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Month: April 2020

The fourth horseman joins the fray

He’s doing it:

Attorney General Bill Barr directed all 93 U.S. attorneys on Monday to “be on the lookout for state and local directives” that curtail individual rights in the name of containing the novel coronavirus. 

“Many policies that would be unthinkable in regular times have become commonplace in recent weeks,” Barr wrote in a two-page memo, “and we do not want to unduly interfere with the important efforts of state and local officials to protect the public. But the Constitution is not suspended in times of crisis.”

President Trump has put the onus on governors to decide when to ease stay-at-home orders and reopen their states. While somewhat erratic and contradictory vis-a-vis Georgia’s policy to start reopening last week, Trump has made increasingly clear in public and private – including a conference call on Monday – that he wants the nation’s governors to open sooner than later.

This new declaration by the nation’s chief law enforcement officer, who has heavily politicized the Justice Department during his tenure, should be read as a warning to governors and mayors that they may face challenges in federal court if they don’t move quick enough to relax restrictions.

It also foreshadows how litigious the reopening of the country could become, as individuals bring lawsuits against states – with possible assistance and support from the federal government. Judges in Illinois and Virginia issued rulings on Monday, for example, that undermined the orders by governors in those states.

Barr announced that his point men on “this important initiative” will be Matt Schneider, the Detroit-based U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan, andEric Dreiband, the assistant attorney general who is best known for service as one of Ken Starr’s lieutenants during the investigation of President Bill Clinton. This seems notable because Trump has specifically decried restrictions imposed on residents by Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D), who has been mentioned as a possible running mate for presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden and leads a top battleground state in the presidential election. “LIBERTATE MICHIGAN!”, Trump tweeted on April 17.

Barr is the fourth horseman of the apocalypse (Trump, McConnell, Murdoch are the other three.) As bad as he’s been at killing the concept of constitutional democracy, it wasn’t enough. Now he’s in the killing people business.

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“Infodemic”

bullshit n. language, statistical figures, data, graphics and other forms of presentation that are intended to persuade by impressing and overwhelming a reader or listener with a blatant disregard for truth or logical coherence

The definition above comes from Carl Bergstrom, professor of biology at the University of Washington. In an interview with The Guardian, Bergstrom discusses his interest in infectious diseases and networked information. The novel coronavirus pandemic has unleashed an “infodemic” of hoaxes and conspiracy theories surrounding the virus’ behavior and treatments.

Bergstrom says of his definition, “The idea with bullshit is that it’s trying to appear authoritative and definitive in a way that’s not about communicating accurately and informing a reader, but rather by overwhelming them, persuading them, impressing them. If that’s done without any allegiance to truth, or accuracy, that becomes bullshit.”

Statistics become ripe for exploitation because so few among the general public feel qualified to question misinformation presented as data. Where COVID-19 presents a unique problem is we are not accustomed to data being as politicized as it has in the pandemic.

Bad actors take good information and twist it for their own ends. Plus, in presenting scientific data researchers typically don’t spend half a page discussing the limitations of their models, Bergstrom says:

We’re used to writing for an audience of 50 people in the world, if we’re lucky, who have backgrounds that are very similar to our own and have a huge set of shared assumptions and shared knowledge. And it works really well when you’re writing on something that only 50 people in the world care about and all of them have comparable training, but it is a real mess when it becomes pressing, and I don’t think any of us have figured out exactly what to do about that because we’re also trying to work quickly and it’s important to get this information out.

Bergstrom worries that some studies are performed “with an implicitly political context, depending on who the funders are or what the orientations and biases of some of the researchers.” Then there are the problems of selection bias. He cites the Santa Clara antibody (serology) study in which the method of recruiting test subjects may have skewed results. Plus the error rate in sampling can render results erroneous. He cites Santa Clara again:

If you have a test that has a 3% error rate, and the incidence in the population is below 3%, then most of the positives that you get are going to be false positives. And so you’re not going to get a very tight estimate about how many people have it. This has been a real problem with the Santa Clara study. From my read of the paper, their data is actually consistent with nobody being infected. A New York City study on the other hand showed 21% seropositive, so even if there has a 3% error rate, the majority of those positives have to be true positives.

It’s important to realize how scientific models released during the pandemic change people’s behavior, and those changes feed back into and alter subsequent results. Our models “often don’t treat that part explicitly,” Bergstrom cautions.

One source of confusion that continues to irritate me (and that the press has yet to clarify) is what people mean by tests. The Trump administration, governors, and the press use the same word to mean many different things.

Donald Trump recently called out Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) for complaining he didn’t have enough tests. But look here, Trump said, showing off a map of Maryland. Look at all these testing facilities and all the machine that are underutilized. There is excess testing capacity across the country, the administration claims.

Meanwhile, governors complain they lack sufficient individual testing kits and sampling supplies needed to send in samples for analysis in the quantities needed to rein in the contagion. Each suggests the other is talking bullshit when they are in fact talking past each other.

Plus, there are diagnostic tests that use nasal swabs to check for active COVID-19 infections. There are serology tests that use blood samples to check for antibodies left behind in patients who have recovered. But the administration, the states, and the press are doing a lousy job of clarifying where we stand by using the word tests for everything from kits to labs to machines to supplies to different types of testing. Nothing is clear because nothing is clear. And some of it is simply bullshit.

Bergstrom co-wrote “Calling Bullshit” to be released this summer. We need to relearn how to question information presented to us. The blurb from Penguin Random House explains, “Startup culture elevates bullshit to high art. We are fairly well equipped to spot the sort of old-school bullshit that is based in fancy rhetoric and weasel words, but most of us don’t feel qualified to challenge the avalanche of new-school bullshit presented in the language of math, science, or statistics.”

This environment is fertile ground for conspiracy theories. What conspiracy theorists lack in quality they make up for in quantity. Debunk the top item in their tall stacks of “evidence” and it’s quickly discarded. But what about this? they ask. Debunk that and they move on to the next. Lather, rinse, repeat. We are to be impressed with the sheer volume of bad or misinterpreted data. No amount of debunking with counter-evidence will dent belief. They see smoke, so there must be a fire. In fact, they are the ones flinging smoke bombs.

Correction: Misidentified Hogan as a Dem. [h/t TE]

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For The Win, 3rd Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide GOTV mechanics guide at ForTheWin.us. This is what winning looks like.
Note: The pandemic will upend standard field tactics in 2020. If enough promising “improvisations” come my way by June, perhaps I can issue a COVID-19 supplement.

Who makes the life or death supply decisions for your state? @spockosbrain

I read a letter yesterday that made my face go numb. Congress doesn’t know where critical pandemic supplies are going, what the criteria are for sending them, what gets sent to which states and who makes the final life or death decision about the supplies.

Today, April 27th, the House Energy & Commerce Committee‘s Health, Oversight and Investigation subcommittee chairs expects a detailed accounting from HHS and FEMA of the critical supplies the federal government is obtaining and distributing.
Name of sub and blow up subcommittee.
These questions are from a letter sent by the House Energy & Commerce Health, Oversight and Investigation subcommittee on April 20th 2020 to Alex Azar of HHS and Peter Gaynor of FEMA.

These two questions made the tips of my ear go numb.

  • Who are the members of the Supply Chain Stabilization Task Force? 
  • Who makes the final decision on where and how many supplies to distribute to a particular area or state?

HHS and FEMA need to deliver the following information by Monday, April 27th.

No later than April 27, 2020 provide daily reports to the House Energy & Commerce Health, Oversight and Investigation subcommittee the following information:
The total number of the following supplies that the federal government has provided directly (including from the SNS) or directed distribution through other means (including through Project Airbridge) to each state, territory, and tribe to date, for each type of supply:
i. Ventilators
ii. N95 respirators
iii. Surgical masks
iv. Face shields
v. Gloves
vi. Gowns
vii. Federal medical station beds

(Full letter in PDF form here )

The whole letter is mind blowing. They might know and want all of it in writing so they can nail them for breaking laws and rules. Or they DON’T know because the White House makes stuff up on the fly. They put Jared and unknown cronies in charge to compete with HHS and FEMA official groups. Whatever the reason, we can’t wait to know what’s happening with supplies and their allocation.

Trump rattles off big general numbers at his Press Rallies. This hides the detailed information that could prove that states he likes are taking priority over states with a greater need. The lack of details also hides what happened to supplies seized in one state. Which state was it sent to? Who decided? Why were supplies meant for the VA  send to “our” National Stockpile. 

The public needs to know this information so we can fix this right now.  We need to use media, political, legal, financial and emotional leverage to make changes.

We need to know what the guidelines are before we can say HHS and FEMA are ignoring them. If life and death decisions are being made based on childish vendettas, political calculations and/or profit motives I want that to stop right now.

Congress investigates to get proof, which is important, but my cynical human side has seen how Trump has evaded responsibility and asks, “So what? They proved it. Now what? How do we stop them and make changes before more people die?

First make the usual steps: Call your congress people.
The House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation is chaired by Diana DeGette (D) Colorado. @RepDianaDeGette 

 The House Subcommittee on Health, is chaired by Anna G. Eshoo (D) CA @RepAnnaEshoo.

Next check to see if people from your state are on these committees.

Maybe a congressperson from your Red state is on the health committee.  If you live in Atlanta you can tweet to Earl L. “Buddy” Carter from Georgia @RepBuddyCarter Tweet to him and ask if his committee is being ignored by HHS and FEMA. 

This strategy is important because of the need to push from multiple directions.

We need to let people in states that are being deprived of supplies know about it so their Republican leaders from that state can make calls to Trump (since he ignores Democrats).

Widen the outrage pool. Get this info to Fox watchers

Imagine  Ainsley Earhardt of Fox and Friends hearing about her friends being punished for living in a state with a Democrat governor. How could she say something that wouldn’t upset Donald and encouraged more supplies for all no matter the party of the Governor? I think it could go like this:

“My friend Lindsey (who owns four of the sandwich chain Chicken Salad Chick) is really looking forward to opening up her stores in Florida but is upset that several states that have stores can’t open up because they don’t have the supplies they need because they happen to live in a state with a Democrat governor.  The sooner every state gets supplies the sooner they can all open up!”

I know that hip urban types like Sam Seder and almost vegans like David Feldman don’t care about Chicken Salad Sandwich stores but many people do. And since Fox and Friends is the most powerful show on TV right now, it’s one way to get a message through.

Ainsley Earhardt of Fox and Friends with her friends Lindsey and Cindy at the grand opening of Lindsey’s Chicken Salad Chick store in Florida.

Without public guidelines the White House, HHS and FEMA can take actions that can be explained away later. (“It was a miscommunication…  What we meant to do was.. We never technically ignored  them.”

We need to see emails and all communications including phone and video calls so we can find out if people were following directives from Jared or a secret members of the Supply Chain Task Force.

We know people take actions based on what they assume Trump wants.  (“Florida is critical to the President’s 2020 re-election. Send them twice what they want.” ) Trump doesn’t have to order people to act on their own initiative, which allows Trump to deny he is responsible. But in the absence of public guidelines and transparency we won’t know what is going where and why.

We know how the Trump White House works. They will hide, stall and get Barr to weasel word the law to cover for Trump. Individuals will lawyer up and hide. But the people who can be pressured with this don’t have to be at the very top like Trump. Pressure needs to start three steps below him first. Those people have lots of communications that are incriminating. And they aren’t happy being patsies for mass death.

The good news about incriminating emails is that my new favorite group, American Oversight, is on the case!  @weareoversight.  They have filed multiple FOIA requests for emails related to coronavirus testing.

They are also looking into what Jared is doing! They have filed FOIA requests with the DoD and DHS seeking emails with or about private individuals employed by firms enlisted in the coronavirus response by Jared Kushner.

If we can prove people are making corrupt deals there can be changes right now. We know that Trump will throw everyone under the bus before he is touched. There should be consequences for them later but hopefully we can get some information out of them before their bus arrives.

Jump under Bus spocko

“COVID-19 determined to strike in the United States”

They did their best. Like the previous GOP miscreant, he ignored them:

U.S. intelligence agencies issued warnings about the novel coronavirus in more than a dozen classified briefings prepared for President Trump in January and February, months during which he continued to play down the threat, according to current and former U.S. officials.

The repeated warnings were conveyed in issues of the President’s Daily Brief, a sensitive report that is produced before dawn each day and designed to call the president’s attention to the most significant global developments and security threats.

For weeks, the PDB — as the report is known — traced the virus’s spread around the globe, made clear that China was suppressing information about the contagion’s transmissibility and lethal toll, and raised the prospect of dire political and economic consequences.

But the alarms appear to have failed to register with the president, who routinely skips reading the PDB and has at times shown little patience even for the oral summary he now takes two or three times per week, according to the officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss classified material.

The advisories being relayed by U.S. spy agencies were part of a broader collection of worrisome signals that came during a period now regarded by many public health officials and other experts as a squandered opportunity to contain the outbreak.

As of Monday, more than 55,000 people in the United States had died of covid-19.

The frequency with which the coronavirus was mentioned in the PDB has not been previously reported, and U.S. officials said it reflected a level of attention comparable to periods when analysts have been tracking active terrorism threats, overseas conflicts or other rapidly developing security issues

*Hey, they covered their ass, amirite?

*In case you forgot, that’s what George W. Bush told his briefer when he said that bin Laden was determined to strike inside the United States.

At today’s rally he said something strange and I’m not sure I understand what he meant. But he’s talking about himself …

The Trump Show

Bragging, whining, blaming. That’s all he does:

At his White House news briefing on the coronavirus on March 19, President Trump offered high praise for the commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, Stephen Hahn. “He’s worked, like, probably as hard or harder than anybody,” Mr. Trump said. Then he corrected himself: “Other than maybe Mike Pence — or me.”

On March 27, Mr. Trump boasted about marshaling federal resources to fight the virus, ignoring his early failures and smearing previous administrations. “Nobody has done anything like we’ve been able to do,” he claimed. “And everything I took over was a mess. It was a broken country in so many ways. In so many ways.”

And on April 13, Mr. Trump insisted that governors were so satisfied with his performance they hadn’t asked for anything on a recent conference call. “There wasn’t even a statement of like, ‘We think you should do this or that,’” he said. “I heard it was, like, just a perfect phone call.”

The self-regard, the credit-taking, the audacious rewriting of recent history to cast himself as the hero of the pandemic rather than the president who was slow to respond: Such have been the defining features of Mr. Trump’s use of the bully pulpit during the coronavirus outbreak.

The New York Times analyzed every word Mr. Trump spoke at his White House briefings and other presidential remarks on the virus — more than 260,000 words — from March 9, when the outbreak began leading to widespread disruptions in daily life, through mid-April. The transcripts show striking patterns and repetitions in the messages he has conveyed, revealing a display of presidential hubris and self-pity unlike anything historians say they have seen before.

By far the most recurring utterances from Mr. Trump in the briefings are self-congratulations, roughly 600 of them, which are often predicated on exaggerations and falsehoods. He does credit others (more than 360 times) for their work, but he also blames others (more than 110 times) for inadequacies in the state and federal response.

Mr. Trump’s attempts to display empathy or appeal to national unity (about 160 instances) amount to only a quarter of the number of times he complimented himself or a top member of his team.

Here’s the Washington Post with a different angle:

Trump has spoken for more than 28 hours in the 35 briefings held since March 16, eating up 60 percent of the time that officials spoke, according to a Washington Post analysis of annotated transcripts from Factba.se, a data analytics company.How Trump’s ego gets in the way of his coronavirus response .

Over the past three weeks, the tally comes to more than 13 hours of Trump — including two hours spent on attacks and 45 minutes praising himself and his administration, but just 4½ minutes expressing condolences for coronavirus victims. He spent twice as much time promoting an unproven antimalarial drug that was the object of a Food and Drug Administration warning Friday. Trump also said something false or misleading in nearly a quarter of his prepared comments or answers to questions, the analysis shows.

Let’s be clear. He’s always like this. There have been a dozen books published about this. Those of us who follow this freakshow on a daily basis see it with our own eyes. The difference now is that tens of millions of people are at home seeing him now when they are usually busy with their lives and don’t have time. Now this ignorant, pathological liar is on full display and people can see that we aren’t being hysterical when we report it.

Trump’s lack of empathy hits a big part of his base where it lives

Steve M at NMMNG notes that Trump and his henchmen have decided to pivot to the economy, which is certainly better than his “medical” intervention but comes with a big risk:

We all know that Trump’s poll numbers have been slipping, and he was not impressing voters even before Disinfectantgate. But why this, when polls continue to show that voters are more afraid of the coronavirus’s health effects than they are of the virus’s economic impact?

I know that having meet-and-greets with CEOs is easy, while overseeing a nationwide crash program to increase testing and tracking would be hard. I know that Trump would rather project a positive image than perform a difficult task.

But I keep thinking about the big blue number in the lower right-hand corner of this chart:

In polls, Joe Biden is running 15 points better against Trump than Hillary Clinton did among voters 65 and older. Why would that be?

I’m 61. I’m in good health — but I have no idea what would happen to me if I contracted the virus. Maybe Donald Trump assumes he’ll never die, but I don’t. Until now, I assumed it wouldn’t happen for a while. I don’t know if that’s a reasonable assumption anymore.

Of course older people are worried. But Trump, the Power of Positive Thinking guy, doesn’t want people to worry. He wants them to go back to work and shopping, because that’s what his rich donors want. He wants a roaring economy again, because it never occurs to him that presidents can get reelected in tough times, if they’re seen as doing all they can to minimize the pain. Instead, Trump is telling Americans — especially the worried elderly — to ignore the pain. Ignore the danger. Ignore their own completely understandable fear of death.

He’s not only losing old people. According to this USA Today poll, he’s losing Independents and …. men.

More than nine of 10 Republicans say they will vote for him. But among independents, his standing has plummeted by 18 percentage points since the poll taken in December, to 27% from 45%. 

Trump also has lost support by double-digits among men, a group that has been part of his political base. While men still back Trump over Biden 46%-35%, that’s a narrower advantage than in December, when it was 56%-30%. Women now support Biden 53%-30%.

Maybe the latter can be happy-talked into going back into his corner over the economy. But he’s going to need to do some world champion spinning to make that happen. Blaming blue states and lying isn’t going to convince anyone.

The older people can’t be convinced that everything’s fine when they are witnessing people their own age dying in huge numbers from this thing and living in fear that they will get it. Chit chat about GDP, oil prices and restaurants opening in Georgia aren’t going to cut it.

Trump the workaholic

Trying to do some damage control, the White House puts out this sad story…

President Trump’s schedule is so packed amid the coronavirus crisis that he sometimes skips lunch, his aides told The Post — refuting a report that the commander-in-chief spends his days obsessing over TV coverage and eating fries.

White House staffers said the president works around the clock and can make five dozen work-related calls a day during the pandemic.

“I can tell you that the biggest concern I have as a new chief of staff is making sure he gets some time to get a quick bite to eat,” White House chief of staff Mark Meadows told The Post.

He said Trump recently called him at 3:19 a.m. He wasn’t expecting the call and was asleep when the phone rang.

“I can tell you that he will go back in and have a lunch just off the Oval Office and more times than not it is interrupted by several phone calls,” Meadows said. “If he gets more than 10 minutes of time in a given day, I haven’t seen in the five weeks I’ve been here.”

A different White House official said Trump some days doesn’t eat lunch.

“There are times when lunch isn’t even a thought,” the official said. “A lot of time there’s either no time for lunch or there is 10 minutes for lunch.”

An account in the New York Times that claimed Trump lingers in his bedroom as late as noon infuriated the president, who tweeted Sunday, “I will often be in the Oval Office late into the night & read & see that I am angrily eating a hamburger & Diet Coke in my bedroom.”

“I work from early in the morning until late at night,” the president tweeted.

Another White House official provided The Post with data on recent presidential phone calls, which they said attest to his packed schedule.

Damnit. If they keep this pathetic stuff up I’m going to end up feeling sorry for Trump.

On second thought … nah. But it is pathetic. We’ve always known that he spends vast amounts of time on the phone kibitzing, mostly to self-soothe and waste time. He mostly calls people who will make him feel better and tell him what to do because he’s clueless.

And it’s clear that Trump is not skipping lunch. If anything he’s obviously a stress eater. I’m not condemning him for it. A lot of us are. In fact, it may be the only thing I have in common with him. But let’s not kid ourselves that he’s missing any meals.

America the incompetent nation

Since the day after Donald J. Trump as elected in 2016, I’ve been fretting about the effect of his obvious unfitness and incompetence for the “world order” as we have known it. I’ve made clear that I don’t believe there’s any reason why the U.S. should be the perpetual guarantor of security for half the world, nor is it forever obligated to provide some kind of Pax Americana. That was a consequence of America’s unique position after World War II, having had the good fortune to escape the destruction of our homeland, which left us in the position of the last country standing. To our credit (and for our own profit) we did handle the aftermath of that war more competently than the world handled the aftermath of World War I.

But it has been clear to me from the moment Donald Trump came down that elevator that if he won, the world order as we knew it, which was already unstable, was going to be turned upside down with no coherent plan to replace it. His one simple understanding of the world was that he, and the United States, have been treated unfairly. Of course, nothing could be further from the truth. America and Donald Trump had it all.

Throughout the Cold War and the red-baiting and the military adventurism and the overweening self-regard that we assumed was our right as the Leader of the Free World, we managed to do a lot of things wrong and the price for that has been high. This is true even though, as Salon’s Andrew O’Hehir wrote in this searing account of America’s precipitous decline as revealed by the coronavirus, the American people hardly noticed:

We have an ingrained national tendency to behave as if the rest of the world simply doesn’t exist — or, on a slightly more sophisticated level, as if it were just a colorful backdrop for our vastly more important national dramas.

O’Hehir rightly observes that empires inevitably collapse, but America’s almost childlike inability to admit it even is an empire, even as it crumbles, may be unique in human history.

Still, for all its myopic arrogance, the one thing America clearly did right — and was justifiably proud of — was to create a technologically advanced society that was the envy of the world. For all our faults, Americans knew how to do things. We could get the job done.

Now the country that sent men to the moon and brought them home again, all the way back in the 1960s, is a fumbling mess, unable to manage the simple logistics of getting supplies from one place to another or coordinating a national set of guidelines in a public health crisis. The vaunted CDC, long thought of as the greatest scientific disease research facility in the world, fumbled in making a test that had already been produced in other countries.

Donald Trump is a completely incompetent leader — we know this. Literally any other president would have done a better job. He couldn’t accept that the crisis was real and that his “plan” to spend the year holding fun rallies and smearing his Democratic rival was going to be interrupted by his duties as president. So he lived in denial until the situation was completely out of hand. Other leaders would have listened to experts and pulled together a team that knew how to organize a national response. And no other president would be so witless as to waste precious time and resources with magical thinking about quick miracle cures.

But it’s not just him, is it? The U.S. government seems to have lost its capacity to act, and the private sector is so invested in short-term profit-making that it’s lost its innovative edge. The result is that the United States of America, formerly the world’s leader in science and technology, now only leads the world in gruesome statistics and body counts.

It’s still unclear exactly why the CDC felt it had to make its own test when another test, created by a German lab, was already available. According to those in the know, Americans just don’t use tests from other countries, ostensibly because our “standards” are so high. Apparently, they aren’t. In this case, the test we created was faulty, causing weeks of delay, and there was some kind of contamination in the lab. How can this be?

The government’s inefficiency and ineptitude in producing, locating and distributing needed medical supplies, combined with Trumpian corrupt patronage toward his favored states, is staggering. Stories of FEMA commandeering shipments of gear that were already paid for by states, and governors having to bid against each other for supplies because the federal government refused to use its power to take control in a global emergency, are simply astonishing. The country that planned the D-Day invasion is incapable of coordinating the delivery of medical supplies to New York City?

Apparently so. And the world is watching. The New York Times’ Michelle Goldberg wrote:

“If you look at why America rose so much after 1945, it was because America attracted the best scientists in the world,” Klaus Scharioth, Germany’s ambassador to America from 2006 to 2011, told me. “America attracted expertise. You had the feeling that all governments, be they Republicans or Democrats, they cherished expertise.” Like many Americanophiles abroad, Scharioth has watched our country’s devolution with great sadness: “I would not have imagined that in my lifetime I would see that.”

Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas, a rising Republican leader, evidently wants to ensure that American never attracts any expertise again:

If Chinese students want to come here and study Shakespeare and the Federalist Papers, that’s what they need to learn from America. They don’t need to learn quantum computing. It is a scandal to me that we have trained so many of the Chinese Communist Party’s brightest minds.

The rest of the world is moving on without us. This week 20 global leaders held a conference call pledging to “accelerate cooperation on a coronavirus vaccine and to share research, treatment and medicines across the globe.” No one from the United States was among them.

Why bother? No U.S. pledge of any kind is worth the paper it’s printed on and in any case, the U.S. is clearly unwilling to work cooperatively with the rest of the world anymore, even in a global catastrophe.

I think this says it all:

This pandemic is the first real global threat of the 21st century. It won’t be the last. These are the kinds of great, unprecedented challenges we are going to face going forward. Not only is the U.S. not leading the response, it’s barely participating in it.

The election of Donald Trump was about more than just this presidency. It signaled that America was no longer capable of competently governing itself, much less leading the world. Our devastatingly disorganized, scattershot response to the COVID-19 crisis has revealed that this problem goes much deeper than our politics. We couldn’t have lost our ability to do anything right at a worse time.

My Salon column republished with permission.

A wartime president

Civil war, that is:

During times of war and strife, national leaders often aim to unite a broken country and, in the process, broaden their appeal beyond their most loyal supporters. Not President Donald Trump.

Confronting a pandemic that has upended his presidency and threatened his reelection prospects, Trump has focused almost exclusively on tending to his base.

While the coronavirus has claimed the lives of more than 54,000 Americans, eliminated more than 20 million jobs and dashed the routines of daily life for nearly everyone, Trump has leveled attacks on Democrats. He’s blamed former President Barack Obama’s team for his own administration’s failures, picked fights with reporters and thrown rhetorical bombs meant to thrill his hardcore supporters.

During a particularly rough stretch last week, Trump pledged to bar foreigners from entering the country. The executive order Trump ultimately signed was less severe than he suggested, but it still gave him a chance to highlight action on an issue that’s central to his political brand.

Four years after Trump captured the White House by perfectly threading narrow victories in critical battleground states, he is betting that a relentless focus on his base will yield a repeat performance. It’s a risky strategy because Trump’s standing in some of those states shows signs of weakening. And there’s little evidence to suggest he has significantly broadened his appeal in other places to offset those vulnerabilities.

The pandemic hasn’t changed that.

“It drives me crazy, frankly, because part of being the president is to rise above, to ignore certain things,” said Ari Fleischer, who served as White House press secretary under President George W. Bush, whose lukewarm approval ratings soared after his handling of the Sept. 11 attacks. “And I think at a time like this he should leave a lot of the gauntlets on the ground and rise above. But that’s not him.”

Fleischer said that, while the virus puts limits on the president’s ability to travel and the political environment is far more polarized today than it was in the early 2000s, Trump’s White House could be appealing to the country as a whole with events honoring doctors, nurses and front-line workers that “send helpful, meaningful signals that we are one nation and we can play a meaningful part.”

Other modern presidents have looked to transcend partisan boundaries at a time of crisis or tragedy, including Bill Clinton in the aftermath of the Oklahoma City bombing, Ronald Reagan after the Challenger space shuttle explosion and Lyndon Johnson after John F. Kennedy’s assassination.

“I’m surprised the administration isn’t doing this as well,” Fleischer said.

Bless his heart.

Other Republicans, however, believe Trump is playing it right. Stephen Bannon, the president’s former chief strategist, believes 2020 is a “base election” year and thinks Trump can broaden his support because of a “new nationalism” born in the wake of a pandemic that began in China. He predicted Americans would rally around their president during a period of crisis.

“Trump is a wartime president,” Bannon said.

He’s right. Trump is a war time president But the war isn’t with China. It’s with the Blue states.

The idea that he would play this game in the middle of a global crisis is awful enough. Here’s a nice example from this morning:

But let’s not fool ourselves into thinking that he’s deploying some kind of strategy. He doesn’t do strategy. He just doesn’t know how to do anything but praise himself and blame his enemies. The fact that his cult inexplicably likes this spoiled, immature personality trait doesn’t make it strategic. He just does what he does.