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The Boy In The Bubble

From Salon:

It’s time to revise the president’s stump speech. We wouldn’t want anyone out there to be misled, and surely, he wouldn’t either.

We found, in just a handful of sentences from a speech Bush gave on his “bus tour,” several misleading comments that would not pass the muster of even a junior factchecker. Even saying Bush is on a “bus tour” isn’t quite right. Apparently, the president is taking the kind of bus tour that involves flying in an airplane.

Here are seven consecutive sentences from Bush’s speech at a Michigan rally on Monday. We counted four factual problems. If we had more time, we’d fact-check the whole speech. But you get the idea.

“My opponent admits that Saddam Hussein was a threat. He just didn’t support my decision to remove Saddam from power. (1) Maybe he was hoping Saddam would lose the next Iraqi election. (Laughter.) We showed the dictator and a watching world that America means what it says. (Applause.) Because — because we acted, Saddam’s torture chambers are closed. (2) Because we acted, Iraq’s weapons programs are ended forever. (3) (Applause.) Because we acted, nations like Libya got the message and renounced their own weapons programs. (4) (Applause.)

1.) Actually, Kerry voted to authorize the use of force in Iraq. He disagreed with the president’s rush to use force. As Kerry wrote in an op-ed in September 2002: “Regime change in Iraq is a worthy goal. But regime change by itself is not a justification for going to war. Absent a Qaeda connection, overthrowing Saddam Hussein — the ultimate weapons-inspection enforcement mechanism — should be the last step, not the first.”

2.) Saddam’s torture chambers may be closed, but the president should be embarrassed to even mention the phrase “torture chamber” and Iraq in the same sentence this week. One Iraqi prisoner allegedly abused at the U.S.-run prison Abu Ghraib say he preferred Saddam’s brand of torture to what the American troops meted out.

3.) Since no one, not even the scores of U.S. agents scouring bombed-out Iraq, has found evidence that Saddam had active WMD programs just prior to the invasion last year, it is not right to say they were ended “because we acted.” In fact, they “ended” well before Bush rushed to war with shoddy proof. The UN says Iraq hadn’t had WMD of any significance since 1994.

4.) Libya again. He continues to mention the Iraq War as the reason Muammar Gaddafi got religion and gave up pursuit of WMD programs. To get a different, correct view on this topic, read Brookings’ Martin Indyk’s piece, called The Iraq War did not Force Gadaffi’s Hand.

And the arrogant little prick smirked all the way through it. I saw it.

Shoes Dropping

This may be BS and I hope it is. But, I’ve been wondering what went on with the women who were imprisoned at Abu Ghraib. You would assume that they’d use similar types of “pressure” to “soften them up.”

New questions about U.S. troops’ conduct came to light Tuesday when the Egyptian newspaper Al-Wafd published four photographs appearing to show U.S. soldiers raping at least two women and forcing them to give oral sex, one of them at gunpoint.

The newspaper, an opposition publication whose reliability has been questioned in the past, ran the photos under a banner headline reading, “The Democracy of the American Empire of Evil and Adultery: Gang Rape by Occupation Soldiers of Iraqi Women Under Gunpoint.”

The newspaper did not comment further on the photographs or report how it received them, and there was no way to independently confirm their authenticity.

After what we’ve already seen, I don’t think it even matters. The rest of the world is going to believe the worst.

Veteran Vice President

Ron Brownstein suggest that Kerry needs to pick a VP with national security cred and I couldn’t agree more.

Conventional wisdom among Democratic strategists has been that sooner or later national security will recede as a concern and bread-and-butter domestic issues will decide the presidential election. One senior party operative recently offered what he called the Google theory of 2004: If an Internet search about the campaign the day after the election turns up more references to Iraq than to the economy, that probably means President Bush has won.

But the continuing violence in Iraq is shaking these assumptions. It’s no longer certain that domestic issues such as jobs and healthcare will displace Iraq as the central focus of public attention and the campaign debate. Nor is it certain that sustained attention on Iraq will benefit the president.

This transformed landscape will challenge both Bush and his Democratic opponent, Sen. John F. Kerry of Massachusetts.

The dangers for Bush are most obvious. Iraq is his war.

[…]

CBS/New York Times survey released last week showed that approval of Bush’s handling of the war plummeted to 41%, dragging his overall approval rating below the 50% level that historically marks the dividing line between presidents who win reelection and those who don’t.

Those numbers are certain to fluctuate in the months ahead. Yet they underscore the threat to the president. The centerpiece in his case for reelection is that he has been a resolute and effective manager in the war on terrorism.

[…]

But that doesn’t mean Kerry will automatically benefit. Instead, he faces a paradox. The more Americans focus on Iraq, the more they seem to weigh credibility as commander in chief when choosing between the candidates.

And despite their anxieties about the occupation, far more Americans say they trust Bush rather than Kerry to safeguard the nation’s security.

[…]

Perhaps the most pressing challenge for Kerry is to find ways beyond his biography to reassure Americans that he can be trusted to protect their security.

One of Kerry’s best opportunities to send that message could come through his selection of a running mate. So far, though, there’s little evidence that the campaign is thinking in that direction. The rumors in Democratic circles are focused almost entirely on those who would help Kerry most on domestic issues: Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Gov. Tom Vilsack of Iowa.

Conspicuously missing from that list are candidates who could reinforce Kerry’s national security credentials.

[…]

Even more intriguing is a name that has attracted even less attention: former NATO Supreme Commander and 2004 Democratic presidential contender Wesley K. Clark. The irony is that Clark probably would be generating more buzz as a potential vice president if he hadn’t sought his party’s nomination. The consensus in Democratic circles is that the retired Army general dimmed his prospects through an uneven performance on the campaign trail.

Yet those experiences left Clark with more preparation for a vice presidential campaign than if he hadn’t run at all. And he has proven one of the Democrats’ most acute analysts and effective messengers on national security: His speeches on Iraq last fall, which called for broadening international participation in the occupation and warned against dismantling the entire Iraqi army, look prescient now.

Last week, Clark underscored the potential value of a running mate who once wore four stars on his shoulders and a Silver Star on his chest when he responded to recent Republican attacks on Kerry’s activities in and after Vietnam with a ringing challenge: “Those who didn’t serve, or didn’t show up for service,” he wrote, “should have the decency to respect those who did … ”

As a candidate, Clark demonstrated plenty of flaws. But few other Democrats could deliver a punch like that with such authority. And none could better symbolize Kerry’s determination to rebuild relations with traditional allies than the man who directed, in Kosovo, the one war NATO ever fought. In an election that could revolve more around guns than butter, Clark may pack more firepower than any of the other names on Kerry’s list of running mates.

Democratic conventional wisdom, it appears, is the same conventional wisdom that advised Kerry to vote for the war resolution and advised Democrats in 2002 to pretend that Bush wasn’t riding all over the country on a metaphorical white horse, swinging his terrible swift sword while they labored in town hall meetings debating the fine points of prescription drug coverage. As it was then, this conventional wisdom is wrong.

Rove is pulling out all his guns to neutralize Kerry’s war record because he knows it’s the national security issue that is the biggest threat to President Asterisk’s ascension to the ranks of legally elected presidents. The Scumbags For Truth is just the beginning. And, over the next 6 months, it is likely to take its toll.

As my 4 regular readers know, I have long believed that this election was going to be about national security whether we like it or not. Events are taking us there as much as the machinations of the Bush campaign. They must run on Bush’s “gut” or lose. It is wishful thinking to believe that the election will be about jobs and health care, as much as we would like to believe that everybody is voting on those kitchen table issues and despite the fact that focus groups say that’s what they want to hear the candidates talk about. What they say they want and what they actually want are often far from the same thing.

From what I can tell, the zeitgeist suggests that what voters want this time is a masculine man of action. Karl Rove knows this, which is why he is resorting to South Carolina level dirty tricks this early in the campaign. His inarticulate little boy isn’t looking so good. Kerry’s war record must be put into play and it must be destroyed. And there are always willing Scumbags For Truth around to do that dirty work.

I like Clark and think he could be an effective counterweight to that charge as VP. They’ll attack his claim to heroism too, of course, but one wonders if they could really persuade the country that two silver star winners, one a 4 star General, are lacking in patriotism. I’m sure they’ll try, but at some point enough of the non-koolaid drinking public has to start asking themselves if it’s reasonable that every single Democratic war hero, from Kerry to Kerrey to Cleland to Clark are all traitors and cowards who got some sort of special treatment.

Regardless of whether it’s Clark or someone else, I think Kerry should pick a veteran for VP. I think it’s obvious that Iraq and the WOT are the central issues of our time. We must confront it head-on, without apology, and to do that credibly we must use the useful contrast of Republican chickenhawk incompetence as our foil.

Calling Karen Hughes

In U.S., Seeking To Limit Damage

The Bush administration is struggling to develop a damage-control strategy to counter the mounting global backlash against the United States after revelations that U.S. military and intelligence personnel abused Iraqi prisoners, according to U.S. officials.

The search for a strong response follows a review of international reaction by the State Department’s Intelligence and Research Department that revealed devastating fallout and criticism well beyond the Islamic world, from Brazil and Britain to Hong Kong, U.S. officials said.

“It’s very, very sobering,” said a State Department official briefed on the INR review. He requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject. “It’s like the song by the Who, ‘Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.’ That’s the widespread perception we have to deal with.

There is no problem that can’t be solved with a little bit of clever political spin, right? Karen’s usually the gal who comes up with all that wonderful, nonsensical alliteration — “Compassionate Conservative,” “Reformer With Results” etc.

How about “Torturers With Tolerance?”

“Masturbator Emancipators?”

“Sadists For Sovereignty?”

Surely, the Arab world can be as successfully spun as a bunch of dittoheads. All it takes is a snappy slogan and George W. Bush assuring everybody that he believes he’s been called by God to lead a crusade for freedom.

Liars For Bush Part CXXIII

Gen. Richard B. Myers called CBS anchor Dan Rather eight days before the report was to air, asking for extra time, said Jeff Fager, executive producer of the US network’s ’60 Minutes II’ program.

Myers cited the safety of American hostages and tension surrounding the Iraqi city of Fallujah, Fager said, adding that he held off as long as he believed possible given it was a competitive story.

I suppose it’s theoretically possible that Myers personally called Dan Rather three weeks before the broadcast aired and yet still hadn’t actually read the internal 57 page report that was delivered by General Taguba back in February by last Sunday.

It’s also theoretically possible that Trent Lott’s aquanet hair helmet wouldn’t spontaneously burst into flame in the presence of a butane lighter.

But I doubt it.

No Man’s Land

Slate posts today about another shining example of accountability and responsibility in the Bush administration — The CPA’s Multiple Personality Disorder

The Coalition Provisional Authority, Proconsul Paul Bremer’s outfit, is in charge, of course. But what, bureaucratically speaking, is the CPA? A new report by the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service, posted online by the good-government folks at the Federation of American Scientists says, “It is unclear whether CPA is a federal agency.” Noting that its “organizational status is uncertain,” the report speculates that the CPA may be a part of the Pentagon (the Army cuts Bremer’s checks), it may be a stand-alone executive agency, or it may be an international institution, like NATO.

The confusion—which, the report notes, raises questions about “whether, and to what extent, CPA might be held accountable for its programs, activities, decisions, and expenditures”—stems from the White House, which hasn’t released information delineating the CPA’s authority, structure, or place in government

[…]

The confusion goes back to the CPA’s birth, which the White House doesn’t appear to have announced: References to the CPA just started showing up in government documents. The congressional researchers write, ‘[N]o explicit, unambiguous, and authoritative statement has been provided that declares how the authority was established, under what authority, and by whom.’

The report posits ‘two alternative explanations for how the CPA was established.’ One is that Bush may have created the CPA via a presidential directive. The researchers caution, ‘This document, if it exists, has not been made available to the public.’ The other explanation, suggested by the Army and others, is that the CPA was created by a U.N. Security Council resolution. However, as the congressional sleuths point out, while the resolution does recognize the United States and Britain as ‘occupying powers,’ it ‘does not establish, or authorize the creation of, a specific organization to carry out this responsibility.’

All this ambiguity can have benefits. There’s the fig-leaf factor of coursetrying to put an international veneer on a U.S. enterprise. And there’s another consequence: By not clearly defining the CPA specifically as a federal agency the report notes that the administration repeatedly refers to the CPA as an ‘entity,’ ‘group,’ and ‘activities’ but not as an ‘agency’the CPA is not subject to the government’s accountability and disclosure rules.

By the way, when exactly did the Congress of the United States close up shop, anyway? Didn’t we need a constitutional amendment or something before we could dissolve one branch of government? Just asking.

Anyway, I don’t think it is fair to say that there is no accountability for the CPA. Our Dear Leader’s words and body language are clear on this issue:

I will continue to work for a culture which says that each of us is responsible for the decisions we make in life. See, I want to help to change the culture from one that has said, if it feels good, just go ahead and do it, and if you’ve got a problem, blame somebody else, to a culture in which each of us understands we’re responsible for what we do.

See, if you’re a mother or a father, you’re responsible for loving your child with all your heart. That’s your responsibility. It is your most solemn and important responsibility to love your children. If you — if you’re worried about the quality of the education in the community in which you live, you’re responsible for doing something about it. Just don’t hope that Washington, D.C. solves problems. Get involved with your schools here in Miami, Florida and insist upon quality of education for each — each child. Support your teachers. If you’re in corporate America, if you’re a CEO, you’re responsible for telling the truth to your shareholders and your employees. (Applause.)

But if you’re the President of the United States you should govern with as much opacity and confusion as possible so that nobody can ever be held responsible for anything, least of all you.

But, you can go all around the country condescendingly lecturing to people who are a hundred times smarter than you (and I’m talking about elementary schoolkids) about their morals and ethics and responsibilities.

That’s what leadership is all about.

Winning Formula

Oh my goodness. George Will seems to have rubbed the sleep from his eyes and awakened to the startling notion that the Bushies and the Blairites sound like a bunch of starry-eyed girl scouts singing Kumabaya lately. He says:

This administration be trusted to govern if it cannot be counted on to think and, having thought, to have second thoughts. Thinking is not the reiteration of bromides about how “all people yearn to live in freedom” (McClellan). And about how it is “cultural condescension” to doubt that some cultures have the requisite aptitudes for democracy (Bush). And about how it is a “myth” that “our attachment to freedom is a product of our culture” because “ours are not Western values; they are the universal values of the human spirit” (Tony Blair).

His point, of course, is that the Iraqis don’t have the capacity for democracy and that freedom is a product of western culture, which is debatable to say the least. However, the fact that the Bush administration “cannot be trusted to govern because it cannot be counted on to think” is indisputable.

But, George, shit flows downhill. If people of your obvious influence had bothered to protest the Republican Party foisting an obviously unqualified, substandard intellect upon the country instead of continuing to wank furiously over Bill Clinton’s foibles well into the new millenium, we might have been spared this embarrassment.

As it is, George, you are an accomplice. What the hell did you think would happen when you put a man with the mind of 12 year old and the ego of a movie star in charge of the world?

Oh that’s right…

That was your winning formula…

Tricky Dick Would Be Proud

Joe Conason fills in the blanks on Smear Boat Veterans for Bush. The ties to the Bush campaign are right out there. The same miscreants who smeared McCain are involved in this one.

They’d better be careful or the Senator from Arizona will start campaigning with Kerry. Sullying the silver star is a very dicey tactic.

This Week’s Water Cooler Talking Point

Joe Wilson puts it very nicely:

Conason:What’s the difference in the GOP from when you were growing up?

Wilson:If you’re fiscally responsible, this is not your party. If you believe in a moderate foreign policy characterized by alliances, free trade and the ability to operate in an international environment, this is not your party. If you believe in limited federal government, this is not your party. If you believe that the government should stay out of your bedroom, this is very definitely not your party. In fact, I would argue that unless you believe in the American imperium, imposed on the world by force, or unless you believe in the literal interpretation of the Book of Revelations, this is not your party.

Boy Scout Leadership

The LA Times takes an interesting look at the recent Bush administration insider books from the perspective of what they say about the president’s leadership style:

President Bush styles himself as the first CEO president, applying the rigor and authority of his MBA education to the job of chief executive of the nation.

But that’s not the picture that emerges from three recent insider accounts of the workings of the Bush administration, experts in decision-making and presidential management say. On the contrary, they say, the president appears to have a highly personal working style, with little emphasis on systematic analysis of major decisions.

“There seems to be almost an absence of any analytical or deliberative process for mapping the problem or exploring alternatives or estimating consequences,” said Graham Allison, a professor of government at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University.

And Bush appears to give greater weight to his own instincts than to experts or other sources of advice and information. The president has a “bias for action,” said Roderick M. Kramer, a professor of organizational behavior at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business. “I’ve been struck by [how] Bush’s sense of personal identity as a leader shapes his decisions,” he said.

[…]

Greenstein said that one striking thing about all three books was what they don’t show. There are few examples, for instance, of Bush presiding over meetings in which subordinates presented problems, weighed evidence and aired differing views.

“I think a lot of policy is made on the fly,” he said. “It isn’t a process in which people assemble and go back and forth in a rigorous way.”

Another thing largely missing from the books was any indication that documents or memos weighing policy alternatives are circulated and discussed. Harvard’s Allison said one of the few documents the administration did prepare in advance of the Iraq war — the 2002 National Intelligence Estimate that concluded that Iraq probably had weapons of mass destruction — was quickly compiled and not very well done.

“The more it’s examined, it seems quite sloppy,” he said. “At this point, if there had been some good analysis of the issues on paper, we would have seen some evidence of it.

“The contrast with the textbook conception of informed decision making is distressing,” he said.

[…]

Stanford’s Kramer said though Bush showed little interest in the kind of number-crunching analysis taught in business school, his style of management does conform to the popular image of chief executives as forceful and “decisive.” “There seems to be a lot of value attached to showing resolve and demonstrating resolve,” he said.

But Jay Lorsch, a professor at Harvard Business School and author of “Decision Making at the Top,” said the decision-making techniques taught at that school — from which Bush received an MBA — focus on understanding the nature of decisions, not simplifying them.

“What we teach around here is that you’ve got to understand the complexity of the territory you’re trying to affect,” he said. “You don’t make a decision until you’ve surveyed all the possible ramifications. The binary idea that you’re either right or wrong is just foolishness.”

[…]

“He doesn’t like long meetings. He likes truncated meetings. That means you’re not going to have the kinds of sessions … that are going to bring in lots of different kinds of information,” Kumar said.

[…]

“The decisiveness part is certainly there,” he said. “The imperviousness to facts and analysis is also there. So what we have is someone who is going on raw instinct.”

A corollary, Rockman said, is that though Bush likes making decisions, his organizational style is not very good at implementation or follow-up.

[…]

“Bush appears to rest his confidence in a few people whose judgment corresponds to his gut instincts” he said. “He seems to be obsessive about being decisive, but willing to make hard and fast decisions on the basis of ideology more than evidence.”

Summary: A spoiled 12 year old is running the world.