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IMPLAUSIBLE!

Federal court dismisses Trump defamation case

Vizzini (Wallace Shawn) in The Princess Bride (1987).

Another Trump lawsuit bites the dust (The New York Times):

A federal judge on Monday dismissed President Trump’s $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the publisher of The Wall Street Journal over its report of his lewd birthday greeting to the sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Judge Darrin Gayles in the U.S. District Court of the Southern District of Florida said in his decision that Mr. Trump had not “plausibly alleged” that The Journal published the article with actual malice, meaning that it knew what it was publishing was false, or had acted with reckless disregard as to its accuracy. He dismissed the complaint without prejudice, allowing Mr. Trump to bring the same claim again.

Trump will try, of course, or find some less-monetary way to exact his revenge on the Journal, the Times, or other outlets that publish news he finds unflattering. It costs him money to bring such suits, but it costs his enemies to defend against them, so that works for Trump.

Now if the MAGA rubes still supporting Trump will stop donating to his lawsuit funds, maybe these frivolous lawsuits will dry up before Trump’s dessicated corpse does.

Dispatch From My West Coast Hellhole

This should count for something but I’m afraid it won’t…

Americans vote on personality, looks and charisma not accomplishment and a lot of people just don’t like Newsom. (Is it the hair???) But he has been a good governor of a huge and often ungovernable state. I just think it’s good to point that out once in a while before we decide which candidate we’d like to have a beer with.

Anyway:

Of all the prevailing media narratives around Gavin Newsom, the one that is most conspicuous by its absence is how under its two-term governor California became the top performing economy not just among its 49 siblings but also any developed nation…

Amid the thousands of headlines referencing California failings with wildfires, droughts, floods, mass transportation, aging roads, education, homelessness, unaffordable housing, widening inequality and poverty along with the exodus of billionaires, corporate headquarters and longtime residents — never mind the “slick” label whenever the betting favorite for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination is mentioned in the press – the Golden State (population 39 million people), just supplanted Japan (123 million) as the fourth-largest economy.

Gross domestic product surged 40% to more than $4 trillion, accounting for more than 14% of US output, after Newsom took office in January 2019. China’s, the world’s second-largest economy, expanded 32% and No. 3 Germany increased 16%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. (The US dollar’s appreciation was as little as 1.6% since the end of 2018 as measured by the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, so the currency wasn’t a primary factor behind California’s performance.)

The US is an also-ran competing with California’s prosperity, based on indexes compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia that take state level nonfarm payroll employment, average hours worked in manufacturing by production employees, the unemployment rate and wage and salary disbursements that are then deflated by the consumer price index.

“We have had a theory” for California’s superior performance “but it hasn’t been validated in the way these numbers obviously provide,” said the 58-year-old Newsom during an April 1 Zoom interview. “So the timing could not be better.”

California’s not-so-secret sauce happens to be the diversity between its citizens’ ears instead of the fossil fuels generating the biggest share of Texas growth. Of the 10,000 companies in the Bloomberg World Large, Mid & Small Cap Index, the technology sector’s 20% share of their total value is the largest of any sector. And within that subset of technology, California leads with 41-based firms producing a 603% total return (income plus appreciation) over the past decade. That’s almost four times the gain of their global peers the past two, three and five years. Tech’s contribution to California’s GDP increased 59% since 2019, outperforming the 40% gain for states overall.

Healthcare shows a similar trajectory. The industry’s contribution to California GDP increased by 52% since 2019 and including 2025, a year when President Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans enacted major cuts to Medicaid and reduced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits, resulting in an estimated 15 million people losing health coverage. California’s uninsured rate declined to a record-low 6.4% in 2023, the largest drop in the US, from more than 17% a decade ago, helped by the Covered California and Medi-Cal expanded coverage programs.

Although “some of California’s most prominent venture capitalists have a proclivity for slamming their state, arguing that fiscal mismanagement and high taxes will cause startups to form elsewhere,” the opposite is happening, according to Axios. “California startups raised a whopping 62% of all U.S. venture capital dollars in 2025,” Axios notes, citing the PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor, more than either 2024 (54.2%) or 2023 (46.9%), as well as the decade-earlier mark of 47.2%.

Even when artificial intelligence giants OpenAI, Anthropic and DataBricks dominate, the state remained “home to 31.5% of US VC deals last year, compared to 31.7% in 2024 and 29.1% in 2023,” according to data referenced by Axios. “In 2015, California’s market share was 32.5%. For context, the runner-up in 2025 was New York with 13.3%. Massachusetts was next, just ahead of Texas — both below 6%. The bottom line: California’s crown may be tarnished on social media. On spreadsheets, however, it still sparkles.”

California companies are similarly booming, spending $527 billion annually on acquisitions during Newsom’s tenure, almost three times the $179 billion spent annually in the 20 years prior to 2019, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Software and technology services accounted for $1.9 trillion, including SpaceX’s $250 billion offer for xAI. The healthcare industry initiated $410 billion of transactions, including Thousand Oaks-based Amgen’s $27 billion purchase of Ireland’s Horizon Therapeutics PLC in 2023. The deal enabled the biotechnology medicines company to increase its market value 39% to $200 billion.

Even accounting for less than 12% of the US population, California contributed more than 40% of the growth in the value of nation’s publicly traded equities as measured by the companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which returned 182% for investors since 2019. California accounted for 70 percentage points, more than triple No. 2 Washington (20 points), almost five times No. 3 Texas (15 points) and No. 4 New York (13 points) and almost 12 times No. 5 Ohio (6 points), according to data compiled by Bloomberg. California-based companies overall returned 328% to investors, crushing the equity returns from the world’s largest economies: US, 182%; China, 89%; Germany, 110%; Japan, 96%; and India, 63%, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

None of this is accidental. Sixteen years after it became a state in 1850, California passed its first compulsory education law, requiring children aged eight to 14 to attend school. With more than 600 colleges and universities, California today has no peers in higher education, whether in the US or any of the world’s developed economies. No. 2 New York has 423, Germany 420 and the UK no more than 300. California graduates more engineers than any state and pays the highest wages when they join the workforce.

California’s relative value among investors is reflected in the municipal bond market, where two of the top 10 performing issuers tied to education are based. The University of California, No. 1 in total return, accounts for 12% of the 800 issuers’ gains, and No. 3 California State University contributes 5%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s another way of saying investors in California are getting 11% of their return from the University of California, the Los Angeles Unified School District and California State University. California’s investment in education translates as one college or university for 64,000 citizens compared to 266,000 in the UK and 199,000 in Germany.

During the Covid-19 pandemic, Newsom became “the first sitting governor to visit the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach… since Ronald Reagan,” said Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, the biggest US gateway to global trade, handling more than $300 billion of cargo annually. “That’s a statement,” Seroka said during an interview at Bloomberg headquarters in New York earlier this year. “In the line-item budgets of the last three fiscal years,” Newsom “has helped with additional infrastructure spending, hard infrastructure line-item budgets, our transition to zero emissions on both equipment and electricity.”

Whatever criticism Newsom receives from environmentalists for not doing enough to hold corporate polluters accountable, he still gets relatively high marks for promoting investments in resilience, clean energy and clean transportation. The eight California-based clean energy companies with a minimum market value of $100 million have seen the value of their stocks appreciate an average 56% since 2019, compared to 40% for their global peers. Their 7% average annual gain in revenue crushes the 5% global average. California renewable energy companies will see 17% revenue growth in the coming year, more than doubling the 7% increase of global peers, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

San Francisco, where Newsom began his political career and was its two-time mayor, is the only US city that reduced pollutants by more than 20%, according to the analysis of almost 100 cities around the world.

The global transition to zero-emission vehicles — decreasing air pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide and greenhouse gases — began in Fremont, California, with Tesla, the world’s largest automaker with a market capitalization of $1.4 trillion, or more than four times perennial sales leader Toyota Motor Corp. Even after Musk, Tesla’s CEO, decried California as “a land of taxes, over-regulation and litigation” when he moved the company’s headquarters along with its research and development leadership to Texas in 2021, the world’s richest person admitted a year later that Tesla couldn’t succeed without California-based engineers.

“I will never forget” when Musk “called me,” said Newsom. “He said, `I’m surprised you’re picking up the phone. I may actually ask you for some help” because “I can’t find the talent in Texas. Don’t say a word.’”

Yes, I know we suck and Newsom has creepy hair. And there are many negatives about him on the culture front (along with some positives.) But nobody’s perfect.

Maybe, as a nation in deep, serious decline, we should at least consider looking at him seriously?

QOTD: Donald Trump

“The Pope is weak on crime”

Lololol!!!!

And then he posted this:

WTF is flying over his head????

You cannot make this stuff up, you really can’t.

Who Won The Week?

Marco Rubio, that’s who.

Trump sent JD Vance to Budapest to campaign for Viktor Orban and he lost, bigly. Then he flew off to run the peace talks with Iran and once again failed. Oops.

JD Vance: "Will you stand against the bureaucrats in Brussels? Will you stand for western civilization? Will you stand for freedom, truth, and the God of our fathers? Then, my friends, go to the polls and stand for Viktor Orban!"

Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) 2026-04-07T16:12:00.042Z

Meanwhile, the national security advisor and Secretary of State was partying with the boss at a UFC fight and staying as far out of the limelight as possible.

Score one for the new Viceroy of Cuba.

A Dose Of Truth

Courage is contagious

“The American people are unhappy with Trump. They do not like this war. But they need a dose of truth right now,” Alan Elrod wrote last week at Liberal Currents:

The truth is that the American people twice elected Donald Trump over more qualified Democratic women. The first time, Hillary Clinton warned explicitly that he did not have the temperament to be trusted with the nuclear codes. The second time, they overlooked an insurrection, a deadly pandemic, and a campaign full of bellicose and racist rhetoric, all despite the American economy being in the midst of one of the best post-covid recoveries in the world. 

In our representative democracy, the people speak to the president, and the president speaks to the people, but, crucially, the president also speaks for the people. That idea is at the heart of the whole enterprise. We cannot pretend that Trump’s monstrous words this week don’t reflect on us. We cannot pretend that we are well as a nation. No morally healthy country would put this man in power twice—the second time after he so clearly showed us and the world who he truly is. 

Elrod looks back at President Carter’s “malaise” speech, panned at the time, that called out America in the wake of the Vietnam War and Watergate as suffering “a crisis of confidence.”

Carter said (and Elrod quotes):

Our people are losing that faith, not only in government itself but in the ability as citizens to serve as the ultimate rulers and shapers of our democracy. As a people we know our past and we are proud of it. Our progress has been part of the living history of America, even the world. We always believed that we were part of a great movement of humanity itself called democracy, involved in the search for freedom, and that belief has always strengthened us in our purpose. But just as we are losing our confidence in the future, we are also beginning to close the door on our past.

In a nation that was proud of hard work, strong families, close-knit communities, and our faith in God, too many of us now tend to worship self-indulgence and consumption. Human identity is no longer defined by what one does, but by what one owns. But we’ve discovered that owning things and consuming things does not satisfy our longing for meaning. We’ve learned that piling up material goods cannot fill the emptiness of lives which have no confidence or purpose.

It was as much sermon as political speech. And prophetic, if not simply ahead of its time.

Trump, the Seven Deadly Sins on two legs, personifies self-indulgence. He models it, recommends it. He offers followers “an easy out” from the personal responsibility Republicans once extolled, even if mainly as a racial dog whistle. Trump is a papal indulgence who hates the pope.

Elrod reflects on what Trump’s elections say about us as a nation, as reflections on our national character that clearly troubled Carter. He speaks this morning to Greg Sargent on The Daily Blast podcast:

And what I mean by that in the essay is that if we don’t take seriously some of these more underlying problems—that we are a deeply isolated and lonely and distrustful country that is focused on material wellbeing and status and is more dislocated and civically apathetic than maybe we’ve ever been—that we’re going to get more Trumps, because that’s just fertile breeding ground for people like him.

And so it’s not so much that I think there’s just 50-something percent of the country that is committed to Trumpism. But I do think there’s just a huge amount of the country that is not doing well—and I mean that in an emotional way, I mean that in a political way, civically. And so I think those conditions, so long as they persist, continue to make us vulnerable to more cycles in the future of this kind of politics.

Is there a way out? Elrod tells Sargent:

Elrod: You know what? I think organizing and winning the elections are great. I think doing things in your community is more important. This is a generational fight. And beating Trump and beating MAGA at the polls is great. But if you don’t get out there and know your neighbors, if you don’t get out there and try to fix the social capital problem we have—a book club, start a movie night club, do something like that—if you don’t do those things and engage in those kinds of face-to-face interactions that really revive civic life around you, where you are, then I don’t think that this is a problem that we’re going to get out of anytime soon. That’s my hopeful message, actually, because I am hopeful about it. But winning an election is actually the short-term fix. Doing this stuff is the long-term.

Simple, visible actions matter.

Machiavellianism Among Friends

Magyar is in. Swalwell is out.

Celebration in Budapest.

Regarding MAGA darling Viktor Orbán’s stunning defeat in Hungarian elections on Sunday, a couple of observations about Péter Magyar’s landslide victory before mine.

Bottom line, writes Anne Applebaum in The Atlantic, “if Orbán can lose, then his Russian and American admirers can lose too.” Carry that with you everywhere like a key ring fob.

Applebaum details many of Orbán’s structural advantages that Magyar’s Tisza Party had to overcome, including an “extraordinary web of international illiberal and far-right supporters” and Orbán’s control of the media.

After 16 years of what Orbán himself described as an illiberal regime, the Hungarian leader’s political party, Fidesz, had come to control much of the judiciary, bureaucracy, and universities, as well as a group of oligarchic companies that in turn controlled a good chunk of the economy.

Michelle Goldberg adds:

The geopolitical consequences of Magyar’s victory could be profound. Under Orban, Hungary has vetoed aid to Ukraine and sanctions on both Russia and Israel. Magyar’s movement is hostile to Russia; people at his rallies have taken up the chant “Russians, go home,” a slogan from the 1956 Hungarian Revolution. “There is a strong narrative of commitment to the European Union and NATO,” said Zsuzsanna Végh, an analyst at the German Marshall Fund. And since Magyar doesn’t have a personal relationship with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, she said, “some sanctions against Israel would likely be acceptable” to a Tisza government.

But what Hungarians faced inside their country, Goldberg suggests, “was a choice between the center right and the authoritarian right.” Tisza is not a left-leaning alternative to Orbán’s Fidesz Party. Orbán has all but eliminated the left in Hungary. But Magyar should be less likely “to demonize L.G.B.T.Q. people the way Orban did.” It’s a start.

The incoming Parliament “will be the first since 1989 with no left-wing representation, in part because many progressive candidates stood down to avoid splitting the anti-Orban vote.” What remained of the Hungarian left viewed the contest as a matter of practical, if not Machiavellian politics. Their support for Magyar did not rely on his passing purity tests. The result? Orbán is out.

Which brings me to Rep. Eric Swalwell (D) of California.

Amidst allegations of sexual misconduct that collapsed his campaign for governor in California, Swalwell announced on Sunday that he would withdraw from the race:

“I am suspending my campaign for Governor,” he posted on X. “To my family, staff, friends, and supporters, I am deeply sorry for mistakes in judgment I’ve made in my past. I will fight the serious, false allegations that have been made — but that’s my fight, not a campaign’s.”

Owing to California’s “jungle primary” system (the top two vote-getters advance to the general), Democrats now face a choice ahead of the June 2 primary. Swalwell was leading the polls on the Democratic side. It’s not clear where his supporters go now. If California Democrats cannot coalesce support behind one of the remaining Democrats, they could in theory hand the next governorship to Republicans. Especially if Republicans consolidate their support. It’s not likely, but then neither was Donald Trump in 2016.

Newsweek reports that according to the Kalshi prediction market, Tom Steyer now has a 56 percent chance of becoming governor, up from 51 percent on Sunday. Katie Porter’s odds are now 17 percent, up from 5 on Sunday. Also, “The Democratic Mayor of San Jose, Matt Mahan is close behind Porter. There is a 16 percent chance that he will win the race.”

I know nothing about Kalshi betters or if they even understand how California’s top-two primary works.

Already I’m seeing talk that, despite their progressive credentials, Porter’s staff issues and billionaire Steyer’s being able essentially to buy the governorship are deal breakers for some on the left. Maybe Xavier Becerra can come from behind to edge out one of the Republicans on June 2? Who will Swalwell support? And does anyone want his support at this time?

Whatever. California progressives should be at least as strategic as their counterparts in Hungary. Set aside the purity tests long enough to ensure that two Republicans don’t advance to the November election.

Over at The Bulwark, Tim Miller advises lefties to welcome MAGAs who feel betrayed by Donald Trump into the fold. Take yes for an answer “from various and sundry cranks and kooks not because we agree with their crazy or bigoted ideas but because any successful political coalition will contain some cranks,” Miller observes:

If you feel tempted to dismiss this welcoming approach as arising from an overly earnest, soft-boi impulse, just look at the question from a purely Machiavellian perspective: The more people who bail on Trump the better.

For a political party, what is the good in shunning or mocking these people? If some former Trump voters enter into an uneasy alliance with the Democrats, even temporarily, because they are pissed about the war—great!

Similarly, how about a little Machiavellianism among friends, California? Get it together.

Hans, Are We The Baddies?

If you have to ask….

Talking Points Memo reports on a souvenir awarded to Minneapolis veterans of operation “Metro Surge.” It’s a challenge coin featuring “portraits of President Donald Trump and a person who appears to be White House Border Czar Tom Homan glaring out from under a skull” with glowing eyes.

A federal employee who wishes to remain anonymous sent the images to TPM:

The White House referred questions about the Metro Surge challenge coin to DHS, which oversees ICE and many of the other key agencies involved in immigration enforcement. A DHS spokesperson provided a statement stressing that Customs and Border Protection has a process for reviewing and approving “branded merchandise,” including challenge coins.

“All external publications, videos, and branded merchandise, including coins and patches, must be reviewed and approved by the CBP Publication and Branding Review Board prior to printing, purchasing, or listing for sale,” the spokesperson said, adding, “This process ensures compliance with DHS branding guidelines and CBP policy. When CBP becomes aware of coins or patches that may not have been properly approved, we look into the matter and take appropriate action.”

The spokesperson did not immediately respond to follow up questions asking if the coin was external material, if it had been approved, or whether they would be reviewing the matter. 

But, of course, they didn’t.

The challenge coin distributed at the Whipple Building seemingly revels in the violence that occurred in conjunction with Operation Metro Surge. On the flip side, the token showcases another helmeted skull with glowing eyes looming over officers in tactical gear carrying a U.S. flag amid an explosion, burning buildings, and a low flying military helicopter. The base of the coin features the text “METRO SURGE URBAN OPERATIONS.”

And, um, here’s the thing about adopting the death’s head, or Totenkopf as your emblem. Claire Barrett, an editor and military history correspondent for Military Times, reviews the history of the Totenkopf. “First introduced in the late 1730s under Frederick the Great,” it was worn by German troops on the Western Front in 1918. But unless you’ve lived your life under a rock or never visited a local gun show, it’s best known for its association with the Nazis.

Barrett writes:

“Among other uses,” writes the Anti-Defamation League, “it became the symbol of the SS-Totenkopfverbande (one of the original three branches of the SS, along with the Algemeine SS and the Waffen SS), whose purpose was to guard the concentration camps. Many original members of this organization were later transferred into and became the core of a Waffen SS division, the 3rd SS ‘Totenkopf’ Panzer Division, which engaged in a number of war crimes during World War II.”

Commonly emblazoned on German military hats and coat collars, SS commander Heinrich Himmler took the dark symbolism even further by gifting elite members of the SS with a specialized SS-Ehrenrings, translated to “death’s head ring.”

The British comedy duo Mitchell and Webb once ran a sketch where an SS officer finally notices the death’s head on their caps and asks, “Are we the baddies?” Why skulls? he asks. They make you think of death, cannibals, beheading, pirates. Okay, pirates are fun, but they’re still the baddies, aren’t they?

Barrett concludes:

Mitchell and Webb managed to point out the ridiculousness of the insignia and those who wore it. So no, you’re not honoring your Prussian heritage by sporting the Totenkopf. You are, in fact, a baddie. A very offensive one.

And if you’re handing out souvenirs of an American government operation that terrorized the civilian population of a major U.S. city, and in which your secret police gunned down two of its citizens? And your souvenir features a Totenkopf? You might be a baddie.

You don’t need to be Jeff Foxworthy to figure that out.

Oh What A Tangled Web We Weave

Here’s CNN’s analysis of what they think they are doing which sounds right to me from what I’ve read:

Iran’s decision to close the strait to oil tanker traffic has caused severe economic damage to some countries that rely on Middle Eastern crude, and it has led prices to surge around the world — including the United States. So why would Trump want to blockade the strait that he wants reopened?

The strait isn’t technically closed — Iran has been gradually allowing some tankers through in exchange for a toll of up to $2 million per ship. And, crucially, Iran has been allowing its own oil to pass in and out of the region throughout the war: Iran had managed to export an average of 1.85 million barrels of crude a day through March — about 100,000 barrels a day more than in the previous three months, according to data and analytics firm Kpler.

By closing off the strait, Trump could cut off a key source of financing for Iran’s government and military operations. It’s a lever the administration has been unwilling to pull: Blockade the strait — even to Iranian oil, and the price of oil could surge around the globe. That’s why the US Navy has allowed Iranian tankers to pass through the region. Any oil flowing out of the region right now could help keep oil prices at least somewhat in check.

In fact, the United States in March granted a temporary license for Iran to sell oil that had been sitting afloat on tankers.The United States has sanctioned Iranian oil on and off for decades, and the Trump administration has blocked sales of the country’s crude since it abandoned the Iran nuclear agreement in 2018. Trump’s decision to drop sanctions last month freed up a lot of crude: 140 million barrels worth, which is enough to satisfy the entire world’s oil demand for about one-and-a-half days, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

[…]

Anger about surging gas prices pressured the Trump administration to wrap up its war, and releasing hundreds of millions of barrels perhaps bought it a bit of time. Because Iran was selling its oil anyway, dropping the sanctions opened up the oil sales to Western countries instead of going exclusively to China, Iran’s biggest customer by far.

The administration has tried to find any lever it can pull to keep oil prices in check while it wages its war. It coordinated a historic release of emergency oil reserves around the globe, and the Trump administration desanctioned hundreds of millions of barrels of Russian oil last month, as well. Now, Trump is risking sending oil and gas prices even higher to maximize leverage over Iran to end the war.

The chances of this actually working in any way is almost nil. And if he orders an attack on Chinese or Indian or any other vessels, the war has gone worldwide and we are in deep shit. In other words, Trump’s folly is just getting worse and worse as he desperately tries to find a way out of the mess he’s made.

At the very least, get ready for a price shock like we haven’t seen since the 1970s. Buckle up.

*Just as an aside, I think sending JD over to fail at the talks was probably a savvy move by Marco Rubio who spent last evening with Trump at a UFC fight. Vance leaked to Haberman and Swan about how he opposed the war and I’m fairly sure Trump was made aware of that if he didn’t already know. Vance is currently under the bus being run over.

The California Mess

As a Californian I think I have to weigh in on the Swalwell matter. He’s got to go. If, for some reason, this turns out to be some kind of hoax, which is highly doubtful, he’ll have to fight that as a private citizen. There’s no room for this sort of thing in a Governor’s race or, frankly, in Congress. He’s done.

As for that Governor’s seat, there was already a problem in that there are so many Democrats in the race, one kooky billionaire (Tom Steyer) who has blanketed the airwaves and a couple of Republicans who could land as the top vote getters in our stupid jungle primary cutting out all the Dems. This just adds to the problem.

Katie Porter should be someone we rally around but she has shown dismal political judgement by continuously behaving obstreperously on camera and alienating the people who should be behind her. There are others but the best bet at this point may be Xavier Becerra, former Congressman, Ca. Attorney General and Sec. of Health and Human Services under Biden. He’s a solid liberal, would be the first Hispanic Governor and a good communicator.

There are many to choose from but I think rallying around him may be the best choice. But damn… what a stupid mess.

Anyway: