Storyline

Drafts of a report from the top U.S. inspector in Iraq conclude there were no weapons stockpiles, but say there are signs the fallen Iraqi President Saddam Hussein had dormant programs he hoped to revive at a later time, according to people familiar with the findings.

…which explains why the “gathering danger” was so “grave” that we had to launch a war immediately, without allies, without enough troops and without a plan for reconstructing the country. There wasn’t time to put those things together before Saddam revived his dormant programs under the nose of the newly admitted weapons inspectors.

And it’s all worked out so very well:

The National Intelligence Council presented President Bush this summer with three pessimistic scenarios regarding the security situation in Iraq, including the possibility of a civil war there before the end of 2005.

In a highly classified National Intelligence Estimate, the council looked at the political, economic and security situation in the wartorn country and determined that — at best — a tenuous stability was possible, a U.S. official said late Wednesday, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

The document lays out a second scenario in which increased extremism and fragmentation in Iraqi society impede efforts to build a central government and adversely affect efforts to democratize the country.

In a third, worst-case scenario, the intelligence council contemplated “trend lines that would point to a civil war,” the official said. The potential conflict could be among the country’s three main populations — the Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds.

It “would be fair” to call the document “pessimistic,” the official added. But “the contents shouldn’t come as a particular surprise to anyone who is following developments in Iraq. It encapsulates trends that are clearly apparent.”

So, we rushed into the war for no good reason and things are going to hell in a handbasket. It’s likely that we have created far more danger for ourselves and others by these actions.

John Kerry thinks that it’s a mistake to rehire someone for a job if they’ve made these kinds of catastrophic errors:

Citing an intelligence estimate prepared for Mr. Bush in late July that presents a bleak picture of prospects in Iraq, Mr. Kerry said the president was turning his back on his own intelligence and ignoring the reality that Iraq was increasingly in the hands of terrorists.

“He didn’t tell you this,” Mr. Kerry said, even though “his own intelligence officials have warned him for weeks that the mission in Iraq is in serious trouble.”

“That is the hard truth, as hard as it is to bear,” he said, adding,

“I believe you deserve a president who isn’t going to gild that truth, or gild our national security with politics, who is not going to ignore his own intelligence, who isn’t going to live in a different world of spin, who will give the American people the truth, not a fantasy world of spin.”

What is this fantasy world of spin you speak of?

“This country is headed toward democracy,” Mr. Bush said at a Thursday morning campaign rally in St. Cloud, Minn., about five hours before Mr. Kerry made his remarks at the Guard conference. “There’s a strong prime minister in place. They have a national council, and national elections are scheduled for January. It wasn’t all that long ago that Saddam Hussein was in power with his torture chambers and mass graves.”

The Vice president thinks that the most important thing is that you make decisions, a simple and rather basic job description for the world’s most powerful position:

Vice President Dick Cheney campaigning in Reno, Nev., took issue with Kerry’s remarks at the National Guard convention. “Senator Kerry said today that leadership starts with telling the truth, but the American people also know that true leadership requires the ability to make a decision,” Cheney said.

Oddly, however, he doesn’t seem to think it matters if every single decision is wrong.