I sense some building hysteria about breakthrough infections of the Delta variant and felt the need to read up on the latest threat. Cases are going up as are hospitalizations and deaths, although the latter are far less overwhelming than they have been in the past. And the worst is happening to the unvaccinated. Of course.
Still there are breakthrough cases and it’s always good to be informed about what they know so far:
As Covid-19 case numbers overall are on the rise again across the United States, breakthrough infections, while rare, are making headlines...The good news is that the number of breakthrough infections can be reduced, but it will take a much bigger community effort to protect people from getting Covid-19.
A breakthrough infection by definition
Someone with a breakthrough infection has tested positive for the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 at least 14 days after they have been fully vaccinated according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Enter your email to subscribe to the Results Are In Newsletter with Dr. Sanjay Gupta.close dialog
For the Pfizer and Moderna vaccine full vaccination is after two doses. For the Johnson & Johnson vaccine it’s a single dose.Breakthrough infections can cause disease with symptoms, and some people can have no symptoms at all. Research has shown that if people become infected after vaccination, typically they get a milder case.
No vaccine is perfect
Covid-19 vaccines are highly protective against lab confirmed infection and seem to provide protection against the variants; however, a tiny fraction still become infected, just like they can with any other vaccine.”There is no such thing as a vaccine that’s 100% effective,” said Dr. Amy Edwards, the associate medical director of Pediatric Infection Control at UH Rainbow Babies and Children’s Hospital in Cleveland.
With other diseases like mumps or rubella, breakthrough infections are highly rare, Edwards said, because so many people have been vaccinated against those diseases, and mumps and rubella are in low circulation.”The chance that a person who happened to be a nonresponder to the vaccine would come in contact with those diseases is very low,” said Edwards. “The reason why we are seeing more breakthrough infections with Covid is because there are so many unvaccinated people.”Another example is the flu vaccine, which reduces the risk of getting sick between 40-60%, studies show. The Covid-19 vaccines are much more protective — as much as 95% effective at preventing severe illness, hospitalization and deaths.
Breakthrough infections by the numbers
We don’t know how many mild or asymtomatic breakthrough Covid-19 infections there are in the US. The CDC stopped counting in May.The CDC still counts hospitalizations and deaths from breakthrough infections. The agency said it made this transition to “help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance.”As of July 12, there have been 5,492 patients with Covid-19 vaccine breakthrough infections who have been hospitalized or died, according to the CDC. This is a small number among the more than 159 million people that have been fully vaccinated against Covid-19.
CDC study finds coronavirus vaccines lead to milder disease in rare breakthrough infections
It’s hard to draw any specific conclusions about the rate of infection from these numbers, but they are likely an undercount, according to the CDC. Surveillance data relies on voluntary reporting, and not all reporting is complete or even representative of total infections.What scientists do know is that 99.5% of deaths from Covid-19 in the US right now are among people who are not vaccinated, US Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy told CNN’s Dana Bash Sunday.The CDC is monitoring breakthrough infections to identify which people are most likely to have breakthrough infections. The CDC said there are no unusual patterns so far.
Who may be more vulnerable to breakthrough infections
It’s not totally clear yet. A study of breakthrough infections that caused hospitalization in Israel though found that 6% of the 152 people it studied had no underlying health conditions.On Friday, the CDC warned that vaccines may not protect people who are immunocompromised.People with weakened immune systems are those who have had an organ transplant, are receiving chemotherapy for cancer, are on dialysis or are taking certain medicine that suppresses the immune system.
Generally, older people may be more vulnerable to a breakthrough infection, since studies show the immune system declines with age. A preprint, non-peer reviewed, study in England found that older adults were at greater risk of a breakthrough infection. Those Covid-19 cases were typically much milder than they were in the unvaccinated.
People who live in parts of the country with low vaccination rates may also have a greater likelihood of a breakthrough infection since they would be encountering more people with the disease.
So, what can we do? They simply say:
“If we want breakthrough cases to stop, then we need to have everybody else get vaccinated, so there’s no virus in circulation and then it won’t matter anymore,” Edwards said.Nationally, less than 50% of the US has been fully vaccinated against Covid-19, according to the CDC. If more people are vaccinated, the coronavirus has fewer people it can infect. It also limits the number of new variants that can develop. More variants in circulation increase the likelihood that the coronavirus can evade the protection of the vaccines.
“When asked if people who are vaccinated should be doing anything different than they normally would on Sunday, Murthy told CNN that even with a breakthrough infection “which, again, happens in a very small minority of people — it’s likely to be a mild or asymptomatic infection.” He did say he would wear a mask indoors out of an abundance of caution if he is in an area with a large number of unvaccinated people.
Meanwhile, I think everyone should who is vaccinated and otherwise pretty healthy can stay calm. The likelihood of us getting really sick is very low:
“Again, even if the vaccine isn’t offering full protection it is offering a lot of protection,” Edwards said. “Even when they do not work as well in patients who are immunocompromised, they do provide some protection. That’s why it’s up to the rest of us to get vaccinated because we want to protect those people, the fragile and the elderly, and everyone else.””So please, I cannot say this enough,” Edwards said “Get vaccinated.”
Sadly, it appears that our country is full of superstitious, gullible, uninformed or stubbornly, stupidly right wing so we are going to have to go through more surges. The fact that it is happening in a country that has plenty of free vaccines that would knock this thingpretty much out if they’d just get vaccinated makes this even more tragic than it already was.