Skip to content

Digby's Hullabaloo Posts

“We yet cling to the hope that it is not naïve to believe our good brethren in the Executive Branch perceive the rule of law as vital to the American ethos.”

For those of you who haven’t read the full order from the 4th Circuit’s Harvey Wilkinson, it’s really worth reading.

Upon review of the government’s motion, the court denies the motion for an emergency stay pending appeal and for a writ of mandamus. The relief the government is requesting is both extraordinary and premature. While we fully respect the Executive’s robust assertion of its Article II powers, we shall not micromanage the efforts of a fine district judge attempting to implement the Supreme Court’s recent decision.

It is difficult in some cases to get to the very heart of the matter. But in this case, it is not hard at all. The government is asserting a right to stash away residents of this country in foreign prisons without the semblance of due process that is the foundation of our constitutional order. Further, it claims in essence that because it has rid itself of custody that there is nothing that can be done.

This should be shocking not only to judges, but to the intuitive sense of liberty that Americans far removed from courthouses still hold dear.

The government asserts that Abrego Garcia is a terrorist and a member of MS-13. Perhaps, but perhaps not. Regardless, he is still entitled to due process. If the government is confident of its position, it should be assured that position will prevail in proceedings to terminate the withholding of removal order. See 8 C.F.R. § 208.24(f) (requiring that the government prove “by a preponderance of evidence” that the alien is no longer entitled to a withholding of removal). Moreover, the government has conceded that Abrego Garcia was wrongly or “mistakenly” deported. Why then should it not make what was wrong, right? 

The Supreme Court’s decision remains, as always, our guidepost. That decision rightly requires the lower federal courts to give “due regard for the deference owed to the Executive Branch in the conduct of foreign affairs.” Noem v. Abrego Garcia, No. 24A949, slip op. at 2 (U.S. Apr. 10, 2025); see also United States v. Curtiss-Wright Exp. Corp., 299 U.S. 304, 319 (1936). That would allow sensitive diplomatic negotiations to be removed from public view. It would recognize as well that the “facilitation” of Abrego Garcia’s return leaves the Executive Branch with options in the execution to which the courts in accordance with the Supreme Court’s decision should extend a genuine deference. That decision struck a balance that does not permit lower courts to leave Article II by the wayside.

The Supreme Court’s decision does not, however, allow the government to do essentially nothing. It requires the government “to ‘facilitate’ Abrego Garcia’s release from custody in El Salvador and to ensure that his case is handled as it would have been had he not been improperly sent to El Salvador.” Abrego Garcia, supra, slip op. at 2. “Facilitate” is an active verb. It requires that steps be taken as the Supreme Court has made perfectly clear. See Abrego Garcia, supra, slip op. at 2 (“[T]he Government should be prepared to share what it can concerning the steps it has taken and the prospect of further steps.”). The plain and active meaning of the word cannot be diluted by its constriction, as the government would have it, to a narrow term of art. We are not bound in this context by a definition crafted by an administrative agency and contained in a mere policy directive. Cf. Loper Bright Enters. v. Raimondo, 603 U.S. 369, 400 (2024); Christensen v. Harris Cnty., 529 U.S. 576, 587 (2000). Thus, the government’s argument that all it must do is “remove any domestic barriers to [Abrego Garcia’s] return,” Mot. for Stay at 2 , is not well taken in light of the Supreme Court’s command that the government facilitate Abrego Garcia’s release from custody in El Salvador..

“Facilitation” does not permit the admittedly erroneous deportation of an individual to the one country’s prisons that the withholding order forbids and, further, to do so in disregard of a court order that the government not so subtly spurns. “Facilitation” does not sanction the abrogation of habeas corpus through the transfer of custody to foreign detention centers in the manner attempted here. Allowing all this would “facilitate” foreign detention more than it would domestic return. It would reduce the rule of law to lawlessness and tarnish the very values for which Americans of diverse views and persuasions have always stood.

The government is obviously frustrated and displeased with the rulings of the court. Let one thing be clear. Court rulings are not above criticism. Criticism keeps us on our toes and helps us do a better job. See Cooper v. Aaron, 358 U.S. 1 , 24 (1958) (Frankfurter, J. , concurring) (“Criticism need not be stilled. Active obstruction or defiance is barred.”). Court rulings can overstep, and they can further intrude upon the prerogatives of other branches. Courts thus speak with the knowledge of their imperfections but also with a sense that they instill a fidelity to law that would be sorely missed in their absence.

“Energy in the [E]xecutive” is much to be respected. FEDERALIST NO. 70, at 423 (1789) (Alexander Hamilton) (Clinton Rossiter ed., 1961). It can rescue government from its lassitude and recalibrate imbalances too long left unexamined. The knowledge that executive energy is a perishable quality understandably breeds impatience with the courts. Courts, in turn, are frequently attuned to caution and are often uneasy with the Executive Branch’s breakneck pace.

And the differences do not end there. The Executive is inherently focused upon ends; the Judiciary much more so upon means. Ends are bestowed on the Executive by electoral outcomes. Means are entrusted to all of government, but most especially to the Judiciary by the Constitution itself.

The Executive possesses enormous powers to prosecute and to deport, but with powers come restraints. If today the Executive claims the right to deport without due process and in disregard of court orders, what assurance will there be tomorrow that it will not deport American citizens and then disclaim responsibility to bring them home?* And what assurance shall there be that the Executive will not train its broad discretionary powers upon its political enemies? The threat, even if not the actuality, would always be present, and the Executive’s obligation to “take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed” would lose its meaning. U.S. CONST. art. II, § 3; see also id. art. II, § 1, cl. 8.

[* See, e.g., Michelle Stoddart, ‘Homegrowns are Next’: Trump Doubles Down on Sending American ‘Criminals’ to Foreign Prisons, ABC NEWS (Apr. 14, 2025, 6:04 PM); David Rutz, Trump Open to Sending Violent American Criminals to El Salvador Prisons, FOX NEWS (Apr. 15, 2025, 11:01 AM EDT).]

Today, both the United States and the El Salvadoran governments disclaim any authority and/or responsibility to return Abrego Garcia. See President Trump Participates in a Bilateral Meeting with the President of El Salvador, WHITE HOUSE (Apr. 14, 2025). We are told that neither government has the power to act. The result will be to leave matters generally and Abrego Garcia specifically in an interminable limbo without recourse to law of any sort.

The basic differences between the branches mandate a serious effort at mutual respect. The respect that courts must accord the Executive must be reciprocated by the Executive’s respect for the courts. Too often today this has not been the case, as calls for impeachment of judges for decisions the Executive disfavors and exhortations to disregard court orders sadly illustrate.

It is in this atmosphere that we are reminded of President Eisenhower’s sage example. Putting his “personal opinions” aside, President Eisenhower honored his “inescapable” duty to enforce the Supreme Court’s decision in Brown v. Board of Education II to desegregate schools “with all deliberate speed.” Address by the President of the United States, Delivered from his Office at the White House 1-2 (Sept. 24, 1957); 349 U.S. 294, 301 (1955). This great man expressed his unflagging belief that “[t]he very basis of our individual rights and freedoms is the certainty that the President and the Executive Branch of Government will support and [e]nsure the carrying out of the decisions of the Federal Courts.” Id. at 3. Indeed, in our late Executive’s own words, “[u]nless the President did so, anarchy would result.” Id.

Now the branches come too close to grinding irrevocably against one another in a conflict that promises to diminish both. This is a losing proposition all around. The Judiciary will lose much from the constant intimations of its illegitimacy, to which by dent of custom and detachment we can only sparingly reply. The Executive will lose much from a public perception of its lawlessness and all of its attendant contagions. The Executive may succeed for a time in weakening the courts, but over time history will script the tragic gap between what was and all that might have been, and law in time will sign its epitaph.

It is, as we have noted, all too possible to see in this case an incipient crisis, but it may present an opportunity as well. We yet cling to the hope that it is not naïve to believe our good brethren in the Executive Branch perceive the rule of law as vital to the American ethos. This case presents their unique chance to vindicate that value and to summon the best that is within us while there is still time.

In sum, and for the reasons foregoing, we deny the motion for the stay pending appeal and the writ of mandamus in this case. It is so ordered.

Wilkinson has fed more clerks to the conservatives on the Supreme Court than any other judge. He has been revered as a top legal thinker in the conservative movement for decades and an inspiration to the conservatives on the Supreme Court since they were young lawyers. If they read that order and dismiss it we will know that they have now entirely severed themselves from their legal philosophy and are now acting solely as enforcers of the MAGA cult.

They should just refuse to take the case and let that order stand. But I doubt they’ll do that. In fact, even if they ultimately end up more or less agreeing with him, they will almost certainly delay any decision as long as they can in order to give Trump plenty of time to abduct as many people as he can and sent them to the gulag. That’s their M.O.

Don’t Let Him Mess With The Fed

Paul Krugman reminds us of the power of the Federal Reserve by taking us back to 1983 and 84 when the Fed’s actions ushered in “Morning in America” for which Ronald Reagan received the credit. The Fed is very powerful.

Imagine Trump having that power on top of everything else:

Over the past few days Trump has been demanding that the Fed cut interest rates and calling for the Fed chairman’s “termination.” It’s worth looking at what he posted on Truth Social to get a sense of how, to use the technical term, batshit crazy he is on this subject above.

And we really, really don’t want someone that crazy dictating monetary policy.

The reason we don’t want politicians in direct control of monetary policy is that it’s so easy to use. After all, what does it mean to “ease” monetary policy? It’s an incredibly frictionless process. Normally the Federal Open Market Committee tells the New York Fed to buy U.S. government debt from private banks, which it does with money conjured out of thin air. There’s no need to pass legislation, place bids with contractors, deal with any of the hassles usually associated with changes in government policy. Basically the Fed can create an economic boom with a phone call.

It’s obvious that this kind of power could be abused by an irresponsible leader who wants to preside over an economic boom and doesn’t want to hear about the risks. This isn’t a hypothetical scenario. Consider what happened in Turkey, whose Trump-like president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, recently arrested the leader of the opposition. When the global post-Covid inflation shock hit, Erdogan embraced crank economic theories. He forced Turkey’s central bank, its equivalent of the Fed, to cut interest rates in the belief, contrary to standard economics, that doing so would reduce, not increase inflation. You can see the results in the chart at the top of this post.

How can we guard against that kind of policy irresponsibility? After the stagflation of the 1970s many countries delegated monetary policy to technocrats at independent central banks. Can the technocrats get it wrong? Of course they can and often have. But they’re less likely to engage in wishful thinking and motivated reasoning than typical politicians, let alone politicians like Trump.

What makes Trump’s attempt to bully the Fed especially ominous is the fact that the Fed will soon have to cope with the stagflationary crisis Trump has created. Trump’s massive tariff increase will lead to a major inflationary shock:

Moreover, Trump has also created huge uncertainty by radically changing his policies every few days, which will depress spending and may well cause a recession:

Not incidentally, Trump has been able to pursue these destructive policies because U.S. law gives the president enormous discretionary power over tariffs. And now he wants the same kind of discretionary power over the Fed.

As a consequence of Trump’s destructive tariff regime, the Fed will soon face a dilemma. Should it raise interest rates to fight inflation, or should it cut rates to fight recession? It’s a really hard call, and it’s quite possible that Jay Powell will get it wrong. Trump has made Powell’s dilemma even worse with his attempted bullying, because a rate cut would be seen by many as a sign that Powell is giving in to avoid being fired.

But one thing we know for sure is that we don’t want Trump making that call.

Oh my God no.

Fear of market reaction — America is already facing a serious credibility problem, with the dollar falling even as interest rates rise — will probably restrain him, but he may not believe people telling him that taking over the Fed would cause the dollar to plunge while long-term interest rates soar as investors expect higher inflation.

As Krugman says, he’ll just say the numbers are fake. His cult will believe him but good luck with the rest of the country. I’m fairly sure that most Americans are quite aware of the price of eggs.

The Pushback

James Fallows has an excellent newsletter today discussing Trump’s successful “shock and awe” campaign that left the political establishment, indeed the whole country, reeling with the overwhelming number of atrocities committed in a short period of time. It’s a bracing recitation. But he notes that the resistance is forming among the institutions at long last and lists some of the examples:

The Big 10

Yes, that Big 10, the university conference that was once centered in the Midwest and now has some 18 members located coast to coast.

Three weeks ago, the faculty senate at Rutgers (which joined the Big 10 a decade ago) led the way with a resolution endorsing a “mutual defense compact” among allied universities. The idea is, essentially, NATO for higher ed, with the Trump team playing the role of Russia. An attack on one is an attack on all.

For the original NATO, the main goal was deterrence. For this Big 10-NATO, it’s about institutional survival too. Maybe Harvard can bear the financial cost of standing up to Trump. One by one, no Big 10 institution could dare. But together they can make a stand, and share the burdens of self-defense if the worst occurs. Each of them is stronger and braver, from knowing that none of them is alone.

Since then the idea has spread rapidly (as reported in the higher-ed press, and elsewhere including last night on Rachel Maddow). Faculty-senate endorsements range from the University of Nebraska at Lincoln, to Indiana University at Bloomington, to UMass Amherst (not in the Big 10). That’s not the same as university presidents announcing this as official policy. But it’s an important start.


The state of California.

Yesterday the nation’s most populous and productive state officially filed a federal lawsuit to block Trump’s destructive tariffs, using the most basic argument against them. Namely, that Trump has no legal power to impose these taxes, as his own one-man wrecking crew for the world economy.

You can read all the details here1 The essence of California’s claim is found in the US Constitution, which plainly lays out that Congress, not the president, will be in charge of tariffs. As put in Article I, Section 8 (emphasis added):

The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises…[and] To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations.

We know that constitutional niceties are not Trump’s strong suit. In theory he also has no legal power to fire inspectors-general, to feed federal agencies into the wood chipper, to nullify trade agreements, or take other such steps. He has done what he wants, until someone has stopped him.

Now a state’s leadership has officially stood up. Given California’s scale and resources, this is the federal equivalent of Harvard saying No.

And, speaking of California lawsuits: A few hours ago Gavin Newsom announced that the state would also sue the Trump team for another wantonly cruel and destructive move, eliminating AmeriCorps. Here was the announcement from the governor’s office in Sacramento:

Governor Newsom responds to DOGE’s dismantling of AmeriCorps: ‘Middle finger to volunteers. We will sue’

That’s the spirit.


Two Republican campaign veterans.

I’m speaking of Karl Rove, from the GWB era, and Stuart Stevens, of the John McCain and Mitt Romney presidential campaigns (and now of the Lincoln Project).

Karl Rove has attacked Trump for years, and has kept underestimating his electoral strength. But his column today in the WSJ said what Trump fears more than being called cruel or dishonest: That his act has gotten old. The column’s headline was “America Gets Trump Fatigue.”

Rove has been wrong about Trump before. But maybe this time?

Stuart Stevens is a friend of Deb’s and mine, and is an accomplished writer. Today I saw one of his comments via the Lincoln Project:

This isn’t a battle of your choosing. But it is the battle for which you will always be judged. This is the moment you must show the world and history which side of the Edmund Pettis Bridge you are standing on.

Will that change anyone’s mind? I don’t know. But it’s worth noting in the moment.


One Republican judge:

A judge named J. Harvie Wilkinson III is now age 80. When he was still in his 30s, he was enough of a conservative rising-star that Ronald Reagan appointed him to the Fourth Circuit federal appeals court.2

All these decades later, Wilkinson is still on the Fourth Circuit. And today he issued a blistering condemnation of the Trump team’s refusal to bring Abrego Garcia back from El Salvador.

The PDF of his whole ruling is here. A sample:

It is difficult in some cases to get to the very heart of the matter. But in this case, it is not hard at all.

The government is asserting a right to stash away residents of this country in foreign prisons without the semblance of due process that is the foundation of our constitutional order. Further, it claims in essence that because it has rid itself of custody that there is nothing that can be done.

This should be shocking not only to judges, but to the intuitive sense of liberty that Americans far removed from courthouses still hold dear.

And

If today the Executive claims the right to deport without due process and in disregard of court orders, what assurance will there be tomorrow that it will not deport American citizens and then disclaim responsibility to bring them home?

The time-capsule importance of this verdict is not just the clarity of the warning. It’s that it comes from J. Harvie Wilkinson III, as conservative a jurist as you are going to find.

For those not around during the Reagan era, it’s like hearing that Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas joined in condemning the Trump deportations. If the Trump DOJ has lost Wilkinson’s vote, its legal arguments are in trouble.


One Democratic senator:

Cory Booker shook things up with his 25-hour oration.

Chris Van Hollen of Maryland shook things up in these past two days.

What makes this truly interesting is this:

This is just part of the chronicle of this one day. Less than 90 days into this new era.

I would add this to that list:

Conservative New York Times columnist David Brooks is widely seen as a measured figure who frequently calls out anything radical or removed from the center — but that’s decidedly not the tone he struck in his latest article, calling for a “civic uprising” to defend American values against the assault of the Trump administration.

“Over the centuries, people built the sinews of civilization: Constitutions to restrain power, international alliances to promote peace, legal systems to peacefully settle disputes, scientific institutions to cure disease, news outlets to advance public understanding, charitable organizations to ease suffering, businesses to build wealth and spread prosperity, and universities to preserve, transmit and advance the glories of our way of life,” wrote Brooks. “These institutions make our lives sweet, loving and creative, rather than nasty, brutish and short.”

The Trump agenda, he continued, stands in opposition to all of that — pursuing only “power for its own sake” as it seeks to “make the earth a playground for ruthless men,” tearing down any institution or cultural values that get in the way of that. This is the mindset with which Trump has forced universitieslaw firms, and media companies to bend to his will.

All those things (except Booker) happened yesterday. It’s a good sign.

Oopsie

I’m sure you never believed it, except to the extent that he planned to turn Ukraine over to Putin. But Marco’s admission here might just be a little too on the nose even for the cultists.

Maybe. Probably not.

You’re Next

So many “adminstrative errors

US citizen Juan Carlos Lopez-Gomez. (Via CNN courtesy Sebastiana Pérez)

It’s the rapidity of our slide into autocracy that’s stultifying. But Trumpism was always going to come to this (NBC News):

A U.S.-born American citizen was being detained at the request of immigration authorities Thursday despite an advocate showing his U.S. birth certificate in court and a county judge finding no reason for him to be considered an “illegal alien” who illegally entered Florida.

Juan Carlos Lopez Gomez, 20, was arrested Thursday evening by Florida Highway Patrol and charged under a state immigration law that has been temporarily blocked since early this month. Details of Gomez-Lopez’s arrest and detention were first reported by the Florida Phoenix news site.

The county judge determined Gomez-Lopez’s birth certificate is authentic, but claimed no authority to interfere with an immigration case.

Nonetheless, he remains detained locally at ICE’s request, said Thomas Kennedy, a spokesperson at the Florida Immigrant Coalition who attended Thursday’s hearing.

You know, just another of those administrative errors for which the Trump 2.0 has a reputation. When they’re not writing due process and Fourth Amendment protections from unreasonable search and seizure out of the Constitution.

NBC adds:

Lopez Gomez was in a vehicle with other passengers and was traveling to work from Georgia when they were stopped after entering Florida.

A sweeping immigration law signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis in 2023 makes it a state crime for an undocumented immigrant over age 18 to enter the state illegally.

That is, Lopez-Gomez, born or naturalized in the United States, was minding his own business when he was stopped, arrested, and thrown in jail, very likely for not looking American enough in the eyes of the Florida Highway Patrol. He was released this morning after spending the night in jail.

Citing Sen. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland’s visit last night with the kidnapped Kilmar Abrego Garcia in El Salvador, Chris Geidner (a whole lotta Chrises this morning) writes that “Thursday was a day for seeing why standing up matters — and can make a difference.” A lot more of us are going to need to stand up.

Writing for a three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit on Thursday, Judge J. Harvie Wilkinson, a Reagan appointee, called the Trump administration on the carpet for its misuse of power in the Abrego Garcia case:

It is difficult in some cases to get to the very heart of the matter. But in this case, it is not hard at all. The government is asserting a right to stash away residents of this country in foreign prisons without the semblance of due process that is the foundation of our constitutional order. Further, it claims in essence that because it has rid itself of custody that there is nothing that can be done.

This should be shocking not only to judges, but to the intuitive sense of liberty that Americans far removed from courthouses still hold dear.

Abrego Garcia is in the country illegally but has no criminal record, and was under a protective order against being deported to El Salvador. The Trump administration claims he is variously 1) a member of MS-13, 2) a terrorist, 3) a human trafficker, and 4) an abusive spouse. It’s loosed its right-wing influencers to flog all of it. They ignore the fact that, whatever the truth of the matter, Abrego Garcia had a constitutional right to have a court test those allegations before his kidnapping, deportation, and incarceration (at taxpayer expense) in what is essentially a Salvadoran concentration camp.

Wilkinson reflects on our mutual peril:

If today the Executive claims the right to deport without due process and in disregard of court orders, what assurance will there be tomorrow that it will not deport American citizens and then disclaim responsibility to bring them home?∗ And what assurance shall there be that the Executive will not train its broad discretionary powers upon its political enemies? The threat, even if not the actuality, would always be present, and the Executive’s obligation to “take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed” would lose its meaning. U.S. CONST. art. II, § 3; see also id. art. II, § 1, cl. 8.

The Executive’s obligation has already lost its meaning. Officials are already arresting and detaining American citizens. Trump 2.0 is already violating our Fourth Amendment rights. Trump has declared his intention to (illegally) revoke the birthright citizenship guaranteed under the Fourteenth Amendment to people born in this country. Maybe even to Juan Carlos Lopez-Gomez. Maybe even to you.

I can think of a few people who work in the West Wing who deserve having their birthright citizenship revoked more, if that’s where the Trump dictatorship is headed.

Update: Fuck you, Donny.

View on Threads

* * * * *

Have you fought dictatorship today?

National Day of Action, Saturday, April 19 (TOMORROW; scroll for local events)
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

Chris Murphy, Robosenator

Is the one-man rapid response team part machine?

The Old Man: Nice shootin’, son. What’s your name?
RoboCop: Murphy.

Went out for dinner last night. Looked around the restaurant and said, “This is what it’s like living in a dictatorship.” Normal to most appearances. Except it’s not.

“We are all afraid,” Alaska’s Sen. Lisa Murkowski said on Thursday. She took a long pause to consider what she just admitted aloud. “And I’ll tell ya, I’m often times very anxious myself about using my voice, because retaliation is real.”

Well, Sen. Chris Murphy of Connecticut is not afraid. The one-man rapid-response team has been everywhere except El Salvador lately speaking out against the criminal Trump administration. Perhaps he’s part machine. This long thread from Thursday afternoon is a solid indictment (with recommendations for action at the end).

We were warned. Half of voters didn’t listen. Murphy is not dancing around the descent info fascism led by Donald Trump’s.

Thank God for Mike Luckovich without whom the sanity of many would be lost.

Donald Trump is wiping his ass in public with the “due process” clause of the Constitution while his staff looks on admiringly. He has the unquestioning support of Vice President JD “slippery deception” Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the “utterly reprehensible” Attorney General Pam Bondi, propaganda chief Stephen Miller, spokesliar Karoline Leavitt, and, of course, Border Czar Tom Homan.

The only thing American about them are their birth certificates.

4/ The modern, time-tested way to destroy a democracy is NOT a coup or burning down the Parliament or a public confrontation with the judiciary.

It’s a slow methodical campaign to weaken the structures of accountability necessary for the political opposition to win elections.

Murphy lays out his case:

11/ This is all happening so fast it’s hard for the public to see it all as part of one plan. But it is. And the press, lawyers, colleges and opposition political groups don’t have to be DESTROYED in order for this plan to work.

12/ They just have to be weakened enough so the tools of accountability don’t work anymore. The press can’t tell enough truth. The lawyers won’t protect our rights. Campus protest disappears. Opposition funding dries up. We still have elections. But the regime always wins.

Trump? “He’s an idiot.” So much is happening at once that it is clear whomever is stage-managing this multi-front assault on constitutional order, it’s not him. But it matters less which Wormtongue is whispering in his ear than it does what we can do to stop it.

Murphy offers his take:

13/ How do we stop it? First, though solidarity. Each set of institutions can’t let the regime pick one off from each others. The legal profession failed miserably at this this, but the universities can model a collective strategy to fight back and win.

14/ Second, through mass mobilization. When hundreds of thousands of people rally against this kind of assault on democracy, history shows it works. There is a strange, magic power to mass activation which makes supporters of the regime start to jump ship.

15/ Third, through risk taking by political leaders. No citizen will take the risk to mobilize if leaders are playing it safe. This means speaking daily truth to the regime and taking tactical risks (like voting against the CR or boycotting the SOTU would have been).

16/ I believe those three steps, taken together, will arrest Trump’s assault. But if it doesn’t, then civil disobedience. And this conversation will need to happen sooner than we would like. We still have the power, but we have less time than most think.

Tomorrow is the 250th Anniversary of the Battles of Lexington and Concord. A quarter of a century later, there are still royalists among us trying to restore the monarchy even while waving flags and celebrating the start of the Revolutionary War.

See you in the streets tomorrow.

* * * * *

Have you fought dictatorship today?

National Day of Action, Saturday, April 19 (TOMORROW; scroll for local events)
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

Is He Crazy Enough To Do This?

Certainly. Will he? Who knows? But I think Elizabeth Warren is right about this:

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., warned Thursday that U.S. markets will “crash” if President Donald Trump has the power to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.The comment from Warren, a frequent Powell critic, on CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” came hours after Trump wrote in a social media post that the Fed chair’s “termination cannot come fast enough!”

A senior White House official later told CNBC that Trump’s broadside should not be seen as a threat to fire Powell, and that there are no plans being made to end his term early.Powell has previously said the president does not have the power to fire him.

“I have tangled with [Powell] on a regular basis about both regulations and interest rates,” Warren acknowledged in her remarks at the New York Stock Exchange.“But understand this: If Chairman Powell can be fired by the president of the United States, it will crash markets in the United States,” she said.

Warren, the ranking member on the Senate Banking Committee, said the “infrastructure” upholding the stock market — and therefore the global economy — is “the idea that the big pieces move independent of the politics.”

He was pissed at being asked about that so I would guess that they’ve been pressuring him hard no to do it, at least right now. The markets are very volatile right now and they have not even come close to recovering from the huge drops around the tariffs. But he seems to be making a lot of decisions impulsively these days so it could happen.

It’s Going So Very Well

Atlantic writer Derek Thompson says:

We really did it. We took a growing US manufacturing economy, declared it broken, started a trade war, and … broke US manufacturing. In last 48 hours:

– Philly Fed Survey: “New orders fell sharply, from 8.7 in March to -34.2, its lowest reading since April 2020” – NY Fed Survey: Expected orders and shipments plunging Again, this is a policy to revive US manufacturing.

Thompson said that he got blowback because he’s just a journalist and doesn’t know what he’s talking about. So he talked to someone who does:

I talked to @Molson_Hart, a manufacturing CEO, about how the tariffs are affecting his business. He told me America could be sleepwalking into a small business apocalypse:

It’s just a little disturbance. Nothing to see here.

The Death Toll

We knew that Trump and Musk’s abrupt withdrawal of USAID funds, particularly the Pepfar programs’ HIV work in Africa, was going to result in a lot of death. It’s beginning. Not that he cares. NPR reports some of the stories in Zambia and it’s just horrific. It opens with a church service:

“We are close to 300 [worshipers] but nowadays we are only less than 150. People are sick at home,” says Chondwe — or Pastor Billy as everyone calls him — as he greeted congregants on a Sunday in early April at the entrance to his church, the Somone Community Center, a branch of the Pentecostal Holiness Church in Zambia.

People are falling ill because the U.S.-funded clinics where they got their HIV medications and care have suddenly been shuttered. The staff is gone. The electricity has been shut off. Some patients have already run out of their daily pills that keep HIV at bay — and they have started to feel the physical consequences of the virus surging back.

The Trump Administration, in January, abruptly halted the vast majority of U.S. foreign assistance in light of their America First agenda. Officials said that lifesaving aid — such as HIV medications — would continue to flow. But the reality on the ground shows otherwise. An untold number of people with HIV have simply and suddenly lost access to their medication.

That is largely because the halting of foreign assistance and cancelling of programs crippled the systems that enabled people to get their AIDS medicines. And, of the small number of programs that are technically allowed to continue, many report not being paid by the U.S. government and, thus, having to close their doors and lay off workers. The State Department, which oversees foreign assistance, did not respond to requests for comment.[…]

“The main victim that is paying the price of this disruptive decision to cut the U.S. aid funding is the ordinary Zambian person living in poverty,” says Chris Zumani Zimba, a Zambian political scientist affiliated with the University of Central Africa. According to the World Bank, more than 60% of the population there lives in poverty. And, more than 10% of adults in the country have HIV — half the rate of a decade ago.

A study out this month in The Lancet estimated what would happen if the U.S. does not continue its flagship HIV/AIDS program that’s been pivotal to reversing the downward trend in life expectancy due to AIDS. The researchers from Oxford University and elsewhere found that half a million additional children will die of AIDS in the next 5 years in sub-Saharan Africa and nearly 3 million more African children will be orphaned by AIDS. In many Zambian communities, people say these numbers will soon be more than just a forecast.

I’m pretty sure that the deaths are a feature not a bug to Elon Musk. In his mind, these people are not genetically superior enough to live. Trump no doubt agrees. I wish I was being hyperbolic but I’m not.

Insane Brain Drain

Kevin Hall, a scientist at NIH, posted this on twitter earlier today:

After 21 years at my dream job, I’m very sad to announce my early retirement from the National Institutes of Health.

My life’s work has been to scientifically study how our food environment affects what we eat, and how what we eat affects our physiology. Lately, I’ve focused on unravelling the reasons why diets high in ultra-processed food are linked to epidemic proportions of chronic diseases such as diabetes and obesity. Our research leads the world on this topic.

Given recent bipartisan goals to prevent diet-related chronic diseases, and new agency leadership professing to prioritize scientific investigation of ultra-processed foods, I had hoped to expand our research program with ambitious plans to more rapidly and efficiently determine how our food is likely making Americans chronically sick.

Unfortunately, recent events have made me question whether NIH continues to be a place where I can freely conduct unbiased science. Specifically, I experienced censorship in the reporting of our research because of agency concerns that it did not appear to fully support preconceived narratives of my agency’s leadership about ultra-processed food addiction.

I was hoping this was an aberration. So, weeks ago I wrote to my agency’s leadership expressing my concerns and requested time to discuss these issues, but I never received a response. Without any reassurance there wouldn’t be continued censorship or meddling in our research, I felt compelled to accept early retirement to preserve health insurance for my family. (Resigning later in protest of any future meddling or censorship would result in losing that benefit.)

Due to very tight deadlines to make this decision, I don’t yet have plans for my future career. The NIH has been a wonderful place because it allows scientists to take risks, form unique collaborations, and do studies difficult to conduct elsewhere. I’m proud of what we’ve accomplished and I’m fortunate to have had such wonderful colleagues and scientific collaborators.

I hope to someday return to government service and lead a research program that will continue to provide gold-standard science to make Americans healthy.

This scientific brain drain is so depressing.

I recommend reading this fabulous piece by Rick Perlstein from before the election discussing science and politics, specifically the way the right sees it, in light of the unprecedented Scientific American endorsement of Kamala Harris. Let’s just say that any reticence among scientists to speak out in service of some norms that they should remains apolitical is misplaced. (Also read what he says about norms in general, pointing out that liberal resistance or advances almost always requires the destruction of certain norms that serve as obstacles to liberal governance. Very interesting.)