Land of Smiles
by digby
I haven’t written anything on the events in Thailand but I assume that anyone who’s reading the papers is following it at least a little bit. This article in today’s WaPo captures my main thought on the matter since the protests began. Thailand is going crazy? Thailand?
BANGKOK — Whether keeping rapacious colonial powers at bay, averting political violence or settling family squabbles, Thais have earned a reputation for deft diplomacy, thwarting confrontation and achieving compromise, or as they proudly say, “bending with the wind like bamboo.”Until now, it seems. The latest iteration of Thailand’s political crisis, which pits a largely rural movement against the government, is in its seventh week. There is no end in sight and seemingly no one able to break the deadlock that has seen protesters occupying key areas of Bangkok for weeks. Individuals and institutions, including the monarchy, that once played key mediating roles, are either powerless or silent. Confrontations have so far taken the lives of 26 people and paralyzed central Bangkok, where the protesters, known as the Red Shirts, occupy a square-mile (half-kilometer) of some of the capital’s most glamorous shopping areas. Almost everyone agrees that old-fashioned give-and-take is the best way out of the stalemate, which has crippled Thailand’s golden tourist industry and shaken investor confidence. But three rounds of talks have already failed, and the seemingly intractable standoff even has some worrying publicly about the potential for civil war.
This is not a country with a history of doing this sort of thing. But it’s a canary in the coal mine:
The Red Shirts consist mainly of rural supporters of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra and pro-democracy activists who opposed the military coup that ousted him in 2006. They believe Abhisit’s government is illegitimate because it came to power under military pressure through a parliamentary vote after disputed court rulings ousted two elected pro-Thaksin governments. But what really fuels the protesters – and makes reconciliation difficult – are not legal decisions and political wrangling, but deep-seated anger at a Bangkok-based elite they say treats the rural poor as second-class citizens while it fails to alleviate their poverty. Compromise is hard even for past masters of the art, given the “intensification of polarization” in Thai society, says Surat Horachaikul, another political scientist at Chulalongkorn University.
I lived in Thailand when I was a kid and have relatives who live there now. It is one of the nicest places on earth with a culture that is so friendly, tolerant and easy going that it’s hard to imagine any kind of serious violence in the streets much less a civil war. This income inequality must have gotten completely unendurable if it came to this.
If it can happen there it can happen anywhere.
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