Turnout problems
by David Atkins
It’s no secret that Democrats have a turnout problem. It’s bad:
The study, from the Center for the Study of the American Electorate, shows turnout in the 25 states that have held statewide primaries for both parties is down by nearly one-fifth from the last midterm, in 2010. While 18.3 percent of eligible voters cast ballots back then, it has been just 14.8 percent so far this year. Similarly, 15 of the 25 states that have held statewide primaries so far have recorded record-low turnout.
Ouch.
This is all the more depressing when you realize that, less than 50 years ago, primary turnout was twice as high.
But, really, this isn’t all that new. As you can see above, turnout has been dropping steadily for years.
What’s perhaps most notable, though, is the partisan difference. Republican primary turnout overtook Democratic turnout for the first time in 2010, and that difference is even bigger this primary season.
Part of this is a cultural problem with the left. When conservatives don’t get what they want, they tend to double down at the ballot box. When progressives don’t get what they want, many of us tend to storm away and fantasize about engaging the system outside of electoral politics somehow. This is part of why conservatives have been successful in moving the country to right.
I’ve brought these points up again and again. Politicians don’t care about people who don’t vote, and the Tea Party gets coddled because they actually vote in primaries and Democrats tend not to.
But, of course, Democratic politicians also bear a lot of the blame. It’s awfully hard to get motivated to vote when you know that not much is going to change regardless of the outcome.
Even so, you can’t lay the entire blame for the problem at the feet of centrist corporate Democrats. The trend toward lower turnout started in 1970, hardly the heyday of the DLC. Yes, Democratic politicians need to do a better job of advancing progressive priorities and building base enthusiasm. But progressive voters also need to come out and actually vote, too.
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