Skip to content

Month: October 2021

White Knight? Riiiiight….

Do You Have White Knight Syndrome?

Forsooth, ye fayre maidens and gentlemen, partake of hearty laugh-ery as thou contemplateth this seditious bastard’s stupid bullshit:

John Eastman, a lawyer and fellow at a right-wing think tank, is now desperately downplaying the memos he wrote before January 6 laying out how then-Vice President Mike Pence could overturn the election and subvert the will of the American people.

He’s now presenting himself as more of a savior of democracy.

“Call me the white-knight hero here, talking [Trump] down from the more aggressive position,” Eastman told the National Review in an interview published last week.

FJB and “Let’s Go Brandon”

If you have heard a wingnut smugly shout “Let’s Go Brandon”, it’s another way of saying “Fuck Joe Biden.”

Here’s the story:

On Wednesday, when the president visited Scranton, Pa., he was greeted at the corner of Biden Street by a woman holding a handmade “F— Joe Biden” sign, with an American flag as the vowel in the offending word. And back in Boise, Rod Johnson, a retired gunsmith, has hung a blue flag from the roof of his home that reads “F— Biden.” Underneath, in smaller letters, he added, “And f— you for voting for him!!”

“I’m not the only Republican that doesn’t like Biden,” Johnson, 68, said in an interview, sporting a red “Proud White American” hat and puffing a skinny cigar. “I just chose to show it.”

During the 2020 presidential campaign, one of Biden’s political superpowers was his sheer inoffensiveness, the way he often managed to embody — even to those who didn’t like him — the innocuous grandfather, the bumbling uncle, the leader who could make America calm, steady, even boring again after four years of Donald Trump.

But it’s clear that after nine months in office, Biden — or at least what he represents — is increasingly becoming an object of hatred to many Trump supporters. The vitriol partly reflects Trump’s own repeated baseless claims that Biden is a usurper, depriving him of his rightful claim to the presidency, and partly stems from Biden actions that Republicans deplore, from his spending plans to his immigration policies.

Boos, jeers and insults are nothing new for politicians, especially those who reach the White House. Former presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, as well as Trump, were all heckled, weathering protests along their motorcade routes and at some of their events. At one 2011 fundraiser in Los Angeles, a heckler called Obama the Antichrist; “F— Trump” graffiti adorned some walls in Washington.

The current eruption of anti-Biden signs and chants, however, is on another level, far more vulgar and widespread.

The ubiquity of Trump signs, especially in rural stretches of the country, has long been striking, and possibly unprecedented for a losing candidate — especially nearly a year after the election. But now, in towns like Boise — in states both red and blue, and almost all across the country — anti-Biden signs are cropping up as well, frequently with angry and profane insults.

Some of are scrawled by hand. Others are bought on Amazon. Still others are professionally procured.The crude signs are held by people lined up along Biden’s motorcade routes and clustered near his events. Protesters shout obscenities from outside his appearances.

Then there are the chants. In early Oct., a “F— Joe Biden!” cry broke out among the crowd at Alabama’s Talladega Superspeedway. Kelli Stavast, an NBC Sports reporter, was interviewing NASCAR driver Brandon Brown live on air at the time, and she quipped, “You can hear the chants from the crowd, ‘Let’s go Brandon!’”

Trump supporters instantly saw signs of a coverup, claiming on social media that journalists were deliberately censoring anti-Biden sentiment. The brief video exchange quickly turned viral.

The result has been a proliferation of chants in recent weeks, both of “Let’s go Brandon!” — now used as a stand-in by the Trump faithful — and the more vulgar original, sometimes shorthanded as “FJB.”

Trump’s Save America PAC has even begun selling a $45 T-shirt featuring Biden’s black-and-white visage above the phrase “Let’s go Brandon.” And the PAC sent a message to supporters that read, “#FJB or LET’S GO BRANDON? Either way, President Trump wants YOU to have our ICONIC new shirt.”

The former president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., has repeatedly promoted the meme, and the original chant, on his social media feeds. At a speech in Georgia, he took the stage after the crowd had been chanting “USA! USA!” and roared, “There’s a couple other chants I’ve been hearing going around. Have you heard the other one that’s been going around?” The crowd took the cue and broke into cries of “Let’s go Brandon.”

The vitriol has even entered the House chamber. Rep. Bill Posey (R-Fla.) wrapped up a floor speech this week with the sign-off, “Let’s go Brandon.” Then, in a jarring return to House decorum, he concluded, “I yield back.”

They really are immature, adolescent, bullies and they love their little nasty, inside jokes.

Trump’s “spokeswoman” Liz Harrington, tweeted it. So I’m pretty sure we can expect to hear this at Trump rallies from now on.

Trump’s “Get Out Of Jail Free” Card

Donald Trump is “telling most anyone who’ll listen that he will run again in 2024.” That’s according to Axios’s Mike Allen, who also pointed out this weekend that all of the polling suggests that Republican voters are clamoring for the former president to do it. There is little doubt that he will win the Republican nomination easily. Allen reports that all of the Republicans he’s spoken with say “it would take a severe illness, death — or criminal charges sticking — to stop Trump from walking away with the race before it even begins.” I have never doubted it. They love him, they really love him.

Trump is reportedly watching any would-be rivals very carefully, particularly Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, as well as Mike Pence, his former vice president, and former secretary of state Mike Pompeo. Allen reports that, according to his sources, it’s Pence who is Trump’s most likely primary opponent — and he is not planning to defer to his former boss, which Allen pointedly says Trump “has noticed.” Watching Pence get squashed like a stink bug doesn’t seem very sporting, but it’s probably all we’re going to get.

Truthfully, there is no opening for a serious anti-Trumper and as long as the real thing’s on the scene. Nobody can out-Trump Trump. You have to give DeSantis points for trying, though. The Florida governor is now contemplating offering $5,000 to unvaccinated cops who move to the Sunshine State and join departments there rather than submit to vaccine mandates in their home state. Trump must have raised his diet coke in silent salutation at that one. It’s Trumpism at its crudest.

RELATED: Police reform by another name: COVID mandates causing cops to complain — and quit

DeSantis and Pompeo are still playing the waiting game to see if any unfortunate events befall Trump, but they need to be careful lest they anger the boss and ruin their chances to run as his VP, which they will be happy to do, all the while winking and nodding at the right-wing power brokers that they’ll be sure to keep Trump in line. Fat chance.

There are several obvious reasons why Trump is so dead set on running again.

The first is his obsession with vengeance, particularly for what he perceives as disloyalty. This explains why he spends just as much time slamming RINOs (Republicans In Name Only), whom he claims betrayed him, as he does Democrats. This is a deeply held philosophy that Trump has made plain for many years.

An even bigger motivation for Trump to run is the fact that his “grandiose narcissism” will not allow him to admit that he lost in 2020. Personality psychologist Evita March explained how this works shortly after election:

The grandiose narcissist is competitive, dominant, and has an inflated positive self-image regarding their own skills, abilities, and attributes. What’s more, grandiose narcissists tend to have higher self-esteem and inflated self-worth. For the grandiose narcissist, defeat may compromise this inflated self-worth. According to researchers from Israel, these people find setbacks in achievement particularly threatening, as these setbacks could indicate a “failure to keep up with the competition“.

Instead of accepting personal responsibility for failure and defeat, these individuals externalize blame, attributing personal setbacks and failures to the shortcomings of others. They do not, or even cannot, recognize and acknowledge the failure could be their own. Based on the profile of the grandiose narcissist, the inability to accept defeat may best be characterized by an attempt to protect the grandiose positive self-image. Their dominance, denial of weaknesses, and tendency to devalue others results in a lack of comprehension it’s even possible for them to lose.

If you read the blizzard of statements he releases every day, it’s clear that Trump spends most of his days obsessing over the Big Lie. He’s now demanding that Republicans endorse his delusion or risk his wrath and his followers’ rejection. It’s not enough for him to believe it, he needs everyone else to validate that belief. And he has to run again — and win — in order to finally make the Big Lie true. To that end, he is working the system night and day to make sure he has loyalists planted in all the swing states to make sure that happens.

Want a daily wrap-up of all the news and commentary Salon has to offer? Subscribe to our morning newsletter, Crash Course.

But while it’s clear that he has deep psychological reasons for perpetuating the Big Lie and running again to avenge the loss he cannot accept, there are practical reasons for Trump to be desperate to get back in the White House. The Los Angeles Times’ Doyle McManus reminds us that while Trump has always managed to squirm out of the endless legal and political problems he’s confronted throughout his life he’s facing some serious charges at the moment:

Throughout his epic, scandal-ridden career, Donald Trump has compiled an astonishing record of impunity, constantly staying one jump ahead of prosecutors, plaintiffs and creditors…[His] record of escapes would make Houdini envious. But Trump remains under the gun. He’s still in search of escape routes.

A House committee is examining his attempts to overturn last year’s presidential election, including his actions when a mob of his supporters stormed the Capitol on Jan. 6. A prosecutor in Georgia is investigating whether he violated state law against soliciting election fraud when he demanded that officials “find 11,780 votes” — the number he needed to undo Joe Biden’s victory in that state. And prosecutors in New York are looking into allegations that Trump, or at least the closely held family business he runs, committed tax and bank fraud.

I’m sure Trump enjoyed many things about being president, with the overwhelming amount of attention being the most important. But the Russia investigation made clear that as long as he was in office, he would not be prosecuted. Being president is literally a “get out of jail free” card. He knows that as soon as he declares his candidacy, any possibility of prosecution is unlikely. As McManus says, “it’s a way to hold his troops together — and to make every prosecutor think twice.”

I don’t doubt that his desire to get back into the White House is mostly driven by his desire for revenge and the extreme personality defect that will not allow him to admit that he lost. But he’s not insane. If he can get back into the White House, he will be completely out of the law’s grasp for four years. And he knows it.  

Salon

The Helpers

Remember this?

In one Dec. 27 conversation, according to the written account, acting attorney general Jeffrey Rosen told Trump that the Justice Department “can’t + won’t snap its fingers + change the outcome of the election.” The president replied that he understood but wanted the agency to “just say the election was corrupt + leave the rest to me and the R. Congressmen,” according to the notes written by Donoghue, a participant in the discussion.

In case you were wondering who those R. Congressmen might have been, Rolling Stone has published a story that may shed light on that:

 Two… people have spoken to Rolling Stone extensively in recent weeks and detailed explosive allegations that multiple members of Congress were intimately involved in planning both Trump’s efforts to overturn his election loss and the Jan. 6 events that turned violent.

Rolling Stone separately confirmed a third person involved in the main Jan. 6 rally in D.C. has communicated with the committee. This is the first report that the committee is hearing major new allegations from potential cooperating witnesses. While there have been prior indications that members of Congress were involved, this is also the first account detailing their purported role and its scope. The two sources also claim they interacted with members of Trump’s team, including former White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, who they describe as having had an opportunity to prevent the violence.

The two sources, both of whom have been granted anonymity due to the ongoing investigation, describe participating in “dozens” of planning briefings ahead of that day when Trump supporters broke into the Capitol as his election loss to President Joe Biden was being certified.

There’s more at the link.

I don’t know if this will be borne out but if it is, I doubt anything will happen, unfortunately. These people should be expelled from the congress. Instead, they will no doubt be hailed as heroes on the right and everyone will be be too afraid to do anything to punish such traitors for fear of sparking more violence.

Employees Cheer When Anti-vaxxers Get Fired @spockosbrain

My niece works at a hospital. The day that they announced on the intercom that every employee had to get a vaccine or would be terminated, she said a cheer went up that could be heard throughout all the corridors.

Don’t feel bad about cheering when one of these crackpots gets sacked. It’s only human to want to survive.

sandyhh, Oct 24 Crooks & Liars

I love to hear stories like this. It more accurately expresses how the vast majority of the public feels toward anti-vaxxers than what you see in the media.

In Eric Boehlert‘s excellent newsletter Press Run titled, Sorry Chuck Todd, America is not hopelessly “divided” over Covid he pointed out that the press continues to push the nonsense 50/50 split narrative about the vaccinations and support of vaccine mandates. We are not.

The press uses fuzzy math and headlines that focus on a tiny percentage who are embracing rabbit-hole conspiracies about a vaccine that nearly 200 million Americans have safely taken.

For example, on October 13, 2021
United announced that 99.7% of its 67,000 employees were vaccinated, the 232 who weren’t were going to be fired. Now check out the headline used by Forbes, Newsbreak, Business Insider and NY Post.

United Airlines Firing 232 Employees Who Refused Covid Vaccine, CEO Says

United CEO confirms 232 employees are being fired for not complying with its vaccine mandate,

232 United Airlines workers will be fired for not getting vaccine: CEO,

Headlines are hard, I suck at them myself, but these have no context & focus on the 232 who won’t get vaxxed, not the 66,768 who have been vaccinated. I flipped that headline around to focus on the happy, vaccinated employees.

In his latest post Boehlert writes about this Wall Street Journal story. Headline:
Why Some Healthcare Workers Would Rather Lose Their Jobs Than Get Vaccinated

The sympathetic, 2,000-word Journal piece focused on a minuscule portion of the workforce that has irrationally decided not to take a free, safe, and effective vaccine. Instead of presenting these actions as delusional, the press often frames the quitting as being principled or even heroic. (The “resistance” is “unwavering,” the New York Times announced.)

The continued, hand-holding coverage — “brainwashing” is virtually never used — represents the latest example of the press helping to normalize irrational, nihilistic behavior by Trump followers.

Who cares if anti-vaxxers quit their jobs?

At Biden’s CNN Town Hall in Baltimore he mocked the BS idea that people have the freedom to kill with their COVID.


People have been retweeting stories about cops and 1st responders who wouldn’t get vaccinated, got sick and died, like Stan Wilson the 59 year-old EMT from Bartlesville, Oklahoma who died September 27 from COVID-19.

The mainstream media doesn’t really like to run the “HA HA! Idiot anti-vaxxer got COVID and died!” karma stories, but they will run stories of people who get fired after being required to get vaccinated and choosing not to . The press should make sure the headlines for those stories have context, like including how many are vaccinated in the entire company. But they won’t–so we need to add it before retweeting. It’s important to do because as Eric adds,

The anti-vaxxer coverage also creates the false picture that Americans are deeply divided over vaccines, and that the inoculation push under President Joe Biden has been a failure. Neither are true. 

Who cares if anti-vaxxers quit their jobs?

During the Town Hall Anderson Cooper said that in ‘as many as 1 in 3 emergency responders in cities like Chicago, LA and Baltimore are refusing to comply with city vaccine mandates. ” and asked Biden about vaccine mandates for them.

Biden said that cops and first responders should be mandated to get the vaccine and if not, they should stay at home or be let go. The audience cheered and applauded.

What media won’t do is return to the “1 in 3 first responder refusing to comply” story after the requirement date passes, but they should, since it will show that mandates work. That’s the time to get stories from the first responders who are pissed at their colleagues and happy they were required to be vaccinated or tested daily. I want to hear from the vaccinated who believe in protecting and serving.

Fox News HR says: We’re 90% Vaxxed!
Employees will either get vaxxed or test daily.

Biden finds it mildly fascinating that Fox News has mandated a vax or daily test requirement. More than 90 % of Fox’s employees are vaccinated.

I wonder how many of the 8,100 Fox Corp employees cheered when they heard of the vax or test requirement? We’ll never know. We’ll only hear from the ones (likely vaxxed!) who want to make this a political issue.

Brainwashed Covid zombies will continue to walk away from good paying jobs and put their families at risk, economically. But that doesn’t mean we have to care. And that doesn’t mean it’s news.

Who cares if anti-vaxxers quit their jobs?
It’s not news

Cross posted to Spocko’s Brain.When anti-vaxxers get fired employees cheer

Truth decay spreads

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is 9491756135_8923847062_c.jpg
First Peoples Buffalo Jump State Park, Montana. Photo courtesy of www.AllAroundTheWest.com via Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0).

It is hard not to read this New York Times account from Montana and think that decades of right-wing lies, smears and distortions (propaganda) has become internalized among the conservative base as the way politics is done.

Rae Grulkowski, 56, had never engaged in politics. In the summer of 2020, she jumped in with both feet:

Ms. Grulkowski had just heard about a years-in-the-making effort to designate her corner of central Montana a national heritage area, celebrating its role in the story of the American West. A small pot of federal matching money was there for the taking, to help draw more visitors and preserve underfunded local tourist attractions.

Ms. Grulkowski set about blowing up that effort with everything she had.

She collected addresses from a list of voters and spent $1,300 sending a packet denouncing the proposed heritage area to 1,498 farmers and ranchers. She told them the designation would forbid landowners to build sheds, drill wells or use fertilizers and pesticides. It would alter water rights, give tourists access to private property, create a new taxation district and prohibit new septic systems and burials on private land, she said.

None of this was true.

It is hard not to read this New York Times account from Montana and think that decades of right-wing lies, smears and distortions (propaganda) has become internalized among the conservative base as the way politics is done.

Rae Grulkowski, 56, had never engaged in politics. In the summer of 2020, she jumped in with both feet:

Ms. Grulkowski had just heard about a years-in-the-making effort to designate her corner of central Montana a national heritage area, celebrating its role in the story of the American West. A small pot of federal matching money was there for the taking, to help draw more visitors and preserve underfunded local tourist attractions.

Ms. Grulkowski set about blowing up that effort with everything she had.

She collected addresses from a list of voters and spent $1,300 sending a packet denouncing the proposed heritage area to 1,498 farmers and ranchers. She told them the designation would forbid landowners to build sheds, drill wells or use fertilizers and pesticides. It would alter water rights, give tourists access to private property, create a new taxation district and prohibit new septic systems and burials on private land, she said.

None of this was true.

How Grulkowski got started with her propaganda campaign you can read for yourself. But it portends poorly for the republic.

“Misinformation is the new playbook,” Bob Kelly, the mayor of Great Falls, said. “You don’t like something? Create alternative facts and figures as a way to undermine reality.”

Conservatives condemned 1960s hippies for growing their hair long. Then country music stars began sporting mullets. The conservative base that for decades accused liberals of having abandoned truth, of having no moral rudder, now indulges in a “choose your own adventure” approach to what constitutes objective reality. Without blinking.

“We’ve run into the uneducable,” Ellen Sievert, a retired historic preservation officer for Great Falls and surrounding Cascade County, said. “I don’t know how we get through that.”

Most of the heritage area’s key supporters are Democrats, and virtually all of its opponents are Republicans. But partisanship doesn’t explain everyone’s positions.

Steve Taylor, a former mayor of Neihart (pop. 43) whose family owns a car dealership in Great Falls, is a conservative who voted for Donald J. Trump twice, though he said he has regretted those votes since the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. Fellow Republicans, he said, have painted the heritage area as a liberal plot.

“They make it a political thing because if you have a Democrat involved, then they are all against it,” he said. “It’s so hard to build something and so easy to tear it down. It’s maddening. It’s so easy to destroy something with untruths.”

Oh, they excel at tearing down things.

Whether the facts supported Grulkowski’s allegations did not matter. Only what misinformation she picked up on the internet did.

But when pressed, Ms. Grulkowski, too, was unable to identify a single instance of a property owner’s being adversely affected by a heritage area. “It’s not that there are a lot of specific instances,” she said. “There’s a lot of very wide open things that could happen.”

That somewhat amorphous fear was more the point.

Outside of a poultry coop, as her chickens and ducks squawked, Ms. Grulkowski ticked through the falsehoods she had read online and accepted as truths in the past year: The Covid vaccine is more dangerous than the coronavirus. Global child-trafficking rings control the political system. Black Lives Matter was responsible for the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol. The United Nations is plotting to control world population and seize private land. Mr. Trump was the rightful winner of last year’s election. Even in Cascade County, where Mr. Trump won 59 percent of the vote, Ms. Grulkowski argued that 3,000 illegal votes were cast.

“We didn’t believe in any of that stuff until last July,” Ms. Grulkowski said. “Then we stumbled on something on the internet, and we watched it, and it took us two days to get over that. And it had to do with the child trafficking that leads to everything. It just didn’t seem right, and that was just over the top. And then we started seeing things that are lining up with that everywhere.”

It’s not clear whether Grulkowski believes the misinformation she spread or not. But she did not care enough about truth to use credible sources to check her work. Belief is enough. Belief, like pseudoscience, is conveniently unfalsifiable.

God Said It. I Believe It. That Settles It.

Republicans playing with matches

Rolling Stone Sunday night posted a blockbuster report on Republican officials who helped plan the Jan. 6 protests. The report cites two unnamed sources who have been sharing information with congressional investigators on the “dozens” of planning meetings that preceded the protests. The report identifies one as a rally organizer and the other as a planner. Rolling Stone‘s Hunter Walker claims “both sources were involved in organizing the main event aimed at objecting to the electoral certification, which took place at the White House Ellipse on Jan. 6” as well as dozens of other demonstrations around the country leading up to Jan. 6:

“I remember Marjorie Taylor Greene specifically,” the organizer says. “I remember talking to probably close to a dozen other members at one point or another or their staffs.”

This is not breaking news. Greene was open about her involvement in trying to stop certification of electoral votes on Jan. 6.

Which “unrelated ongoing investigation”?

But there are others named in the story and one detail in particular seems significant (highlighted):

Along with Greene, the conspiratorial pro-Trump Republican from Georgia who took office earlier this year, the pair both say the members who participated in these conversations or had top staffers join in included Rep. Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.), Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.), Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.), Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.), Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), and Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas).

“We would talk to Boebert’s team, Cawthorn’s team, Gosar’s team like back to back to back to back,” says the organizer.  

And Gosar, who has been one of the most prominent defenders of the Jan. 6 rioters, allegedly took things a step further. Both sources say he dangled the possibility of a “blanket pardon” in an unrelated ongoing investigation to encourage them to plan the protests.

“Our impression was that it was a done deal,” the organizer says, “that he’d spoken to the president about it in the Oval … in a meeting about pardons and that our names came up. They were working on submitting the paperwork and getting members of the House Freedom Caucus to sign on as a show of support.” 

Which “unrelated ongoing investigation”?

Noticeable in the report is that none of the named congressional Republicans nor their spokespersons responded to requests for comment.

The organizer tells Rolling Stone:

“The reason I’m talking to the committee and the reason it’s so important is that — despite Republicans refusing to participate … this commission’s all we got as far as being able to uncover the truth about what happened at the Capitol that day,” the organizer says. “It’s clear that a lot of bad actors set out to cause chaos. … They made us all look like shit.” 

And Trump, they admit, was one of those bad actors. A representative for Trump did not respond to a request for comment.

“The breaking point for me [on Jan. 6 was when] Trump starts talking about walking to the Capitol,” the organizer says. “I was like. ‘Let’s get the fuck out of here.’ ”

The planner tells Rolling Stone, “I have no problem openly testifying.”

Former federal prosecutor Joyce Vance cautions not to get too far ahead of the ball on what this report means. It doesn’t reference plans for violence, but primarily for planning around the Trump rally that day at The Ellipse and for bringing objections before the House.

“I didn’t have Rolling Stone with 1st to report on Jan 6 witnesses on my 2021 bingo card, but proceed with caution here,” Vance tweets, “the witnesses seem to say the plan was for a vote in Congress, not violence at the Capitol. Jan 6 Comm has lots of work to do.”

“It’s one thing if Rep Gosar was dangling pardons on his own. The article doesn’t suggest it’s more than that & prosecutors would need to follow up on whether Gosar had explicit conversations with Trump or others close to him with authority,” Vance continues. “Assumptions aren’t evidence.”

Plus, “with their other legal issues and the House investigation, both of these sources have clear motivation to cooperate with investigators and turn on their former allies,” Walker writes. After all their planning ultimately resulted in a violent attack on the U.S. Capitol. So the two sources have an interest in painting themselves in the best light possible, as Walker notes. But why take their story to Rolling Stone and not to a major news outlet?

A senior staffer for a Republican member of Congress, who was also granted anonymity to discuss the ongoing investigation, similarly says they believed the events would only involve supporting objections on the House floor. The staffer says their member was engaged in planning that was “specifically and fully above board.” 

“A whole host of people let this go a totally different way,” the senior Republican staffer says. “They fucked it up for a lot of people who were planning to present evidence on the House floor. We were pissed off at everything that happened .”

Easy to say now. But the potential for violence was not easy to miss. As with any of Trump’s rally speeches, the threat of violence is always implicit, if not open.

“They knew that they weren’t there to sing ‘Kumbaya’ and, like, put up a peace sign,” the planner says of the various fringe-right paramilitary groups in town for the Jan. 6 protests. “These frickin’ people were angry.” 

They played with matches. The entire country got burned.

Back in Ohio

Last night there was a GOP primary debate in Ohio. They have certainly produced their finest leadership for this race:

Bonus freakshow:

https://twitter.com/JoshMandelOhio/status/1452398593118281732

The latest polling shows Mandel in the lead and in matchups with Democrat Tim Ryan it’s pretty much a tie with all of them.

It appears that no matter who the Republicans nominate, they are going to get a Trumpist freak. And it’s not the only state. The scary question is, how many of them will be elected.

As long as you don’t use the D-word

(“Deplorable”)

https://twitter.com/carriecordero/status/1452023517768257540

I don’t know how much good it does but it’s still important to say this outloud. But yes, one can’t call any of them deplorable or they will whine like 5 year olds for years on end.

He is right and not just about the politicians, although he doesn’t want to say that. All the people who voted for Trump, were voting for this:

And this:

Yeah, it’s the Economy. Sigh.

Dan Pfeiffer says in his newsletter that there is no greater truism than the fact that a party in power is punished for a poor economy and rewarded for a good one. (Obviously, it isn’t the only factor but it is always in the mix.) He has some advice for the Democrats about what to do:

Despite the pundit-driven talk about the political toxicity of the Affordable Care Act, the biggest reason Democrats lost 63 Houseseats in 2010 was persistent double-digit unemployment from the 2008 financial crisis. Voters were angry about the economy and took their anger out on President Obama and the Democrats. Same thing happened in 1994 when Democrats lost the House for the first time in a half-century. There is a school of thought suggesting Trump’s 2016 victory was driven by a mini-recession in manufacturing as much as it was by James Comey’s poor judgment.

With President Biden’s approval ratings hovering at an all-time low and Americans expressing growing concern about the economy, that dynamic is playing out again. 

Or is it?

Something different is happening in 2021. The economic and political pictures are more complicated than conventional wisdom suggests. Democrats cannot hold onto our narrow majorities if we don’t win the economic argument in 2022 (or the argument in Virginia in two weeks). And we can’t win that argument if we don’t understand the unique politics of the Pandemic Economy.

He notes the cratering of Biden’s poll numbers and says if they remain that way, Democrats are in real trouble in 2022:

Because the dip in Biden’s approval happened around the same time as a barrage of negative press coverage of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, many observers assumed Afghanistan was the reason. But that assessment seems to be a causation/correlation error. As FiveThirtyEight’s Nathaniel Rakich recently pointed out, Biden’s numbers started going down before the withdrawal and have not improved as Afghanistan faded from the news.

A line chart showing the number of 15-second cable news clips mentioning "Afghanistan," with peak mentions in the middle of August and a slow, noisy decline thereafter. A line chart showing a line for Biden's disapproval rating and a line for Biden's approval rating. The lines intersect around the end of August, and by the end of September, 48.7 percent of Americans disapprove of Biden.

Over the same timeframe, the polling on the economy moved in a similarly negative direction. According to a recent Morning Consult/Politico pollthe number of voters who believe the economy will worsen in the next year shot up nine points since July.

Economic polling is often a proxy for partisanship. After Trump won in 2016, the online results on the state of the economy stayed stagnant, but there were dramatic shifts underneath the hood. Before the election, Democrats thought the economy was doing well, and Republicans thought the opposite. As soon as Trump was elected, that flipped. But recent polling shows growing concern across the political spectrum despite unified Democratic control of the government. Nearly a quarter of Democrats now believe that the economy will worsen in the next year. 

He asks if the economy is as bad as everyone thinks it is:

The concern for the economy continues to grow although, by most traditional measures, the economy is pretty good and getting better. As David Leonhardt wrote in the New York Times:

Even amid a global pandemic, most American households are doing better financially than they were in 2019… Today, the unemployment rate has fallen back below 5 percent. The value of homes — the largest asset for most families — has continued rising. The S&P 500 is more than 30 percent higher than it was before the pandemic. And the federal government, across both the Trump and Biden administrations, has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy, much of it through checks sent directly to people.

While far too many families were and will be left behind if the Democrats cannot pass Biden’s economic plan, the vast majority of Americans are better off than before the pandemic. According to most measures, things are headed in the right direction. As Seth Hanlon, a former economic advisor to President Obama, recently pointed out on Twitter, weekly unemployment claims have fallen 65 percent overall since Biden took office, and are almost back to pre-pandemic levels.

Every expert agrees the Biden Administration’s American Rescue Plan and efforts to control the pandemic and vaccinate Americans is largely responsible for this economic success. If the economy improved under President Biden AND he has done a good job, why are the American people in such a sour mood?

He notes that it’s the pandemic, primarily which is true. Everyone thought that we would be a whole lot freer by now. But I don’t know why people are blaming Biden, though. It’s obviously the right wing refusniks who have done this. But Pfeiffer says the discontent may be because the economy came back faster than the system could accommodate it creating the supply chain problem and inflation. These are things that people feel directly.

Look, I am no polling expert, but nine in ten voters concerned about something is a problem. The problem is exacerbated by the fact that Republicans effectively convinced people Biden’s policies are responsible for increasing prices. In the Morning Consult/Politico poll, the surge of people blaming Biden’s policies is driven in large part by Independents — the very group that has turned against Biden in recent months.

While economists differ on the duration of the price spike, some estimate that it could last well into next year as production is ramped up to meet increased demands.

So what is to be done?

The Biden Build Back Better plan is (slowly) working its way through Congress and will put more money in families’ pockets to help them deal with increasing costs. The economically driven decline in the president’s approval is not solely a communications problem. The decline is driven by the reality that Americans are faced with every time they go to the grocery store. Presidents have less control over the economy than the public assumes. Therefore, the bulk of the response will require a party-wide messaging effort. Here are some thoughts on how Democrats (and all of us) can win the messaging battle:

It’s an Economic Plan, Stupid: At some point, Democrats lost control of the branding of Biden’s legislative agenda. The Biden White House called it the Build Back Better agenda, which is consistent with their highly effective campaign messaging. However, media outlets have not adopted that phrasing. They refer to it as a “social policy bill,” “social safety net legislation,” and “a liberal wish list.” These terms range from neutrally confusing to repellent in the eyes of voters. Everyone from elected Democrats to all of us needs to refer to it as the Biden Economic Plan and put it in the context of the current economic situation. Republicans argue that the Biden Economic Plan is the cause of inflation and other economic concerns. We must frame it as the SOLUTION to the problem.

Pass the Biden Jobs Plan ASAFP: With all due respect to the legislative branch, close association with Congress is always bad for a president’s political standing. It’s a paradox. Getting stuff done is good politics, but the process of getting stuff done is bad politics. Reams of coverage on legislative impasses, horsetrading, and dissatisfied activists depresses Democratic voters and annoys Independents. What’s happening in Congress often feels detached from rising economic concerns. Passing this bill will change the narrative, give Democrats something specific to tout, and move the political conversation to more friendly terrain.

Remind People Republicans Exist (and are bad): A person who woke up from a century-long coma and read the news would believe that the United States still had the same two-party system, but this is incorrect. Now, the two parties are progressives and moderates. The Republicans intentionally excluded themselves from the political narrative. The last thing the party of insurrectionists and corporate shills wants is to be at the front of mind when the public makes assessments about the current state of affairs. It’s worth noting that the public REALLY doesn’t like Republicans.

The Obstructionist and Corporatist Who Dabbles in Insurrection: The folks at Navigator Research recently released an insightful deep dive into how people view Congressional Republicans. I encourage everyone to read the whole thing, but the TL;DR is that the public views Republicans as advocates for the wealthy and corporations, closely associated with Trump, and primarily concerned with blocking Biden’s agenda (which people like!). Democrats have the opportunity to frame the Republicans as the people blocking economic progress in order to help their rich friends.

This sounds smart to me. But what do I know? I certainly agree that they need to alter their messaging about the BBB plan to make it an economic plan. People are used to hearing the economic message and it will ring true. “Build Back Better” is too clever by half. Call it a program for good paying jobs and help for workers to put more money in their pockets.

And yes, if you read this blog you know how I feel about runningh against Trump and the Republicans.

His final bit of advice is good but it’s complicated by the fact that we have Kyrsten Sinema out there working as an agent for lobbyists and Big Business and everyone knows it.

But Pheiffer is right about this:

None of this is easy and Democrats are facing huge headwinds from the economy and the media, but there are real opportunities to better reframe the economic debate and get back on the offense.

If the Dems can stabilize the economy they are going to need to already have the economic message in place if they want to beat the odds. It’s looking less and less likely but they need to try.