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Month: February 2016

The GOP establishment likes him too

The GOP establishment likes him too




by digby

Underneath it all, they don’t have a problem with his neo-fascism. That stuff’s all good. If they can convince him to stick with program on taxes and regulations, it’s all good.

This Washington Post story by Robert Costa and company about how the GOP establishment is coming around to Trump is terrifying. Those of you who are convinced that he’s a populist might want to take note that he’s talking to the Godfather of supply side economics Arthur Laffer. Laffer is quite taken with him and hopes to have a big role in the Trump administration. Anyway, read the whole thing but have a drink handy.

Meanwhile, I thought it would be a fun idea to repost this Salon piece of mine from a while back:

It’s been obvious for some time that the Republican establishment was likely going to have to make a choice between the lesser of two evils. The GOP “establishment lane” has had a pile up right at the start and nobody can get through it. So the “outsider lane” is the only one available. They are coming very close to having to decide which horse to jump on and by the looks of it, they’ve decided that if they have to make this unpalatable choice in order to have a chance to win the election, they will choose … Donald Trump.

Yesterday Salon’s Elias Isquith wrote about this, and cited a Washington Post story that had the Republican fatcat donors all starting to sniff around Trump looking for ways to curry favor now that their favorites like Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush seem to have cratered. We all know Trump cannot be bought. He says so every day. Greed is simply not part of his personal character. Even more importantly, Trump has no ego so it’s very unlikely he will be influenced by flattery and sweet talk from his wealthy peers. Nonetheless they seem to think it will be worth their while to get access to him. Go figure.

Meanwhile, The New York Times reported that retired Senator Bob Dole, always one to spill the beans even before he became an elder statesman and decided he really didn’t give a damn about propriety anymore, says Trump is the establishment’s man. And he didn’t mince words about reason: they just cannot stand Ted Cruz.

I question his allegiance to the party,” Mr. Dole said of Mr. Cruz. “I don’t know how often you’ve heard him say the word ‘Republican’ — not very often.” Instead, Mr. Cruz uses the word “conservative,” Mr. Dole said, before offering up a different word for Mr. Cruz: “extremist.”

“I don’t know how he’s going to deal with Congress,” he said. “Nobody likes him.”

But Mr. Dole said he thought Mr. Trump could “probably work with Congress, because he’s, you know, he’s got the right personality and he’s kind of a deal-maker.”

The remarks by Mr. Dole reflect wider unease with Mr. Cruz among members of the Republican establishment, but few leading members of the party have been as candid and cutting.

“If he’s the nominee, we’re going to have wholesale losses in Congress and state offices and governors and legislatures,” said Mr. Dole, who served in the House and Senate for 35 years and won the Iowa caucuses twice. He described Mr. Cruz as having falsely “convinced the Iowa voters that he’s kind of a mainstream conservative.”

The only person who could stop Mr. Cruz from capturing the nomination? “I think it’s Trump,” Mr. Dole said, adding that Mr. Trump was “gaining a little.”

It’s hard to wrap your mind around a party that thinks Donald Trump — King of the Birthers, the man who promises to deport 12 million Latinos, bring back torture and summary execution and bar all Muslims from entering the U.S. — is less of an extremist than Ted Cruz. Apparently all that’s fine as long as you don’t say mean things about elected officials. (And have they never heard a Donald Trump speech?)

Not to say that that Ted Cruz isn’t an extremist. Of course he is. He’s a bona fide, far-right conservative movement zealot. And sure, the party establishment has been at war with the Tea Party/Freedom Caucus types for a while now. But they haven’t come right out and openly dissed them. Suddenly, they are feeling free to do that. And that’s because they have another far right zealot to present to the rubes, one who they believe is more malleable and would by necessity be forced to turn to them for expert guidance if he were to win the nomination.

According to the National Review’s report from the GOP’s retreat last week, these people feel downright confident that Trump is such an empty suit they’ll be able to dominate him with little problem. Cruz, not so much:

The developing feeling among House Republicans? Donald Trump is preferable to Ted Cruz. “If you look at Trump’s actual policies, they’re pretty thin. There’s not a lot of meat there,” says one Republican member in Ryan’s inner circle, who requested anonymity to speak frankly about the two front-runners as leadership has carefully avoided doing all week.

If Trump were to get the nomination, he would “be looking to answer the question: ‘Where’s the beef?’ And we will have that for him,” says the member.

The member says he believes that, when it comes down to it, “almost all of the candidates would subscribe to” the conservative agenda he and the rest of leadership are hoping to advance.

Except, that is, for Cruz. “Look at the Senate. He hasn’t been a team player. He’s always been his own person with his own aspirations and his own vision, only concerned with where he wants to go. And, you know, for us, we want to work closely with the president. And with Cruz, there’s a question of whether that could happen.”

Cruz was certainly looking out for himself. But there are millions of Tea Partiers who think he was doing exactly what they sent him to Washington to do and looking out for them. Essentially, these establishment types are repudiating the conservative movement in favor of someone they clearly (and surely erroneously) see as a sort of simple clown they’ll be able to dominate once he’s in office and is dependent upon their superior knowledge and experience.

What planet are they on? Do they really look at Trump and see someone who plays well with others? Someone who isn’t a stone cold narcissist and megalomaniac who is clueless about everything important to the job he is seeking? Do they think this is all an act?

If all this is true and the establishment is truly reconciling itself to Donald Trump then Republicans have managed to be even more nihilistic and irresponsible than I ever could have believed possible. They hate Ted Cruz for being rude and self-serving more than they are concerned that Trump is promising to turn this country into an authoritarian police state.

Of course, Cruz would not be a good president. He would be a nightmare too. But I would have thought the Republicans had enough respect for themselves, their party and the movement they created to acknowledge that Ted Cruz is at least qualified to be president and be willing to lose with him rather than risk the world falling into the hands of an unhinged, messianic billionaire Bond villain. (Indeed, one would think they’d see the silver lining in losing with Cruz since the Tea Partiers would never be able to say that he lost because he wasn’t conservative enough.)

If the GOP accepts Donald Trump’s openly xenophobic, white supremacist, nationalist agenda as the Republican platform, whatever was left of sanity in the GOP is gone. They are setting their party on fire and risking immolating the whole country in the process.

Even worse, they don’t seem to care that the election of this man as president of the United States would turn the entire world order upside down overnight because everyone on the planet would assume that the world’s only superpower gone mad. And they would be right.

It’s important to note that that Trump has expressed admiration for only two leaders during this campaign: Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-Un. It’s highly unlikely if Trump becomes the most powerful man in the world he’ll be humbly asking the House GOP Weenie Caucus to hold his hand and tell him what to do.

And in case you’re wondering, yes, he could win

17 people shot with a “long gun”, 3 are dead. Who cares?

17 people shot with a “long gun”, 3 are dead. Who cares?

by digby

Not that anyone care about this since it’s just another day in the bloody streets of America, but it seems worth noting:

Three people were killed and 14 injured Thursday after a gunman drove through two Kansas towns taking shots at people before opening fire at his workplace, police said.

The assailant, who was identified by victims’ family members as Cedric Larry Ford, was armed with a long gun and a pistol during the “mass shooting” in Newton and Hesston, nearby towns about 30 miles north of Wichita, according to officials.

The entire incident lasted just 26 minutes — from when the gunman shot and injured a person and stole a truck, until the first police officer on the scene shot him dead shortly after 5 p.m. local time (6 p.m. ET).

Ford was killed at Excel Industries, a lawn-care company in Hesston where he worked. Fifteen of the victims were shot inside the building — including all three who died, Harvey County Sheriff T. Walton first said at a news briefing Thursday night. Five of the wounded remained in serious condition overnight.

“He was just shooting indiscriminately”

Walton told NBC News early Friday that the shooter used an assault rifle during the rampage, and also carried a semi-automatic pistol that was not fired.

The sheriff, in discussing a possible motive, said a deputy had served the shooter a protection from abuse order at about 3:30 p.m. It was the second such order the gunman received after he was supposed to appear in court but failed to show, Walton said.

“This is the final protection order,” he said, adding that someone typically receives one after violence in a relationship.

He did not immediately detail who requested the order of protection, but said it’s possible it played a part in the workplace violence.

“You always say it won’t happen here, but it happened here,” Walton said. “We’ll get through it. It’s a good community. We have strong people.”

The FBI and the federal Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives were on the scene but the sheriff said the incident was not related to “terrorism.”

Kansas law doesn’t require a permit to buy long guns or handguns, which don’t have to be registered.

Court records showed that Ford, 38, was a felon who previously lived in Miami and was on probation with a series of convictions in Florida including burglary.

He had a criminal record stretching back to October 1996, when he was charged with carrying a concealed firearm when he was 18 years old, the records showed.

Law enforcement officials first became aware of Thursday’s incident after being called to reports of two people shot and injured, one in the shoulder and one in the leg, on different streets across the two towns.

The gunman then drove north toward his workplace, where he shot another person in the parking lot, according to a statement from the Harvey County Sheriff’s Office.

He was “seen entering the building with a long gun” before he “opened fire inside the building,” the statement said.

By the time the first police officer arrived at the scene the gunman was “actively shooting at any targets that came into his sights,” Walton told the news conference.

The officer — a member of the Hesston police force — went in alone, killed the gunman and “saved a lot of lives,” the sheriff said.

Walton said the shooter would have fired “until he was out of ammo. I don’t know how much he had. … He was just shooting indiscriminately.”

A couple of hours later, Newton police and a SWAT team converged on a home in a Newton trailer park were the gunman was believed to have lived.

Walton told reporters that the shooter’s roommate was inside and refusing to engage with officers — but when officials obtained a warrant and returned at 10 p.m. they found the property empty, NBC station KSN reported.

Walton would not identify the suspect or discuss a motive but said there were “some things that triggered this individual,” according to The Associated Press.

So, that’s that. It’s too bad he wasn’t a Muslim or the news might even have mentioned.

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Is this thing over yet?

Is this thing over yet?

by digby

I wrote about the debate for Salon today:

During last night’s GOP debate, Marco Rubio mocked Donald Trump, and Ted Cruz attacked the billionaire for abandoning conservative orthodoxy. A whole lot of dirty laundry was aired about his business practices. There was much discussion of his tax returns and Trump said he was being audited so he couldn’t release them. Rubio smugly accused Trump of repeating himself when he insisted that “getting rid of the lines” was his health care plan, and then hit him with the observation that the Israel/Palestine conflict isn’t a real-estate deal. (The Israel/Palestine conflict actually is a kind of real estate deal, but that’s beside the point.)
Rubio and Cruz finally focused on the man they actually need to beat in order to win the election. If they had done it three months ago, it might have made a difference.
Here’s an excerpt that gives the flavor of it:
BLITZER: Governor, Governor, Governor, he attacked Mr. Trump. Mr. Trump has a right to respond.
TRUMP: Well, look, my response is very simple. There is nobody on this stage that has done more for Israel than I have. Nobody. You might say, you might talk, you’re politicians, all talk, no action.
(APPLAUSE)
TRUMP: I’ve been watching it all my life. You are all talk and no action.
CRUZ: Then name one specific thing you’ve done.
TRUMP: What I’ve seen up here — I mean, first of all, this guy is a choke artist, and this guy is a liar. You have a combination…
RUBIO: This guy always goes for…
TRUMP: You have a combination of factors. He can’t do it…
RUBIO: This is so typical.
TRUMP: … for the obvious reason, and he can’t do it because he doesn’t know how to tell the truth. Other than that, I rest my case.
(CROSSTALK)
BLITZER: One at a time, gentlemen.
Governor Kasich, you have the floor. Governor…
(CROSSTALK)
BLITZER: You will have a response. But I promised Governor Kasich he could respond.
CARSON: Can somebody attack me, please?
The post-debate analysts all said that Trump was exposed as a lightweight on policy questions, as if that’s news. Of course he sounded like a fool talking about health care and foreign policy. But he’s never sounded even slightly competent in these debates and it hasn’t exactly hurt him. Policy is not his thing, dominance and attitude are and when he said “this guy’s a choke artist and this guy’s a liar” about the two men standing on either side of him he might as well have pounded his chest and let out a roar.
And you have to give the guy  credit for chutzpah, saying after the debate that he might be being audited by the IRS because he’s such a “strong Christian” and pretending to be offended by vulgar language used by former Mexican President Vicente Fox when he complained about Trump’s plan for a wall earlier in the day. He has no shame. And that’s what his fans love about him.
Despite Rubio’s belated feistiness and Cruz’s focused aggression, they weren’t able to rattle Trump enough to make him do something that would change the dynamic, and there’s not much time left to do it. If they have any hope at all of stopping his momentum they will have to carry on a sustained attack after tonight, with new information rolling out to feed the press regularly along with some very effective advertising. It’s hard to imagine them being able to do that in a coherent fashion before it’s too late.
After the debate, the pundits all rolled out the scenarios in which Rubio might still win, but it certainly seems as though it still depends on Trump collapsing, and depending on that thus far has proved to be a big mistake.
But the pundits carry on nonetheless, going on about how Rubio has to win Florida and then something will happen and he’ll start winning. Likewise Cruz must win Texas (which seems more likely than Rubio winning Florida, according to the latest polls) and then … the same thing. Something happens. These media observers even talk as if Kasich could break out if he can just win his own state of Ohio, but nobody seems convinced there’s actually a way to make that happen. Basically, they’re right back where they started, waiting for that inevitable moment when the narcissistic cartoon billionaire finally says or does something that will destroy his campaign. Good luck with that.
Perhaps the only thing truly surprising about the debate was the fact that the moderators asked the same stale questions that have been asked a dozen times before. Obamacare, Immigration, ISIS, Israel, North Korea. The only thing new was a question about the  Supreme Court vacancy in the wake of Justice Scalia’s passing, and nobody bothered to ask them what they thought about the Senate Republicans refusing to consider any Obama nominee.
Once again, not one question about climate change, the greatest challenge we face as a planet. Just once it would be nice to hear these Republicans say out loud why they don’t consider this something the richest, most powerful nation on earth needs to deal with. Just for the record if nothing else. And even though yet another tragic mass shooting was unfolding even as the debate was taking place, the second time in a weekthere was not one question about the carnage taking place in America’s cities and towns. Yes, it’s almost guaranteed they would all just say the problem is that more people aren’t armed, but they should have to answer for this sophistry at times like this, for the sake of the victims of these tragedies if nothing else.
It feels as if there have been 109 debates instead of nine, and the fact that they have finally “winnowed” the field has not improved them. This primary is turning into the political equivalent of the Bataan death march. And it looks as though it’s not ending any time soon even, though Donald Trump now seems like the inevitable winner. The GOP presidential clown car has finally achieved something truly unexpected: It’s gotten boring.

A mockery of a sham by @BloggersRUs

A mockery of a sham
by Tom Sullivan

If you were not too busy planning your move to Cape Breton Island, you might have noticed that Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz finally attempted to attack Donald Trump in last night’s debate, for whatever it was worth. Not much, says Matthew Yglesias, especially for Ted Cruz:

Rubio’s attacks on Trump hardly seemed devastating, but they were well-delivered and at a couple of points genuinely funny and they certainly impressed the entire establishment Republican universe. In short, Rubio further cast the election as a two-man race between a paradoxically establishment-backed underdog and Trump as the outsider frontrunner.

That leaves no real role for Cruz to play, and voters who want to see Cruz in the White House increasingly need to think about whether casting a vote for Cruz amounts to wasting it. If you agree with Cruz that Trump is an inauthentic conservative who can’t be trusted to implement orthodox policies, you should probably vote for Rubio. And if you agree with Cruz that Rubio is a shady establishment pawn who’ll sell the base down the river for a bucket of amnesty, you should probably vote for Trump.

In short, the Republican primary contest has become, as Woody Allen once said, “a travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham.” And not only the GOP’s contest, but the whole shebang. Because finally, the American political system has met its match in Donald Trump, “no ordinary con man,” as Matt Taibbi explains:

The triumvirate of big media, big donors and big political parties has until now successfully excluded every challenge to its authority. But like every aristocracy, it eventually got lazy and profligate, too sure it was loved by the people. It’s now shocked that voters in depressed ex-factory towns won’t keep pulling the lever for “conservative principles,” or that union members bitten a dozen times over by a trade deal won’t just keep voting Democratic on cue.

Trump isn’t the first rich guy to run for office. But he is the first to realize the weakness in the system, which is that the watchdogs in the political media can’t resist a car wreck. The more he insults the press, the more they cover him: He’s pulling 33 times as much coverage on the major networks as his next-closest GOP competitor, and twice as much as Hillary.

Trump found the flaw in the American Death Star. It doesn’t know how to turn the cameras off, even when it’s filming its own demise.

Indeed, media exposure for which networks charge his rivals millions they give away to Trump. It is simply stunning to watch MSNBC repeatedly cut away from its regular programming to cover yet another speech from the blond-tufted silverback. You want to scream at the TV, “Stop feeding it!”

Cape Breton Island sounds kinda nice this morning.

It takes one to know one #DavidDuke

It takes one to know one 


by digby

People recognize members of their own tribe:

Former Ku Klux Klan grand wizard David Duke told his followers Wednesday that voting against Donald Trump in the Republican primary would be an act of “treason,” and said none of the establishment candidates should be supported. 

“Voting for these people [Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio], voting against Donald Trump at this point is really treason to your heritage,” Duke said on his radio program, comments that were spotted by BuzzFeed. “I’m not saying I endorse everything about Trump, in fact I haven’t formally endorsed him. But I do support his candidacy, and I support voting for him as a strategic action. I hope he does everything we hope he will do.”

Duke then pressured his followers to “get off your rear end that’s getting fatter and fatter” and go volunteer for Trump’s presidential campaign. 

The Trump campaign is filled with people who have “the same kind of mindset that you have,” Duke assured his audience. 

“They’re screaming for volunteers,” he said. “Go in there, you’re gonna meet people who are going to have the same kind of mindset that you have.”

When he’s right, he’s right …

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QOTD: Vicente Fox

QOTD: Vicente Fox

by digby

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Former Mexican President Vicente Fox to Donald J. Trump: I’m NOT going to pay for that f****g wall.”
Posted by Jorge Ramos on Thursday, February 25, 2016

Trump responds:

He’s such a smug bastard…

Still with the lanes thing. #Rubioabouttogetclocked

Still with the lanes thing. #Rubioabouttogetclocked

by digby

God, no wonder Republicans aren’t voting for these guys. They’re not just political imbeciles, they’re cowards: Alex Isenstadt reports on the Rubio camp’s preparations for the debate:

The Florida senator has concluded that going after Trump would accomplish little, given that the businessman’s supporters are deeply committed and unlikely to swing Rubio’s way. Inciting a confrontation with Trump onstage would create drama but wouldn’t help the senator gain voters, something he badly needs as he looks for his first primary win. Instead, Rubio’s team has decided his best bet is to focus fire on Cruz….The only way to dislodge Trump, Rubio’s advisers say, is to turn it into a two-man race – meaning that they first need to get Cruz out of the way.

This is the nonsense I was talking about in my Salon piece this morning. They simply refuse to wage the campaign against Trump. They don’t have the guts apparently.

Trump is very, very good at domination. He’s cowed every Republican into going soft on him. It looks like it’s going to be up to the Democrats to fight him on the field on which the campaign is actually being fought.

Oh god.

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What are Trump voters really so angry about?

What are Trump voters really so angry about?


by digby

Greg Sargent makes a good point in a discussion this morning about E.J. Dionne’s column about how Trump has scrambled the ideological deck for the GOP on a number of issues. Greg writes:

Trump is a threat to conservativism because he has shown that a lot of Republican voters don’t believe free markets and limited government offer the keys to their economic salvation.

This is undoubtedly true. You can feel the firmament shifting underneath the Club for Growth types as we speak. But I hope that Democrats see the other side of that coin. These Trump voters are not progressives just because they like what Trump says about kicking Chinese ass and bringing the jobs back home. Their support for his anti-NAFTA position doesn’t mean they have a coherent view of what that entails (or that Trump does either, for that matter.) And they like Big Government just fine when it comes to authoritarian policies designed to put down the minorities — if anyone believes that this is not the central promise of Trump’s campaign and what people like most about him they don’t understand this phenomenon at all.

As Tom Sullivan pointed out in his piece below, a good number of the Trump voters in Nevada say they admire him because he’s a “good businessman.” They love the fact that he’s a billionaire and say they think the government should be run more like a business. That’s not any kind of populism I’ve ever heard of.

Look, it’s a rare person who’s going to respond to a questionnaire by saying they like Trump because they can’t stand the Mexicans, Muslims, blacks and uppity women taking over everything. They won’t say they believe the country is going to hell in a handbasket and they are on the losing end of everything because all those minorities are taking what’s rightfully theirs. But that is what they think and that’s what Trump is giving voice to with his “anti-PC” candidacy. All the rest are just excuses.

These people are not going to vote for the party where all the people of color and “different” religions are so I hope Democrats don’t pin their hopes on peeling them off with  appeals to populist economics. Unless they are willing to start deporting Latinos at the same time it won’t be persuasive.

I’ll repeat the words of our old friend the Democratic strategist Mudcat Saunders who explained it all a long time ago:


“Bubba doesn’t call them illegal immigrants. He calls them illegal aliens. If the Democrats put illegal aliens in their bait can, we’re going to come home with a bunch of white males in the boat.”

That’s what it’s going to take to get that vote. And that would be the dumbest thing they could possibly do. I wrote about this a while back:

Brownstein explains that the notion of making America great again literally refers to a lost paradise where conservative values and culture were dominant:


Today, the two parties rep­res­ent not only dif­fer­ent sec­tions of the coun­try, but also, in ef­fect, dif­fer­ent edi­tions of the coun­try. Along many key meas­ures, the Re­pub­lic­an co­ali­tion mir­rors what all of Amer­ic­an so­ci­ety looked like dec­ades ago. Across those same meas­ures, the Demo­crat­ic co­ali­tion rep­res­ents what Amer­ica might be­come in dec­ades ahead. The parties’ ever-es­cal­at­ing con­flict rep­res­ents not only an ideo­lo­gic­al and par­tis­an stale­mate. It also en­cap­su­lates our col­lect­ive fail­ure to find com­mon cause between what Amer­ica has been, and what it is be­com­ing. 

The two dif­fer­ent Amer­icas em­bod­ied by the parties are out­lined by race.

Of course they are. He points out that in 2012 whites accounted for 90 percent of the GOP primary and general election vote and the last time whites were 90 percent of the country was in 1960. Those were good times for white men, for sure. For everyone else not so much. Today people of color equal just over 37 per­cent of Amer­ic­ans and are on track to be a majority in the next 15 years.

White Christians (whether sincere or not) make up 69 percent of Republicans. There haven’t been that many white Christians in America since 1984, the year they ran the table with 49 states and which Karl Rove pointed out they have to repeat if they fail to attract anything but white voters. They represent just 46 percent of the population these days.

They’d also like to go back to the 90s. Brownstein writes:

Sim­il­arly, data from Pew’s re­li­gious-land­scape study shows that nearly three-fifths of Re­pub­lic­ans are mar­ried—a level last reached in the over­all adult pop­u­la­tion in 1994. Today just un­der half of Amer­ic­an adults are mar­ried. Among Demo­crats, the num­ber is lower still: barely over two-in-five. Like­wise, the share of Re­pub­lic­ans who live in a house­hold with a gun (54 per­cent) equals the share in so­ci­ety over­all in 1993. Since then, gun own­er­ship among the gen­er­al pop­u­la­tion has dropped to about 40 per­cent, while fall­ing even lower (around one-fourth) among Demo­crats.

That gun statistic is surprising. But it explains why it has become such a totem of right wing conservatism. In fact, all these issues are symbols of a white America that no longer exists — at least to the white people who feel threatened by the fact that their culture is changing.

Brownstein’s statistics boil down to this:

As I’ve writ­ten, Re­pub­lic­ans rep­res­ent a co­ali­tion of res­tor­a­tion centered on the groups most un­settled by the changes (primar­ily older, non­col­lege, rur­al, and re­li­giously de­vout whites). Demo­crats mo­bil­ize a co­ali­tion of trans­form­a­tion that re­volves around the heav­ily urb­an­ized groups (mil­len­ni­als, people of col­or, and col­lege-edu­cated, single, and sec­u­lar whites, es­pe­cially wo­men) most com­fort­able with these trends.

That’s what the Trump phenomenon represents — a primal scream of loss. Yes, it’s economic. The whole middle class in America feels the squeeze and the poor are as screwed as they ever were. But for these people, the Trump people, it’s cultural more than anything else. They feel they have lost their social status And even if they become more economically secure, the way think they were back in the 1950s, they will never get that back. On some level they know this. And that’s what they’re angry about.

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