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Convention Stringer Report

Who needs to go to the convention when you have actual local Democratic activists who are willing to go for you and write it up from the comfort of their own home, (thus avoiding all that scrambling for diet coke and wireless access?)

I am very pleased that Samela, prolific blog and forum commenter and extremely smart person, agreed to write up her impressions for me today of an invitation-only meeting on terrorism. I remain comvinced that this issue is really the only issue on which this election will be won or lost and I have been very curious as to how the Kerry campaign can hone their message going into the stretch as well as how they will aproach this difficult problem once in office. Bush will have left us with a terrible, intractable problem that goes far beyond holding hearings about how screwed up the CIA is.

Here is Samela’s report. It’s quite interesting. (And she got a real, live scoop too.)

As promised, a recap of the panel “On the Status of National Security and the War on Terror” we were able to attend this morning at Suffolk University Law School.This was the kind of deeply substantive discussion that doesn’t hit the convention floor, nor alas even the general media … though it definitely should. It was at once sobering and hopeful–hopeful that is, in the reassurance that Kerry’s advisors and (perhaps to a lesser extent)Democratic members of the Armed Services committees really “get it.” Despite the enormous problems a Kerry administration will face in these areas, the starkly different approach they will  take can only ameliorate the situation.

The panel was moderated by Massachusetts Rep. Marty Meehan who is the ranking Democrat on the House subcomittee on Terrorism, Unconventional Threats and Capabilities. Also from the House were old-timers John Murtha, Rep. of Pennsylvania, who is ranking Democrat on the Defense Appropriations Subcomittee (and by way of interest, the first Vietnam Vet to have been elected to congress); and Ike Skelton, Rep. from Missouri, who is ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee. From the military side were Wesley Clark and 3-star Lt. Gen. Claudia Kennedy.

Each panelist gave a brief opening statement. Murtha stressed two things: how the Bush administration had submitted a budget that (for political reasons) contained absolutely no money for personnel and equipment needs. They’d been borrowing from various agencies because they didn’t want to ask, and the House had to pass $25 billion in appropriations for the most basic needs. His other point, a la Michael Moore, was that working-class people are fighting this war, and that it is a REAL war.

Clark hit on three points that I suspect will crop up in his Thursday speech to the convention. First was the “totally misguided” strategy the Bush admin. has been using for the “war” on terror–namely, the use of the military as a primary tool in this effort and the conviction that you have to go after states. The “right” strategy would be to focus on protection at home first and on working with other nations to get a legal definition of terrorism and a legal international framework in which to pursue it. Second, he blasted Rumsfeld’s idea in 2001 of a military transformation. All the things had already been done by the Clinton administration, according to Clark; the “real” issue for military transformation, he claimed, was (and is) to create both the organizational structure and doctrine for peace building (both preventatively and after military actions). Finally, he spoke about how the administration has overstreched the volunteer force concept, which is at huge risk.

Ike Skelton stressed that there are two wars, and we damned well shouldn’t confuse them: the terrorist threat and unconventional warfare, which has now spread throughout the world after failed Bush strategy; and the war in Iraq, which he thankfully called “a war of choice.” He explained how he’d sent Bush two letters in March 2003 warning of the aftermath, but was assured by the Pentagon not to worry. He gave some historical perspective on how the British handled guerilla warfare in Malaysia and how we tried to do it in Vietnam, but I kind of lost him at this point.

Kennedy was a real breath of fresh air, and clearly a truly progressive thinker. She first spoke about how one flaw in government we can fix with Kerry is how we come to decisions. Usually this process is crisis-driven.We need a much more sophisticated process that is more “granular” and shaded. Echoing Clark a bit, she spoke of the RAMP (Relevance of American Military Report), which clearly suggested we need some kind of “hand off” after military action, whether to the State Department or other agencies. The military is neither resourced nor trained to do these things, and often the military solution is not the appropriate first step. Finally, she explained how we understand hardware very well but not what Joseph Nye called the “soft elements of power”–abstract ways of mapping out the world (like, say, how receptive other countries are to our ideas) instead of counting weapons systems. She also, thankfully, said she felt it was unhelpful to use the “war on X” language,and that we needed to develop new vocabulary. She also stressed that we need to expand the notion of national security to include education, health care, the economy (both ours and the “bad guys'”), etc. Oh … and she said we should invite a greater range of voices, not just the boardrooms of the defense contractors. This is a beautiful woman (both intellectually and physically), and I am so glad she is one of Kerry’s military advisors.

A reporter from the Boston Globe asked an infuriating question about how the Democrats could counter this perception that the Bush administration was stronger on NS. Even more distressing was the response from the Congressmen on the panel. Murtha suggested the American public understands this president has lost trust, while Skelton, focusing again on how the preponderance of deaths are coming from towns under 20,000, said the American people know who is paying the price. Clark seemed to suggest we need to be a bit more overt in pointing out the incompetence of the Bush administration in matters of NS, as opposed to the competence a Kerry administration would bring. The generals were both more political, it would seem, than the Congressmen.

Next question was about a plan for Iraq on November 3, when Kerry was elected. Murtha said Egyptian generals told him we need to pull more troops out of cities, one by one, and let the Iraqis take over completely while we protect perimeter lines, logistics, etc. Clark said we have to go beyond this, because the problem is not just Iraq. He explained how Bush created a dynamic of conflict in the whole region, not just Iraq. The Syrians and Iranians, having been threatened by us, now have a vested interest in our NOT succeeding, because they know if we do they’re

next (with Bush). He said we must talk to governments in the whole region, and that it was imperative to return to solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Meehan said Kerry was going to immediately convene a world summit with international leaders. Kennedy talked about “microcredit,” a concept I don’t fully understand, but I think involves economic development funding to an entrepreneurial class in Iraq for developing community-based projects.

Clark returned to the notion of needing a full-fledged agency for preventing conflicts, a subject he discussed at some length, and which apparently has been the upshot of our initial experience in Haiti.

The last question was from a physician who had been redeployed to Kuwait, at age 58! It was about the Reserves and the strain on this system. This opened a pretty hot and heavy discussion of the draft, which Murtha thought was coming come hell or high water. Which Clark said, more cautiously, we had to have plans for, but “Plan A” should be increasing active duty size by 40,000 and putting more money into recruitment, which is apparently an exact science.

Kennedy was most intriguing. She suggested two things we should think about. First, women apparently are treated differently than men when requesting training assignments. A male wishing to be a military police is assigned for school immediately. Women are delayed for six months, which usually means we lose them. If we really seriously want to include women, we need to consider current practices and attitudes. Second, the needs we currently have in personnel are identical to the number of gay and lesbian personnel who have been discharged recently. Do the math. And these people were often highly trained, some speaking Arabic or

having intelligence skills.

That’s all! Summary: the Generals seemed to be more out-of-the-box thinkers and more politically inclined than the Congressmen, who were fairly territorial about their little corners of committees. That said, Murtha and Skelton, who are pretty conservative guys I think, have clearly been converted, and truly see the dangers and mistakes the Bush administration has wreaked. Oh, and Murtha said passing the Patriot Act was the worst thing he’d done in his life, tho I think

it was an excuse for wanting to “go slow” on implementing the 9/11 Commission’s recommendations.

There were about 200 people at this event, all pretty much the dark suit and tie crowd. I believe this was invitation only, and some seemed to be delegates, some

may have been local hi-tech security company executives–a subject, thankfully, little broached (necessary as these firms are).

Very interesting, I think. A few points stand out to me.

Everybody acknowledges that a draft is on the table although Clark thinks troop levels can be raised with a more sophisticated type of recruitment. I really thought this was a political argument not a real position. It’s big deal if it’s being seriously considered.

The shortage of troops exactly correlate to the numbers of gays and lesbians drummed out of the military. Very intriguing talking point.

General Claudia Kennedy sounds like an excellent prospect to run for office.

But the big news is that Marty Meehan says that Kerry will immediately call for a world summit if he’s elected.

Remember folks, you heard it here first.

 

Much Too Foreign

If anyone is interested in reading the official pork-rinds ‘n Dr Pepper response to Teresa, Lord Saletan is channelling Karl Rove for money over on Slate.

Geez. Even Chris Matthews gave Teresa a “European actress” accolade. But then, Lord Saletan is really jest a good ole boy from Texas pretending to be a member of the aristocracy, kinda like the “authentic” George W. Bush is a blue blooded WASP pretending to be a shit-kickin’ cowboy. These post-modern politics sure are confusing.

As Compared To Junior’s favorite, “Itsy Bitsy Spider”

Eric Boehlert claims that one of the following will be Kerry’s theme song tomorrow night:

Thunder Road, Bruce Springsteen

Waitin’ on a Sunny Day, Springsteen

Travelin’ Band, Credence Clearwater Revival

Hey Ya! Outkast

Beautiful Day, U2

No Surrender, Springsteen

Johnny B. Goode, Chuck Berry

I Won’t Back Down,Tom Petty

Simply the Best, Tina Turner

Closer to Free, BoDeans

Young Americans, David Bowie

C’Mon. It’s gotta be “No Surrender.”

First Woman Prez

Jenny Greenleaf, who’s blogging the convention for The The American Street has an interesting post up today reporting on the Revolutionary Women meetings of yesterday. At a panel discussion on women in the political media featuring Eleanor Clift, Renee Loth from the Boston Globe, and Helen Thomas there was a discussion of when there would be a woman president.

Clift said that women don’t have the powerbase or the money right now and Renee Loth quoted Frank Luntz as saying that the first woman president would have to be a “sister-mister” — a woman holding more traditionally male beliefs. I translate that to mean Republican and I fear that Luntz is right.

The problem for women presidential candidates in America is national security. After all, even Democratic war heroes have a hard time getting past the “soft” image on this and the Republicans work it to perfection. If there are national security issues on the table a Democratic woman would have to fight not only the normal cultural stereotypes but a vicious onslaught from the Republicans with a plethora of hints and innuendo about being “shrill, hysterical, unbalanced” etc. A Republican woman, on the other hand, would be blessedly free of such character assassination because the Democrats would never stoop that low.

Once the barrier is broken, however, I think all that falls away and a woman of either party can run on her own terms. But, sadly, considering the much greater talent available on the Democratic side, I do think our first woman president is likely to be a fairly conservative Republican.

On the other hand, if it fails to happen in the next 20 years then I think that formulation may very well be wrong. I don’t sense that young people hold as many stereotypical views of gender as those of forty and over, so if it’s 2022, this entire argument may very well seem completely archaic. I hope so, anyway.

The Conservative Convention

Andrew Sullivan apparently hasn’t been listening to Democrats much in the last few years. I suppose it’s not surprising. It’s so much more entertaining to listen to Republicans and the media talk about Democrats than to actually listen to them. And it’s rare to hear Democrats give speeches unfiltered by the yammering of pundits and stooges who tell you what you are supposed to think about it before it’s even delivered.

But, for at least a decade — and certainly in this election cycle — Democratic rhetoric has been hitting all the themes you are hearing at this convention. Sullivan notes self-reliance, opportunity, hard work, an immigrant’s dream, the same standards for all of us — and seems surprised that Democrats would say such things. (I would add tolerance, fairness, and compassion, among others.) Perhaps he never heard the phrases “…those who work hard and play by the rules,” or “our families have values. But our government doesn’t.” How about, “it’s time for a new approach that trusts people to make the most of their own lives and gives them the chance to do so.”

Some politicians do it better than others, to be sure. Those lines above are from Clinton and Edwards. Obama was very skillful at it also, as Sullivan notes. But, the themes are not new; they’ve been the staple of Democratic appeals since the early 90’s. It’s been many a year (if ever) since Democrats were standing on a stage anywhere shouting “bring down the state!”

Sullivan’s ongoing theme is that this Democratic convention is actually “conservative.” He seems to be preparing for the inevitable “I didn’t leave my party, it left me” rationale so perhaps it makes him feel better to think this. But, he is, of course, using the wrong word. This convention isn’t “conservative.”

It is mainstream.

RIP Blogspot

It appears that the glory days of blogging are over. It is now the domain of those who are paid to write and the rest of us mooks are no longer relevant.

Ah well. It was fun while it lasted.

I knew I should have gone to that damned convention…

Thank You Jesus

The great Neal Pollack is blogging the convention. Well sort of. He’s across the state line somewhere holed up in a motel. But, he’s got the stories and he’s got the feel and he’s got the inside track.

This, my friends, is convention blogging at its best:

Greetings From BAHS-TON

Boston. City of Light. The Big Easy. Hog Butcher to the World. At last, then, it’s come to this. I suppose you could say, technically, that I’m not in Boston. Or in Massachusetts, for that matter. The Democratic National Committee, which, I want to interject, has been nothing but accommodating toward my fellow bloggers and me, couldn’t get me a hotel room closer than Connecticut. But I’m staying right on the state line, close enough to smell the Democratic process, and my credentials allow me to cross into the Granite State whenever I want. So what are my thoughts on the convention thus far? Pretty minimal. My laminates instruct that I’m only supposed to watch the first 15 minutes of every televised hour on MSNBC. But I can say that I’m very impressed by Barack Obama, the senatorial candidate from Illinois. For many years now, I’ve been saying to myself that the Democrats need a strong black leader who isn’t really black. Obama strikes me as our Colin Powell, without the military record or the history of lying to the United Nations. Hang on. I’m getting an Instant Message from a friend of mine blogging live from the convention floor. Max Cleland just wheeled by! Incredible. [10:52 a.m. ET, July 26, 2004]

There’s more. He saw Wonkette, too. And he’s asking the big questions, like why in the world isn’t Michael Moore getting more attention?

Will She Play In Peoria

Dear Gawd.

On Matthews right now, Andrea Mitchell is defending Teresa saying that women can relate to her statement that she dreams of the day when women are not called opinionated but are called smart and well informed like men are. Joe Scarborough says that it won’t play in Peoria and that many people who know and love John Kerry are “horrified” by Teresa. Mitchell says that’s why there’s a gender gap. Willie Brown says people are looking for a breath of fresh air. Fineman(of course) splits the difference and says she’s been a great philanthropist but that she’s “too complicated” for many people.

Look for the Scarborough line tomorrow: she’s an enigma, wrapped in a riddle. A freak. Stay-at-home moms hate her. The Dems will come back with “you go girl.”

On CNN Aaron Brown is recapping the day with the view that Democrats are afraid to deal with the issue of Iraq and Teresa is strange but kinda sexy (in a European actress sort of way.)

On Fox (I’m guessing) they are still burning Hillary in effigy.

It’s time to turn off the television.

Da Man!

Well now. I just felt the hair on the back of my neck stand right on end. Obama is the real thing. His speech was moving, articulate and exciting. He looks great, he sounds great — he is great. The Republicans needn’t bother finding a replacement for their swinging millionaire. We have seen the new face of the Democratic party. If his political skills are as good as his rhetorical skills he is an automatic contender for president someday.

Makes me proud to be a Democrat.

Oh, and his wife is beautiful, too.  Bring up their two little girls and I’ll probably start blubbering.  

 

Can They Eke Out A Win With This Tired Junk?

Go for Wedge Issues, Gingrich Tells Lawmakers

One GOP lawmaker told The Hill that Gingrich encouraged Republicans to pick issues such as school prayer, strengthening work requirements for welfare recipients and barring the United Nations from monitoring U.S. elections, which all polled at higher than an 80 percent rating.

“There’s a consensus developing among activists that new issues are emerging where [the polling] is decidedly with us,” the lawmaker said. “We can show a contrast.”

Gingrich spelled out his views at a meeting last week organized by House GOP Conference Chairwoman Deborah Pryce (R-Ohio), the fourth-ranking member of the GOP House leadership.

Lawmakers who attended Wednesday’s session expressed excitement about Gingrich’s policy proposals and political tactics.

Rep. Phil English, a Republican who represents Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge’s old district in northwestern Pennsylvania, said: “It is extremely useful in depicting Kerry’s position on the political spectrum to raise issues like welfare reform where he’s been on the far-left extreme.”

He added, “We have a very good wedge issue. … It’s worth asking why he is part of a rear-guard action blocking the permanency of welfare reform. Is he not out of touch with cultural issues of the rest of the country?”

Luckily, they have William Schneider on CNN today warning everybody that there’s some “bad news” about Kerry.

SCHNEIDER: The other polls that we’ve seen nationally, all of them show Kerry slightly ahead, all within the margin of error. This is the first poll we’ve seen in some time that shows Bush even slightly ahead. Again, within the margin of error. This could be bad news for John Kerry. The first bad news, because it seems to suggest that all that money that Bush has spent on negative advertising, some of those points are sinking in and voters are paying attention to Kerry, knowing that he’s going to get the nomination, and beginning to say, wait a minute, is this guy really a flip-flopper, is he really a Massachusetts liberal? This could be bad news.

WOODRUFF: We’ll continue to see the other polls that come out. We always look at a collection of them and see what they mirror…

SCHNEIDER: This is an outliner right now, but the question is, will this be the beginning of bad news?

Gosh, what’s he talking about? Is there some bad news about Kerry? Is he a flip-flopping liberal who loves cross dressing welfare queens? There’s must be something wrong…