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Month: July 2021

Suddenly, it’s “Get vaccinated!”

They thought they could play with matches and not get burned.

They thought if anyone did get hurt it would be the people they talk down to: their voters and viewers.

What was it? Private polling? Spiking Delta infection rates? Donor skittishness? What leaked census data might mean for the GOP’s 2022 vote margins? All of the above?

Whatever it was, a few Republicans and Fox News hosts as well as Newsmax have begun an abrupt about-face on the Covid vaccine. What started Monday morning with “Fox & Friends” host Steve Doocy urging viewers to get vaccinated (while Brian Kilmeade urged them to risk death, if that’s their choice) accelerated Monday night when Sean Hannity made a similar plea in prime time.

“Just like we’ve been saying, please take Covid seriously,” Hannity told viewers.

David Graham at The Atlantic observed, “‘Just like we’ve been saying’ is doing a lot of work.” Hannity and network have been vaccine skeptics at least since Joe Biden took office. The change of heart echoes the flip-flop Fox did on recognizing the pandemic in March 2020,

Newsmax CEO Chris Ruddy Tuesday morning published an op-ed applauding President Biden for doing a “good thing” in “embracing the Trump-backed vaccine.”

Yahoo News:

With conservative media currently under fire for pushing vaccine hesitancy amid a surge of coronavirus cases and hospitalizations among the unvaccinated, Ruddy—who claims to be a close friend of Donald Trump’s—explicitly declared that he and his conservative network are pro-vaccine.

“Six months into his administration, President Joe Biden should be applauded for making a huge dent in the COVID pandemic,” he wrote. “He inherited an effective vaccine from President Donald Trump, took it into his arms, and ran with it.”

By Tuesday evening, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was on message, too. Himself a polio survivor, McConnell urged “in the strongest possible manner” that “these shots need to get in everybody’s arm as rapidly as possible” or the country faces another fall like last year’s.

Rep. Steve Scalise (R) of Louisiana told reporters in April and again in May that he had not been vaccinated. “Soon,” he said. On Sunday, he received his first dose of the Pfizer vaccine. The aggressiveness of the Delta variant made him reconsider.

“When you talk to people who run hospitals, in New Orleans or other states, 90% of people in hospital with delta variant have not been vaccinated. That’s another signal the vaccine works,” Scalise said. Politics had nothing to do with it.

What’s going on here? While the virus first hit blue states hard last year, suddenly it is the unvaccinated in red states being hit hardest. In Florida, Mississippi and Arkansas. In Missouri and Alabama. Maybe that’s it. Perhaps it dawned on the Murdochs that killing off their viewership was not a sustainable business model.

Former network executive Preston Padden earlier this month published a Daily Beast column calling the network “poison for America” for fueling vaccine hesitancy and disparaging mask-wearing.

Tucker Carlson has not read the memo. So, don’t be fooled, Aaron Rupar cautions at Vox. “Fox’s Covid-19 coverage is still a mess.”

https://twitter.com/stroh_nancy/status/1417640178336731136?s=20

The New York Times concurs:

Fox News has faced heavy criticism in recent days over its vaccine coverage, including a denunciation on the Senate floor and accusations of hypocrisy after a memo revealed that its own employees would be allowed to go maskless in the office if vaccinated. And with views on vaccines increasingly split along partisan lines, some leading Republicans have grown alarmed at the deadly toll of the virus in conservative states and districts.

The Biden administration, which has criticized the spread of Covid-related misinformation, has focused on Fox News’s coverage, given the channel’s influence with conservative viewers who have expressed skepticism about vaccines. The White House organized an informational briefing for Fox News producers and journalists this spring with several officials who are helping with the coronavirus response.

The administration has held similar discussions with other networks. Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said on Tuesday that her team recognized “the importance of reaching Fox’s audience about the Covid-19 vaccines and their benefits.” She added: “We don’t see vaccines as a political issue. It’s an issue about keeping Americans safe.”

Much of the sycophancy on the right has been, as Paul Krugman detailed, loyalty signaling. “In the context of dictatorial regimes,” he writes, “signaling typically involves making absurd claims on behalf of the Leader and his agenda, often including ‘nauseating displays of loyalty.’”

There has been plenty of that, to be sure, and results have been deadly.

Graham writes:

Meanwhile, the most trusted messenger of all for many on the right remains mostly on the sidelines. Trump has sought to claim credit for the development of the vaccines, but has not devoted the energy to boosting them that he has to (for example) spreading disinformation about the 2020 election. And though the former president did get vaccinated, he declined to take his shot publicly, a gesture that experts thought could have instilled faith among his supporters.

Now that the Delta variant is hitting red states and Fox viewers hard, it is finally dawning on some of his most prominent devotees that maybe, just maybe, they ought to un-catapult the propaganda.

They thought they could play with matches and not get burned. They thought if anyone did get hurt it would be the people they talk down to: their own viewers and voters (or their political adversaries). Finally, reality is sinking in. Somewhat.

Update: Had Brian Kilmeade and Steve Doocy reverse in 4th para. Fixed. (h/t ET)

Finally had enough

Fauci and his division at the NIH are responsible for the 20 years of research that went into the MRNA technology that led to the life-saving vaccines. Former Biden COVID adviser Andy Slavitt said today that the day they learned about COVID, he took the research to the pharmaceutical companies immediately for them to begin the final development and begin the trials.

The character assassination from Rand Paul and others is disgusting. And he’s not having it:

RAND PAUL: Knowing it’s a crime to lie to Congress, do you wish to retract your statement where you said the NIH never funded gain of function research in Wuhan?

FAUCI: I’ve never lied before Congress & I don’t retract that statement … you don’t know what you’re talking about

Fauci to Rand Paul: “I totally resent the lie that you are now propagating … you are implying that what we did was responsible for the deaths of individuals. I totally resent that, and if anybody is lying here, senator, it is you.”

Damn

Fauci still isn’t done with Rand Paul: “This is a pattern that Sen. Paul has been doing now at multiple hearings, based on no reality.”

Originally tweeted by Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) on July 20, 2021.

As one twitter wag commented, “we are all Rand Paul’s neighbor, now”

Loyalty Signaling

The following is another excerpt of “I Alone Can Fix It”:

“Used to be” is not a phrase anyone dares use to describe the president inside his Palm Beach castle. Here, beneath the gold-leaf ceiling of winged griffins and crystal chandeliers, Trump still rules, surrounded day and night by applauding fans, obsequious courtiers, and dutiful servants. At the perfectly manicured Mar-a-Lago, none of the disgrace that marked the end of his presidency pierces Trump’s reality. Here, he and his aides work to maintain the gospel according to Trump, with the most important revelations being that Donald Trump was the greatest president of all time and was unjustly denied a second term.

Uh huh. I thought of that when I read this column by Paul Krugman:

I’m a huge believer in the usefulness of social science, especially studies that use comparisons across time and space to shed light on our current situation. So when the political scientist Henry Farrell suggested that I look at his field’s literature on cults of personality, I followed his advice. He recommended one paper in particular, by the New Zealand-based researcher Xavier Márquez; I found it revelatory.

The Mechanisms of Cult Production” compares the behavior of political elites across a wide range of dictatorial regimes, from Caligula’s Rome to the Kim family’s North Korea, and finds striking similarities. Despite vast differences in culture and material circumstances, elites in all such regimes engage in pretty much the same behavior, especially what the paper dubs “loyalty signaling” and “flattery inflation.”

Signaling is a concept originally drawn from economics; it says that people sometimes engage in costly, seemingly pointless behavior as a way to prove that they have attributes others value. For example, new hires at investment banks may work insanely long hours, not because the extra hours are actually productive, but to demonstrate their commitment to feeding the money machine.

In the context of dictatorial regimes, signaling typically involves making absurd claims on behalf of the Leader and his agenda, often including “nauseating displays of loyalty.” If the claims are obvious nonsense and destructive in their effects, if making those claims humiliates the person who makes them, these are features, not bugs. I mean, how does the Leader know if you’re truly loyal unless you’re willing to demonstrate your loyalty by inflicting harm both on others and on your own reputation?

And once this kind of signaling becomes the norm, those trying to prove their loyalty have to go to ever greater extremes to differentiate themselves from the pack. Hence “flattery inflation”: The Leader isn’t just brave and wise, he’s a perfect physical specimen, a brilliant health expert, a Nobel-level economic analyst, and more. The fact that he’s obviously none of these things only enhances the effectiveness of the flattery as a demonstration of loyalty.

Does all of this sound familiar? Of course it does, at least to anyone who has been tracking Fox News or the utterances of political figures like Lindsey Graham or Kevin McCarthy.

Many people, myself included, have declared for years that the G.O.P. is no longer a normal political party. It doesn’t look anything like, say, Dwight Eisenhower’s Republican Party or Germany’s Christian Democrats. But it bears a growing resemblance to the ruling parties of autocratic regimes.

The only unusual thing about the G.O.P.’s wholesale adoption of the Leader Principle is that the party doesn’t have a monopoly on power; in fact, it controls neither Congress nor the White House. Politicians suspected of insufficient loyalty to Donald Trump and Trumpism in general aren’t sent to the gulag. At most, they stand to lose intraparty offices and, possibly, future primaries. Yet such is the timidity of Republican politicians that these mild threats are apparently enough to make many of them behave like Caligula’s courtiers.

Unfortunately, all this loyalty signaling is putting the whole nation at risk. In fact, it will almost surely kill large numbers of Americans in the next few months.

What is this loyalty signaling you speak of? Well

Of course, nobody does it better than the man himself:

“I think it would be hard if George Washington came back from the dead and he chose Abraham Lincoln as his vice-president, I think it would have been very hard for them to beat me.”

Krugman continues:

How did lifesaving vaccines become politicized? As Bloomberg’s Jonathan Bernstein suggests, today’s Republicans are always looking for ways to show that they’re more committed to the cause than their colleagues are — and given how far down the rabbit hole the party has already gone, the only way to do that is “nonsense and nihilism,” advocating crazy and destructive policies, like opposing vaccines.

That is, hostility to vaccines has become a form of loyalty signaling.

And the crazy thing is that Trump could have been out there screaming that everyone should get the Trump vaccine that he personally championed and it could have gone the other way. But his instinct to “play down” the virus in 2020, the endorsement of mask protests and the insistence on defying mitigation made it almost impossible for him to push the vaccines without admitting that we were in a crisis that he had allowed to hurtle out of control. Even when he got COVID himself and almost died, he publicly yanked off his mask and said it was nothing to worry about.

He’s shameless and stupid, but he did understand that his followers are stubbornly resistant to admitting that COVID is a problem. He’s as tuned into him as they are to him. And anyway, he is so hungry for ass-kissing that he’ll take it however he can get it. If people do it by refusing to get vaccinated, that’s a-ok with him.

Dying for Dear Leader

They might as well be drinking a Hale-Bopp cocktail:

On Tuesday, the Cape Cod Times reported that Linda Zuern, a former member of the Bourne, Massachusetts Board of Selectmen and a Trump-supporting figure in the local Republican Party, had died of COVID-19.

Zuern died at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston of severe complications caused by COVID-19, according to the report. She was 70 years old and had not been vaccinated.

“She was a strong woman who believed in speaking the truth and defending our freedoms in America,” Republican State Committeewoman Deborah Dugan told the Cape Cod Times. Dugan was at Zuern’s bedside when she died. “I would describe her to people as a little woman but a mighty warrior.”

For months, Zuern, a member of the pro-Trump group the United Cape Patriots, had promoted conspiracy theories about the pandemic on Facebook. She has shared articles accusing the World Health Organization of a coverup of the “Wuhan Virus” and claiming COVID-19 is cover for “globalists” to usher in “U.N. Agenda 2030” — a sustainable development initiative right-wing conspiracy theorists assert is a plot to create a one world government.

Zuern also expressed support for the QAnon conspiracy theory, posting their creed of “WWG1WGA” (Where We Go One, We Go All).

Zuern promoted the use of hydroxychloroquine as a treatment of COVID-19 during a Barnstable County Assembly of Delegates meeting in December and questioned whether officials “had looked into preventative measures that people could use besides a vaccine to help build up their immune system,” the Cape Cod Times reported.

Peter Meier, chair of the Board of Selectmen, said Zuern cared deeply about others. “She definitely left her mark on the community,” he added.

I wonder how many people she took with her.

It’s getting hard to feel sorry for people like this in light of these findings:

Most Americans who still aren’t vaccinated say nothing — not their own doctor administering it, a favorite celebrity’s endorsement or even paid time off — is likely to make them get the shot, according to the latest installment of the Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index.

Why it matters: The findings are more sobering evidence of just how tough it may be to reach herd immunity in the U.S. But they also offer a roadmap for trying — the public health equivalent of, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance.”

What they’re saying: “There’s a part of that population that are nudge-able and another part that are unbudge-able,” said Cliff Young, president of Ipsos U.S. Public Affairs.

“From a public health standpoint they’ve got to figure out how you nudge the nudge-able.”

Details: 30% of U.S. adults in our national survey said they haven’t yet gotten the COVID-19 vaccine — half of them a hard no, saying they’re “not at all likely” to take it. We asked the unvaccinated about how likely they’d be to take it in a number of scenarios:

The best prospect was a scenario in which they could get the vaccine at their regular doctor’s office. But even then, 55% said they’d remain not at all likely and only 7% said they’d be “very likely” to do it. That leaves a combined 35% who are either somewhat likely or not very likely but haven’t ruled it out.

The Biden administration’s Olivia Rodrigo play won’t reach a lot of the holdouts, according to these results: 70% said the endorsement of a celebrity or public figure they like is “not at all likely” to get them to take a shot, and just 4% said they’d be “very likely” to do it. But another combined 24% could be somewhat in play.

What if your boss gave you paid time off to get the shot? 63% said they’d still be not at all likely to do it, while 5% said they’d be very likely. Another 30% combined are potentially but not eagerly gettable.

Similar majorities said they’d be unmoved by community volunteers coming to the door to discuss the vaccine, the option to get a shot at work or a mobile clinic, or being lobbied by friends or family members.

The big picture: Overall, Americans’ concerns are rising for activities like seeing family and friends outside the home, going to the grocery store or sports events or getting on a plane.

Those concerns had subsided as vaccines became widely available. But the numbers are creeping back up after recent reports of rising infection rates and the dangers of the Delta variant.

But this trend is being driven by the vaccinated. The unvaccinated are no more concerned than they were before, which wasn’t much.

By the numbers: In contrast to unvaccinated Americans’ resistance to getting a shot at all, most vaccinated Americans say they’d go a step farther by getting a booster shot under a wide variety of hypothetical conditions:

85% if COVID-19 cases rise in the U.S.

87% if public health officials recommend it.

88% if there’s a new virus variant spreading in the U.S. or if it’s recommended annually like a flu shot.

93% if your doctor recommends it.

CNN interviewed a hospital executive/doctor in Florida this morning who said that they are now as full as they were in January. And half of their workforce is refusing to be vaccinated.

What the ever loving fuck???

About the breakthroughs

I sense some building hysteria about breakthrough infections of the Delta variant and felt the need to read up on the latest threat. Cases are going up as are hospitalizations and deaths, although the latter are far less overwhelming than they have been in the past. And the worst is happening to the unvaccinated. Of course.

Still there are breakthrough cases and it’s always good to be informed about what they know so far:

As Covid-19 case numbers overall are on the rise again across the United States, breakthrough infections, while rare, are making headlines...The good news is that the number of breakthrough infections can be reduced, but it will take a much bigger community effort to protect people from getting Covid-19.

A breakthrough infection by definition

Someone with a breakthrough infection has tested positive for the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 at least 14 days after they have been fully vaccinated according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Enter your email to subscribe to the Results Are In Newsletter with Dr. Sanjay Gupta.close dialog

For the Pfizer and Moderna vaccine full vaccination is after two doses. For the Johnson & Johnson vaccine it’s a single dose.Breakthrough infections can cause disease with symptoms, and some people can have no symptoms at all. Research has shown that if people become infected after vaccination, typically they get a milder case.

No vaccine is perfect

Covid-19 vaccines are highly protective against lab confirmed infection and seem to provide protection against the variants; however, a tiny fraction still become infected, just like they can with any other vaccine.”There is no such thing as a vaccine that’s 100% effective,” said Dr. Amy Edwards, the associate medical director of Pediatric Infection Control at UH Rainbow Babies and Children’s Hospital in Cleveland.

With other diseases like mumps or rubella, breakthrough infections are highly rare, Edwards said, because so many people have been vaccinated against those diseases, and mumps and rubella are in low circulation.”The chance that a person who happened to be a nonresponder to the vaccine would come in contact with those diseases is very low,” said Edwards. “The reason why we are seeing more breakthrough infections with Covid is because there are so many unvaccinated people.”Another example is the flu vaccine, which reduces the risk of getting sick between 40-60%, studies show. The Covid-19 vaccines are much more protective — as much as 95% effective at preventing severe illness, hospitalization and deaths.

Breakthrough infections by the numbers

We don’t know how many mild or asymtomatic breakthrough Covid-19 infections there are in the US. The CDC stopped counting in May.The CDC still counts hospitalizations and deaths from breakthrough infections. The agency said it made this transition to “help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance.”As of July 12, there have been 5,492 patients with Covid-19 vaccine breakthrough infections who have been hospitalized or died, according to the CDC. This is a small number among the more than 159 million people that have been fully vaccinated against Covid-19.

CDC study finds coronavirus vaccines lead to milder disease in rare breakthrough infections

It’s hard to draw any specific conclusions about the rate of infection from these numbers, but they are likely an undercount, according to the CDC. Surveillance data relies on voluntary reporting, and not all reporting is complete or even representative of total infections.What scientists do know is that 99.5% of deaths from Covid-19 in the US right now are among people who are not vaccinated, US Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy told CNN’s Dana Bash Sunday.The CDC is monitoring breakthrough infections to identify which people are most likely to have breakthrough infections. The CDC said there are no unusual patterns so far.

Who may be more vulnerable to breakthrough infections

It’s not totally clear yet. A study of breakthrough infections that caused hospitalization in Israel though found that 6% of the 152 people it studied had no underlying health conditions.On Friday, the CDC warned that vaccines may not protect people who are immunocompromised.People with weakened immune systems are those who have had an organ transplant, are receiving chemotherapy for cancer, are on dialysis or are taking certain medicine that suppresses the immune system.

Generally, older people may be more vulnerable to a breakthrough infection, since studies show the immune system declines with age. A preprint, non-peer reviewed, study in England found that older adults were at greater risk of a breakthrough infection. Those Covid-19 cases were typically much milder than they were in the unvaccinated.

People who live in parts of the country with low vaccination rates may also have a greater likelihood of a breakthrough infection since they would be encountering more people with the disease.

So, what can we do? They simply say:

“If we want breakthrough cases to stop, then we need to have everybody else get vaccinated, so there’s no virus in circulation and then it won’t matter anymore,” Edwards said.Nationally, less than 50% of the US has been fully vaccinated against Covid-19, according to the CDC. If more people are vaccinated, the coronavirus has fewer people it can infect. It also limits the number of new variants that can develop. More variants in circulation increase the likelihood that the coronavirus can evade the protection of the vaccines.

“When asked if people who are vaccinated should be doing anything different than they normally would on Sunday, Murthy told CNN that even with a breakthrough infection “which, again, happens in a very small minority of people — it’s likely to be a mild or asymptomatic infection.” He did say he would wear a mask indoors out of an abundance of caution if he is in an area with a large number of unvaccinated people.

Meanwhile, I think everyone should who is vaccinated and otherwise pretty healthy can stay calm. The likelihood of us getting really sick is very low:

“Again, even if the vaccine isn’t offering full protection it is offering a lot of protection,” Edwards said. “Even when they do not work as well in patients who are immunocompromised, they do provide some protection. That’s why it’s up to the rest of us to get vaccinated because we want to protect those people, the fragile and the elderly, and everyone else.””So please, I cannot say this enough,” Edwards said “Get vaccinated.”

Sadly, it appears that our country is full of superstitious, gullible, uninformed or stubbornly, stupidly right wing so we are going to have to go through more surges. The fact that it is happening in a country that has plenty of free vaccines that would knock this thingpretty much out if they’d just get vaccinated makes this even more tragic than it already was.

The biggest, the best the most everything…

I think that must have ruined his day. In fact, it ruined his month. He thinks he and Tom Brady are dopplegangers.

Here’s a little excerpt from “I Alone Can Fix It” illustrating, once again, his even more delusional state of mind these days. It’s from an interview at Mar-a-lago after the election:

“This is the biggest, the best, the most acreage, the most everything—the ocean, the lake, it fronts both,” the ever-boasting Trump said. “Mar-a-Lago is ocean-to-lake. Did you know that? Mar-a-Lago, ocean to lake. It’s the only place. See that window? That window, when that was built, is the largest pane of glass in the world, okay?”

Trump started the interview by pointing out his enduring and unrivaled power within the Republican Party. He explained that he didn’t intend to follow the path of former presidents, who largely bowed out of the nitty-gritty of party politics. He was proud to say he genuinely enjoys this sport he found so late in life, and believes he plays it better than anyone else. The parade of Republican politicians flocking to Mar-a-Lago all spring to kiss his ring had both energized him, he said, and proved the value of his stock.

“We have had so many, and so many are coming in,” Trump said. “It’s been pretty amazing. You see the numbers. They need the endorsement. I don’t say this in a braggadocious way, but if they don’t get the endorsement, they don’t win.” 

But future elections were not front and center in his mind. A past election was. Trump was fixated on his loss in 2020, returning to this wound repeatedly throughout the interview. 

“In a certain way, I had two presidencies,” he said. In the first, when the economy was roaring, Trump argued that he had been unbeatable, never mind that his approval rating was never higher than 46 percent in the Gallup poll during his first three years as president.

“I think it would be hard if George Washington came back from the dead and he chose Abraham Lincoln as his vice president, I think it would have been very hard for them to beat me,” Trump said.

Then, he lamented, came his second presidency: the pandemic killed his chances.

Trump seemed determined as well to convince us that he actually had won, and handily, had it not been for the many people who had wronged him—the “evil people” who conspired to deny him his rightful second term.

“The greatest fraud ever perpetrated in this country was this last election,” Trump said. “It was rigged and it was stolen. It was both. It was a combination, and Bill Barr didn’t do anything about it.”

Trump faulted not only his attorney general, but Vice President Pence for lacking the bravery to do what was right.

“Had Mike Pence had the courage to send it back to the legislatures, you would have had a different outcome, in my opinion,” Trump said.

“I think that the vice president of the United States must protect the Constitution of the United States,” he added. “I don’t believe he’s just supposed to be a statue who gets these votes from the states and immediately hands them over. If you see fraud, then I believe you have an obligation to do one of a number of things.”

The irony was lost on Trump, however, that one of the central reasons he had prized Pence as his number two was his resemblance to a statue standing adoringly at his side.

Trump then invoked the nonanalogous example he had latched on to: “Thomas Jefferson was in the exact same position, but only one state, the state of Georgia. Did you know that? It’s true. ‘Hear ye, hear ye . . .’—was much more elegant in those days. It was, ‘Hear ye, hear ye, the  great state of Georgia is unable to accurately count its votes.’ Thomas Jefferson said, ‘Are you sure?’ They said, ‘Yes, we are sure.’ ‘Then we will take the votes from the great state of Georgia.’ He took them for him and the president.”

Trump continued, “So I said, ‘Mike, you can be Thomas Jefferson or you can be Mike Pence.’ What happened is, I had a very good relationship with Mike Pence—very good—but when you are handed these votes and before you even start about the individual corruptions, the people, the this, the that, all the different things that took place, when you are handed these votes…right there you should have sent them back to the legislatures.”

Later in the conversation, Trump again expressed his disappointment in Pence. “What courage would have been is to do what Thomas Jefferson did [and said], ‘We’re taking the votes,’” he said. “That would have been politically unacceptable. But sending it back to these legislatures, who now know that bad things happened, would have been very acceptable. And I could show you letters from legislators, big-scale letters from different states, the states we’re talking about. Had he done that, I think it would have been a great thing for our country.” But, he surmised, “I think he had bad advice.”

Trump argued that he stands apart from the presidents before him by the loyalty and intensity of his supporters. “There’s never been a base that screams out, with thirty-five thousand people, ‘We love you! We love you!’” he said. “That never happened to Ronald Reagan. It never happened to anybody. We have a base like no other. They’re very angry. That’s what happened  in Washington on the sixth. They went down because of the election fraud. The one thing that nobody says is how many people were there, because if you look at that real crowd, the crowd for the speech, I’ll bet you it was over a million people.”

What was Trump’s goal on January 6? What did he hope his supporters would do after he told them to march on the Capitol?

He chose to remark again on the size of the crowd. “I would venture to say I think it was the largest crowd I had ever spoken [to] before,” Trump said. “It was a loving crowd, too, by the way. There was a lot of love. I’ve heard that from everybody. Many, many people have told me that was a loving crowd. It was too bad, it was too bad that they did that.”

Pressed again, Trump said he had hoped his supporters would show up outside the Capitol but not enter the building. “In all fairness, the Capitol Police were ushering people in,” Trump said. “The Capitol Police were very friendly. They were hugging and kissing. You don’t see that. There’s plenty of tape on that.”

Trump didn’t mention the countless accounts of horrific violence—that of a riotous mob shoving a police officer to the ground, later threatening to shoot him with his own gun, or that of an insurrectionist bashing a flagpole into another police officer’s chest, or that of yet another officer howling in pain as he was compressed in a closing door.

“Personally, what I wanted is what they wanted,” Trump said of the rioters. “They showed up just to show support because I happen to believe the election was rigged at a level like nothing has ever been rigged before. There’s tremendous proof. There’s tremendous proof. Statistically, it wasn’t even possible that [Biden] won. Things such as, if you win Florida and Ohio and Iowa, there’s never been a loss.”

He was referring to conventional wisdom that historically the winner of the presidential election has carried that same trio of states that Trump won. This was one of the traits that had led Trump to the White House on full display: his extraordinary capacity to say things that were not true. He always seemed to have complete conviction in whatever product he was selling or argument he was making. He had an uncanny ability to say with a straight face, things are not as you’ve been told or even as you’ve seen with your own eyes. He could commit to a lie in the frame of his body and in the timbre of his voice so fully, despite all statistical and even video evidence to the contrary. 

At various points in our interview, Trump presented other examples of what he called proof the election had been stolen from him.

“Take all of the dead people that voted, and there were thousands of them, by the way. We have lists of obituaries,” Trump argued. “If you take the illegal immigrants that voted. If you take this—Indians that got paid to vote in different places. We had Indians getting paid to vote! Many, many different things, all election-changing.”

Trump zeroed in on large cities in Michigan and Pennsylvania, both of which he lost to Biden, that are home to many Black people and historically vote heavily Democratic. “Look, everyone knows that Detroit was so corrupt. Everyone knows that they literally beat up people there, they hurt people to get the vote watchers out, our vote watchers, Republican vote watchers,” he said. He added, “Philadelphia, highly corrupt in terms of elections. There were tremendous irregularities that went on there, including the fact that you had more votes than you had voters.”

He was still fixated on the debunked water main conspiracy in Fulton County, Georgia. “They say, ‘Water main break!,’ everyone leaves—everyone leaves—and then you have these people go in with two or three other people, all their people, run to the table where ballots are…this table which had a skirt on it, opened the skirt and took out the ballots and started stuffing the ballot boxes,” he said. “It was reported on every newscast.”

In his discussion of the “stolen” election, Trump grew more animated and specific about the long list of advisers and allies he considered disloyal. He said that Barr failed him as attorney general for not buying the conspiracy and for not dispatching the FBI to investigate Fulton County’s vote-tallying  process. To Trump’s mind, Barr had become too exhausted to act in his final months on the job. Trump also posited that Barr had grown too sensitive to media criticism, worried about his depiction as a loyal marionette who did the president’s bidding, that he backed away from properly investigating voter fraud.

“Bill Barr changed a lot,” Trump said. “He changed drastically, and in my opinion, he changed because of the media. The media is brilliant. I give them credit. I get it better than anybody that’s ever lived. Bill Barr came in because he was really legitimately incensed at what they were doing to me and the presidency on the Mueller hoax. He did a good job on the Russian hoax, right? And then as time went by, and what I should have done is said, ‘Bill, thank you very much. Great job.’”

The Department of Justice, he continued, “is loaded up with radical left, and Bill Barr was being portrayed as a puppet of mine. They said he’s my ‘personal lawyer,’ ‘he’ll do anything,’ and I said, ‘Here we go…’ He got more and more difficult, and I knew it. You know why? Because he’s a human being. Because that’s the way it works.”

Trump listed Barr’s sins: He didn’t charge James Comey or Andrew McCabe; he didn’t announce an investigation into Hunter Biden; and he didn’t bring an end to John Durham’s probe of the origins of the Russia investigation before the election. Trump speculated that Barr was motivated by personal pique rather than reality when he announced on December 1 that the Justice Department had uncovered no evidence of widespread voter fraud that could change the election outcome.

“Barr disliked me at the end, in my opinion, and that’s why he made the statement about the election, because he did not know,” Trump said. “And I like Bill Barr, just so you know. I think he started off as a great patriot, but I don’t believe he finished that way.”

Trump said he was also disappointed by federal judges—especially the three conservative justices he had nominated to the Supreme Court—for ruling against his campaign in the scores of lawsuits it filed or, in the case of the high court, declining to take the case. When we asked whether he needed better lawyers, considering so many courts had ruled there was not substantiated evidence of fraud nor merit to the cases brought before them, Trump said his legal team was not to blame.

“I needed better judges. The Supreme Court was afraid to take it,” Trump said, suggesting that justices might have declined to intervene in the election out of fear of stoking violence. Referring to the election result, Trump added, “It should have been reversed by the Supreme Court. I’m very disappointed in the Supreme Court because they did a very bad thing for the country.” 

Trump singled out Justice Brett Kavanaugh, suggesting that he should have tried to intervene in the election as payback for the president standing by his nomination in 2018 in the face of sexual assault allegations. “I’m very disappointed in Kavanaugh,” he said.

Trump’s chagrin was evident in many of his answers. He emphasized his feelings of victimhood.

“I had two jobs: running our country, and running it well, and survival,” Trump said. “I had the Mueller hoax. I had the witch hunt. It’s one big witch hunt that’s gone from the day I came down the escalator,” a reference to his 2015 campaign launch event in the lobby of New York’s Trump Tower.

“Nobody’s ever gone through what I have,” Trump added. “They got me on all phony stuff.”

Trump found fault with most of his fellow Republican leaders, past and present. Still clearly vexed by the ghost of the late Arizona senator John McCain, Trump without prompting brought up the party’s 2008 presidential nominee, whom he had attacked for years.

“John McCain was a bad guy,” he said of the decorated prisoner of war. “He was a bully and a nasty guy, bad guy. A lot of people disliked him. Last in his class in Annapolis. All that stuff, but he was a bad guy. I say it to you. I don’t care. Does it affect me? I won Arizona, okay? By a lot. Didn’t turn out that way in terms of the vote, but I won Arizona. Everyone knows it. He didn’t affect me. I won the first time. I won it the second time.”

Trump, who in fact lost Arizona to Biden, continued with this fix. “You know, I did three rallies in Arizona,” he said. “I never had an empty seat.” Governor Doug Ducey, who withstood Trump’s pressure to overturn the result, was “not a loyal party member,” according to the former president. “I think Ducey is a terrible Republican,” he said. “Ducey did everything he could to block voter integrity, to block people from making sure the vote was accurate.”

Trump also complained about former House Speaker Paul Ryan, whom he labeled a “super-RINO”—Republican in name only. And he said Mitch McConnell has “no personality” nor a killer political instinct. He faulted McConnell for refusing to eliminate the filibuster to ram through Republican legislation and for not persuading Senator Joe Manchin, the moderate Democrat from West Virginia, to switch parties. 

“He’s a stupid person,” Trump said of McConnell. “I don’t think he’s smart enough.”

“I tried to convince Mitch McConnell to get rid of the filibuster, to terminate it, so that we would get everything, and he was a knucklehead and he didn’t do it,” Trump said.

Trump said he wished he had had partners in Congress like Meade Esposito, who was the head of the Democratic Party machine in Brooklyn from the late 1960s to the early 1980s. Esposito, who was close to Trump and his late father, Fred Trump, was known for his patronage and commanded respect.

“Nobody would ever talk back to Meade Esposito. Meade Esposito didn’t have a RINO like a Mitt Romney, you know, or as I said, Ben Sasse, who’s a lightweight,” Trump said, invoking two Republican senators who sometimes criticized him. He added, “Mitch McConnell compared to Meade Esposito, it’s like a baby compared to a grownup football player with brains on top of everything else.”

Esposito had run a citywide patronage system that doled out important jobs to loyalists and people providing gifts and favors. The party boss gained a fearsome reputation for his intimidation tactics and connections to organized crime. Amid an investigation of his work, Esposito retired in 1983; he was convicted of offering a gratuity and interstate travel charges in 1987.

He sounds more puerile than ever. Infantile, actually. I think he’s regressing.

A little bit of sanity?

These professionally shot images, which Coffman posted to Facebook, were initially held up as evidence to support the search warrant affidavit.
These professionally shot images, which Coffman posted to Facebook, were initially held up as evidence to support the search warrant affidavit.

I remember reading about this Trump era abuse of power and wondering if the courts would uphold such nonsense. Apparently not:

Justin Coffman spent a month behind bars and had his home raided because of his band’s promotional photo shoot.

A senior federal judge has gutted a criminal case championed by a Trump-appointed top federal prosecutor against a rock musician who posted promotional photos for his band on Facebook and had his home raided as a result.

Justin Coffman, a member of an anarcho-punk band called The Gunpowder Plot, was the target of a June 2020 home raid in Jackson, Tennessee, after he posted three professionally shot images on his band’s Facebook page. The photos showed him standing in front of a police vehicle and posing with a fake Molotov cocktail behind his back.

Months after the raid, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Western District of Tennessee charged Coffman under a rarely used statute that makes it unlawful to possess weapons as a user of an illegal drug. The charge has sometimes been used against white supremacists who espouse violence, but it was used here to target a member of a rock band with an antifascist theatrical motif.

Coffman was a legal gun owner, but law enforcement found a small amount of marijuana at his home during the raid. This, combined with Coffman’s admission that he used marijuana, gave authorities the basis for a federal charge.

Former U.S. Attorney Mike Dunavant, a Donald Trump appointee who has repeatedly demonstrated his dedication to the former president, held a press conference months after the raid to tout what he described as the “outstanding investigative work” in the case.

But Chief U.S. District Judge S. Thomas Anderson, who was appointed by former President George W. Bush, didn’t think so much of the investigative work.

In a remarkable ruling on Friday, Anderson ordered the evidence collected in the raid to be suppressed, finding that the search of Coffman’s residence was unconstitutional and that no reasonable officer acting in good faith could have believed the search warrant was evidence of probable cause to search the home.

Based on the totality of the affidavit, Anderson wrote, “a reasonably prudent person would not be warranted in believing that Coffman was in possession of a hoax device or improvised explosive incendiary device.”

Anderson wrote that the affidavit “glaringly” omitted the fact that The Gunpowder Plot is Coffman’s band, “although that information was doubtlessly easily accessible and known by the affiant and would have been highly relevant” to the local judge who found probable cause to execute the search warrant.

“In this instance, reasonable officers acting on the search warrant could not have harbored an objectively reasonable belief in the existence of probable cause, given the ‘bare bones’ nature of the affidavit,” Anderson wrote.

The government, Anderson wrote, “asks the Court to make a series of inferences from disparate events or facts without establishing the relationships between those inferences and the basis of knowledge underpinning said inferences.”

Anderson’s order tears apart the affidavit, written by Jackson Police Maj. Phillip Kemper, that formed the basis for the search of Coffman’s house. Anderson wrote that Kemper, as well as others like Jackson Police Lt. Chris Chestnut, should have had the common sense to realize that Coffman’s highly curated and First Amendment-protected images to promote his band did not offer a reasonable basis to search his home.

From the ruling:

Shortly after Lieutenant Chestnut informed his acquaintance that the police wished to speak with him, Coffman called the Lieutenant and informed him that the apparent Molotov cocktail was not, in fact, a Molotov cocktail. Rather, it was a prop filled with apple juice that Coffman was using in images to support or promote his musical band. Coffman stated that the images were taken “previously,” presumably not around the date they were posted. The affidavit does not establish a basis for questioning Coffman’s credibility. Indeed, the highly dramatic and evidently carefully curated appearance of the images and accompanying quote seems to lend credence to the theory that they are promotional images for a Rock band.

Coffman’s lawyer Alex Camp said the judge’s order should effectively end the federal case, but that the state case is still ongoing ― even though the relevant “hoax device” Tennessee law offers a specific exception for dramatic performances. (“Arguably, Coffman’s stated reasons of creating the images as promotional, artistic, images for his musical band” fall under the “dramatic performances” exception to the law, the federal judge wrote.)

Officers, Camp wrote in his successful motion to suppress the evidence against Coffman, “were aware that the Defendant was a musician in a band. Furthermore, officers were aware of the band’s name, the Defendant’s stage name, and the purpose of his Facebook post supporting his album,” but “nevertheless confronted the Defendant.”

Even after Trump left office, federal prosectors defended the search warrant and the case. Joseph Murphy, the acting U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Tennessee, and Assistant U.S. Attorney Hillary Lawler Parham asked the court in early July to consider “the state of civil unrest and protest” in America following the death of George Floyd last year, saying it helped put the affidavit against Coffman in context.

Coffman, in a statement to HuffPost, said the case was “a great example of an overreach executed by authority figures to silence someone with whom they disagree with or opposes their status quo,” and that it went against “the very rights in the constitution they made an oath to uphold.”

“Cases like this are one reason we need major reformation of law enforcement agencies across the nation,” Coffman said. “Going through this has caused me hell and a lot of trouble, but I will not be deterred. I can not be silenced by intimidation.”

Coffman also thanked his girlfriend, Leah, as well as a HuffPost reader who paid his bail bond on the state charge and allowed Coffman to get out of jail after a month behind bars.

Dunavant, the former U.S. attorney ― who has posted “Happy Birthday” messages to Trump, as well a photo of himself holding a “MAKE AMERICA SAFE AGAIN” sign at a Trump rally ― did not respond to a message seeking comment.

I probably wouldn’t have mentioned this except it illustrates to me exactly what the danger of Trump’s DOJ really was. This guy was an entertainer not a terrorist. But he had the wrong politics. And the cops and the feds went after him. The danger of MAGA prosecutors has been underestimated, in my opinion.

“Capitalism’s legitimacy crisis”

This Washington Post report card on “capitalism’s legitimacy crisis” is a few days old, but significant (and Part 1 of a series). It’s not income inequality here so much a wealth inequality. To hear Donald Trump tell it, he had no income for a number of years:

First, the data: The combined wealth of all households in the United States added up to $129.5 trillion in the first quarter of this year. The wealthiest 1 percent held 32.1 percent of the total, up from 23.4 percent in 1989. The top 10 percent of households owned $70 of every $100 in household wealth, up from $61 in 1989. The bottom half, whose share never exceeded 5 percent, now holds just 2 percent of household wealth in the United States.

Though wealth inequality has grown in other industrialized democracies too, the U.S. figures mark this country as an outlier. A 2018 study of 28 countries in the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development found that, on average, the top 10 percent of households owns 52 percent of wealth, while the bottom 60 percent owns 12 percent. But in the United States the top 10 percent held 79.5 percent and the bottom 60 percent held 2.4 percent.

Wealth can be passed down through the generations, building on itself. For White people anyway, that was once more possible than it is today. For Blacks in America, well, ask Ta-Nehisi Coates.

People who are secure in their persons, jobs, and families have no need for demagogues, the Editorial Board argues. People who feel freedom’s just another word for nothing left to lose are ripe for the picking by hucksters. And here we are.

It is probably no coincidence the rich began getting so much richer as globalization exerted downward pressure on wages and deregulated financial innovation increased opportunities for capital gains. A side effect of low interest rates, engineered by the Federal Reserve with the goal of stimulating the broader economy, has been to reduce the costs and raise the benefits of speculation. Absent Fed action, workers and low-income people could have suffered even more from both the Great Recession and the pandemic. It is still remarkable — and concerning — that wealth inequality grew, during the pandemic, mainly due to soaring house and stock prices. Of $13.5 trillion in new household wealth added during 2020, more than 70 percent accrued to the top fifth of income earners, and about a third to the top 1 percent, according to the Wall Street Journal.

There is more to the billionaire space race than ego. Commercializing space was inevitable. But Branson, Bezos, and Musk (and the U.S. public) need reminding at every turn that they stand on the shoulders of American taxpayers and decades worth of government testing and perfecting rocket technology. People need to see there is something in capitalism for them. Billionaire joyrides are just rubbing their noses in it.

Something’s gotta give. The level of inequality represented in the graph above and Blue Origin launch this morning is unsustainable. Pitchforks are an old technology, but still affordable by people desperate enough to take them to the streets.

Legislatus interruptus

This is going to be a long slog (Washington Post):

President Biden on Monday took a subtle yet unmistakable dig at Republicans who have backed away from a major funding component in a bipartisan infrastructure package that is now starting to fray, saying pointedly that “we shook hands on it” even as he continued to promote the agreement.

Biden’s comment, with its accusatory undertones, reflected the agreement’s precarious state at the outset of what could be a pivotal week. Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) plans to force a vote within days to advance the roughly $1 trillion plan despite the Republican hesitations, a high-stakes gamble that is intended to force agreement but that GOP senators on Monday warned they would reject.

President Biden will travel to Ohio for a town hall event for some bully pulpit politicing to try to build pressure on Republicans (and a couple of Democrats) for passage … somehow.

On the Democrats’ side of the House, frustration grows (Politico):

Fresh off a two-week recess, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her leadership team have begun early discussions about how to achieve the near-perfect sequencing needed to steer two behemoth bills — a bipartisan infrastructure deal along with a $3.5 trillion social spending package — through the narrowly divided House. But with the Senate likely to go first on both, it’s unclear whether the upper chamber can get either plan ready for House consideration in the coming weeks.

That’s not sitting well with some Democrats.

“Obviously, we need to be more involved,” said Rep. Juan Vargas (D-Calif.), describing the frustration of many House Democratswho want to have a greater role in the talks. “They’ve got to be able to pass something over there, and bring it over here … That’s gonna be the tough part.”

Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) trashed the Senate’s bipartisan infrastructure negotiations on a private call Monday night, according to three unnamed Politico sources:

The “whole thing falling apart is probably the best thing,” DeFazio said on the call of the Senate talks, which have President Joe Biden’s endorsement..

DeFazio’s frustrations were echoed by several other members on the call. One lawmaker, Rep. Salud Carbajal (D-Calif.) called the current process “bullshit,” and some vowed to work against the Senate’s bipartisan effort.

“I said the whole process seemed like [bullshit],” Carbajal told POLITICO in a brief interview afterward. “A lot of work has gone into this. There’s been a bipartisan effort to really align everything together, and you know it’s just very frustrating and disappointing when so much work goes into this … It is just annoying, to say the least.”

The infrastructure plan negotiated with Senate Republicans cuts DeFazio’s $30 billion in climate-related funding down to $18 billion. DeFazio calls that a “nonstarter.”

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer still plans a preliminary vote Wednesday on the unfinalized deal to apply pressure to Senate Republicans (NBC News):

“They have been working on this bipartisan framework for a month already. It’s time to begin the debate,” Schumer, D-N.Y., said Monday, adding that the leading Democratic negotiators “support this approach.”

Schumer said he would use “a shell bill” because the completed text hasn’t been written as negotiators iron out disagreements about how it should be funded. “This will allow the Senate to begin debate and amendments on the bipartisan bill,” Schumer said.

Part of the hangup is the $100 billion in revenue Democrats expected to raise through increased tax collections from inceased Internal Revenue Service enforcement. But Republican objections have forced Democrats to seek other revenue sources to support the infrastructure package.

A “critical mass” of Senate Republicans plan to block the legislation if it is not first finalized.

“It’s not going to get 60, let’s put it that way,” said Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) on Monday, referring to the number of votes needed to advance nearly any legislation on the Senate floor.

Please.

It gets to the point where enduring this obligatory bipartisan shadowboxing is worse than the impending legislative failure. We all know Republicans start at F#ck you and move on to F#ck you 2x after “negotiating.” Why is that so hard to grasp for people who have been inside the Beltway much of their adult lives?

Or do they just do it because the think the press expects it? The public expects results.

With precious few exceptions, Senate Republicans will all vote no in the end. The beforehand news coverage is simply filling column inches.

You Want To Own This Lefty, Pal? I’ll Make It Easy.

Paul Hodgkins holds a Trump flag and stands in the well of the U.S. Senate floor during the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.

Let’s make it easy for this newly convicted rightwing felon to own a lefty — namely, me. First a little background on what this man did:

Paul Hodgkins, a Florida man who invaded the Senate chamber holding a Trump flag on Jan. 6, was sentenced to eight months in prison followed by 24 months of supervised release on Monday in the first felony sentencing in connection with the Capitol riot.

Hodgkins, who wore a Trump T-shirt during the Jan. 6 riot, pleaded guilty to one count of obstruction of an official proceeding. Four other charges were dismissed as part of the plea deal.

Prosecutors requested an 18-month sentence for Hodgkins, saying that he made the wrong decision at several points: in Florida, when he packed up the gear he’d bring into the Capitol building; on Jan. 6, when he left the Trump rally early and headed to the Capitol; when he unlawfully entered the Capitol grounds; when he illegally entered the Capitol building; and when he entered into the Senate chamber…

Hodgkins told the judge he was “truly remorseful” and regretful of what he did on Jan. 6. He said he made a “foolish decision” and allowed himself to put his “passion” before his “principles.” 

Yeah, right.

My bet is that 8 months and 1 second from today —once his sentence up —this guy will magically develop serious doubts as to whether Biden is really president and claim how proud he was to be holding that disgusting flag.

Cynical? Not in the slightest. Realistic.

But ok, Mr Hodgkins, you want to own this lefty? Prove me wrong. Let’s see you demonstrate real continued regret when the length of time you spend in the pokey doesn’t depend upon it your faking it.

This is a travesty of justice.