricatures in racist robocalls in Florida. It means bringing back Jim Crow voting restrictions that put Them back in their proper places, as Republican secretary of state, Brian Kemp, means to in putting “a white thumb on the demographic scale” (emphasis mine):

According to the Brennan Center for Justice, ninety-nine bills designed to diminish voter access were introduced last year in thirty-one state legislatures. Many of the recent Republican-led efforts stem from the Supreme Court’s 2013 decision in Shelby v. Holder. In an opinion that eviscerated the Voting Rights Act of 1965, Chief Justice John Roberts wrote that discrimination still exists, but not sufficiently to warrant the “extraordinary” remediation measures that the act imposed on the states of the former Confederacy. That argument is roughly equivalent to saying that a decline in the prevalence of an infectious disease means that we should stop vaccinating against it. Within hours of the decision, Texas announced a strict new voter-I.D. law. Mississippi and Alabama shortly afterward began enforcing similar laws that previously had been barred.

The decision added a layer of severity to a voter-access crisis precipitated by state laws that prohibit six million Americans with past convictions from voting. In three Southern states—Florida, Tennessee, and Kentucky—this means that at least twenty per cent of eligible-age African-Americans cannot vote. Meanwhile, North Carolina enacted restrictions on early voting, a policy that particularly affects African-Americans, who are likely to be hourly-wage workers and cannot always get to the polls on Election Day. Last year, the Supreme Court declined to hear an appeal to reinstate a voter-I.D. law in North Carolina that a federal court had found targeted black voters “with almost surgical precision.” In effect, the question posed by Roberts’s ruling is how much discrimination there has to be before you can justify protecting voters.

Jim Crow 2.0 is already a national crisis, Cobb writes, appearing even in North Dakota which did not become a state until decades after the Civil War. North Dakota is insisting tribe members have identity cards with street addresses for voting. With a tight senatorial election pending, tribal identity cards suddenly are not enough.

The New York Times sent Maggie Astor to North Dakota to look at the hurdles tribal members (who incidentally tend to vote Democrat) face in casting a ballot this year. She chronicled her own addressing problem on Twitter:

When Astor left for the Turtle Mountain Reservation an hour and a half away, same problem again. Even the tribal headquarters, the largest buildings on the reservations, do not have street addresses. Daily Kos last week raised $450,000 to help the tribes produce updated tribal ID cards with residential addresses. First People had better be able to read them in Arabic.

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

Pipe bombs and sidearms by @BloggersRUs

Pipe bombs and sidearms
by Tom Sullivan

Pipe bombs and sidearms, real or fake, are now features of the 2018 midterm elections.

On a day the F.B.I. investigated seven suspected pipe bombs sent to six people the among the president’s verbal targets, police arrested a man for threatening a Republican electioneer outside a polling station. Both remain developing stories.

As of this writing, the New York Times reports, “Some bomb technicians who studied photos of the device that circulated on social media suggested that the bomb sent to CNN had hallmarks of fake explosives — the kind more typically depicted on television and in movies, rather than devices capable of detonating.”

Derek Partee, a Republican volunteer, Wednesday posted images on Facebook of three people he said issued threats and racial slurs as he stood outside a polling station in the Steele Creek community of Charlotte, NC. Partee is black. In one photo, a man is shown carrying a holstered pistol. Partee, a retired New York homicide detective, called local police. One man is in custody facing charges of ethnic intimidation and communicating threats. The other two had violated no laws.

News accounts report the sidearm was a BB gun. From the Charlotte Observer account:

In an interview with the (Raleigh) News & Observer Wednesday night, Partee said he arrived at the polling place around 2:30 p.m. when a fellow volunteer pointed out the three people in the parking lot who had been taking photos that day and previously. Partee, who is a retired homicide detective from New York, said he decided to take down the license plate number of their car — but before he could, the man with the apparent gun jumped out of the car and confronted him.

“He said something about being a Republican, I said I am a Republican, he said ‘Motherf***** you ain’t s***,’” Partee said.

“They didn’t care whether I was a Democrat or a Republican, they just cared that I was black.”

Another account reports the incident with Partee was not the first at the polling location. Larry Shaheen, campaign chief of staff for state Sen. Jeff Tarte, a Mecklenburg County Republican, reported shouting and physical threats aimed at female Republican volunteers and African-Americans.

I am going to go out on a limb and suggest based on their clothes, behavior, and targets, the Charlotte suspect and his pals are voter fraud vigilantes carrying out their leader’s mandate to watch for “VOTER FRAUD, including during EARLY VOTING.” Violators will be punished!

Videoing poll greeters as an intimidation tactic is pretty standard for overzealous GOP locals. Punisher tee shirts and fake sidearms are not. Or an old camera. Really?

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

‘Showing up is 80 percent of life.’ by @BloggersRUs

‘Showing up is 80 percent of life.’
by Tom Sullivan

Early voting is underway in North Carolina. Because the NCGOP enjoys jiggering with the next election to keep voters confused after every time it loses a key race, the 2018 election has its own set of confusing features. Voting started on a Wednesday instead of a Thursday. Republicans insisted polls remains open for more hours each day, meaning budgeting for fewer early voting sites. (The extra hours added in the early morning and evening are dead.) Republicans lost a key supreme court seat in 2016 when court races were officially nonpartisan. This year, lo and behold, they are not. There are six constitutional amendments on this year’s ballot. They are the legislative equivalent of clickbait.

As we pored over the daily returns Saturday, a colleague displayed a graph comparing the state’s voting age population against voting participation so far. The image was stark (similar to the population graph above). Younger people have the numbers. Older people do the voting. The population curve skews heavily left (younger). The voter participation curve skews right (older).

Michelle I. Gao writes in the Harvard Crimson that the fuss over Taylor Swift encouraging young people to “vote based on who most closely represents your values” is misplaced:

Voting is not very exciting. There may be a few interesting swing districts or states, in which the act of voting for a revolutionary candidate would truly be exciting. But most of us cannot participate in those races. For most of us who live in places that lean one way or another, race outcomes are essentially predetermined, and the act of voting itself does not matter much. I confess that I simply expect the gears of democracy to keep turning, regardless of my own civic participation — elections will be held, voters will vote, losers will give up power, and winners will rise in their place.

This is not to say that voting is stupid — on the contrary. Voting may feel mundane, but that voting can feel mundane is the real privilege. People had to fight for this right hundreds of years ago. Women had to fight just a hundred years ago. It is shortsighted and selfish of us not to vote, holding out for something as fickle as excitement.

Not voting is like seeing a $20 bill lying in the gutter and not picking it up. Younger voters have the numbers to make the changes they want to see in this country. They have the power. But they need reach out, take it, and use it. If for no other reason than so many of their elders want them not to.

This year more than any recent election, the mechanisms of voter suppression are more visible than ever. Right out in the open, like posting cops in armbands outside polling places in minority neighborhoods. The Republican president is in on it.

Ken Mehlman, the Republican National Committee chairman in 2005, apologized to the NAACP for the GOP’s “southern strategy” of heightening racial divisions in the South to its electoral advantage. But the party never abandoned it.

In his infamous 1981 “n*gger, n*gger, n*gger” interview, GOP strategist Lee Atwater confidently declared his would be “the first generation of Southerners that won’t be prejudiced.” A couple of generations later, his party has dropped the pretense of dog whistles and taken up vote suppression efforts more sophisticated, more widespread, and more surgically precise than cops in armbands.

Brian Kemp’s voter purges and “exact match” roadblocks to voting in Georgia suggest Atwater’s classic quote has been rewritten:

You start out under Jim Crow with poll taxes and “literacy tests.” By 1968, you can’t do that—that hurts you, illegal. So you say stuff like, uh, voter fraud, photo ID, and all that stuff, and you’re getting so abstract. Now, you’re talking about voter roll purges, and all these things you’re talking about are totally administrative things and a byproduct of them is, blacks get hurt worse than whites.… “Exact match,” is much more abstract than even the ID thing, uh, and a hell of a lot more abstract than poll taxes and “literacy tests.”

If we don’t show up to play, we forfeit. Young voters and minority voters have the power if they will pick it up and use it.

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

Villains, thieves and scoundrels by @BloggersRUs

Villains, thieves and scoundrels
by Tom Sullivan

Our representative democracy is under attack. There is no gunfire, no explosions. But under attack nonetheless. The FBI has implicated Russian agents in manipulating the 2016 elections, potentially with the cooperation of the Donald Trump campaign. But the 2018 elections are under attack today in Georgia, in North Dakota, and elsewhere by U.S. “crisis actors.”

Trump, now president, made himself fraudster-in-chief in warning American voters against voting. “All levels of government and Law Enforcement are watching carefully for VOTER FRAUD, including during EARLY VOTING,” Trump tweeted Saturday night. “Cheat at your own peril. Violators will be subject to maximum penalties, both civil and criminal!”

Voter fraud frauds have for years scare-mongered Republican voters that should anyone anywhere cast even a single ballot improperly, it “steals your vote.” Your vote. They are careful to personalize it for their white audience. They have spun the all-but-nonexistent problem into a widespread one (that isn’t) requiring draconian voting restrictions. Those laws, in their “majestic equality,” apply to all yet, just coincidentally, predominantly impact minorities of voters that tend to vote for Democrats.

Trump might well have posted police in armbands outside the polls in minority neighborhoods. Let’s not mince words. We know what he and Republican agents across the country are doing. They are openly attempting to steal elections by disenfranchising minority voters. They are trying to intimidate them into staying away from the polls.

Steals your vote, indeed

Georgia’s secretary of state Brian Kemp, both running for governor and responsible for counting the votes in his own race, stands accused of wiping hundreds of thousands of voters from Georgia’s voter rolls ahead of his election. Journalist Greg Palast described to MSNBC’s Joy Reid what his own investigation uncovered (via Susie Madrak, Crooks and Liars):

“Yesterday, I sued Brian Kemp in a federal court. The reason is, I looked at the data, and on threat of a federal suit, he gave me his voter files. They cancelled 550,000 voter registrations in Georgia. That’s Brian Kemp, he’s running for governor. He cancels half a million people off the voter rolls. and the reason is, they left the state, a few died, 19,000. But I had computer experts, the best people in the nation, who check people’s addresses. You know, the guys hunting you down to make your pay your bills or send you catalogs.

“They went through name by name. Kemp didn’t realize i was going to do this. They went through name by name, 340,134 Georgians did not move from their registration addresses. They got removed. They’ve been given no notice, Joy, no notice that they’ve been removed.”

“They’re going to show up to vote and being told they’re not on the voter rolls,” Reid said.

“Are you ready for this? Brian Kemp. They’ll be given provisional ballots. In this case you still won’t be able to vote. And in this case, you’ll think you’ll have voted but you won’t. You’re going to have a massive number of provisional ballots and Brian Kemp gets to count those ballots.”

That, on top of the lawsuit brought by civil rights groups challenging Kemp’s infamous “exact match” program for flagging voter registrations over “discrepancies between application information and government records, such as a missing hyphen in a last name or data entry errors.”

Members of the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe of North Dakota do not have street addresses. Like tribal council member Courtney Yellow Fat, their mail goes to post office boxes. Still, the U.S. Supreme Court last week allowed the state to implement is strict ID law requiring tribal members to have street addresses to vote. About 35 percent of the tribe does not have an ID with an acceptable address:

The question of whether Native American votes will be counted is an especially relevant one in the upcoming midterms because, in less than three weeks, Yellow Fat and Native Americans across North Dakota will be among the nation’s most important groups in an election likely to help determine Senate control.

North Dakota’s voters are the most powerful in the country, according to FiveThirtyEight’s voter power index. A vote in North Dakota has more influence on which party will control the Senate majority than a vote in any other state, a point not lost on Yellow Fat.

“After the election of Sen. Heitkamp is when a lot of this came up through the legislature. And to us it’s clearly suppression of our votes,” Yellow Fat said.

A crowd-sourcing effort led by Daily Kos by Friday raised nearly $450,000 to help North Dakota Native Vote obtain updated tribal ID cards with verified addresses.

North Carolina’s version of True The Vote in 2014 took a similar tack in questioning the voter registrations of residents of an Asheville trailer park. They too had no street addresses and received mail at the park’s main office on the highway. In fact, the local Board of Elections knew exactly where the residents lived via the county’s 911 addressing system but inserted a fictitious placeholder mailing address in its database until the residents could verify their 911 addresses. The voter fraud group cried foul and implied 342 voters had registered under a fictitious address. They got another headline to promote voter ID.

Why? Because this, this is what Trump and election scare-mongers believe: Nice, decent white people wake up on Election Day, shower, dress, eat breakfast, then go the polls to do their patriotic duty by casting their votes. OTHERS — Poors numbering in the invisible millions — are not like US. They go instead to commit felonies punishable by five years in prison and a $10,000 fine for each offense just to add a single extra vote to their team’s total.

They don’t want everybody to vote. They do not believe in a representative democracy where they cannot predetermine the outcome.

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

The trappings of democracy by @BloggersRUs

The trappings of democracy
by Tom Sullivan

When states pass voting restrictions, the burden of providing additional proof of one’s identity at the polls falls disproportionately on women. Political analysis typically highlights the attack on the franchise of minorities, students, and seniors. Missing the targeting of women is perhaps a case of not seeing the forest for the trees.

One prominent woman facing personal impact from Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp’s repeated efforts to quash phantom voter fraud in his state is Stacey Abrams. She would be the first black woman elected governor in the United States if she can defeat her Republican opponent in her race for Georgia governor, Brian Kemp.

That may depend, writes Michelle Goldberg, on whether Kemp allows Abrams’s supporters vote. (No, that’s not a joke.) Four years ago, Kemp warned
Republican colleagues Abrams’s New Georgia Project was “registering all these minority voters that are out there and others that are sitting on the sidelines, if they can do that, they can win these elections in November.” Can’t have that, now, can we?

The Associated Press reports Kemp has cancelled “over 1.4 million voter registrations since 2012. Nearly 670,000 registrations were cancelled in 2017 alone.” Another 53,000 registrations are on hold in his office with his and Abrams’s contest looming.

Goldberg continues:

In part, this is because of an “exact match” voter verification program that Georgia’s Republican-controlled government enacted last year, which flags registrations that have even minor discrepancies with official records, like a dropped hyphen in a last name. The A.P. reported that almost 70 percent of the registrations that are now on hold are for African-American voters. (Kemp has blamed sloppy work by the New Georgia Project for the holds. His office told The A.P. that voters whose registrations are in limbo can cast provisional ballots.)

Kemp’s apparent attempt to rig the Georgia election shows in microcosm how democracy in America is failing. Part of the reason this country is sliding into minority rule is structural — the Senate and the Electoral College both give disproportionate power to white rural voters. But the right is also gaming the system to try to stop changing demographics from changing the country’s balance of political power.

On Thursday, a coalition of civil rights groups sued the secretary of state, demanding cancellation of Kemp’s “exact match” program. They allege the law serves no legitimate purpose and illegally targets minority voters.

Instead of debating Republican talking points on the merits of implementing ID laws and other so-called voting integrity measures, the press is finally labeling them for what they are: bald-faced efforts to rig elections. Making that easier, in their brazenness Republican officials themselves (Kemp excluded) have all but dropped any pretense they are anything else.

Asserting Kemp’s “exact match” registration system violates the federal ban on racial discrimination, voting rights groups filed another lawsuit against Kemp in 2016. The Georgia legislature responded in 2017 by codifying parts of the system in state law. North Carolina voters recognize the approach. A version of North Carolina’s voter ID law overturned by a federal court for targeting “African Americans with almost surgical precision” is on the ballot November 6 as a constitutional amendment.

If they cannot win democratically, Republicans “will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy,” David Frum wrote in the Atlantic. But they will hold onto the trappings of democracy so long as they lend them a modicum of public legitimacy. Until like boasting about principles and morality, they no longer care about keeping up pretenses.

The past few weeks on Capitol Hellmouth have demonstrated the old, white men in power around the country have no intention of sharing it with anyone of any race or gender not their own. What the targets of voter suppression — women, in particular — ought to know is the only way to correct this injustice is by taking it from them at the ballot box while they still can. Vote November 6 if you cannot do it sooner.

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

Robbed by @BloggersRUs

Robbed
by Tom Sullivan

“With Trump as president and the next redistricting process looming large, a slew of new and old organizations is scrambling to figure out how and if they can make wonky, procedural voting issues ones that excite and motivate turnout.”

They certainly become issues when Election Days go badly. The trick is to make them issues before that happens.

Not limited to Republicans, Democrats’ hands are dirty too. A friend tells a story about visiting the office of leading North Carolina lawmaker before Democrats lost control of the legislature in the 2010 election. She’d some to advocate for nonpartisan redistricting. He listened patiently, then leaned back in his chair and smiled, saying, “Democrats draw great districts.” Soon after, they lost the ability to for the first time in decades. The rest, as they say….

The latest entry in Talking Points Memo’s “Retreat from Democracy” series examines efforts by voting rights groups to undo the rat’s nest of vote suppression efforts that took hold across the country in the wake of 2010:

“It is striking how much people have recognized there is no downside, and a strong upside, to staking out pretty clear, strong positions on voting rights,” says Zachary Roth, a journalist and the author of “The Great Suppression,” published in 2016. Roth recalls much more reticence among Democrats even five years ago, saying: “Leaders had been in wait-and-see mode, to see how these issues were going to play politically.”

With a Democrat “trifecta” in Washington, Gov. Jay Inslee passed automatic voter registration and same-day registration last March. New Jersey under Democrat Phil Murphy in late 2017 passed automatic voter registration that Republican Gov. Chris Christie had twice vetoed. Oregon was the first with automatic registration in 2015. Other states followed.

But the fight for voting rights has moved beyond nonpartisan groups such as Common Cause, the NAACP, and Demos to Let America Vote founded in 2017 by Missouri Democrat Jason Kander, and the National Democratic Redistricting Committee (NDRC), organized in 2017 by launched by former U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder:

NDRC is not just focusing on governor’s mansions and congressional races. In May Ohioans voted overwhelmingly in favor of a constitutional amendment for a bipartisan redistricting commission. Holder’s group spent $50,000 supporting this effort, and in addition to Ohio, four more states have redistricting on the ballot this November. (This is a big shift: Only five states had redistricting ballot initiatives in entire the preceding decade.) NDRC also intervened this year in the heavily gerrymandered state of Wisconsin, spending more than $500,000 to elect Rebecca Dallet, a state Supreme Court candidate who won a ten-year term in April.

With the Roberts Supreme Court an unlikely ally, efforts to give democracy an upgrade have moved to the states. In Michigan, a successful, citizen-led petition drive to put a constitutional amendment for an independent redistricting commission on the fall ballot “has dropped the jaws of cynics and pundits across the country.”

Michigan is one of the most heavily gerrymandered states in the country, and Republicans have commanded nine of the state’s fourteen congressional seats in every election since 2010, despite Democrats earning far more votes statewide some years. Republicans deny they manipulated the voting maps, but newly disclosed emails, released this summer as part of a federal court challenge, reveal GOP operatives consciously drawing the maps in their favor. Their redistricting efforts were done “in a glorious way that makes it easier to cram ALL of the Dem garbage in Wayne, Washtenaw, Oakland, and Macomb counties into only four districts,” wrote a Republican congressman’s chief of staff in 2011 to a GOP strategist and mapmaker. Another email drafted by a lawyer helping to design the maps said, “We’ve spent a lot of time providing options to ensure we have a solid 9-5 delegation in 2012 and beyond.”

And I thought North Carolina Republicans were brazen. Common Cause cites its role in Common Cause v. Rucho in striking down North Carolina’s congressional maps as unconstitutional last month:

North Carolinians were robbed of their ability to elect the candidates of their choice through a blatant partisan gerrymander by the legislature. Republican legislators publicly and repeatedly stated that their goal was to gerrymander congressional districts to ensure an overwhelming Republican majority despite an evenly split electorate. They produced district lines that effectively let them choose the voters rather than permitting voters to choose their representatives. That’s the exact opposite of government of the people, by the people, and for the people as promised in our Constitution. Whether they favor Democrats or Republicans, gerrymanders cheat voters.

When elected officials don’t have to worry about getting reelected, they lose their incentive to be responsive to constituents. Legislators are supposed to represent everyone, not just the wealthy and/or those who share their views. We must replace the backroom deals in which politicians draw districts for political advantage with real transparency and impartial redistricting systems so the results of our elections will truly reflect the will of the people.

There is more in Rachel Cohen’s report (sponsored by the American Federation of Teachers) on citizen efforts to roll back efforts to have politicians pick their voter. Free choice? Or just the illusion of free choice?

During arguments in Wisconsin’s Gill v. Whitford case, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg observed, “if you can stack a legislature in this way, what incentive is there for a voter to exercise his vote? Whether it’s a Democratic district or a Republican district, the result — using this map, the result is preordained in most of the districts.”

Getting readers of political blogs interested in going to the polls to stop that is one thing. Making the gerrymandering issue “accessible and exciting” for non-geeks is another, and the challenge that lies ahead for voting rights advocates. But perhaps Common Cause is onto something. Republican politicians don’t mind cheating. Fairness is not their goal. Power is. But what drives their voters up a wall is the notion that they are being cheated somehow: by “welfare” cheats, undocumented immigrants, etc. Fictitious voter fraud “steals your vote,” voter fraud hucksters tell their marks. Convince them (somehow) that gerrymandering robs them out of their choice and maybe you have something. (I’m not holding my breath.)

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

Tuesday night at the races by @BloggersRUs

Tuesday night at the races
by Tom Sullivan

Tuesday night’s Ohio 12 special election ended in a cliffhanger. The historically Republican district Donald Trump carried by 11 points was not supposed to be competitive for Democrats. Yet at the end of the night, Republican state Sen. Troy Balderson led Democrat Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor by barely half a percentage point with absentee and provisional ballots yet to be counted (in 10 days) more than twice the margin between them. The remaining uncounted ballots may be enough to trigger a recount, but for now it seems Democrats did not upset in OH-12. Whichever candidate wins, both will face off again on November 6.

The Washington Post’s takeaway?

1. Voters in Republican-leaning suburban districts are souring on Trump.

2. Largely because of that, a wave that will sweep Republicans out of power appears to be building.

Voter fraud hunter and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach is in a dead heat with incumbent Gov. Jeff Colyer in the Kansas Republican primary for governor. The Washington Post reports that with 94.8 percent of the precincts reporting, at 6 a.m. Colyer has 120,662 votes to Kobach’s 121,203.

In Michigan’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, Senate Majority Leader Gretchen Whitmer defeated Detroit health official Abdul El-Sayed. The support of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the New York congressional candidate, was not enough for El-Sayed to overpower the establishment Democrat. The Whitmer campaign is on its third campaign manager. She will face Bill Schuette, Michigan’s incumbent state attorney general on November 6.

Dave Weigel adds:

In suburban House districts across the Midwest, left-wing candidates lost to Democrats backed by party leaders, abortion rights groups and labor unions.

And in St. Louis, where party giant-slayer Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez traveled to help another young insurgent candidate topple an incumbent, Rep. William Lacy Clay (D-Mo.) cruised to an easy primary win over challenger Cori Bush.

Party centrists crowed at the defeat of insurgent progressives from the Democrats’ left:

“This is a fantastic night for centrist Democrats,” said Jim Kessler, senior vice president for policy at the center-left Third Way think tank. “We nominated the right candidates who can win House seats and governor’s mansions for the Democratic Party. There’s a quiet enthusiasm in the middle. There’s a quiet voice that people are not hearing in the media, but it’s loud at the ballot box.”

But perhaps too much too soon for Third Way.

Voters in Missouri rejected Proposition A, blocking state Republicans from passing right to work (for less) laws. AP reports on the Republican push to weaken unions fiancially:

Missouri’s law against compulsory union fees was defeated Tuesday by a 2-to-1 margin, nearly a year after the measure adopted by the state’s Republican governor and Legislature had been scheduled to take effect. It was put hold after unions successfully petitioned to force a public referendum.

The election results effectively vetoed the Missouri measure and halted a string of stinging losses for organized labor. Since 2012, five other once historically strong union states had adopted right-to-work laws as Republicans gained strength in state capitols, raising the total to 27 states with such laws.

Missouri’s referendum was the first time voters had the opportunity to weigh in directly on union fees since the Supreme Court ruled in June public-sector unions could not collect fees from non-members benefited by union contracts. The Missouri measure would have extended that to all private employers in the state.

“The defeat of Proposition A is merely a minor setback on the road to providing workers with the freedom they deserve,” said Jeremy Cady, Missouri director of Americans for Prosperity.

The freedom individual workers deserve is to offset the power of management and to collectively bargain for a fair distribution of wages and benefits. Missouri workers and union leaders gathered 300,000 signatures to put Proposition A on the ballot, twice as many as would have been necessary.

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For The Win 2018 is ready for download. Request a copy of my county-level election mechanics primer at tom.bluecentury at gmail.

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